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At least 847 records · Page 47

Data analytics for leak detection in a subcritical boiler

For decades, boiler leaks have been the leading cause of forced outages in the coal-fired unit. The leak occurrences are currently escalating since the existing plants must satisfy faster-ramping rates to support grid operation. Data analytics including Principal Component Analysis, Canonical Variate, and Fisher Discriminant Analysis were combined for detecting and characterizing the leak in a commercial 650 MW subcritical coal-fired power plant. The combined approach was shown to be highly effective in the fault investigation that would not have been easily achieved by an individual technique. The variability in both training and validation datasets was first evaluated using PCA. Then, the CV-FDA was employed to discriminate among faults, and to categorize the processed data into two main groups: no-leak (0) and leak (1), providing the timeframe and location of the leak occurrence. Furthermore, about 8,014 observations from 81 process variables were initially included in the calculation, while the variable count was reduced to 4 with less than 1% misclassification rate in total observations. Finally, the leak was isolated in the waterwall section. Thus, the outcome of this research may provide early detection and isolation of faulty operations in the coal-fired power plant that involves a considerable number of process variables.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

An analytical method for identifying synergies between behind-the-meter battery and thermal energy storage

Electric utilities build generation capacity to meet the highest demand period, and they often pass on the costs associated with these peaking generators to building owners through demand charges. Building owners can minimize these demand charges by shifting energy use away from peak periods with behind-the-meter storage. This storage can include batteries, which can directly shift the metered load, or thermal energy storage, which can shift thermal-driven electric loads like air conditioning. However, there is a lack of research on how best to combine battery and thermal energy storage. In this study, we develop an analytical sizing method to calculate the potential demand reduction and annualized cost savings for different combinations of thermal and battery energy storage sizes. We show that adding batteries to a thermal energy storage system can increase the total system's load shaving potential. This is particularly true when the building has onsite photovoltaic generation or electric vehicle charging, which add significant variability to the load shape. We also show that for a given total storage size, selecting a higher fraction of thermal energy storage can significantly lower the cycling of the battery, and therefore extend the battery life. This, combined with the expected lower first cost of thermal energy storage materials compared to batteries, shows that hybrid energy storage systems can outperform a standalone battery or standalone thermal storage system. Assuming the thermal storage has a capital cost 6x lower than the battery, our analysis shows that the optimal system is 71% thermal energy storage and 29% battery energy storage for a scenario with electric vehicle charging. The annualized cost savings for this system are $48.6 k/yr, whereas an equivalently sized standalone thermal energy storage system would provide annualized cost savings of $28.5 k/yr and a standalone battery would lead to savings of $8.72 k/yr. The hybrid system also reduces battery cycling by 52% compared to a standalone battery, extending battery lifetime.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Web-based wide-area monitoring platform for ringdown and clustering analytics in power systems

This paper introduces an open-source research platform for monitoring the Mexican interconnected power grid, allowing real-time processing and information extraction of the grid’s dynamic condition. Moreover, the platform is a Python-based development that embeds different ringdown and clustering analytics tools. In the case of ringdown analysis, the modal information can be extracted using some of the most known algorithms, i.e., Prony analysis, eigensystem realization algorithm (ERA), and matrix pencil (MP). For clustering analysis, the coherent behaviour of generator and non-generator buses is provided by applying recent state-of-the-art techniques such as affinity propagation, K-means, hierarchical agglomerative clustering, and typicality data analysis. The results of up to 93 PMUs show that this open-source platform suits researchers’ and engineers’ power system dynamic analysis requirements.

Clustering↗

Analytical solution for partial heating on the exterior of the pipe with application to measuring fluid flow rate

An analytical model using Green’s functions for partial external heating of a pipe is developed, which results in an exact mathematical solution for the radial and axial temperature distribution in the pipe wall. Partial heating consists of a constant heat flux function imposed over a small section of the exterior of a pipe and for a limited time duration. The solution comprises steady-state and transient parts, and an algebraic identity is used to decrease the number of summation terms in the slowly-converging steady- state part. Intrinsic verification principles are used to verify the solution. As an example application, this transient solution is applied toward the development of a simple, noninvasive method for in-field measurement of the flow rate in pipes. Furthermore, to simulate this application, a pulse of energy is imposed to the wall of the pipe, and the developed mathematical solution is used to find the flow rate of the fluid inside the pipe. An optimal experiment is designed to find the best measurement location and time.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

An analytical expression for temperature in a thermodynamically consistent model with a Mie-Gruneisen equation for pressure

The objective of this paper is to develop an analytical expression for temperature in a thermodynamically consistent model with a Mie-Gruneisen equation for pressure. This expression for the temperature is obtained for both constant and variable specific heat models and can be used in common models for the material yield strength that include thermal softening due to increase in temperature. Additionally, the material parameters in the model can easily be calibrated to match known experimental data and the model has been used to determine the value of the shock pressure at the onset of melting during shock loading.

42 ENGINEERING↗

On the convexity of phase-field fracture formulations: Analytical study and comparison of various degradation functions

Efficient and accurate fracture modeling is of great importance in applications where catastrophic outcomes under extreme scenarios are possible. The phase-field (PF) approach to fracture received significant attention over the past decade, due to its capability to capture complicated fracture patterns (e.g., crack merging and branching). Specifically, crack initiation and propagation are modeled via minimization of the total energy functional, which is regularized with the aid of a phase field. Despite the promising results and modeling capabilities of the PF method in many applications, the solution of fracture problems remains computationally challenging mainly due to the non-convexity of the total energy functional with respect to the combined unknown (phase field and displacement) fields. Understanding the effects of their coupling on convexity is crucial in order to address frequently encountered hurdles in fracture modeling (e.g., inefficient solvers and non-physical crack nucleation). In this paper, we develop convexity criteria for a wide class of PF fracture formulations. For this class of formulations, the second variation of the total energy functional is expressed in terms of Hessian matrices (evaluated at individual material points). Depending on the choice of geometric crack functions and degradation functions, we classify the formulations into three categories and analytically study each one separately. To study the sign of the second variation, we derive inequalities which are satisfied at material points when the Hessian matrix is locally positive semi-definite. These inequalities provide objective criteria for comparing degradation functions. Finally, the applicability of the proposed convexity criteria is demonstrated in the context of a one-dimensional problem, solved using a conventional monolithic solver.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

A Novel Analytical Population Tumor Control Probability Model Includes Cell Density and Volume Variations: Application to Canine Brain Tumor

Tumor control probability (TCP) models based on Poisson statistics characterize the distribution of surviving clonogens. Thus enabling the calculation of TCP for individuals. To mathematically describe clinically observed survival data of patient cohorts it is necessary to extend the Poisson TCP model. This is typically done by either incorporating variations of model parameters or by using an empirical logistic model. The purpose of this work is the development of an analytical population TCP model by mechanistic extension of the Possion model.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

Analytical simulation of meander morphology from equilibrium to long-term evolution: Impacts of channel geometry and vegetation-induced coarsening

This study introduces an innovative approach to modeling meandering river morphology, integrating and investigating the effects of geometric characteristics and vegetation-induced channel coarsening. The developed comprehensive framework combines several advanced techniques: Genetic Programming for refining the scour factor of transverse bed slope, a Leaf Area Index (LAI)-enhanced analytical model for quantifying vegetative flow resistance, and an upstream-weighted moving average method for efficient approximation of the convolution integral in meander migration calculations. The model is validated against both an idealized Kinoshita meander and a natural bend of the Tumen River (China) in equilibrium, demonstrating its robustness across diverse scales and conditions. The model's ability to simulate the long-term evolution, including cutoff events, provides valuable insight for river management strategies. The current findings demonstrate that channel geometry, particularly width-to-depth ratio, plays a dominant role in meander evolution, with wider channels prone to more complex and rapid morphological changes. Vegetation effects are most pronounced in channels with moderate width-to-depth ratios, where they can significantly influence migration rates and bed topography. A combination of channel widening and deepening, coupled with strategic vegetation management, can effectively enhance navigability while maintaining channel stability in the studied Tumen River reach. Sensitivity analyses highlight the complex interplay between hydraulic conditions, sediment characteristics, and vegetation in shaping river morphology. This research advances understanding of the multifaceted nature of meandering river systems and offers practical tools for informed decision-making in river engineering and environmental management, particularly in the context of climate change and increasing anthropogenic pressures on fluvial ecosystems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Predicting boron coordination in multicomponent borate and borosilicate glasses using analytical models and machine learning

Accurate prediction of boron coordination in multicomponent glasses is critical in glass science and technology as it strongly affects the properties of borate and borosilicate glasses. We have collected a dataset containing 657 glasses from literature with boron coordination values and developed models using analytical functions based on the well accepted Dell, Xiao and Bray model. Good prediction of boron coordination with a R 2 value higher than 0.8 was obtained. The large variation of boron coordination from experiments, originated from sample preparations and characterizations, led to difficulties in obtaining models with better prediction performance. Various machine learning (ML) algorithms were evaluated and slightly better prediction performance was observed; however, interpretation of the ML models is less straight forward. In conclusion, this study developed various models capable of providing quantitative boron coordination predictions, providing insights into its structural roles in multi-component glasses, and suggesting fruitful areas for future research.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A two-dimensional analytical unit cell model for redox flow battery evaluation and optimization

Cell performance optimization is important for improving the overall system efficiency of a redox flow battery. To gain better insights into key controlling factors of system efficiency, this work first proposed a theoretical model for a unit flow battery cell by extending a two-dimensional analytic model to a full battery cell. Such a model is then used for cell performance optimization after validating it with experimental and numerical modeling data. With the model results, the activation, equilibrium, and pump energy losses are identified as the dominant sources of battery energy losses. Further, a guideline for reducing these sources is also proposed. Following the guideline, the mass transport coefficient is shown as a key control factor of the equilibrium energy loss and Coulombic efficiency (CE). Approaches are then proposed to improve CE and the overall system efficiency. The mass transport is also revealed as the mechanism of pump rate optimization where an optimal pump rate significantly reduces the equilibrium energy loss. With both low equilibrium and pump energy losses, an optimal electrode porosity or specific area design can further improve a battery's system efficiency based on an optimal porosity predicted by the present model. The model also demonstrates distinct behaviors and overestimation in the system efficiency when reduced to a zero-dimensional model with neglected mass transport resistance. With the new model, the guideline, and new insights, this work provides a reliable and efficient tool for the evaluation and optimization of redox flow battery design in practical applications.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

$\mathrm{REX}$: An analytical tool for reactor operating envelope expansion through fuel-clad thermo-mechanics

Here REX, an analytical reactor design tool for the identification and expansion of reactor operating envelopes, is introduced and detailed. Written in MATLAB, REX takes core geometries and axially discretized detector and depletion output from the Serpent neutron transport code and performs full-core, pin-specific thermal-hydraulic and thermo-mechanical calculations. REX identifies the operating envelopes of advanced, solid-fuel nuclear reactors on the basis of their fuel-cladding, fuel-gas, and coolant-cladding interfacial thermo-mechanics. It iteratively pushes coolant inlet temperatures and modifies fuel pin geometries to induce mechanical failure in their original cladding materials at the fullest extent of their fuel cycle lengths and permissible coolant inlet temperatures. It then attempts to expand their operating envelopes by determining the mechanical responses of alternative cladding materials under the same geometric conditions. The result of the REX calculation sequence is a set of 5-D variables describing the temperatures, pressures, geometries, and mechanics of the core as functions of assembly, fuel pin, axial zone, depletion step, and coolant inlet temperature for each candidate cladding material with the limiting fuel pin geometry for the original material.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Universality driven analytic structure of QCD crossover: radius of convergence and QCD critical point

Recent lattice QCD calculations show strong indications that the crossover of QCD at zero baryon chemical potential (µB) is a remnant of the second order chiral phase transition. The non-universal parameters needed to map temperature T and µ B to the universal properties of the second order chiral phase transition were determined by lattice QCD calculations. Motivated by these advances, first, we discuss the analytic structure of the partition function - the so-called Yang-Lee edge singularity - in the QCD crossover regime, solely based on universal properties. Then, utilizing the lattice calculated non-universal parameters, we map this singularity to the real T and complex µ B plane, in order to find the radius of convergence for a Taylor series expansion of QCD partition function around µ B = 0 in the QCD crossover regime. Our most important findings are: (i) An universality-based estimate of the radius of convergence around µ B = 0; (ii) Universality and lattice QCD based constraints on the location of the QCD critical point in the T - µ B plane.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

A Three-Dimensional, Analytical Wind Turbine Wake Model: Flow Acceleration, Empirical Correlations, and Continuity

A new, three-dimensional, analytical, steady-state wake model is presented that includes local flow acceleration near the rotor, improving the wake description compared to existing models. Wake structures such as the momentum deficit and regions of accelerated flow are concisely described with compound and normal Gaussian functions. Large-eddy simulations (LES) are used as training data to develop the model using two in-line turbines under various inflow conditions parameterized by hub-height wind speed and turbulence intensity. Mass conservation is considered by fixing two components of the wake velocity model and optimizing the third to best satisfy continuity; after which, the model performs comparably if not better than existing work with regards to both relative error and mass consistency. The final model demonstrates a high degree of flexibility, making use of empirical correlations to scale across different inflow conditions. The inclusion of these effects is capable of revealing unused opportunities for enhanced power generation by aligning wake trajectories with these regions of accelerated flow.

modeling↗

Analytical Tools to Assess Polymer Biodegradation: A Critical Review and Recommendations

Many petroleum-derived plastic materials are highly recalcitrant and persistent in the environment, posing significant threats to human and ecological receptors due to their accumulation in ecosystems. In recent years, research efforts have focused on advancing biological methods for polymer degradation. Enzymatic depolymerization has emerged as particularly relevant for biobased plastic recycling, potentially scalable for industrial use. Biodegradation involves adsorption to the plastic solid surface, followed by an interfacial reaction, resulting in cleavage of bonds of polymer chains exposed on the surface. Here, widely varying substrate-specific kinetics are observed, with the polymer’s properties possessing a significant impact on the rate of this interfacial catalysis. Thus, there is a critical need for sensitive and accurate characterization of the material surface during and after interfacial depolymerization to fully understand the reaction mechanisms. Here, we provide a critical review of a range of techniques used in the analysis of material surfaces to characterize the chemical, topological, and morphological features relevant to the study of enzymatic biocatalysis, including microscopy techniques, spectroscopic techniques (e.g., X-ray diffraction analysis, Fourier transform infrared attenuated total reflectance spectroscopy, and mass spectrometry detection of analytes associated with degradation). Techniques for evaluation of surface energy and topology in their relevancy for sensitive detection of biological surface modifications are also discussed. In addition, this paper provides an overview of the strengths of these techniques and compares their performance in both sensitivity and throughput, including emerging techniques, which can be useful, particularly for the rapid analysis of the surface properties of polymeric materials in high-throughput screening of candidate biocatalysts. This research serves as a starting point in selecting and applying appropriate methodologies that provide direct evidence to the ongoing biotic degradation of polymeric materials.

Colachis, Matthew↗

Analytical solution for the cumulative wake of wind turbines in wind farms

This paper solves an approximate form of conservation of mass and momentum for a turbine in a wind farm array. The solution is a fairly simple explicit relationship that predicts the streamwise velocity distribution within a wind farm with an arbitrary layout. As this model is obtained by solving flow-governing equations directly for a turbine that is subject to upwind turbine wakes, no ad hoc superposition technique is needed to predict wind farm flows. A suite of large-eddy simulations (LES) of wind farm arrays is used to examine self-similarity as well as validity of the so-called conservation of momentum deficit for turbine wakes in wind farms. The simulations are performed with and without the presence of some specific turbines in the wind farm. This allows us to systematically study some of the assumptions made to develop the analytical model. A modified version of the conservation of momentum deficit is also proposed to provide slightly better results at short downwind distances, as well as in the far wake of turbines deep inside a wind farm. Model predictions are validated against the LES data for turbines in both full-wake and partial-wake conditions. While our results highlight the limitation in capturing the flow speed-up between adjacent turbine columns, the model is overall able to acceptably predict flow distributions for a moderately sized wind farm. Finally, the paper employs the new model to provide insights on the accuracy of common wake superposition methods.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

A vortex sheet based analytical model of the curled wake behind yawed wind turbines

Motivated by the need for compact descriptions of the evolution of non-classical wakes behind yawed wind turbines, we develop an analytical model to predict the shape of curled wakes. Interest in such modelling arises due to the potential of wake steering as a strategy for mitigating power reduction and unsteady loading of downstream turbines in wind farms. We first estimate the distribution of the shed vorticity at the wake edge due to both yaw offset and rotating blades. By considering the wake edge as an ideally thin vortex sheet, we describe its evolution in time moving with the flow. Vortex sheet equations are solved using a power series expansion method, and an approximate solution for the wake shape is obtained. The vortex sheet time evolution is then mapped into a spatial evolution by using a convection velocity. Apart from the wake shape, the lateral deflection of the wake including ground effects is modelled. Our results show that there exists a universal solution for the shape of curled wakes if suitable dimensionless variables are employed. For the case of turbulent boundary layer inflow, the decay of vortex sheet circulation due to turbulent diffusion is included. Finally, we modify the Gaussian wake model by incorporating the predicted shape and deflection of the curled wake, so that we can calculate the wake profiles behind yawed turbines. Model predictions are validated against large-eddy simulations and laboratory experiments for turbines with various operating conditions.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Simple, general, realistic, robust, analytic tokamak equilibria. Part 1. Limiter and divertor tokamaks

Tokamak equilibria have been derived that are analytic solutions to the Grad–Shafranov equation. Here in this paper, Part 1, describes a wide range of such equilibria including smooth limiter surfaces, double- and single-null divertor surfaces, arbitrary aspect ratio, elongation, triangularity and beta. Part 2 generalizes the analysis to include edge pedestals and toroidal flow.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Benchmarking magnetised three-wave coupling for laser backscattering: analytic solutions and kinetic simulations

Understanding magnetised laser–plasma interactions is important for controlling magneto-inertial fusion experiments and developing magnetically assisted radiation and particle sources. For nanosecond pulses at non-relativistic intensities, interactions are dominated by coherent three-wave interactions, whose nonlinear coupling coefficients became known only recently when waves propagate at oblique angles with the magnetic field. In this paper, backscattering coupling coefficients predicted by warm-fluid theory are benchmarked using particle-in-cell simulations in one spatial dimension, and excellent agreements are found for a wide range of plasma temperatures, magnetic field strengths and laser propagation angles, when the interactions are mediated by electron-dominant hybrid waves. Systematic comparisons between theory and simulations are made possible by a rigorous protocol. On the theory side, the initial boundary value problem of linearised three-wave equations is solved, and the transient-time solutions allow the effects of growth and damping to be distinguished. On the simulation side, parameters are carefully chosen and calibration runs are performed to ensure that comparisons are well controlled. Fitting simulation data to analytical solutions yields numerical growth rates that match theory predictions within error bars. Although warm-fluid theory is found to be valid for a wide parameter range, genuine kinetic effects have also been observed.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗