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DOE OSTI2023

Developing new analysis tools for near surface radio-based neutrino detectors

The ARIANNA experiment is an Askaryan radio detector designed to measure high-energy neutrino induced cascades within the Antarctic ice. Ultra-high-energy neutrinos above 10 16 eV have an extremely low flux, so experimental data captured at trigger level need to be classified correctly to retain as much neutrino signal as possible. We first describe two new physics-based neutrino selection methods, or "cuts", (the updown and dipole cut) that extend the previously published analysis to a specialized ARIANNA station with 8 antenna channels, which is double the number used in the prior analysis. For a standard trigger with a threshold signal to noise ratio at 4.4, the new cuts produce a neutrino efficiency of > 95% per station-year of operation, while rejecting 99.93% of the background (corresponding to 53 remaining experimental background events). When the new cuts are combined with a previously developed cut using neutrino waveform templates, all background is removed at no change of efficiency. In addition, the neutrino efficiency is extrapolated to 1,000 station-years of operation, obtaining 91%. This work then introduces a new selection method (the deep learning cut) to augment the identification of neutrino events by using deep learning methods and compares the efficiency to the physics-based analysis. The deep learning cut gives 99% signal efficiency per station-year of operation while rejecting 99.997% of the background (corresponding to 2 remaining experimental background events), which are subsequently removed by the waveform template cut at no significant change in efficiency. Here the results of the deep learning cut were verified using measured cosmic rays which shows that the simulations do not introduce artifacts with respect to experimental data. The paper demonstrates that the background rejection and signal efficiency of near surface antennas meets the requirements of a large scale future array, as considered in baseline design of the radio component of IceCube-Gen2.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2023

Unraveling cosmological anisotropies within stochastic gravitational wave backgrounds

Identifying the anisotropies in a cosmologically sourced stochastic gravitational wave background (SGWB) would be of significance in shedding light on the nature of primordial inhomogeneities. For example, if SGWB carries isocurvature fluctuations, it would provide evidence for a multi-field inflationary origin of these inhomogeneities. However, this is challenging in practice due to finite detector sensitivity and also the presence of the astrophysical foregrounds that can compete with the cosmological signal. In this work, we explore the prospects for measuring cosmological SGWB anisotropies in the presence of an astrophysical counterpart and detector noise. To illustrate the main idea, we perform a Fisher analysis using a well-motivated cosmological SGWB template corresponding to a first order phase transition, and an astrophysical SGWB template corresponding to extra-galactic binary mergers, and compute the uncertainty with which various parameters characterizing the isotropic and anisotropic components can be extracted. Finally, we also discuss some subtleties and caveats involving shot noise in the astrophysical foreground. Overall, we show that upcoming experiments, e.g., LISA, Taiji, Einstein Telescope, Cosmic Explorer, and BBO, can all be effective in discovering plausible anisotropic cosmological SGWBs.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2024

${\tt Warm}$SPy: a numerical study of cosmological perturbations in warm inflation

We present ${\tt Warm}$SPy, a numerical code in Python designed to solve for the perturbations' equations in warm inflation models and compute the corresponding scalar power spectrum at CMB horizon crossing. In models of warm inflation, a radiation bath of temperature T during inflation induces a dissipation (friction) rate of strength Q ∝ T c /Φ m in the equation of motion for the inflaton field Φ. While for a temperature-independent dissipation rate (c = 0) an analytic expression for the scalar power spectrum exists, in the case of a non-zero value for c the set of equations can only be solved numerically. For c > 0 (c < 0), the coupling between the perturbations in the inflaton field and radiation induces a growing (decaying) mode in the scalar perturbations, generally parameterized by a multiplicative function G(Q) which we refer to as the scalar dissipation function. Using ${\tt Warm}$SPy, we provide an analytic fit for G(Q) for the cases of c = {3,1,-1}, corresponding to three cases that have been realized in physical models. Compared to previous literature results, our fits are more robust and valid over a broader range of dissipation strengths Q ϵ [10 -7 ,10 4 ]. Additionally, for the first time, we numerically assess the stability of the scalar dissipation function against various model parameters, inflationary histories as well as the effects of metric perturbations. As a whole, the results do not depend appreciably on most of the parameters in the analysis, except for the dissipation index c, providing evidence for the universal behaviour of the scalar dissipation function G(Q).

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Galaxy cluster profiles: a Gaussian mixture model approach to halo miscentering

Measurements of the galaxy density and weak-lensing profiles of galaxy clusters typically rely on an assumed cluster center, which is taken to be the brightest cluster galaxy or other proxies for the true halo center defined as the minimum in the potential well. Departure of the assumed cluster center from the true halo center bias the resultant profile measurements, an effect known as miscentering bias. Currently, miscentering is typically modeled in stacked profiles of clusters with a two parameter model. We use an alternate approach in which the profiles of individual clusters are used with the corresponding likelihood computed using a Gaussian mixture model. We test the approach using halos and the corresponding subhalo profiles from the IllustrisTNG hydrodynamic simulations. We obtain significantly improved estimates of the miscentering parameters for both 3D and projected 2D profiles relevant for imaging surveys. We discuss applications to upcoming cosmological surveys. Our Python package for the Gaussian mixture model is publicly available at https://github.com/KyleMiller1/Halo-Miscentering-Mixture-Model.

Bayesian reasoning↗

DOE OSTI2026

Cosmological neutrino mass: a frequentist overview in light of DESI

We derive constraints on the neutrino mass using a variety of recent cosmological datasets, including DESI BAO, the full-shape analysis of the DESI matter power spectrum and the one-dimensional power spectrum of the Lyman-α forest (P1D) from eBOSS quasars as well as the cosmic microwave background (CMB). The constraints are obtained in the frequentist formalism by constructing profile likelihoods and applying the Feldman-Cousins prescription to compute confidence intervals. This method avoids potential prior and volume effects that may arise in a comparable Bayesian analysis. Parabolic fits to the profiles allow one to distinguish changes in the upper limits from variations in the constraining power σ of the different data combinations. We find that all profiles in the ΛCDM model are cut off by the ∑m ν ≥ 0 bound, meaning that the corresponding parabolas reach their minimum in the unphysical sector. The most stringent 95% C.L. upper limit is obtained by the combination of DESI DR2 BAO, Planck PR4 and CMB lensing at 53 meV, below the minimum of 59 meV set by the normal ordering. The corresponding constraining power σ is 43 meV, which highlights the importance of the cut-off by negative values in the determination of the upper limit. Extending ΛCDM to non-zero curvature and w 0 w a CDM relaxes the constraints past 59 meV again, but only w 0 w a CDM exhibits profiles with a minimum at a positive value. Additionally, we extend the formalism to constrain the lightest neutrino mass. For DESI DR2 BAO, Planck PR4 and CMB lensing, we find confidence limits at 20 and 19 meV for normal and inverted ordering, respectively. Using a combination of DESI DR1 full-shape, BBN and eBOSS Lyman-α P1D, we successfully constrain the neutrino mass independently of the CMB. This combination yields m l ≤ 97 and 98 meV in the normal and inverted orderings, and total neutrino mass ∑m ν ≤ 285 meV (95% C.L.). The addition of DESI full-shape or Lyman-α P1D to CMB and DESI BAO results in small but noticeable improvement of the constraining power of the data. Lyman-α free-streaming measurements especially improve the constraint. Since they are based on eBOSS data, this sets a promising precedent for upcoming DESI data.

Frequentist statistics↗

DOE OSTI2022

Expected ${\boldsymbol H \xrightarrow{} {\boldsymbol{\mu^+\mu^-}}} $ measurement precision with ${\boldsymbol { e^{+}e^{-}}{\bf \xrightarrow{}}{ \boldsymbol{Z(q\bar{q})H}}}$ production at the CEPC *

Here, a search for the dimuon decay of the Standard Model Higgs boson is performed using Monte Carlo simulated events to mimic data corresponding to an integrated luminosity of 5.6 ab -1 collected with the Circular Electron-Positron Collider detector in e + e - collisions at $\sqrt{s}$ =240 GeV. This study investigates the e + e - →ZH, Z → $q\bar{q}$, H → μ + μ - process, and the expected significance considering only the statistical uncertainty in the data for a background-only hypothesis for a Higgs boson with a mass of 125 GeV is found to be 6.1 σ, corresponding to a precision of 19%. The systematic impacts from the background Monte Carlo statistical fluctuations are estimated to be negligible. Moreover, the dependence of the measurement accuracy on the muon momentum resolution of the CEPC detector is investigated. It is found that the muon momentum resolution must be better than 204 MeV to discover the H →μμ process at the nominal integrated luminosity. If the resolution is 100% worse than the designed parameter, the integrated luminosity must be greater than 7.2 ab -1 to reach 5σ significance.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2021

Drift orbit islands of energetic particles due to 3D fields in ITER

In this study, we report a comparative study of the orbit islands formed by the guiding center drift motion of test energetic particles (EPs), including both high-energy deuterium ions and fusion-born α-particles, with respect to the magnetic islands formed by tracing the field lines, for an ITER plasma representing the 15 MA baseline scenario. The particle drift orbit is modified by the presence of static resonant magnetic perturbations (RMPs) of different toroidal mode numbers n (n = 1 and 3 in this study), forming orbit islands in the Poincaré plane by passing EPs. The key findings are as follows. (i) With an n = 1 RMP field, the size of the orbit islands combined with the total RMP field, including the plasma response, is about three times smaller than that obtained by assuming the corresponding vacuum field. (ii) The orbit island size is not sensitive to the EP energy, and is comparable to those of the magnetic islands. (iii) Passing EPs with outward radial orbital drift form orbit islands that shift inward with respect to the corresponding magnetic islands, and vice versa. This radial shift, ΔΨ, measured in the normalized equilibrium poloidal flux, is quantified as ΔΨ ≃ 0.03X for the ITER baseline plasma and assuming n = 1 RMPs, with $X\equiv {(M/{M}_{\mathrm{p}})}^{1/2}{(E[\mathrm{M}\mathrm{e}\mathrm{V}])}^{1/2}{Z}^{-1}$, where M is the particle mass, Mp is the proton mass, E is the particle energy, and Z is the particle charge number. (iv) Trapped EPs do not form drift orbit islands, even in the presence of the 3D fields produced by the 90 kAt ELM control coil current in ITER, and thus possess good confinement properties. Nevertheless, the deformation of the trapped particle drift orbits in the Poincaré plane shows that the canonical toroidal angular momentum of EPs is no longer conserved in the presence of the RMP fields.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Analysis and design of fast flow liquid Li divertor for fusion nuclear science facility (FNSF) using coupled plasma boundary and LM MHD/heat transfer codes *

The SOLPS-ITER code is utilized to analyze the boundary plasma associated with a fast-flow lithium (Li) divertor configuration in the fusion nuclear science facility (FNSF) tokamak and identify operational regimes with acceptable divertor and core conditions. Plasma transport from the SOLPS-ITER code has been coupled with a liquid metal (LM) MHD/heat transfer code to model a Li open-surface divertor design and assess its impact on the scrape-off-layer (SOL) and core plasma performance. Simulations with only Neon (Ne) impurity seeding have been conducted to evaluate its impact on meeting FNSF design demands for the divertor and upstream plasma parameters. Simulation results indicate that Ne seeding significantly mitigates divertor heat flux but potentially reduces both upstream electron and main ion density due to fuel dilution. The combined application of Ne seeding and deuterium (D 2 ) puffing is required to satisfy the FNSF design requirements on upstream density ($n^{OMP}_{e,sep}$~1× 10 20 m -3 ) and divertor energy flux ($q^{Odiv}_{\bot,max}$<10 MW m -2 ). D 2 puffing plays a role in counteracting upstream density drops and augmenting energy and momentum losses through atomic and molecular processes. The inlet Li flow velocity is systematically varied across a wide range to identify acceptable flows and corresponding LM surface temperatures. This comprehensive analysis identifies the acceptable Li flow parameters, LM surface temperature, and emitted Li fluxes necessary to meet the major design constraints. The emitted Li fluxes exhibit minimal impact on the main plasma at surface temperatures up to approximately ~525 °C, corresponding emitted Li fluxes of up to φ Li ~2X10 23 atoms s -1 . Uncertainties in the Li emission processes from the surface are also investigated, primarily influencing Li loss in the lower surface temperature range (<525 °C), with simulation results indicating a minor impact on the divertor and upstream plasma. Conversely, evaporation predominantly drives the Li loss processes at higher surface temperature ranges (>525 °C), contaminating both the divertor and upstream plasma.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

First simultaneous observation of co- and counter-current fast-ion losses in the ASDEX Upgrade tokamak

In ITER and future fusion power plants, the source of the fusion born alpha particles is almost isotropic in pitch angle, thus having co- and counter-current populations. For trapped ions, the co-current side of the orbit corresponds to its outer leg, while the counter-current side corresponds to the inner leg. Understanding the mechanisms responsible for the fast-ion losses (FILs) is critical for future magnetically confined fusion power plants. To further study the interplay of fast ions with plasma instabilities, a double pinhole collimator has been developed for a Fast-Ion Loss Detector (FILD) in the ASDEX Upgrade tokamak (AUG). This new FILD opens the operational window to simultaneous measurements of the co- and counter-current ion velocity-space. In this paper, the first results for the AUG double collimator FILD detector are shown. The commissioning of this new probe is carried out in H-mode plasmas with an on-axis magnetic field $B_0 = -2.5$ T, and a plasma current $I_{\textrm{p}} = 0.7$ MA. Simultaneous co- and counter-current FILs have been measured. Both have shown a similar dependence on Ion Cyclotron Resonance Heating (ICRH) power, where the main difference is the intensity of the losses, with the co-losses being an order of magnitude larger. Toroidal Alfvén eigenmode-coherent ICRH-only losses have been identified for the co-current ions. Additionally, the presence of Edge Localized Modes during the discharge were shown to increment Neutral Beam Injection prompt losses, while partially mitigating ICRH-driven losses on both co- and counter- sides of the velocity-space. Finally, a very trapped and high gyroradius losses, with an unclear origin, have been measured in the co- and counter-current velocity-space. The computed ion trajectories show that these ions remain permanently near the vessel wall, suggesting that they are accelerated within the scrape-off layer.

ELM↗

DOE OSTI2026

Numerical assessment of the impact of the guiding-centre approximation on fast ion simulations in NSTX

Guiding-centre (GC) and full-orbit (FO) simulations of the beam-injected fast ion distribution and the corresponding neutron emissivity have been carried out for magnetohydrodynamics-quiescent National Spherical Torus eXperiment (NSTX) plasmas, using a combination of ASCOT5 and DRESS, to assess the suitability of the GC approximation for fast ions in NSTX. It was found that GC and FO simulations predicted substantially different steady-state distributions in both position and velocity space and different neutron emissivity profiles, leading to a 15% reduction in the predicted global neutron rate for FO relative to GC. These changes accompany a higher magnetic moment in FO, and correspond to a change in particle orbits from co-passing to trapped and stagnation orbits. ASCOT5 was also benchmarked against TRANSP/NUBEAM with input loaded entirely from TRANSP/NUBEAM output files, with agreement found between the GC simulations when finite Larmor radius (FLR) corrections were omitted. ASCOT5 FO and TRANSP/NUBEAM with FLR produced fast ion distributions which differed in localised regions, but predicted global neutron rates which agree within 3%.

ASCOT↗

DOE OSTI2021

Characterization and QC practice of 16-channel ADC ASIC at cryogenic temperature for Liquid Argon TPC front-end readout electronics system in DUNE experiment

ColdADC is a low-noise 16-channel analog-to-digital converter ASIC designed for cold readout electronics of Liquid Argon Time Projection Chambers (LArTPCs) in the Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment (DUNE). ColdADC was specifically designed for operation at cryogenic temperatures (77 K–89 K). Cold electronics is considered to be an enabling technology for liquid argon detectors in neutrino experiments. The main function of the chip is to digitize signals from the 16-channel charge-sensitive amplifier designed at BNL (LArASIC) and send digitized signals to the data aggregator and serializer chip (COLDATA). ColdADC operates with a resolution of 12 bits and a sampling rate of 2 MS/s per channel. A complete characterization of prototype chips was conducted at cryogenic temperature, involving power consumption, noise and linearity performance. In the first DUNE Far-Detector module, 384000 data channels will be read out, corresponding to 24000 ColdADC chips. Therefore, systematic testing of ColdADC chips at cryogenic temperature is vital for the quality and reliability of DUNE Single-Phase modules. We have developed a Quality Control (QC) test stand that includes ColdADC evaluation and characterization at cryogenic temperature. The QC procedure was applied to a first batch of 33 chips, corresponding to 528 data channels. The obtained results meet all the required DUNE specifications for ColdADC. Moreover, the testing outcome allowed us to identify possibilities of performance optimization that are currently being addressed in the design of the next version of the chip. The Quality Control procedure is proved to be successful and will be a reference design for future large-batch production testing of final ColdADC ASICs.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

DOE OSTI2022

Centrality determination in heavy-ion collisions with the LHCb detector

The centrality of heavy-ion collisions is directly related to the created medium in these interactions. A procedure to determine the centrality of collisions with the LHCb detector is implemented for lead-lead collisions at √ s NN = 5 TeV and lead-neon fixed-target collisions at √ s NN = 69 GeV. The energy deposits in the electromagnetic calorimeter are used to determine and define the centrality classes. The correspondence between the number of participants and the centrality for the lead-lead collisions is in good agreement with the correspondence found in other experiments, and the centrality measurements for the lead-neon collisions presented here are performed for the first time in fixed-target collisions at the LHC.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

DOE OSTI2023

On the feasibility of future colliders: report of the Snowmass'21 Implementation Task Force

Colliders are essential research tools for particle physics. Numerous future collider proposal were discussed in the course of the US high energy physics community strategic planning exercise Snowmass'21. The Implementation Task Force (ITF) has been established to evaluate the proposed future accelerator projects for performance, technology readiness, schedule, cost, and environmental impact. Corresponding metrics has been developed for uniform comparison of the proposals ranging from Higgs/EW factories to multi-TeV lepton, hadron and ep collider facilities, based on traditional and advanced acceleration technologies. Here, this article describes the metrics and approaches, and presents evaluations of future colliders performed by the ITF.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Preliminary results of the 2023 International Fermilab Booster Studies

Here, an overview is given of the methods and preliminary results from dedicated beam studies on three topics conducted over five days in July 2023. In the first study, the Fermilab Booster magnets were held constant at magnetic fields corresponding to the injection energy. The beam loss and emittance growth were observed under varying intensity, tunes, and sextupole resonances. The corresponding beam conditions were also simulated with the MADX-SC code [1]. In the second study, measurements of the vertical half-integer resonance and correction methods are conducted for high-intensity beams ramping in the Booster. Finally, syncho-betatron instabilities are observed during transition-crossing in the Booster under strong space-charge conditions.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Improving seasonal precipitation forecasts in the Western United States through statistical downscaling

Abstract Seasonal precipitation forecasts in the western United States are critical resources for water resource management, especially during winter. While current seasonal forecasting systems provide monthly precipitation forecasts operationally, their coarse resolution limits their effectiveness in capturing the localized precipitation patterns and snowpack conditions essential for water resource managers in the mountainous regions. Here, analog statistical downscaling is demonstrated as an effective approach to enhance the spatial resolution of operational seasonal forecasts provided by the North American Multi-Model Ensemble. Downscaling was performed by building an analog ‘library’, in which corresponding model forecasts and observed values during the training period were stored. In the testing period, unseen model forecasts referenced the closest historical forecast from the analog library and applied the corresponding observational value for each point. This analysis indicates that downscaled products can capture localized features more accurately than the original coarse resolution forecasts, reducing forecast error across the western United States. Moreover, downscaling individual ensemble members—rather than downscaling the ensemble mean—further reduces forecasting error for their multi-model ensemble mean products. The greatest error reductions in the downscaled product, measured by root mean squared error (RMSE), were observed at low to mid-elevations (500–2000 meters), with 50%–70% improvement relative to the original forecasts. In the higher elevations (2000 meters and above), changes in RMSE relative to the original forecast were limited to 10%–30% improvements. The improvement is more substantial for forecast systems with 10 ensemble members compared to that with 4 members, but this relationship does not hold for the system with 24 ensemble members. These findings show that analog statistical downscaling can effectively address the spatial limitations of seasonal precipitation forecasts with minimal computational cost, providing a valuable framework for enhancing coarse resolution forecasting products while providing insights into the timing of ensemble mean calculations during the downscaling process.

Vernon, B. (ORCID:0009000891670689)↗

DOE OSTI2020

Liouville theory, AdS 2 string, and three-point functions

This is a write-up of the lectures given in Young Researchers Integrability School 2017. The main goal is to explain the connection between the ODE/IM correspondence and the classical integrability of strings in AdS. As a warm up, we first discuss the classical three-point function of the Liouville theory. The starting point is the well-known fact that the classical solutions to the Liouville equation can be constructed by solving a Schrodinger-like differential equation. We then convert it into a set of functional equations using a method similar to the ODE/IM correspondence. The classical three-point functions can be computed directly from these functional equations, and the result matches with the classical limit of the celebrated DOZZ formula. We then discuss the semi-classical three-point function of strings in AdS 2 and show that one can apply a similar idea by making use of the classical integrability of the string sigma model on AdS 2 . Furthermore, the result is given in terms of the "massive" generalization of Gamma functions, which show up also in string theory on pp-wave backgrounds and the twistorial generalization of topological string.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE OSTI2023

Local well-posedness and singularity formation in non-Newtonian compressible fluids

We investigate the initial value problem of a very general class of 3 + 1 non-Newtonian compressible fluids in which the viscous stress tensor with shear and bulk viscosity relaxes to its Navier–Stokes values. These fluids correspond to the non-relativistic limit of well-known Israel–Stewart-like theories used in the relativistic fluid dynamic simulations of high-energy nuclear and astrophysical systems. After establishing the local well-posedness of the Cauchy problem, we show for the first time in the literature that there exists a large class of initial data for which the corresponding evolution breaks down in finite time due to the formation of singularities. This implies that a large class of non-Newtonian fluids do not have finite solutions defined at all times.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE OSTI2025

Quantum simulation of Lindbladian dynamics via repeated interactions

The Lindblad equation generalizes the Schrödinger equation to quantum systems that undergo dissipative dynamics. The quantum simulation of Lindbladian dynamics is therefore non-unitary, preventing a naive application of state-of-the-art quantum algorithms. Here, we make use of an approximate correspondence between Lindbladian dynamics and evolution based on repeated interaction (RI) CPTP maps to write down a Hamiltonian formulation of the Lindblad dynamics and derive a rigorous error bound on the master equation. Specifically, we show that the number of interactions needed to simulate the Liouvillian within error e scales in most physical scenarios as . This is significant because the error in the Lindbladian approximation to the dynamics is not explicitly bounded in existing quantum algorithms for open system simulations. We then provide quantum algorithms to simulate RI maps using an iterative qubitization approach and Trotter–Suzuki formulas, and specifically show that for iterative qubitization the number of operations needed to simulate the dynamics (for a fixed value of ?) scales as in the limit where a0 (the coefficient 1-norm for the system and bath Hamiltonians) asymptotically dominates over the corresponding factor for the interaction Hamiltonian, which is often the case in weak coupling. This scaling would appear to be optimal if the complexity of ? is not considered, which underscores the importance of considering the error in the Liouvillian that we reveal in this work.

Quantum Computing↗