Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “Behavior modeling”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 847 records · Page 47

A comparison of surrogate constitutive models for viscoplastic creep simulation of HT-9 steel

Mechanistic microstructure-informed constitutive models for the mechanical response of polycrystals are a cornerstone of computational materials science. However, as these models become increasingly more complex – often involving coupled differential equations describing the effect of specific deformation modes – their associated computational costs can become prohibitive, particularly in optimization or uncertainty quantification tasks that require numerous model evaluations. To address this challenge, surrogate constitutive models that balance accuracy and computational efficiency are highly desirable. Data-driven surrogate models, that learn the constitutive relation directly from data, have emerged as a promising solution. In this work, we develop two local surrogate models for the viscoplastic response of a steel: a piecewise response surface method and a mixture of experts model. These surrogates are designed to adapt to complex material behavior, which may vary with material parameters or operating conditions. The surrogate constitutive models are applied to creep simulations of HT-9 steel, an alloy of considerable interest to the nuclear energy sector due to its high tolerance to radiation damage, using training data generated from viscoplastic self-consistent (VPSC) simulations. In conclusion, we define a set of test metrics to numerically assess the accuracy of our surrogate models for predicting viscoplastic material behavior, and show that the mixture of experts model outperforms the piecewise response surface method in terms of accuracy.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

The rise of electric vehicles—2020 status and future expectations

Electric vehicles (EVs) are experiencing a rise in popularity over the past few years as the technology has matured and costs have declined, and support for clean transportation has promoted awareness, increased charging opportunities, and facilitated EV adoption. Suitably, a vast body of literature has been produced exploring various facets of EVs and their role in transportation and energy systems. This paper provides a timely and comprehensive review of scientific studies looking at various aspects of EVs, including: (a) an overview of the status of the light-duty-EV market and current projections for future adoption; (b) insights on market opportunities beyond light-duty EVs; (c) a review of cost and performance evolution for batteries, power electronics, and electric machines that are key components of EV success; (d) charging-infrastructure status with a focus on modeling and studies that are used to project charging-infrastructure requirements and the economics of public charging; (e) an overview of the impact of EV charging on power systems at multiple scales, ranging from bulk power systems to distribution networks; (f) insights into life-cycle cost and emissions studies focusing on EVs; and (g) future expectations and synergies between EVs and other emerging trends and technologies. The goal of this paper is to provide readers with a snapshot of the current state of the art and help navigate this vast literature by comparing studies critically and comprehensively and synthesizing general insights. This detailed review paints a positive picture for the future of EVs for on-road transportation, and the authors remain hopeful that remaining technology, regulatory, societal, behavioral, and business-model barriers can be addressed over time to support a transition toward cleaner, more efficient, and affordable transportation solutions for all.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Enhanced Frequency Support Scheme of Generic Inverter-Based Resource Models for Renewable-Dominated Power Grids

The frequency response of SG-dominated power grids is predictable ahead of an occurrence of a frequency event because the frequency response of SGs is consistent, and it can be inferred from the swing equation [1]. However, increasing the portion of IBRs in an SG-dominated power grid might make the characteristics of the conventional power grids no longer valid because this changing resource mix affects grid dynamics and controls [2]. Thus, maintaining these characteristics greatly benefits the control and operation of the power grids with high penetration of IBRs. To maintain these characteristics in IBR-dominated power grids, IBRs should have frequency response capability similar to that of an SG. The WECC modeling validation subcommittee has developed generic IBR models for large system planning [3]-[5]. These models can represent various vendors' dynamic behavior for WTG, PV, and ESS [5]. The current generic IBR models approved by WECC can provide frequency response only from droop control loops in REPC models [6], [7]. The contribution of the loops is proportional to the frequency deviation from the nominal frequency. Thus, it presents an insufficient contribution to arrest frequency variation compared to the frequency response of SGs because it allows a high ROCOF in the early stage of frequency events. This shortfall will become greater as the PL of IBRs increases in power grids. Controller enhancement for the generic IBR models is required to secure the frequency stability under high PL of IBRs as in the SG-dominated power grids. This paper proposes a control extension for the generic IBR models to enhance the frequency support capabilities and discusses the classification of frequency support for the different types of IBR considering their operating constraints. An inertial control scheme is implemented in the REPC and REEC models of the generic IBR models to achieve these objectives. The inertial control scheme includes the following stages: Control area data acquisition, inertia time constant estimation, IBR-related constraint check, IBR contribution determination, and inertial response provision. In the scheme, a REPC acquires control area data from a system operator and estimates a total inertia time constant for the control area the applicable IBR power plant belongs. Then, the estimated inertial time constant is transferred to each IBR controller—REEC—within the power plant. Each REEC checks the availability of applicable IBR for inertial response participation. If the IBR is available, the REEC amplifies the estimated inertial time constant to utilize it for inertial response provision. In this way, the proposed inertial response scheme extends the functionality of the generic IBR models to provide SG-like frequency response within their constraints. Various scenarios considering different IBR types, IBR penetration levels, and frequency control schemes were simulated and compared in an IEEE 39-bus system using PSCAD simulator to verify the effectiveness of the proposed scheme.

Kim, Jinho↗

Boride-Carbon Hybrid Technology to Produce Ultra-Wear and Corrosion Resistant Surfaces for Applications in Harsh Conditions (Final Technical Report)

Engineered functional surfaces play an important role to enable new products and manufacturing processes that can endure harsh service conditions such as high impact and contact loads, highly abrasive wear, extreme temperatures, and corrosive environments. Engineered surfaces can also be instrumental to improving the efficient use of energy by reducing frictional losses and extending service life. The main objective of this project was to develop a hybrid surface engineering technology that combines the advantages of a novel ultrafast boriding process with the next generation of superhard carbon coatings. The hypothesis was that this hybrid process will offer an unprecedented combination of wear and corrosion resistance, low frictional losses and affordability for treated parts so that it can be utilized in many applications. During this project, a duplex process was developed that combines the advantages of ultra-fast electrochemical boriding with those of hard tetrahedral amorphous carbon coatings. Both technologies can be combined to form a hybrid technology that is characterized by low friction and wear properties combined with corrosion and fatigue resistance. Good adhesion of both layers to each other was one main goal of this project, that has been achieved with HF1 adhesion through the Rockwell-C adhesion test. In this project, the mechanical properties of the hybrid coating were modeled through a finite-element analysis approach. We can conclude that the FEA model resembles the actual samples and be utilized to predict mechanical behavior under impacts. Based on this model, application-oriented load conditions can be simulated for optimal layer design regarding thickness and mechanical properties. To exemplify, one conclusion that can be drawn from the nanoindentation model is a boride layer thickness of 50 µm is sufficient to effectively support the carbon coating on the identified AISI 1045 low carbon steel substrate material. The duplex treatment yields wear rates as low as 6 x 10 -8 mm 3 N -1 m -1 and a coefficient of friction of 0.14 when tested against a steel counter face in a ball-on-disk test setup. On the other hand, the wear rate of the only-borided AISI 1045 steel was 5 x 10 -5 mm 3 N -1 m -1 , about three orders of magnitude higher than the duplex coating. At the same time, duplex treated samples experience corrosion resistance, which could not be achieved with single-layer carbon coatings. The developed surface treatment withstands a 3-hour exposure to 15% HCl, while the only carbon coated counter sample shows severe delamination of the coating due to pin hole corrosion. The boride layer is chemically stable and pin hole free because it is formed through an electrochemical process under high current densities (700 mA/cm 2 ) and high temperature. Additionally, the hybrid coating led to at least 3x increase in fatigue strength of the steel substrate, which exceeds the target performance of 30% improvement. There are numerous potential applications for the duplex coatings. A representative application is bearing ball coatings for off-shore windmills. Compared to currently employed surface technologies in this field, the initial costs of applying our technology might be higher due to more process steps but the performance benefits lead to an increased life time of treated parts, which will lower the maintenance and replacement costs in the long-term. To validate the technology for this specific application, the team is currently investigating the process of white etching crack initiation of the duplex coating in collaboration with ANL. Overall, this project successfully validated that the boride-carbon hybrid technology can withstand harsh conditions. One possible approach to commercialization under consideration is to transfer the technology to a startup or an existing coatings company.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Exact solution of the frustrated Potts model with next-nearest-neighbor interactions in one dimension via AI bootstrapping

The one-dimensional (1D) 𝐽 1 −𝐽 2 𝑞-state Potts model is solved exactly for arbitrary 𝑞 by analytically block-diagonalizing the original 𝑞 2 ×𝑞 2 transfer matrix into a simple 2 × 2 maximally symmetric subspace, based on using OpenAI's reasoning model o3-mini-high to exactly solve the 𝑞 = 3 case. Furthermore, by matching relevant subspaces, we map the Potts model onto a simpler effective 1D 𝑞-state Potts model, where 𝐽 2 acts as the nearest-neighbor interaction and 𝐽 1 as an effective magnetic field, nontrivially generalizing a 56-year-old theorem previously limited to the simplest case (𝑞 = 2, the Ising model). Our exact results provide insights to phenomena such as atomic or electronic order stacking in layered materials and the emergence of dome-shaped phases in complex phase diagrams. In conclusion, this work is anticipated to fuel both research in 1D frustrated magnets for recently discovered finite-temperature application potentials and the fast moving topic area of AI in science.

1-dimensional spin chains↗

Code-to-code comparison and validation of the radiation-hydrodynamics capabilities of the FLASH code using a laboratory astrophysical jet

The potential for laser-produced plasmas to yield fundamental insights into high energy density physics (HEDP) and deliver other useful applications can sometimes be frustrated by uncertainties in modeling the properties and behavior of these plasmas using radiation-hydrodynamics codes. In an effort to overcome this and to corroborate the accuracy of the HEDP capabilities in the publicly available FLASH radiation-hydrodynamics code, we present detailed code-to-code comparisons between FLASH and the HYDRA code developed at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory using previously published HYDRA simulations from Grava et al. [Phys. Rev. E 78, 016403 (2008)]. That study describes a laser experiment that produced a jet-like feature that the authors compare to astrophysical jets. Importantly, the Grava et al. [Phys. Rev. E 78, 016403 (2008)] experiment included detailed x-ray interferometric measurements of electron number densities and a time-integrated measurement of the soft x-ray spectrum. Despite markedly different methods for treating the computational mesh, and different equations of state and opacity models, the FLASH results resemble the results from HYDRA and, most importantly, the experimental measurements of electron density. Having validated the FLASH code in this way, we use the code to further investigate and understand the formation of the jet seen in the Grava et al. [Phys. Rev. E 78, 016403 (2008)] experiment and discuss its relation to the Wan et al. [Phys. Rev. E 55, 6293 (1997)] experiment at the NOVA laser.

Orban, Chris (ORCID:0000000312004538)↗

Microstructural Characterization of AGR-2 TRISO-coated Particle Buffer, IPyC, and Buffer-IPyC Interfaces

Investigating the microstructural, mechanical, and chemical behaviors of Tristructural Isotropic (TRISO) fuel particles is vital for its qualification and use in advanced reactors. Central to the study of TRISO particles is understanding the silicon carbide (SiC) layer's ability to confine fission products, with failure mechanisms linked to chemical degradation following mechanical degradation of the buffer and IPyC layers. Research has been done to quantify the micro-tensile properties of the buffer, inner pyrolytic carbon (IPyC), and buffer-IPyC interlayer regions and their interactions within both irradiated and un-irradiated TRISO particles. Techniques such as atom probe tomography (APT) and transmission electron microscopy (TEM) have also been deployed to examine microstructural defects and fission product distribution in detail. The goal is to understand layer delamination, establish connections between microstructure and mechanical attributes, and inform computational predictions of fuel performance. This work may help refine predictive models of TRISO fuel behavior and facilitating its certification for use in advanced reactors.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Ionization dynamics of intense laser-produced argon plasmas revealed by NLTE modeling

The ionization dynamics and transient behavior of under-dense plasma irradiated by an intense laser are investigated. We report two significant effects in the ionization behavior: (1) a surprisingly large delay in ionization response and (2) a stepwise ionization process which involves collisional and laser-driven photoionization (LDP) processes. Ionization induced by intense lasers can exhibit delayed responses due to rapid changes in conditions, particularly when atomic transition processes occur more slowly than the relevant time scales. Furthermore, modeling reveals that the two-step ionization process—collisional excitation followed by LDP—plays an important role in this ionization delay, with collisional excitation acting as the bottleneck. Even low-energy photons (∼3.5 eV) can predominantly ionize plasmas, challenging the conventional belief that such energies are insufficient to overcome the binding energy of bound electrons. These findings underscore the necessity of including such processes into plasma simulations for various laser-plasma experiments.

Collisional excitation↗

Supernova Hydrodynamics: A Lab-scale Study of the Blast-driven Instability Using High-speed Diagnostics

A novel experimental approach to study the blast-driven instability at a nondiffuse, gaseous interface with a density gradient is presented. Under Euler similarity, this approach enables study of dissipative-scale hydrodynamics relevant to many astrophysical and laboratory high energy density phenomena in a well-resolved manner. The instability is initiated by passing a Taylor–Sedov blast wave originating from a controlled detonation through a perturbed and stably stratified interface between two gases. The facility and driving blast wave are characterized to obtain repeatable conditions and capture large ensembles of time-resolved Mie scattering imaging that show consistent hydrodynamic development. We analyze the instability evolution between different gas pairs to demonstrate the wide range of development and turbulent behavior that may occur between different supernova layers. The mean evolution of the hydrodynamic instability is compared to a buoyancy–drag model that is frequently used to estimate perturbation growth in supernova mixing research. We propose a time delay to this model in order to reproduce the measured instability behavior and demonstrate model robustness in handling flows driven by a time-varying acceleration.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Measurements of Beam Spin Asymmetries in p+p0 and p´p0 Dihadron Production at CLAS12

Semi-Inclusive Deep Inelastic Scattering (SIDIS) is a powerful experimental tool for studying the internal structure and dynamics of the proton, revealing how quarks and gluons are distributed and interact within it. SIDIS describes a process where an elec tron scatters off one of the constituent quarks within the proton, causing it to undergo hadronization, creating multiple hadrons in the final state. Through factorization, the full process can be split into probabilistic components: one which describes the internal structure of the proton using Parton Distribution Functions (PDFs), and another which describes the hadronization process using Fragmentation Functions (FFs). These functions are non-perturbative quantities of Quantum Chromodynamics (QCD), meaning they cannot be calculated directly from first principles and must instead be extracted from experimental measurements. Acommon approach for accessing PDFs and FFs using SIDIS is to measure asymmetries. In this context, asymmetries correspond to subtle differences in the angular distribution of outgoing particles that arise when the spin orientation of the incoming beam or target is reversed. Because many of these effects only appear when spin is involved, they isolate specific, nuanced properties of the proton’s spin-structure that are otherwise hidden in spin averaged measurements. In practice, they show up as specific azimuthal modulations (e.g., sin ¿R, sin(¿h ´ ¿R)), whose amplitudes isolate convolutions of PDFs and FFs at leading and subleading twist. Non-zero asymmetries of these angular distributions can be traced back to unique combinations of PDFs and FFs, offering a way to probe them directly. In this work, we measure SIDIS by analyzing high energy electron-proton scattering events using the CLAS12 detector at Jefferson Lab. This study focuses on subset of SIDIS referred to as dihadron SIDIS, where pairs of hadrons — here p+p0 and p´p0 — are observed. We analyzed these dihadrons using detector data collected during Fall 2018 and Spring 2019, where longitudinally polarized electrons from the CEBAF accelerator were incident on a liquid hydrogen target. A photon classifier using a Gradient Boosted Trees (GBTs) architecture was trained using Monte Carlo simulations to reduce the amount of iv false combinatorial background p0’s. When deployed on experimental data, the model in creases our dihadron statistics by up to five-fold compared to previous CLAS12 p0 analyses. This work reports the first measurements of beam spin asymmetries for p+p0 and p´p0 dihadron production in SIDIS. The measured asymmetries offer new insights to the spin-dependent structure and dynamics within the proton, as well as the spin-dependent properties of quark fragmentation. Non-zero twist-3 sin¿R amplitudes are observed, pro viding sensitivity to the subleading twist PDF e(x). The PDF e(x) encodes quark-gluon correlations within the proton — a property that is otherwise inaccessible at leading twist. Additionally, this work measured significant twist-2 modulations carried by sin(¿h ´ ¿R) and sin(2¿h ´2¿R), providing experimental access to the helicity dihadron fragmentation function (DiFF) GK 1 . Because there is no equivalent quark helicity-dependent FF in single pion SIDIS, the DiFF GK 1 offers a unique lens into novel spin-dependent fragmentation. For instance, the twist-2 modulations observed in this study are enhanced by vector mesons created during fragmentation — a behavior predicted by phenomenological models. This study broadens our understanding of dihadron fragmentation, revealing new details about the flavor and charge dependence of hadronization.

Matousek, Gregory [Duke Univ., Durham, NC (United ↗

Data for Filling the Cellulosic Bio-economy Gap by Utilizing a Wedge Approach Combined with Stakeholder Collaboration

The price gap between the market and breakeven prices of cellulosic biomass for farmers represents a significant barrier to the development of a low-carbon cellulosic bioeconomy. Using a bottom-up, agent-based modeling tool that replicates the behaviors and interactions of key stakeholders, this study analyzes the emergence of a cellulosic bioeconomy at the local scale through a wedge approach that examines an integrated portfolio of multiple policy options, including subsidies for small-scale bioproducts and environmental credits. The role of collaboration among multiple stakeholders, such as biomass producers (farmers), bio-refinery industry, government, and society, is assessed for filling the price gap. Using the Sangamon River Basin as a case study site, we evaluate the effectiveness of the wedge approach by comparing simulation results from multiple scenarios, each incorporating different combinations of bioeconomy wedges, with and without stakeholder collaboration. Results underscore that active collaboration among stakeholders acts as a catalyst enlarging the effectiveness of bioeconomy wedges. Including the carbon credits and environmental value in the policy portfolio is found to bridge the price gap through collective contributions from diverse stakeholders, where the cellulosic biofuel and bioproduct industry plays a pivotal role. Although this study is conducted at the local watershed scale, the methodology and findings offer valuable insights for market development in other watersheds and the potential scaling of local markets to regional and national levels.

Economics↗

Shock compression behavior of stainless steel 316L octet-truss lattice structures

Lattice structures offer desirable mechanical properties for applications of energy absorption and impact mitigation but limited research has been carried out on their shock compression behavior. In this work, the shock compression behavior of stainless steel 316L (SS316L) octet-truss lattice structures was investigated through experimental techniques and numerical simulations. Plate impact experiments with high-speed imaging were conducted at impact velocities of 270 – 390 m/s on lattice specimens with 5x5x10 unit cell geometries additively manufactured (AM) using direct metal laser sintering. High-speed imaging together with digital image correlation was used to extract full-field measurements and define a two-wave structure consisting of an elastic wave and planar compaction (shock) wave which propagated along the impact direction. A linear shock velocity versus particle velocity relation was found to approximate the measurements with a unit slope and a linear fit constant equal to the crushing speed. Furthermore, the shock velocity versus particle velocity relation, full-field measurements, and elastic limit together with the Eulerian form of the Rankine-Hugoniot jump conditions were used to find relations for the stress and internal energy behind the shock. Stress behind the shock increased with relative density and particle velocity, and specific internal energy converged to a single curve similar to that of bulk AM SS316L. Explicit finite element analysis using the Johnson-Cook constitutive model demonstrated similar shock behavior observed in experiments and a linear shock velocity versus particle velocity relation and corresponding Hugoniot calculations were found to be in agreement with experimental results. Numerical simulations confirmed negligible effects of exterior versus interior measurements and further validated the application of one-dimensional shock theory.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Beyond universal behavior in the one-dimensional chain with random nearest-neighbor hopping

Here, we study the one-dimensional nearest-neighbor tight-binding model of electrons with independently distributed random hopping and no on-site potential (i.e., off-diagonal disorder with particle-hole symmetry, leading to sublattice symmetry, for each realization). For nonsingular distributions of the hopping, it is known that the model exhibits a universal, singular behavior of the density of states $ρ(E) ~ 1/|E\: \text{ln}^3 |E||$ and of the localization length $ξ(E) ~ |\text{ln}|E||$, near the band center $\textit{E}$ = 0 . (This singular behavior is also applicable to random $\textit{XY}$ and Heisenberg spin chains; it was first obtained by Dyson for a specific random harmonic oscillator chain.) Simultaneously, the state at$\textit{E}$ = 0 shows a universal, subexponential decay at large distances $\sim \text{exp}[–\sqrt{r/r_0}]$. In this study, we consider singular, but normalizable, distributions of hopping, whose behavior at small $\textit{t}$ is of the form $\sim 1/[t \text{ln}^{λ+1}(1/t)]$, characterized by a single, continuously tunable parameter λ > 0. We find, using a combination of analytic and numerical methods, that while the universal result applies for λ > 2, it no longer holds in the interval 0 < λ < 2. In particular, we find that the form of the density of states singularity is enhanced (relative to the Dyson result) in a continuous manner depending on the nonuniversal parameter λ; simultaneously, the localization length shows a less divergent form at low energies and ceases to diverge below λ = 1. For λ < 2, the fall-off of the $\textit{E}$ = 0 state at large distances also deviates from the universal result and is of the form $\sim\text{exp}[–(r/r_0)^{1/λ}]$ , which decays faster than an exponential for λ < 1.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

E-scooter safety: How attitudinal factors influence risky behavior among shared e-scooter riders

In recent years, e-scooter usage for short-distance trips has grown rapidly. This surge in e-scooter use, combined with the high exposure of e-scooter riders to accident risk, has sparked concerns regarding e-scooter safety. Despite some studies focusing on e-scooter safety, little is known about how attitudinal factors lead e-scooter riders to engage in risky riding behaviors. In this paper, we developed a survey-based empirical model to identify the attitudinal factors influencing engagement in risky behaviors among e-scooter users. We used survey data collected from 420 shared e-scooter users in Chicago in 2022. The survey showed that 47.7% of respondents had experienced at least one collision or fall-off while riding e-scooters. We employed the Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Model (PLS-SEM) to examine the relationships between latent attitudinal factors and risky behavior engagement. Moreover, we conducted Permutation Multi-group Analysis (PMGA) to assess the moderating effect of socio-demographic factors within the estimated model. The findings suggest that riders’ unsafe riding attitude and riding confidence are the most influential factors shaping their risky behavior engagement. In addition, accident experience, infrastructure suitability, perceived enjoyment, traffic risk perception, and operational risk perception are among the other significant predictors. Among socio-demographic factors, gender, age, education, and car use frequency significantly influence riders’ engagement in risky behaviors. The results highlight the importance of infrastructure suitability and accident experience in analyzing e-scooter users’ riding behavior. The developed model advances our understanding of factors contributing to e-scooter riders’ risky behavior engagement. The findings offer valuable insights for policymakers and e-scooter vendors aiming to mitigate e-scooter users’ accident risk. Specifically, we recommend three safety countermeasures: (1) safety training programs to encourage a safer attitude, (2) practice-based initiatives to enhance riding confidence, and (3) infrastructure improvements, especially the expansion of bike lanes.

E-scooter↗

DRIPS: A framework for dimension reduction and interpolation in parameter space

Reduced-order models are often used to describe the behavior of complex systems, whose simulation with a full model is too expensive, or to extract salient features from the full model’s output. We introduce a new model-reduction framework DRIPS (dimension reduction and interpolation in parameter space) that combines the offline local model reduction with the online parameter interpolation of reduced-order bases (ROBs). The offline step of this framework relies on dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) to build a low-rank linear surrogate model, equipped with a local ROB, for quantities of interest derived from the training data generated by repeatedly solving the (nonlinear) high-fidelity model for multiple parameter points. The online step consists of the construction of a parametric reduced-order model for each target/test point in the parameter space, with the interpolation of ROBs done on a Grassman manifold and the interpolation of reduced-order operators done on a matrix manifold. The DMD component enables DRIPS to model (typically low-dimensional) quantities of interest directly, without having to access the (typically high-dimensional and possibly nonlinear) operators in a high-fidelity model that governs the dynamics of the underlying high-dimensional state variables, as required in projection-based reduced-order modeling. A series of numerical experiments suggests that DRIPS yields a model reduction, which is computationally more efficient than the commonly used projection-based proper orthogonal decomposition; it does so without requiring a prior knowledge of the governing equation for quantities of interest. Furthermore, for the nonlinear systems considered, DRIPS is more accurate than Gaussian-process interpolation (Kriging).

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Scalability analysis of heavy-duty gas turbines using data-driven machine learning

With the increasing integration of variable renewable energy sources into power systems, the role of flexible power generation technologies like gas turbines (GT) in rapid grid balancing remains crucial. This sustained importance underscores the need for scaled and precise modeling of GT to ensure effective integration within evolving energy frameworks. While physics-driven GT models integrate thermodynamics, fluid dynamics, and combustion principles, they often rely on approximate mathematical representations to accommodate scaling that may not capture the actual complex dynamics for GTs and inertial effects associated to GTs with different ratings. In this study, a data-driven model is proposed using machine learning (ML) techniques to conduct GT scalability analysis and performance evaluation with high accuracy. The ML model, trained on data from various operating conditions and performance parameters, aims to uncover intricate relationships and patterns, resembling GT characteristics at different scales (ratings). The model is developed to capture complex system interaction and to adapt to changing operational scenarios at different capacities, providing valuable insights of power system dynamics. In this study, the real-time digital simulator platform was employed to generate training data for the ML model and assess its dynamic characteristics. The ultimate objective was to develop a detailed modeling framework based on governing equations and data-driven ML capable of predicting key performance indicators, in thermal systems such as GTs, including power output, speed, fuel consumption, and exhaust temperature under diverse operating conditions at different scales. The developed ML framework demonstrated high accuracy, with mean relative errors for GT power prediction, reference speed, exhaust temperature, and compressor pressure ratio (CPR) parameters consistently below 0.1% across typical load fluctuation scenarios. Maximum deviations were limited to approximately 0.5 K for exhaust temperature and 0.009 for CPR, underscoring the model’s ability to replicating dynamic GT behavior with high precision. The adaptability of the ML model enables its application across diverse operational conditions and its extension to other thermal systems. By leveraging advanced ML techniques, this study presents a robust and scalable modeling framework that enhances GT simulation precision, facilitating improved integration into evolving power systems.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Inferring the Isotropic-Nematic Phase Transition with Generative Machine Learning

Generative machine learning models are capable of learning the phase behavior in condensed matter systems such as the Ising model. We utilize a score-based modeling procedure called thermodynamic maps to describe the isotropic-nematic phase transition in a melt of Gay-Berne ellipsoids. When trained on samples from a single temperature on either side of the phase transition, this generative machine learning approach infers effectively the nematic order parameter at intermediate temperatures. Furthermore, these results demonstrate score-based models’ ability to learn the physics of a nontrivial liquid crystal phase transition.

Critical exponents↗

Roadmap for thermal property measurements of Molten Salt Reactor systems

Thermal properties of molten salts, both with and without fissile and fertile material, are fundamental to modeling and simulation that supports design, construction, operation, and accident progression evaluation of molten salt reactors. This roadmap provides guidance to the research community on the types and amounts of required data for base, or carrier, salt systems, recommends simulated burnup fuel salt compositions to evaluate, and provides a technical foundation for a focused salt property evaluation matrix. The property values generated from both computation and experimental methods are used to develop models that constitute the Molten Salt Thermal Properties Database (MSTDB). While the building blocks of MSTDB are fundamental in nature, its data facilitates constructing engineering models that allow stakeholders to investigate the behavior of specific compositions of interest and supports broader modeling and simulation of MSRs through coupling to multi-physics, multi-scale mass accountancy tools.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗