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At least 829 records · Page 46

Comparative Analysis of the 2020 November 29 Solar Energetic Particle Event Observed by Parker Solar Probe

We analyze two specific features of the intense solar energetic particle (SEP) event observed by Parker Solar Probe (PSP) between 2020 November 29 and 2020 December 2. The interplanetary counterpart of the coronal mass ejection (CME) on 2020 November 29 that generated the SEP event (hereafter ICME-2) arrived at PSP (located at 0.8 au from the Sun) on 2020 December 1. ICME-225 was preceded by the passage of an interplanetary shock at 18:35 UT on 2020 November 30 (hereafter26S2), that in turn was preceded by another ICME (i.e., ICME-1) observed in situ on 2020 November 30. The two interesting features of this SEP event at PSP are: First, the presence of the intervening ICME-1 affected the evolution of the.8 MeV proton intensity time profiles resulting in the observation of inverted energy spectra throughout the passage of ICME-1. Second, the sheath region preceding ICME-2 was characterized by weak magnetic fields compared to those measured immediately after the passage of the shock S2 and during the passage of ICME-2. Comparison with prior SEP events measured at 1 au but with similar characteristics indicates that (1) low-energy particles accelerated by S2 were excluded from propagating throughout ICME-1, and (2) the low magnetic fields measured in the sheath of ICME-2 resulted from the properties of the upstream solar wind encountered by ICME-2 that was propagated into the sheath; whereas the high energetic particle energy density in the sheath did not play a dominant role in the formation of these low magnetic fields.

D Lario↗

The Application of Remote Sensing and Machine Learning to Improve Early Warning Systems for Harmful Algal Events in the Highland Lake Chain, TX

Beginning in 2019, harmful algal events have caused canine deaths in both Lady Bird Lake and Lake Travis located near Austin, Texas. These two reservoirs are part of the larger Highland Lakes chain, managed by the City of Austin Department of Watershed Protection (COA DWP) and the Lower Colorado River Authority (LCRA), which fulfill municipal, commercial, and agricultural water demands. Given the recent increase in favorable environmental conditions for algal events in central Texas, NASA DEVELOP partnered with LCRA and COA DWP to improve monitoring and early detection of algal events, utilizing satellite remote sensing and machine learning. Spatially and temporally varied chlorophyll a concentrations, cyanobacteria detections, turbidity, and water surface temperature products are used as environmental proxies. Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager (OLI) and the Sentinel-2 MultiSpectral Instrument (MSI) data were used to provide a combined revisit time of up to ~3 days and < 30 m per pixel products. Chlorophyll a concentrations were estimated using a pre-trained Mixture Density Network, and cyanobacteria detection was accomplished using the Broad Wavelength Algae Index, which can differentiate algal blooms from algal proliferations (mats). In situ data were used to validate remotely sensed measurements and quantify uncertainties. Preliminary results show a good fit between the modeled output and in situ observations, suggesting that remote sensing data can be used to retrieve biogeochemical properties and/or inherent optical properties (IOPs) of water columns in these inland human-made lakes. Uncertainties were introduced from the sensitivity to atmospheric correction, inherent mismatch between satellite and sampling data, and a relatively lower signal-to-noise ratio over water. The resulting products enable near real-time monitoring of environmental proxies relevant to algal event presence in the Highland Lakes chain, and will ultimately support water management, decision making, and risk communication.

Shuyu Chang↗

Searching for GRB Counterparts to GW Events from the Third Gravitational Wave Observing Run with Fermi-GBM and Swift-BAT

We present Fermi Gamma-ray Burst Monitor (Fermi-GBM) and Swift Burst Alert Telescope (Swift-BAT) observations of gravitational-wave (GW) events detected during the third LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA Collaboration observing run (O3). Using Fermi-GBM on-board triggers as well as sub-threshold searches in both Fermi-GBM and Swift-BAT ground data, we search for coincident gamma-ray transients associated with the GW events. No new joint events beyond GRB 170817A and GW170817 were found. We therefore calculate flux upper limits for the associated gamma-ray luminosity of each GW event. Using the lack of electromagnetic (EM) emission from binary black hole (BBH) mergers, we begin to constrain theoretical models of any such emission.

Joshua Wood↗

Multiyear La Niña Events and Multiseason Drought in the Horn of Africa

One of the primary sources of predictability for seasonal hydroclimate forecasts are sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the tropical Pacific, including El Niño–Southern Oscillation. Multiyear La Niña events in particular may be both predictable at long lead times and favor drought in the bimodal rainfall regions of East Africa. However, SST patterns in the tropical Pacific and adjacent ocean basins often differ substantially between first- and second-year La Niñas, which can change how these events affect regional climate. Here, we demonstrate that multiyear La Niña events favor drought in the Horn of Africa in three consecutive seasons [October–December (OND), March–May (MAM), OND]. But they do not tend to increase the probability of a fourth season of drought owing to the sea surface temperatures and associated atmospheric teleconnections in the MAM long rains season following second-year La Niña events. First-year La Niñas tend to have both greater subsidence over the Horn of Africa, associated with warmer waters in the west Pacific that enhance the Walker circulation, and greater cross-continental moisture transport, associated with a warm tropical Atlantic, as compared to second-year La Niñas. Both the increased subsidence and enhanced cross-continental moisture transport favors drought in the Horn of Africa. Our results provide a physical understanding of the sources and limitations of predictability for using multiyear La Niña forecasts to predict drought in the Horn of Africa.

Climate variability↗

Searching for GRB Counterparts to GW Events from the Third Gravitational Wave Observing Run with Fermi-GBM and Swift-BAT

We present Fermi Gamma-ray Burst Monitor (Fermi-GBM) and Swift Burst Alert Telescope (Swift-BAT) observations of gravitational-wave (GW) events detected during the third LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA Collaboration observing run (O3). Using Fermi-GBM on-board triggers as well as sub-threshold searches in both Fermi-GBM and Swift-BAT ground data, we search for coincident gamma-ray transients associated with the GW events. No new joint events were found. We therefore calculate flux upper limits for the associated gamma-ray luminosity of each GW event. Using the lack of electromagnetic (EM) emission from binary black hole (BBH) mergers, we begin to constrain theoretical models of any such emission.

GRB↗

Gina Crater Area, Venus: Multiple Overlapping Deformation and Volcanic Events Suggest Complex Active Tectonics

A current controversy in the geology of Venus centers on the age(s) of its highlands – the tesserae. One view of Venus’ past is that it experienced a global resurfacing event at 700-800 Myr, now represented mostly by volcanic plains, and that the tesserae represent earlier crust deformed in that event. It is also argued that the resurfacing represents multiple volcanic events over long times. The ancient age of tesserae has recently come into question. Some tesserae include distinct morphologic units that could represent deformed plains material; in other cases it is possible that tesserae are forming today. To address this question, we are mapping a tessera-plains transition around Gina Crater, near Venus’ north pole. Gina is a ~15 km diameter crater at 78.1°N, 76.3°E (Fig. 1), in the Snegurochka (V1) quadrangle. Gina is on the western boundary of the Szél-anya Lineae belt (mapped mostly as tessera), where it abuts a broad area of regional volcanic plains. The area is complex, with evidence for multiple episodes of tectonism and volcanism and was specifically chosen to help constrain the timing of deformation events relative to those of volcanic emplacement.

Emily K Roberts↗

Changing Intensity of Hydroclimatic Extreme Events Revealed by GRACE and GRACE-FO

Distortion of the water cycle, particularly of its extremes (droughts and pluvials), will be among the most conspicuous consequences of climate change. We applied a novel approach with terrestrial water storage observations from the GRACE and GRACE-FO satellites to delineate and characterize 1,056 extreme events during 2002-2021. Dwarfing all other events was an ongoing pluvial that began in 2019 and engulfed central Africa. Total intensity of extreme events was strongly correlated with global mean temperature, more so than with the El Nino Southern Oscillation or other climate indicators, suggesting that continued warming of the planet will cause more frequent, more severe, longer, and/or larger droughts and pluvials. In three regions, including a vast swath extending from southern Europe to southwestern China, the ratio of wet to dry extreme events decreased substantially over the study period, while the opposite was true in two regions, including sub-Saharan Africa from 5°N to 20°N.

Climate change↗

Searching for GRB Counterparts to GW Events from the Third Gravitational Wave Observing Run with Fermi-GBM and Swift-BAT

We present Fermi Gamma-ray Burst Monitor (Fermi-GBM) and Swift Burst Alert Telescope (Swift-BAT) observations of gravitational-wave (GW) events detected during the third LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA Collaboration observing run (O3). Using Fermi-GBM on-board triggers as well as sub-threshold searches in both Fermi-GBM and Swift-BAT ground data, we search for coincident gamma-ray transients associated with the GW events. No new joint events were found. We therefore calculate flux upper limits for the associated gamma-ray luminosity of each GW event. Using the lack of electromagnetic (EM) emission from binary black hole (BBH) mergers, we begin to constrain theoretical models of any such emission.

GRB↗

Changing Nature of High-Impact Snowfall Events in Eastern North America

Snowstorms cause substantial disruption in the eastern United States and Canada each winter. While reductions in annual snowfall are projected over most of this region due to anthropogenic global warming, daily snowfall extremes that have the greatest impact may not decrease in the same manner. We examine changes to two extreme snowfall metrics: the 95th percentile of daily snowfall (SF95, cm) and the number of events during which 10% of the mean annual snowfall is exceeded during a single day (TC10, events yr−1). We explore changes to these metrics in two ensembles of the fifth-generation Canadian Regional Climate Model (CRCM5), including four 0.22° ( ≈ 25 km) simulations driven by different coupled general circulation models as well as the higher-resolution (0.11°, ≈ 12 km) ClimEx ensemble, driven by 50 members of a large initial-condition ensemble of one global model. We find that while mean annual snowfall is projected to decrease over our domain, SF95 is projected to remain relatively constant, suggesting that the most extreme daily snowfalls currently observed are likely to occur even in a warmer future climate. The region of the largest TC10 values exhibits a northward shift, with a larger percentage of annual snowfall occurring during a few large events along the U.S.-Canada border. These projected changes to the nature of snowfall events may have important socioeconomic consequences in this densely populated region of North America.

heavy snow↗

Unusually Long Path Length for a Nearly Scatter-Free Solar Particle Event Observed By Solar Orbiter at 0.43 au

Context. After their acceleration and release at the Sun, solar energetic particles (SEPs) are injected into the interplanetary medium and are bound to the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) by the Lorentz force. The expansion of the IMF close to the Sun focuses the particle pitch-angle distribution, and scattering counteracts this focusing. Solar Orbiter observed an unusual solar particle event on 9 April 2022 when it was at 0.43 astronomical units (au) from the Sun. Aims. We show that the inferred IMF along which the SEPs traveled was about three times longer than the nominal length of the Parker spiral and provide an explanation for this apparently long path. Methods. We used velocity dispersion analysis (VDA) information to infer the spiral length along which the electrons and ions traveled and infer their solar release times and arrival direction. Results. The path length inferred from VDA is approximately three times longer than the nominal Parker spiral. Nevertheless, the pitch-angle distribution of the particles of this event is highly anisotropic, and the electrons and ions appear to be streaming along the same IMF structures. The angular width of the streaming population is estimated to be approximately 30 degrees. The highly anisotropic ion beam was observed for more than 12 h. This may be due to the low level of fluctuations in the IMF, which in turn is very probably due to this event being inside an interplanetary coronal mass ejection The slow and small rotation in the IMF suggests a flux-rope structure. Small flux dropouts are associated with very small changes in pitch angle, which may be explained by different flux tubes connecting to different locations in the flare region. Conclusions. The unusually long path length along which the electrons and ions have propagated virtually scatter-free together with the short-term flux dropouts offer excellent opportunities to study the transport of SEPs within interplanetary structures. The 9 April 2022 solar particle event offers an especially rich number of unique observations that can be used to limit SEP transport models.

Robert F. Wimmer-Schweingruber↗

The 18–19 March 2022 Series of 3He-Rich Events Observed By Solar Orbiter at 0.36 Au Compared With EUV, X-Ray, and Radio Observations

Context. During the first close perihelion pass of Solar Orbiter, a series of impulsive 3He-rich solar particle events was observed on 18–19 March 2022 from a distance of 0.36 au. In addition to the energetic particle, radio, and X-ray data from Solar Orbiter, the events were observed in radio and/or extreme ultraviolet by STEREO-A, SDO, Wind, and Parker Solar Probe. Aims. Observations of the event series along with remote sensing of flaring and radio emission with only small timing delays due to the close distance allow the association with energetic particles to be determined with much higher accuracy than previously possible from 1 au. Methods. By comparing the onsets of type-III bursts with the arrival of electrons of tens of keV at Solar Orbiter only a few minutes later, it can be seen that, overall, each of the more intense type-III bursts was associated with an electron and ion injection. Extreme ultraviolet data show that the times of the type-III bursts coincide with emission from a small (approximately Earth-sized) loop to the west of a nearby active region. Results. The energetic particle spectra and abundances show typical properties of impulsive 3He-rich flares and, when combined with the remote sensing observations, establish that the particle-accelerating mechanism in this series of events operates near the solar surface in association with magnetic loops, and in the absence of other phenomena such as jets and small coronal mass ejections.

acceleration of particles↗

GRACE and GRACE Follow-On Gravity Observations of Intermediate-Depth Earthquakes Contrasted with Those of Shallow Events

Earthquakes involve mass redistribution within the solid Earth and the ocean, and as a result, perturb the Earth's gravitational field. For most of the shallow (<60 km) earthquakes with Mw > 8.0, the GRACE satellite gravity measurements suggest considerable volumetric disturbance of rocks. At a spatial scale of hundreds of km, the effect of volumetric change exceeds gravity change by vertical deformation; for example, negative gravity anomalies associated with volumetric expansion are characteristic patterns after shallow thrust events. In this study, however, we report contrasting observations of gravity change from two intermediate-depth (100–150 km) earthquakes of 2016 & 2017 Mw 8.0 (two combined) Papua New Guinea thrust faulting events and 2019 Mw 8.0 Peru normal faulting and highlight the importance of compressibility in earthquake deformation. The combined 2016/17 thrust events resulted in a positive gravity anomaly of 5–6 microGal around the epicenter, while the 2019 normal faulting produced a negative gravity anomaly of 3–4 microGal. Our modeling found that these gravity changes are manifestation of vertical deformation with limited volumetric change, distinct from gravity changes after the shallow earthquakes. The stronger resistance of rocks to volume change at intermediate-depth results in largely incompressible deformation and thus in a gravity change dominated by vertical deformation. In addition, malleable rocks under high pressure and temperature at depth facilitated substantial afterslip and/or fast viscoelastic relaxation causing additional vertical deformation and gravity change equivalent to the coseismic change. For the Papua New Guinea events, this means that postseismic relaxation enhanced coseismic uplift and relative sea level decrease.

Shin-Chan Han↗

Multispacecraft Observations of a Widespread Solar Energetic Particle Event on 2022 February 15–16

On 2022 February 15–16, multiple spacecraft measured one of the most intense solar energetic particle (SEP) events observed so far in Solar Cycle 25. This study provides an overview of interesting observations made by multiple spacecraft during this event. Parker Solar Probe (PSP) and BepiColombo were close to each other at 0.34–0.37 au (a radial separation of ∼0.03 au) as they were impacted by the flank of the associated coronal mass ejection (CME). At about 100° in the retrograde direction and 1.5 au away from the Sun, the radiation detector on board the Curiosity surface rover observed the largest ground-level enhancement on Mars since surface measurements began. At intermediate distances (0.7–1.0 au), the presence of stream interaction regions (SIRs) during the SEP arrival time provides additional complexities regarding the analysis of the distinct contributions of CME-driven versus SIR-driven events in observations by spacecraft such as Solar Orbiter and STEREO-A, and by near-Earth spacecraft like ACE, SOHO, and WIND. The proximity of PSP and BepiColombo also enables us to directly compare their measurements and perform cross-calibration for the energetic particle instruments on board the two spacecraft. Our analysis indicates that energetic proton measurements from BepiColombo and PSP are in reasonable agreement with each other to within a factor of ∼1.35. Finally, this study introduces the various ongoing efforts that will collectively improve our understanding of this impactful, widespread SEP event.

Solar energetic particles↗

On the Integration of Loudness Over Time for the Prediction of Single-Event Annoyance

Loudness is the quality of human perception that is most related to acoustic intensity and energy, however there is no agreed-upon way of integrating loudness over time for the prediction of noise-induced annoyance. Most noise metrics used today for aircraft certification and regulation employ the “Equal-Energy Hypothesis” (EEH) and sum the acoustical energy of one or more noise events over time to create a single metric value that represents the entire exposure. Using the EEH creates a natural tradeoff between the peak energy and the duration of a single noise event, the “hypothesis” being that this tradeoff optimally predicts annoyance in a wide variety of situations. This work proposes a strategy for integrating a loudness-like time series which is flexible in two ways: First, it includes a parameter b ∈ [0,1]. When b = 0, the metric will return the peak of the time series. At b = .5, the metric will behave in accordance with the EEH. At b = 1, the metric will penalize the duration of the sound more than the EEH would. Second, transformations are given so that the strategy can be computed from, or generate quantities in units analogous to, decibels (or phon), physical units (acoustic pressure/power), or perceptually-scaled units (sone). This approach is demonstrated on a dataset of annoyance responses to single events of UAV and road vehicle noise that is fit with an augmented linear regression. Analyses based on this integration of A-weighted level and the output of the “Zwicker” loudness model yield similar results: that subjects may have been slightly more sensitive to the durations of the events than the EEH would suppose, but that the EEH cannot be disproven using these data. The time-integrated metrics outperform both time-averaged and centile-based metrics.

Psychoacoustics↗

On the Integration of Loudness Over Time for the Prediction of Single-Event Annoyance

Loudness is the quality of human perception that is most related to acoustic intensity and energy, however there is no agreed-upon way of integrating loudness over time for the prediction of noise-induced annoyance. Most noise metrics used today for aircraft certification and regulation employ the “Equal-Energy Hypothesis” (EEH) and sum the acoustical energy of one or more noise events over time to create a single metric value that represents the entire exposure. Using the EEH creates a natural tradeoff between the peak energy and the duration of a single noise event, the “hypothesis” being that this tradeoff optimally predicts annoyance in a wide variety of situations. This work proposes a strategy for integrating a loudness-like time series which is flexible in two ways: First, it includes a parameter b ∈ [0,1]. When b = 0, the metric will return the peak of the time series. At b = .5, the metric will behave in accordance with the EEH. At b = 1, the metric will penalize the duration of the sound more than the EEH would. Second, transformations are given so that the strategy can be computed from, or generate quantities in units analogous to, decibels (or phon), physical units (acoustic pressure/power), or perceptually-scaled units (sone). This approach is demonstrated on a dataset of annoyance responses to single events of UAV and road vehicle noise that is fit with an augmented linear regression. Analyses based on this integration of A-weighted level and the output of the “Zwicker” loudness model yield similar results: that subjects may have been slightly more sensitive to the durations of the events than the EEH would suppose, but that the EEH cannot be disproven using these data. The time-integrated metrics outperform both time-averaged and centile-based metrics.

Psychoacoustics↗

Single-Event Effects Test Report Lattice Semiconductor, LCMXO3D-9400HC-5BG484I Field Programmable Gate Array

The purpose of this test was to characterize single event effects (SEE) in the LCMXO3D-9400HC-5BG484I, a low power and low density field programmable gate array (FPGA). The SEE concerns for the device that were investigated in this testing are single event upsets (SEUs) in the configuration static random-access memory (SRAM), SEUs in the FPGA fabric, single event latch up (SEL), and single event functional interrupts (SEFIs). Testing was conducted at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL) on August 26th, 2024 and August 28th, 2024.

Adia M Wood↗

Spring 2021 Sea Ice Transport in the Southern Beaufort Sea Occurred During Coastal Lead Opening Events

Winds blew a record large portion of the Arctic’s multiyear sea ice (MYI) into the southern Beaufort Sea (SBS) in winter 2021. From early March, a network of buoys from the Sea Ice Dynamic Experiment (SIDEx) tracked the MYI as it drifted across the SBS toward the Chukchi Sea. Transport was episodic as the consolidated ice pack interacted with coastal boundaries and repeatedly fractured. We investigated variability in 2021 MYI transport by relating in situ sea ice drift to remotely sensed coastal lead opening events, which have been associated with increased ice drift speeds in winter. Daily ice concentration data show ten opening events occurred throughout March and April 2021. Opening lasted 1-5 consecutive days as southeasterly winds pushed the SBS ice pack away from coastal boundaries. During opening, the ice pack abruptly accelerated and its response to wind forcing stabilized around free drift conditions, drifting at 2.1 % of wind speeds (median rate of 13.7 km d −1 ). With this efficient wind-to-ice momentum transfer, nearly all (94 %) alongshore MYI transport in March-April 2021 occurred during opening events, which comprised just half of March-April days. Only 6 % of transport occurred during the other half of days without observed opening. On these days, the ice was mostly stationary (median 1.7 km d −1 drift rate, 0.6 % of wind speeds) as northwesterly winds compressed the pack against the coast. Spatiotemporal discontinuities in ice-wind speed ratios were measured across several coastal leads that transected the SIDEx buoy network, providing direct observations of changes in ice drift regime as coastal leads opened. These results quantify the disproportionate contribution of offshore and alongshore winds in breaking the SBS ice pack away from the coast, opening leads, and driving SBS ice transport during spring 2021, highlighting the critical role these episodic events play in consolidation season sea ice drift.

Oceanography↗

Cyber-Physical Events Emulation Based Transmission and Distribution Co-Simulation for Situation Awareness and Grid Anomaly (SAGA) Detection: Preprint

Energy management of transmission and distribution networks is becoming more challenged with the accelerated increasing of distributed energy resources (DERs) such as distributed photovoltaic (PV) generation and distributed energy storage. To better analyze the impacts of DERs on both transmission and distribution systems, a comprehensive transmission and distribution co-simulation platform should be developed. Furthermore, with DERs more actively participated in system operation such as providing real time grid services, their cyber vulnerability should be better understood to maintain system reliability. This paper discussed a cyber-physical events emulation based transmission & distribution co-simulation platform to perform different cyber events emulation and analyze the impacts of cyber physical events happened in distribution system on the T&D system operation. The case studies with both a transmission network and a synthetic distribution network data validate that the proposed T&D co-simulation platform can perform comprehensive cyber physical events emulation. Therefore, with extensive simulation using the proposed model, the system operator can accumulate adequate training data for the system situation awareness and grid anomaly detection purpose.

31 CESER - Office of Cybersecurity, Energy Securit↗