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At least 847 records · Page 47

Radio Emissions from the Outer Heliosphere

For nearly fifteen years the Voyager 1 and 2 spacecraft have been detecting an unusual radio emission in the outer heliosphere in the frequency range from about 2 to 3 kHz. Two major events have been observed, the first in 1983-84 and the second in 1992-93. In both cases the onset of the radio emission occurred about 400 days after a period of intense solar activity, the first in mid-July 1982, and the second in May-June 1991. These two periods of solar activity produced the two deepest cosmic ray Forbush decreases ever observed. Forbush decreases are indicative of a system of strong shocks and associated disturbances propagating outward through the heliosphere. The radio emission is believed to have been produced when this system of shocks and disturbances interacted with one of the outer boundaries of the heliosphere, most likely in the vicinity of the the heliopause. The emission is believed to be generated by the shock-driven Langmuir-wave mode conversion mechanism, which produces radiation at the plasma frequency (f(sub p)) and at twice the plasma frequency (2f(sub p)). From the 400-day travel time and the known speed of the shocks, the distance to the interaction region can be computed, and is estimated to be in the range from about 110 to 160 AU.

Gurnett, D. A.↗

Revised predictions of LDEF exposure to trapped protons

Initial estimates of LDEF exposure to the trapped proton environment were reported previously to aid in the interpretation dosimetry data and in conjunction with dosimetry response predictions. These previous estimates were made using the standard NASA AP8 trapped proton models for two sets of assumed conditions: (1) the omnidirectional flux spectra were calculated with the LDEF altitude and solar activity variations taken into account; and (2) the NASA Marshall anisotropy model was applied to obtain directional spectra, but only for solar minimum conditions and at a single altitude. Herein, the directional trapped proton fluence spectra is calculated considering both the altitude variation and solar activity during the LDEF mission. These additional results represent an extension of previous calculations to provide a more definitive description of the LDEF trapped proton exposure.

Watts, J. W., Jr.↗

Large-scale variations of the interplanetary magnetic field: Voyager 1 and 2 observations between 1-5 AU

Observations by the Voyager 1 and 2 spacecraft of the interplanetary magnetic field between 1 and 5 AU were used to investigate the large scale structure of the IMF in a period of increasing solar activity. The Voyager spacecraft found notable deviations from the Parker axial model. These deviations are attributed both to temporal variations associated with increasing solar activity, and to the effects of fluctuations of the field in the radial direction. The amplitude of the latter fluctuations were found to be large relative to the magnitude of the radial field component itself beyond approximately 3 AU. Both Voyager 1 and Voyager 2 observed decreases with increasing heliocentric distance in the amplitude of transverse fluctuations in the averaged field strength (B) which are consistent with the presence of predominantly undamped Alfven waves in the solar wind, although and necessarily implying the presence of them. Fluctuations in the strength of B (relative to mean field strength) were found to be small in amplitude, with a RMS which is approximately one third of that for the transverse fluctuations and they are essentially independent of distance from the Sun.

Burlaga, L. F.↗

Solar-induced variations of environment affecting manned space flight and spacecraft operations

Estimates of short and long term solar activity are required for calculating variations in the environment with regard to spacecraft charging, radiation effects, and orbital lifetime. Correlations appear to exist between the time of solar activity and the time of operational anomalies due to electrical discharges when the dielectric surfaces of geosynchronous spacecraft are charged by interaction with the ambient plasma to levels above breakdown voltage. An ability to predict the solar induced variation variability of the plasmas could permit refinement of design criteria. The influence of the radiation on spacecraft materials, systems, and manned operations is summarized. Solar radition effects on the orbital altitude atmospheric density environment and spacecraft lifetimes are also considered.

Johnson, W. G.↗

Four-Formation In-Track Configuration Maintenance Strategy

The aim of this paper is to present the analysis conducted by CNES for the maintenance of a formation made of several LEO satellites (typically 4) in several planes (typically 2), 100 km or so apart from each other. The along-track separations between the satellites have to be controlled to within 15 km thanks to orbit correction maneuvers supposed to be performed every 2 weeks. The main difficulty is related to solar activity which is expected to be close to its maximum for the entire mission s lifespan. As a matter of fact, a high solar activity makes orbit prediction harder, and makes it impossible to keep the altitude of the formation constant. Thus, a specific relative maintenance strategy had to be devised in order to meet the mission's requirements. The first part provides a few elements on the mission analysis process that has taken place. The method used for the evaluation of the maneuver frequency is detailed, based on the evaluation of the effects of atmospheric drag on the orbit. The second part is dedicated to the maintenance strategy that has been designed, and particularly to the computation of the reference orbits and of the velocity increments that enable the in-track inter-satellite distances to be maintained within the desired bounds. Finally a few simulation results are presented; they enable the performance of the maintenance strategy to be checked in a more realistic context.

Lamy, Alain↗

Study of the Mass-loss Rate from the Sun

We investigate the temporal evolution of the yearly total mass-loss rate (YTMLR) from the Sun through coronal mass ejections (CMEs) over solar cycles 23 and 24. The mass determination of CMEs can be subject to significant uncertainty. To minimize this problem, we have used extensive statistical analysis. For this purpose, we employed data included in the Coordinated Data Analysis Workshop (CDAW) catalog. We estimated the contributions to mass loss from the Sun from different subsamples of CMEs (selected on the basis of their masses, angular widths, and position angles). The temporal variations of the YTMLR were compared to those of the sunspot number (SSN), X-ray flare flux, and the Disturbance Storm Time (Dst) index. We show that the CME mass included in the CDAW catalog reflects with high accuracy the actual mass-loss rate from the Sun through CMEs. Additionally, it is shown that the CME mass distribution in the log-lin representation reflects the Gaussian distribution very well. This means that the CMEs included in the CDAW catalog form one coherent population of ejections that have been correctly identified. Unlike the CME occurrence rate, it turns out that the YTMLR is a very good indicator of solar activity (e.g., SSN) and space weather (e.g., Dst index) consequences. These results are very important, since the YTMLR, unlike the mass loss through solar wind, significantly depends on solar cycles.

the sun↗

Ground increase of cosmic ray intensity on February 16, 1984

The event of February 16, 1984 is one of the two largest ground increases of solar cosmic rays (CR) in the last two cycles of solar activity. This event happended at a decrease of the 21-st cycle against a quiet background. Although at the beginning of 1984 the observed indices of solar activity were higher than those at the end of 1983, the day of February 16 16 may be characterized as very quiet. On that day the geomagnetic perturbance (Sigma F sub p = 14, A sub p = 7) was the lowest in February. After a small Forbush decrease due to the magnetic storm of February 12-13, the CR intensity almost completely recovered by February 16. Thus, the solar particles that came to the Earth on February 16 got into a practically unperturbed magnetosphere, and the variations of secondary CR induced by these particles were not superimposed on any other substantial variations of extraterrestrial or magnetospheric origin.

Belov, A. V.↗

Solar prediction analysis

Solar Activity prediction is essential to definition of orbital design and operational environments for space flight. This task provides the necessary research to better understand solar predictions being generated by the solar community and to develop improved solar prediction models. The contractor shall provide the necessary manpower and facilities to perform the following tasks: (1) review, evaluate, and assess the time evolution of the solar cycle to provide probable limits of solar cycle behavior near maximum end during the decline of solar cycle 22, and the forecasts being provided by the solar community and the techniques being used to generate these forecasts; and (2) develop and refine prediction techniques for short-term solar behavior flare prediction within solar active regions, with special emphasis on the correlation of magnetic shear with flare occurrence.

Smith, Jesse B.↗

Measurements of Space Radiation On, and On the Way To, Mars - Paper 123

The Mars Science Laboratory (MSL) spacecraft, with the Curiosity rover inside, was launched to Mars on November 25, 2011, and landed successfully on August 6, 2012. Curiosity's science payload includes ten science instruments, one of which is the Radiation Assessment Detector, RAD. The radiation environment in deep space is harsh, and is a limiting factor in planning future human missions. RAD's measurements of the radiation environments on Mars, and on a spacecraft during transit to Mars, are important precursors to a crewed mission. RAD is a compact instrument with a mass of just 1.56 kg. Despite its small size, RAD is capable of measuring the charged and neutral particles that make up the complex environments created by Galactic Cosmic Rays (GCRs) and Solar Energetic Particles (SEPs) as they traverse shielding materials. The space radiation environment consists of a continuous flux of GCRs, the intensity of which is modulated by solar activity. At or near times of solar maximum, the interplanetary magnetic field is relatively strong, and lower-energy GCRs are screened. At solar minimum, the field weakens with a corresponding increase in GCR fluxes. SEP events are sporadic, and are more likely to occur near solar maximum. Both GCRs and SEPs present potential health risks to astronauts, but the risks are of different types. The dose rate from GCRs is modest and cannot cause acute health effects. However serious late effects may arise; of particular concern are the largely unknown health effects of exposure to high-energy GCR heavy ions. There is no terrestrial analog for this exposure and this leads to large uncertainties in health risk estimates. In contrast, SEP events can be extremely intense and could potentially cause acute health effects, but they are also dominated by protons with energies below 100 MeV, which means that shielding is a practical and effective option. (authors)

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

The mechanism of temperature and pressure changes in the Earth's atmosphere during solar flares

The effect of solar flares on the weather on Earth is examined. It is concluded that the processes which arise in the atmosphere are so intricate that a single calculation of solar activity is insufficient for long-range forecasting. However, combined consideration of processes dependent upon the dynamic instability of the atmosphere and the effect of solar activity will contribute to the improvement of long-range forecasts.

Reshetov, V. D.↗

Sun Series program for the REEDA System

Modifications made to data bases and to four programs in a series of computer programs (Sun Series) which run on the REEDA HP minicomputer system to aid NASA's solar activity predictions used in orbital life time predictions are described. These programs utilize various mathematical smoothing technique and perform statistical and graphical analysis of various solar activity data bases residing on the REEDA System.

Shankle, R. W.↗

The modulation features of the long-period cosmic ray variations in connection with the sign change of the general magnetic field of the Sun

On the basis of the model and experimental investigations, the spatial distribution of cosmic ray anisotropy for the different epochs of solar activity is studied. A solution is offered to the anisotropic diffusion equation with regard to the electromagnetic conditions for the periods of minimum and maximum solar activity and cosmic ray particle drift in a regular interplanetary magnetic field. It is shown that the long period changes amplitude and phase of the diurnal variations of cosmic rays is limited not only by convection and diffusion of particles but also by the drift effect before and after the sing change of the general magnetic field of the Sun. The calculated model is compared with the results obtained on the basis of an analysis of the experimental data from the neutron super monitor station, and it is shown that for the periods when the lines of magnetic force of the Sun come from the Northern Hemisphere the phase of the first harmonic diurnal variation is shifted forwards to an earlier time.

Iskra, K.↗

Further study of the theta component of the interplanetary magnetic field.

Measurements of the interplanetary magnetic field taken with Imp 3, Pioneer 6, and Explorer 34 constitute a large portion of the data available at low and moderate solar activity and provide nearly continuous coverage from mid-1965 through 1966 without radial effects. Study of these observations provides further evidence for the following B sub theta effect initially discovered with Mariners 2, 4, and 5. At low or moderate solar activity, the mean value of B sub theta is negative (approximately northward in the observations) above the solar equatorial plane and positive below it for an interplanetary field directed outward from the sun, and vice versa for an inward field. Thus, for an outward field, the r-theta component of a line of magnetic force above or below the equatorial plane was skewed relative to the average value of r in the direction away from the equatorial plane. Comparisons between different spacecraft are discussed.

Rosenberg, R. L.↗

On the relationship between secular brightness changes of Titan and solar variability

Titan's geometric albedo varied noticeably from 1972 to 1978, in phase with variations in solar activity (Lockwood and Thompson, 1979). A series of radiative transfer and aerosol formation calculations were made to demonstrate the feasibility of the following scenario for these secular brightness changes. Solar activity changes, especially in the UV output of the sun, result in alterations to the mass production rate of aerosols in Titan's atmosphere, which lead to modifications of their microphysical properties. The latter, in turn, cause the albedo to vary. Current estimates of the change in the solar UV radiation below the dissociation limit of methane imply alterations to the mean radius of the aerosols over an 11-yr solar cycle that are consistent in sign and magnitude with those required to explain the observed secular brightness changes.

Pollack, J. B.↗

Long-term variations of the solar wind proton parameters

Interplanetary plasma data taken near 1 AU by a variety of spacecraft (Imp 1, Vela 2-4, Explorer 33-35, and Heos 1) from 1963 to 1971 are used to study the long-term variations of the solar wind proton properties. An intercalibration among the different experiments is performed in order to obtain a coherent set of data. The most interesting result is a 40% reduction of the proton density between the minimum and the maximum of the solar activity cycle. The observed density variation occurs throughout the velocity range; however, a limited sample of data could suggest that at very low velocities (below 300 km/sec) the density is independent of the solar activity. The proton bulk velocity is remarkably constant during the period considered; small increases of the average speed occurring in 1968 and 1971 cannot be attributed to the solar cycle. No clear trend is exhibited by the proton temperature; differences among the various experiments probably have an instrumental origin.

Diodato, L.↗

Deciphering solar magnetic activity. I. On the relationship between the sunspot cycle and the evolution of small magnetic features

Sunspots are a canonical marker of the Sun's internal magnetic field which flips polarity every ∼22 yr. The principal variation of sunspots, an ∼11 yr variation, modulates the amount of the magnetic field that pierces the solar surface and drives significant variations in our star's radiative, particulate, and eruptive output over that period. This paper presents observations from the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory and Solar Dynamics Observatory indicating that the 11 yr sunspot variation is intrinsically tied to the spatio-temporal overlap of the activity bands belonging to the 22 yr magnetic activity cycle. Using a systematic analysis of ubiquitous coronal brightpoints and the magnetic scale on which they appear to form, we show that the landmarks of sunspot cycle 23 can be explained by considering the evolution and interaction of the overlapping activity bands of the longer-scale variability.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Deciphering Solar Magnetic Activity. I. On the Relationship Between the Sunspot Cycle and the Evolution of Small Magnetic Features

Sunspots are a canonical marker of the Sun's internal magnetic field which flips polarity every ~22 yr. The principal variation of sunspots, an ~11 yr variation, modulates the amount of the magnetic field that pierces the solar surface and drives significant variations in our star's radiative, particulate, and eruptive output over that period. This paper presents observations from the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory and Solar Dynamics Observatory indicating that the 11 yr sunspot variation is intrinsically tied to the spatio-temporal overlap of the activity bands belonging to the 22 yr magnetic activity cycle. Using a systematic analysis of ubiquitous coronal brightpoints and the magnetic scale on which they appear to form, we show that the landmarks of sunspot cycle 23 can be explained by considering the evolution and interaction of the overlapping activity bands of the longer-scale variability.

Sun: interior↗