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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 847 records · Page 47

AIRNOISEUAM: An Urban Air Mobility Noise-Exposure Prediction Tool

A new software tool called AIRNOISEUAM is introduced that models the noise exposure of Urban Air Mobility (UAM) operations. Given relevant UAM aircraft performance models, mission profiles, and Noise-Power-Distance data, AIRNOISEUAM predicts the noise exposure footprint for receptors on the ground. The performance of AIRNOISEUAM using a Robinson R66 helicopter model and a six-passenger quadrotor model, and a diverse set of scenarios from NASA’s UAM human-in-the-loop simulations is compared to that of the industry-standard tool with the same inputs. The predicted noise exposure results from both tools are found to be nearly identical. AIRNOISEUAM offers a fast-time, flexible interface and modular design to facilitate the dynamic requirements of the aviation research community.

Urban Air Mobility↗

ChIMES: A Machine-Learned Interatomic Model Targeting Improved Description of Condensed Phase Chemistry in Energetic Materials

In this report we detail completion of a Physics and Engineering Model Level Two Milestone targeting improved reactive interatomic potentials (IAPs) for energetic materials (EM) through machine learning. The specific goals of this milestone were to develop, validate, and document a new reactive molecular dynamics method for EM, based on machine learning by (1) generating databases of first-principles-derived forces, stresses, and energies for HN3 and 3,4-bis(3-nitrofurazan- 4-yl)furoxan (DNTF) (2) generate atomistic force fields from these databases via ML, and (3) benchmark model performance against first principles calculations. These goals were achieved by (1) further developing a machine learned reactive IAP and generation approach (i.e. the Chebyshev Interaction Model for Efficient Simulation or “ChIMES”), for which resulting IAPs can approach the predictive power of quantum-mechanical approaches at a fraction of the computational expense, and (2) applying the ChIMES framework to develop models for HN3 and DNTF. We find that for simple energetic materials like HN3, high accuracy ChIMES models can be obtained through application of a fitting approach that does not use active machine learning. We demonstrate the suitability of ChIMES models for simulations involving EM by using the HN3 model in multiscale shock technique simulations to predict the HN3 Chapman-Jouguet detonation state and investigate chemical evolution out to 1 ns following shock compression. This model is then used in larger direct shock (DS) simulations for a preliminary investigation of how bubbles (i.e. voids) influence material response under shock compression. We find that more complex EM (i.e. DNTF) necessitate a more sophisticated fitting approach, and develop a new active learning method and python tool to meet this challenge. We demonstrate that this fitting approach yields ChIMES models that out-perform commonly used standard reactive IAPs as well as semi-empirical quantum methods, and discuss the systematic improvability of these actively learned ChIMES models. We also describe challenges related to model development for EM such as DNTF, for which few experimental or previous simulation data are available (e.g. which could otherwise inform generation of training data). To overcome this issue, we establish a semi-empirical quantum ChIMES capability which can be used to efficiently map out relevant thermodynamic and configurational space, and generate ChIMES-IAP training data in a multiscale manner. We also show that these semi-empirical quantum ChIMES models can be used to generate predictions for the shock Hugoniot (the Hugoniot is the locus of thermodynamic states found in a shocked material) equation of state, investigate related thermochemistry, and explore carbon condensation following shock compression. This work represents a substantial advance in our atomistic modeling capability for EM that will provide much needed information on the chemistry of detonation for continued development of continuum models based on the Cheetah thermochemical code.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Evaluation of Deep Learning Model Architectures for Point-of-Care Ultrasound Diagnostics

Point-of-care ultrasound imaging is a critical tool for patient triage during trauma for diagnosing injuries and prioritizing limited medical evacuation resources. Specifically, an eFAST exam evaluates if there are free fluids in the chest or abdomen but this is only possible if ultrasound scans can be accurately interpreted, a challenge in the pre-hospital setting. In this effort, we evaluated the use of artificial intelligent eFAST image interpretation models. Widely used deep learning model architectures were evaluated as well as Bayesian models optimized for six different diagnostic models: pneumothorax (i) B- or (ii) M-mode, hemothorax (iii) B- or (iv) M-mode, (v) pelvic or bladder abdominal hemorrhage and (vi) right upper quadrant abdominal hemorrhage. Models were trained using images captured in 27 swine. Using a leave-one-subject-out training approach, the MobileNetV2 and DarkNet53 models surpassed 85% accuracy for each M-mode scan site. The different B-mode models performed worse with accuracies between 68% and 74% except for the pelvic hemorrhage model, which only reached 62% accuracy for all model architectures. These results highlight which eFAST scan sites can be easily automated with image interpretation models, while other scan sites, such as the bladder hemorrhage model, will require more robust model development or data augmentation to improve performance. With these additional improvements, the skill threshold for ultrasound-based triage can be reduced, thus expanding its utility in the pre-hospital setting.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Dynamic domain kinematic modelling for predicting interflow over leaky impeding layers

Traditional Boussinesq or kinematic simulations of interflow (i.e., lateral subsurface flow) assume no leakage through the impeding layer and require a no-flow boundary condition at the ridge top. However, recent analyses of many interflow-producing landscapes indicate that leaky impeding layers are common, that most interflow percolates well before reaching the toe slope, and therefore, the downslope contributing length is shorter than the hillslope length. In watersheds characterised by perched interflow over a low conductivity layer through permeable topsoil, interflow with percolation may be modelled with a kinematic wave model using a mobile upslope boundary condition defining the hillslope portion contributing interflow to valleys. Here, we developed and applied a dynamic interflow model to simulate interflow using a downslope travel distance concept such that only the active contributing length is modelled at any time. The model defines a variable active area based on the depth of the perched layer, the topographic slope and the ratio of the hydraulic conductivity of topsoil to that of the impeding layer. It incorporates a two-layer soil moisture accounting water balance analysis, a pedo-transfer function, and percolation and evaporation routines to predict interflow rates in continuous and event-based scenarios. We tested the modelling concept on two sets of data (2-year dataset of rainfall observations for the continuous simulation and a multi-day irrigation experiment for the event simulation) from a 121-m-long open interflow collection trench on an experimental hillslope at the Savannah River Site, South Carolina. The continuous model simulation partially represented the observed interflow hydrograph and perched water depth in the experimental hillslope with correlation coefficients of 0.85 and 0.35, respectively. Model performance improved significantly at event-scale analysis. The modelling approach realistically represents interflow dynamics in hillslopes with leaky impeding layers and can be integrated into catchment-scale hydrology models for more detailed hillslope process modelling.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Evaluation of AGR-3/4 In-pile Silver Release Predictions Against Post-Irradiation Examination Measurements

Fuel performance modeling codes that accurately predict the transport of radionuclides in high-temperature gas-cooled reactors that utilize tristructural isotopic (TRISO) fuel particles are an important aspect of reactor safety analyses. One objective of the Advanced Gas Reactor (AGR)-3/4 experiment was to assess the transport of fission products through fuel particles and their subsequent release into the compact matrix and structural graphite materials. This was accomplished by irradiating uranium oxycarbide (UCO) driver fuel particles and designed-to-fail (DTF) particles to serve as known sources of fission products. The fission product of particular interest when it comes to such transport is silver (Ag-110 m), as it has a 250-day half-life and has relatively high mobility in the TRISO coating layers. Furthermore, to assess the current modeling capabilities and diffusion parameters employed in the fuel performance codes PARFUME and BISON, the fractional release of silver release predicted by the two codes were compared against post-irradiation examination measurements from the AGR-3/4 experiment.

AGR-3/4 Experiment↗

Machine learning for reactor power monitoring with limited labeled data

Real-time reactor power monitoring is critical for a variety of nuclear applications, spanning safety, security, operations, and maintenance. While machine learning methods have shown promise in monitoring reactor power levels, there is limited research on their efficacy in label-starved environments. The goal of this work is to assess the feasibility of classifying nuclear reactor power level using multisource data in scenarios with limited labels. Data were collected using low-resolution multisensors at four nuclear reactor facilities: two large research reactors and two TRIGA reactors. Within each pair, one reactor dataset served as the source and the other as the target in a transfer learning paradigm. Twenty-three supervised models were trained on labeled sequences of magnetic field and acceleration data from each of the target sites. Self-learning and transfer learning methods were applied to the top performing models to assess their classification performance with increasing amounts of labeled data. While reactor power level classification was achieved with a Matthews Correlation Coefficient of up to 0.739 ± 0.003 and 0.622 ± 0.009 with only 400 sequences per power state for the large research reactor and TRIGA target sites, respectively, self-learning and transfer learning leveraging source site data did not improve target classification performance. These findings suggest that alternative methods, such as higher sensitivity sensors, digital twins, or the use of physics-informed models, are required to enable high-performance classification in machine learning approaches to reactor monitoring with a dearth of target ground truth.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Expanded analysis of machine learning models for nuclear transient identification using TPOT

Industries around the world are becoming more and more data driven. The nuclear field is no exception with several different applications being proposed. One popular area of research is the use of machine learning in transient detection. This paper seeks to build upon a previous study which made use of the AutoML package TPOT to train traditional machine learning models to classify transient events occurring with a reactor. Synthetic data was once again collected using a GPWR reactor simulator. Data on 12 different events was collected using 15 different initial conditions. Here, a dataset consisting of over 100,000 data points was compiled and used to train 7 different machine learning models using a pre-defined TPOT dictionary with 12 different preprocessing techniques. Three of the trained models were able to produce validation results in the 90s with the expanded dataset. Once the models were trained, it was possible to look into where during the simulation, misclassifications occurred. Using these three models, analysis was done to determine if TPOT could be used to train models that were effective if important features were missing. The results from this were positive with the newly trained models scoring close to the original models. Finally, to conclude this study, the three high performing models were retrained using different random states to see if there was any major variation when different states were used.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Turbulence modeling to aid tidal energy resource characterization in the Western Passage, Maine, USA

Numerical models combined with field measurements are regularly used to characterize tidal energy resources at potential energetic sites. However, most existing works only focus on the tidal hydrodynamic characteristics, and turbulence parameters are often not reported because of the lack of high-quality turbulence measurements and the limitations of numerical models in resolving turbulent eddies. In this study, we used FVCOM - a hydrostatic primitive equation (HPE) model - to characterize the tidal energy resource in the Western Passage, Maine, USA, by taking care of the essential macro-scale turbulence properties. We observed an excellent model performance using the Mellor-Yamada Level 2.5 Turbulence Model; estimating the spatial and vertical distribution of the turbulent kinetic energy and intensity added a new perspective to the site ranking for tidal energy converter (TEC) deployments. In addition, we also examined the role of channel geometry and bathymetry, such as headlands and underwater sills, in enhancing turbulent eddies around potential TEC siting locations. Ultimately, the detailed analysis of the turbulent flow characteristics has changed the site-ranking results and demonstrated that the regional-scale HPE models could be used for the relative understanding of more or less turbulent sites for a refined resource assessment.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Mathematical Reconstruction of Land Carbon Models From Their Numerical Output: Computing Soil Radiocarbon From C Dynamics

Radiocarbon ( 14 C) is a powerful tracer of the global carbon cycle that is commonly used to assess carbon cycling rates in various Earth system reservoirs and as a benchmark to assess model performance. Therefore, it has been recommended that Earth System Models (ESMs) participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 report predicted radiocarbon values for relevant carbon pools. However, a detailed representation of radiocarbon dynamics may be an impractical burden on model developers. Here, we present an alternative approach to compute radiocarbon values from the numerical output of an ESM that does not explicitly represent these dynamics. The approach requires computed 12 C stocks and fluxes among all carbon pools for a particular simulation of the model. From this output, a time-dependent linear compartmental system is computed with its respective state-transition matrix. Using transient atmospheric 14 C values as inputs, the state-transition matrix is then applied to compute radiocarbon values for each pool, the average value for the entire system, and component fluxes. We demonstrate the approach with ELMv1-ECA, the land component of an ESM model that explicitly represents 12 C, and 14 C in 7 soil pools and 10 vertical layers. Results from our proposed method are highly accurate (relative error <0.01%) compared with the ELMv1-ECA 12 C and 14 C predictions, demonstrating the potential to use this approach in CMIP6 and other model simulations that do not explicitly represent 14 C.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Semi-Dynamic Leach Testing of Densified Silicon-based Iodine Waste Forms

Iodine waste forms (IWF) require a conceptual corrosion release model (CCRM) to provide iodine (I) release rates for performance modeling nuclear waste disposal repositories. To develop a CCRM, an understanding of the corrosion mechanisms of the IWF are required along with data from consistent test methods to parameterize the model. The present study has advanced both areas by providing and assessing the corrosion resistance of IWF types based on their processing history in minor variations of semi-dynamic leach tests. The test included a series of semi-dynamic leach tests using monolithic IWFs in deionized water (leachant). Several experiments were conducted under alternate test conditions with changes to temperature, leachant replacement, leachant pH, leachant volume, masking, and surface finish to elucidate if varying these conditions impacted IWF corrosion behavior. Tests were conducted on two classes of IWFs: (1) I-bearing silver-mordenite (AgZ) materials processed by hot isostatic pressing (HIP) at different temperatures, pressures, sizes, and times; and (2) I-bearing silver-functionalized silica aerogels (SFA) processed by either HIP or spark plasma sintering (SPS). The corrosion susceptibility of AgZ samples was influenced by HIP temperature and pressure. The SPS SFAs retained I far better than HIP SFAs. Additional findings in this study include: (1) The iodine dissolution rate decreased with decreasing temperature, (2) a common ion effect may occur and slow dissolution of the host phase if the leachant is not regularly replaced, (3) pH controls the dissolution rate, and (4) the iodine dissolution rate slows with extended test time (up to 224 days). Based on this work, these parameters should thus be represented when developing a CCRM.

corrosion↗

Do Machine Learning Approaches Offer Skill Improvement for Short-Term Forecasting of Wind Gust Occurrence and Magnitude?

Abstract Wind gusts, and in particular intense gusts, are societally relevant but extremely challenging to forecast. This study systematically assesses the skill enhancement that can be achieved using artificial neural networks (ANNs) for forecasting of wind gust occurrence and magnitude. Geophysical predictors from the ERA5 reanalysis are used in conjunction with an autoregressive term in regression and ANN models with different predictors, and varying model complexity. Models are derived and assessed for the warm (April–September) and cold (October–March) seasons for three high passenger volume airports in the United States. Model uncertainty is assessed by deriving models for 1000 different randomly selected training (70%) and testing (30%) subsets. Gust prediction fidelity in independent test samples is critically dependent on inclusion of an autoregressive term. Gust occurrence probabilities derived using five-layer ANNs exhibit consistently higher fidelity than those from regression models and shallower ANNs. Inclusion of the autoregressive term and increasing the number of hidden layers in ANNs from 1 to 5 also improve the model performance for gust magnitudes (lower RMSE, increased correlation, and model standard deviations that more closely approximate observed values). Deeper ANNs (e.g., 20 hidden layers) exhibit higher skill in forecasting strong (17–25.7 m s −1 ) and damaging (≥25.7 m s −1 ) wind gusts. However, such deep networks exhibit evidence of overfitting and still substantially underestimate (by 50%) the frequency of strong and damaging wind gusts at the three airports considered herein. Significance Statement Improved short-term forecasting of wind gusts will enhance aviation safety and logistics and may offer other societal benefits. Here we present a rigorous investigation of the relative skill of models of wind gust occurrence and magnitude that employ different statistical methods. It is shown that artificial neural networks (ANNs) offer considerable skill enhancement over regression methods, particularly for strong and damaging wind gusts. For wind gust magnitudes in particular, application of deeper learning networks (e.g., five or more hidden layers) offers tangible improvements in forecast accuracy. However, deeper networks are vulnerable to overfitting and exhibit substantial variability with the specific training and testing data subset used. Also, even deep ANNs reproduce only half of strong and damaging wind gusts. These results indicate the need for future work to elucidate the dynamical mechanisms of intense wind gusts and advance solutions to their prediction.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Earth System Model Improvement Pipeline via Uncertainty Attribution and Active Learning

Primary focal area: 2 (Predictive Modeling via AI): We develop methods to formally quantify uncertainties in Earth System models for the land-atmosphere coupled system. Science Challenge: Earth system models still have significant biases in historical predictions of the intensity and frequency of water cycling extremes (e.g., droughts and flood events), leading to low confidence in future projections. Uncertainties arise from incomplete understanding of land and atmospheric processes, and insufficient observational constraints on model parameters. Many observations, including those from key DOE investments such as ARM and AmeriFlux, are used to evaluate model performance but have not been used to formally quantify model uncertainty because of the expense of running ESM simulations. An efficient pipeline engaging cutting-edge machine learning (ML) and uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods is needed to improve the predictive understanding of water cycle extremes in the Earth system.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

RANS Simulation of Variable Density Turbulent Round Jets with Coflow using xRAGE Hydrodynamic Code and BHR Turbulence Models

This work for the fiscal year 2023 (FY23) is a continuation of previous efforts to evaluate the BHR turbulence models for their ability to accurately simulate variable density turbulent round jets with coflow. As before, RANS simulations are carried out using the xRAGE hydrodynamic code. The following are some of the previous findings. Israel showed that i) the symmetry boundary conditions for the BHR models in axisymmetric simulations were in error, ii) three grids of different resolutions did not lead to converging solutions, and iii) BHR 3.1 simulation exhibited instabilities and did not reach a steady state. Saenz and Rauenzahn derived and implemented into xRAGE the correct BHR boundary conditions at the symmetry axis. Cline conducted sensitivity studies with various parameters including the BHR models (versions 2, 3.1 and 4), gravity, material pressure, specific heat, initial turbulent kinetic energy and initial turbulent length scale, and found that the largest factor impacting on simulation results was the BHR model version, followed by the initial turbulent length scale. In addition, freeze boundary conditions at the exit and the side wall of the computational domain were used to remove anomalous flow behavior. Cline adjusted the inlet jet velocity, initial turbulent kinetic energy and initial turbulent length scale to obtain the best reasonable match with the experimental data of Charonko and Prestridge. It was found that the BHR 2 and 3.1 models performed in a similar manner, but the BHR 2 model produced much lower levels of density-specific-volume covariance and turbulent kinetic energy. The main focus for the FY23 is to study the effects of computational parameters related to the boundary conditions, mesh, domain size and timestep size. The reasoning behind this is that, unless simulation results can be shown to be reasonably independent from the aforementioned computational parameters, it would be difficult to attribute any discrepancies between simulation and experimental results to turbulence models. This important aspect has largely been overlooked in the previous years, and therefore will be studied comprehensively here. Additionally, effects of varying the initial turbulent length scale will be examined because it was previously identified as a major factor affecting the flow fields.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Scalable and Highly-Efficient Microbial Electrochemical Reactor for Hydrogen Generation from Wastes

The overall goal of this project was to develop a scalable and highly efficient hybrid microbial electrochemical reactor for hydrogen recovery from waste streams at a cost of less than $\$$2/kg H₂. The specific objectives were: (1) to design and fabricate a scalable and highly efficient microbial electrochemical cell (MEC) reactor, and (2) to determine the techno-economic feasibility of the system for H₂ generation from organic-rich waste streams. We achieved the first objective by (a) developing low-cost electrode materials, (b) synthesizing a highly efficient cathode catalyst in a scalable manner, (c) evaluating and validating the developed electrode material and catalyst in MEC reactors, and (d) designing and fabricating a larger reactor that incorporates (a) to (c). We met the second objective by (a) identifying the impacts of wastewater composition and operational conditions on H₂ production, and (b) developing a cost-performance model that identified critical parameters affecting the system's performance and cost, providing a pathway for further improvement.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Development of a three dimensional numerical water quality model for continental shelf applications

A model to predict the distribution of water quality parameters in three dimensions was developed. The mass transport equation was solved using a non-dimensional vertical axis and an alternating-direction-implicit finite difference technique. The reaction kinetics of the constituents were incorporated into a matrix method which permits computation of the interactions of multiple constituents. Methods for the computation of dispersion coefficients and coliform bacteria decay rates were determined. Numerical investigations of dispersive and dissipative effects showed that the three-dimensional model performs as predicted by analysis of simpler cases. The model was then applied to a two dimensional vertically averaged tidal dynamics model for the Providence River. It was also extended to a steady state application by replacing the time step with an iteration sequence. This modification was verified by comparison to analytical solutions and applied to a river confluence situation.

Spaulding, M.↗

Progress with variable cycle engines

The evaluation of components of an advanced propulsion system for a future supersonic cruise vehicle is discussed. These components, a high performance duct burner for thrust augmentation and a low jet noise coannular exhaust nozzle, are part of the variable stream control engine. An experimental test program involving both isolated component and complete engine tests was conducted for the high performance, low emissions duct burner with excellent results. Nozzle model tests were completed which substantiate the inherent jet noise benefit associated with the unique velocity profile possible of a coannular exhaust nozzle system on a variable stream control engine. Additional nozzle model performance tests have established high thrust efficiency levels at takeoff and supersonic cruise for this nozzle system. Large scale testing of these two critical components is conducted using an F100 engine as the testbed for simulating the variable stream control engine.

Westmoreland, J. S.↗

A two-component rain model for the prediction of attenuation statistics

A two-component rain model has been developed for calculating attenuation statistics. In contrast to most other attenuation prediction models, the two-component model calculates the occurrence probability for volume cells or debris attenuation events. The model performed significantly better than the International Radio Consultative Committee model when used for predictions on earth-satellite paths. It is expected that the model will have applications in modeling the joint statistics required for space diversity system design, the statistics of interference due to rain scatter at attenuating frequencies, and the duration statistics for attenuation events.

Crane, R. K.↗

Diagnostic studies of the 1987 Antarctic spring vortex

Dynamical fields form the UK Meteorological office global forecast model were used throughout the 1987 Airborne Antarctic Ozone Experiment (AAOE) for flight planning and diagnostic studies. Here, several studies based on the Meteorological Office global analysis (resolution 1.5 degrees lattitude x 1.875 degrees longitude, Lyne et al.) are described. The wind and temperature data derived from the model analysis are compared with observations made from both the DCB and ER-2, and an assessment of the model performance given. Derived quantities such as potential vorticity and model data and discrepancies due to the model data are discussed.

Austin, J.↗