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At least 829 records · Page 46

Designing for auto safety

Safety design features in the motor vehicle and highway construction fields result from systems analysis approach to prevent or lessen death, injury, and property damage results. Systems analysis considers the prevention of crashes, increased survivability in crashes, and prompt medical attention to injuries as well as other postcrash salvage measures. The interface of these system elements with the driver, the vehicle, and the environment shows that action on the vehicle system produces the greatest safety payoff through design modifications. New and amended safety standards developed through hazard analysis technique improved accident statistics in the 70'; these regulations include driver qualifications and countermeasures to identify the chronic drunken driver who is involved in more than two-thirds of all auto deaths.

Elwood T. Driver↗

Standard deviation of vertical two-point longitudinal velocity differences in the atmospheric boundary layer.

Statistical estimates of wind shear in the planetary boundary layer are important in the design of V/STOL aircraft, and for the design of the Space Shuttle. The data analyzed in this study consist of eleven sets of longitudinal turbulent velocity fluctuation time histories digitized at 0.2 sec intervals with approximately 18,000 data points per time history. The longitudinal velocity fluctuations were calculated with horizontal wind and direction data collected at the 18-, 30-, 60-, 90-, 120-, and 150-m levels. The data obtained confirm the result that Eulerian time spectra transformed to wave-number spectra with Taylor's frozen eddy hypothesis possess inertial-like behavior at wave-numbers well out of the inertial subrange.

Fichtl, G. H.↗

Investigation using data from ERTS to develop and implement utilization of living marine resources

The author has identified the following significant results. The feasibility of utilizing ERTS-1 data in conjunction with aerial remote sensing and sea truth information to predict the distribution of menhaden in the Mississippi Sound during a specific time frame has been demonstrated by employing a number of uniquely designed empirical regression models. The construction of these models was made possible through innovative statistical routines specifically developed to meet the stated objectives.

Stevenson, W. H.↗

Requirements for space shuttle scatter radar experiments

The feasibility of carrying out scatter radar experiments on the space shuttle was analyzed. Design criteria considered were the required average transmitter power, frequency resolution, spatial resolution, and statistical accuracy. Experiments analyzed were measurement of the naturally enhanced plasma line and the ion component of the incoherent scatter spectrum, and the plasma line artificially enhanced by an intense HF radio wave. The ion component measurement does not appear feasible, while the other two appear reasonable for short ranges only.

Harker, K. J.↗

Requirements for Space Shuttle incoherent scatter experiments

The feasibility of carrying out incoherent-scatter experiments on the Space Shuttle has been analyzed. Design criteria considered were the required average transmitter power, frequency resolution, spatial resolution, and statistical accuracy. Experiments analyzed were measurement of the naturally enhanced plasma line and the ion component of the incoherent-scatter spectrum, as well as the plasma line artificially enhanced by an intense HF radiowave. The ion-component measurement does not appear feasible, while the other two appear reasonable for short ranges only.

Harker, K. J.↗

The NASA digital VGH program, early results

Data from airline digital flight data recorders provides relevant statistical data for estimating fatigue life consumption of the current airliner fleet and for design criteria updating for future designs. The data indicates real operating effects due to the autopilot, i.e., gust response frequency peak increase by 2 or 3 times, and the existence of the low frequency low amplitude limit cycle motion in altitude hold. The extension of more data types for ground operations is considered. Onboard processing of simple data types is also considered.

Crabill, N. L.↗

Evaluation program for secondary spacecraft cells: Seventeenth annual report of cycle life test

Acceptance tests were conducted on nickel cadmium, silver cadmium, and silver zinc cells to insure that all cells put into the life cycle program meet the specifications outlined in the respective purchase contracts. Statistical information is presented on cell performance characteristics and limitations. Weaknesses discovered in cell design are reported and aid in research and development efforts toward improving the reliability of space batteries. Battery weaknesses encountered in satellite programs such as IMP, NIMBUS, OGO, OAO, SAS, and TETR were studied and remedied through special tests.

Harkness, J. D.↗

Experimental analysis of computer system dependability

This paper reviews an area which has evolved over the past 15 years: experimental analysis of computer system dependability. Methodologies and advances are discussed for three basic approaches used in the area: simulated fault injection, physical fault injection, and measurement-based analysis. The three approaches are suited, respectively, to dependability evaluation in the three phases of a system's life: design phase, prototype phase, and operational phase. Before the discussion of these phases, several statistical techniques used in the area are introduced. For each phase, a classification of research methods or study topics is outlined, followed by discussion of these methods or topics as well as representative studies. The statistical techniques introduced include the estimation of parameters and confidence intervals, probability distribution characterization, and several multivariate analysis methods. Importance sampling, a statistical technique used to accelerate Monte Carlo simulation, is also introduced. The discussion of simulated fault injection covers electrical-level, logic-level, and function-level fault injection methods as well as representative simulation environments such as FOCUS and DEPEND. The discussion of physical fault injection covers hardware, software, and radiation fault injection methods as well as several software and hybrid tools including FIAT, FERARI, HYBRID, and FINE. The discussion of measurement-based analysis covers measurement and data processing techniques, basic error characterization, dependency analysis, Markov reward modeling, software-dependability, and fault diagnosis. The discussion involves several important issues studies in the area, including fault models, fast simulation techniques, workload/failure dependency, correlated failures, and software fault tolerance.

Iyer, Ravishankar, K.↗

Constructive Engineering of Simulations

Joint experimentation that investigates sensor optimization, re-tasking and management has far reaching implications for Department of Defense, Interagency and multinational partners. An adaption of traditional human in the loop (HITL) Modeling and Simulation (M&S) was one approach used to generate the findings necessary to derive and support these implications. Here an entity-based simulation was re-engineered to run on USJFCOM's High Performance Computer (HPC). The HPC was used to support the vast number of constructive runs necessary to produce statistically significant data in a timely manner. Then from the resulting sensitivity analysis, event designers blended the necessary visualization and decision making components into a synthetic environment for the HITL simulations trials. These trials focused on areas where human decision making had the greatest impact on the sensor investigations. Thus, this paper discusses how re-engineering existing M&S for constructive applications can positively influence the design of an associated HITL experiment.

Snyder, Daniel R.↗

Estimating Uncertainties in the Multi-Instrument SBUV Profile Ozone Merged Data Set

The MOD data set is uniquely qualified for use in long-term ozone analysis because of its long record, high spatial coverage, and consistent instrument design and algorithm. The estimated MOD uncertainty term significantly increases the uncertainty over the statistical error alone. Trends in the post-2000 period are generally positive in the upper stratosphere, but only significant at 1-1.6 hPa. Remaining uncertainties not yet included in the Monte Carlo model are Smoothing Error ( 1 from 10 to 1 hPa) Relative calibration uncertainty between N11 and N17Seasonal cycle differences between SBUV records.

Uncertainties↗

The HOSTS Survey-Exozodiacal Dust Measurements for 30 Stars

The Hunt for Observable Signatures of Terrestrial Systems survey searches for dust near the habitable zones (HZs) around nearby, bright main-sequence stars. We use nulling interferometry in the N band to suppress the bright stellar light and to probe for low levels of HZ dust around the 30 stars observed so far. Our overall detection rate is 18%, including four new detections, among which are the first three around Sun-like stars and the first two around stars without any previously known circumstellar dust. The inferred occurrence rates are comparable for early-type and Sun-like stars, but decrease from 60(sup +16)(sub -21)% for stars with previously detected cold dust to 8(sup +10)(sub -3)% for stars without such excess, confirming earlier results at higher sensitivity. For completed observations on individual stars, our sensitivity is five to ten times better than previous results. Assuming a lognormal excess luminosity function, we put upper limits on the median HZ dust level of 13 zodis (95% confidence) for a sample of stars without cold dust and of 26 zodis when focusing on Sun-like stars without cold dust. However, our data suggest that a more complex luminosity function may be more appropriate. For stars without detectable Large Binocular Telescope Interferometer (LBTI) excess, our upper limits are almost reduced by a factor of two, demonstrating the strength of LBTI target vetting for future exo-Earth imaging missions. Our statistics are limited so far, and extending the survey is critical to informing the design of future exo-Earth imaging surveys.

The Hunt for Observable Signatures of Terrestrial ↗

Guidance and Navigation Challenges for a Mars Ascent Vehicle

This work presents studies and analysis in support of a Mars Ascent Vehicle as part of a Martian Sample Return campaign. The vehicle design has been ongoing, with rapid development of a 6 Degree of Freedom simulation to capture full vehicle dispersions and integrated performance of vehicle, guidance, navigation and control. The maturation of this simulation is presented to provide an overview of its capabilities added over the past year of effort. The results describe in detail guidance algorithm development to increase the system’s robustness to thrust sensitivities. Navigation performance and sensitivity analysis are included to describe the capabilities of the current design as well as identify primary drivers of insertion performance. Lastly, integrated vehicle 6DOF statistical results are presented to provide insight into the nominal performance of the current vehicle and insight into system-level drivers. Future work is described to outline the continuing maturation and development of the MSR MAV ascent vehicle.

Anzalone, Evan↗

Design features and results from fatigue reliability research machines.

The design, fabrication, development, operation, calibration and results from reversed bending combined with steady torque fatigue research machines are presented. Fifteen-centimeter long, notched, SAE 4340 steel specimens are subjected to various combinations of these stresses and cycled to failure. Failure occurs when the crack in the notch passes through the specimen automatically shutting down the test machine. These cycles-to-failure data are statistically analyzed to develop a probabilistic S-N diagram. These diagrams have many uses; a rotating component design example given in the literature shows that minimum size and weight for a specified number of cycles and reliability can be calculated using these diagrams.

Lalli, V. R.↗

Identifying Galactic Cosmic Ray Origins With Super-TIGER

Super-TIGER (Super Trans-Iron Galactic Element Recorder) is a new long-duration balloon-borne instrument designed to test and clarify an emerging model of cosmic-ray origins and models for atomic processes by which nuclei are selected for acceleration. A sensitive test of the origin of cosmic rays is the measurement of ultra heavy elemental abundances (Z > or equal 30). Super-TIGER is a large-area (5 sq m) instrument designed to measure the elements in the interval 30 < or equal Z < or equal 42 with individual-element resolution and high statistical precision, and make exploratory measurements through Z = 60. It will also measure with high statistical accuracy the energy spectra of the more abundant elements in the interval 14 < or equal Z < or equal 30 at energies 0.8 < or equal E < or equal 10 GeV/nucleon. These spectra will give a sensitive test of the hypothesis that microquasars or other sources could superpose spectral features on the otherwise smooth energy spectra previously measured with less statistical accuracy. Super-TIGER builds on the heritage of the smaller TIGER, which produced the first well-resolved measurements of elemental abundances of the elements Ga-31, Ge-32, and Se-34. We present the Super-TIGER design, schedule, and progress to date, and discuss the relevance of UH measurements to cosmic-ray origins.

deNolfo, Georgia↗

Applicability study of Bayesian optimization in core neutronic design using a toy model

At the Japan Atomic Energy Agency (JAEA), an innovative design approach named ARKADIA (Advanced Reactor Knowledge- and AI-aided Design Integration Approach through the whole plant life cycle) for advanced nuclear reactors is currently under development. One task in ARKADIA is to build a system that automatically optimizes core and fuel designs by conducting core neutronic and thermal-hydraulic calculations, fuel integrity evaluations, and plant dynamic analyses. This system will be implemented to automatically find an optimal design that minimizes (or maximizes) objective function defined by core performance while varying the core and fuel design parameters such as fuel pin diameter, core height and diameter. In this study, as the first step of system development, we focused only on core neutronic design and conducted a study of automatic optimization. As the optimization algorithm, Bayesian optimization (BO), an effective method for optimization problems with expensive computational cost of objective function, was utilized. The applicability of BO was studied based on single- and two-objective optimization examples of core neutronic design in a toy model. As a result, in the former, it was shown that BO can give the optimal solution, which matches the reference solution calculated by a brute force calculation well, with a small number of required calculations. Usability on core neutronic designs, where the computational cost per case is high, was confirmed. In the latter, it was found that BO can give a Pareto solutions-set that shows good agreement with the reference solution. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

A Study of Penalty Function Methods for Constraint Handling with Genetic Algorithm

COMETBOARDS (Comparative Evaluation Testbed of Optimization and Analysis Routines for Design of Structures) is a design optimization test bed that can evaluate the performance of several different optimization algorithms. A few of these optimization algorithms are the sequence of unconstrained minimization techniques (SUMT), sequential linear programming (SLP) and the sequential quadratic programming techniques (SQP). A genetic algorithm (GA) is a search technique that is based on the principles of natural selection or "survival of the fittest". Instead of using gradient information, the GA uses the objective function directly in the search. The GA searches the solution space by maintaining a population of potential solutions. Then, using evolving operations such as recombination, mutation and selection, the GA creates successive generations of solutions that will evolve and take on the positive characteristics of their parents and thus gradually approach optimal or near-optimal solutions. By using the objective function directly in the search, genetic algorithms can be effectively applied in non-convex, highly nonlinear, complex problems. The genetic algorithm is not guaranteed to find the global optimum, but it is less likely to get trapped at a local optimum than traditional gradient-based search methods when the objective function is not smooth and generally well behaved. The purpose of this research is to assist in the integration of genetic algorithm (GA) into COMETBOARDS. COMETBOARDS cast the design of structures as a constrained nonlinear optimization problem. One method used to solve constrained optimization problem with a GA to convert the constrained optimization problem into an unconstrained optimization problem by developing a penalty function that penalizes infeasible solutions. There have been several suggested penalty function in the literature each with there own strengths and weaknesses. A statistical analysis of some suggested penalty functions is performed in this study. Also, a response surface approach to robust design is used to develop a new penalty function approach. This new penalty function approach is then compared with the other existing penalty functions.

Ortiz, Francisco↗

Trajectory Design for a Single-String Impactor Concept

This paper introduces a trajectory design for a secondary spacecraft concept to augment science return in interplanetary missions. The concept consist of a single-string probe with a kinetic impactor on board that generates an artificial plume to perform in-situ sampling. The trajectory design was applied to a particular case study that samples ejecta particles from the Jovian moon Europa. Results were validated using statistical analysis. Details regarding the navigation, targeting and disposal challenges related to this concept are presented herein.

Monte Carlo↗

Multi-spatio-temporal scales PIV in a turbulent buoyant jet discharging in a linearly stratified environment

Time-resolved particle image velocimetry is implemented with a camera array and several laser sheets; this results in a multi-spatio-temporal scale system that is modular and flexible. The setup is optimized to capture global flow features, while locally resolving in space and time near the Kolmogorov scale. The apparatus relies extensively on machine vision CMOS cameras; they are inexpensive and stream to computer hard drive with virtually continuous time-resolved records (up to one hour for the current system). This leads to statistically converged data and also helps in minimizing down time between experimental runs. Details of the implementation and design of experiment are reported. The system instruments a vertical buoyant jet discharging in a linearly stratified environment. Refractive index matched aqueous solutions enable precise optical deployment. The density difference is 3% and the fluids have similar dynamic viscosity. The jet Reynolds number is 2.00 x 10 4 and is above the mixing transition. Such flows are typically challenging to instrument and few velocity field data are available to date. The velocity statistics are reported as well as first insights gained from the campaign.

42 ENGINEERING↗