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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 829 records · Page 46
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2020

Neural MUSE Analysis

Researchers at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) created data as part of the MUSE (Multi-Agency Urban Search Experiment Detector and Algorithm Test Bed) project simulating illicit nuclear materials located in various buildings along a road. In the simulation, a truck containing a radiation detector drives down the road gathering listmode data (counting the and energy of incident gamma radiation). Building materials, source shielding, driving speed, truck direction, truck location on the road, source type, and source placement are all varied between runs of the data set. This data was created using deterministic neutron transport and Monte Carlo methods through a combination of SCALE, MAVRIC, MCNP, and GADRAS. As part of a follow-on NA-22 project, two Kaggle competitions were created to determine the best algorithms for finding and identifying gamma sources in this simulated urban environment. The winning algorithm was neural network-based and had a test accuracy of 76.4% accuracy for source identification. This work seeks to build upon this work and improve the results through the application of novel machine learning techniques. As a first step, the data was classified by a simple Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) To accomplish this, the data was first preprocessed into “waterfall plots.” These plots are composed of energy vs count plots that are stacked vertically to show progression in time. The horizontal axis indicating the particle energy incorporated user defined bin spacing with options for in linear-, logarithmic-, square root-, and user-spaced bins. The z or color dimension showed the number of counts corresponding the energy-time combination. This data was then used to generate more data, by generating a local estimate of the mean of the distribution for a bin and then randomly re-sampling that bin from a Poisson distribution. Once all of this data was generated, it was fed into a well-known CNN architecture, ResNet50. The output layer of this model was removed and replaced with layers corresponding to the shape desired isotope outputs. The provided training data was used to train the classifier and the remaining testing data was used to evaluate the model. Results are soon to be forthcoming.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Survey of Photonuclear Measurements for 239 Pu

We have performed a limited survey of available experimental data for photonuclear cross sections on 239 Pu. In this initial survey, we excluded ratio measurements. We took inventory of a) the available measured observables and corresponding energy range of the measurements; b) the source of the irradiated photons and the methodology used for the measurement; and c) any discrepancies between the original published data and corresponding EXFOR entry. This activity is not an assessment of the quality of the data, only the availability and verifiability of the data in the EXFOR library.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Polymer Macrocycles: A novel topology to control dynamics of rubbery materials (Final Report)

One of the current challenges in polymer physics and engineering is to understand the behavior of circular macromolecules. Though such molecules have been made by dilute solution ring closure methods in the past, such procedures have been limited to relatively small, unentangled rings as well as to small sample quantities. Initial studies were also hampered by issues surrounding purity of the rings, though this problem has been somewhat overcome by the use of liquid chromatography at critical conditions (LCCC) methods that separate rings and linear chains. Furthermore, in spite of the continued progress a full understanding of ring dynamics remains elusive. The present work has addressed multiple aspects of the behavior of ring molecules by using a novel synthetic route: reversible radical recombination redox polymerization (R3P) to produce poly(3,6-dioxa-1,8-octanedithiol) (PolyDODT) molecules. The synthesis conditions were chosen to produce linear (LDODT), cyclic (RDODT) and linear-cyclic mixtures (LRDODT) in order to investigate dilute solution and rheological responses of the materials. Importantly, the R3P synthesis makes larger quantities and higher molecular weights than do the dilute solution ring closure methods and also has the potential to be scaled to industrial quantities, thus becoming commercializable. We emphasize two important outcomes of the work. The first is that the rheological investigation shows that very large molecular weight the PolyDODT rings permitted the investigation of ring dynamics from glassy towards terminal flow for molecular sizes corresponding to approximately 300 entanglements of the linear counterpart. At the same time, these very large sized rings could be diluted in a solvent in order to reduce the molecular entanglement density to less than unity. The results demonstrate that ring viscosity follows a Rouse-like linear dependence on molecular weight or entanglement number to approximately 15 entanglements. This range of "Rouse-like" response is greater than what was achieved in all prior works where synthesis conditions have limited the molecular sizes achievable. After the entanglement number $Z_w$ increases beyond approximately 15, we find that the viscosity-molecular weight scaling undergoes a rapid change from the Rouse-like $η\sim{Z}^1_w$ to a very strong power-law scaling that is approximately $η\sim{Z}^{5.8}_w$. This aspect of the work strongly suggests that prior investigations on highly pure rings have invariably been performed on unentangled systems simply because ring molecules have very high entanglement thresholds. The results are further supported by plateau modulus measurements that show that in the "Rouse-like" viscosity regime, for the RDODT samples there is a corresponding lack of a rubbery entanglement plateau and once entanglement coupling is seen, the rubbery plateau also appears in the dynamic modulus data. Furthermore, upon appropriate scaling, we show that the unentangled polyDODT rings (i.e., the diluted high molecular weight rings) show virtually identical dynamics (upon appropriate scaling to account for the chain dilutions) to the dynamics of similarly unentangled LCCC fractionated polystyrene rings.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Optimizing Prediction Error for Time-dependent Solar Radiation Modeling

Numerical weather forecasting models and statistical methods have found wide use to help power companies estimate renewable output, but better methods are needed, particularly for extended forecasts. Machine learning approaches have been used here as well, but so far a major limitation is the ability to also predict the corresponding uncertainty in a forecast. Here we show that both can be done and demonstrate this using a long-term-short memory neural network where the difference between predicted and ground truth data are used to train a model for the corresponding forecast uncertainties.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Overview of Collaborative Research Between UNICAMP in Brazil and Fermilab in Cryogenics

The Long-Baseline Neutrino Facility (LBNF) situated at the Sanford Underground Research Facility (SURF) in Lead, South Dakota, serves as the host for the Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment (DUNE), employing cryostats with nearly 70,000 metric tons of high purity liquid argon (LAr). The integrity of LAr quality is pivotal in determining the electron lifetime within DUNE, directly impacting its signal-to-noise ratio. Specifically, Far Detector 1 (FD-1) in cryostat 1 requires an electron lifetime over 3 ms within its 3.5 m drift, corresponding to less than 100 parts-per-trillion (ppt) Oxygen equivalent contamination. Far Detector 2 (FD-2) in cryostat 2 demands over 6 ms electron lifetime within its 6.0 m drift, corresponding to less than 50 ppt Oxygen equivalent contamination. Nitrogen (N2) absorption of LAr scintillation light, known as quenching, necessitates N2 contamination in LAr to remain below 1 ppm to minimize photon loss and enhance energy reconstruction. Studies indicate that at 1 ppm N2, approximately 20% of scintillation light is lost, highlighting the importance of minimizing N2 contamination. Brazil State University of Campinas's (UNICAMP) contribution to LBNF focuses on developing argon purification and regeneration for DUNE FD-1 and FD-2. To that effect, they constructed a test facility to perform studies on LAr purification at a smaller scale, the Purification Liquid Argon Cryostat (PuLArC) with approximately 90 liters of LAr. One of the filtration materials was considered and tested Li-FAU molecular sieve. Value engineering on argon purification media was conducted, leading to the identification of Li-FAU zeolite's ability to effectively capture N2 impurities during LAr circulation. Testing at UNICAMP's PuLArC facility demonstrated that 1 kg of Li-FAU is capable of reducing N2 contamination from 20-50 ppm to 0.1-1.0 ppm within 1-2 hours of circulation. In October 2023, testing at the Iceberg cryostat in Fermilab's Noble Liquid Test Facility (NLTF), with approximately 2,625 liters of LAr, confirmed the efficacy of 3 kg of Li-FAU in reducing N2 contamination from ~ 5 ppm of injected N2 down to less than 1 ppm over 96-hour cycles, showcasing its potential for larger-scale LAr cryostats. Further tests are planned to validate Li-FAU's use as a possible alternative to Molecular Sieve 4A in LBNF-DUNE and related liquid argon experiments. This contribution will describe how the research was performed and present the test setups and results in detail. This advancement not only has the potential to enhance DUNE's precision but also to elevate liquid argon experiments globally, showcasing the power of international scientific collaboration.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Seismoacoustic Data Fusion for Ground Coupled Airwaves: a FACT Case Study for Calibration and Array Processing

This report covers an inquiry into seismoacoustic array processing using infrasound arrivals combined with resulting Ground Coupled Airwaves (GCA) that are present on collocated seismic sensors. In preparation, data calibration and denoising is completed for a seismoacoustic sensor array that was deployed at the Facility for Acceptance, Calibration, and Testing on Kirtland Airforce Base from August through September of 2021. The events of interest for this study are small, local explosive sources that lead to short duration, impulsive signals on the instruments. The goal is to determine if combining infrasound signals with the corresponding GCAs on collocated seismic sensors can be used to improve the results returned by automated signal detection and characterization (e.g., back azimuth estimates). Preparation for seismic and infrasound data involves removing the instrument response so that sensors have flat power spectra over the frequency range 0.1-10 Hz, where signal from events of interest may be detected. After instrument response removal, deployment conditions specific to this array require a retrospective noise analysis to determine station emplacement characteristics. Once all data is calibrated, a manual search is performed for possible GCA arrivals across the seismoacoustic network. These arrivals are then processed through beamforming and subsequent event identification, resulting in a catalogue of seismoacoustic GCA arrivals with corresponding back azimuth and trace velocity estimations.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2023

Data-Driven Smoothers for Extreme-Scale Computing

Patch-based relaxation refers to a family of methods for solving linear systems which partitions the matrix into smaller pieces often corresponding to groups of adjacent degrees of freedom residing within patches of the computational domain. The two most common families of patch-based methods are block-Jacobi and Schwarz methods, where the former typically corresponds to non-overlapping domains and the later implies some overlap. We focus on cases where each patch consists of the degrees of freedom on a finite element method mesh cell. Patch methods often capture complex local physics much more effectively than simpler point-smoothers such as Jacobi; however, forming, inverting, and applying each patch can be prohibitively expensive in terms of both storage and computation time. To this end, we propose several approaches for performing analysis on these patches and constructing a reduced representation. The compression techniques rely on either matrix norm comparisons or unsupervised learning via a clustering approach. We illustrate how it is frequently possible to retain/factor less than 5% of all patches and still develop a method that converges only a little slower than when all patches are stored/factored.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Secondary Emission Detector Modules for High Energy Physics Experiments

The objectives of this Phase I SBIR project and the corresponding work plan consisted of detector geometry simulations and functional studies of pre-prototypes for both venetian-blind type and MEMS type. Modifications and improvements to the vacuum test station and data acquisition were also made throughout the project. In the final stages of this Phase I, we were able to do initial testing of devices built and we provide in this report the results of these measurements and all corresponding conclusions.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2024

Smart Pixels: In-pixel AI for on-sensor data filtering

We present a smart pixel prototype readout integrated circuit (ROIC) designed in CMOS 28 nm bulk process, with in-pixel implementation of an artificial intelligence (AI) / machine learning (ML) based data filtering algorithm designed as proof-of-principle for a Phase III upgrade at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) pixel detector. The first version of the ROIC consists of two matrices of 256 smart pixels, each 25$\times$25 µm\textsuperscript{2} in size. Each pixel consists of a charge-sensitive preamplifier with leakage current compensation and three auto-zero comparators for a 2-bit flash-type ADC. The frontend is capable of synchronously digitizing the sensor charge within 25 ns. Measurement results show an equivalent noise charge (ENC) of $\sim$30e\textsuperscript{-} and a total dispersion of $\sim$100e\textsuperscript{-} The second version of the ROIC uses a fully connected two-layer neural network (NN) to process information from a cluster of 256 pixels to determine if the pattern corresponds to highly desirable high-momentum particle tracks for selection and readout. The digital NN is embedded in-between analog signal processing regions of the 256 pixels without increasing the pixel size and is implemented as fully combinatorial digital logic to minimize power consumption and eliminate clock distribution, and is active only in the presence of an input signal. The total power consumption of the neural network is $\sim$ 300 $\mu$W. The NN performs momentum classification based on the generated cluster patterns and even with a modest momentum threshold, it is capable of 54.4\% – 75.4\% total data rejection, opening the possibility of using the pixel information at 40MHz for the trigger. The total power consumption of analog and digital functions per pixel is $\sim$ 6 $\mu$W per pixel, which corresponds to $\sim$ 1 W/cm\textsuperscript{2} staying within the experimental constraints.

Parpillon, Benjamin↗
DOE OSTI2024

Residential Solar-Adopter Income and Demographic Trends: 2024 Update [Slides]

The report describes income, demographic, and other socio-economic trends among U.S. residential rooftop solar adopters. The report is based on address-level data for roughly 4.1 million residential rooftop solar systems installed through 2023, representing 87% of all U.S. systems. With its unique size, geographic scope, and level of detail, this report is intended to serve as a foundational reference document for policy-makers, industry stakeholders, and researchers. Key findings include the following: -The median income of households that installed solar in 2023 was about $\$$115k/year, compared to a U.S. median of $\$$75k/year for all households and $\$$94k/year for all U.S. owner-occupied households. -Compared to owner-occupied households in the same state, 2023 solar-adopter incomes were 7% higher in the median case, and in 10 states, median solar-adopter incomes were below the corresponding median income for all owner-occupied households. -Roughly 49% of solar adopters in 2023 had incomes below 120% of their area median income (AMI), a threshold sometimes used to define “low-and-moderate income” (or LMI), while 26% were below 80% of AMI, often used to define “low-income”. -Solar adoption continues to shift toward less affluent households over time, with the median present-day income of solar adopters dropping from $\$$141k for households that installed systems in 2010 to $\$$115k in 2023. -PV systems installed in 2023 by households earning less than $\$$50k had a median size of 6.4 kW, 33% were third-party owned, and 6% included battery storage, compared to corresponding values of 8.0 kW, 18%, and 14% for households earning more than $\$$200k. -Compared to all households in their respective state, solar adopters in 2023 were slightly more likely to be college educated and to live in rural areas; had higher home values; and were more likely to live outside a disadvantaged community (DAC), be middle-aged, identify as non-Hispanic white, work in a business or financial occupation, and own a single-family home. In conjunction with the report, Berkeley Lab has published an updated accompanying set of online data visualizations that allow users to further explore the underlying data. Berkeley Lab is also offering related analytical support to states, local agencies, and other organizations on issues related to solar adoption among low-to-moderate income households; requests for analytical support may be submitted through this online form.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Coupling Metabolic Source Isotopic Pair Labeling and Genome Wide Association for Metabolite and Gene Annotation in Plants (Final Technical Report)

In this project, we applied our labeling pipeline to Arabidopsis and sorghum by feeding tissues with isotopically labeled versions of commercially available amino acids to identify all metabolite features that incorporate the label. In sorghum, we fed five accessions, sampled across the diversity of sorghum, to identify the precursor-of-origin for metabolites that vary between accessions as well as those that may be missing from a single reference genotype. This provided us with precursor-of-origin annotation for thousands of unknown metabolites. We then used GWA to map genes responsible for the synthesis of precursor-of-origin classified metabolites. For sorghum leaf and root ducible metabolites, we performed untargeted metabolomics on leaf and root tissues from 300 diverse genotyped sorghum inbred lines. The amino acid precursor-of-origin metabolite library were then used to identify the corresponding metabolites in the GWA data sets and to identify novel gene-metabolite associations. Finally, we utilized existing and newly generated sequenced EMS mutants of sorghum to validate the predicted gene-metabolite relationships that our labelling analysis identified. In parallel, we conducted similar feeding experiments in Arabidopsis to categorize metabolites based on precursor-of-origin, identify those that vary across our existing Arabidopsis metabolite GWA dataset, and identify genes required for the synthesis of each metabolite. To provide an independent test of gene annotation and pathway involvement, we tested the GWA gene-metabolite associations in Arabidopsis by analyzing the metabolic phenotypes of gene knockouts. Genes of particular interest from both sorghum and Arabidopsis were studied in detail by directly measuring the activity of the corresponding enzymes following heterologous expression. In summary, this work classified as-yet-unknown amino acid-derived metabolites and identified genes involved in their production generated through “omics” technologies. This information was used to validate gene function and identify new metabolism in Arabidopsis and sorghum.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Strategy to Develop a Control Scheme for Core Thermal Performance Optimization

This report outlines a three-year research plan for optimizing reactor core thermal performance through use of a Digital Twin (DT) model and a set of neutron detectors to correspondingly adapt the reactor control strategy. It identifies reactor features and achievable neutron measurements that factor into this optimization task. It considers spatial effects that are important and how they can be managed by a real-time algorithm that controls reactivity actuators. The report presents a set of tasks, along with corresponding methods, for accomplishing this objective. The final task in this set is to validate the combined optimization procedure in the Purdue University’s PUR-1 reactor, for which we have an agreement of understanding. Additionally, we describe an alternative approach for overcoming some of the limitations inherent in the above approach, which includes the computational costs of high-fidelity simulations and achievable integration of neutron measurements into the DT. The proposed algorithms lower the technology readiness level (TRL) of the overall approach as some additional analysis and the development of a new neutron detector concept are necessary. In particular, a sensor measuring the gradient of the neutron flux is required, and the prototype is expected to be validated in the PUR-1 reactor. The potential benefits and the opportunity to significantly push forward the state-of-the-art make this approach worthy of further exploration in the upcoming years.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Terra-Populus v0.1: A Python Library for LandScan High-Definition Population Analysis and Modeling

The terra-populus library is designed for use by the LandScan HD technical team, offering a streamlined set of tools for generating and updating LandScan HD datasets from foundational building-level data, referred to as 'molecules,' provided by the building-level attribution team. This document serves as the primary technical documentation for terra-populus. Version 0.1 of the library includes the core modeling components necessary for LandScan HD production. It enables the generation of the LandScan HD Baseline dataset as well as corresponding confidence measures for the occupancy rates used. Parameters have been included for incorporating damaged building indicators and changes in population, to faciliate the creation of rapid updates for LandScan HD. Future iterations of terra-populus will introduce tools for creating a confidence index, and quantifying and propagating uncertainty, facilitating the creation of probabilistic LandScan HD outputs. This report provides an overview of the tools available in the library and the corresponding code implementations. One of the key advancements implemented in terra-populus is a redefinition of the atomic modeling unit for LandScan HD. Traditionally, the LandScan HD vector analytical framework has generated population estimates at the building sub-component (molecule) level. However, terra-populus adopts a building-level modeling approach. This shift is an operational decision aimed at aligning LandScan HD outputs with confidence measures, which are computed and validated at the building level (confidence measures are not included in this version of terra-populus, aside from those associated with the occupancy rates). Additional advancements to the LandScan HD modeling, as implemented by terra-populus, include a minimum population value parameter and an auto assignment of building floor counts. The population minimum value was implemented to prevent buildings and subsequent LandScan HD pixels that contained small values that may not rasterize in production. An 'auto' value has been included as a method for dealing with buildings lacking floor count information, where it is the average floor count of all other buildings with a residential building use type tag. The logic behind this is to remain consistent with the current logic employed for dealing with building use type null instances, where a null use type is defaulted to residential since it is the most common building type. The auto logic is intended to apply the most common building floor count of the most common type of buildings. The tools provided in terra-populus represent a significant step forward in improving the efficiency, reproducibility, and transparency of the LandScan HD modeling process. As the library evolves, it will continue to serve as a foundational resource for high-resolution population modeling.

96 KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT AND PRESERVATION↗
DOE OSTI2025

A simplified approach for creep damage and remaining life calculation for materials surveillance in advanced reactors

High temperature reactor materials will experience a combination of mechanical degradation caused by creep and fatigue and environmental degradation caused by neutron irradiation and, in some cases, exposure to corrosive coolants. A materials surveillance program is one option for ensuring the safe, reliable operation of key reactor components under these conditions. Such a program would monitor the degradation in key material properties over time, using this data to predict how changes in the material properties affect components performance. This could then be used to make plant operational decisions and support eventual plant license extensions. Past work de-scribes such a material surveillance program based on passively actuated mechanical test articles that impose creep-fatigue type loading on test materials driven only by changes in temperature, for example those experienced by components under standard operating cycles. This report focuses on two aspects of the proposed material surveillance program: how to design the test articles to mimic the mechanical response of the corresponding component and how to use ex-situ test data to deter-mine the amount of damaged experienced by the test article (and hence the corresponding compo-nent) in service. Specifically, this report derives and validated simplified methods for both tasks, replacing earlier, more complicated approaches based on simulating the test article response and finding the best specimen design or current damage via complex numerical optimization. The sim-plified methods for each task developed here can be implemented in spreadsheet software and are simple enough for practical use in future operating plants. This report derives the methods (one for sizing and two options for damage inference), verifies the simplified approaches versus more so-phisticated methods, and compares the results of applying the simplified methods to previous re-sults using the complex numerical optimization approach. The report also provides a worked sam-pled problem applying the simplified techniques to a realistic high temperature reactor component.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Field Evaluation of the High Efficiency Dehumidification System (HEDS) at the Timken Museum of Art - Measurement and Verification (M&V) Results from Summer, Winter and Spring Evaluation Periods

The High Efficiency Dehumidification System (HEDS) technology from Conservant Systems Inc., installed at the Timken Museum of Art in San Diego, California, was evaluated to determine its performance relative to appropriate baseline operation. Data was collected for measurement and verification for several weeks during three evaluation periods: Summer (Aug-Sep 2023), Winter (Dec 2023-Feb 2024) and Spring (May-Jun 2024). The evaluation included operating the heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC) system in both constant air volume (CAV) and variable air volume (VAV) modes, with and without the HEDS energy recovery and HVAC system optimization technology enabled. The electricity consumption of the chiller and the gas-supplied reheat energy were measured to characterize savings achieved by the HEDS operation. Based on these measurements, the HEDS was responsible for chiller electrical load savings during the summer evaluation period of 39% and 42% for the CAV and VAV operating modes, respectively; 97% and 100% chiller electrical load reductions were observed during the winter evaluation for the CAV and VAV operating modes, respectively; and the corresponding reductions during the spring evaluation were 42% and 52% for CAV and VAV operation, respectively. The measured reheat energy reductions, which are typically provided by natural gas, due to the HEDS during summer were 64% and 97% in CAV and VAV operating modes, respectively, while the corresponding values were 99% and 78% during the winter evaluation, and 59% and 56% during the spring evaluation.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2025

Simulation of Deuterium Oxidation in a Room with a Fire

A series of experiments where deuterium was released in trace amounts into a room with a fire were performed at Sandia National Laboratories. This report describes the corresponding effort to model the test series using SIERRA/FUEGO. The objective of this modeling effort was to produce a simulation test matrix that can be utilized to help interpret the corresponding experiments and be used to assess the credibility of using the SIERRA/FUEGO simulations as a surrogate for real tritium reaction data for mock fire and release studies. The simulations assessed multiple configurations of fire size and location and overall found that there was low conversion of deuterium to oxidized deuterium. There are some notable differences between the simulation predictions and the experimental results, such as the simulations generally predicting higher amounts of deuterium conversion compared to the experiment. A strategy to address modeling uncertainties and unknowns is also given in this report.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Probabilistic Hazard Assessment for Tornadoes, Straight-Line Wind, and Extreme Precipitation at the Savannah River Site

Recent data sets for three meteorological phenomena with the potential to inflict damage on SRS facilities – tornadoes, straight-line winds, and heavy precipitation – are analyzed using appropriate statistical techniques to estimate the occurrence probabilities for these events in the future. Summaries of the results for DOE-mandated return periods and comparisons to similar calculations performed in 2013 by Werth et al. (W2013) are given. Using tornado statistics for i) the combined states of Georgia and South Carolina, and ii) a 2⁰ square area surrounding SRS, we calculated the probability per year of any location at SRS being struck by a tornado (the ‘strike’ probability) and the probability that any point will experience winds above set thresholds. The strike probability was calculated to be 7.04E-4 (1 chance in 1420) per year and tornadic wind speeds for DOE mandated return periods of 50,000 years (corresponding to wind design category 3 (WDC-3), and 125,000 years (meeting WDC-4) (USDOE, 2016) were estimated to be 132 mph and 147 mph, respectively. By contrast, default tornado wind speeds taken from ANSI/ANS-2.3-2011 are somewhat higher: 161 mph for return periods of 50,000 years and 173 mph every 125,000 years (ANS, 2011). Although the ANS and the SRS evaluation used the same basic model (Ramsdell and Rishel, 2007), the region defined in ANS 2.3 that encompasses the SRS also includes areas of the Great Plains and lower Midwest, regions with much higher occurrence frequencies of strong tornadoes. The SRS straight-line wind values associated with various return periods were calculated by fitting existing wind data to a GEV1 distribution and extrapolating the values for any return period from the tail of that function. For the DOE mandated return periods, we expect straight-line winds of 117 mph every 2500 years (the required WDC-3 standard) and 125 mph every 6250 years (WDC-4) at any point within the SRS. These values are similar to those from the ANS-2.3-2011 report, which has wind speeds of 125mph and 133 mph for return periods of 2500 years and 6250 years, respectively. For extreme precipitation, we compared the fits of two different theoretical extreme-value distributions and applied the one that fit the data best for each of several accumulation periods. The DOE mandated 6-hr accumulated rainfall for return periods of 10,000 years (corresponding to precipitation design category 3 (PDC-3) and 25,000 years (PDC-4) were estimated as 9.1 inches and 10.1 inches, respectively. For the 24-hr rainfall return periods of 10,000 years and 25,000 years, total rainfall estimates were 12.02 inches and 13.17 inches, respectively, higher than comparable values provided in the W2013 report.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Network of Modified Portable Optical Particle Spectrometers Instrument Handbook

The U.S. Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) user facility’s portable optical particle spectrometer (POPS) network (Figure 1) provides an aerosol size distribution spectrum from 150 nm to 5 μm in 16 logarithmically spaced bins. The data emanating from this network of up to four matching POPS in weatherproof enclosures comprises one-minute averages of the aerosol size and number spectrum and the co-located temperature and relative humidity. The total particle concentration and sample flow rate are also provided. The sample stream is not dried before its measurement. Two size spectra are provided: the default size distribution corresponds to the calibration using polystyrene latex spheres (PSL), while the second size distribution corresponds to the calibration using size-selected dry ammonium sulfate aerosol. The principal scientific application of the data provided by the ARM POPS is to determine the aerosol size distribution across a region in three disparate locations – the size distribution is broadly relevant to studies of pollution and of conditions in the boundary layer. A high particle concentration can be an indicator of unhealthy levels of pollution; the dispersion of particles in the atmosphere is a predictor of long-range visibility; and particles serve as collectors of condensing gases including water vapor, and thus are a factor in the formation and properties of fogs and clouds, and in the initiation of precipitation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗