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At least 847 records · Page 47

Chapter Ten - Power, Buildings, and Other Critical Networks: Integrated Multisystem Operation

The electrifying transportation sector, the increasing grid interactivity of the built environment, the rapidly expanding number of devices within the Internet-of-Things, and the overall trend toward highly connected systems and interdependent networks is revolutionizing the operation of the electric power grid. While these changes are presenting grid operators with new challenges to ensure an efficient, reliable, and sustainable operation of the grid, they also enable a new suite of resources that can be utilized for assisting the grid in times of need. In this chapter, we explore how these recent changes and trends are affecting modern power systems and discuss the benefits and challenges of an increasingly electrified and interconnected world. We will observe how various critical infrastructure, that is, buildings, water and gas, transportation, and telecommunication networks are highly dependent on power network operations but, with improved coordination and control, can also provide valuable assets to the grid in times of need.

electricity markets↗

Monte Carlo simulations of Cu/Ni–Si–Mn co-precipitation in duplex stainless steels

First-Passage Kinetic Monte Carlo (FPKMC) simulations of species migration in duplex stainless steels were performed in order to establish relationships between alloy content, segregation behavior, and the formation of Ni-Si-Mn rich particles in cast duplex stainless steels during thermal aging. The Ni-Si-Mn-rich second phase forms after extended aging at reactor operating temperatures and degrades alloy properties. Simulations of Ni-Si-Mn cluster formation were validated through comparison with experimental results obtained through Atom Probe Tomography (APT) on similar alloy compositions, identifying several trends. First, Cu promotes the formation of Ni-Si-Mn clusters, but only when Ni or Mn prefer segregation to the surface of Cu particles; without the segregation of these species, the critical composition for the clusters to form was not achieved. Second, the width of precipitate-denuded zones near ?/d interfaces increases with decreasing Cu content. This finding was in strong agreement with APT results, further validating our model. Finally, our model predicts that Ni-Si-Mn cluster formation will be the most extensive when the Si:Mn ratio is approximately 1:1 and the least extensive when one of these key elements is less concentrated (Mn = 0.5 at.% or Si = 0.5 at.%). The implications of these results on how to improve alloy properties are discussed.

Cu co-precipitation, Atom probe tomography (APT), ↗

Thermochemistry of sodium rare earth ternary fluorides, NaREF 4

Sodium rare earth fluorides, NaREF 4 (RE = rare earth), are used as luminescent materials for light emission and biomedical applications and are important compositions for extracting and separating RE elements. Solution calorimetric measurements of a series of β-structured NaREF 4 (Na 1.5 RE 1.5 F 6 ) phases with various RE elements determined their heats of formation. Though the lattice contracts from light to heavy RE elements, NaREF 4 compounds show more exothermic enthalpies of formation from binary components with the decrease of RE 3+ radii, contrary to behavior seen in most RE oxide ternary compounds. Furthermore, by constructing Born–Haber cycles, the different slopes of lines relating lattice energies to lattice parameters in binary and ternary fluorides appear to be the reason for this reverse trend, which can be associated with changes in the coordination number of RE cations. These trends and the metastability of sodium light RE fluorides not only reveal the key role of ionic radius in RE compound stability, but also are significant for the design and synthesis of new materials and motivate the more effective utilization of RE.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Simulated effects of sample size and grain neighborhood on the modeling of extreme value fatigue response

Assessing the size of representative volume elements (RVEs) for fatigue-related applications is challenging. A RVE relevant to random microstructure requires a volume of material that is sufficiently large to capture the grain/phase heterogeneity that captures all statistical moments of the distribution of the driving force for fatigue crack formation at “hot spot” grains. Consequently, the large size of a microstructure RVE required to study fatigue phenomena is largely computationally intractable and difficult to explore. A more realistic objective in this work is to systematically study, as a function of the size of a statistical sample of microstructure, trends towards convergence of the simulated distribution of driving force for fatigue crack formation. Our present work accordingly leverages the recently developed open-source PRISMS-Fatigue framework to examine the trends in convergence of extreme value distributions (EVD) of Fatigue Indicator Parameters (FIPs) in progressively larger polycrystalline microstructure realizations of FCC Al alloy 7075-T6 using crystal plasticity finite element method simulations. The results are compared to the traditional method in which ensembles of statistical volume elements (SVEs) are simulated to build up statistics intended to approximate those associated with a larger volume of material. The convergence of EVDs with increase of size of a SVE of microstructure is closely related to the extent of grain nearest neighbor (NN) interactions. Accordingly, the sensitivity of the local micromechanical response at hot spot grains is quantitatively investigated by systematically varying the orientations of NN grains. Results indicate that SVEs with cubic crystallographic texture tend towards convergence of the EVD of FIPs with tens of thousands of grains while the random and rolled textures require larger volumes. Simple relationships based on microstructure parameters (e.g., Schmid Factor, grain size, NN misorientation) do not completely correlate to fatigue hot spot grains. Finally, the sensitivity of the extreme value fatigue response at hot spot grains extends to the 3rd NN when a single neighborhood grain orientation is altered.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

First-principles study of grain-boundary wetting in Fe-Σ5(013)[100] tilt boundary

Here, we report an ab-initio study of grain-boundary wetting (GBW) in three systems (Fe/Zn, Fe/Pb & Fe/Bi) on a Σ5(013)[100] tilt grain boundary. An energy-based approach is pursued and adapted to the study of liquid-metal/solid-metal interfaces. We provide a sound calculation of the wettability parameter S (i.e., defined as the minimum energy difference between the unbroken initial state and final state with liquid-metal/solid-metal interfaces). Solid/liquid interfaces are modelled by ab-initio molecular dynamics, also allowing a study of structural effects in the liquid phase near the solid interface. We show how surface energies for solid-metal/liquid-metal interfaces need a special treatment for the liquid-metal chemical potential due to the change in crystallinity near the interface. The computation of the wettability criterion for the three systems correctly predicts the GBW trend known experimentally for these systems. The computations are compared with small-scale TEM experiments on GBW of two systems (Fe/Pb and Fe/Bi) and it is shown to provide reasonable results. This approach offers new perspectives in predicting GBW trends across various systems.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Alloying Effects on the Transport Properties of Refractory High-entropy Alloys

Additive Manufacturing (AM) has opened new frontiers for the design of refractory high-entropy alloys (HEAs) for high-temperature applications. The thermal conductivity of the AM feedstock is among the most important thermo-physical properties that control the melting and solidification process. Despite its significance, there remains a notable gap in both computational and experimental research concerning the thermal conductivity of HEAs. Here, we use density functional theory (DFT) to systematically investigate the alloying effects on the transport properties of Ti-Cr-Mo-W-V-Nb-Ta RHEAs, including electrical and thermal conductivities and Seebeck coefficient. The relaxation time of charge carriers is a key underlying parameter determining thermal conductivity that is exceedingly challenging to predict from first principles alone, and we thus follow the approach by Mukherjee, Satsangi, and Singh [Chem Mater 32, 6507 (2022)] to optimize the relaxation time for RHEAs. Here we validated thermal conductivity predictions on elemental solids, binary and ternary alloys, and RHEAs and compared them against thermodynamic (CALPHAD) predictions and our experiments with good correlations. To understand observed trends in thermal conductivity, we assessed the phase stability, electronic structure, phonon, and intrinsic- and tensile strength of down-selected RHEAs. Our electronic structure and phonon results connect well with the observed compositional trends for thermal transport in RHEAs. Our DFT assessment and CALPHAD predictions provide a unique design guide for RHEAs with tailored thermal conductivity, a critical consideration for AM and thermal-management applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Plentiful electricity turns wholesale prices negative

In 2020, average wholesale electricity prices in the United States fell to $21/MWh, their lowest level since the beginning of the 21st century. Low natural gas prices and the proliferation of low marginal cost resources like wind and solar had already established a trend toward lower wholesale prices, and this trend was exacerbated by declining electricity demand due to the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020. Negative real-time hourly wholesale prices occurred in about 4% of all hours and wholesale market nodes across the United States, but these were not distributed evenly. Regional clusters emerged, for example, in the Permian Basin in western Texas, and in Kansas and western Oklahoma in the Southwest Power Pool (SPP), negative prices accounted for more than 25% of all hours. Negative electricity prices result either from local congestion of the transmission system leading supply to exceed demand locally or due to system-wide oversupply. Looking at the latter condition in SPP, we find that all major generator types contribute to this excess supply, because of limited ramping flexibility or self-scheduled out-of-market unit commitments. Additional monetary production incentives such as renewable energy credits or tax credits also enable negative bids; indeed, negative prices predominantly occur when demand levels are low and wind production levels are high. Frequent negative prices can inform the value of additional renewable energy investments at specific locations, the need for transmission and storage development, and opportunities load growth or adaptation.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Wave energy resource characterization employing joint distributions in frequency-direction-time domain

Joint and marginal distributions in the frequency, direction, and time domain are employed to demonstrate their value for wave energy resource characterization when full spectra are available. Insights gained through analysis of these distributions support wave energy converter concept design, operation and maintenance. Spatial trends in the wave energy resource and contributing wave energy systems along the continental shelf of the West Coast of the United States are investigated using the most recent two-dimensional wave spectra measurements at four buoys over an eleven year period (2008 to 2018). Resource hot spots and dominant resolved energy resource bands in the frequency-direction-time domain are delineated. Resource attributes, including frequency and directional spreading, and seasonal variability, are characterized using joint distributions and marginal distributions of wave power spectra. North Pacific westerly swells in the winter season, augmented by Aleutian low-pressure southwesterly swells, are the principal suppliers of the dominant resource and main drivers influencing resource attributes. In conclusion, the modification of these systems southward, especially the North Pacific westerly swells, explains the observed spatial resource trends. The dominant resource wave period shifts two seconds to higher wave periods, thirty degrees in the dominant direction band to a more northward orientation, and forward by one month.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Impacts of turbine and plant upsizing on the levelized cost of energy for offshore wind

Turbine and plant upsizing are major trends in offshore wind deployment, although the quantitative impact on project costs has not been well-characterized. The uncertain value of continued wind turbine and project growth limits the ability of the supply chain to prepare for future technology trends, leading to challenges in the realization of larger projects. This analysis explores the levelized cost of energy impacts of turbine ratings between 6 and 20 MW and plant capacities between 250 and 2,500 MW for fixed-bottom offshore wind using techno-economic cost models for foundation, electrical, installation, and operation and maintenance costs, along with annual energy production. We consider a nominal set of technology assumptions for all scenarios to isolate economies of size and scale without additional benefits from decreasing turbine capital costs, quantity discounts for larger projects, or optimized technology solutions. These results indicate that using a 20-MW wind turbine in a 2,500-MW power plant array can reduce the levelized cost of energy by over 23% relative to the global average turbine and plant size installed in 2019; primarily because of reductions in the balance-of-system and operation and maintenance costs. We also identify improved installation vessels, optimized export systems, and novel operation and maintenance strategies as additional cost reduction opportunities. These results suggest that upsizing represents a significant cost reduction opportunity for offshore wind energy and will continue to be a main factor in shaping the future of the sector.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Effects of land-based wind turbine upsizing on community sound levels and power and energy density

Multiple technological, social, and market factors of wind power are evolving rapidly. Most notably, significant wind turbine scaling is occurring and is forecasted to continue. While the larger turbines expected to be deployed in the future are more powerful and efficient, they are also expected to operate at higher sound levels and require larger setbacks than those installed in the last decade. These sometimes-competing deployment trends and impacts cannot be understood via simple extrapolations of past trends. This study analyzes the effect of these future larger turbines on wind turbine micro-siting, project-level power and energy density, and community noise impacts. Due to their taller heights, larger rotors, and higher sound power levels, future wind turbines will require larger setbacks from homes and greater inter-turbine spacing, resulting in fewer turbines deployed for a given land area. This research finds these changes more than offset the effect of the higher turbine sound emissions, significantly decreasing the average sound levels that wind plant hosting communities experience. Yet, simultaneously, plant layouts using future turbine designs also result in projects with higher installed capacities and annual energy output for a given land area. These increases will likely lead to increased tax benefits and local income in the community. The deployment of fewer turbines on a smaller number of parcels could have implications on siting flexibility and landowner payments.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Aspects of rare earth element enrichment in Allegheny Plateau coals, Pennsylvania, USA

The Allegheny Plateau in western Pennsylvania, western Maryland, and northern West Virginia has relatively flat-lying strata with southwest-northeast-trending anticlines cored by splay faults originating from the thrust faults and southeast-northwest-trending lineaments. The lineaments define both the structural relief of the anticlines and the coal rank. Coal rank in the Pennsylvanian Allegheny Group coals is medium volatile bituminous in the region of less-prominent structural relief and low volatile bituminous in the region with more pronounced anticlines. Zinc and Cl exhibit high values in coals in the vicinity of the lineaments. Although coal rank was not a parameter in the Principal components analysis, the highest rank coals clustered together in a quadrant defined, in part, by the Zn concentration. Zinc was selected as a parameter due to its possible link with hydrothermal mineralization and Zr and TiO 2 /Al 2 O 3 were selected based on their presumed association with detrital mineral influences. The highest rare earths + Y values in benches of the Lower Kittanning coal were found at sites close to the lineaments. Negative or negligible Ce anomalies (δCe) and strongly positive Gd anomalies (δGd) suggest marine or hydrothermal influences and negative Eu anomalies (δEu) along with high TiO 2 /Al 2 O 3 values suggest a terrestrial input. In conclusion, the plots of δCe vs. δGd and δCe vs. δEu show that the low volatile bituminous coals are segregated from the other coals, suggesting that the factors that influenced coal rank also influenced the distribution of the rare earth elements.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Lime slurry treatment of soils developing on abandoned coal mine spoil: Linking contaminant transport from the micrometer to pedon-scale

Historical and abandoned coal mine spoil continues to generate acid- and metal(loid)-rich porewaters and represents a geographically large and diffuse non-point source of contamination to local watersheds. A potentially inexpensive approach to treat these materials and soils developing on them is through the application of lime slurries, to neutralize acidity and encourage the (co)precipitation of metal(loids) with Fe(III)-(oxy)hydroxides, and potentially other metal-oxides and/or Ca-bearing phases. Here, the efficacy of this approach was evaluated through parallel field application and laboratory-based flow-through column experiments. The field site is Huff Run sub-watershed 25 located in Tuscarawas County, Ohio and was chosen in part because it was previously classified as one of the most highly AMD-impacted sub-watersheds in the region. Two locations with historical spoil were chosen and suction lysimeters were installed at 25 and 75 cm depth to monitor porewater composition on two sides at the base of each pile. Half of each slope received seven lime slurry treatments from June through October of 2017. A suite of aqueous (ICP-OES, IC, and TOC-L) and solid phase geochemical and mineralogical approaches (quantitative SEM-EDS and synchrotron μ-XRF) were used to determine how composition, texture, morphology, and spatial distribution of mineral coatings differ in pre- and post-lime treated soils, and how that impacts the distribution and transport of trace metal(loid)s. Mine spoil porewater at site 1 was slightly less alkaline (pH ranging from 7.04 to 7.37) than at site 2 (ranging from 7.55 to 7.71), and average electrical conductivity values at site 1 (316–405 μS cm —1 ) were slightly lower than at site 2 (358–464 μS cm —1 ), although differences between the sites were not significant. Porewater pH and electrical conductivity in all lysimeters decreased over the course of the field season but there was no obvious response to lime treatment at either site or any depth. At site 1, both treatment and depth were significant factors affecting Ca, K, Ni, SO 4 2— , and DOC concentrations while only treatment effects were significant for dissolved Al and Cu (p < 0.05). For all soils, there were no trends in metal concentration observed over time although DOC and SO 4 2— decreased over the field season. Pedon-scale changes in metal porewater concentrations in response to treatment were linked to micrometer-scale changes in mineral surface coatings; specifically, higher concentrations of Ca, Fe, Mn, and Zn were observed in the coatings and no changes were observed in Fe redox speciation, whereas total S decreased likely due to oxidation of S in coal fragments. In contrast to the field experiment, the column experiments exhibited a much greater response in effluent composition with respect to lime treatment. The untreated columns had approximately an order of magnitude more H + leached over the course of the experiment (p < 0.001) and resulted in greater Ca, Al, Cu, and DIC leached and less Mn, Zn, and SO 4 2— . Soils treated with the lime slurry in the column experiments exhibited larger and thicker secondary Fe-coatings, including the addition of Fe-sulfates. Despite clear trends in the laboratory-based column experiment where the lime-to-soil ratio was higher, the effects were either muted or undetected in the field pilot project, suggesting that a higher application rate of lime in the field is needed to achieve a similar effect. This work provides evidence that a less alkaline lime slurry could be a practical and inexpensive method of treating coal mine spoil-impacted soils and represents an important step in linking laboratory-based remediation studies to implemented field-based studies.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Numerical investigation of equivalence ratio effects on Flex-Fuel mixing controlled combustion enabled by prechamber ignition

There is interest in adapting renewable and low-carbon intensity fuels to heavy-duty engines to help displace criteria and greenhouse gas emissions associated with diesel combustion. Low-carbon fuels have inherently low cetane numbers and thus pose a significant challenge when considering direct substitution in diesel combustion systems. Use of an actively fueled prechamber as an ignition source to initiate mixing-controlled combustion (PC-MCC) of low-cetane fuels is becoming an attractive combustion mode to alleviate the identified reactivity deficit. This work focuses on the utilization of an active prechamber to facilitate diesel-like combustion of bioethanol-gasoline fuel blends in a heavy-duty engine. Recent results in this emerging technology suggest that ignition quality is uniquely coupled to prechamber equivalence ratio. In this numerical study, the fundamental implications of prechamber equivalence ratio on the ignition performance of direct injected fuels ranging from E10 to E100 are investigated using CONVERGE. Parametric studies of the prechamber operating strategy were assessed at diesel-like conditions to characterize the performance trends relative to a diesel baseline at the same boundary conditions. Simulation results indicate that PC-MCC is flex-fuel capable and achieves diesel-like ignition qualities and combustion processes for all fuels considered under stoichiometric and rich prechamber conditions. To characterize the equivalence ratio trends observed, a novel inflow boundary modeling technique was utilized to prescribe turbulent jets in place of the prechamber where selective speciation of the jet composition was conducted to isolate the ignition contributions of radical and reacting species in lean, stoichiometric, and rich jets. The inflow boundary modeling suggests that excess fuel and combustion intermediates present in jets produced from stratified and fuel-rich prechamber operation promotes higher jet temperatures and as such are superior ignition sources. Relative to a lean prechamber jet, the peak temperature of a reacting jet from a rich prechamber was up to 600 K hotter at fixed distances from the orifice exit. Furthermore, radicals also demonstrated an influence on the ignition process, but the combustion mode was identified to be thermally dominant.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Long-term increase in atmospheric stagnant conditions over northeast Asia and the role of greenhouse gases-driven warming

We report the recent trend in the air quality degradation of urban South Korea prompted the authors to examine the long-term changes in the near-surface wind speed and its link with the lower atmospheric circulation, using modern reanalysis datasets. Analyses based on JRA-55 data show a negative correlation between near-surface wind speed and static stability over the Yellow Sea and the western part of South Korea. Near-surface wind speed shows a clear declining trend accompanied by increased static stability, while its negative correlation strengthened recently. Further investigations using CMIP5 single-forcing experiments suggest that global warming because of anthropogenic greenhouse gases probably increased static stability in the lower troposphere, implying further atmospheric stagnant conditions in the future.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Ammonia in northeast Colorado is increasing, rising most quickly in regions close to confined animal feeding operations

The Colorado Front Range urban corridor and nearby agricultural operations are important source regions of atmospheric ammonia (NH 3 ). Upslope flows periodically transport these emissions into Rocky Mountain National Park (RMNP), located 50 km west of the urban corridor, where wet and dry deposition of excess reactive nitrogen (N) impacts ecosystems. Here, we use a combination of in situ passive NH 3 measurements and NH 3 vertical column density retrievals from the Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer (IASI) to assess variability and changes in NH 3 across three land use categories in the northeast Colorado source region (agricultural, urban, and remote) during the period 2013-2023. A strong seasonal cycle is present across the region with increased NH 3 during summer months. Elevated NH 3 is spatially correlated with the number of permitted animal units in confined animal feeding operations (CAFOs) within 12 km. Ground-level NH 3 concentrations are strongly positively correlated with monthly gridded IASI satellite column densities. Satellite retrievals reveal an increasing trend in NH 3 column amounts of ∼3% per year in agricultural and ∼2% per year in urban sub-regions. The magnitude of the trend observed in NH 3 columns averaged over the agricultural sub-region is > 3 times larger than observed near and over Denver. The largest increases in NH 3 are closely aligned with the distribution of CAFOs. Reductions in particle sulfate associated with declining sulfur dioxide (SO 2 ) emissions could account for only ∼0.1% per year increase in gaseous NH 3 . Wildfire smoke across the region has increased but appears unlikely to explain the majority of the observed NH 3 increase.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Lightning radiometry in visible and infrared bands

Calibrated measurements of lightning optical emissions are critical for both quantifying the impacts of lightning in our atmosphere and devising detection instruments with sufficient dynamic range capable of yielding close to 100% detection efficiency. However, to date, there is only a limited number of investigations that have attempted to take such calibrated measurements. Here, in this work, we report the power radiated by lightning in both visible and infrared bands, assuming isotropic emission, and accounting for atmospheric absorption. More precisely, we report peak radiated power and total radiated energy in the combined visible plus near-infrared range (VNIR, 0.34–1.1 μm), around the H α line (652–667 nm), and for the 2–2.5 μm infrared band. The estimated peak power and total energy radiated by negative cloud-to-ground return strokes in the VNIR range is 130 MW and 20 kJ, respectively. Additionally, we detected peak radiated powers of 12 and 0.19 MW in the H α and infrared bands, respectively. We cross-reference the optical data set with peak current reported by a lightning detection network. The resulting trend is that optical power emitted around the H α line scales with peak return stroke current according to a power law with exponent equal to 1.25. This trend, which should be approximately true across the entire visible spectrum, can be attributed to the plasma negative differential resistance of the lightning return stroke channel. We conclude by discussing the challenges in performing calibrated measurements of lightning optical power in different bands and comparing the results with previously-collected data with different experimental setups, observation conditions, and calibration methods.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Mitigation of spatial nonstationarity with vision transformers

Spatial nonstationarity, the location variance of features’ statistical distributions, is ubiquitous in many natural settings. For example, in geological reservoirs rock matrix porosity varies vertically due to geomechanical compaction trends, in mineral deposits grades vary due to sedimentation and concentration processes, in hydrology rainfall varies due to the atmosphere and topography interactions, and in metallurgy crystalline structures vary due to differential cooling. Conventional geostatistical modeling workflows rely on the assumption of stationarity to be able to model spatial features for geostatistical inference. Nevertheless, this is often not a realistic assumption when dealing with nonstationary spatial data and this has motivated a variety of nonstationary spatial modeling workflows such as trend and residual decomposition, cosimulation with secondary features, and spatial segmentation and independent modeling over stationary subdomains. The advent of deep learning technologies has enabled new workflows for modeling spatial relationships. However, there is a paucity of demonstrated best practice and general guidance on mitigation of spatial nonstationarity with deep learning in the geospatial context. We demonstrate the impact of two common types of geostatistical spatial nonstationarity on deep learning model prediction performance and propose the mitigation of such impacts using self-attention (vision transformer) models. We demonstrate the utility of vision transformers for the mitigation of nonstationarity with relative errors as low as 10%, exceeding the performance of alternative deep learning methods such as convolutional neural networks. We establish best practice by demonstrating the ability of self-attention networks for modeling large-scale spatial relationships in the presence of commonly observed geospatial nonstationarity.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗