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At least 829 records · Page 46

Application of Suomi-NPP Green Vegetation Fraction and NUCAPS for Improving Regional Numerical Weather Prediction

The NASA SPoRT Center is working to incorporate Suomi‐NPP products into its research and transition activities to improve regional numerical weather prediction (NWP). Specifically, SPoRT seeks to utilize two data products from NOAA/NESDIS: (1) daily global VIIRS green vegetation fraction (GVF), and (2) NOAA Unique CrIS and ATMS Processing System (NUCAPS) temperature and moisture retrieved profiles. The goal of (1) is to improve the representation of vegetation in the Noah land surface model (LSM) over existing climatological GVF datasets in order to improve the land‐atmosphere energy exchanges in NWP models and produce better temperature, moisture, and precipitation forecasts. The goal of (2) is to assimilate NUCAPS retrieved profiles into the Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation (GSI) data assimilation system to assess the impact on a summer pre‐frontal convection case. Most regional NWP applications make use of a monthly GVF climatology for use in the Noah LSM within the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. The GVF partitions incoming energy into direct surface heating/evaporation over bare soil versus evapotranspiration processes over vegetated surfaces. Misrepresentations of the fractional coverage of vegetation during anomalous weather/climate regimes (e.g., early/late bloom or freeze; drought) can lead to poor NWP model results when land‐atmosphere feedback is important. SPoRT has been producing a daily MODIS GVF product based on the University of Wisconsin Direct Broadcast swaths of Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI). While positive impacts have been demonstrated in the WRF model for some cases, the reflectances composing these NDVI do not correct for atmospheric aerosols nor satellite view angle, resulting in temporal noisiness at certain locations (especially heavy vegetation). The method behind the NESDIS VIIRS GVF is expected to alleviate the issues seen in the MODIS GVF real‐time product, thereby offering a higher‐quality dataset for modeling applications. SPoRT is evaluating the VIIRS GVF data against the MODIS real‐time and climatology GVF in both WRF and the NASA Land Information System. SPoRT has a history of assimilating hyperspectral infrared retrieved profiles

Numerical Weather Prediction↗

Analysis and Prediction of Weather Impacted Ground Stop Operations

When the air traffic demand is expected to exceed the available airport's capacity for a short period of time, Ground Stop (GS) operations are implemented by Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) Traffic Flow Management (TFM). The GS requires departing aircraft meeting specific criteria to remain on the ground to achieve reduced demands at the constrained destination airport until the end of the GS. This paper provides a high-level overview of the statistical distributions as well as causal factors for the GSs at the major airports in the United States. The GS's character, the weather impact on GSs, GS variations with delays, and the interaction between GSs and Ground Delay Programs (GDPs) at Newark Liberty International Airport (EWR) are investigated. The machine learning methods are used to generate classification models that map the historical airport weather forecast, schedule traffic, and other airport conditions to implemented GS/GDP operations and the models are evaluated using the cross-validations. This modeling approach produced promising results as it yielded an 85% overall classification accuracy to distinguish the implemented GS days from the normal days without GS and GDP operations and a 71% accuracy to differentiate the GS and GDP implemented days from the GDP only days.

Analysis↗

KSC Weather and Research

This briefing outlines the history of Kennedy Space Center (KSC) Weather organization, past research sponsored or performed, current organization, responsibilities, and activities, the evolution of weather support, future technologies, and an update on the status of the buoys located offshore of Cape Canaveral Air Force Station and KSC.

KSC Weather↗

Improving Operational Acceptability of Dynamic Weather Routes Through Analysis of Commonly Use Routings

The Dynamic Weather Routes (DWR) tool is a ground-based trajectory automation system that continuously and automatically analyzes active in-flight aircraft in en route airspace to find simple modifications to flight plan routes that can save significant flying time, while avoiding weather and considering traffic conflicts, airspace sector congestion, special use airspace, and FAA routing restrictions. Trials of the DWR system have shown that significant delay savings are possible. However, some DWR advised routes are also rejected by dispatchers or modified before being accepted. Similarly, of those sent by dispatchers to flight crews as proposed route change requests, many are not accepted by air traffic control, or are modified before implementation as Center route amendments. Such actions suggest that the operational acceptability of DWR advised route corrections could be improved, which may reduce workload and increase delay savings. This paper analyzes the historical usage of different flight routings, varying from simple waypoint pairs to lengthy strings of waypoints incorporating jet routes, in order to improve DWR route acceptability. An approach is developed that can be incorporated into DWR, advising routings with high historical usage and savings potential similar to that of the nominal DWR advisory. It is hypothesized that modifying a nominal DWR routing to one that is commonly used, and nearby, will result in more actual savings since common routings are generally familiar and operationally acceptable to air traffic control. The approach allows routing segments with high historical usage to be concatenated to form routes that meet all DWR constraints. The relevance of a route's historical usage to its acceptance by dispatchers and air traffic control is quantified by analyzing historical DWR data. Results indicate that while historical usage may be less of a concern to flight dispatchers accepting or rejecting DWR advised route corrections, it may be important to air traffic control acceptance of DWR routes.

dynamic weather routes↗

The Possible Contribution of Dielectric Breakdown to Space Weathering on Phobos

The origins of Phobos and Deimos are uncertain; both are so space weathered that their surface compositions are difficult to determine using spectral reflectance measurements. We show how the winter temperatures and associated conditions in the polar regions of Phobos could make the regolith susceptible to space weathering from dielectric breakdown caused by solar energetic particles (SEPs). During SEP events, charged particles accumulate throughout the top ~ 1 mm of the regolith, which has low condukctivity, and create subsurface electric fields that act to dissipate any net buildup of charge. The faster the net charge accumulates, the larger the electric field needed to dissipate it. If the magnitude of the subsurface electric field exceeds ~10 6 V m -1, then dielectric breadkown is likely. This process rapidly dissipates the buildup of charge by vaporizing electrically conducting channels through the regolith. Dielectric breakdown

Space Weathering↗

UTM Integration Weather Information

Presentation on the current and forward-looking weather capabilities of the UTM software. Specifically tailored for the UTM weather community.

air traffic management↗

Improving Operational Acceptability of Dynamic Weather Routes (DWR) Through Analysis of Commonly Used Routings

The Dynamic Weather Routes (DWR) tool is a ground-based trajectory automation system that continuously and automatically analyzes active in-flight aircraft in en route airspace to find simple modifications to flight plan routes that can save significant flying time, while avoiding weather and considering traffic conflicts, airspace sector congestion, special use airspace, and FAA routing restrictions. Trials of the DWR system have shown that significant delay savings are possible. However, some DWR advised routes are also rejected by dispatchers or modified before being accepted. Similarly, of those sent by dispatchers to flight crews as proposed route change requests, many are not accepted by air traffic control, or are modified before implementation as Center route amendments. Such actions suggest that the operational acceptability of DWR advised route corrections could be improved, which may reduce workload and increase delay savings. This paper analyzes the historical usage of different flight routings, varying from simple waypoint pairs to lengthy strings of waypoints incorporating jet routes, in order to improve DWR route acceptability. An approach is developed that can be incorporated into DWR, advising routings with high historical usage and savings potential similar to that of the nominal DWR advisory. It is hypothesized that modifying a nominal DWR routing to one that is commonly used, and nearby, will result in more actual savings since common routings are generally familiar and operationally acceptable to air traffic control. The approach allows routing segments with high historical usage to be concatenated to form routes that meet all DWR constraints. The relevance of a routes historical usage to its acceptance by dispatchers and air traffic control is quantified by analyzing historical DWR data. Results indicate that while historical usage may be less of a concern to flight dispatchers accepting or rejecting DWR advised route corrections, it may be important to air traffic control acceptance of DWR routes.

Operational Acceptability↗

Oxygen and carbon stable isotope composition of the weathering Mg-carbonates on the surface of the LEW 85320 ordinary chondrite: Revisited

New δ13C and δ18O values were measured to constrain the formation mechanisms of two previously identified generations (Antarctica and Houston) of terrestrial weathering carbonates, nesquehonite, which formed on the surface of the Lewis Cliff 85320 ordinary chondrite. These two nesquehonite generations exhibit a characteristic carbon and oxygen isotopic trend which starts with a linear δ13C-δ18O covariation followed by a continuous increase in δ18O with little to no change in δ13C. Based upon the newly developed nesquehonite-water oxygen isotope thermometry and the measured δ18O value of melted ice from Antarctica, the formation temperature of the Antarctic nesquehonite generation was estimated to be -1.9 ± 3℃. Houston nesquehonite generation was most likely formed from an evaporative residue of the melted Antarctic ice at 30 ± 4℃. Modeling the isotopic trend of the two generations suggests that evaporation created large δ18O variations in the nesquehonite while carbon isotopes were stabilized by exchange between the parent liquid and atmospheric CO2. Thus, we suggest that carbonates formed by terrestrial weathering in Antarctica should possess a widespread in δ18O values and a narrow range in δ13C values under dry and cold conditions. Finally, the observed wide spread of δ18O in Martian carbonates (e.g., Allan Hills 84001 and Nakhla) can be explained by evaporation near 0℃ and may have formed by a similar mechanism to that of the nesquehonite in the LEW 85320. Meanwhile, the wide spread of δ13C suggests that two carbon reservoirs with distinct isotope compositions on Mars (e.g., the atmospheric carbon and magmatic carbon) may be actively participating in the formation process.

weathering↗

Convection Parametrization and Multi-Nesting Dependence of a Heavy Rainfall Event over Namibia with Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model

Namibia is considered as one of the countries that are most vulnerable to climate change due to its generally dry climate and the percentage of its population that rely on subsistence agriculture for their livelihoods. Early warning systems are an important aspect of adapting to climate change. Weather forecasting relies on the use of numerical weather prediction models and these need to be configured properly. In this study we investigate the effects of using multi-nests and a convection scheme on the simulation of a heavy rainfall event over the Northwestern region of Kunene, Namibia. The event which was associated with a cut-off low system, was short-lived and resulted in over 45 mm of rainfall in one hour. For the multi-nest, a 9 km grid length parent domain is nested within the Global Forecast System (GFS) simulations, which in turn forces a 3 km grid spacing child domain. A different set of simulations are produced using a single nest of 3 km grid spacing, nested directly inside the GFS data. The simulations are produced with the convection scheme switched on and off. The impact of a single versus multi nest is found to be small in general, with slight differences in the location of high rainfall intensity. Switching off the convection schemes results in high rainfall intensity and increased detail in the simulations, including when a grid spacing of 9 km mis used. Using a grid spacing of 3 km with the convection scheme on, results in a loss of detail in the simulations as well as lower rainfall amounts. The study shows a need for different configurations to be tested before an optimum configuration can be selected for operational forecasting. We recommend further tests with different synoptic forcing to be conducted to identify a suitable configuration for Namibia.

flooding↗

Pypromice: A Python Package for Processing Automated Weather Station Data

The pypromice Python package is for processing and handling observation datasets from automated weather stations (AWS). It is primarily aimed at users of AWS data from the Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland (GEUS), which collects and distributes in situ weather station observations to the cryospheric science research community. Functionality in pypromice is primarily handled using two key open-source Python packages, xarray (Hoyer & Hamman, 2017) and pandas (The pandas development team, 2020). A defined processing workflow is included in pypromice for transforming original AWS observations (Level 0, L0) to a usable, CF-convention-compliant dataset (Level 3, L3) (Figure 1). Intermediary processing levels (L1,L2) refer to key stages in the workflow, namely the conversion of variables to physical measurements and variable filtering (L1), cross-variable corrections and user-defined data flagging and fixing (L2), and derived variables (L3). Information regarding the station configuration is needed to perform the processing, such as instrument calibration coefficients and station type (one-boom tripod or two-boom mast station design, for example), which are held in a toml configuration file. Two example configuration files are provided with pypromice , which are also used in the package’s unit tests. More detailed documentation of the AWS design, instrumentation, and processing steps are described in Fausto et al. (2021).

pypromice↗

An Alternative Explanation for the Great Oxygenation Event (GOE): Weathering of Rocks Containing Minerals With Peroxy Bonds

During the Great Oxygenation Event (GOE) 2.42.35 Gyrsago, Earth experienced a notable shift in its oxidation state. This has been widely attributed to cyanobacteria having “invented” oxygenic photosynthesis. We present a very different view based on the fact thatoxygen is released from rocks during weathering. If so, the GOE must have been caused by an influx of abiogenicO2 into Earth’s surface environment. Minerals forming Earth’s crust contain impurity hydroxyls such as O3SiOH. Pairs of those are known to undergo a common redox conversion, ubiquitously forming peroxydefects plus H 2 : O 3 SiOH-HOSiO 3 ⇌O 3 Si/ OO \SiO 3 + H 2 Being diffusively mobile, most H 2 will be lost, leaving behind bound O as peroxy. The peroxy defects release O 2 during weathering: O 3 Si/ OO \SiO 3 + H 2 O → O 3 SiOH-HOSiO 3 + 1 ⁄ 2 O 2 We suggest that this abiogenically generated O 2 was responsible for the progressive oxidation of the early Earth and that this abiotic process drove the Great Oxygenation Event (GOE).

Great Oxygenation Event↗

Improved Space Weather Observations and Modeling for Aviation Radiation

In recent years there has been a growing interest from the aviation community for space weather radiation forecasts tailored to the needs of the aviation industry. In 2019 several space weather centers began issuing advisories for the International Civil Aviation Organization alerting users to enhancements in the radiation environment at aviation flight levels. Due to a lack of routine observations, radiation modeling is required to specify the dose rates experienced by flight crew and passengers. While mature models exist, support for key observational inputs and further modeling advancements are needed. Observational inputs required from the ground-based neutron monitor network must be financially supported for research studies and operations to ensure real-time data is available for forecast operations and actionable end user decision making. An improved understanding of the geomagnetic field is required to reduce dose rate uncertainties in regions close to the open/closed geomagnetic field boundary, important for flights such as those between the continental US and Europe which operate in this region. Airborne radiation measurements, which are crucial for model validation and improvement, are lacking, particularly during solar energetic particle events. New measurement campaigns must be carried out to ensure progress and in situ atmospheric radiation measurements made available for real-time situational awareness. Furthermore, solar energetic particle forecasting must be improved to move aviation radiation nowcasts to forecasts in order to meet customer requirements for longer lead times for planning and mitigation.

space weather↗

Enabling API Access to the Space Weather Services at the Community Coordinated Modeling Center

Over the span of 20 years, the Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC, https://ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov) has been leading a number of community-driven services and applications that provide a free and open access to the cutting-edge space weather and Heliophysics models through a simple web-based interface. CCMC also oversees an open archive of user model simulations and related metadata, maintains space weather-related data streams, curates validation and event datasets, and more. To maximize utility of its complementary services and data holdings, CCMC has been gradually building up an ad-hoc set of interfaces and specifications that facilitate coupling and interconnection within the organization, while also simplifying management and monitoring of the data. As the models continue to grow in maturity and complexity, CCMC is looking to reduce the complexity for its end users by making public some of the internal APIs as well as implementing dedicated interfaces as required by the community. In this presentation, we will overview the current run services at CCMC and will describe our current and near-future efforts in providing interfaces to these services.

space weather↗

Scaling Innovative Approaches Within U.S. Department of Energy's Weatherization Assistance Program

In this interactive workshop, attendees will hear from Grantees and Subgrantees of the U.S. Department of Energy's Weatherization Assistance Program (WAP), that have implemented innovative methods, materials and approaches in their weatherization program. Attendees will have the opportunity to exchange ideas and share their own stories and perspectives in breakout groups. Attendees will also learn how their state and agency may be able to work with the National Renewable Energy Lab and Oak Ridge National Lab on WAP-funded pilot projects to scale innovative methods throughout the WAP network.

ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY,POWER TRANSMI↗

Multifamily Weatherization Resources: Getting Started

This presentation is part of a session providing an overview of the multifamily weatherization process from programmatic, technical, grantee, and Subgrantee perspectives and feature a panel discussion exploring the day-to-day activities of a multifamily program and how they differ from single-family weatherization projects.

ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATION,↗

Multifamily Weatherization Resources: Compliance and Scaling

This presentation is part of a session providing an overview of the multifamily weatherization process from programmatic, technical, grantee, and Subgrantee perspectives and feature a panel discussion exploring the day-to-day activities of a multifamily program and how they differ from single-family weatherization projects.

ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATION,↗

Extreme Weather Impact on PV - Resilience Lessons for Long-Term Performance

Aside from the immediate, visible damage, extreme weather events have a longer lasting impact on PV systems. Here, NREL's Dirk C. Jordan, Kirsten Perry, Robert White, Josh Parker, Byron McDanold and Chris Deline report on research revealing the long-term consequences of hail, wind and other weather phenomena on PV production

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗