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At least 847 records · Page 47

Suppression of ferromagnetic correlations in hole-doped SrCo 2 As 2

We report the growth of high-quality single crystals of hole-doped composition Sr 0.95 K 0.05 Co 2 As 2 and present an investigation of its structural, electronic, thermal, and magnetic properties. Our results show that hole doping leads to a substantial suppression of ferromagnetic (FM) correlations present in SrCo 2 As 2 leading to nearly isotropic magnetic susceptibilities χ ab,c (T) of Sr 0.95 K 0.05 Co 2 As 2 . The presence of FM fluctuations is considered one of the detrimental reasons why SrCo 2 As 2 does not achieve a superconducting ground state despite having a precursor for it in the form of stripe-like antiferromagnetic fluctuations. The suppression of FM fluctuations leads to qualitative similarities between the properties of hole-doped SrCo 2 As 2 and the end member of superconducting 122 iron-arsenide family KFe 2 As 2 . Our results also infer the presence of strongly correlated electronic states in Sr 0.95 K 0.05 Co 2 As 2 . Further, they show that the electronic structure of SrCo 2 As 2 as well as this hole-doped composition is exceptionally unstable in the vicinity of Fermi level EF for small alterations in the structural parameters and sensitively depends upon the details of simulation.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

The Radar Echo Telescope for Cosmic Rays: Pathfinder experiment for a next-generation neutrino observatory

The Radar Echo Telescope for Cosmic Rays (RET-CR) is a recently funded experiment designed to detect the englacial cascade of a cosmic ray-initiated air shower via in-ice radar, toward the goal of a full-scale, next-generation experiment to detect ultrahigh energy neutrinos in polar ice. For cosmic rays with a primary energy greater than 10 PeV, roughly 10% of an air shower’s energy reaches the surface of a high elevation ice sheet (≳2 ˙km) concentrated into a radius of roughly 10 cm. This penetrating shower core creates an in-ice cascade orders of magnitude more dense than the preceding in-air cascade. Additionally, this dense cascade can be detected via the radar echo technique, where transmitted radio waves are reflected from the ionization deposit left in the wake of the cascade. RET-CR will test the radar echo method in nature, with the in-ice cascade of a cosmic ray-initiated air shower serving as a test beam. In this work, we present the projected event rate and sensitivity based upon a three part simulation using corsika, geant4, and radioscatter. RET-CR expects ~1 radar echo event per day.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Foreground-immune CMB lensing reconstruction with polarization

Extragalactic foregrounds are known to generate significant biases in temperature based CMB lensing reconstruction. Several techniques, which include "source hardening'" and "shear-only estimators'' have been proposed to mitigate contamination and have been shown to be very effective at reducing foreground-induced biases. Here we extend both techniques to polarization, which will be an essential component of CMB lensing reconstruction for future experiments and investigate the "large lens'' limit analytically to gain insight on the origin and scaling of foreground biases, as well as the sensitivity to their profiles. Furthermore, using simulations of polarized point sources, we estimate the expected bias to both Simons Observatory and CMB-S4 like (polarization-based) lensing reconstruction, finding that biases to the former are minuscule while those to the latter are potentially non-negligible at small scales ($L$ ~ $1000-2000$). In particular, we show that for a CMB-S4 like experiment, an optimal linear combination of point-source hardened estimators can reduce the (point-source induced) bias to the CMB lensing power spectrum by up to two orders of magnitude, at a ~ 4% noise cost relative to the global minimum variance estimator.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Effect of cold cap coverage and emissivity on the plenum temperature in a pilot-scale waste vitrification melter

Integrated computational fluid dynamics (CFD) models are being developed to model the complex physics occurring within the high-level waste melter for vitrification of legacy tank waste at the Hanford site. Here, we present a validation of the integrated CFD model by using data from two experimental runs in a pilot-scale melter. While the model uses several simplifying assumptions (such as constant heat sinks from a cooling jacket and inleakage of ambient air, steady state feed-to-batch conversion heat, and a cold cap model with a simplified shape), it closely predicts the molten glass (1150°C and 1175°C) and plenum temperatures (550°C) obtained from thermocouples during two pilot-scale tests, with an average cold cap coverage of 80%. Additional simulations were performed to explore the sensitivity of the predicted plenum temperatures to variations in cold cap coverage (fraction of melt surface covered by the glass batch) and batch emissivity. The plenum temperature was found to be in the range of 606°C when cold cap coverage decreased from 95% to 70%. Cold cap emissivity had a smaller effect, increasing the plenum temperature by as much as 179°C when cold cap emissivity increased from 0.2 to 0.8. Maintaining a high cold cap coverage without overfeeding is important for a sustained melter operation with high glass throughput. This work provides a tool for achieving that goal in terms of correlating the plenum temperature with the cold cap coverage.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Adapting CLUTCH methodology to multigroup TSUNAMI-3D for eigenvalue sensitivity calculations

The sensitivity of the eigenvalue to uncertainties in nuclear data and its evaluation are important for nuclear criticality safety. TSUNAMI-3D sequences within the SCALE code system offer several options to the user community for calculating eigenvalue sensitivity coefficients with multigroup (MG) and continuous energy (CE) 3D transport capabilities. TSUNAMI-3D sequences implement the adjoint-based perturbation theory with MG KENO code, the Contributon Linked eigenvalue sensitivity/Uncertainty estimation via Track length importance CHaracterization (CLUTCH) method with CE KENO code, and the Iterated Fission Probability (IFP) method with CE KENO and Shift codes. Each method has benefits and limitations depending on the problem that is run. The work presented here aims to adapt the CLUTCH method, which enables the Contributon method's mesh-free, memory-efficient approach for calculating adjoint-weighted tallies for sensitivity calculations, to the MG TSUNAMI-3D sequence. This application would eliminate the explicit adjoint KENO calculation, as well as the memory-consuming mesh flux moment tallies required by the conventional MG TSUNAMI-3D. Smaller memory footprints in the CLUTCH methodology and relatively shorter runtimes in MG KENO transport can make MG TSUNAMI-3D a viable method for some complex problems. Moreover, this adaptation allows MG sensitivity calculations with Shift, ORNL's next-generation high-performance Monte Carlo transport code, which currently does not offer any sensitivity capabilities with MG particle transport simulations. Initial implementation of the new MG TSUNAMI-3D sequence and its preliminary results with a selected critical benchmark experiment in the Verified, Archived Library of Inputs and Data (VALID) are presented in this study.

KENO↗

Metrics for evaluating tropical cyclones in climate data

This manuscript describes a software suite that can be used for objective evaluation of tropical cyclones (TCs) in gridded climate data. Using cyclone trajectories derived from 6-hourly data, a comprehensive set of metrics is defined to systematically compare and contrast products to one another. In addition to annual TC climatologies, attention is paid to spatial and temporal patterns of storm occurrence and intensity. Assessment can be performed either on the global scale or regional domains. Simple to visualize ‘scorecards’ allow for rapid credibility assessment. We showcase three key findings enabled by this suite. First, we compare the representation of TCs in seven current-generation global reanalyses and conclude that higher resolution models and those with TC-specific assimilation contain more accurate storm climatologies. Second, using a free-running Earth system model (ESM) we find that full basin refinement is required in variable-resolution configurations to adequately simulate North Atlantic TC frequency. Furthermore, upstream refinement over northern Africa offers little benefit in simulating storm occurrence but spatial genesis patterns are improved. Finally, we show that TCs simulated by ESMs can be highly sensitive to individual parameterizations in climate models, with North Atlantic TC metrics varying greatly depending on version of the Morrison-Gettelman microphysics package.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Quantifying the Impacts of Land Surface Modeling on Hub-Height Wind Speed under Different Soil Conditions

We investigate the impact of three land surface models (LSMs) on hub-height wind speed under three different soil regimes (dry, wet, and frozen) to understand and improve the physics of wind energy forecasts using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. A six-day representative period is selected for each soil condition. The simulated wind speed, surface energy budget and soil properties are compared with the observations collected from the second Wind Forecast Improvement Project (WFIP2). For the selected cases, our simulation results suggest that, the impact of LSMs on hub-height wind speed are sensitive to the soil states but not so much to the choice of LSM. The simulated hub-height wind speed is in much better agreement with the observations for the dry soil case than the wet and frozen soil cases. Over the dry soil, there is a strong physical connection between the land surface and hub-height wind speed through near-surface turbulent mixing. Over the wet soil, the simulated hub-height wind speed is less impacted by land surface due to weaker surface fluxes and more dominated by large-scale synoptic disturbances. Over the frozen soil, the land surface model seems to have limited impact on hub-height wind speed variability due to the decoupling of the land surface with the overlying atmosphere. Two main sources of modeling uncertainties are proposed. The first are the insufficient model physics representing the surface energy budget, especially the ground heat flux, and the second are the inaccurate initial soil states such as soil temperature and soil moisture.

Xia, Geng↗

Dakota-NAERM Integration

This report presents the results of a collaborative effort under the Verification, Validation, and Uncertainty Quantification (VVUQ) thrust area of the North American Energy Resilience Model (NAERM) program. The goal of the effort described in this report was to integrate the Dakota software with the NAERM software framework to demonstrate sensitivity analysis of a co-simulation for NAERM.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Fiber-Optic Bolometer and Calorimeter Arrays for Magnetically Confined Plasmas

Bolometers measure the plasma radiation and provide essential diagnostic information both for safe, sustainable operation of magnetic-confinement fusion (MCF) devices and for study of the relevant physics. The fusion community has been replying on resistive bolometers for plasma radiation measurement. However, their performance is greatly compromised by the strong electromagnetic interference present in MCF devices. Previously, we have demonstrated a fiber-optic bolometer that has the promise to overcome the challenges related to the strong EMI in the MCF environment. In this project, we study the performance of the fiber-optic bolometer in a simulated MCF environment and improved the sensitivity through a novel sensor design. Part of the work reported here was performed between 09/01-12/31/2017 when the PI was with University of Nebraska-Lincoln under the same project but with a different award number (DE-SC0018273).

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Nanoindentation Stress Relaxation to Quantify Dislocation Velocity–Stress Exponent

This work reports a new methodology using indentation stress relaxation to characterize the dislocation velocity–stress exponent. Through the indentation stress relaxation process, the dislocation structure builds up at the rate governed by dislocation velocity, which is a function of the externally applied stress. The relationship between the dislocation velocity and stress can thus be derived from the indentation stress relaxation data of the stress as a function of time. In this study, instrumented nanoindentation stress relaxation experiments were performed on pure aluminum samples, following three different initial displacement rates of 100, 400, and 800 nm/s. Based on the scaling properties of dislocation kinetics, the data were interpreted to derive a dislocation velocity–stress exponent of 2.5 ± 0.5 for room-temperature aluminum. Crystal plasticity finite-element simulations were performed to illustrate the sensitivity of the proposed nanoindentation stress relaxation methodology to the dislocation velocity–stress exponent value.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

What Machine Learning Can and Cannot Do for Inertial Confinement Fusion

Machine learning methodologies have played remarkable roles in solving complex systems with large data, well-defined input–output pairs, and clearly definable goals and metrics. The methodologies are effective in image analysis, classification, and systems without long chains of logic. Recently, machine-learning methodologies have been widely applied to inertial confinement fusion (ICF) capsules and the design optimization of OMEGA (Omega Laser Facility) capsule implosion and NIF (National Ignition Facility) ignition capsules, leading to significant progress. As machine learning is being increasingly applied, concerns arise regarding its capabilities and limitations in the context of ICF. ICF is a complicated physical system that relies on physics knowledge and human judgment to guide machine learning. Additionally, the experimental database for ICF ignition is not large enough to provide credible training data. Most researchers in the field of ICF use simulations, or a mix of simulations and experimental results, instead of real data to train machine learning models and related tools. They then use the trained learning model to predict future events. This methodology can be successful, subject to a careful choice of data and simulations. However, because of the extreme sensitivity of the neutron yield to the input implosion parameters, physics-guided machine learning for ICF is extremely important and necessary, especially when the database is small, the uncertain-domain knowledge is large, and the physical capabilities of the learning models are still being developed. In this work, we identify problems in ICF that are suitable for machine learning and circumstances where machine learning is less likely to be successful. This study investigates the applications of machine learning and highlights fundamental research challenges and directions associated with machine learning in ICF.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Modeling uncertainties in greenhouse gas (GHG) emission factors related to switchgrass-based biofuel production

This study investigates uncertainties in greenhouse gas (GHG) emission factors related to switchgrass-based biofuel production in Michigan. Using three life cycle assessment (LCA) databases— US lifecycle inventory database (USLCI), GREET, and Ecoinvent—each with multiple versions, we recalculated the global warming intensity (GWI) and GHG mitigation potential in a static calculation. Employing Monte Carlo simulations along with local and global sensitivity analyses, we assess uncertainties and pinpoint key parameters influencing GWI.

greenhouse ga emmission↗

Response of marine post-frontal clouds to Gulf Stream variability

Understanding how Gulf Stream variation influences cloud morphology is critical for evaluating cloud feedback in the western North Atlantic Ocean and beyond, where mesoscale air-sea interactions dominate. This study investigates the impact of altered mean sea surface temperature (SST) and SST gradients on post-frontal cloud characteristics during cold-air outbreaks, using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. Three sensitivity experiments are conducted: a control simulation (default SST), Plus4 (uniform SST increase of 4 K), and Gradplus (SST gradient enhanced by 25 %, centered around mean SST). Results reveal distinctly different responses in boundary layer dynamics and cloud macro-physics. In Plus4, a warmer and moister boundary layer reduces total cloud cover but promotes larger cloud sizes and elongated cloud streets, with diminished liquid water and enhanced ice-phase hydrometeors. Conversely, Gradplus amplifies impacts in the upwind colder SST regions, yielding a drier, colder boundary layer, weaker energy transport, and higher liquid water path but reduced ice water content and cloud lines. Tracer analysis highlights that SST modifications alter airmass sources near cloud tops due to the entrainment of ambient air, with Plus4 amplifying boundary layer contributions to cloud-top regions. These findings underscore the spatially varying effects of SST gradients and mean SST on cloud organization and microphysics, emphasizing the need to resolve ocean-atmosphere coupling in global models to improve the prediction of marine cloud feedback under warming scenarios.

AIR-SEA INTERACTION↗

The contribution of Humboldt Glacier, northern Greenland, to sea-level rise through 2100 constrained by recent observations of speedup and retreat

Abstract. Humboldt Glacier, northern Greenland, has retreated and accelerated through the 21st century, raising concerns that it could be a significant contributor to future sea-level rise. We use a data-constrained ensemble of three-dimensional higher-order ice sheet model simulations to estimate the likely range of sea-level rise from the continued retreat of Humboldt Glacier. We first solve for basal traction using observed ice thickness, bed topography, and ice surface velocity from the year 2007 in a PDE-constrained (partial differential equation) optimization. Next, we impose calving rates to match mean observed retreat rates from winter 2007–2008 to winter 2017–2018 in a transient calibration of the exponent in the power-law basal friction relationship. We find that power-law exponents in the range of 1/7–1/5 – rather than the commonly used 1/3–1 – are necessary to reproduce the observed speedup over this period. We then tune an iceberg calving parameterization based on the von Mises stress yield criterion in another transient-calibration step to approximate both observed ice velocities and terminus position in 2017–2018. Finally, we use the range of basal friction relationship exponents and calving parameter values to generate the ensemble of model simulations from 2007–2100 under three climate forcing scenarios from CMIP5 (two RCP8.5 forcings, Representative Concentration Pathway) and CMIP6 (one SSP5-8.5 forcing, Shared Socioeconomic Pathway). Our simulations predict 5.2–8.7 mm of sea-level rise from Humboldt Glacier, significantly higher than a previous estimate (∼ 3.5 mm) and equivalent to a substantial fraction of the 40–140 mm predicted by ISMIP6 from the whole Greenland Ice Sheet. Our larger future sea-level rise prediction results from the transient calibration of our basal friction law to match the observed speedup, which requires a semi-plastic bed rheology. In many simulations, our model predicts the growth of a sizable ice shelf in the middle of the 21st century. Thus, atmospheric warming could lead to more retreat than predicted here if increased surface melt promotes hydrofracture of the ice shelf. Our data-constrained simulations of Humboldt Glacier underscore the sensitivity of model predictions of Greenland outlet glacier response to warming to choices of basal shear stress and iceberg calving parameterizations. Further, transient calibration of these parameterizations, which has not typically been performed, is necessary to reproduce observed behavior. Current estimates of future sea-level rise from the Greenland Ice Sheet could, therefore, contain significant biases.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Silica RSI for Application to the Shuttle Orbiter

Silica reusable surface insulation is analyzed for its cold soak properties, bond properties at low temperature, gap and step heating effects, and aerodynamic surface roughness effects to determine space shuttle weight and cost sensitivity to structure subsystem weights. Computerized simulation studies show that total program cost savings of silica (vs. mullite) exceed thermal protection system design and development costs and that an early introduction of silica increases total program cost savings.

Forsberg, K. J.↗

An avionics sensitivity study. Volume 2: Evaluation of airborne navigation system performance during RNAV/MLS transition

A computer simulation was modified to generate a suitable data base for performance of an avionics sensitivity study during RNAV/MLS transition. The avionics sensitivity data provides information necessary to establish requirements for additional guidance law design during transition and to establish airspace requirements for maneuvering to null out any residual RNAV errors upon MLS transition. The data base is also beneficial as planning information for subsequent flight testing.

Heine, W.↗

A CCD star sensor for fine pointing control of spaceborne telescopes

A star sensor for measuring small pointing errors in astronomical telescopes is described. By using solid state imaging arrays (CCDs) to track guide star images, this design realizes a number of performance advantages relative to more conventional approaches. Specific topics include star image position measurement, CCD sensitivity including color effects, and performance simulation results. Experimental results for CCDs operating at temperatures below 100 K are also summarized. Two telescope configurations are considered to illustrate the range of possible applications of this technology: (1) a large orbiting telescope for general astronomy requiring a multi-CCD sensor, and (2) a Space Shuttle-based infrared observatory operating at 20 K. Although the requirements and configurations of these applications are widely different, the CCD approach offers substantial advantages to both systems.

Stanton, R. H.↗