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At least 847 records · Page 47

Stochastic simulation of predictive space–time scenarios of wind speed using observations and physical model outputs

We propose a statistical space-time model for predicting atmospheric wind speed based on deterministic numerical weather predictions and historical measurements. We consider a Gaussian multivariate space-time framework that combines multiple sources of past physical model outputs and measurements in order to produce a probabilistic wind speed forecast within the prediction window. We illustrate this strategy on wind speed forecasts during several months in 2012 for a region near the Great Lakes in the United States. The results show that the prediction is improved in the mean-squared sense relative to the numerical forecasts as well as in probabilistic scores. Moreover, the samples are shown to produce realistic wind scenarios based on sample spectra and space-time correlation structure.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

High-speed particle analysis using forward and backward two-dimensional angular optical scattering

Measurement of two-dimensional angle-resolved optical scattering (TAOS) patterns is an attractive technique for detecting and characterizing micron-sized high-speed flying particles. The elastic-scattering intensity pattern from a single particle as a function of spherical coordinate angles θ and ϕ provides detailed information on the particle’s morphology. By use of an ellipsoidal reflector and a high-speed CCD camera, scattering from a CW-laser was detected and resolved over a large angular range (θ from 12° to 168° and ϕ from 0° to 360°) from spherically shaped particles (e.g., amorphous silica and borosilicate glass) flowing through the reflector’s focal plane at speeds of 20 to 30 m/s. The scattering pattern from individual particles flying through the focal plane of the ellipsoid mirror provides insights about a particle’s size, clustering, roughness, and velocity.

Optics and optical instruments↗

LIDAR Wind Speed Measurements of Evolving Wind Fields

Light Detection and Ranging (LIDAR) systems are able to measure the speed of incoming wind before it interacts with a wind turbine rotor. These preview wind measurements can be used in feedforward control systems that are designed to reduce turbine loads. However, the degree to which such preview-based control techniques can reduce loads by reacting to turbulence depends on how accurately the incoming wind field can be measured. Past studies have assumed the validity of physicist G.I. Taylor’s 1938 frozen turbulence hypothesis, which implies that turbulence remains unchanged as it advects downwind at the mean wind speed. With Taylor’s hypothesis applied, the only source of wind speed measurement error is distortion caused by the LIDAR. This study introduces wind evolution, characterized by the longitudinal coherence of the wind, to LIDAR measurement simulations using the National Renewable Energy Laboratory’s (NREL’s) 5-megawatt turbine model to create a more realistic measurement model. A simple model of wind evolution was applied to a frozen wind field that was used in previous studies to investigate the effects of varying the intensity of wind evolution. LIDAR measurements were also evaluated using a large eddy simulation (LES) of a stable boundary layer that was provided by the National Center for Atmospheric Research.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Explosive Products EOS: Adjustment for detonation speed and energy release

Propagating detonation waves exhibit a curvature effect in which the detonation speed decreases with increasing front curvature. The curvature effect is due to the width of the wave profile. Numerically, the wave profile depends on resolution. With coarse resolution, the wave width is too large and results in a curvature effect that is too large. Consequently, the detonation speed decreases as the cell size is increased. We propose a modification to the products equation of state (EOS) to compensate for the effect of numerical resolution; i.e., to increase the CJ pressure in order that a simulation propagates a detonation wave with a speed that is on average correct. The EOS modification also adjusts the release isentrope to correct the energy release.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Modeling and Simulating Dislocation Dynamics Near Sound Speeds in Cubic Crystals

The motion of crystal dislocations near sound speeds is investigated using atomic-scale molecular dynamics (MD) simulations and continuum equations of motion. A material’s deformation rate is influenced by whether dislocations can propagate in the high-velocity high-stress regime. In the femto-second resolved MD simulations, a shear stress is applied to a pair of partial edge dislocations in copper at T = 25 K, and the pair’s average position is tracked with time. Analysis for the steady-state motion reveals that the dislocations can move faster than at least two transverse sound speeds depending on the applied stress. On the modeling side, the dislocation glide equations govern the evolution of the local displacement field according to material elastic constants. A second-order accurate finite difference scheme is applied to solve the screw dislocation equation in the continuum limit for aluminum. This method proved difficult to implement due to numerical instabilities surrounding the dislocation core, so alternative solving schemes may be needed. Combining an external acceleration with the equation of motion should reveal whether the strain energy density remains finite at transonic and supersonic glide speeds.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Radiation-Hardened, High-Speed Parallel VCSEL Links for High-Energy Physics

Vega Wave Systems, Inc. has been awarded a Small Business Innovative Research (SBIR) Phase II proposal to the U.S. Department of Energy entitled “Radiation-Hardened, High-Speed Parallel VCSEL Links For High-Energy Physics.” The technology proposed under this program is a significant advance (up to 4x) in data rate over current optical link technologies under development. Fermilab supports the technology developed under this proposal as a radiation-hardened, cost-effective solution for optical links for the high-speed data communications in High-Energy Physics and agrees to provide consulting and test engineering in support of this program. Fermilab staff will provide consulting services along with high speed testing of modules before and after radiation testing.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Performance testing of the iX Cameras iSpeed 727 high-speed camera

This work evaluated the iX Cameras iSpeed 727, a commercial CMOS-based continuous- recording high-speed camera. Various parameters of importance in the scheme of accurate time-resolved measurements and photonic quantification have been measured under controlled conditions on the bench, using state-of-the-art instrumentation. We will detail the procedures and results of the tests laid out to measure sensor sensitivity, linearity, signal-to-noise ratio and image lag. We also looked into the electronic shutter performance and accuracy, as exposure time is of particular interest to high-speed imaging. The results of the tests show that this camera matches or exceeds the performance of competing units in most aspects, but that, as is the case for other high-speed camera systems, corrections are necessary to make full use of the image data from a quantitative perspective.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Pushing the Limits of High-speed X-ray Tomography to See the Unknown

First-of-their kind datasets from a high-speed X-ray tomography system were collected, and a novel numerical effort utilizing temporal information to reduce measurement uncertainty was shown. The experimental campaign used three high-speed X-ray imaging systems to collect data at 100 kHz of a scene containing high-velocity objects. The scene was a group of known objects propelled by a 12-gauge shotgun shell reaching speeds of hundreds of meters per second. These data represent a known volume where the individual components are known, with experimental uncertainties that can be used for reconstruction algorithm validation. The numerical effort used synthetic volumes in MATLAB to produce projections along known lines of sight to perform tomographic reconstructions. These projections and reconstructions were performed on a single object at two orientations, representing two timesteps, to increase the reconstruction accuracy.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

High-Speed Diagnostic and Simulation Capabilities for Reacting Hypersonic Reentry Flows (LDRD Final Report)

High-enthalpy hypersonic flight represents an application space of significant concern within the current national-security landscape. The hypersonic environment is characterized by high-speed compressible fluid mechanics and complex reacting flow physics, which may present both thermal and chemical nonequilibrium effects. We report on the results of a three-year LDRD effort, funded by the Engineering Sciences Research Foundation (ESRF) investment area, which has been focused on the development and deployment of new high-speed thermochemical diagnostics capabilities for measurements in the high-enthalpy hypersonic environment posed by Sandia's free-piston shock tunnel. The project has additionally sponsored model development efforts, which have added thermal nonequilibrium modeling capabilities to Sandia codes for subsequent design of many of our shock-tunnel experiments. We have cultivated high-speed, chemically specific, laser-diagnostic approaches that are uniquely co-located with Sandia's high-enthalpy hypersonic test facilities. These tools include picosecond and nanosecond coherent anti-Stokes Raman scattering at 100-kHz rates for time-resolved thermometry, including thermal nonequilibrium conditions, and 100-kHz planar laser-induced fluorescence of nitric oxide for chemically specific imaging and velocimetry. Key results from this LDRD project have been documented in a number of journal submissions and conference proceedings, which are cited here. The body of this report is, therefore, concise and summarizes the key results of the project. The reader is directed toward these reference materials and appendices for more detailed discussions of the project results and findings.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Simulated wind speed and initial conditions over the WFIP2 region: Cold-front (D01)

The purpose of this work is to assess the sensitivity of the forecast for turbine height wind speed to initial condition (IC) uncertainties over the Columbia River Gorge and Columbia River Basin for two typical weather phenomena: a local thermal gradient induced by a marine air intrusion and passage of a cold front. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model data assimilation system (WRFDA) was used to generate ensemble ICs from the North American Regional Analysis (NARR) for the WRF model initialization. The simulated turbine-height wind speeds were categorized into four types using the self-organizing map (SOM) technique. This work advances understanding of IC uncertainties impacts on wind speed forecasts and locates the high-impact regions.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Simulated wind speed and initial conditions over the WFIP2 region: Cold-front (D02)

The purpose of this work is to assess the sensitivity of the forecast for turbine height wind speed to initial condition (IC) uncertainties over the Columbia River Gorge and Columbia River Basin for two typical weather phenomena: a local thermal gradient induced by a marine air intrusion and passage of a cold front. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model data assimilation system (WRFDA) was used to generate ensemble ICs from the North American Regional Analysis (NARR) for the WRF model initialization. The simulated turbine-height wind speeds were categorized into four types using the self-organizing map (SOM) technique. This work advances understanding of IC uncertainties impacts on wind speed forecasts and locates the high-impact regions.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Simulated wind speed and initial conditions over the WFIP2 region: Sea-breeze (D01)

The purpose of this work is to assess the sensitivity of the forecast for turbine height wind speed to initial condition (IC) uncertainties over the Columbia River Gorge and Columbia River Basin for two typical weather phenomena: a local thermal gradient induced by a marine air intrusion and passage of a cold front. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model data assimilation system (WRFDA) was used to generate ensemble ICs from the North American Regional Analysis (NARR) for the WRF model initialization. The simulated turbine-height wind speeds were categorized into four types using the self-organizing map (SOM) technique. This work advances understanding of IC uncertainties impacts on wind speed forecasts and locates the high-impact regions.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Simulated wind speed and initial conditions over the WFIP2 region: Sea-breeze (D02)

The purpose of this work is to assess the sensitivity of the forecast for turbine height wind speed to initial condition (IC) uncertainties over the Columbia River Gorge and Columbia River Basin for two typical weather phenomena: a local thermal gradient induced by a marine air intrusion and passage of a cold front. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model data assimilation system (WRFDA) was used to generate ensemble ICs from the North American Regional Analysis (NARR) for the WRF model initialization. The simulated turbine-height wind speeds were categorized into four types using the self-organizing map (SOM) technique. This work advances understanding of IC uncertainties impacts on wind speed forecasts and locates the high-impact regions.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Closed-form solutions towards real-time energy-optimal and collision-free speed planning with limited information

Under real-world driving conditions, available information is limited due to communication range, and connected and automated vehicles (CAVs) must plan and follow energy-optimal and collision-free speed trajectory with a high updating rate. To this end, this paper presents a holistic design of a speed planning algorithm using analytical closed-form optimal solutions. Using the simplest vehicle model, we derive closed-form solutions as a function of boundary conditions, and summarize them without and with state constraints imposed by speed limits and vehicle in front. Then, we introduce multiple modes (e.g., eco-approach to traffic signal) to properly respond dynamically changing situations, and present how to set boundary conditions for each mode, while guaranteeing nature of globally optimal solutions. Finally, we perform a large-scale simulation study to identify and quantify the energy impacts of CAVs for real-world driving routes. A simple but effective algorithm based on closed-form solutions shows a significant energy saving potential in comparison with human-driven vehicle and adaptive cruise controlled vehicle with connectivity.

Han, Jihun↗

Photon (Non)Conservation in the Reduced Speed of Light Approximation and How to (Almost) Fix It

The "Reduced Speed of Light" (RSL) approximation is commonly used to speed up radiative transfer calculations in cosmological simulations. However, it has been shown previously that the RSL approximation leads to photon non-conservation when the radiation field is rapidly evolving in time. I show that these missing photons can be counted exactly for some numerical schemes. Adding them back into a simulation, however, is a much harder task. I show one example of such a scheme, which achieves sub-percent accuracy on simple tests. Unfortunately, the scheme performs much worse on semi-realistic simulations of cosmic reionization, leading to a faster overlap and significant errors in the point-wise comparison of the RSL radiation field with the reference simulation that maintains the full speed of light for the radiative transfer.

Gnedin, Nickolay Y. [Fermilab; Chicago U., KICP; C↗

Pore-Scale Dynamics of Liquid CO2–Water Displacement in 2D Axisymmetric Porous Micromodels Under Strong Drainage and Weak Imbibition Conditions: High-Speed μPIV Measurements

Resolving pore-scale transient flow dynamics is crucial to understanding the physics underlying multiphase flow in porous media and informing large-scale predictive models. Surface properties of the porous matrix play an important role in controlling such physics, yet interfacial mechanisms remain poorly understood, in part due to a lack of direct observations. This study reports on an experimental investigation of the pore-scale flow dynamics of liquid CO 2 and water in two-dimensional (2D) circular porous micromodels with different surface characteristics employing high-speed microscopic particle image velocimetry (μPIV). The design of the micromodel minimized side boundary effects due to the limited size of the domain. The high-speed μPIV technique resolved the spatial and temporal dynamics of multiphase flow of CO 2 and water under reservoir-relevant conditions, for both drainage and imbibition scenarios. When CO 2 displaced water in a hydrophilic micromodel (i.e., drainage), unstable capillary fingering occurred and the pore flow was dominated by successive pore-scale burst events (i.e., Haines jumps). When the same experiment was repeated in a nearly neutral wetting micromodel (i.e., weak imbibition), flow instability and fluctuations were virtually eliminated, leading to a more compact displacement pattern. Energy balance analysis indicates that the conversion efficiency between surface energy and external work is less than 30%, and that kinetic energy is a disproportionately smaller contributor to the energy budget. This is true even during a Haines jump event, which induces velocities typically two orders of magnitude higher than the bulk velocity. These novel measurements further enabled direct observations of the meniscus displacement, revealing a significant alteration of the pore filling mechanisms during drainage and imbibition. While the former typically featured burst events, which often occur only at one of the several throats connecting a pore, the latter is typically dominated by a cooperative filling mechanism involving simultaneous invasion of a pore from multiple throats. This cooperative filling mechanism leads to merging of two interfaces and releases surface energy, causing instantaneous high-speed events that are similar, yet fundamentally different from, burst events. Finally, pore-scale velocity fields were statistically analyzed to provide a quantitative measure of the role of capillary effects in these pore flows.

Li, Yaofa↗

Fabricating Silver Nanowire–IZO Composite Transparent Conducting Electrodes at Roll-to-Roll Speed for Perovskite Solar Cells

This study addresses the challenges of efficient, large-scale production of flexible transparent conducting electrodes (TCEs). We fabricate TCEs on polyethylene terephthalate (PET) substrates using a high-speed roll-to-roll (R2R) compatible method that combines gravure printing and photonic curing. The hybrid TCEs consist of Ag metal bus lines (Ag MBLs) coated with silver nanowires (AgNWs) and indium zinc oxide (IZO) layers. All materials are solutions deposited at speeds exceeding 10 m/min using gravure printing. We conduct a systematic study to optimize coating parameters and tune solvent composition to achieve a uniform AgNW network. The entire stack undergoes photonic curing, a low-energy annealing method that can be completed at high speeds and will not damage the plastic substrates. The resulting hybrid TCEs exhibit a transmittance of 92% averaged from 400 nm to 1100 nm and a sheet resistance of 11 Ω/sq. Mechanical durability is tested by bending the hybrid TCEs to a strain of 1% for 2000 cycles. The results show a minimal increase (<5%) in resistance. The high-throughput potential is established by showing that each hybrid TCE fabrication step can be completed at 30 m/min. We further fabricate methylammonium lead iodide solar cells to demonstrate the practical use of these TCEs, achieving an average power conversion efficiency (PCE) of 13%. The high-performance hybrid TCEs produced using R2R-compatible processes show potential as a viable choice for replacing vacuum-deposited indium tin oxide films on PET.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗