Adjoint Sensitivity Analysis of FARMS for Forecasting Variables of WRF-Solar
This poster provides an overview of adjoint sensitivity analysis of FARMS for forecasting variables of WRF-solar.
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This poster provides an overview of adjoint sensitivity analysis of FARMS for forecasting variables of WRF-solar.
Results are presented for a superposed epoch analysis of discontinuous solar wind interfaces. The average time-space profiles of stream interfaces are discussed with reference to fluid properties (flow speed, pressure ridge, density, electron and proton temperatures) and kinetic properties (electron core and halo, flow speed fluctuations, electron heat flux, alpha particles). Other aspects of stream interfaces are described, such as the persistence of individual interfaces, shock associations, the sector boundaries of the interplanetary magnetic field, and sudden impulses in the geomagnetic field. Interface position is considered in terms of the observed temperature jump. A conceptual model of high-speed stream evolution is proposed.
The analysis of the solar spectral irradiance from the Airglow-Solar Spectrometer Instrument (ASSI) on the San Marco 5 satellite is the focus for this research grant. A pre-print copy of the paper describing the calibrations of and results from the San Marco ASSI is attached to this report. The calibration of the ASSI included (1) transfer of photometric calibration from a rocket experiment and the Solar Mesosphere Explorer (SME), (2) use of the on-board radioactive calibration sources, (3) validation of the ASSI sensitivity over its field of view, and (4) determining the degradation of the spectrometers. We have determined that the absolute values for the solar irradiance needs adjustment in the current proxy models of the solar UV irradiance, and the amount of solar variability from the proxy models are in reasonable agreement with the ASSI measurements. This research grant also has supported the development of a new solar EUV irradiance proxy model. We expected that the magnetic flux is responsible for most of the heating, via Alfen waves, in the chromosphere, transition region, and corona. From examining time series of solar irradiance data and magnetic fields at different levels, we did indeed find that the chromospheric emissions correlate best with the large magnetic field levels.
A program plan, baseline process, measurement program and quality control plan were generated. Cutting operations were completed on the silicon sheet material. The first fabrication run of polycrystalline silicon into solar cells by baseline process was completed. Average conversion efficiency for solar cells fabricated by the baseline process from sheet and measured at air mass zero was 10.4%, compared with the control cells, fabricated from single crystal CZ silicon, whose average conversion efficiency was 12.2%.
Distributed rooftop PV systems: ubiquitous, yet commonly have unlabeled data Difficult or impossible to form a performance index We developed Solar Data Tools (SDT), an open-source Python library for analyzing PV power (and irradiance) time-series data SDT enables analysis of unlabeled PV data—no model, no meteorological data, no performance index required Takes a statistical signal processing approach Data processing steps are largely pre-defined and automatic regardless of system type—from utility tracking systems to multi-pitch rooftop systems
This project developed a user-friendly, open-source, software that enables a comparative evaluation of solar thermal desalination technology options and employs geospatial data layers to identify regions of high-potential for solar thermal desalination. This was accomplished by integrating solar models with desalination models and enhancing their utility by providing GIS-based data inputs. The developed Solar Energy Desalination Analysis Tool (SEDAT) enables techno-economical evaluation of desalination technologies and selection of regions with the highest potential for using solar energy to power desalination plants. It simplifies the planning, design, and valuation of solar thermal and solar hybrid desalination systems in the U.S. and worldwide. SEDAT uses Dash for integrating various layers of large volumes of GIS data with Python-based models of solar energy generation and desalination technologies. It derives time-series of energy generation and water production, with details of plant performance and suggestions for improving the solar-desalination coupling. It is a one of-a-kind tool of analysis representing a definitive advancement in the state-of-the-art. Of solar desalination modeling This report summarizes the various phases of the tool’s development, and presents examples of the results.
The first element of the International Space Station (ISS). Zarya, was funded by NASA and built by the Russian aerospace company Khrunichev State Research and Production Space Center (KhSC). NASA Glenn Research Center (GRC) and KhSC collaborated in performing analytical predictions of the on-orbit electrical performance of Zarya's solar arrays. GRC assessed the pointing characteristics of and shadow patterns on Zarya's solar arrays to determine the average solar energy incident on the arrays. KHSC used the incident energy results to determine Zarya's electrical power generation capability and orbit-average power balance. The power balance analysis was performed over a range of solar beta angles and vehicle operational conditions. This analysis enabled identification of problems that could impact the power balance for specific flights during ISS assembly and was also used as the primary means of verifying that Zarya complied with electrical power requirements. Analytical results are presented for select stages in the ISS assembly sequence along with a discussion of the impact of shadowing on the electrical performance of Zarya's solar arrays.
Report presents theoretical analysis of cracking in Si and GaAs solar photovoltaic cells subjected to bending or twisting. Analysis also extended to predict critical sizes for cracks in Ge substrate coated with thin film of GaAs. Analysis leads to general conclusions. Approach and results of study useful in development of guidelines for acceptance or rejection of slightly flawed cells during manufacture.
Attitude determination algorithms for a multimission spacecraft are derived and their performance analyzed. The attitude determination system is composed of a strapdown Inertial Reference Unit (IRU), two fixed head star trackers, and an onboard computer. IRU data is processed to maintain real-time knowledge of spacecraft attitude relative to an inertial reference frame. Star tracker data is processed using Kalman filtering techniques to estimate and correct the attitude determination errors and the gyro drift compensation errors. The results of a star availability analysis for stellar, solar and earth pointing missions are presented. Linear covariance analysis techniques are used to evaluate nominal attitude determination performance, the effects of sensor measurement accuracy variations, the effects of errors in knowledge of sensor measurement accuracy, and the effects of star tracker misalignment errors. Results of a nonlinear simulation analysis of attitude determination performance are also presented. These analyses show that precision attitude determination for stellar, solar and earth pointing missions is achieved.
A new cavity pyrheliometer, the active cavity radiometer type IV (ACR IV), has been developed for the measurement of total solar optical irradiance. Analysis predicts its ability to measure at the solar constant level with 0.1% uncertainty in SI units. In comparison tests ACR IVs have consistently demonstrated 0.3% higher results than the World Radiometric Reference scale. A prototype has been tested, and a flight instrument has been developed and flown in a sounding rocket experiment to determine the solar constant. ACR IV instrumentation is being developed for flight experiments on the Spacelab I and Solar Maximum missions to monitor the total solar output of optical radiation as part of a long-term program to detect variations of climatological significance.
The energetics of small solar active regions was investigated using for the analysis the photometric solar images taken from July 29 to September 6, 1984 with the San Fernando Observatory's 28-cm vacuum telescope, vacuum spectroheliograph, and dual 512 element Reticon linear diode arrays. Ten small newly formed regions were observed, whose entire sunspot evolution apparently occurred within the observed disk crossing. Seven of these showed a net energy excess of a few times 10 to the 33th ergs during this time. These results are discussed in connection with the 0.1 percent decline in solar irradiance observed by the SMM/ACRIM and Nimbus 7/ERB radiometers between 1980 and 1986.
We present SERIS’ biPoly™ technology platform on large-area (M2), n-type rear-junction silicon solar cells featuring selective poly-Si/SiOx based passivated contacts on the front side and full-area poly-Si/SiOx contacts on the rear. The selective poly-Si ‘fingers’ are formed using an industrial ink-jet masking process followed by wet-chemical etching. The metal contacts are formed by an industrial screen-printing process using high-temperature fire-though metal pastes. We obtain excellent passivation on the front and rear surfaces, resulting in iVoc values between 720 mV and 730 mV on unmetallized solar cells. After high-temperature metallization, we achieve 22% efficiency on solar cells with selective poly-Si fingers on the front. We further develop the model for biPoly™ solar cells and with the help of a detailed loss analysis and simulations, identify the various loss components to identify the device modifications required for efficiency improvements.
Analysis of multistep diffused, high voltage 0.1 ohm-cm solar cells suggests that the increased voltage capability of these cells is correlated with localized variations in the base minority carrier mobility. An attempt to calculate the behavior of those cells revealed unexpected results. It is shown, contrary to what was expected, that spatial variations in the mobility effects severe changes in the short-circuit current and the spectral response. Variations in cell output as a result of imposing abrupt, linear, and exponential mobility variations are presented.
The technical and economic feasibility of Satellite Solar Power Systems was studied with emphasis on the analysis and definition of an integrated strawman configuration concept, from which credible cost data could be estimated. Specifically, system concepts for each of the major subprogram areas were formulated, analyzed, and iterated to the degree necessary for establishing an overall, workable baseline system design. Cost data were estimated for the baseline and used to conduct economic analyses. The baseline concept selected was a 5-GW crystal silicon truss-type photovoltaic configuration, which represented the most mature concept available. The overall results and major findings, and the results of technical analyses performed during the final phase of the study efforts are reported.
Outline: Overview of FOXSI-2 (Focusing Optics X-ray Solar Imager) coordinated microflare observations with Hinode/XRT (X-Ray Telescope) and SDO/AIA (Solar Dynamics Observatory/Atmospheric Imaging Assembly); Temperature response functions for FOXSI-2, XRT and AIA; Combined Differential Emission Measure (DEM) analysis - to determine the amount of plasma in the line of sight that emits the radiation as a function of temperature; Thermal energy released during the microflares; Summary.
A two-step solar thermochemical cycle was considered for air separation to produce N2 based on (Ba,La) x Sr 1-x FeO 3-δ perovskite reduction/oxidation (redox) reactions for A-site fractions of 0 ≤ x ≤ 0.2. The cycle steps encompassed (1) thermal reduction and O 2 release via concentrated solar input and (2) re-oxidation with air to uptake O 2 and produce high-purity N 2 . Thermogravimetry at temperatures between 400 and 1100 °C in atmospheres of 0.005 to 90% O 2 /Ar at 1 bar was performed to measure equilibrium nonstoichiometries. The compound energy formalism was applied to model redox thermodynamics for both Ba 2+ and La 3+ substitution. Non-linear regression was used to determine the empirical parameters based on the thermogravimetric measurements. The model was used to define partial molar reaction enthalpies and entropies and predicted equilibrium oxygen nonstoichiometry as functions of oxide stoichiometry, site fraction, temperature, and O 2 partial pressure. The thermodynamic analysis showed the materials are appealing for air separation at temperatures below 800 °C.
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Analysis of data on solar cosmic ray events, collected from high-altitude balloon flights and injun i satellite observations