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At least 829 records · Page 46

The life cycle of thunderstorm gust fronts as viewed with Doppler radar and rawinsonde data

This paper presents the time-dependent analysis of the thunderstorm gust front with the use of Project NIMROD data. RHI cross sections of reflectivity and Doppler velocity are constructed to determine the entire vertical structure. The life cycle of the gust front is divided into four stages: (1) the formative stage; (2) the early mature stage; (3) the late mature stage; and (4) the dissipation stage. A new finding is a horizontal roll detected in the reflectivity pattern resulting from airflow that is deflected upward by the ground, while carrying some of the smaller precipitation ahead of the main echo core of the squall line. This feature is called a 'precipitation roll'. As determined from rawinsonde data, the cold air behind the gust front accounts for the observed surface pressure rise. Calculations confirm that the collision of two fluids produce a nonhydrostatic pressure at the leading edge of the outflow. The equation governing the propagation speed of a density current accurately predicts the movement of the gust front.

Wakimoto, R. M.↗

Magnetism in Mixed Valence, Defect, Cubic Perovskites: BaIn 1– x Fe x O 2.5+δ , x = 0.25, 0.50, and 0.75. Local and Average Structures

The series BaIn 1–x Fe x O 2.5+δ , x = 0.25, 0.50, and 0.75, has been prepared under air-fired and argon-fired conditions and studied using X-ray diffraction, d.c. and a.c. susceptibility, Mössbauer spectroscopy, neutron diffraction, X-ray near edge absorption spectroscopy (XANES), and X-ray pair distribution (PDF) methods. While Ba 2 In 2 O 5 (BaInO 2.5 ) crystallizes in an ordered brownmillerite structure, Ibm2, and Ba 2 Fe 2 O 5 (BaFeO 2.5 ) crystallizes in a complex monoclinic structure, P2 1 /c, showing seven Fe 3+ sites with tetrahedral, square planar, and octahedral environments, all phases studied here crystallize in the cubic perovskite structure, Pm$\bar{}3}$m, with long-range disorder on the small cation and oxygen sites. 57 Fe Mössbauer studies indicate a mixed valency, Fe 4+ /Fe 3+ , for both the air-fired and argon-fired samples. The increased Fe 3+ content for the argon-fired samples is reflected in increased cubic cell constants and in the increased Mössbauer fraction. It appears that the Pm$\bar{}3}$m phases are only metastable when fired in argon. From a slightly modified percolation theory for a primitive cubic lattice (taking into account the presence of random O atom vacancies), long-range spin order is permitted for the x = 0.50 and 0.75 phases. Instead, the d.c. susceptibility shows only zero-field-cooled (ZFC) and field-cooled (FC) divergences at ~6 K [5 K] for x = 0.50 and at ~22 K [21 K] for x = 0.75, with values for the argon-fired samples in [ ]. Neutron diffraction data for the air-fired samples confirm the absence of long-range magnetic order at any studied temperature. For the air-fired x = 0.50, a.c. susceptibility data show a frequency-dependent χ'(max) and spin glass behavior, while for x = 0.75, χ'(max) is invariant with frequency, ruling out either a spin glass or a superparamagnetic ground state. These behaviors are discussed in terms of competing Fe 3+ –Fe 3+ antiferromagnetic exchange and ferromagnetic Fe 3+ –Fe 4+ exchange. The PDF and 57 Fe Mössbauer data indicate a local structure at short interatomic distances, which deviates strongly from the average Pm$\bar{}3}$m model. Fe Mössbauer, PDF, and XANES data show a systematic dependence on x and indicate that the Fe 3+ sites are largely fourfold-coordinated and Fe 4+ sites are fivefold- or sixfold-coordinated.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Impact of β n and spectrum of n = 1 applied fields on fast ion losses in DIII-D

Abstract The effect of n = 1 magnetic perturbations (MPs) on prompt fast ion losses in DIII-D has been investigated using the light ion beam probe technique. The effect of normalized beta, β n , and the plasma response to the MPs is studied for several MP spectra. Magnetics data show a strong dependence of plasma response to β n that depends on the phase difference in perturbation coils, Δ ϕ U L . For most phases, the response increases with β n , however, the response is suppressed for phases between 180 ∘ and 240 ∘ . Experimental data from scintillator based fast ion loss detectors shows that relative fluctuation of lost ions (20%–30% of the steady signal) does not diminish across the L- to H-mode transition for Δ ϕ U L = 240 ∘ , despite the 34% decrease in radial response field and 50% decrease in poloidal response field. Simulations of the DIII-D discharges using M3D-C1 and ASCOT5 find that prompt losses from neutral beam injection in each investigated case hit the first wall at several concentrated locations: the vessel floor, midplane diagnostic ports, vessel ceiling, and inner wall. Simulated losses from co-injection neutral beams are born outside the last closed flux surface, corresponding to radial orbit displacements of 3–6 cm due to the MPs.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Analysis of the ghost and mirror fields in the Nernst signal induced by superconducting fluctuations

In this work, we present a complete analysis of the Nernst signal due to superconducting fluctuations in a large variety of superconductors from conventional to unconventional ones. A closed analytical expression of the fluctuation contribution to the Nernst signal is obtained in a large range of temperature and magnetic field. We apply this expression directly to experimental measurements of the Nernst signal in Nb x Si 1-x thin films and URu 2 Si 2 superconductors. Both magnetic field and temperature dependence of the available data are fitted with very good accuracy using only two fitting parameters, the superconducting temperature T c0 and the upper critical field H c2 (0). The obtained values agree very well with experimentally obtained values. We also extract the ghost lines (the maximum of the Nernst signal for constant temperature or magnetic field) from the complete expression and also compare it to several experimentally obtained curves. Our approach predicts a linear temperature dependence for the ghost critical field well above T c0 . Within the errors of the experimental data, this linearity is indeed observed in many superconductors far from T c0 .

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Unified architecture for data-driven metadata tagging of building automation systems

This article presents a Unified Architecture (UA) for automated point tagging of Building Automation System (BAS) data, based on a combination of data-driven approaches. Advanced energy analytics applications—including fault detection and diagnostics and supervisory control—have emerged as a significant opportunity for improving the performance of our built environment. Effective application of these analytics depends on harnessing structured data from the various building control and monitoring systems, but typical BAS implementations do not employ any standardized metadata schema. While standards such as Project Haystack and Brick Schema have been developed to address this issue, the process of structuring the data, i.e., tagging the points to apply a standard metadata schema, has, to date, been a manual process. This process is typically costly, labor-intensive, and error-prone. In this work we address this gap by proposing a UA that automates the process of point tagging by leveraging the data accessible through connection to the BAS, including time-series data and the raw point names. The UA intertwines supervised classification and unsupervised clustering techniques from machine learning and leverages both their deterministic and probabilistic outputs to inform the point tagging process. Furthermore, we extend the UA to embed additional input and output data-processing modules that are designed to address the challenges associated with the real-time deployment of this automation solution. We test the UA on two datasets for real-life buildings: (i) commercial retail buildings and (ii) office buildings from the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) campus. We report the proposed methodology correctly applied 85–90% and 70–75% of the tags in each of these test scenarios, respectively for two significantly different building types used for testing UA's fully-functional prototype. The proposed UA, therefore, offers promising approach for automatically tagging BAS data as it reaches close to 90% accuracy. Further building upon this framework to algorithmically identify the equipment type and their relationships is an apt future research direction to pursue.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Spectral characteristics of time-dependent orbit errors in altimeter height measurements

A mean reference surface and time-dependent orbit errors are estimated simultaneously for each exact-repeat ground track from the first two years of Geosat sea level estimates based on the Goddard Earth model (GEM)-T2 orbits. Motivated by orbit theory and empirical analysis of Geosat data, the time-dependent orbit errors are modeled as 1 cycle per revolution (cpr) sinusoids with slowly varying amplitude and phase. The method recovers the known 'bow tie effect' introduced by the existence of force model errors within the precision orbit determination (POD) procedure used to generate the GEM-T2 orbits. The bow tie pattern of 1-cpr orbit errors is characterized by small amplitudes near the middle and larger amplitudes (up to 160 cm in the 2 yr of data considered here) near the ends of each 5- to 6-day orbit arc over which the POD force model is integrated. A detailed examination of these bow tie patterns reveals the existence of daily modulations of the amplitudes of the 1-cpr sinusoid orbit errors with typical and maximum peak-to-peak ranges of about 14 cm and 30 cm, respectively. The method also identifies a daily variation in the mean orbit error with typical and maximum peak-to-peak ranges of about 6 and 30 cm, respectively, that is unrelated to the predominant 1-cpr orbit error. Application of the simultaneous solution method to the much less accurate Geosat height estimates based on the Naval Astronautics Group orbits concludes that the accuracy of POD is not important for collinear altimetric studies of time-dependent mesoscale variability (wavelengths shorter than 1000 km), as long as the time-dependent orbit errors are dominated by 1-cpr variability and a long-arc (several orbital periods) orbit error estimation scheme such as that presented here is used.

Chelton, Dudley B.↗

The Effects of Parachute System Mass and Suspension-Line Elastic Properties on the LADT #3 Viking Parachute Inflation Load

Analytical calculations have considered the effects of 1) varying parachute system mass, 2) suspension-line damping, and 3) alternate suspension-line force-elongation data on the canopy force history. Results indicate the canopy force on the LADT #3 parachute did not substantially exceed the recorded vehicle force reading and that the above factors can have significant effects on the canopy force history. Analytical calculations have considered the effects of i) varying parachute system mass, 2) suspension line damping, and 3) different suspension-line force-elongation data on the canopy force history. Based on the results of this study the following conclusions are drawn: Specifically, 1. At the LADT #3 failure time of 1.70 seconds, the canopy force ranged anywhere from 15.7% below to 2.4% above the vehicle force depending upon the model and data used. Therefore, the canopy force did not substantially exceed the recorded vehicle force reading. 2. At a predicted full inflation time of 1.80 seconds the canopy force would be greater than the vehicle force by from 1.1% to 10.6%, again depending upon the model and data used. Generally, 3. At low altitudes, enclosed and apparent air mass can significantly effect the canopy force calculated and should, therefore, not be neglected. 4. The canopy force calculations are sensitive to decelerator physical properties. In this case changes in the damping and/or force-elongation characteristics produced significant changes in the canopy force histories. Accurate prediction of canopy force histories requires accurate inputs in these areas.

Talay, Theodore A.↗

Data efficiency assessment of generative adversarial networks in energy applications

This study investigates the data requirements of generative artificial intelligence (AI), particularly generative adversarial networks (GANs), for reliable data augmentation in energy applications. Generative AI, though seen as a solution to data limitations, requires substantial data to learn meaningful distributions—a challenge often overlooked. This study addresses the challenge through synthetic data generation for critical heat flux (CHF) and power grid demand, focusing on renewable and nuclear energy. Two variants of GAN employed are conditional GAN (cGAN) and Wasserstein GAN (wGAN). Our findings include the strong dependency of GAN on data size, with performance declining on smaller datasets and varying performance when generalizing to unseen experiments. Mass flux and heated length significantly influence CHF predictions. wGAN is more robust to feature exclusion, making it suitable for constrained synthetic data generation. In energy demand forecasting, wGAN performed well for solar, wind, and load predictions. Longer lookback hours and larger datasets improved predictions, especially for load power. Seasonal variations posed challenges, with wGAN achieving a relatively high error of Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) of 0.32 for load power prediction, compared to RMSE of 0.07 under same-season conditions. Feature exclusions impacted cGAN the most, while wGAN showed greater robustness. This study concludes that, while generative AI is effective for data augmentation, it requires substantial data and careful training to generate realistic synthetic data and generalize to new experiments in engineering applications.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Assessing Radiative Feedbacks and Their Contribution to the Arctic Amplification Measured by Various Metrics

Arctic amplification (AA), characterized by a more rapid surface air temperature (SAT) warming in the Arctic than the global average, is a major feature of global climate warming. Various metrics have been used to quantify AA based on SAT anomalies, trends, or variability, and they can yield quite different conclusions regarding the magnitude and temporal patterns of AA. This study examines and compares various AA metrics for their temporal consistency in the region north of 70°N from the early twentieth to the early 21st century using observational data and reanalysis products. We also quantify contributions of different radiative feedback mechanisms to AA based on short-term climate variability in reanalysis and model data using the Kernel-Gregory approach. Albedo and lapse rate feedbacks are positive and comparable, with albedo feedback being the leading contributor for all AA metrics. The net cloud feedback, which has large uncertainties, depends strongly on the data sets and AA metrics used. By quantifying the influence of internal variability on AA and related feedbacks based on global climate model ensemble simulations, we find that water vapor and cloud feedbacks are most heavily affected by internal variability.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

On the determination of cloud cover from satellite sensors - The effect of sensor spatial resolution

The effect of sensor spatial resolution on satellite-derived estimates of cloud fractional coverage is quantified on the basis of Landsat satellite radiance data. Cloud fraction is found to depend on cloud algorithm as much as it depends on sensor spatial resolution. Even for 28.5-m spatial resolution data, large cloud fraction differences exist between algorithms. Satellite cloud retrieval algorithms depend strongly on sensor spatial resolution and/or on the optical depth of the cloud field. When present, spatial resolution effects are small (less than 0.01) for pixel diameter less than 1/4 km and are large for pixel diameter larger than 1 km. The International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project bispectral threshold gives an increase in cloud fraction of 0.11 as spatial resolution degrades from 20 m to 8 km. The spatial coherence algorithm underestimates boundary layer cloud fraction by 0.18. The use of functional box counting and an assumption of fractal scale invariance overestimates the dependence of cloud fraction for spatial scales below 1 km.

Wielicki, Bruce A.↗

Calibration and evaluation of Skylab altimetry for geodetic determination of the geoid

The author has identified the following significant results. An analytical method for geodetic computation of the marine geoid (the geoid in the oceans) from satellite altimetry is developed and validated with data from Skylab mission SL-2. The criteria for achieving accurate scale and orientation of satellite altimetry geoid are shown to require marine geodetic control to offset systematic errors in the orbit (orientation is completely orbit dependent) and the altimeter data.

Mourad, A. G.↗

Practical aspects of a maximum likelihood estimation method to extract stability and control derivatives from flight data

A maximum likelihood estimation method was applied to flight data and procedures to facilitate the routine analysis of a large amount of flight data were described. Techniques that can be used to obtain stability and control derivatives from aircraft maneuvers that are less than ideal for this purpose are described. The techniques involve detecting and correcting the effects of dependent or nearly dependent variables, structural vibration, data drift, inadequate instrumentation, and difficulties with the data acquisition system and the mathematical model. The use of uncertainty levels and multiple maneuver analysis also proved to be useful in improving the quality of the estimated coefficients. The procedures used for editing the data and for overall analysis are also discussed.

Iliff, K. W.↗

Experimental and theoretical studies of time-averaged and time resolved rotor heat transfer

Efforts in support of the Space Shuttle Main Engine (SSME) structural durability program have concentrated on obtaining detailed time-averaged and time-resolved (or phase-locked) measurements on a full-scale rotating turbine both with and without cold gas injection and on theoretical studies designed to improve the prediction capability for these turbine flows. The experimental efforts have concentrated on use of the Garrett TFE 731-2 hp turbine. However, it has been possible to apply the theoretical efforts to predicting heat-flux distributions obtained for two additional turbines - i.e., (1) the Garrett low aspect ratio turbine (LART) and (2) the Teledyne 702 turbine. The experimental technique is the short duration, shock-tunnel approach, in which fast-response, thin-film resistance thermometers are used to measure surface temperature histories at prescribed locations on the turbine component parts. Heat-flux values are then inferred from the temperature histories by using standard data reduction procedures. The turbine being used is the Garrett TFE 731-2 hp stage, and both the nozzle guide vanes and the rotor blades are heavily instrumented with thin-film heat-flux gauges. Depending on how the data from a particular heat-flux gauge are recorded, one can get either time-resolved (or phase-locked) or time-averaged results. Both types of data are illustrated.

Dunn, M. G.↗

Galileo Earth approach navigation using connected-element interferometer phase-delay tracking

The application of a Connected-Element Interferometer (CEI) to the navigation of the Galileo spacecraft during its encounter with Earth in December 1990 is investigated. A CEI tracking demonstration is planned for the week of November 11 through 18, 1990, from 27 days to 20 days prior to Earth encounter on December 8. During this period, the spacecraft will be tracked daily with Deep Space Network Stations 13 and 15 at Goldstone. The purpose of this work is twofold: first, to establish and define the navigation performance expected during the tracking demonstration and, second, to study, in a more general sense, the sensitivity of orbit demonstration results obtained with CEI to the data density within CEI tracking passes and to important system parameters, such as baseline orientation errors and the phase-delay measurement accuracy. Computer simulation results indicate that the use of CEI data, coupled with conventional range and Doppler data, may reduce the uncertainty in the declination of the spacecraft's incoming trajectory by 15 to 66 percent compared with the operational solution using range and Doppler data only. The level of improvement depends upon the quantity and quality of the CEI data.

Thurman, S. W.↗

Thermal infrared properties of Titan's stratospheric aerosol

The monotonic increase with wavenumber of stratospheric IR opacities in the north polar neighborhood of Titan, in the 250-600/cm bandpass, becomes more extreme with decreasing altitude, consistent with an opacity that is primarily dependent on a high altitude photochemical aerosol, on the one hand, but which is moderated by condensed organics at lower altitudes. Because condensates exhibit a wavenumber dependence for opacity which is the opposite of that required, it is suggested that condensed nitriles may be prominent; either of these condensates may be acceptable for sufficiently large particles. While comparisons with low-latitude data indicate no clear dependence of vertically-integrated opacity on latitude above 80 km, indications of a particle size and/or composition gradient with latitude in the lower stratosphere are noted.

Samuelson, Robert E.↗

Revision of the Dobson total ozone series at Hohenpeissenberg

Total ozone measurements with the Dobson No. 104 (D 104) have been performed at the Meteorological Observatory Hohenpeissenberg since 1967. A critical review of this time series and the comparison with other instruments like TOMS or Brewer spectrophotometer revealed some intervals with uncertainties. Especially in the early eighties a monthly mean bias of about minus 3 percent to TOMS-data with annual variations depending on the mean sun-height exists. An extreme amplitude of 5.6 percent occurs in 1980 with minus 0.76 percent (February) and minus 6.36 percent (July). Two different methods were applied to reprocess the Dobson data set. A comparison of the differently recalculated data showed, that the application of N-corrections by means of the standard-lamp tests starting from the reference values of the Arosa Intercomparison 1986 yields better results than the N-corrections based on a Langley-pilot of the Arosa Intercomparison 1978. The extreme amplitude of the year 1980 is now reduced to 3.02 percent. There is still a slight drift in the monthly and yearly mean differences between TOMS and revised Dobson data. It cannot be excluded, that the satellite data may be responsible for the trend.

Koehler, U.↗

Towards Measurement of Confidence in Safety Cases

Arguments in safety cases are predominantly qualitative. This is partly attributed to the lack of sufficient design and operational data necessary to measure the achievement of high-dependability targets, particularly for safety-critical functions implemented in software. The subjective nature of many forms of evidence, such as expert judgment and process maturity, also contributes to the overwhelming dependence on qualitative arguments. However, where data for quantitative measurements is systematically collected, quantitative arguments provide far more benefits over qualitative arguments, in assessing confidence in the safety case. In this paper, we propose a basis for developing and evaluating integrated qualitative and quantitative safety arguments based on the Goal Structuring Notation (GSN) and Bayesian Networks (BN). The approach we propose identifies structures within GSN-based arguments where uncertainties can be quantified. BN are then used to provide a means to reason about confidence in a probabilistic way. We illustrate our approach using a fragment of a safety case for an unmanned aerial system and conclude with some preliminary observations

Denney, Ewen↗