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DOE OSTI2022

Physiochemical Machine Learning Models Predict Operational Lifetimes of CH3NH3PbI3 Perovskite Solar Cells

Halide perovskites are promising photovoltaic (PV) materials with the potential to lower the cost of electricity and greatly expand the penetration of PV if they can demonstrate long-term stability under illumination in the presence of moisture and oxygen. The solar cell service lifetime as quantified by the T80 (the time required for the power conversion efficiency to drop to 80% of its starting value) is a useful metric to assess stability. The T80 for utility, commercial, or residential PV systems needs to be several decades in order to yield low-cost electricity, and thus it is not practical to directly measure the T80. It would be useful if T80 could be predicted from the initial dynamics of a solar cell’s performance, but until now no models have been developed to forecast T80. In this work, we report the development of machine learning models to predict T80 of ITO/NiOx/CH3NH3PbI3/C60/BCP/Ag solar cells operating at maximum power point under 1-sun equivalent photon flux in air at varying temperatures and relative humidities. Efficiency losses are driven by short-circuit current and fill factor, indicating that chemical decomposition of the perovskite is a major contributor to degradation. Spatial patterns evident from in situ dark field optical microscopy suggest that the electric field gradient at device edges plays a significant role in perovskite decomposition, along with photochemical reactions with O2 and H2O. Models are trained using a menu of features from three distinct categories: (i) features based on measurements of the initial rates of change of device parameters, (ii) features based on the ambient conditions during operation (temperature, & partial pressure of H2O), and (iii) features based on underlying physics and chemistry. We show that a theory-based physiochemical feature derived from a model of the chemical reaction kinetics of the rate of degradation of the CH3NH3PbI3 is particularly valuable for prediction. This physiochemical feature was selected as the first or second most dominant feature in the best performing models. With a dataset consisting of 45 accelerated degradation experiments with T80 that range over a factor of 30, the model predicts T80 with an accuracy of about 40% (|predicted T80 - observed T80| / observed T80) on samples not used in training. This hybrid ML approach should be effective when applied to other compositions, device architectures, and advanced packaging schemes.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2022

Physiochemical Machine Learning Models Predict Operational Lifetimes of CH3NH3PbI3 Perovskite Solar Cells

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

From Fundamental Interfacial Reaction Kinetics to Macroscopic Current–Voltage Characteristics: Case Study of Solid Acid Fuel Cell Limitations and Possibilities

The unique properties of solid acid electrolytes, in particular CsH 2 PO 4 , are in many ways ideal for fuel cell operation. However, the technology is constrained by high cathode overpotentials. Here a simplified cathode geometry is employed to obtain the fundamental electrochemical parameters (exchange current density and charge transfer coefficient) describing the oxygen reduction reaction (ORR) at the CsH 2 PO 4 -Pt-gas interface. The parameters are incorporated into a 1D model of the voltage–current characteristics of realistic SAFC cathodes, which reproduced the measured polarization behavior of such cathodes without recourse to fitting adjustable parameters. Following this validation, the model is utilized to evaluate the impact of changes to cathode properties, microstructure, and operating conditions. Of these, the charge transfer coefficient, measured to have a value of ≈0.6 for ORR on Pt in the SAFC cathode environment, is found to have the greatest impact on power output. Nevertheless, even without material modifications, a combination of microstructural and operational modifications are identified with projected performance metrics meeting Department of Energy targets (0.8 V at 300 mA cm –2 , and peak power density of 1 W cm –2 ), albeit at high Pt loadings. However, the analysis indicates that truly meaningful advances will likely necessitate the discovery of alternative ORR catalysts.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2022

Multiscale Interaction of Turbulence, Temperature, and Soot Formation: Measurements for Critical Assessments of Chemical Kinetics and Mechanisms

This program targeted an improved understanding of how turbulence affects soot formation chemistry (directly and indirectly) with a particular focus on detailing the multiscale coupling between flow turbulence, mixing, thermal transport, and soot formation kinetics in gas-phase reacting systems. In this project, simultaneous, quantitative multi-dimensional velocity, soot volume fraction, and gas-phase temperature measurements in turbulent non-premixed sooting flames were developed. These new diagnostics tools can be used to elucidate the relative effects of fluid kinematics, mixing, thermal processes, and turbulence/scalar time/length scales on soot formation chemistry and topology. Simultaneous multi-parameter measurements were acquired within a series of flames with different Reynolds numbers and spatial locations to investigate the inter-dependence of soot, temperature, and turbulence within the soot inception, growth, and oxidation region. Preliminary assessment of the results has been completed at the project end and detailed analysis is planned following the completed program.

02 PETROLEUM↗

DOE OSTI2024

Condensation and evaporation of boson stars

Abstract Axion-like particles, including the QCD axion, are well-motivated dark matter candidates. Numerical simulations have revealed coherent soliton configurations, also known as boson stars, in the centers of axion halos. We study evolution of axion solitons immersed into a gas of axion waves with Maxwellian velocity distribution. Combining analytical approach with controlled numerical simulations we find that heavy solitons grow by condensation of axions from the gas, while light solitons evaporate. We deduce the parametric dependence of the soliton growth/evaporation rate and show that it is proportional to the rate of the kinetic relaxation in the gas. The proportionality coefficient is controlled by the product of the soliton radius and the typical gas momentum or, equivalently, the ratio of the gas and soliton virial temperatures. We discuss the asymptotics of the rate when this parameter is large or small.

Physics↗

DOE OSTI2023

A redox model for NO oxidation, NH 3 oxidation and high temperature standard SCR over Cu-SSZ-13

A kinetic model is developed to predict the influence of temperature and hydrothermal aging on the redox of active Cu sites under standard SCR, NO oxidation and NH 3 oxidation conditions over a practically relevant fully-formulated Cu-SSZ-13 catalyst. NO 2 /N 2 production during NO/NH 3 titration of Cu II sites is utilized to identify rate parameters associated with NO-only RHC (reduction half cycle) and NH 3 -only RHC respectively. Integral N 2 formation during subsequent NO + NH 3 titration is consistent with the production of one NO 2 per two CuII sites reduced during NO-only RHC and one N 2 per six Cu II sites reduced during NH 3 -only RHC. Decreased reduction of Cu II sites by NO/NH 3 upon hydrothermal aging, along with the production of one NO 2 per two CuII sites during NO-only RHC, is accordant with the involvement of proximal ZCuOH and oxygen-bridged dimeric Cu II sites. Oxidation of partially solvated and framework coordinated ZCu (Cu I ) sites occurs in presence of O 2 , does not produce N 2 and can lead to the consumption of Brønsted acid sites. A global OHC kinetic model is developed to predict transient and integral N 2 formation during exposure of CuI sites to a mixture of NO and O 2 . The resulting redox kinetic model quantitatively predicts NO and NH 3 consumption during isothermal transient response Cu redox (TRCR) protocols, along with temperature and age dependent steady-state standard SCR and oxidation conditions. The redox model presented in this work synthesizes recent kinetic, spectroscopic and computational findings to provide a foundational description of active site redox during standard SCR, NO oxidation and NH3 oxidation over Cu-SSZ-13.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2022

Frhodo: A program for simulating chemical kinetic measurements and optimizing kinetic mechanisms

Chemical kinetic simulations are frequently used to extract kinetic and mechanistic information from experimental data by fitting simulations to the data. For simple systems of consecutive single channel reactions this is a relatively straightforward task. However, as the complexity of the system increases and particularly for systems involving competitive multi-channel reactions manually optimizing a mechanism to obtain the best fits to a range of experimental data quickly becomes a time-intensive and challenging process, especially when rate coefficients have pressure and temperature dependencies. There is considerable potential for exploiting automated optimization methods to rapidly screen reaction mechanisms and optimize the fit by adjusting rate coefficients within well-defined constraints. A new chemical kinetics simulation program, Frhodo, has been developed for this purpose. The program allows either manual simulation of individual experiments or fully automated optimization against a range of experimental data by adjusting user selected reactions within user defined constraints. Frhodo incorporates machine learning-based optimization routines that work by either minimizing standardized residuals or through Bayesian parameter estimation. Frhodo's optimization capabilities are demonstrated by reexamining two previously studied systems of relevance to combustion. Dissociation of diacetyl followed by recombination of methyl radicals is an example of a sequence of single channel, consecutive reactions. Pyrolysis of 2-methyl furan exemplifies multi-channel, unimolecular reactions that are often encountered and have temperature and pressure dependencies in the rate coefficients of the channels and branching ratios between them. For both systems the optimization routines resulted in solutions similar to the original studies. Finally, comments are made on the strengths and limitations of the approach.

0D simulation↗

DOE OSTI2022

Implications of inertial subrange scaling for stably stratified mixing

In this work, we investigate the effects of the turbulent dynamic range on active scalar mixing in stably stratified turbulence by adapting the theoretical passive scalar modelling and demonstrating their usefulness through consideration of the results of direct numerical simulations of statistically stationary homogeneous stratified and sheared turbulence. By analysis of inertial and inertial–convective subrange scalings, we show that the relationship between the active scalar and turbulence time scales is predicted by the ratio of the Kolmogorov and Obukhov–Corrsin constants, provided mean flow parameters permit the two subrange scalings to be appropriate approximations. We use the resulting relationship between time scales to parameterise an appropriate turbulent mixing coefficient $\varGamma \equiv \chi /\epsilon$, defined here as the ratio of available potential energy ($E_p$) and turbulent kinetic energy ($E_k$) dissipation rates. With the analysis presented here, we show that $\varGamma$ can be estimated by $E_p,E_k$ and a universal constant provided an appropriate Reynolds number is sufficiently high. This large Reynolds number regime appears here to occur at $ {{Re_b}} \equiv \epsilon / \nu N^{2} \gtrapprox 300$ where $\nu$ is the kinematic viscosity and $N$ is the characteristic buoyancy frequency. We propose a model framework for irreversible diapycnal mixing with robust theoretical parametrisation and asymptotic behaviour in this high-$ {{Re_b}}$ limit.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Formation of a spherical plasma liner for plasma-jet-driven magneto-inertial fusion

Plasma-jet-driven magneto-inertial fusion is an alternative approach to controlled nuclear fusion, which aims to utilize a line-replaceable dense plasma liner as a repetitive spherical compression driver. In this experiment, first measurements of the formation of a spherical argon plasma liner formed from 36 discrete pulsed plasma jets are obtained on the Plasma Liner Experiment. Properties including liner uniformity and morphology, plasma density, temperature, and ram pressure are assessed as a function of time throughout the implosion process and indicate an apparent transition from initial kinetic inter-jet interpenetration to collisional regime near stagnation times, in accordance with theoretical expectation. A lack of primary shock structures between adjacent jets during flight implies that arbitrarily smooth liners may be formed by way of corresponding improvements in jet parameters and control. The measurements facilitate the benchmarking of computational models and understanding the scaling of plasma liners toward fusion-relevant energy density.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Hybrid simulations of sub-cyclotron compressional and global Alfven Eigenmode stability in spherical tokamaks

A comprehensive numerical study has been conducted in order to investigate the stability of beam-driven, sub-cyclotron frequency compressional (CAE) and global (GAE) Alfven Eigenmodes in low aspect ratio plasmas for a wide range of beam parameters. The presence of CAEs and GAEs has previously been linked to anomalous electron temperature profile flattening at high beam power in NSTX experiments, prompting further examination of the conditions for their excitation. Linear simulations are performed with the hybrid MHD-kinetic initial value code HYM in order to capture the general Doppler-shifted cyclotron resonance that drives the modes. Three distinct types of modes are found in simulations -- co-CAEs, cntr-GAEs, and co-GAEs -- with differing spectral and stability properties. The simulations reveal that unstable GAEs are more ubiquitous than unstable CAEs, consistent with experimental observations, as they are excited at lower beam energies and generally have larger growth rates. Local analytic theory is used to explain key features of the simulation results, including the preferential excitation of different modes based on beam injection geometry and the growth rate dependence on the beam injection velocity, critical velocity, and degree of velocity space anisotropy. The background damping rate is inferred from simulations and estimated analytically for relevant sources not present in the simulation model, indicating that co-CAEs are closer to marginal stability than modes driven by the cyclotron resonances.

Compressional Alfven Eigenmodes↗

DOE OSTI2020

Electrolyte-Assisted Hydrogen Cycling in Lithium and Sodium Alanates at Low Pressures and Temperatures

An investigation of electrolyte-assisted hydrogen storage reactions in complex aluminum hydrides (LiAlH4 and NaAlH4) reveals significantly reduced reaction times for hydrogen desorption and uptake in the presence of an electrolyte. LiAlH4 evolves ~7.8 wt% H2 over ~3 h in the presence of a Li-KBH4 eutectic at 130 °C compared to ~25 h for the same material without the electrolyte. Similarly, NaAlH4 exhibits 4.8 wt% H2 evolution over ~4 h in the presence of a diglyme electrolyte at 150 °C compared to 4.4 wt% in ~15 h for the same material without the electrolyte. These reduced reaction times are composed of two effects, an increase in reaction rates and a change in the reaction kinetics. While typical solid state dehydrogenation reactions exhibit kinetics with rates that continuously decrease with the extent of reaction, we find that the addition of an electrolyte results in rates that are relatively constant over the full desorption window. Fitting the kinetics to an Avrami-Erofe’ev model supports these observations. The desorption rate coefficients increase in the presence of an electrolyte, suggesting an increase in the velocities of the reactant-product interfaces. In addition, including an electrolyte increases the growth parameters, primarily for the second desorption steps, resulting in the observed relatively constant reaction rates. Similar effects occur upon hydrogen uptake in NaH/Al where the presence of an electrolyte enables hydrogenation under more practical low temperature (75 °C) and pressure (50 bar H2) conditions.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Turbulent Parameters by airborne measurements over BNF in March 2025

The original data were collected during the AAF Engineering Flights (AEF2025) in the vicinity of the ARM Bankhead National Forest (BNF) Atmospheric Observatory (https://www.arm.gov/capabilities/observatories/bnf ) in northwestern Alabama in March 2025. The ARM Aerial Facility ArcticShark uncrewed aerial system (UAS, https://www.arm.gov/capabilities/observatories/aaf/uas) was based at the public-use airport of Posey Field, Alabama (FAA LID: 1M4, 34.28027778° N, 87.60055556° W, 283m MSL) from March 10 through March 24, 2025. The ArcticShark UAS performed nine flights, including eight research flights over the AMF3 (BNF Main Site) and Supplemental Facilities to measure atmospheric state, turbulence, surface IR temperature and imagery, and aerosol number concentration and size distribution. The current data set presents a collection of turbulent parameters in the atmospheric boundary layer or lower free troposphere based on airborne measurement throughout the field campaign. The primary instruments used to create the current data set were the Aircraft Integrated Meteorological Measurement System (AIMMS-30) and the fine-wire thermocouple probe.

Atmosphere↗

DOE OSTI2025

CHELAX-BNF: Turbulent Parameters by airborne measurements

The original data were collected on board the ARM Aerial Facility ArcticShark uncrewed aerial system (UAS; https://www.arm.gov/capabilities/observatories/aaf/uas ) during the “Characterizing HEterogeneous Land-Atmosphere eXchanges at BNF” field campaign (CHEAX-BNF; https://arm.gov/research/campaigns/aaf2025CHELAX-BNF ). The ARM Aerial Facility ArcticShark UAS was based at the public-use airport of Posey Field, AL (FAA LID: 1M4, 34.28027778° N, 87.60055556° W, 283m MSL) from May 28 through June 23, 2025. The ArcticShark UAS performed 5 flights, including 4 research flights over the BNF Main Site (ARM Mobile Facility 3, https://arm.gov/capabilities/observatories/amf ) and Supplemental Facilities to measure atmospheric state, turbulence, surface IR temperature and imagery, aerosol number concentration, and aerosol size distribution. The current data set presents a collection of turbulent parameters in the atmospheric boundary layer or lower free troposphere based on airborne measurement throughout the field campaign. The primary instruments used to create the current data set were the Aircraft Integrated Meteorological Measurement System (AIMMS-30) and the fine-wire thermocouple probe.

Aircraft Integrated Meteorological Measurement Sys↗

DOE OSTI2022

Kinetic Model for the Reduction of Cu II Sites by NO + NH 3 and Reoxidation of NH 3 -Solvated Cu I Sites by O 2 and NO in Cu-SSZ-13

In this work, a kinetic model is developed for the reduction of Cu II sites by NO + NH 3 and the reoxidation of NH 3 -solvated Cu I sites by O 2 and NO in Cu-SSZ-13. Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) spectroscopy and spatially resolved capillary inlet mass spectrometry (SpaciMS) measurements during transient reactor experiments are utilized to identify the rate parameters associated with NO + NH 3 RHC (reduction half-cycle), proposed to occur via two distinct pathways involving adsorbed NH 3 and gas-phase NH 3 . The resulting NO + NH 3 RHC model is validated using spatiotemporal N 2 measurements covering a wide range of temperatures (200–450 °C) and space velocities (53,000–640,000 h –1 ). N 2 O formation is observed and modeled during NO + NH 3 RHC, with quantitative validation under standard selective catalytic reduction (SCR) conditions. Experimentally measured enthalpic and entropic changes associated with O 2 adsorption on NH 3 -solvated Cu I (ZCu(NH 3 ) 2 ) complexes [ Kamasamudram, K. Catal. Today 2010 , 151 (3–4), 212-222], along with activation energies estimated computationally for the intercage diffusion of ZCu(NH 3 ) 2 complexes [ Paolucci, C. Science 2017 , 357 (6 354), 898-903], are incorporated into a mean field kinetic model for the low-temperature oxidation half-cycle (OHC). Significant NH 3 release is observed during the isothermal oxidation of Cu I sites, attributed to desorption of NH 3 ligands from NH 3 -solvated Cu II dimers (Z 2 Cu 2 (NH 3 ) 4 O 2 ). Reduction of these dimeric complexes leads to the consumption of one NO/Cu II , contradicting the expected reduction stoichiometry. Inclusion of a global Arrhenius rate for the NO titration of Z 2 Cu 2 (NH 3 ) 4 O 2 complexes provides accurate representations of standard SCR on reduced and oxidized catalysts, predicting transient NO and NH 3 consumption between 150 and 250 °C as a function of hydrothermal aging. Deactivation of low-temperature standard SCR by NH 3 is observed at high NH 3 pressures, modeled via the formation of superoxo amino (ZCu(NH 3 ) 3 OO*) complexes during NH 3 titration of Z 2 Cu 2 (NH 3 ) 4 O 2 complexes [ Negri, C. J. Am. Chem. Soc. 2020 , 142 (37), 15884-15896]. The redox kinetic model presented here provides a foundational description of active site redox during low-temperature standard SCR, combining the recent kinetic, spectroscopic, and computational findings on the mechanism of standard SCR over Cu-SSZ-13.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2022

Uptake of N 2 O 5 by aqueous aerosol unveiled using chemically accurate many-body potentials

The reactive uptake of N 2 O 5 to aqueous aerosol is a major loss channel for nitrogen oxides in the troposphere. Despite its importance, a quantitative picture of the uptake mechanism is missing. Here we use molecular dynamics simulations with a data-driven many-body model of coupled-cluster accuracy to quantify thermodynamics and kinetics of solvation and adsorption of N 2 O 5 in water. The free energy profile highlights that N 2 O 5 is selectively adsorbed to the liquid–vapor interface and weakly solvated. Accommodation into bulk water occurs slowly, competing with evaporation upon adsorption from gas phase. Leveraging the quantitative accuracy of the model, we parameterize and solve a reaction–diffusion equation to determine hydrolysis rates consistent with experimental observations. We find a short reaction–diffusion length, indicating that the uptake is dominated by interfacial features. The parameters deduced here, including solubility, accommodation coefficient, and hydrolysis rate, afford a foundation for which to consider the reactive loss of N 2 O 5 in more complex solutions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2025

Rate Limiting Regimes in Photochemical H2 Generation by Complexes of Colloidal CdS Nanorods and Hydrogenase

Driving redox enzyme catalysis with photoexcited semiconductor nanocrystals is a compelling approach for chemical conversion. We examined how the interplay of the many chemical steps involved determines the rates of photochemical H2 production with complexes of colloidal CdS nanorods and an [FeFe]-hydrogenase. We elucidated the roles of three critical and previously elusive processes-scavenging of photoexcited holes from nanorods, back-electron transfer, and H2 oxidation. Kinetic Monte Carlo simulations and fitting to experimental data revealed that hole transfer becomes the rate-limiting step at high illumination intensities. Comparisons of simulations to experimental H2 production showed that both back-electron transfer and H2 oxidation play an efficiency-limiting role at high catalyst loadings. This work provides guiding principles for tuning experimental parameters to minimize energy-wasting pathways and optimize photochemical product formation. More broadly, we demonstrate how critical but elusive chemical steps in photochemical reactions can be probed with a combination of experiments and simulations.

08 HYDROGEN↗

DOE OSTI2025

Phase transformation kinetics model for metals

We develop a new model for phase transformation kinetics in metals by generalizing the Levitas–Preston (LP) phase field model of martensite phase transformations (see Levitas and Preston (2002a,b) and Levitas et al. (2003)) to arbitrary pressure. Furthermore, we account for and track: the interface speed of the pressure-driven phase transformation, properties of critical nuclei, as well as nucleation at grain sites and on dislocations and homogeneous nucleation. The volume fraction evolution of each phase is described by employing KJMA (Kolmogorov, 1937; Johnson and Mehl, 1939; Avrami, 1939, 1940, 1941) kinetic theory. We then test our new model for iron under ramp loading conditions and compare our predictions for the α → ϵ iron phase transition to experimental data of Smith et al. (2013). In conclusion, more than one combination of material and model parameters (such as dislocation density and interface speed) led to good agreement of our simulations to the experimental data, thus highlighting the importance of having accurate microstructure data for the sample under consideration.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2023

Physics-based adaptivity of a spectral method for the Vlasov–Poisson equations based on the asymmetrically-weighted Hermite expansion in velocity space

We propose a spectral method for the 1D-1V Vlasov–Poisson system where the discretization in velocity space is based on asymmetrically-weighted Hermite functions, dynamically adapted via a scaling α and shifting u of the velocity variable. Specifically, at each time instant an adaptivity criterion selects new values of α and u based on the numerical solution of the discrete Vlasov–Poisson system obtained at that time step. Once the new values of the Hermite parameters α and u are fixed, the Hermite expansion is updated and the discrete system is further evolved for the next time step. The procedure is applied iteratively over the desired temporal interval. The key aspects of the adaptive algorithm are: the map between approximation spaces associated with different values of the Hermite parameters that preserves total mass, momentum and energy; and the adaptivity criterion to update α and u based on physics considerations relating the Hermite parameters to the average velocity and temperature of each plasma species. For the discretization of the spatial coordinate, we rely on Fourier functions and use the implicit midpoint rule for time stepping. The resulting numerical method possesses intrinsically the property of fluid-kinetic coupling, where the low-order terms of the expansion are akin to the fluid moments of a macroscopic description of the plasma, while kinetic physics is retained by adding more spectral terms. Moreover, the scheme features conservation of total mass, momentum and energy associated in the discrete, for periodic boundary conditions. A set of numerical experiments confirms that the adaptive method outperforms the non-adaptive one in terms of accuracy and stability of the numerical solution.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗