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SDN Project

The SDN Project completed on time and on budget and successfully accomplished 100% of the scope of work outlined in the original Statement of Project Objective (SOPO). The SDN Project formed an alliance between Ameren Corporation, University of Illinois Urbana- Champaign (UIUC), Pacific Northwest National Laboratories (PNNL), and Schweitzer Engineering Laboratories, Inc. (SEL). The objective of the SDN Project is to address Topic Area of Interest 2: Sustain critical energy delivery functions while responding to a cyber-intrusion under Funding Opportunity Announcement DE-FOA-0000797. The goal of the project is to design and commercially release technology that provides a method to sustain critical energy delivery functions during a cyber intrusion and to do this control system operators need the ability to quickly identify and isolate the affected network areas, and re-route critical information and control flows around. The objective of the SDN Project is to develop a Flow Controller that monitors, configures, and maintains the safe, reliable network traffic flows of all the local area networks (LANs) on a control system in the Energy sector. The SDN team identified the core attributes of a control system and produced an SDN flow controller that has the same core attributes enabling networks to be designed, configured and deployed that maximize the whitelisted, deny-bydefault and purpose built networks. This project researched, developed and commercially released technology that: Enables all field networks be to configured and monitored as if they are a single asset to be protected; Enables greatly improved and even precalculated response actions to reliability and cyber events; Supports pre-configured localized response actions tailored to provide resilience against failures and centralized response to cyber-attacks that improve network reliability and availability; Architecturally enables the right subject matter experts, who are usually the information technology and operational technology engineers, to be the ones centrally administering the technology and responding to events; Simplifies network configuration, improving deterministic Ethernet transport times, and providing instant visualization on where the communication circuits are and how all circuits are impacted when changes (e.g., configuration changes, failures or intrusions) happen, allowing operators to minimize downtime; and Improves the ability to identify deviations in network behavior resulting in detection and analysis of potential cyber intrusions and faster response times Results: This project has forever changed the way critical infrastructure networks are designed, secured, deployed and maintained. The cybersecurity and performance advantages achieved are significant, simply put traditional networking has been obsoleted while the team maintained Ethernet interoperability avoiding any legacy concerns. The team commercially released technology that accomplished all the cybersecurity goals outlined in the SOPO and completed it by executing the project management plan approved in the initial contract. The resulting Energy sector SDN flow controller model number is SEL-5056 and can be freely downloaded from the www.SELinc.com website. This technology not only improves the cybersecurity of control systems but has measured results that it improves the performance and reliability of the control system as well. This means the system owners can confidently apply it to their systems knowing that it will, “first do no harm” but actually improve the system as well. Success of the project is best measured by the sales and deployment of the technology. System owners in industrial, electric, defense, and oil and gas only months after commercial release have approved plans for deployment.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Large Pilot Scale Testing of Linde/BASF Post-Combustion CO 2 Capture Technology at the Abbott Coal-Fired Power Plant

The work summarized in this report is the first step towards a project that will re-train and create jobs for personnel in the coal industry and continue regional economic development to benefit regions impacted by previous downturns. The larger project is aimed at capturing ~300 tons/day (272 metric tonnes/day) CO 2 at a 90% capture rate from existing coal- fired boilers at the Abbott Power Plant on the campus of University of Illinois (UI). It will employ the Linde-BASF novel amine-based advanced CO 2 capture technology, which has already shown the potential to be cost-effective, energy efficient and compact at the 0.5-1.5 MWe pilot scales. The overall objective of the project is to design and install a scaled-up system of nominal 15 MWe size, integrate it with the Abbott Power Plant flue gas, steam and other utility systems, and demonstrate the viability of continuous operation under realistic conditions with high efficiency and capacity. The project will also begin to build a workforce that understands how to operate and maintain the capture plants by including students from regional community colleges and universities in the operation and evaluation of the capture system. This project will also lay the groundwork for follow-on projects that pilot utilization of the captured CO 2 from coal-fired power plants. The net impact will be to demonstrate a replicable means to (1) use a standardized procedure to evaluate power plants for their ability to be retrofitted with a pilot capture unit; (2) design and construct reliable capture systems based on the Linde-BASF technology; (3) operate and maintain these systems; (4) implement training programs with local community colleges and universities to establish a workforce to operate and maintain the systems; and (5) prepare to evaluate at the large pilot scale level various methods to utilize the resulting captured CO 2 . Towards the larger project goal, the UI-led team, together with Linde, has completed a preliminary design for the carbon capture pilot plant with basic engineering and cost estimates, established permitting needs, identified approaches to address Environmental, Health, and Safety concerns related to pilot plant installation and operation, developed approaches for long-term use of the captured carbon, and established strategies for workforce development and job creation that will re-train coal operators to operate carbon capture plants. This report describes Phase I accomplishments and demonstrates that the project team is well-prepared for full implementation of Phase 2, to design, build, and operate the carbon capture pilot plant.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Standoff Over the LRSO: Assessing the long-range stand-off missile's impact on strategic stability.

Mutual vulnerability to strategic forces seems to remain the de facto foundation for strategic stability across the U.S.-Russia and U.S.-China dyadic relationships; This work has suggested the bomber force tasked with delivering the LRSO is characterized by relatively long flight times and rich signature sets which make its use inconsistent with the requirements for a disarming first-strike. Therefore, the LRSO would not be expected to disrupt mutual vulnerability by making a disarming strike more possible or attractive; Even if a stealthy air-launched cruise missile is paired with a stealth bomber aircraft, the signatures associated with bomber generation and aerial refueling from non-stealth tanker aircraft make it unlikely the LRSO could be launched against a peer or near-peer nation-state without advance warning; To the extent a nuclear armed air-launched cruise missile deters would-be U.S. adversaries from nuclear use, maintaining a survivable weapon system is crucial for maintaining that stable deterrent effect. A modern stand-off weapon and stealth delivery platform increase the probability this capability will be maintained in the future against other nations' increasingly capable A2/AD systems; The LRSO has been touted as a flexible option to deter, or conduct should deterrence fail, limited nuclear strikes pursuant to Russia's reported "escalate-to-deescalate" doctrine. The concept of limited nuclear use is still intensely debated, and there is no guarantee that escalation could be controlled even with tailored LRSO employment; The challenge of warhead discrimination has not historically led to a nuclear response to a cruise missile launch, but there is no guarantee that cannot change. Having accurate military intelligence coupled with discerning analysis of the context in which cruise missiles are employed (e.g., how escalated is the conflict, how many missiles have been launched, have there been signatures of strategic force mobilization, or has the nuclear threshold been crossed?) will likely be essential for reducing the danger of misperception. Developing norms and/or communication channels in the aforementioned dyadic relationships may also further these ends. In sum, this work has identified and analyzed many of the major arguments in the debate regarding the LRSO's impact on strategic stability. During this study and survey of other nation's conceptions of strategic stability, it became clear that the LRSO is neither inherently stabilizing or destabilizing; rather, it is one instrument in addition to unambiguous U.S. policy, clear messaging, and signaling of intent that may promote stability by reducing the risk of miscalculation and unintended escalation.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Developing Design Criteria for Safeguards Seals for Spent Fuel Transportation Casks

Current designs for spent fuel transportation casks cannot ensure a cask's integrity during shipment, nor is there any verifiable means of maintaining continuity of knowledge (CoK) on a cask's contents. Spent fuel destined for encapsulation plants or geological repositories requires additional containment and surveillance (C/S) measures during shipment. Following final safeguards accountancy measurements on spent fuel assemblies, the shipment of verified assemblies will require unprecedented reliance on maintaining CoK on the fuel inside transport casks. Such increased reliance is due to the lack of reverification of spent fuel following encapsulation into disposal canisters and by meeting the requirement of dual C/S measures during such fuel shipments according to recommendations made by the Application of Safeguards to Geological Repositories (ASTOR) International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) expert group. By designing spent fuel transportation casks with effective seals integrated into their design, CoK can be more effectively maintained than by ad hoc C/S measures because seal integration ensures that a cask has not been tampered with. Externally applied seals might not be able to provide such assurance for currently designed spent fuel transportation casks, although some combination of seals, detectors, and/or a technology that can verify canister integrity might provide this assurance. This paper examines the design criteria for integrating safeguards seals into transportation casks and provides recommendations for near-term applications.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Electrochemical Water Treatment for Cooling Towers

Cooling towers are an integral component of many refrigeration systems, providing comfort or process cooling across a broad range of applications. They are the point in the system where heat is dissipated to the atmosphere through the evaporative cooling process. Cooling towers are commonly found in industrial applications and are also commonly applied to water cooled chilled water plants in medium to large commercial buildings. Cooling towers used in medium to large commercial buildings are the focus of this paper. Cooling towers consume a large amount of water. Cooling tower related water consumption is one of largest potable water loads within buildings in the United States, with over 26% of water use associated with heating and cooling. Reducing water consumption is a priority for the General Services Administration (GSA) due to Executive Order 13514, Energy Policy Act of 1992, and regional water shortage concerns. These factors have brought about the investigation of cost effective opportunities to reduce water use, such as alternative water treatment (AWT) technologies for cooling towers. Traditional water treatment approaches rely on chemicals to extend the ability of the water to hold scaling minerals in suspension, minimize corrosion, and prevent biological growth. This treatment protects the chillers and cooling tower equipment, however even when chemicals are used regularly, a certain percentage of condenser water must be blown down and made up with fresh water to maintain system water quality parameters. In addition, the use of chemicals sometimes creates a waste issue and can cause building owners to incur additional fees such as disposal or sewer charges. The current state of water treatment in GSA buildings is to contract for a fixed fee with a company specializing in a conventional chemical maintenance. There are many vendors of AWT systems. This project assesses the effectiveness of one technology provided by Dynamic Water Technologies (DWT). This project assesses the effectiveness of DWT for lowering GSA operating costs while maintaining proper water treatment. The application of the DWT technology in place of traditional chemical water treatment has the anticipated benefits of: - Saving water and water/sewer costs by reducing the amount of blowdown required due to being able to remove scale causing minerals that allows the system to operate at a higher cycles of concentration - Eliminating the need for water treatment chemicals for scale, corrosion, and biological growth - Increasing chiller efficiency by preventing scaling and removing some of the existing scale, which improves heat transfer - Maintaining very low corrosion rates. The technology was installed at the Juliette Gordon Low Federal Building located in Savannah, Georgia. The building has two cooling towers utilizing traditional chemical water treatment for the cooling water circulating through the two chiller condensers. Measurement at the site includes the flow of makeup water to the cooling towers and the blowdown flow rate from the cooling tower basins. Additionally, energy measurements include the electrical energy from the chillers, chiller water pumps, condenser water pumps, cooling tower fans and the energy used by the DWT skid and slip stream pump.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Combined Sorbent/WGS-based CO 2 Capture Process with Integrated Heat Management for IGCC Systems

Southern Research has developed a combined CO 2 capture water-gas shift (WGS) process for integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC) applications. A highly efficient regenerable magnesium based sorbent was prepared to remove CO 2 . It offers high and stable CO 2 capacity with minimum requirement for temperature and pressure swings. Under optimized conditions, the sorbents achieved up to 8 mmol/g of CO 2 working capacity and remained stable over 500 cycles of adsorption and regeneration. The selected WGS process achieved 96% CO per pass conversion and remained isothermal during the test duration that lasted over 500 cycles. The approach showed potential to reduce cost of electricity (COE) compared to the baseline carbon capture approaches. The process is for bench-scale and pilot development. In a commercial embodiment, syngas from the gasifier is cooled to warm gas conditions. It then enters the CO 2 sorbent-shift reactor that uses an efficient MgO-based CO 2 sorbent and a commercial catalyst to shift the CO to CO 2 and capture 90% + of the carbon. Using a dual-bed arrangement, the sorbent is regenerated periodically by a combination of pressure and temperature swing to maintain steady state conditions and produce a 95+ % CO 2 stream for sequestration. The hydrogen rich syngas is sent to the IGCC for power production. In addition to consolidating CO 2 capture with WGS, the proposed process reduces parasitic energy losses by operating at warm gas temperatures and reduces parasitic plant load (i.e., steam and auxiliary power) by reducing energy required for regeneration. The project consisted of 3 budget periods (BP) of laboratory-scale research and testing with go/no-go decisions after BP-1 and BP-2. In the 12 month BP-1, it was shown show that one promising sorbent maintained the required CO 2 capacity and durability of >1.5 mmol/g over 100 cycles. Also based on sorbent and WGS experiments in separate reactors and combined reactor modeling, it was shown that the process had the potential to capture 90% of the CO 2 at a lower than conventional amine-based approach. In the 18 month BP-2, a lab scale combined sorbent/WGS reactor system was built, commissioned, and tested with the promising sorbent from BP-1. 90% carbon capture was demonstrated over 100 cycles and it was shown that the process continued to have potential to capture 90% of the carbon at a cost that was less than the conventional amine-based approach. In the 6 month BP-3, a long term test was conducted using the best SR sorbent. The required durability of > 2 mmol/g was demonstrated after 500 cycles. Also, 90% carbon capture and 96% CO conversion was maintained over 1000 cycles. A technical and economic feasibility study was carried out to compare the proposed pre-combustion approach to a gasification plant employing a conventional pre-combustion approach and a conventional pulverized caol (PC) plant employing a conventional post combustion CO 2 capture approach.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

NCSP FY 2015 AMPX Annual Report

The objective of the Nuclear Criticality Safety Program (NCSP) Analytical Methods program element is to sustain state-of-the-art radiation transport modeling capabilities and the expertise necessary to develop, maintain, and disseminate the analytical tools and data libraries in a manner that is responsive to the needs of those responsible for developing, implementing, and maintaining criticality safety. To this end, the objective of the AMPX Development and Maintenance Subtask is to ensure that the AMPX cross-section processing system is available to prepare cross-section and covariance libraries that are needed by SCALE and other radiation transport packages to support criticality safety analyses of systems with fissionable material. Moreover, the task ensures that the cross-section processing software is current and up-to-date with the Evaluated Nuclear Data File (ENDF/B) formats and procedures for disseminating evaluated cross-section data provided through new measurement and evaluation work efforts. The AMPX subtask provides for the production of data libraries needed for criticality safety analyses. As such, the task provides the “bridge” between the nuclear data evaluations and the radiation transport software. In the absence of the AMPX cross-section processing task, the ability to maintain and update the SCALE nuclear data libraries (cross-section and covariance data) would be hindered. Therefore, the AMPX Development and Maintenance Subtask ensures that SCALE is up-to-date with the latest cross-section data for supporting criticality safety analyses. This letter report provides a summary of the FY 2015 AMPX development and maintenance activities that have been performed in support of the NCSP. Specifically, the report summarizes the AMPX code system updates and modernization accomplishments that have been made to the software package. Also, the report documents the cross-section library updates that have been made for the SCALE radiation transport package. In addition, the report documents testing activities that have been performed to process available cross-section and covariance data files to ensure the latest ENDF/B data files can be processed properly. This report satisfies the following reporting milestone in the NCSP FY16-20 Five Year Plan: Document AMPX modernization and technical support for SCALE continuous energy (CE), multigroup (MG), and covariance libraries and report status annually to the NCSP Manager (AM3: Q2)

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Recommendations for DOT 7A Type A Drum Closure and Drop Testing with Additional 49 CFR 173.465(c)(2) Testing and Analysis

The Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) is in the process of developing recommendation for the U S. Department of Energy contractors and vendors who want to qualify drums as U S. Department of Transportation (DOT) 7A Type A to meet 49 CFR 173.465 drop testing requirements for fissile and non-ftssile material to maintain containment. Based on the finite element analysis (FEA) models, the safety features suffering the maximum damage that result in loss of containment are identified as the closure ring mechanism (in entirety), the top (mouth area) of the drum, and the lid (including the gasket). The maximum damage is measured in terms of the collective ability of these combined three safety features to maintain containment. As such, both drop testing and FEA were performed to determine the sensitivities of these safety features to drop variations. As part of this effort, a series of physical drop tests and FEAs were conducted at SRNL. These tests used Skolnik drums, CQ5508L (see Attachment 1), which are open DOT 7A Type A open- head carbon steel 208-liter (55-gallon) drums with 12-gauge bolted closure rings. Variables studied were (1) stress relief methods during closure ring installation, (2) content configurations, and (3) drum orientations during a 4-foot free fall. It should be noted that the Skolnik CQ5508L drums have a closure ring with a "V shaped" cross section. (1) The closure testing with analysis confirmed that closure stress relief by rapping is necessary to distribute the closure ring tension around the perimeter and to maintain sufficient closure pre-load for lid retention during 4-foot drops of the heavier packages (500 to 1,000 lbs). It was concluded that no specific style of stress relief is preferred (e g., multi-step rapping/torqueing process, heavy hits vs. light hits, hitting near closure vs. away), as long as no additional change in bolt torque occurs with additional rapping. (2) (3) Modeling indicated that maximum damage is a result of both: (2) content configuration and (3) drop orientation. The worst-case content configuration is one with an eccentrically loaded concentrated content mass. FEA modeling showed that the center- of-gravity over top (CGoT) with the eccentric content on the high side was the orientation of maximum damage relative to drum lid retention. In this content configuration (i.e., CGoT), FEA modeling showed payloads over 500 lbs were required to contain a load distribution plate between content and lid. Both analysis and testing showed the drum with distribution plate can pass the 4-foot CGoT drop.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Akutan Geothermal: Resource Report

Geothermal energy resources are present in the Hot Springs Bay Valley geothermal area, and the City has invested considerable money and time in the exploration of the resource for future use. Exploration activities funded primarily through a grant the City was awarded from Alaska Energy Authority and later supplemented by the U. S. Department of Energy (DOE), with cost share from the City. The exploration led to the development of a geothermal resource conceptual model that was built and refined between 2008 and 2018. During this period, geological and geophysical studies, exploration drilling and other activities were completed, including a preliminary feasibility study for a power project, investigations of the terrain for suitability for access and development, environmental and archeological review, plus TG well abandonment and a review of economic considerations. The model of the resource predicts that there is a viable geothermal resource in two general areas: on the northwest edge of Hot Springs Bay Valley going northwest of the valley (hot springs area) and southwest of the Valley (fumarole area). The resource temperature for the valley area is expected to be about 170°C (340°F) and given the size and permeability estimates (with a factor for the level of confidence in the estimates), the mean power capacity of the outflow resource is 3 MWe and the P50 (most likely) power capacity is 1 MWe. The fumarole area has an expected resource temperature of 240°C (464°F) and given the size and permeability estimates mean capacity is 20 MWe and the P50 (most likely) capacity is 9 MWe. Permeability is the most difficult factor to predict and has a significant impact on the available geothermal fluids and therefore the amount of power that can be generated. The uncertainty in this value is the main reason for lower confidence in the likelihood of exploration success and the wide range in predicted MW values. The permeability has been difficult to locate as indicated by the results of the flow test at AK-3 in 2017. The test resulted in the production of some fluid, but due to low permeability, the recharge to the wellbore was too slow to sustain flow. The greatest probability of overall MWe production is in the fumarole region, but development is hampered by poor accessibility. The extremely high cost of road building for exploratory drilling, put an end to planning at an intermediate stage of the project and refocused attention on the viability of development in the hot spring outflow part of the resource. The City will be determining what the next steps are with AK-3, which is still that is still open and maintained in a suspended status in HSBV. While AK-3 remains accessible (not plugged with cement) it will need to be maintained. The City has a bond with AOGCC that will remain in place until the well is abandoned. GRG recommends that the well be maintained open as an asset for the foreseeable future.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Optimization of Archimedes Screw for Use in Hydroelectric Projects

In 2017, the Department of Energy’s (DOE) Water Power Technologies Office (WPTO) made federal funding available to several awardees to investigate and provide innovative technological solutions to reduce capital costs of installed hydroelectric facilities at non-powered dam’s (NPD’s) across the United States, while maintaining a high level of efficiency. Awardees were to develop specific technologies that showed promise of reducing installed capital cost (ICC) by at least 20% over a given baseline and maintain a water-to-wire efficiency of at least 80% at head levels of 50 feet or less and flows of 1000 cubic feet per second (cfs) or less. Canyon Hydro (Canyon) was selected as an awardee for this funding and worked to refine the implementation of the Archimedes screw turbine for use at these site conditions. Canyon and its project partners analyzed several dam inventory datasets to determine the most common head and flow range of current NPD’s in order to best select design conditions for a turbine that would perform successfully at common heads and flows. Computational Fluid Dynamic (CFD) analyses were conducted after site conditions had been selected to optimize the turbine geometry for efficiency. Through this effort we were able to estimate water-to-wire efficiency over a range of flows. Equipment design focused on concepts of modularity and pre-fabricated construction. These methodologies were used where possible to reduce costly on-site construction and shorten deployment timelines. Cost modeling was conducted with input from industry experts in general construction, pre-fabricated concrete construction, and composite fabrication. As a hydroelectric turbine manufacturer of 35 years, Canyon drew upon its own knowledge base in steel fabrication, water-to-wire component specification and ancillary systems to develop the remaining cost matrix for the project. As a result of these efforts, Canyon was able to present findings that indicated a modular Archimedes screw turbine system could be designed that reduced ICC by 23.9% and maintain a maximum water-to-wire efficiency of 82.3%, meeting the goals of the project.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

Opportunities and Challenges from Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning for the Advancement of Science, Technology, and the Office of Science Missions

In February 2019, the President signed Executive Order 13859, Maintaining American Leadership in Artificial Intelligence. This order launched the American Artificial Intelligence Initiative, a concerted effort to promote and protect AI technology and innovation in the United States. The Initiative implements a government-wide strategy in collaboration and engagement with the private sector, academia, the public, and like-minded international partners. Among other actions, key directives in the Initiative called for Federal agencies to: Prioritize AI research and development investments, Enhance access to high-quality cyberinfrastructure and data, Ensure that the US maintains an international leadership role in the development of technical standards for AI, and Provide education and training opportunities to prepare the American workforce for the new era of AI. The mission of the Department of Energy (DOE) is to ensure America’s security and prosperity by addressing its energy, environmental, and nuclear challenges through transformative science and technology solutions. In terms of Science and Innovation, the DOE’s mission is to maintain a vibrant US effort in science and engineering as a cornerstone of our economic prosperity with clear leadership in strategic areas. From July to October in 2019, the Argonne, Oak Ridge, and Berkeley National Laboratories hosted a series of four AI for Science Town Hall meetings in Chicago, Oak Ridge, Berkeley, and Washington DC. The four meetings were attended by over 1300 scientists from the 17 DOE Labs, 39 companies, and over 90 universities. The goal of the Town Hall series was ‘to examine scientific opportunities in the areas of artificial intelligence, Big Data, and high-performance computing (HPC) in the next decade, and to capture the big ideas, grand challenges, and next steps to realizing these.’ The discussions at the meetings were captured in the final report of the AI for Science Town Hall meetings.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Nuclear Criticality Safety Assessment of Criticality Control Containers without Moderation Control at the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant

The Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP) provides for safe, permanent disposal of government-owned transuranic (TRU) and TRU mixed wastes. Receipt and disposal of waste at the WIPP site began in March 1999. The Sandia report, Consideration of Nuclear Criticality When Disposing of Transuranic Waste at the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant, addressed potential nuclear criticality safety issues based on the projected inventory characteristics known at the time [1]. As designs for inventory, waste forms, and disposal packages have changed, new analyses have been performed, and updates have been made to address any potential effects to the WIPP safety basis. New analyses performed include Saylor 2017 [2] and Brickner 2019 [3], which address certain waste containers with specified loadings under post-closure conditions. Both examined several hypothetical scenarios and included analyses to bound (from a criticality potential standpoint) credible configurations that could occur at WIPP during the repository regulatory post-closure disposal time period for feature, event, and process (FEP) considerations—10,000 years. During this post-closure period at WIPP, the screening of FEPs is governed by the risk-based standards and implementing regulations of the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) (i.e., 40 CFR 191 and 40 CFR 194, respectively) [4,5]. An FEP screening can be based on either a low-consequence or low-probability rationale. A low-probability rationale includes either (a) a qualitative rationale that the FEP is not credible or (b) a quantitative demonstration that the probability is less than 10-4 in 104 years. In this evaluation, a qualitative lowprobability rationale of not credible is used by demonstrating that bounding configurations of the waste are not critical. The demonstration of subcriticality is through quantitative calculations, but a probability of criticality is not evaluated. Rather, the rationale for this evaluation is that bounding configurations with an effective neutron multiplication factor (keff) well below the upper subcriticality limit (USL) make criticality incredible. Reference [2] documented a nuclear criticality assessment of the WIPP repository for disposal of dilute surplus plutonium materials using the Dilute and Dispose Approach and packaging in criticality control overpacks (CCOs). The CCO is the waste disposal container recently designed to allow for up to 380 fissile gram equivalent (FGE) 239 Pu per drum, which is a higher fissile loading than typical waste containers. The CCO consists of a criticality control container (CCC) positioned by upper and lower plywood spacers within a standard 55 gal drum. The CCC is used to establish a geometry control for fissile materials during transportation and WIPP emplacement operations. The current WIPP waste acceptance criteria for CCO payloads limit beryllium to less than or equal to 1% by weight of the waste contents and require the waste form to be non-machine compacted. Reference [2] considered two scenario progressions—room closure from salt creep, hereafter referred to as the reconfigured dry scenario, and flooding with brine, hereafter referred to as the reconfigured wet scenario. The subsequent drying out of the reconfigured wet scenarios was also considered. For all scenarios, subcriticality was maintained when 50 g of B 4 C (acting as a neutron absorber) per CCC was intermixed within the plutonium disposition waste form. The analysis used a waste form description that limits the amount of moderation that could be present within the waste form (i.e., it limits the amount of water and polyethylene that could be present based on planned processing conditions). This analysis to evaluate increased limits on the amount of moderation that could be present was performed as a companion to Reference [2] to address concerns associated with verifying moisture and/or plastic contents of waste materials following packaging of dilute surplus plutonium in the CCO. To that end, this analysis used the models and methods from Reference [2] to evaluate a more generic base waste form consisting of water and polyethylene that is more similar (and nearly identical) to the generic waste forms utilized in other models/analyses supporting the TRU Package Transporter Model II (TRUPACTII) safety analysis [6] (all are without moderation controls). The waste form in this analysis uses a base mixture of 75% water and 25% polyethylene, the total amount of which is varied to determine the optimum moderation to fissile material (H/Pu) ratio. The fissile loading is maintained at up to 380 FGE 239 Pu (modeled as PuO 2 ) per CCO with an additional 545 g of beryllium (to bound the 1% by weight contents restriction) and 50 g of B 4 C intermixed per CCO. The beryllium content (1% by weight) is based on the total allowed waste weight (this does not include packaging and container weights). Figures ES-1 and ES-2 display summary results, showing that with this model including 50 g of B 4 C per CCO, the system keff remains under 0.85 for all moderator amounts and provides a significant margin against post-closure criticality under postulated bounding conditions for compaction. Figure ES-1 compares an infinite model with a room model at the initial emplacement spacing and under full radial compaction. Full radial compaction places each CCC in direct contact and does not credit any anticipated spacing associated with current post-closure geomechanical modeling of the repository [7]. The effects of variations in the H/Pu ratio were evaluated by varying the amount of the water/polyethylene component of the waste model, with fissile loading maintained at 380 239 Pu FGE. Similarly, Figure ES-2 illustrates how various amounts of B 4 C per CCO influence k eff at different radial compactions, all at the H/Pu ratio of 200 (in the room array model). Therefore, while the results from Saylor 2017 [2] modeled more realistic process limits associated with packaging of dilute surplus plutonium, this analysis demonstrates that limits on moderation (plastic and water content) are not necessary to ensure subcriticality in the WIPP repository, provided the requisite B 4 C absorber is present.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Improvement of Coal Power Plant Dry Cooling Technology through Application of Cold Thermal Energy Storage

The U.S. power infrastructure is currently heavily reliant on water cooling. The power plants in the U.S. account for approximately 40% of freshwater withdrawals, with 90% of it used in condenser cooling. The most used cooling technology in coal-fired power plants is a once-through condenser; however, this cooling method requires high water withdrawal rates and results in thermal pollution of the water source. Wet WCTs offer an alternative to once-through condensers due to much lower water withdrawals. However, these systems suffer from water consumption through evaporation making them undesirable options in areas subject to droughts and in arid areas. The direct dry cooled condensers (ACCs) and dry cooling towers (DCT) account for 1.8%, hybrid cooling (ACC + WCT) accounts for 0.5%, while other cooling technologies represent the rest (0.7%). The ACC/DCTs represent an attractive alternative for power plants; however, this technology has not been widely adopted in the US (less than 2% of power plants) due to its negative impact on plant performance. As a rule of thumb, dry cooling results in performance penalty equivalent to approximately 2%-point efficiency loss compared to wet cooling, although the actual magnitude varies with ambient dry bulb temperature, DBT which may vary considerably during the day. As DBT increases, the plant power output decreases, reaching a minimum at the hottest period of the day, which usually coincides with the highest electricity demand for air condition load. Therefore, performance of power plants using DCT/ACC cooling technology is the lowest during the summer mid-day when ambient temperature is the highest. For example, the decrease of the inlet air temperature to the DCT/ACC by 2 Deg C could generate up to 5% additional power at peak demand. It is, therefore, important to improve dry cooling technology to maintain the viability of coal-fired power plants in a carbon constrained future. The method for reducing the cooling air temperature and keeping it constant would mitigate this problem significantly. Objectives of this project were to develop, design, evaluate, and demonstrate a cost-effective system for improving performance of a DCT or ACC for thermal (coal-fired) power plant applications using a low-cost heat storage materials, such as pervious concrete (PC) and phase change material (PCM). Thus, the study focused on development of the system(s) that could be used to alleviate the difficulties in operating DCT/ACC during the summer months by storing cold energy during the nighttime in inexpensive materials PC and PCM and using it during the hottest period(s) of the day. Since very large quantities of cold energy need to be stored to make an impact on performance of a large power plant, it is essential that the storage materials and associated cold energy storage design(s) are inexpensive and the system is simple to build, maintain and operate. To achieve the project objectives, a comprehensive approach, including material development and characterization, component and system modeling, and laboratory- and prototype-scale experiments, was employed including modeling of the system components and of the entire system, development (engineering) of the materials for the heat storage modules of the Cold Thermal Energy Storage System (CTESS) and determination of their properties, design, manufacturing and setup of the laboratory- and prototype-scale test facility and testing, design, manufacturing and setup of the prototype-scale test facility. A modular design of CTESS was employed, where representative modules were designed as the integrated direct contact heat exchanger and thermal energy storage (TES) system. CTESS modules were manufactured and tested. Two prototype-scale designs of the CTESS modules were developed and tested. The use of CTESS increases plant generation increases since it lowers air temperature entering ACC/DCT and keeps it constant during the hottest time of the day. For a PCM-based CTESS, the ambient air temperature is lowered close to the PCM phase change temperature. The duration of the cooling effect depends on the latent heat and mass of PCM in the CTESS. For this project, commercial grade CaCl2 hexahydrate (CaCl2·6H2O or CC6) PCM with phase change temperature of 25 Deg. C was used due to its low cost. For practical reasons, the CTESS was designed to maintain the cooling effect for four hours. The low phase change temperature associated with the commercial grade PCM used in CTESS results in considerably higher improvement in net generation compared to the laboratory (pure) grade. The resistance to heat transfer results in lower net generation compared to the ideal case where resistance to heat transfer is zero. The results demonstrate that CTESS is effective in improving the performance of a dry cooling system. However, its effectiveness depends on the relationship between the ambient air conditions and PCM phase change temperature. As is the case with the heat rejection system, for the best performance, the PCM used in CTESS would need to be matched to the ambient air conditions. The results obtained in this report for selected geographical locations are valid for CC6 and demonstrate that the level of performance to be achieved by the technology will be location-dependent, as is the case with the air cooled condensers. The methodology for engineering of PC-PCM-based heat storage medium is applicable to other PCMs that may need to be used for other ambient air conditions and geographical locations.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

A Hot‐Swappable, Fault‐Tolerant, Modular Power Converter System for Solar Photovoltaic Plants

The performance metrics of the state-of-the-art commercial solar inverters, such as system cost, operation and maintenance (O&M) cost, service life, reliability, maintainability, and power density are much lower than the target metrics needed to achieve SunShot’s 2030 levelized cost of energy (LCOE) goals. To overcome the shortcomings of the existing solar inverters, this project proposed a novel Hot-Swappable, Fault-Tolerant, Modular Power Converter (HSFT-MPC) concept for solar photovoltaic (PV) plants and proved the concept through the design, fabrication, and laboratory test validation of a single-phase HSFT-MPC prototype. The HSFT-MPC has the following distinct advantages over the state-of-the-art: 1) elimination of harmonic/ electromagnetic interference (EMI) filter in the inverter stage due to the novel topology, 2) lower system cost and higher power density due to the modular design, elimination of harmonic/EMI filter, and lower cooling requirement, 3) higher efficiency due to lower switching frequencies, 4) higher reliability and longer (50 years) service life due to simpler cooling and fault tolerance capability, 5) easier installation, lower O&M cost, and improved maintainability due to the modular design and hot-swappable power electronic building blocks (PEBBs), and 6) improved manufacturability due to the modular design. This project developed a single-phase HSFT-MPC prototype with 25kW nominal output power, 2.4kV, 60Hz nominal AC output, lower than 5% AC output voltage total harmonic distortion, over 5 kW/L inverter power density, and 99.4% inverter peak efficiency, being tolerant to failure of single and multiple PEBBs, and capable of hot swapping of the failed PEBB(s). The HSFT-MPC enables uninterruptable operation of the solar PV plant when failure of single or multiple PEBBs or PV modules occurs. Compared with the existing solar inverters in the market, the HSFT-MPC is expected to reduce the inverter failure-caused downtime and energy losses of solar PV plants by more than 60% and 50%, respectively. Project findings have been presented at major conferences in the field and published in peer-reviewed papers, which added new knowledge to the field of power electronics for solar PV systems. A minicourse on Solar PV Systems was developed for outreach activities. The minicourse will help attract young individuals to the renewable energy profession which has a significant talent shortage. The HSFT-MPC is expected to overcome all of the shortcomings of the state-of-the-art solar inverters in terms of cost, efficiency, service life, reliability, maintainability, and manufacturability targets needed to achieve SunShot’s 2030 LCOE goals. Therefore, the proposed HSFT-MPC concept has the great potential to disrupt the current solar inverter market. This project created a pathway towards industry adoption of the HSFT-MPC to help achieve 50-year service life solar PV systems. Since the solar PV plants using the HSFT-MPC will feature with higher reliability, longer service life, and easier maintenance, they are particularly useful for the rural areas with underserved populations that demand reliable and affordable clean electricity. The outcomes of the project have the strong potential to address national needs in the field of renewable energy to reduce CO 2 emissions from the electricity sector, reduce imports of energy from foreign sources, and improve energy security, efficiency, and sustainability. Since electricity is used in almost all of society’s sectors, the outcomes of the project will benefit various sectors of society and economy.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

High-Fidelity, Large-Scale, Realistic Dataset Development

The final report summarizes the work performed for supporting the ARPA-E Grid Optimization Competition (Challenge 2 and Challenge 3) within the stated period. Challenge 2 For the challenge period, the main responsibility of the team is to investigate, gen- erate, and deliver parts of the data sets for the competition, based on the competition model for Challenge 2, existing data sets from Challenge 1, and data source supplied by other data set teams. Challenge 3 For the challenge period, the main responsibility of the team is to propose, create, deliver, and maintain the data format during the competition period. The data format will specify how the benchmark data will be represented and communicated to competitors. It will also specify how competitors should report back the solutions. The data format will be closely aligned with the problem formulation (maintained by the formulation team) and the solution validation process (maintained by the validation team). Our team is also responsible in investigating, generating, and delivering parts of the data sets for the competition. The data sets will be created based on the competition model for Challenge 3, existing data sets from Challenge 1 and Challenge 2, and data source supplied by other data set teams.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

LAMP Emittance Budget, Rev. 1

This report summarizes the performance limits of the LANSCE Coupled-Cavity Linac (CCL). These results are captured or summarized directly from the references cited. This report was written in support of the LANSCE Modernization Project (LAMP). This brief report summarizes the emittance budget for the LANSCE Modernization Project (LAMP). While the project Key Performance Parameters (KPPs) specify threshold and objective requirements for charge delivered to each experimental area, no upper limits on beam emittances are specified. To maintain low losses in the high-energy section of the LANSCE linac and hands-on maintenance, some upper limits on beam emittance need to be specified for the new LAMP front-end performance. The scope of the LAMP project replaces the injector section and drift-tube linac (DTL) up to 100 MeV of the existing LANSCE linac. This new design replacement will be integrated with the remaining coupled cavity linac (CCL) which makes up most of the accelerator at LANSCE and accelerates the beam to a final energy of 800 MeV. The initial approach that has been used to define an emittance budget for the new LAMP front end is based on recent and historical measured beam emittances at 100 MeV for the three beam types accelerated at LANSCE: H+ (protons for isotope production), LBEG (H- beam for delivery to proton radiography and to the Lujan neutron spallation target, and MPEG (H- beam for delivery to the Weapons Neutron Research facility). The emittance budget (upper limit) for each beam type has been selected to maintain the losses in the CCL to a level approximately equivalent to those observed in present operations to first order. However, the goal of the LAMP project is to improve the quality of the beams injected into the CCL, if possible, thus allowing for higher average current operation while also lowering beam losses and activation at high beam energies. The table below summarizes the beam measurements evaluated and used to establish a conservative emittance budget for LAMP based on known historical beam losses and activation. However, based on estimates of the CCL admittance and the Isotope Production Facility (IPF) beamline acceptance, a more relaxed transverse emittance upper limit of 0.095 π-cm-mrad, rms, normalized may be acceptable at 100 MeV while still meeting the LAMP performance requirements for charge delivery to each LANSCE experimental area and maintaining hands-on maintenance. This upper limit is supported by a recent analysis of operational data. Additionally, the present conceptual LAMP front-end design meets this requirement.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Strongback Validation in Compact Particle Accelerator

To achieve superconductivity, RF cavities must operate under cryogenic conditions. These low temperatures cause thermal shrinkage, posing a challenge in maintaining the position of the RF coupler, a vital component of the particle accelerator. The solution to this issue includes a passive design that minimizes heat transfer to the cavity while also withstanding loads encountered during transport. A mock-up was constructed to demonstrate the effectiveness of the solution in maintaining proper RF coupler alignment under thermal contraction. The results confirm the feasibility of the design for maintaining operational integrity during cryogenic conditions.

Jakopin, Alexander [Northern Illinois U.]↗

Impacts of PV Module Connector Failures on Cost and Performance of Utility Scale Photovoltaic Systems

The reliability, cost and performance of electrical connectors are a concern in all types of electrical systems, and demands on connectors used on photovoltaic (PV) systems include that connectors maintain electrical conductivity and physical strength, endure ultraviolet sunlight and high ambient temperature, and resist moisture and chemical intrusion over a very long (>25 year) performance period. Connector failures increase operation and maintenance (O&M) costs and reduce plant production, but connector failure can also cause safety and liability problems, which are of greater concern. This work results from a three-year collaboration between Sandia National Laboratories (SNL), the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI), and the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) and funded by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Solar Energy Technology Office (SETO) under Agreements #39035 and #38531 "Connector Reliability Across the US Solar Sector." a multi-pronged investigation of PV connector health across the US (see https://energy.sandia.gov/pvconnectors/). This report presents derivation of a Techno-Economic Analysis (TEA) that models failure modes and frequencies (how often failure occurs), estimates O&M costs and lost production associated with connector failures, and then calculates the effect that PV module connectors can have on Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE). The model is informed with initial data from quantitative assessment of failure rates, root causes and mechanisms, in-situ diagnostics and data collection, lab-based forensics, and interviews with PV connector manufacturers and plant operators. SNL conducted site inspections at multiple utility-scale sites in different climates and subjected field samples of new, used, and degraded connectors to visual and electrical characterization. EPRI conducted metallurgical analysis of the pin and sleeve conductors to study failure-induced morphological and compositional changes. There is in general a shortage of statistically valid data, but data from PVROM database maintained by SNL was sufficient to ascertain failure rates and lost production as well as provide qualitative insight in its curated maintenance records. This report details the structure of the mathematical model but the sources of data to inform the model will continue to evolve. Analysis of a 100 MW PV plant is provided as an example of the use of the model, with results indicating that connectors are responsible for Annualized O&M Costs of $\$$71,933/year; Annualized Unit O&M Costs of $\$$0.72/kW/year; that a Reserve Account of $\$$187,220 should be available to fund repairs related to connectors; that connectors add $\$$1,494,004 to the Net Present Value of the O&M Costs (project life); and that O&M related to connectors adds about $\$$0.00088/kWh to the Levelized Cost of Energy. The impact of this model is to provide a tool to make the US solar sector more robust by quantifying and monetizing the reliability risks to utility-scale PV systems posed by poorly installed, mismatched and/or poorly designed and manufactured connectors. The TEA provides a model incorporating failure statistics, O&M cost data, and lost production into a single figure of merit, informing decisions and enabling practitioners to optimize cost and performance trade-offs. Stakeholders include connector manufacturers, system designers and equipment specifiers, standards bodies, installers and O&M providers, investors and insurance underwriters. This report supports continued growth of PV predicated on assurances that properly installed and maintained PV system connectors are safe and reliable. The project team is proposing future work including accelerated testing of connectors and expanding the approach taken here to other PV system components, such as TEA for rapid shut-down devices.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗