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At least 847 records · Page 47

Release of Evaluated 235 U(n,f) Average Prompt Fission Neutron Multiplicities Including the CGMF Model

This report documents an evaluation of the average prompt fission neutron multiplicity, $\overline{v}_p$, of 235 U from 200 keV to 15 MeV that is a potential release candidate for the upcoming U.S. nuclear data library, ENDF/B-VIII.1. This evaluation had to be re-done from "scratch", as the input to the $\overline{v}_p$ evaluation of the previous library, ENDF/B-VIII.0, was lost. That means that all available experimental data were re-analyzed and uncertainties were re-estimated. Another major difference to ENDF/B-VIII.0 is that this evaluation includes model information from the Hauser-Feshbach fission fragment decay code CGMF, while ENDF/B-VIII.0 is based purely on experimental data. CGMF links several fission quantities with each other; $\overline{v}_p$ is predicted by assumptions made on, e.g., pre-neutron emission yields as a function of mass, the total kinetic energy, or spin and parity of fission fragments. This allows to perform two types of validation for the new 235 U $\overline{v}_p$: On the one hand, one can employ evaluated CGMF parameters obtained from fitting to experimental 235 U $\overline{v}_p$ to predict yields as a function of mass, the average total kinetic energy, or the mean energy of the prompt fission neutron spectrum. These model-predicted values can then be compared to experimental and evaluated data. The model-predicted fission-observable values using evaluated parameters obtained here are reasonably close to experimental data indicating the evaluated 235 U(n,f) $\overline{v}_p$ are physical. On the other hand, one can validate 235 U $\overline{v}_p$ with respect to integral responses such as fast ICSBEP critical assemblies or LLNL pulsed spheres. LLNL pulsed-sphere neutron-leakage spectra are minimally impacted by the new 235 U $\overline{v}_p$ as these experimental data are shape data and the $\overline{v}_p$ would mostly lead to a change in normalization of the data as the spheres are relatively thin (0.7 and 1.5 mean-free path) and, thus, mostly depend on 235 U $\overline{v}_p$ from 12-15 MeV. The change in the predicted effective neutron multiplication factor, k eff , of selected ICSBEP critical assemblies, however, is large compared to values using ENDF/B-VIII.0 and experimental k eff : The average bias is 108 pcm across all studied k eff values versus 12 pcm for ENDF/B-VIII.0. A reasonable performance in simulating keff (mean bias of 14 pcm) can be retained by tweaking 235 U $\overline{v}_p$ from 3-5 MeV, and combining it with a recent 235 U PFNS evaluation that is also a ENDF/B-VIII.1 release candidate.

235U↗

Evaluated 238 U(n,f) Average Prompt Fission Neutron Multiplicities Including the CGMF Model

This report documents an evaluation of the average prompt fission neutron multiplicity, $\overline{v}_p$, of 238 U from 800 keV to MeV. This evaluation had to be re-done from “scratch” as the input to previous $\overline{v}_p$ evaluations, specifically ENDF/B-VIII.0, was not found. That means that all available experimental data were re-analyzed and uncertainties were re-estimated. The new evaluated 238 U $\overline{v}_p$ based on only experimental data differs distinctly from ENDF/B-VIII.0 $\overline{v}_p$ from 2 to 4.5 MeV, and from 6 to 7 MeV, and is otherwise similar. The difference from 2 to 4.5 MeV stems from the fact that ENDF/B-VIII.0 was tweaked in this energy range to data of Frehaut, while two other, equally trustworthy, data sets would indicate an evaluated 238 U $\overline{v}_p$ that is up to 2% higher. Also, second chance fission in ENDF/B-VIII.0 was smoothed over from 6–7 MeV. Another major difference to ENDF/B-VIII.0 is that one of the evaluations presented here includes model information from the Hauser-Feshbach fission fragment decay code CGMF, while ENDF/B-VIII.0 is based purely on experimental data. CGMF links several fission quantities with each other; $\overline{v}_p$ is predicted by assumptions made on, e.g., pre-neutron emission yields as a function of mass, the total kinetic energy, or spin and parity of fission fragments. This allows to validate the new 238 U $\overline{v}_p$ by using CGMF parameters obtained from fitting to experimental 238 U $\overline{v}_p$ to predict yields as a function of mass, the average total kinetic energy, or the mean energy of the prompt fission neutron spectrum. These model-predicted values can then be compared to experimental and evaluated data. The model-predicted fission-observable values using evaluated parameters obtained here are reasonably close to experimental data for some observables, but are farther away from experimental data related to TKE observables. In addition to that, the evaluated 238 U(n,f) $\overline{v}_p$ shows similar deviations from ENDF/B-VIII.0 as for the evaluation with only experimental data. This difference is expected to lead to changes in simulated effective neutron multiplication factor, $k_{eff}$ of ICSBEP critical assemblies that are sensitive to 238 U in the fast range (BigTen, Flattop, Flattop-Pu). These changes in $k_{eff}$ need to be counter-balanced. Chi-Nu PFNS experimental data are expected to be released in the next few months that might lead to the needed changes in the PFNS. Until then, we hold off in benchmarking the new 238 U(n,f) $\overline{v}_p$ as well as submitting it to ENDF/B-VIII.1. Also, new high-precision 238 U $\overline{v}_p$ are expected to be measured by the CEA in the next two years that will shed further light on question on 238 U $\overline{v}_p$ from 2–4.5 and 6–7 MeV.

238U↗

Consistent Evaluation of the Prompt-fission Neutron Spectrum and Multiplicity for n+ 235,238 U and n+ 239 Pu

This report was written to satisfy a FY20 NCSP milestone on 235,238 U and 239 Pu. The milestone requires to “finalize a report assessing our methodology to evaluate prompt-fission neutron spectrum (PFNS) and multiplicity consistently”. More specifically, we study whether the code CGMF can reproduce ENDF/B-VIII.0 evaluated PFNS and average prompt-fission neutron multiplicities, $\bar{v}$, for 235,238 U and 239 Pu using one joint parameter set per isotope. If CGMF is shown to be able to reasonably reproduce ENDF/B-VIII.0 within its model-parameter space, this code could be used for future consistent evaluations of PFNS and $\bar{v}$. To answer this question, we explore here the parameter space of CGMF and its impact on calculated values and whether they are close to evaluated and experimental data. We also list experimental data that would enter a future evaluation and statistics method that could be used to obtain evaluated data and covariances. We conclude that values of $\bar{v}$ calculated by CGMF are reasonably close to ENDF/B-VIII.0 data, while more work on modeling the PFNS is needed (parameter optimization and model improvements) to reliably use it for evaluations.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

Multiple, Compounding Disturbances in a Forest Ecosystem: Fire Increases Susceptibility of Soil Edaphic Properties, Bacterial Community Structure, and Function to Change with Extreme Precipitation Event

The intensity and frequency of ecosystem disturbances are shifting with climate change, and multiple disturbances in close succession have the potential to compound their independent effects and strongly alter ecosystem structure and function. In this paper, we examine the effects of an extreme precipitation event on a montane forest landscape that was previously decimated by wildfire (37 months prior) relative to an unburned site in the same ecosystem. We assessed responses in soil edaphic properties, bacterial community composition and assembly, and soil enzyme activities involved in carbon (C) and nitrogen (N) acquisition. Our research reveals that previously burned landscapes are susceptible to a subsequent extreme precipitation event via significant increases in soil pH where unburned soils are not. Beta- and Delta-proteobacteria associated with early succession increased and shifts were observed in N- vs. C-acquiring extracellular enzymes within burned soils after the extreme precipitation event. Finally, we connected variation in ecological selective pressures on bacterial communities associated with pH change to these differences in microbial mediated soil enzyme activity. Thus, this research demonstrates how multiple, compounding disturbances drive distinct changes relative to systems experiencing a single disturbance and suggests that changes in bacterial community assembly process with disturbance may underlie this response.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Sun's Series via Cyclotomic Multiple Zeta Values

We prove and generalize several recent conjectures of Z.-W. Sun surrounding binomial coefficients and harmonic numbers. We show that Sun's series and their analogs can be represented as cyclotomic multiple zeta values of levels N ϵ {4,8,12,16,24} , namely Goncharov's multiple polylogarithms evaluated at N -th roots of unity.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Continued Kinematic and Photometric Investigations of Hierarchical Solar-type Multiple Star Systems

We observed 15 of the solar-type binaries within 67 pc of the Sun previously observed by the Robo-AO system in the visible, with the PHARO near-infrared camera and the PALM-3000 adaptive optics system on the 5 m Hale telescope. The physical status of the binaries is confirmed through common proper motion and detection of orbital motion. In the process, we detected a new candidate companion to HIP 95309. We also resolved the primary of HIP 110626 into a close binary, making that system a triple. These detections increase the completeness of the multiplicity survey of the solar-type stars within 67 pc of the Sun. Combining our observations of HIP 103455 with archival astrometric measurements and RV measurements, we are able to compute the first orbit of HIP 103455, showing that the binary has a 68 year period. We place the components on a color–magnitude diagram and discuss each multiple system individually.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Spectroscopic Orbits of Subsystems in Multiple Stars. VII

Spectroscopic orbits of main-sequence stars HIP 3150A, 6873B, 11537A, 22531A, 22534B, 31089B, 49336A, 104833C, and 107731A belonging to eight multiple systems are determined from high-resolution spectra taken with CHIRON. Two of those are twins with mass ratios above 0.95. HIP 11537 is a young three-tier quadruple system with inner periods of 22.3 and 1146 days and the outer period of 3 kyr. HIP 22531 (ι Pic) is the brightest star in a hierarchical system with six components. It is a spectroscopic binary with periods of 1.56 days and 2.75 yr, as well as a γ Dor variable with a period of 0.67 day, possibly in a 7:3 resonance with the inner orbit. HIP 22534, also member of this system, is a double-lined binary with a period of 208 days. For HIP 31089, both the spectro-interferometric 32 yr outer orbit and the 213 day orbit of the subsystem are determined. HIP 107731 is a triple system with an inner period of 470 days and a fast spatial motion, likely metal-poor. New orbits contribute to the statistics of hierarchical multiplicity in the solar neighborhood.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Efficient solution of the Euler and Navier-Stokes equations with a vectorized multiple-grid algorithm

A multiple-grid algorithm for use in efficiently obtaining steady solutions to the Euler and Navier-Stokes equations is presented. The convergence of the explicit MacCormack algorithm on a fine grid is accelerated by propagating transients from the domain using a sequence of successively coarser grids. Both the fine and coarse grid schemes are readily vectorizable. The combination of multiple-gridding and vectorization results in substantially reduced computational times for the numerical solution of a wide range of flow problems. Results are presented for subsonic, transonic, and supersonic inviscid flows and for subsonic attached and separated laminar viscous flows. Work reduction factors over a scalar, single-grid algorithm range as high as 76.8.

Navier Stokes simulation↗

Coupling equivalent plate and finite element formulations in multiple-method structural analyses

A coupled multiple-method analysis procedure for use late in conceptual design or early in preliminary design of aircraft structures is described. Using this method, aircraft wing structures are represented with equivalent plate models, and structural details such as engine/pylon structure, landing gear, or a 'stick' model of a fuselage are represented with beam finite element models. These two analysis methods are implemented in an integrated multiple-method formulation that involves the assembly and solution of a combined set of linear equations. The corresponding solution vector contains coefficients of the polynomials that describe the deflection of the wing and also the components of translations and rotations at the joints of the beam members. Two alternative approaches for coupling the methods are investigated; one using transition finite elements and the other using Lagrange multipliers. The coupled formulation is applied to the static analysis and vibration analysis of a conceptual design model of a fighter aircraft. The results from the coupled method are compared with corresponding results from an analysis in which the entire model is composed of finite elements.

VIBRATION ANALYSIS↗

Multiple Instance Regression with Structured Data

This slide presentation reviews the use of multiple instance regression with structured data from multiple and related data sets. It applies the concept to a practical problem, that of estimating crop yield using remote sensed country wide weekly observations.

multiple instance regression↗

Leveraging Interaction History for Intelligent Configuration of Multiple Coordinated Views in Visualization Tools

Visualization tools can take advantage of multiple coordinated views to support analysis of large, multidimensional data sets. Effective design of such views and layouts can be challenging, but understanding users analysis strategies can inform design improvements. We outline an approach for intelligent design configuration of visualization tools with multiple coordinated views, and we discuss a proposed software framework to support the approach. The proposed software framework could capture and learn from user interaction data to automate new compositions of views and widgets. Such a framework could reduce the time needed for meta analysis of the visualization use and lead to more effective visualization design.

infovis↗

Fast-neutron Multiplicity Counter for Passive and Active Measurements of Special Nuclear Material

We developed a fast-neutron multiplicity counter (FNMC) based on organic scintillators (liquid and stilbene). The system is able to detect correlated photon and neutron multiplets emitted by fission reactions. We tested the system both in passive and active operation mode, and present the results of the experiments, both carried out at the Zero Power Physics Reactor of Idaho National Laboratory. The system was operated in coincidence mode (with a gate time of 50 nanoseconds) and two calibration-based approaches were used to estimate the 240Pu effective (240Pueff) and 235U mass of the samples. In passive mode, we assayed two types of plutonium metal plates, i.e. PAHN and PANN, with a 240Pueff mass of 4.7 g and 25.05 g per plate, respectively. The 239Pu mass percentage was 74% for the PAHN and 95% for the PANN series. We measured neutrons emitted in coincidence by several plate assemblies, having an overall 240Pueff mass in the 4.7 g to 500 g range. In active mode, we characterized several uranium samples. We used two AmLi sources (~50000 neutrons emitted per second) to induce fission in the samples. The first six measured samples were certified reference materials (CRM, set 149), having a constant enrichment, i.e. 93.2 wt%, and mass in the range between 0.5 and 4 kg. Additionally, we assayed three CRM-146 samples, with constant total mass of 500 g and an enrichment of 20.1 wt%, 52.8 wt% and 93.2 wt%. In both configurations, the system succeeded in estimating the fissile mass of an unknown sample with a statistical uncertainty lower than 1% (4-minute assay) and 7% (10-minute assay), in passive and active mode, respectively. In passive mode, the statistical uncertainty is lower than the one achieved by standard 3He counters for plutonium metal samples of similar mass. The difference between the estimated and the declared 240Pueff mass, i.e., the bias error, measured by the fast neutron multiplicity counter was consistently lower compared to the bias error of a standard thermal system.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Multiple-objective Reinforcement Learning for Inverse Design and Identification

The aim of inverse chemical design is to develop new molecules with given optimized molecular properties or objectives. Recently, generative deep learning (DL) networks are considered as the state-of-the-art in inverse chemical design and have achieved early success in generating molecular structures with desired properties in the pharmaceutical and material chemistry fields. However, satisfying a large number (> 10 objectives) of molecular objectives is a limitation of current generative models. To improve the model’s ability to handle a large number of molecule design objectives, we developed a Reinforcement Learning (RL) based generative framework to optimize chemical molecule generation. Our use of Curriculum Learning (CL) to fine-tune the pre-trained generative network allowed the model to satisfy up to 21 objectives and increase the generative network’s robustness. The experiments show that the proposed multiple-objective RL-based generative model can correctly identify unknown molecules with an 83% to 100% success rate, compared to the baseline approach of 0%. Additionally, this proposed generative model is not limited to just chemistry research challenges; we anticipate that problems that utilize RL with multiple objectives will benefit from this framework.

reinforcement learning, generative model, inverse ↗

PRINTED, PLANAR MICROWAVE CONNECTOR WITH MULTIPLE SIGNAL LINES

Microwave connectors with a planar geometry have been demonstrated using additive manufacturing techniques. This planar form factor is expected to enable connectors to be integrated directly with other components onto a printed circuit board. The connectors were developed with multiple signal lines that will increase the density of signal connections to PCBs, eliminating the physical constraints of single-signal COTS microwave connectors. This work developed electromagnetic models (using Ansys HFSS) of these planar connectors to predict performance and optimize connector design. Materials and printing processes were developed to fabricate the connectors based on high-temperature PEEK thermoplastics. The multiple signal connectors were designed to operate over the 1-6GHz band and are built upon the single signal printed planar geometry connector introduced in a previous paper [1].

Additive Manufacturing↗

Using the MCNP6.2 Correlated Fission Multiplicity Models, CGMF and FREYA

The culmination of a multi-year, collaborative effort by researchers at Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL), Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) and the University of Michigan, led to the delivery of two new correlated fission multiplicity models available within the latest release of MCNP{sup R} version 6.2. The needs within the nuclear nonproliferation community, particularly in simulating and predicting the neutron and gamma-ray signatures of special nuclear materials (SNM), provided the motivation for this major collaborative effort. From LANL, the CGMF code has been implemented as an upgrade to the original Cascading Gamma-ray Multiplicity (CGM) code. Additionally, the LLNL Fission Library has been upgraded from the original implementation released in prior versions of MCNP6/X to include the LBNL/LLNL Fission Reaction Event Yield Algorithm (FREYA) code. Both new codes are capable of simulating fission events with correlated neutron and gamma-ray emissions. Due to the release of these new models within MCNP6.2, the purpose of this paper is to describe the differences between these new models and existing capabilities, demonstrate their use in the context of simulation inputs and outputs, and to discuss some of the ongoing work directed toward the next generation of these features.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Flattening of fuel importance for heterogeneous system to estimate maximal multiplication factor - 14595

In order to quantify risks of re-criticality incidents associated with loss of coolant accidents (LOCA), the maximum reactivity insertion by relocation of damaged fuel should be quantified. As the first step for the quantification, an automated search scheme is studied for an optimal geometry of damaged fuel in the coolant channel where the neutron multiplication factor k{sub eff} takes a maximal value. The scheme is based on the flattening of the fuel importance. The importance can be recognized as the substitution reactivity from fuel to water in heterogeneous systems. The flattening is achieved by substitution of water and the fuel so as to raise the k{sub eff} referring the local substitution reactivities. To calculate the reactivities efficiently, the first order perturbation scheme is adopted. In the scheme, the adjoint flux is calculated with the PARTISN code. The multi group constants used for the calculation and the perturbed reaction rates are estimated with the continuous energy Monte Carlo code MCNP-5. The proposed methods are tested for a quarter pin cell model that is constructed using Cartesian mesh. From a random distribution of a given amount of fragmented fuel, an optimal geometry is found where the fragmented fuels are aggregated. The multiplication factor in the geometry is greater than that in the original random distribution by 1.4%Δk/k. That indicates the significance of this study. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Validation of sea ice models using an uncertainty-based distance metric for multiple model variables: NEW METRIC FOR SEA ICE MODEL VALIDATION

Here, we implement a variance-based distance metric (D n ) to objectively assess skill of sea ice models when multiple output variables or uncertainties in both model predictions and observations need to be considered. The metric compares observations and model data pairs on common spatial and temporal grids improving upon highly aggregated metrics (e.g., total sea ice extent or volume) by capturing the spatial character of model skill. The D n metric is a gamma-distributed statistic that is more general than the χ 2 statistic commonly used to assess model fit, which requires the assumption that the model is unbiased and can only incorporate observational error in the analysis. The D n statistic does not assume that the model is unbiased, and allows the incorporation of multiple observational data sets for the same variable and simultaneously for different variables, along with different types of variances that can characterize uncertainties in both observations and the model. This approach represents a step to establish a systematic framework for probabilistic validation of sea ice models. The methodology is also useful for model tuning by using the D n metric as a cost function and incorporating model parametric uncertainty as part of a scheme to optimize model functionality. We apply this approach to evaluate different configurations of the standalone Los Alamos sea ice model (CICE) encompassing the parametric uncertainty in the model, and to find new sets of model configurations that produce better agreement than previous configurations between model and observational estimates of sea ice concentration and thickness.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Optimizing multiple reliable forward contracts for reservoir allocation using multitime scale streamflow forecasts

Streamflow forecasts at multiple time scales provide a new opportunity for reservoir management to address competing objectives. Market instruments such as forward contracts with specified reliability are considered as a tool that may help address the perceived risk associated with the use of such forecasts in lieu of traditional operation and allocation strategies. A water allocation process that enables multiple contracts for water supply and hydropower production with different durations, while maintaining a prescribed level of flood risk reduction, is presented. The allocation process is supported by an optimization model that considers multitime scale ensemble forecasts of monthly streamflow and flood volume over the upcoming season and year, the desired reliability and pricing of proposed contracts for hydropower and water supply. It solves for the size of contracts at each reliability level that can be allocated for each future period, while meeting target end of period reservoir storage with a prescribed reliability. The contracts may be insurable, given that their reliability is verified through retrospective modeling. The process can allow reservoir operators to overcome their concerns as to the appropriate skill of probabilistic forecasts, while providing water users with short–term and long–term guarantees as to how much water or energy they may be allocated. An application of the optimization model to the Bhakra Dam, India, provides an illustration of the process. In conclusion, the issues of forecast skill and contract performance are examined. A field engagement of the idea is useful to develop a real–world perspective and needs a suitable institutional environment.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗