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At least 847 records · Page 47

A Multi-Fidelity Gaussian Process Regression Method for Probabilistic Wind Farm Power Curve Estimation

Accurate estimation of the power curve for wind turbines or wind farms is crucial to ensure their efficient operation and management. However, conventional methods for power curve estimation rely either on expensive and infrequent measurements or on low-quality numerical simulations. Moreover, the majority of previous studies on power curve estimation for wind turbines or wind farms focused on deterministic estimation, which provides a point estimate of the relationship between wind speed and power generation. Nevertheless, the deterministic approach fails to consider the inherent uncertainty associated with wind energy production resulting from varying turbine characteristics. This can lead to inaccurate power generation estimation and suboptimal decisions regarding energy management. In this paper, a kernel density estimation (KDE) based Multi-Fidelity Gaussian Process Regression (MFGPR) model is proposed to fuse theoretical power curve data and the ground true measurements to create a mapping of wind speed and wind power. By conducting a case study on an actual wind farm in China, the efficacy of the proposed MFGPR model was demonstrated in characterizing the variability of wind power. The probabilistic MFGPR model was also able to generate confidence intervals that encompassed the measured power, thereby improving the accuracy and confidence in wind power estimation or wind resource assessment. Overall, the proposed MFGPR model offers a reliable approach to integrate high-fidelity ground measurements and theoretical power curve data, resulting in precise wind resource assessment and power estimation.

Gaussian process regression↗

Preliminary Low-Speed Wind-Tunnel Investigation of Some Aspects of the Aerodynamic Problems Associated with Missiles Carried Externally in Positions Near Airplane Wings

A low-speed wind-tunnel investigation has been made of some aspects of the aerodynamic problems associated with the use of air-to-air missiles when carried externally on aircraft. Measurements of the forces and moments on a missile model for a range of positions under the mid-semispan location of a 45deg sweptback wing indicated longitudinal and lateral forces with regard to both carriage and release of the missiles. Surveys of the characteristics of the flow field in the region likely to be traversed by the missiles showed abrupt gradients in both flow angularity and in local dynamic pressure. Through the use of aerodynamic data on the isolated missile and the measured flow-field characteristics, the longitudinal forces and moments acting on the missile while in the presence of the wing-fuselage combination could be estimated with fair accuracy. Although the lateral forces and moments predicted were qualitatively correct, there existed some large discrepancies in absolute magnitude.

Alford, William J., Jr.↗

The Hurricane Imaging Radiometer: Present and Future

The Hurricane Imaging Radiometer (HIRAD) is an airborne passive microwave radiometer designed to provide high resolution, wide swath imagery of surface wind speed in tropical cyclones from a low profile planar antenna with no mechanical scanning. Wind speed and rain rate images from HIRAD's first field campaign (GRIP, 2010) are presented here followed, by a discussion on the performance of the newly installed thermal control system during the 2012 HS3 campaign. The paper ends with a discussion on the next generation dual polarization HIRAD antenna (already designed) for a future system capable of measuring wind direction as well as wind speed.

Miller, Timothy L.↗

High-Speed Wind-Tunnel Tests of a 0.3-Scale Model of the P-47D Airplane

Presented in this report are the results of high-speed wind-tunnel tests of a 0.3-scale model of the P-47D airplane. Included are the aerodynamic characteristics of the model, pressure distributions on the wing and horizontal tail, elevator hinge moments, and tuft photographs showing the flow over the wing and horizontal tail. The results indicate that, at level-flight lift coefficients, the P-47D airplane will not exhibit a diving tendency below a Mach number of 0.78 at an altitude of 20,000 feet or below a Mach number of 0.72 at an altitude of 40,000 feet. The Mach number at which the lift, drag, and pitching-moment coefficients diverged rapidly from the low speed values is about C.15 higher than the critical Mach number. This is an unusually large margin.

William T Hamilton↗

Multi-Wavelength Comparison of Jupiter’s Zonal Winds During the New Horizons and Cassini Flybys

We present Jovian zonal wind speeds measured during the Cassini and New Horizons Jupiter flybys in 2000 and 2007, respectively. We performed our cloud tracking wind measurements using an automated, two-dimensional correlation imaging velocimetry technique. We analyzed all LORRI panchromatic images from the New Horizons Jupiter flyby dataset. This LORRI measurement documents the state of Jupiter’s zonal mean wind speed in 2007 and extends the historical record of Jupiter’s winds that serve as useful points of comparison for Juno observations. Among the Cassini ISS images, we analyzed the CL1CL2, CB2, UV3, BL1, BL2, GRN, RED, IR1, IR2, IR3, IR4, MT2, and MT3 filters. Our Cassini measurements provide valuable context to understand the altitudes probed by LORRI. Comparing the panchromatic LORRI measurements against past wind measurements using images captured with various narrow and wide-band camera filters is not straightforward. Because the Cassini ISS CL1CL2 “clear” filter’s performance is similar to that of LORRI, comparing CL1CL2 winds against LORRI results will help determine if the New Horizons measurements represent Jupiter’s cloud-top zonal wind speeds or if they are sensitive to different altitudes. In addition to placing our New Horizons measurements in altitudinal context, the Cassini ISS's IR4, IR2, RED, GRN, and BL1 filters are similar to those on Europa Clipper EIS camera. Wind measurements performed using those ISS filters will enable comparison to future missions, including anticipated observations to be taken by Europa Clipper.

Jupiter↗

Preparing for Europa Clipper Jupiter Observations: Multi-Wavelength Zonal Winds During the New Horizons and Cassini Flybys

We present Jovian zonal wind speeds measured during the Cassini and New Horizons Jupiter flybys in 2000 and 2007, respectively. We performed our cloud tracking wind measurements using an automated, two-dimensional correlation imaging velocimetry technique. We analyzed all LORRI panchromatic images from the New Horizons Jupiter flyby dataset. This LORRI measurement documents the state of Jupiter’s zonal mean wind speed in 2007 and extends the historical record of Jupiter’s winds. Among the Cassini ISS images, we processed the CL1CL2, CB2, UV3, BL1, BL2, GRN, RED, IR1, IR2, IR3, IR4, MT2, and MT3 filters. Our Cassini measurements provide valuable context to understand the altitudes probed by LORRI. Comparing the panchromatic LORRI measurements against past wind measurements using images captured with various narrow and wide-band camera filters is not straightforward. Because the Cassini ISS CL1CL2 “clear” filter’s performance is similar to that of LORRI, comparing CL1CL2 winds against LORRI results will help determine if the New Horizons measurements represent Jupiter’s cloud-top zonal wind speeds or if they are sensitive to different altitudes. In addition to placing our New Horizons measurements in altitudinal context, the Cassini ISS's IR4, IR2, RED, GRN, and BL1 filters are similar to those on Europa Clipper EIS camera. Wind measurements performed using those ISS filters will enable comparison to future missions, including anticipated observations to be taken by Europa Clipper

Jupiter↗

Tool for Forecasting Cool-Season Peak Winds Across Kennedy Space Center and Cape Canaveral Air Force Station (CCAFS)

Peak wind speed is important element in 24-Hour and Weekly Planning Forecasts issued by 45th Weather Squadron (45 WS). Forecasts issued for planning operations at KSC/CCAFS. 45 WS wind advisories issued for wind gusts greater than or equal to 25 kt. 35 kt and 50 kt from surface to 300 ft. AMU developed cool-season (Oct - Apr) tool to help 45 WS forecast: daily peak wind speed, 5-minute average speed at time of peak wind, and probability peak speed greater than or equal to 25 kt, 35 kt, 50 kt. AMU tool also forecasts daily average wind speed from 30 ft to 60 ft. Phase I and II tools delivered as a Microsoft Excel graphical user interface (GUI). Phase II tool also delivered as Meteorological Interactive Data Display System (MIDDS) GUI. Phase I and II forecast methods were compared to climatology, 45 WS wind advisories and North American Mesoscale model (MesoNAM) forecasts in a verification data set.

Barrett, Joe H., III↗

Low-speed wind-tunnel tests of an advanced eight-bladed propeller

As part of a research program on advanced turboprop aircraft aerodynamics, a low-speed wind-tunnel investigation was conducted to document the basic performance and force and moment characteristics of an advanced eight-bladed propeller. The results show that in addition to the normal force and pitching moment produced by the propeller/nacelle combination at angle of attack, a significant side force and yawing moment are also produced. Furthermore, it is shown that for test conditions wherein compressibility effects can be ignored, accurate simulation of propeller performance and flow fields can be achieved by matching the nondimensional power loading of the model propeller to that of the full-scale propeller.

Coe, P. L., Jr.↗

Land-based wind plant wake characterization using dual-Doppler radar measurements at AWAKEN

Wind plant wakes have been shown to persist for tens of kilometers downstream in offshore environments, reducing the power output of neighboring plants, but their behavior on land remains relatively unexplored through observation. This study capitalizes on the unique and extensive field data collected for the American WAKE ExperimeNt (AWAKEN) project underway in northern Oklahoma. X-band dual-Doppler radars deployed at this site measure wind speed and direction at 25-m and 2-min resolution within a 30-km range, capturing the interactions between three neighboring wind plants. These measurements show that the wake of one wind plant extends at least 15 km downstream under easterly wind and stable atmospheric conditions. Though the wake wind speed increases within the first 10 km, it plateaus at 90% of the freestream wind speed. The spanwise velocity distribution within the wake initially shows the clear signature of the wind plant layout, which is smoothed as it propagates downstream, indicating spanwise momentum transfer is a key mechanism in wind plant wake development and recovery. These findings have important implications for wind plant siting decisions and resource assessments, and provide insights into atmospheric interactions at the wind plant scale.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Modeling of H2 Dispersion at ARIES

Hydrogen is a versatile and clean energy carrier that can be produced from various renewable sources such as wind, solar, and hydropower and help decarbonize electricity grids, industry, and transportation. Using the Hydrogen Research Facility under Advanced Research on Integrated Energy Systems (ARIES) at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory's (NREL) Flatirons campus as a test bench, the study examines the feasibility, useability, and value of using computational fluid dynamics (CFD) techniques to model hydrogen dispersion. The ARIES facility was chosen because controlled hydrogen releases can be performed at a rate of 27 kg-H2/hr. Site-specific atmospheric and weather condition data such as wind speed and temperature were used as inputs to the model. The results show statistical distributions and ranges of hydrogen concentrations at locations throughout the domain. Wind conditions are found to significantly impact the release behavior, including the hydrogen cloud's direction and concentrations. At low wind speeds (below 1 mph), hydrogen forms a cloud and at higher wind speeds (> 2-4 mph) hydrogen plume stretches in the direction of wind momentum. From >100 simulations for ARIES site-specific conditions, statistical quantities combined with a clustering algorithm were used to propose sensor location at various elevations from ground.

dispersion↗

Winds aloft statistical analysis in support of day of launch Shuttle systems evaluation

In connection with the development of the Meteorological Interactive Data Display System (MIDDS) for utilization by the Launch Systems Evaluation Advisory Team (LSEAT), requirements have been established to expand the pre-launch analysis of winds aloft for the Space Shuttle. Statistical analyses developed for the system include: comparison of pre-launch wind component profiles to wind component extremes at each altitude calculated from launch site historical data; conditional probability ellipses for wind vectors at a future time given the wind vector at an initial time; comparison of observed extreme wind shear and associated wind speed with launch site historical data utilizing the bivariate extreme value (Gumbel) distribution; estimation of extremes of wind speed or wind shear at a future time given the extremes of either variable at an initial time, utilizing the conditional extreme value distribution; power spectrum analysis for tracking wind perturbation energy in sequential pre-launch Jimsphere wind profiles.

Adelfang, S. I.↗

The sensitivity of the Fitch wind farm parameterization to a three-dimensional planetary boundary layer scheme

Abstract. Wind plant wake impacts can be estimated with a number of simulation methodologies, each with its own fidelity and sensitivity to model inputs. In turbine-free mesoscale simulations, hub-height wind speeds often significantly vary with the choice of a planetary boundary layer (PBL) scheme. However, the sensitivity of wind plant wakes to a PBL scheme has not been explored because, as of the Weather Research and Forecasting model v4.3.3, wake parameterizations were only compatible with one PBL scheme. We couple the Fitch wind farm parameterization with the new NCAR 3DPBL scheme and compare the resulting wakes to those simulated with a widely used PBL scheme. We simulate a wind plant in pseudo-steady states under idealized stable, neutral, and unstable conditions with matching hub-height wind speeds using two PBL schemes: MYNN and the NCAR 3DPBL. For these idealized scenarios, average hub-height wind speed losses within the plant differ between PBL schemes by between −0.20 and 0.22 m s−1, and correspondingly, capacity factors range between 39.5 %–53.8 %. These simulations suggest that PBL schemes represent a meaningful source of modeled wind resource uncertainty; therefore, we recommend incorporating PBL variability into future wind plant planning sensitivity studies as well as wind forecasting studies.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

WAMDII: The Wide Angle Michelson Doppler Imaging Interferometer

As part of an effort to learn more about the upper atmosphere and how it is linked to the weather experienced each day, NASA and NRCC are jointly sponsoring the Wide Angle Michelson Doppler Imaging Interferometer (WAMDII) Mission. WAMDII will measure atmospheric temperature and wind speed in the upper atmosphere. In addition to providing data on the upper atmosphere, the wind speed and temperature readings WAMDII takes will also be highly useful in developing and updating computer simulated models of the upper atmosphere. These models are used in the design and testing of equipment and software for Shuttles, satellites, and reentry vehicles. In making its wind speed and temperature measurements, WAMDII examines the Earth's airglow, a faint photochemical luminescence caused by the influx of solar ultraviolet energy into the upper atmosphere. During periods of high solar flare activity, the amount of this UV energy entering the upper atmosphere increases, and this increase may effect airglow emissions.

Source record↗

30 WS North Base Wind Study

The 30 Weather Squadron (30 WS) is concerned about strong winds observed at their northern towers without advance warning. They state that terrain influences along the extreme northern fringes of Vandenberg Air Force Base (VAFB) make it difficult for forecasters to issue timely and accurate high wind warnings for northeasterly wind events. These events tend to occur during the winter or early spring when they are under the influence of the Great Basin high pressure weather regime. The Launch Weather Officers (LWOs) have seen these rapid wind increases in the current northern Towers 60, 70 and 71 in excess of their 35 kt operational warning threshold. For this task, the 30 WS requested the Applied Meteorology Unit (AMU) analyze data from days when these towers reported winds in excess of 35 kt and determine if there were any precursors in the observations that would allow the LWOs to better forecast and warn their operational customers for these wind events. The 30 WS provided wind tower data for the cool season (October - March) from the period January 2004-March 20 IO. The AMU decoded and evaluated the wind tower data for 66 days identified by the 30 WS as having high-wind events. Out of the 66 event days, only 30 had wind speed observations of > or =35 kt from at least one of the three northern towers. The AMU analyzed surface and upper air charts to determine the synoptic conditions for each event day along with tower peak wind speed and direction time series and wind rose charts for all 30 event days. The analysis revealed a trend on all event days in which the tower winds shifted to the northeast for a period of time before the first recorded > or =35 kt wind speed. The time periods for the 30 event days ranged from 20 minutes to several hours, with a median value of 110 minutes. This trend, if monitored, could give the 30 WS forecasters a precursor to assist in issuing an operational warning before a high wind event occurs. The AMU recommends developing a high-wind alert capability for VAFB using a local mesoscale model to forecast these wind events. The model should incorporate all of the VAFB local data sets and have a forecast capability of between 2 to 24 hours. Such a model would allow the meteorologists at VAFB to alert the operational customers of high wind events in a timely manner so protective action could be taken.

Wheeler, Mark↗

Estimates of solar wind heating inside 0.3 AU

Helios 1 proton temperature data have been normalized in order to determine a base temperature-velocity curve at 0.3 AU and to provide quantitative estimates on the close-in heating at different solar wind velocities. The results suggest that the slope of the solar wind temperature gradients for high-speed streams inside 0.3 AU is about half of that found beyond it. The very-low-speed wind is shown to expand adiabatically all the way out. It is also found that intermediate speed winds have enhanced heating rates in proportion to their velocities.

Freeman, John W.↗

A Search for Solar Sources of High-Speed Solar Wind Streams

This report covers technical progress during the third and fourth years of Subcontract No. 5710000474, 'A Search for Solar Sources of High-speed Solar Wind Streams,' between Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), covering the period November 2000 to December 2002. This is a subcontract originating from NASA SR&T Contract NAG5-7967 with MIT. In the following sections we summarize our progress during this reporting period.

Mikic, Zoran↗

NROSS scatterometer - An instrument for global oceanic wind observations

One of the instruments - the NROSS scatterometer or SCATT - to be launched on the Navy Remote Ocean Sensing System spacecraft in 1989 is discussed. To determine wind speed and direction that SCATT will measure the ocean normalized radar cross section (NRCS) by illuminating the ocean's surface with microwave pulses and measuring the return signal power. A wind retrieval algorithm is used to compute the wind speed and direction from the measured NRCS. Winds over at least 90 percent of the global, ice-free ocean will be observed at least once every two days. For NASA users, the system will retrieve winds with an accuracy of plus or minus 2 m/s or 10 percent whichever is greater, for wind speeds ranging from 3 to 30 m/s.

Li, F.↗

Cosmic ray modulation by high-speed solar wind fluxes

Cosmic ray intensity variations connected with recurrent high-speed fluxes (HSF) of solar wind are investigated. The increase of intensity before the Earth gets into a HSF, north-south anisotropy and diurnal variation of cosmic rays inside a HSF as well as the characteristics of Forbush decreases are considered.

Dorman, L. I.↗