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At least 829 records · Page 46

Observational Needs for Improving Ocean and Coupled Reanalysis, S2S Prediction, and Decadal Prediction

Developments in ocean data assimilation (DA) and observing system technologies are intertwined. New observation types lead to new DA methods, and new DA methods such as Coupled Data Assimilation can change the value of existing observations or indicate where new observations can have greater utility for monitoring and prediction. Practitioners are encouraged to make better use of observations that are already available, for example in strongly coupled data assimilation where ocean observations can be used to improve atmospheric analyses and vice versa. Ocean reanalyses are useful for the analysis of climate,as well as initializing operational long-range prediction models. There are remaining challenges for ocean reanalyses due to biases and abrupt changes in the ocean observing system throughout its history, the presence of biases and drifts in models, and simplifying assumptions made in the DA methods. From a governance point of view, more support is needed to interface the observing community and the ocean DA community. For prediction applications, the ocean DA community must work with the ocean observing community to establish protocols for rapid communication of ocean observing data on NWP timescales. There is potential for new observations to enhance the observing system by supporting prediction on multiple timescales, ranging from the typical timescale of numerical weather prediction covering hours to weeks, out to multiple decades. It is highly encouraged that communication be fostered between thesecommunities to allow operational prediction centers the ability to provide guidance to the design of a sustained and adaptive observing network.

Ocean reanalysis↗

Feasibility of Metal Oxide Glasses and Polymer Membranes as Sorbents for Gaseous Oxidized Mercury

Mass spectrometry methods are currently under development by the atmospheric mercury (Hg) research community to elucidate the identity of atmospheric oxidized mercury (Hg II ) compounds. Due to high instrument detection limits, materials that can quantitatively preconcentrate atmospheric Hg II without facilitating compound-altering chemical reactions are needed to support these methods. Cation exchange membranes (CEM) and nylon membranes are currently used to preconcentrate ambient Hg II for concentration measurements and Hg II compound estimation, respectively. However, CEM and nylon membranes are poor candidates for observations by mass spectrometry methods due to release of interfering compounds upon heating; glasses do not have this problem. Here, three metal oxide glasses were explored as potential alternatives for Hg II preconcentration for future use with mass spectrometry methods: calcium phosphate (CaP), iron phosphate (FeP), and calcium aluminate (CaAl). The glasses demonstrated quantitative selective capture of HgBr 2 without capture of Hg 0 . Under ambient conditions, the CaP, FeP, and CaAl sorbed 36.4 ± 12.6% of the total HgII as the CEM. However, when Hg concentrations were normalized to surface area, CaP, FeP, and CaAl sorbed more HgBr 2 in the laboratory and ambient HgII compared to CEM. The CEM and CaP retained similar concentrations of HgBr 2 when preloaded samples were deployed in the field. Additionally, a permeation tube-based calibrator was used to load sorbents with HgBr 2 for investigation of HgII retention on CEM and thermal desorption profile changes on nylon membranes during active sampling. Nylon membranes were purchased from three vendors and used to compare HgBr 2 retention; a different HgBr 2 thermal desorption profile was achieved for each vendor’s nylon membrane.

Amides↗

Characteristics of coronal shock waves and solar type 2 radio bursts

In the solar corona shock waves generated by flares and/or coronal mass ejections can be observed by radio astronomical methods in terms of solar type 2 radio bursts. In dynamic radio spectra they appear as emission stripes slowly drifting from high to low frequencies. A sample of 25 solar type 2 radio bursts observed in the range of 40 - 170 MHz with a time resolution of 0.1 s by the new radiospectrograph of the Astrophvsikalisches Institut Potsdam in Tremsdorf is statistically investigated concerning their spectral features, i.e, drift rate, instantaneous bandwidth, and fundamental harmonic ratio. In-situ plasma wave measurements at interplanetary shocks provide the assumption that type 2 radio radiation is emitted in the vicinity of the transition region of shock waves. Thus, the instantaneous bandwidth of a solar type 2 radio burst would reflect the density jump across the associated shock wave. Comparing the inspection of the Rankine-Hugoniot relations of shock waves under coronal circumstances with those obtained from the observational study, solar type 2 radio bursts should be regarded to be generated by weak supercritical, quasi-parallel, fast magnetosonic shock waves in the corona.

Mann, G.↗

Compositional Methods for Schrödinger's Equation with Application to Optimal Control

The evolution of the state of a quantum computer is governed by Schrödinger's equation. We introduce compositional methods, a way to increase the order of symmetric methods by replacing one timestep by multiple timesteps. We perform several numerical experiments, including a simulation of a two qubit CNOT gate, using compositional variants of Störmer-Verlet and the implicit midpoint rule. We observe that the compositional methods demonstrate greater computational efficiency than the base methods when the desired error tolerance is less than ~ 10 -4 to 10 -5 . We discuss the trade-offs of using each compositional method, as well as differences between using Störmer-Verlet or the implicit midpoint rule as the base integrator of the compositional methods.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Determination of Satellite Orbits from Radar Data

An optimum method for determining satellite orbits from radar data is presented in this report. Offering a good combination of speed and accuracy, the method makes use of orbit inclination and orbit elements in the plane, and proceeds with a differential correction of the orbit elements. Rapid, accurate methods of computing orbit elements are required to predict satellite positions for acquisition by other radars at points later along the orbit. In some cases the data are limited to a single pass over the observing station. The dynamical method is described in detail, and its accuracy is compared with those of two other methods: the purely geometrical, and the least-squares geometrical. By this optimum method the computing time, including the differential correction time, is 1 minute. Without differential correction, the rough determination takes from 10 to 20 seconds with approximately 5 miles positional uncertainty.

Cahill, W. F.↗

Using Satellite Observations to Evaluate the AeroCOM Volcanic Emissions Inventory and the Dispersal of Volcanic SO2 Clouds in MERRA

Simulation of volcanic emissions in climate models requires information that describes the eruption of the emissions into the atmosphere. While the total amount of gases and aerosols released from a volcanic eruption can be readily estimated from satellite observations, information about the source parameters, like injection altitude, eruption time and duration, is often not directly known. The AeroCOM volcanic emissions inventory provides estimates of eruption source parameters and has been used to initialize volcanic emissions in reanalysis projects, like MERRA. The AeroCOM volcanic emission inventory provides an eruptions daily SO2 flux and plume top altitude, yet an eruption can be very short lived, lasting only a few hours, and emit clouds at multiple altitudes. Case studies comparing the satellite observed dispersal of volcanic SO2 clouds to simulations in MERRA have shown mixed results. Some cases show good agreement with observations Okmok (2008), while for other eruptions the observed initial SO2 mass is half of that in the simulations, Sierra Negra (2005). In other cases, the initial SO2 amount agrees with the observations but shows very different dispersal rates, Soufriere Hills (2006). In the aviation hazards community, deriving accurate source terms is crucial for monitoring and short-term forecasting (24-h) of volcanic clouds. Back trajectory methods have been developed which use satellite observations and transport models to estimate the injection altitude, eruption time, and eruption duration of observed volcanic clouds. These methods can provide eruption timing estimates on a 2-hour temporal resolution and estimate the altitude and depth of a volcanic cloud. To better understand the differences between MERRA simulations and volcanic SO2 observations, back trajectory methods are used to estimate the source term parameters for a few volcanic eruptions and compared to their corresponding entry in the AeroCOM volcanic emission inventory. The nature of these mixed results is discussed with respect to the source term estimates.

OMI SO2↗

Forced Component Estimation Statistical Method Intercomparison Project (ForceSMIP)

Anthropogenic climate change is unfolding rapidly, yet its regional manifestation can be obscured by internal variability. A primary goal of climate science is to identify the externally forced climate response from among the noise of internal variability. Separating the forced response from internal variability can be addressed in climate models by using a large ensemble to average over different possible realizations of internal variability. However, with only one realization of the real world, it is a major challenge to isolate the forced response directly in observations. In the Forced Component Estimation Statistical Method Intercomparison Project (ForceSMIP), contributors used existing and newly developed statistical and machine learning methods to estimate the forced response over 1950–2022 within individual realizations of the climate system. Participants used neural networks, linear inverse models, fingerprinting methods, and low-frequency component analysis, among other approaches. These methods were trained using large ensembles from multiple climate models and then applied to observations. Here, we evaluate method performance within large ensembles and investigate the estimates of the forced response in observations. Our results show that many different types of methods are skillful for estimating the forced response in climate models, though the relative skill of individual methods varies depending on the variable and evaluation metric. Methods with comparable skill in models can give a wide range of estimates of the forced response pattern in observations, illustrating the epistemic uncertainty in forced response estimates. ForceSMIP gives new insights into the forced response in observations, its uncertainty, and methods for its estimation.

Climate attribution↗

A method for correcting aspect solution errors in ROSAT HRI observations of compact sources

X-ray point sources observed with the ROSAT High Resolution Imager (HRI) often appear elongated over scales of approximately 5 sec-10 sec from the image core. This elongation has been attributed to errors in the attitude correction as the satellite is wobbled during the observations, and affects sources with both soft and hard X-ray spectra. In this paper, I report the results of an attempt to rid a high signal-to-noise observation of the soft X-ray point source HZ 43 of its characteristic elongation. I divided the observation into 181 separate images, each containing photons from only a small region on the detector through which the source passed during the satellite's wobble. By measuring the positions of the individual image centroids, I found clear evidence for systematic offsets from a common mean by up to approximately +/- 3 sec in both right ascension and declination as a function of phase in the satellite wobble. Shifting the subimages to a common center and then restacking them into a single image measurably improved the symmetry of the point-spread function. HRI observations are wobbled primarily to smooth out variations in the pixel-to-pixel sensitivity of the detector and also to extend the lifetime of the microchannel plates in the detector since these decay at a given location as a function of the number of photons detected. However, the elongations introduced by the aspect errors inhibit the identification of possible extended X-ray emission associated with sources such as pulsars and active galactic nuclei. In light of these results, I suggest that until the aspect errors are understood, observations of compact sources, where this effect may be important, should not be wobbled.

Morse, Jon A.↗

Engineering chirality at wafer scale with ordered carbon nanotube architectures

Creating artificial matter with controllable chirality in a simple and scalable manner brings new opportunities to diverse areas. Here we show two such methods based on controlled vacuum filtration - twist stacking and mechanical rotation - for fabricating wafer-scale chiral architectures of ordered carbon nanotubes (CNTs) with tunable and large circular dichroism (CD). By controlling the stacking angle and handedness in the twist-stacking approach, we maximize the CD response and achieve a high deep-ultraviolet ellipticity of 40 ± 1 mdeg nm -1 . Our theoretical simulations using the transfer matrix method reproduce the experimentally observed CD spectra and further predict that an optimized film of twist-stacked CNTs can exhibit an ellipticity as high as 150 mdeg nm -1 , corresponding to a g factor of 0.22. Furthermore, the mechanical rotation method not only accelerates the fabrication of twisted structures but also produces both chiralities simultaneously in a single sample, in a single run, and in a controllable manner. The created wafer-scale objects represent an alternative type of synthetic chiral matter consisting of ordered quantum wires whose macroscopic properties are governed by nanoscopic electronic signatures and can be used to explore chiral phenomena and develop chiral photonic and optoelectronic devices.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A comparison between computer-controlled and set work rate exercise based on target heart rate

Two methods are compared for observing the heart rate (HR), metabolic equivalents, and time in target HR zone (defined as the target HR + or - 5 bpm) during 20 min of exercise at a prescribed intensity of the maximum working capacity. In one method, called set-work rate exercise, the information from a graded exercise test is used to select a target HR and to calculate a corresponding constant work rate that should induce the desired HR. In the other method, the work rate is controlled by a computer algorithm to achieve and maintain a prescribed target HR. It is shown that computer-controlled exercise is an effective alternative to the traditional set work rate exercise, particularly when tight control of cardiovascular responses is necessary.

Pratt, Wanda M.↗

Characterization and Analysis of Triaxially Braided Polymer Composites under Static and Impact Loads

In order to design impact resistant aerospace components made of triaxially-braided polymer matrix composite materials, a need exists to have reliable impact simulation methods and a detailed understanding of the material behavior. Traditional test methods and specimen designs have yielded unrealistic material property data due to material mechanisms such as edge damage. To overcome these deficiencies, various alternative testing geometries such as notched flat coupons have been examined to alleviate difficulties observed with standard test methods. The results from the coupon level tests have been used to characterize and validate a macro level finite element-based model which can be used to simulate the mechanical and impact response of the braided composites. In the analytical model, the triaxial braid unit cell is approximated by using four parallel laminated composites, each with a different fiber layup, which roughly simulates the braid architecture. In the analysis, each of these laminated composites is modeled as a shell element. Currently, each shell element is considered to be a smeared homogeneous material. Simplified micromechanics techniques and lamination theory are used to determine the equivalent stiffness properties of each shell element, and results from the coupon level tests on the braided composite are used to back out the strength properties of each shell element. Recent improvements to the model include the incorporation of strain rate effects into the model. Simulations of ballistic impact tests have been carried out to investigate and verify the analysis approach.

Goldberg, Robert K.↗

Transient nucleation in condensed systems

Using classical nucleation theory we consider transient nucleation occurring in a one-component, condensed system under isothermal conditions. We obtain an exact closed-form expression for the time dependent cluster populations. In addition, a more versatile approach is developed: a numerical simulation technique which models directly the reactions by which clusters are produced. This simulation demonstrates the evolution of cluster populations and nucleation rate in the transient regime. Results from the simulation are verified by comparison with exact analytical solutions for the steady state. Experimental methods for measuring transient nucleation are assessed, and it is demonstrated that the observed behavior depends on the method used. The effect of preexisting cluster distributions is studied. Previous analytical and numerical treatments of transient nucleation are compared to the solutions obtained from the simulation. The simple expressions of Kashchiev are shown to give good descriptions of the nucleation behavior.

Kelton, K. F.↗

Plasma Pressure in the Topside Ionosphere

A previous three year NASA-funded project resulted in the first 2-D maps of magnetotail pressure, density and temperature. A proposal to continue the work was declined, but modest funding was provided for one year to ramp down of the work. During the phase-out year, we used a time when 5 DMSP satellites were simultaneously active to produce the first instantaneous partial image of the magnetotail. The results have been submitted to the proceedings of the 1998 Huntsville Meeting on "The New Millennium Magnetosphere: Integrating Imaging, Discrete Observations and Global Simulations". A method of inferring central plasma sheet (CPS) temperature, density, and pressure from ionospheric observations was developed under a previous 3-year grant. These particles properties are calculated from data taken by particle instruments on DMSP satellites. Ion spectra occurring in conjunction with electron acceleration events are excluded. Because of the variability of magnetotail stretching, mapping to the plasma sheet was done using a modified Tsyganenko 1989 magnetic field model adjusted to agree with the actual magnetotail stretch. On May 25, 1997, five DMSP satellites (F10-F14) passed through the southern hemisphere nightside oval within a 19 minute period. Attached is the first magnetotail image, which results from applying our technique to that data set.

Newell, Patrick T.↗

Cirrus Parameter Retrieval by Combined Analysis of Spectral Thermal Infrared and Lidar Sensing from Aircraft and Space

The distribution, radiative and microphysical parameters of cirrus clouds are an important factor for cloud effects on the global radiation balance and climate. Multispectral thermal infrared observation are the most significant method used to remote sense cirrus parameter from current and planned passive satellite observations. Passive sensing alone has the limitation that both the cloud radiative temperature, or height, and the spectral emissivity must be derived in the analysis. Factors such as multiple cloud laying, which is very common, are known to introduce ambiguities in results. The addition of lidar cloud height structure measurements significantly improves retrievals. Such active/passive observations have been applied from the NASA ER-2 high altitude remote sensing aircraft since 1983. Applications include the study of the effective effective particle size of cirrus and application toward remote sensing of the ice/water content of cirrus clouds in addition to radiative parameters. Limitations, accuracy and examples of retrievals are presented. In 1997 a space shuttle hitch hiker experiment was flown which included a new technology Infrared Spectral Imaging Radiometer and a laser altimeter for direct cloud height measurements. A 30 orbit data set to test global application of combined spectral infrared and laser height measurements were obtained. Initial results for cirrus analysis from the shuttle experiment will also be presented.

Spinhirne, James D.↗

Model BOSS and eBOSS luminous red galaxies at 0.2< z<1.0 using SubHalo Abundance Matching with three parameters

SubHalo Abundance Matching (SHAM) is an empirical method for constructing galaxy catalogues based on high-resolution N-body simulations. Here, we apply SHAM on the UNIT simulation to simulate SDSS BOSS/eBOSS luminous red galaxies (LRGs) within a wide redshift range of 0.2 < $z$ < 1.0. Besides the typical SHAM scatter parameter σ, we include $v$ smear and V ceil to take into account the redshift uncertainty and the galaxy incompleteness, respectively. These two additional parameters are critical for reproducing the observed 2PCF multipoles on 5–25$\, h^{-1}\, {\rm Mpc}$. The redshift uncertainties obtained from the best-fitting $v$ smear agree with those measured from repeat observations for all SDSS LRGs except for the LOWZ sample. We explore several potential systematics but none of them can explain the discrepancy found in LOWZ. Our explanation is that the LOWZ galaxies might contain another type of galaxies that needs to be treated differently. The evolution of the measured σ and Vceil also reveals that the incompleteness of eBOSS galaxies decreases with the redshift. This is the consequence of the magnitude lower limit applied in eBOSS LRG target selection. Our SHAM also set upper limits for the intrinsic scatter of the galaxy–halo relation, given a complete galaxy sample: σ int < 0.31 for LOWZ at 0.2 < $z$ < 0.33, σ int < 0.36 for LOWZ at 0.33 < $z$ < 0.43, and σ int < 0.46 for CMASS at 0.43 < $z$ < 0.51. The projected 2PCFs of our SHAM galaxies also agree with the observational ones on the 2PCF fitting range.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗