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NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Analog Environments for Venus Aerosol Instrument and Mission Concept Testing

The most common hypothesis discussed for life on Venus is a habitat in the dense, persistent clouds, which are primarily sulfuric acid with a secondary water component. Although Earth lacks a complete Venus analog environment, several partial analogs exist which can inform our understanding of the requirements for cloud habitability as well as serving as potential testbeds for future Venus instruments or missions. Earth’s tropospheric clouds have larger particles, more water, and shorter lifetimes than Venus’s; however, they have a partial overlap in pressure and temperature, and are our only example of an airborne habitat.They can inform how particle residence time and microbial generation time constrain habitable atmospheric regions. On the biological side, this includes available nutrients and energy, environmental stressors such as radiation, osmotic potential and acidity, and time spent in protective but inactive forms (endospores, cysts, akinetes); on the physical side, gravity, air density and viscosity, thermal lofting, gravity waves, scavenging due to precipitation, and other airflow dynamics, as well as effective particle radius and electrical charge. They can also enable sampling strategy tests for airborne life detection, ranging from10 2 to10 8 viable cells/mL (10 -3 to 10 -9 cells/particle). Conversely, Earth's stratospheric sulfate layer lacks an active microbial presence, and is at a colder and less dense altitude but has partially analogous values in terms of H2SO4 and water concentration, particle size, and number density. These aerosols are accessible to aircraft and high-altitude balloons. Even more accessible potential analogs include sea spray, which overlaps with the smaller (haze) particle sizes and densities at Venus and contains trace organic constituents; marine fog, which at higher densities can match Venus’s larger (Mode 2) particle properties and contains a range of trace compounds including ammonia, phosphates, sulfates, and nitrates; and spray from acidic hydrothermal systems, which can cover a wide variety of sizes, densities, and chemical compositions. These analogs could improve the development of Venus cloud sampling instruments or sondes, including field tests of material compatibility, particle capture efficiency, and analysis sensitivity.

Analog↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Developing the CRTM Active Sensor Module

Active sensors provide vertically resolved atmospheric and cloud information, however the assimilation of such observations into NWP models has been limited for several reasons including lack of reliable forward model. We present the development of CRTM active sensor module including its adjoint and tangent linear by taking advantage of current CRTM modules for calculating atmospheric transmittance and cloud absorption and scattering. Current CRTM cloud coefficients lack cloud backscattering information, thus we have implemented a new cloud scattering database generated using the discrete dipole technique that include backscattering coefficients. The radar simulator is currently being tested within the JEDI/GEOS data assimilation framework to facilitate the assimilation of radar measurements such as CloudSat CPR and GPM DPR into the NASA GEOS model.

CRTM↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

High Resolution Imaging and Analysis of Terrestrial Impact Glass: Amorphous Materials, Phyllosilicates and Everything in Between

Introduction: Impact cratering is one of the most ubiquitous geologic processes shaping the surface of all solid bodies in our solar system. Impacts are also a major source of clay minerals, poorly crystalline clay-like phases and amorphous (i.e., lacking long-range atomic order) materials on Earth and Mars. Phyllosilicates and amorphous materials have consistently formed a major component (~20-70 wt%) of every single drilled rock and soil sample in Gale Crater on Mars, as determined by the CheMin instrument on Curiosity. The origin of the amorphous component is speculative, but could be primary impact or volcanic-produced glass(es) deposited via aeolian or fluvial processes, secondary aqueous alteration products or chemical precipitates; it is likely to be a combination of all three possibilities. Efforts to determine the composition of these materials across the rover’s traverse through Gale Crater are ongoing. Naturally occurring amorphous phases are found in a variety of environments on Earth, and terrestrial analogue studies may help shed light on how they may have formed on Mars. Primary and altered impact glass are likely widespread on Mars and may have contributed to the amorphous component found throughout Gale Crater. In its pristine, unaltered state, impact glass (i.e., melt glass) is considered amorphous. However, truly unaltered glass is rarely preserved in crater fill impactites as it quickly alters in the post-impact environ-ment, commonly forming a mixture of hydrated aluminosilicate phases whose structures are not always discernable at the microscale (i.e., they may be amorphous or contain short-range order). These phases are part of an incredibly complex group of materials; differences in their composition and crystalline structure (or lack thereof) and genetic relationship to the more well-crystalline clay minerals are often only discernable at the nanoscale, beyond the resolution of traditional X-ray diffractometers (XRD) and scanning electron microscopes/microprobes (SEM/EPMA) alone. In this contribution, we summarize recent results from ongoing characterization of clay minerals, poorly crystalline clay-like phases, and amorphous materials preserved in altered terrestrial impact glass from the Chicxulub (~66 Ma) and Ries (~15 Ma) impact structures. This work has been performed using a combination of high-resolution transmission electron microscopy (HR-TEM), SEM, microprobe/EPMA, Raman spectroscopy and XRD.

Impact crater↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Potential Discovery of Amphibole in Miller Range (MIL) 090292 via Raman Spectroscopy

Ungrouped carbonaceous chondrites have the potential to provide insights into processes on their parent bodies that may not be accessible through studying established groups. Miller Range (MIL) 090292 is an extensively aqueously altered ungrouped carbonaceous chondrite, which provides the potential to reveal new information about alteration processes on carbonaceous chondrite-like asteroids. The meteorite MIL090292 was initially classified as a CR1 chondrite. It experienced heavy aqueous alteration and, texturally, the meteorite is highly brecciated. MIL 090292 was reclassified as a C1 ungrouped chondrite after it was found that the Δ17O values of its magnetite grains do not plot along the CR mixing line. Furthermore, there is a lack of calcium carbonate grains in the sample, which are common in aqueously altered CRs –calcium is found in andradite and hedenbergite (which are not found in CRs) and phosphates. However, beyond this basic mineralogical information, there is a lack of knowledge about the petrogenetic history of the meteorite or its parent body.

Meteorite↗
NASA NTRS2022

Chapter 10 - Remote Sensing Measurements of Aerosol Properties

Satellite instruments have proven especially capable at monitoring the quantity of airborne particles in columns of atmosphere, globally. This chapter describes the principles of satellite measurements and retrieval algorithms, and surveys current instruments and their capabilities. We outline the issues associated with retrieval algorithms, such as surface characterization and aerosol proximity to clouds, and the challenges with interpretation of the results. The relationship between measured aerosol properties and climate-relevant aerosol properties simulated in models is outlined, as well as how measurements are used to evaluate models. Most space-based aerosol instruments are passive sensors that measure reflected sunlight at multiple wavelengths, some at multiple viewing angles. A few are active sensors that send out their own laser light and measure the returned signal. Except when clouds are present, the excess amount of light scattered back to space, beyond that expected from the surface and atmospheric gas, is attributed to aerosol. Satellite measurements are used in many ways in aerosol research. They often provide the only method for monitoring hazardous phenomena such as major wildfire and volcanic eruption plumes, especially in remote areas. Stable, long-term, near-global-scale satellite data records make it possible to identify regional and global aerosol trends. Aerosol radiative effects on climate can be quantified on a near-global scale and used to estimate the strength of aerosol–radiation and aerosol–cloud interactions as well as to evaluate climate model simulations of these interactions. Aerosol-type mapping from satellite imagery is helpful for source attribution, model validation, and to constrain particle light-absorption properties that are essential for radiative forcing calculations. The range of aerosol properties retrieved from satellite observations has grown considerably since the first global estimates of aerosol optical depth (τ a) over ocean were made in the late 1970s. Methods for retrieving particle size and light-absorption properties were explored in the 1990s using multispectral, multi-angle observations, and polarization in visible and near-infrared wavelengths. Sensitivity to particle light absorption, primarily from black or brown carbon content, improved with the inclusion of UV channels, and sensitivity to very thin aerosol layers in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere was advanced with the use of limb-sounding instruments and active sensors. There are limitations to every measurement technique, including satellite aerosol remote sensing. For wide-swath, passive instruments, aerosol retrievals near clouds can present substantial challenges as far as 15 km away due to cloud-scattered light contaminating the signal. In nearly all cases, retrievals over bright snow and ice surfaces are precluded because surface reflectance uncertainties can overwhelm the aerosol signal. Similarly, meteorological cloud is identified and masked out where possible. Data from passive sensors also lack vertical resolution except those that view toward the limb or where multi-angle imagery is acquired over plumes from wildfires, erupting volcanoes, and wind-blown dust. Yet, passive sensors provide vastly more coverage than the active instruments that mitigate these issues. Particle microphysical information is qualitative from all remote sensing techniques, relying on proxies to infer particle composition, hygroscopicity, and the amount of light-absorbing material. Further, particles smaller than about 200 nm diameter cannot be distinguished from atmospheric gas molecules with remote sensing, which hinders studies of cloud condensation nuclei and their effects on clouds. Most satellite instruments dedicated to aerosol observations are in low-Earth, near-polar, sun-synchronous orbits, which means they cross the equator at the same local time each day. Most are set on cycles that repeat approximately every 16 days, which makes it difficult to monitor aerosol evolution locally. Geostationary satellites make it possible to observe changes occurring from minutes to hours over regions up to 8000 km in size, but lack coverage of high latitudes, and often provide more limited constraints on aerosol properties. Ground-truth data are vital for satellite aerosol-retrieval validation. The AErosol RObotic NETwork (AERONET) of sun photometers was created in 1993 and has become an established global network of over 350 instruments for validating satellite measurements. The network, as well as global networks of ground-based lidars, solar flux radiometers and other sun photometers, are widely used for evaluating global satellite retrievals and model simulations. NASA's Earth Observing System (EOS) program beginning in 1999 led to improvements in reliability, spatial resolution, and spectral resolution (and hence, to improved particle size discrimination and light absorption properties). Satellite payloads include advanced broad-swath and multi-angle imagers, along with the first space-based active sensor focused largely on long-term aerosol monitoring. Since about 2002, Europe's SENTINEL and operational meteorological satellite fleets are also providing sustained aerosol observations, with planned continuation until at least 2030. Satellite remote sensing instruments offer valuable data for evaluating aerosol representations in global climate models. They have been used to assess aerosol optical and physical properties, trends and distributions, and are applied increasingly as direct model constraints in data assimilation to create global aerosol reanalysis products. Aerosol optical depth is the most common quantity adopted for routine model evaluation, including multiwavelength data to loosely constrain particle-size distributions. These evaluations of multiple models have revealed general biases in their regional aerosol amounts and seasonal patterns of transport and removal. Although satellite measurements have near-global coverage, substantial errors can be introduced into the model observation comparison unless attention is paid to spatial and temporal collocation, cloud screening, subgrid-scale variability, and measurement uncertainties that vary with retrieval conditions.

aerosol properties↗
NASA NTRS2023

Testing Cosmic Microwave Background Anomalies in E-mode Polarization with Current and Future Data

In this paper, we explore the power of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) polarization (E-mode) data to corroborate four potential anomalies in CMB temperature data: the lack of large angular-scale correlations, the alignment of the quadrupole and octupole (Q–O), the point-parity asymmetry, and the hemispherical power asymmetry. We use CMB simulations with noise representative of three experiments—the Planck satellite, the Cosmology Large Angular Scale Surveyor (CLASS), and the LiteBIRD satellite—to test how current and future data constrain the anomalies. We find the correlation coefficients ρ between temperature and E-mode estimators to be less than 0.1, except for the point-parity asymmetry (ρ = 0.17 for cosmic-variance-limited simulations), confirming that E-modes provide a check on the anomalies that is largely independent of temperature data. Compared to Planck component-separated CMB data (smica), the putative LiteBIRD survey would reduce errors on E-mode anomaly estimators by factors of ∼3 for hemispherical power asymmetry and point-parity asymmetry, and by ∼26 for lack of large-scale correlation. The improvement in Q–O alignment is not obvious due to large cosmic variance, but we found the ability to pin down the estimator value will be improved by a factor ≳100. Improvements with CLASS are intermediate to these.

Cosmic microwave background radiation↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Future Pathways for Arctic Forest Fires

Wildfires are expected to become more common and more severe in the Arctic states due to climate change. Main cause for the fires is human activity, even in the boreal and Arctic forests. Therefore, activities such forest management and tourism, together with firefighting capacity and readiness, can have a significant impact on future wildfire risks and impacts. To assess the impacts of these factors we have created pathways for future wildfires up to 2050 for the Arctic states. We explore high and low fire activity and risk pathways for all the Arctic states and suggest most our best guess pathways for each state separately. The low activity and fire risk pathway assumes active fire suppression via population participation and official land management, efficient fuel treatments to reduce fire risk, and active firefighting. The high activity and fire risk pathway assumes the opposite due to lack of government and community response, with addition of lacking response to climate-driven changes to wildfire risks. In the Nordic countries, human ignition sources, such as timber extraction, tourism, summer cottages, and expanding wildland-urban intermix due to exurban growth may increase. In addition to these in Canada and Alaska, expansion of agriculture increases the likelihood of open burning of agricultural waste, increasing risk of the fire spreading to wildlands. Drier fuels due to climate change increase the risk of fires, and there is a growing risk of extreme heat conditions, creating favorable conditions for extreme wildfires from any ignition source. Throughout the Arctic lightning is expected to increase, increasing the risk of tundra (specifically grassland) fires, with potential to occur in hard-to-reach locations for firefighting. In short, policy actions and education play a crucial role in future wildfire management and adaptation.

Future↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

The Open Data Repository - an Open Science Platform for Long-Tail Research Data

Introduction: ‘Long-tail’ research is performed by individual PIs and small research teams, producing what are often highly diverse, but relatively small da-tasets that span a variety of traditional scientific disci-plines. ‘Long-tail’ research is a fundamental part of realizing NASA’s goals in planetary sciences and a key input feeding into mission life cycles. The ‘long-tail’ has traditionally lacked the resources (available to larg-er groups and missions) to overcome barriers inhibit-ing the adoption of open science practices, including lack of acknowledgment, time, money, guidance, ex-pertise, and trust in available platforms1. Here we show how the Open Data Repository’s (ODR) data publish-ing platform could help lower some of these barriers and accelerate the adoption of open-science practices in planetary science.

‘Long-tail’ research↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Synergies Between Venus and Exoplanetary Observations

• How can Venus help inform Exoplanetary studies? 1. Volatile Cycling & Weathering on Venus Through Time (Foley, Höning) a) Weathering on Venus : surface water, land area, tectonic state i. Evidence for running water in tesserae? Khawja et al. 2020 ii. D/H Ratio? Hoffman et al. 1980 b) Volcanism & Outgassing: Is SO2 a proxy for on-going volcanism? c) Volatile in-gassing: Does subduction occur today? (Davaille et al.) 2. Venus’ Magnetic Field (O’Rourke) a) Is Venus’ slower interior cooling responsible for lack of magnetic field? b) Lack of a late energetic impactor (Jacobsson et al.): stable density gradients? c) Is mass a factor: larger super-Venus/Earth more likely to have magnetic field?

Exoplanets↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Hydrometeor Identification from GMI Radiometer, Trained Using Polarimetric Radar

Brightness temperatures (TB) from GMI and related sensors contain information about the types and amounts of precipitation particles in a column. Approaches like GPROF or machine learning are good for providing precipitation estimates and other quantified information, but it can be difficult to understand why / how a given set of TBs traces to a given retrieval solution. Outlier TBs that are not well-represented in a training sample can lead to dubious solutions. Our goal is to use the scattering signatures at multiple frequencies to determine whether hail is present, or otherwise graupel, or otherwise snow, or otherwise liquid rain without a substantial precipitation ice component. (A hierarchical approach is employed, so a prediction of hail can include the presence of all other categories, but a prediction of snow implies a lack of graupel or hail, and a prediction of liquid rain implies a lack of any detectable precipitation ice.)

Daniel J. Cecil↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Harnessing Artificial Intelligence for Medical Diagnosis and Treatment During Space Exploration Missions

From May 8th to June 9th, 2023, I had the opportunity to participate in an experiential learning experience at Johnson Space Center in Houston, TX with Exploration Medical Capability (ExMC), an element of the NASA Human Research Program. During this research experience, I was not only able to work on the above titled research project, but also gain an immense exposure to the field of aerospace medicine, make numerous connections within the field, tour NASA facilities, as well as travel to the Aerospace Medical Association Annual Conference (AsMA) in New Orleans. To briefly introduce my project, it is well understood that the medical capabilities available to crew medical officers (CMOs) on the International Space Station will be different than the capabilities available and needed during deep space exploration missions to the Moon, Mars, and beyond. Ground support is particularly limited due to distance, communication delays (or lack of communication), and lack of resupply. Therefore, to support medical care by CMOs on these missions, robust clinical decision support systems (CDSSs) must be designed. The recent publication and public launch of generative artificial intelligence (AI) tools based upon large language models (LLM) such as ChatGPT provides the opportunity to create a smart assistant for onboard triage, diagnosis, and treatment of medical conditions. Ultimately, the overall purpose of the project was to research what AI tools currently exist or are in development, and to see how they might be implemented onboard during exploration class spaceflights of the future. The ExMC element is actively developing several tools to be used in preparation for and during deep space exploration missions. One of those tools, known as IMPACT, is a probabilistic risk assessment model which can be used to propose a desired medical system (based on mass and volume) and suggest the clinical outcomes likely to occur for a design reference mission (DRM). The group recently presented the IMPACT model and a DRM of interest titled “Modified Long Duration Lunar Orbital and Lunar Surface” (mLDLOLS) at the recent AsMA conference. The mLDLOLS mock mission is a 9 month and 6-day deep space exploration mission consisting of time in Moon’s orbit (3 months on the Gateway space station), on the lunar surface (3 months within habitat), and another 3 months on Gateway before return to Earth. For this DRM, IMPACT ultimately outlined a preferred medical system that was then associated with medical conditions considered to be most likely based on frequency, most likely to cause astronaut task time loss (TTL), most likely to cause return to definitive care (RTDC), and most likely cause loss of crew life (LOCL). IMPACT also highlighted the medical capabilities/skills that would be required to care for those medical conditions, such as performing a history of present illness or musculoskeletal exam with ultrasound. The primary objective of the project was to perform a survey of the AI tools and systems applicable to the conditions outlined for the proposed mLDLOLS mission. Using PubMed (including most relevant MeSH terms) and Google Scholar, we then created a robust annotated bibliography organized by condition. The 56-page and over 500 reference annotated bibliography was subsequently used to create a review outline that would become the basis for drafting of a future publication. For the review outline, we took those medical conditions researched within the annotated bibliography (condition-based approach) and deployed a systems-based approach, combining those medical conditions and related tools into ten categories. These categories included general/all-purpose CDSSs, tools to diagnose or manage respiratory, dermatologic, neurologic, auditory and vestibular, ophthalmic, musculoskeletal, infection-associated, and gynecologic conditions, as well as tools that could be deployed in the setting of trauma/emergency. With the completion of the 30-page outline, we then began drafting the review paper. To conclude the research experience, I presented the findings from our survey to the ExMC Clinical and Science team. With these objectives, I ultimately learned about the number of AI tools that exist today to assist medical professionals with the triage, diagnosis, and management of several medical conditions. These tools can span from chatbot assistants to help triage knee pain to vision transformer models that can identify ophthalmic conditions based on ocular surface images captured with a cell phone. We also highlighted the current gaps that exist in the literature alongside the advancements that are needed to make the desired CDSS for deep space exploration missions. With this experience, I certainly confirmed an existing career goal and identified several additional skills needed to become an aerospace medical doctor including knowledge of critical care in an extreme medicine setting, aerospace engineering and human integration systems, artificial intelligence, machine learning, and risk models. I also identified numerous transferable skills for this career goal including the basic knowledge of medicine (MD), deployment of the scientific method for critical thought about new scientific questions (PhD), review of published literature, including creating an annotated bibliography (PhD), as well as detailed scientific writing (PhD). The results of my research will likely guide the design of an all-encompassing onboard medical assistant for use during deep space exploration missions of the future. I plan on sharing the outcomes from this experience with my peers at a student seminar in the Fall semester on August 30th. During the seminar, I will detail the project, my experience at NASA and AsMA, as well as offer best practice guidelines for students entertaining similar experiences or careers. In conclusion, I would like to thank the WVU School of Medicine, Research and Graduate Education office, as well as NASA ExMC for the unwavering support of this life-changing experience.

Ryan A. Lacinski↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

A Multi-Probe Mission at Jupiter is Within our Reach!!

Soon after Galileo Probe mission, capabilities to manufacture and test heritage carbon-phenolic (HCP) TPS atrophied. The impact of capability loss to Outer Planet probe missions, Venus in-situ and Mars Sample Return (MSR) missions was realized after two decades. MSR (1997 – 2006) initiated a search and recover of HCP. Decadal Survey (2003) recommended JPOP mission (Jupiter Polar Orbiter and Probe), but lack of HCP TPS resulted in Juno being proposed without a probe. Decadal Survey (2013) recognized and advised NASA to close the TPS gap. With the community support, NASA initiated a technology development effort to close this gap in 2019 and today, missions to Venus, Saturn, Uranus, and MSR are enabled by new 3-D Woven TPS. Jupiter, the most demanding mission from an entry and TPS perspective ever, still lacks a viable qualified TPS. While the Science community needs to make the case for going back to Jupiter with a Probe, this work is an assessment of emerging capabilities to support such a mission when needed. Recent SOA developments are very promising to close this technology gaps. Encourage the Science Community about the feasibility of future Jupiter Multi-Probes Mission Engage the Entry System/TPS Technology Community as to the emerging capabilities and need to preserve them Educate and excite the early career and next generation students interested in future Science and technology challenge.

Ethiraj Venkatapathy↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Combining Data with Physical Knowledge for Uncertainty Quantification in Certification and Reliability Analysis

Unifying empirical data with predictive models can enable engineering cost-savings through certification by analysis and reliability-based design. Both concepts require rigorous uncertainty quantification (UQ) and robust understanding and treatment of relevant physics. Combining sampling-based UQ algorithms with high-fidelity simulations creates a computational bottleneck that is often alleviated through the use of machine learning (ML). ML can be used to create computationally efficient surrogates for simulations of complex or high-dimensional physical interactions (e.g., multi-phase interactions associated with melt pools in laser powder bed fusion or spatially-dependent material properties in functionally graded materials). However, negative side effects of ML may include a lack of interpretability and negative correlation between event rarity and simulation accuracy due to a lack of training data. As such, it is important to infuse ML algorithms with physics-based guardrails to provide confidence in their predictions. This talk will provide a brief review of recent NASA research at this intersection of physics-based simulation, ML, and UQ with a focus on certification and reliability analysis.

uncertainty quantification↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Phyllosilicate Formation on Early Mars Via Open-System Acid Alteration of Basaltic Glass

Smectites are widespread on Mars, but neutral/alkaline conditions favorable for smectite formation have surprisingly not led to abundant carbonates. Smectite formation on Mars could also occur in acidic environments unfavorable for carbonate formation. Acidic smectite formation has been demonstrated in batch (closed hydrologic) systems, however, the mechanisms and octahedral composition of smectite forming in acidic flow-through (open hydrologic) systems are not fully understood. Stapafell basaltic glass was hydrothermally altered (190◦C) at two flow rates corresponding to low and high water to rock ratio (W/R) and initial pH (pH_0) values of 2, 3, 4 and 6, and a batch low W/R experiment was conducted at pH_0 2. Kaolinite, montmorillonite and chlorite formed at pH_0 2 at low W/R; no phyllosilicates formed at pH_0 2 at high W/R; and lizardite formed at pH_0 ≥3 at both W/R ratios. Lizardite, kaolinite, and montmorillonite in these experiments formed by precipitation from solution and chlorite likely formed through alteration of montmorillonite and/or basalt. Saponite formed at pH_0 2 in batch conditions by alteration of basaltic glass. Comparison of experimental data with martian phyllosilicate assemblages indicated that smectite formation on Mars likely occurred under water-limited conditions. Al-rich smectite could form in open-system low W/R subsurface environments under a narrow range of pH (pH <3) while saponite could form in closed low W/R systems under acidic to alkaline conditions. Combined open and closed hydrological regimes could be responsible for development of clay mineral stratigraphies observed on Mars. The acidic conditions required for formation of Al-rich smectite were unfavorable for carbonate precipitation, but carbonate precipitation could occur together with Fe/Mg-smectite in closed systems at pH >4. The lack of carbonates occurring together with Fe/Mg-smectite could be cause by low pCO2 in subsurface closed environments and/or by overall lack of carbonate precipitation despite significant oversaturation.

S J Ralston↗
NASA NTRS2023

Improved Space Weather Observations and Modeling for Aviation Radiation

In recent years there has been a growing interest from the aviation community for space weather radiation forecasts tailored to the needs of the aviation industry. In 2019 several space weather centers began issuing advisories for the International Civil Aviation Organization alerting users to enhancements in the radiation environment at aviation flight levels. Due to a lack of routine observations, radiation modeling is required to specify the dose rates experienced by flight crew and passengers. While mature models exist, support for key observational inputs and further modeling advancements are needed. Observational inputs required from the ground-based neutron monitor network must be financially supported for research studies and operations to ensure real-time data is available for forecast operations and actionable end user decision making. An improved understanding of the geomagnetic field is required to reduce dose rate uncertainties in regions close to the open/closed geomagnetic field boundary, important for flights such as those between the continental US and Europe which operate in this region. Airborne radiation measurements, which are crucial for model validation and improvement, are lacking, particularly during solar energetic particle events. New measurement campaigns must be carried out to ensure progress and in situ atmospheric radiation measurements made available for real-time situational awareness. Furthermore, solar energetic particle forecasting must be improved to move aviation radiation nowcasts to forecasts in order to meet customer requirements for longer lead times for planning and mitigation.

space weather↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Multiscale Prediction of Yarn Pullout Failure Mode in Unreinforced Textile Fabrics

Unreinforced woven fabrics have been implemented in a variety of high performance applications, including body armor, deployable structures, and as the reinforcement material in composites. Multiscale modeling techniques have significantly improved the capabilities of simulation-based tools to capture fabric mechanics efficiently and accurately, but often lack in their prediction of failure and require pairing with finite element analysis (FEA) software, limiting their application to the design of ‘fit-for-purpose’ materials. NASA’s Multiscale Analysis Tool (NASMAT) is a standalone multiscale program that has been traditionally used in the analysis of reinforced composites materials. More recently, it has been amended to simulate unreinforced fabric behavior by allowing the geometric state of the tows to change with applied loading due to the lack of a reinforcement material, such as the matrix seen in composites. Previous work has shown the ability of NASMAT to capture nonlinear macroscale behavior by predicting geometric changes in the state of each subcell as a function of the applied loading and allowing each subcell in the analysis to rotate according to these predicted changes, as well as predict nonlinear behavior due to the fiber breakage failure mode. In this work, the capability of predicting the onset and propagation of failure in plain woven fabrics in NASMAT is presented for the yarn pullout failure mode, which occurs when a fabric is loaded at an off-axis angle relative to the warp of weft tow direction. Yarn pullout behavior is initiated by determining the applied load in which the shear resistance of the contact area between yarn families is overcome. When failure is initiated, yarn pullout is determined to have occurred when the applied displacement, calculated from global strain, exceeds the deformed position of a given contact points between yarn families, determined from pin-joint kinematics. Contact points where pullout has occurred contribute to a global damage parameter used to modify the homogenized stiffness of the fabric, resulting in nonlinear behavior observed at the macroscale. The off-axis loading behavior and yarn pullout failure theory have been developed and implemented into NASMAT such that users can simulate off-axis tensile behavior of fabrics in a single, standalone multiscale tool. Simulations are compared to uniaxial tensile tests at various off-axis angles to demonstrate the capability of the tool in its prediction of both the onset of failure at each off-axis angles and the stress-strain behavior as failure progresses.

Materials↗
NASA NTRS2023

Developing a Radar Signal Simulator for the Community Radiative Transfer Model

Active radar instruments provide vertically resolved clouds and precipitation measurements that cannot be provided by the passive instruments. These active measurements are not conventionally assimilated into the data assimilation systems because of the lack of fast forward radiative transfer models and also difficulties in the error modelling of the measurements. This paper describes the development, evaluation, and sensitivity analysis for a forward radar model implemented in the Community Radiative Transfer Model (CRTM). The scattering properties required by the forward model are provided by the hydrometeor lookup tables that were generated using the discrete dipole approximation. The model is able to calculate both the reflectivity and the attenuated reflectivity for any given radar instrument at any given zenith angles as long as CRTM instrument specific coefficients are available. The evaluation using CloudSat measurements shows a very good agreement between the simulations and measurements as long as the input profiles of hydrometeors are consistent with the measured reflectivity profiles. Major sources contributing to the differences between the measured and simulated reflectivities are input hydrometeor profiles, scattering lookup tables, lack of melting layer in the forward model, CRTM scattering solvers, and attenuation calculations. In addition to the forward model, both Tangent Linear and Adjoint of the model are also implemented and tested within CRTM. These components may be required by some data assimilation systems for the assimilation of radar measurements.

radar↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Enhancing Long-Term Trend Simulation of OH Through the Synergy of Model Simulations and Aura Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) NO 2 and HCHO Retrievals

During the last few years, tremendous progress has been made to develop an efficient parameterization module using agile machine learning techniques. The aim of this module is to provide dynamic response of the tropospheric hydroxyl radical (OH) to its major drivers, including trace gases, aerosols, clouds, and meteorology. This module, named ECCOH (pronounced “echo”) and implemented in NASA’s GEOS-5 global model, offers an unrealized opportunity to unravel the convoluted response of OH to its underlying drivers while approaching the accuracy of full-chemistry without incurring excessive computational costs, making it suitable for climate models. However, the accurate representation of OH in ECCOH poses challenges due to the lack of representation of some of its critical inputs such as the abundance of NO 2 and HCHO concentrations. As such, we leverage the well-characterized satellite observations of NO2 and HCHO columns from Aura OMI to enhance their representation in ECCOH using an optimal interpolation method for the time period of 2005 - present. We show how the inclusion of OMI information can affect the spatiotemporal variability and long-term trends of OH, CO, and CH 4 across the globe. Additionally, we underscore the necessity of obtaining high-fidelity information regarding tropospheric ozone from the southern hemisphere from space, a region currently lacking full verification in models, posing a challenge to get a reasonable amount of chemical sink for CH 4 .

OH↗