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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 847 records · Page 47
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Alteration history of aluminum-rich rocks at Jezero crater, Mars

Aluminum-rich clay minerals are detected across the ancient surface of Mars and record intervals of intense alteration by liquid water. On Earth, these clay minerals can form from hydrothermal alteration or rainfall-driven chemical weathering over thousands to millions of years, but how they formed on Mars remains a mystery. The Perseverance rover discovered light-toned, cobble-sized, aluminum-rich (30-45 wt% Al 2 O 3 ) “float” rocks (rock fragments), with some exhibiting spectral signatures of kaolinite, an aluminum-rich clay mineral. These rocks now enable an investigation into the ancient kaolinite-bearing terrains of Mars. To interpret their formation, we use data from the SuperCam and Mastcam-Z instruments onboard the rover to compare the chemistry and reflectance spectra of the float rocks with deeply weathered paleosols and hydrothermal kaolin deposits from Earth’s geological record. Aluminum and titanium enrichments coupled with depletion of iron and magnesium are unlike hydrothermal deposits and instead comparable to bleached horizons of paleosols that formed under high rainfall during past greenhouse climates on Earth. These rocks therefore likely represent some of the wettest intervals of Mars’ history.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Roadmap for the future of extreme wildfire events

Background Extreme wildfire events (EWEs) represent a growing threat globally, posing substantial risks to ecosystems, human communities, and infrastructure. Despite increased recognition of their ecological, social, and economic significance, current definitions of EWEs vary widely, reflecting disciplinary biases and regional contexts. This article emerges from an interdisciplinary workshop convened to reassess and refine the definition of EWEs, examine their impacts across ecological and social dimensions, and identify critical knowledge gaps impeding our understanding of these infrequent but important events. Results Our synthesis highlights significant limitations with existing definitions, particularly their reliance on subjective thresholds and their emphasis on extreme fire behavior alone. EWEs encompass a spectrum of complex, multi-dimensional phenomena that extend beyond immediate biophysical characteristics to include cumulative social, economic, and ecological impacts. These impacts often manifest over extended timeframes and include hazardous environmental contamination, severe geomorphic disturbances, ecosystem transformations, and unintended consequences of post-fire management actions. Current wildfire modeling frameworks inadequately capture these compounding factors, particularly the interactions among social systems, ecological conditions, and extreme fire behavior. To overcome these issues, we advocate for an interdisciplinary and context-sensitive approach to defining and studying EWEs. This revised definition emphasizes wildfires exhibiting anomalies in fire behavior, ecological outcomes, or social impacts relative to historically observed baselines, accommodating variability across different geographic regions and ecological settings. Conclusions Adopting an interdisciplinary framework that integrates biophysical and social sciences will enhance the predictive capability of wildfire models and improve resilience planning and response strategies. Filling identified knowledge gaps—such as limited high-quality empirical fire behavior data and insufficient integration of social dynamics into modeling—will better prepare communities and ecosystems to cope with and adapt to EWEs. This inclusive approach underscores the necessity for collaboration across disciplines and sectors, essential to managing extreme wildfires in an era of increasing climatic and ecological uncertainty.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Integrated lipidomic and proteomic profiling reveals metabolic network disruption by SARS-CoV-2 variants

The rapid evolution of SARS-CoV-2 has produced myriad viral strains with increasing transmissibility and capacity for immune evasion. While effective vaccination campaigns have reduced the fatalities associated with SARS-CoV-2, infections continue, and a detailed understanding of how this virus manipulates host biochemical pathways remains elusive. We asked both whether the patterns of host lipid rewiring remained consistent across variants and whether the changes in the abundance of lipid classes are related to changes in the expression of the enzymes involved in their biosynthesis. We compared global nontargeted lipidomics on A549-ACE2 cells infected with the delta variant (B.1.617.2), or the omicron (B.1.1.529) variant to our previous results of global nontargeted lipidomics on A549-ACE2 cells infected with the original WA1 strain and further performed quantitative proteomics to assess changes in the host proteome. We found that metabolic rewiring, both on the lipid and the enzymatic level, is remarkably consistent across all three variants. We further mapped changes in the expression of host metabolic enzymes, linking enzyme expression to alterations in the abundance of specific lipids during infection. This analysis identified key proteins related to virus-mediated changes in lipid abundance, including fatty acid synthase (FASN), lysosomal acid lipase (LIPA), and ORMDL, a regulator of sphingolipid biosynthesis. These integrated lipidomic and proteomic experiments shed light on the importance of the complex network of host metabolism networks that support SARS-CoV-2 infection and suggest that lipid metabolism may be a promising avenue for uncovering conserved therapeutic targets.

SARS-CoV-2↗
DOE OSTI2025

Size-Dependent Optical Band Gaps in Metal–Organic Framework Nanoparticles

Decades of research into size-dependent semiconductor optical gaps have focused on quantum confinement as the dominant mechanism. Emerging reports indicate that lattice strain─intentional or incidental─can impart optical shifts similar or greater in magnitude. Here, we report evidence of optical absorption and photoluminescence spectra of M(1,2,3-triazolate)2 (M = Mg, Cr, Mn, Fe, Co, Cu, Zn, or Cd) nanoparticles that blueshift from bulk values with decreasing particle sizes in a manner that defies explanation by conventional quantum confinement. Here, the phenomenon persists for particle sizes as large as 200 nm, whereas quantum confinement generally ceases beyond 20–30 nm diameters and follows a weaker dependence on the particle radius. Computational simulations and crystallographic analysis suggest that this behavior arises from size-dependent changes to metal–linker bonding that manifest in strain values comparable to literature reports of strain-induced optical shifts in other classes of materials. This behavior appears beyond this family of materials in other notable examples of metal–organic frameworks (MOFs), including the well-studied Cu3(trimesate)2 (CuBTC), where smaller sizes correlate with blueshifted optical gaps. Taken together, these results represent one of the few examples of size-dependent strain in crystalline materials and reinforce the emerging view that MOFs become softer materials when isolated as nanoparticles.

Electrical conductivity↗
DOE OSTI2025

Large emissions of CO 2 and CH 4 due to active-layer warming in Arctic tundra

Climate warming may accelerate decomposition of Arctic soil carbon, but few controlled experiments have manipulated the entire active layer. To determine surface-atmosphere fluxes of carbon dioxide and methane under anticipated end-of-century warming, here we used heating rods to warm (by 3.8 °C) to the depth of permafrost in polygonal tundra in $Utqia\dot{g}vik$ (formerly Barrow), Alaska and measured fluxes over two growing seasons. We show that ecosystem respiration is ~30% higher in warmed plots than in control plots (0.99 μmol m -2 s -1 versus 0.67 μmol m -2 s -1 , p < 0.0001, n = 79). Additionally, the observed temperature sensitivity (Q 10 of 2.8) is higher than that imposed for soil in Earth system models or reported by arctic experiments warming only the surface. A shoulder-season warming experiment revealed that rapid snow melt, which is becoming a more common event, can result in large methane emissions that may have otherwise been oxidized to carbon dioxide. Thus, warming promotes greenhouse gas emissions from the whole, deepening active layer and may contribute to climate change amplification.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Pathways to Electrochemical Ironmaking at Scale Via the Direct Reduction of Fe 2 O 3

Electrochemical ironmaking can provide an energy efficient, zero-emissions alternative to traditional methods of ironmaking, but the scalability of low-temperature electrochemical cells may be constrained by reactor throughput and the availability of acceptable feedstocks. Electrodes directly converting solid iron-oxide particles to metal circumvent traditional mass-transport limitations but are sensitive to both the particle size and nanoscale morphology of reactants. Furthermore, the effect of these properties on reactor throughput has not been systematically studied at model electrowinning surfaces. Here, we have used size-controlled, homologous α-Fe 2 O 3 particles to study how the nanoscale morphology of oxides influences the obtainable current density toward Fe metal and integrated these results in a technoeconomic model for alkaline iron electrowinning systems. Micron-scale α-Fe 2 O 3 with nanoscale porosity can be used to form Fe at current densities commensurate with industrial water electrolysis (>0.6 A cm –2 ) in the absence of external convection, providing a path to cost-competitive and scalable ironmaking using electrochemistry.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Crystallographic Evidence of Size-Dependent Bond Flexibility in Metal–Organic Framework Nanocrystals

Size-dependent electronic, magnetic, and optical behavior suggests that metal–organic frameworks become softer materials as their particle sizes decrease, but direct evidence is lacking. Here, we report variable-temperature powder X-ray diffraction data of Fe(1,2,3-triazolate)2 particles that offer crystallographic insight into size-dependent bond flexibility. Rietveld refinement reveals size-dependent positive thermal expansion upon downsizing the crystalline domains from 178 to 9 nm, with a 6-fold increase from 16 MK –1 to 96 MK –1 . Here, this behavior occurs in tandem with size-dependent elongation of metal–ligand bonds and increasing thermal displacement parameters, consistent with pronounced metal-linker bond lability. We propose that these effects, as well as size-dependent annealing of crystallite sizes, originate from the high charge density and surface stress of smaller particles. Taken together, these results provide structural evidence that size reduction serves as a synthetic route to controlling the dynamic response of materials to external stimuli.

Crystals↗
DOE OSTI2026

Prediction and Experimental Verification of Electrolyte Solvation Structure from an OMol25-Trained Interatomic Potential

A molecular-level understanding of electrolyte solvation structure and ion–ion correlations is critical to developing next-generation battery chemistries. Atomistic simulation capabilities with sufficient accuracy, speed, and transferability to deliver reliable structural insights while avoiding arduous system-specific reparameterization are thus highly desirable. Machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) trained on large, chemically diverse data sets are revolutionizing computational chemistry, enabling molecular dynamics simulations of battery electrolytes with near-DFT accuracy over 10,000× faster than DFT. While previous MLIP training data sets with suitable elemental coverage for electrolytes have been based on inorganic materials, the Open Molecules 2025 (OMol25) data set provides large-scale molecular DFT MLIP training data with broad elemental coverage and specifically samples tens of millions of electrolyte configurations. Here, we integrate computational modeling with experimental validation to systematically assess the ability of large-scale MLIPs pretrained on materials data or on OMol25 to accurately resolve nanoscale structural organization and ion-solvation characteristics in Na-ion battery electrolytes across diverse physicochemical conditions and compositional regimes. We find that the OMol25-trained Universal Model of Atoms (UMA-OMol) predicts experimentally measured densities and X-ray structure factors in substantially better agreement compared to state-of-the-art models trained only on inorganic materials data. Using UMA-OMol, we further analyze systematic trends in solvation structure as a function of cation identity, anion chemistry, salt concentration, and solvent topology. We observe that increasing system temperature amplifies the heterogeneity within the solvation environment, perturbing cation–solvent interactions and promoting the formation of contact ion pairs (CIPs). Moreover, subtle variations in the solvent topology of glyme-based electrolytes cause pronounced changes in ion correlations and solvation structure. The experimental agreement and microscopic insights shown here position OMol25-trained MLIPs as a practical route to predictive, high-throughput electrolyte simulations beyond the limits of classical force fields and direct DFT molecular dynamics, serving as a powerful tool for accelerating the design of next-generation Na-ion battery electrolytes and beyond.

MLIPs↗
DOE OSTI2025

The congenital APOA1 K107del mutation disrupts the lipid-free conformation of monomeric APOA1 and impairs oligomerization

Apolipoprotein A-I (APOA1) oligomerization is thought to be essential for high-density lipoprotein (HDL) formation and metabolism. Naturally occurring mutations can disrupt normal APOA1 folding and self-association, leading to dysfunctional HDL formation and cardiovascular disease. The congenital APOA1 variant p.K131del (APOA1 K107del ) has been associated with cardiovascular pathologies such as low HDL-cholesterol levels and aortic amyloidosis, and multiple studies indicate structural changes in APOA1 conformation underlie associated dysfunction. In the current study, we confirmed that APOA1 K107del exhibits no notable defect in lipid-binding. However, using polyacrylamide gel electrophoresis (PAGE) and size-exclusion chromatography (SEC), we found that loss of lysine 107 resulted in a remarkable shift in the distribution of APOA1 oligomers with a much higher proportion of monomers present in APOA1 K107del compared to wild-type APOA1. Further investigation using quantitative cross-linking revealed a major disruption of interactions in helical regions reported to participate in domain swaps necessary for proper self-association. This structural disruption appears to impair N- and C-termini interactions and dynamics that lead to non-specific aggregation. In conclusion, these findings support the hypothesis that lysine 107 is critical for proper folding and self-association of lipid-free APOA1 which could impact HDL biogenesis.

APOA1 (p.K131del)↗
DOE OSTI2025

The Role of Cu 3+ in the Oxygen Evolution Activity of Copper Oxides

Cu-based oxides and hydroxides represent an important class of materials from a catalytic and corrosion perspective. In this study, we investigate the formation of bulk and surface Cu 3+ species that are stable under water oxidation catalysis in alkaline media. So far, no direct evidence existed for the presence of hydroxides (CuOOH) or oxides, which were primarily proposed by theory. Here, this work directly places CuOOH in the oxygen evolution reaction (OER) Pourbaix stability region with a calculated free energy of −208.68 kJ/mol, necessitating a revision of known Cu–H 2 O phase diagrams. We also predict that the active sites of CuOOH for the OER are consistent with a bridge O* site between the two Cu 3+ atoms with onset at ≥1.6 V vs the reversible hydrogen electrode (RHE), aligning with experimentally observed Cu 2+/3+ oxidation waves in cyclic voltammetry of Fe-free and Fe-spiked copper in alkaline media. Trace amounts of Fe (2 μg/mL (ppm) to 5 μg/mL) in the solution measurably enhance the catalytic activity of the OER, likely due to the adsorption of Fe species that serve as the active sites . Importantly, modulation excitation X-ray absorption spectroscopy (ME-XAS) of a Cu thin-film electrode shows a distinct Cu 3+ fingerprint under OER conditions at 1.8 V vs RHE. Additionally, in situ Raman spectroscopy of polycrystalline Cu in 0.1 mol/L (M) KOH revealed features consistent with those calculated for CuOOH in addition to CuO. Overall, this work provides direct evidence of bulk electrochemical Cu 3+ species under OER conditions and expands our longstanding understanding of the oxidation mechanism and catalytic activity of copper.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Plasma proteomic biomarkers of physical frailty in heart failure: a propensity score matched discovery-based pilot study

Background: Physical frailty is highly prevalent in heart failure (HF), but we lack an understanding of the underlying pathophysiology. Proteomics evaluation of plasma samples may elucidate potential mechanisms and biomarkers of physical frailty in HF. We aimed to identify plasma proteomic biomarkers that are differentially expressed between physically frail and non physically frail adults with HF. Methods: This was a secondary analysis of a subset of data and plasma samples from a study of frailty among patients with New York Heart Association (NYHA) Functional Classification I-IV HF. Physical frailty was measured using the Frailty Phenotype Criteria. Propensity score matching was used to match pairs of physically frail (n = 20) vs. non-physically frail (n = 20) patients on clinical characteristics. Plasma samples were processed using a sensitive liquid chromatography mass spectrometry platform, utilizing a multiplexed tandem mass tag-labeled quantitative proteomics approach. Differentially expressed proteins were quantified individually using paired t tests with associated log fold change of 0.3 and Fisher’s combined p values. Results: The sample (n = 40) was 62.8±16.9 years old, 58% female, and 55% NYHA Class III/IV. Proteomics analysis revealed 7 proteins differentially expressed using full differential criteria: matrix metalloproteinase-14 was downregulated in frailty, and copine-1, low affinity immunoglobulin gamma Fc region receptor III-A and III-B, probable non-functional immunoglobulin kappa variable 2D-24, glutathione S-transferase Mu 1, and argininosuccinate lyase were upregulated in frailty. Conclusions: Proteomic biomarkers related to the immune system, stress response, and detoxification were differentially expressed between physically frail and non-physically frail adults with HF.

Biomarkers↗
DOE OSTI2025

Nanoporous Fe 2 O 3 and Soluble Fe(II) Intermediates Accelerate the Electrodeposition of Fe in NaOH(aq)

Electrochemical conversion of iron oxide to iron metal can enable low-cost batteries for long duration energy storage and zero-emissions ironmaking for steel. Iron oxides, such as hematite, can be electrochemically reduced to metallic iron in concentrated alkaline electrolytes at modest temperatures, but the relative influences of solid-state and dissolved intermediates at practical reaction rates remains unclear. Here, in this study, we prepare a homologous set of well-defined hematite particles to measure how the nanoscale morphology of oxides controls both their reactivity and apparent reduction mechanism in concentrated hydroxide. Correlated electron microscopy and rotating-ring-disk-electrode measurements revealed that nanoporous hematite and solid intermediates formed iron via a dissolution-redeposition pathway. In contrast, dense hematite particles directly formed iron metal via reactive fracture. While previous studies on iron electrowinning have primarily emphasized the role of particle diameter at the micron scale, these results demonstrate the importance of the dissolution-redeposition pathway to support rapid reaction rates and suggest that nanoscale porosity controls iron oxide reactivity at temperatures <100 °C. Therefore, iron-oxide-to-metal electrolyzers and fast-charging iron-air batteries supported by curtailed electricity can increase the rate of metal formation by accelerating fracture and dissolution in reactant oxides.

TEM↗
DOE OSTI2024

Predictive analytics of selections of russet potatoes

We explore the application of machine learning algorithms specifically to enhance the selection process of Russet potato (Solanum tuberosum L.) clones in breeding trials by predicting their suitability for advancement. This study addresses the challenge of efficiently identifying high-yield, disease-resistant, and climate-resilient potato varieties that meet processing industry standards. Leveraging manually collected data from trials in the state of Oregon, we investigate the potential of a wide variety of state-of-the-art binary classification models. The dataset includes 1086 clones, with data on 38 attributes recorded for each clone, focusing on yield, size, appearance, and frying characteristics, with several control varieties planted consistently across four Oregon regions from 2013 to 2021. We conduct a comprehensive analysis of the dataset that includes preprocessing, feature engineering, and imputation to address missing values. We focus on several key metrics such as accuracy, F1-score, and Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC) for model evaluation. The top-performing models, namely a feedforward neural network classifier (Neural Net), a histogram-based gradient boosting classifier (HGBC), and a support vector machine classifier (SVM), demonstrate consistent and significant results. To further validate our findings, we conducted a simulation study using the aims, data-generating mechanisms, estimands, methods, and performance measures (ADEMP) framework, simulating different data-generating scenarios to assess model robustness and performance through true positive, true negative, false positive, and false negative distributions, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC) and MCC. The simulation results highlight that non-linear models like SVM and HGBC consistently show higher AUC-ROC and MCC than logistic regression, thus outperforming the traditional linear model across various distributions, and emphasizing the importance of model selection and tuning in agricultural trials. Variable selection further enhances model performance and identifies influential features in predicting trial outcomes. The findings emphasize the potential of machine learning in streamlining the selection process for potato varieties, offering benefits such as increased efficiency, substantial cost savings, and judicious resource utilization. Our study contributes insights into precision agriculture and showcases the relevance of advanced technologies for informed decision-making in breeding programs.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Turn-On Conductivity with Proton-Coupled Electron Transport in Metal–Organic Frameworks

Proton-coupled electron transfer (PCET) has been studied for decades in the context of molecular reactivity, but its impact on long-range electron transport is barely understood. When defined broadly as ion-coupled charge transport (ICCT), relevant systems include lithium-ion battery electrodes, electrochromic coatings, and myriad electrocatalysts. Despite ample evidence that ion-electron coupling enhances or diminishes the performance of these devices, little is known about the experimental signatures of ICCT and the microscopic factors that govern its mechanism. Here, we expect that ion-electron coupling becomes especially relevant in high surface area materials, such as the layered electrodes of intercalation batteries, due to the close proximity of itinerant electrons and electrolyte. Here, we report an electrochemical investigation into a family of metal-organic frameworks (MOFs) that serves as a well-defined platform for understanding the effect of ICCT on both elec- tronic and ionic conductivity. Through photochemical doping of e - –H + pairs and introduction of solvent guest molecules, the Ti-containing MOFs convert from electronic-only insulators conductors (σ e ≈ 10 -12 S cm -1 ) to mixed ion-electron semiconduc- tors (σ e ≈ 10 -7 S cm -1 , σ ion ≈ 10 -5 S cm -1 ). Direct current and alternating current techniques support the existence of proton- electron coupling and, critically, that improved ionic conductivity enhances electronic conductivity. Taken together, these results provide direct evidence that PCET enables long-range charge transport and generalized electrochemical tools and synthetic methods for studying ion-electron coupling in materials broadly.

Charge transport↗
DOE OSTI2026

Coupled Interfacial Kinetics and Transport Resistances Govern High-Current Behavior in Bipolar Membranes

Bipolar membranes (BPMs) enable electrochemical systems that operate across large pH gradients; however, high-current operation is often limited by voltage losses whose origins remain difficult to resolve in membrane−electrode assemblies. Here, we combine electrochemical impedance spectroscopy with distribution of relaxation times (EIS–DRT) analysis and operando synchrotron X-ray diffraction to examine interfacial polarization, membrane hydration, and transport in commercial and synthesized BPMs. EIS–DRT isolates the BPM-associated interfacial contribution and shows that the commercial BPM exhibits larger water-dissociation-associated overpotentials than the synthesized BPM. Operando hydration mapping shows that both membranes retain water at the bipolar junction during high-current operation, while anode-adjacent hydration gradients are more pronounced in the commercial membrane. These results indicate that high-current voltage losses are not governed by junction water starvation alone but by coupled interfacial polarization and transport resistances.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

The Arctic

The Arctic environment in 2024 continued on a trajectory that has put it in a state far different from that of the twentieth century. Ongoing accumulation of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere continues to quickly warm the Arctic, resulting in rapid changes in the cryosphere that are driving cascading impacts to climate, ecological, and societal systems. Many weather- and climate-related impacts in the Arctic are the result of compounding change, such as increased riverbank erosion, which is proximately due to increased river discharge from higher seasonal precipitation, yet is also exacerbated by thawing permafrost. However, even individual storms occur within very different ocean and ice conditions than were typically present in the late twentieth century. As a result, the impacts, including high winds, excessive precipitation, and coastal inundation, may be quite different nowadays, as exemplified by the October 2024 storm in northwest Alaska that produced severe coastal flooding in several communities. To share some of these impacts with a wider audience, select extreme weather impacts around the greater Arctic have been highlighted through the inclusion of sidebars in recent State of the Climate Arctic chapters (e.g., Benestad et al. 2023; Thoman et al. 2024).

Thoman, Richard L. [Univ. of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK↗
DOE OSTI2025

Search for Millicharged Particles in Proton-Proton Collisions at $\sqrt{s}$ = 13.6 TeV

We report on a search for elementary particles with charges much smaller than the electron charge using a data sample of proton-proton collisions provided by the CERN Large Hadron Collider in 2023–24, corresponding to an integrated luminosity of 124.7 fb −1 at a center-of-mass energy of 13.6 TeV. The analysis presented uses the completed Run 3 milliQan bar detector to set the most stringent constraints to date for particles with charges ≤ 0.24 e and masses ≥ 0.45 GeV.

Extensions of gauge sector↗
DOE OSTI2025

Biophysical model of eelgrass and water quality in Coos Bay, OR shows greater mitigation potential for ocean acidification than hypoxia

Seagrass beds provide important ecosystem services and are valued, in part, for their potential to mediate stressors such as ocean acidification and hypoxia (OAH) for sensitive species. However, the susceptibility of seagrasses to anthropogenic impacts and recent declines motivate the need to better understand the drivers of seagrass and the water quality consequences that occur with variation in seagrass abundance. To meet this need, we leveraged existing monitoring data (water quality and seagrass), hydrodynamic circulation model, and biogeochemical model framework with seagrass submodel, to produce a biophysical model of Coos Bay estuary, Oregon, U.S. The model includes biogeochemical processes involving water quality, plankton, seagrass, and sediment-water interactions. Ecosystem models like this are useful for evaluating complex estuarine systems because they allow us to extend our understanding of system dynamics beyond existing observations and perform experiments to identify the processes driving observed patterns. We used the biophysical model of Coos Bay to evaluate the dynamics of water quality and native eelgrass (Zostera marina) under three eelgrass abundance scenarios (zero eelgrass, current extent, and maximum observed extent) to elucidate the relationship between eelgrass and OAH. Including eelgrass in the Coos Bay model produced results that more closely resembled water quality observations - dissolved oxygen (DO) and pH were more dynamic in simulations with eelgrass, often having both higher highs and lower lows. While there were some areas of the estuary where DO improved with the addition of eelgrass to the model there was overall a small net increase in harmful DO conditions (based on a salmon physiological threshold). In contrast, ocean acidification conditions, pH and calcium carbonate saturation state for aragonite (Ω), were improved (based on oyster requirements) with the addition of eelgrass - although the magnitude of improvement differed seasonally and spatially. Our new model represents a useful tool - one which accounts for and controls the relevant physical and biogeochemical processes - to evaluate conditions that confer resilience or enhance vulnerability to OAH in an important Pacific Northwest coastal estuary and results can inform the OAH-related dynamics occurring in other eastern boundary current estuaries.

FVCOM-ICM↗