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At least 829 records · Page 46

An Improved Method of Background Extrapolation for Radiation Outgassing Study

This report describes an improved background extrapolation method used in our multi-year material-2 radiation outgassing experiments. Figure 1 shows a typical raw test data and the data analysis to acquire the net radiation effect on material outgassing. It includes three major parts.1) Acquire the thermal outgassing background of test sample for 200 days, 2) Start radiation exposure and acquire the radiation outgassing along with the thermal background, 3) Conduct a thermal background extrapolation assessment and remove the thermal background for the net radiation effect.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Physical resurgent extrapolation

Expansions of physical functions are controlled by their singularities, which have special structure because they themselves are physical, corresponding to instantons, caustics or saddle configurations. Resurgent asymptotics formalizes this idea mathematically, and leads to significantly more powerful extrapolation methods to extract physical information from a finite number of terms of an expansion, including precise decoding of non-perturbative effects. We quantify the gain of precision for various extrapolation procedures, showing that significant improvements can be achieved using exactly the same input data, and we illustrate the general method with examples from quantum mechanics and quantum field theory.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Rate Coefficients for OH + NO (+N 2 ) in the Fall-off Regime and the Impact of Water Vapor

The termolecular, association reaction between OH and NO is a source of nitrous acid (HONO), an important atmospheric trace gas. Rate coefficients for the title reaction as recommended by evaluation panels differ substantially at the temperatures and pressures that prevail in the Earth’s boundary layer where the reaction is in the fall-off regime between low- and high-pressure limiting rate coefficients. Using pulsed laser methods for generation and detection of OH, we have reinvestigated the kinetics of the title reaction at pressures of 22–743 Torr (1 Torr = 1.333 hPa) and temperatures (273, 298, and 333 K) in pure N 2 and in N 2 –H 2 O bath gases. In situ optical absorption measurements were used to rule out any bias due to NO 2 or HONO impurities. Our rate coefficients (k 1 ) in N 2 bath gas are parametrized in terms of low-pressure (k o ) and high-pressure (k ∞ ) rate coefficients and a fall-off parameter (F C ) with k 1,0 N 2 = 7.24 × 10 –31 (T/300 K) –2.17 cm 6 molecule –2 s –1 , k 1,∞ = 3.3 × 10 –12 (T/300 K) –3 cm 3 molecule –1 s –1 , and F C = 0.53. Used with the “Troe” expression for termolecular reactions, these parameters accurately reproduce the current data in the fall-off regime and also capture literature rate coefficients at extrapolated temperatures. The presence of water vapor was found to enhance the rate coefficients of the title reaction significantly. The low-pressure limiting rate coefficient in H 2 O bath gas is a factor 5–6 larger than in N 2 , at room temperature (k 1,o H 2 O = 4.55 × 10 –30 (T/300 K) –4.85 cm 6 molecule –2 s –1 ) indicating that H 2 O is much more efficient in quenching the association complex HONO* through collisional energy transfer. Based on measurements in N 2 –H 2 O mixtures, a parametrization of k 1 including both N 2 and H 2 O as third-body quenchers was derived. Neglecting the effect of H 2 O results, e.g., in an underestimation of k 1 by >10% in the tropical boundary layer.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Montane forest productivity across a semiarid climatic gradient

Abstract High‐elevation montane forests are disproportionately important to carbon sequestration in semiarid climates where low elevations are dry and characterized by low carbon density ecosystems. However, these ecosystems are increasingly threatened by climate change with seasonal implications for photosynthesis and forest growth. As a result, we leveraged eddy covariance data from six evergreen conifer forest sites in the semiarid western United States to extrapolate the status of carbon sequestration within a framework of projected warming and drying. At colder locations, the seasonal evolution of gross primary productivity (GPP) was characterized by a single broad maximum during the summer that corresponded to snow melt‐derived moisture and a transition from winter dormancy to spring activity. Conversely, winter dormancy was transient at warmer locations, and GPP was responsive to both winter and summer precipitation such that two distinct GPP maxima were separated by a period of foresummer drought. This resulted in a predictable sequence of primary limiting factors to GPP beginning with air temperature in winter and proceeding to moisture and leaf area during the summer. Due to counteracting winter (positive) and summer (negative) GPP responses to warming, leaf area index and moisture availability were the best predictors of annual GPP differences across sites. Overall, mean annual GPP was greatest at the warmest site due to persistent vegetation photosynthetic activity throughout the winter. These results indicate that the trajectory of this region's carbon sequestration will be sensitive to reduced or delayed summer precipitation, especially if coupled to snow drought and earlier soil moisture recession, but summer precipitation changes remain highly uncertain. Given the demonstrated potential for seasonally offsetting responses to warming, we project that decadal semiarid montane forest carbon sequestration will remain relatively stable in the absence of severe disturbance.

Knowles, John F.↗

Machine-Learning Assisted Identification of Accurate Battery Lifetime Models with Uncertainty

Reduced-order battery lifetime models, which consist of algebraic expressions for various aging modes, are widely utilized for extrapolating degradation trends from accelerated aging tests to real-world aging scenarios. Identifying models with high accuracy and low uncertainty is crucial for ensuring that model extrapolations are believable, however, it is difficult to compose expressions that accurately predict multivariate data trends; a review of cycling degradation models from literature reveals a wide variety of functional relationships. Here, a machine-learning assisted model identification method is utilized to fit degradation in a stand-out LFP-Gr aging data set, with uncertainty quantified by bootstrap resampling. The model identified in this work results in approximately half the mean absolute error of a human expert model. Models are validated by converting to a state-equation form and comparing predictions against cells aging under varying loads. Parameter uncertainty is carried forward into an energy storage system simulation to estimate the impact of aging model uncertainty on system lifetime. The new model identification method used here reduces life-prediction uncertainty by more than a factor of three (86% ± 5% relative capacity at 10 years for human-expert model, 88.5% ± 1.5% for machine-learning assisted model), empowering more confident estimates of energy storage system lifetime.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

UK-5 Van Allen belt radiation exposure: A special study to determine the trapped particle intensities on the UK-5 satellite with spatial mapping of the ambient flux environment

Vehicle encountered electron and proton fluxes were calculated for a set of nominal UK-5 trajectories with new computational methods and new electron environment models. Temporal variations in the electron data were considered and partially accounted for. Field strength calculations were performed with an extrapolated model on the basis of linear secular variation predictions. Tabular maps for selected electron and proton energies were constructed as functions of latitude and longitude for specified altitudes. Orbital flux integration results are presented in graphical and tabular form; they are analyzed, explained, and discussed.

Stassinopoulos, E. G.↗

Crab Nebula observations - 0.2-10 MeV

Observations of the total emission from the Crab Nebula and also of the pulsed component were made over the 0.2 to 10-MeV range during three balloon flights in 1971 with an actively-collimated NaI scintillator. The total emission flux was positively observed over the entire interval. The observed spectrum to 1 MeV agrees with an extrapolation of the E to the -2.2 power law, which fits lower-energy data. The observations above 1 MeV are factors of 3 and 20 above this law and are better fit with a spectral index of 0.8. Confidence levels are 3 sigma or better for each half-decade band. The three observations are consistent with a constant flux level. The NP 0532 flux, detected during one flight only (August 8) between 0.2 and 0.38 MeV, agrees with the exponential power law spectrum already determined from other observations. The possibility of a rapidly rising pulsed emission fraction over the 0.1- to 1-MeV interval is excluded by this observation.

Gruber, D. E.↗

Condensate phenomena in the polar regions of Mars

Models used to study the changes in Martian climate must of necessity adequately describe the current volatile cycles. The focus is on mathematical modeling of current volatile cycles and modest extrapolation to past regimes. Water cycle, dust storms, polar variabilty, and north polar clouds data were compared to the model predictions.

James, Philip B.↗

Radiation modeling with direct simulation Monte Carlo

Improvements in the modeling of radiation in low density shock waves with direct simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC) are the subject of this study. A new scheme to determine the relaxation collision numbers for excitation of electronic states is proposed. This scheme attempts to move the DSMC programs toward a more detailed modeling of the physics and more reliance on available experimental data. The new method is compared with the current modeling technique and both techniques are compared with available data. The differences in the results are evaluated. The test case is based on an AVCO-Everett shock tube experiment, a 10-km/s standing shock wave in air at 0.1 Torr. The new method agrees with the available data as well as the results from the earlier scheme and is more easily extrapolated to different flow conditions.

Carlson, Ann B.↗

Investigation of the bandwidth of multimode optical fibers used with 1550-nm LED and laser sources

Multimode optical fibers are not intended to be used with 1550-nm sources; however, it is desirable to utilize 1300/1550-nm wavelength division multiplexing (WDM) on some multimode fibers at Kennedy Space Center (KSC). No information from fiber vendors nor from the literature is available to support this use. Preliminary studies at KSC have suggested that these fibers might be usable at 1550-nm if the fibers possessed enough bandwidth when sourced by LEDs. Detailed bandwidth studies were made on 12 multimode fibers using 1300- and 1550-nm lasers and LEDs. The results showed that the modal bandwidth at 1550-nm was about 50 percent of the 1300-nm value and that the chromatic dispersion could be predicted by extrapolating the vendor's specifications for wavelengths outside the 1550-nm region. Utilizing these data, predictions of the fiber's optical bandwidth were accurately made. Problems with launch conditions and possible differential attenuation at connectors was noted at 1300-nm but was less significant at 1550-nm. It appears that the multimode fibers studied will offer adequate performance in the 1550-nm region for a number of current KSC needs. Studies of additional fibers are encouraged to gain more confidence and better understanding of the 1550-nm bandwidth of KSC's multimode optical fibers before committing to 1300/1550-nm WDM.

White, Preston A., III↗

Radiation Modeling with Direct Simulation Monte Carlo

Improvements in the modeling of radiation in low density shock waves with direct simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC) are the subject of this study. A new scheme to determine the relaxation collision numbers for excitation of electronic states is proposed. This scheme attempts to move the DSMC programs toward a more detailed modeling of the physics and more reliance on available rate data. The new method is compared with the current modeling technique and both techniques are compared with available experimental data. The differences in the results are evaluated. The test case is based on experimental measurements from the AVCO-Everett Research Laboratory electric arc-driven shock tube of a normal shock wave in air at 10 km/s and .1 Torr. The new method agrees with the available data as well as the results from the earlier scheme and is more easily extrapolated to di erent ow conditions.

Carlson, Ann B.↗

(abstract) Atmospheric Transmission Model Through Autonomous Visibility Measurement

Performance of deep space optical communications is impacted by atmospheric outages. By monitoring known stellar objects with calibrated telescopes, atmospheric attenuation statistics can be recorded. This paper describes a program to develop an atmospheric transmission model for optical communications by making automous visibility measurements of known stellar objects from three locations in the southwestern US. The data will be correlated and infused with weather data to establish the atmospheric transmission model. This model will be sent in link margin analysis for optical communications channels. The statistics will be updated on a quarterly basis and calibrated using data taken over a long period of time. This calibration is expected to allow extrapolation to other ground-based locations through use of global weather databases.

attenuation model↗

Allowable Trajectory Variations for Space Shuttle Orbiter Entry-Aeroheating CFD

Reynolds-number criteria are developed for acceptable variations in Space Shuttle Orbiter entry trajectories for use in computational aeroheating analyses. The criteria determine if an existing computational fluid dynamics solution for a particular trajectory can be extrapolated to a different trajectory. The criteria development considers twelve types of computational aeroheating data, such as boundary layer thickness. For each type of datum, the allowable uncertainty contribution due to trajectory variation has been set by the Entry Aeroheating Subsystem team. Then Reynolds-number relations between trajectory variation and output uncertainty are determined. From these relations the criteria are established for the maximum allowable trajectory variations. The most restrictive criterion allows a 25% variation in Reynolds number at constant Mach number between trajectories.

Wood, William A.↗

A 20 Year Lifecycle Study for Launch Facilities at the Kennedy Space Center

The lifecycle cost analysis was based on corrosion costs for the Kennedy Space Center's Launch Complexes and Mobile Launch Platforms. The first step in the study involved identifying the relevant assets that would be included. Secondly, the identification and collection of the corrosion control cost data for the selected assets was completed. Corrosion control costs were separated into four categories. The sources of cost included the NASA labor for civil servant personnel directly involved in overseeing and managing corrosion control of the assets, United Space Alliance (USA) contractual requirements for performing planned corrosion control tasks, USA performance of unplanned corrosion control tasks, and Testing and Development. Corrosion control operations performed under USA contractual requirements were the most significant contributors to the total cost of corrosion. The operations include the inspection of the pad, routine maintenance of the pad, medium and large scale blasting and repainting activities, and the repair and replacement of structural metal elements. Cost data was collected from the years between 2001 and 2007. These costs were then extrapolated to future years to calculate the 20 year lifecycle costs.

Kolody, Mark R.↗

Motion Sickness and Concerns for Urban Air Mobility Vehicles: A Literature Review

Motion sickness is a general term for a constellation of signs and symptoms, generally due to exposure to abrupt, periodic, or unnatural accelerations, especially when traveling in a vehicle. Motion sickness results from a mismatch of the visual and nonvisual (vestibular and kinesthetic) information, the observed scene and the motion felt or lack of it. Motion sickness onset is associated with a pattern of physiological changes in heart rate, peripheral blood flow, respiration, and skin conductance and the pattern is repeatable for a particular subject but variable between subjects. Demographic factors such as gender and age that affect motion sickness are well known with children, women, and older adults more likely to be susceptible. Often motion sickness is assessed and quantified using variations of the motion sickness susceptibility questionnaires including the Pensacola Diagnostic Rating Scale and the Simulator Sickness Questionnaire. Even though symptoms are easily identified by such questionnaires, they commonly are subjective. Tools such as these questionnaires for screening individuals susceptible to motion sickness are useful, however, they are only mildly predictive. Moreover, models for predicting motion sickness, which have largely been developed for sea sickness, do not consider task characteristics. Predictions of motion sickness rates and prevalence for Urban Air Mobility (UAM) vehicles are not possible at present because data from actual flight or full-fidelity simulation are simply not yet available. Extrapolation from other modes of transportation (i.e., automobiles, buses, trains, boats, other types of aircraft) is difficult because of differences in the motion stimulus experienced, trip duration, and other factors. How UAM vehicles will change the social dynamics of passenger interaction and vehicle interior design changes (e.g., seat orientations) is unknown. Should motion sickness prove to be an issue, vehicle design modifications such as having passengers face forward, providing additional seat recline, giving each person their own climate control for airflow, perhaps ensuring the horizon is visible to all passengers (reducing visual occlusion by the headrest) and visually stabilizing displays on carry-on devices (smart phones, tablets, etc.) may benefit passengers. Several commercial companies provide wearable devices for physiological monitoring that have been validated and are suitable for use with passengers in UAM vehicles or high-fidelity simulators. Potential countermeasures for motion sickness include user-worn devices, anti-motion sickness medications, and non-pharmacological approaches such as biofeedback and Autogenic Feedback Training Exercise. Both simulator and in-vehicle UAM research is needed to evaluate the effectiveness of any potential countermeasure.

motion sickness↗

Using Secondary Craters to Assess Strength Differences Between Neighboring Surface Units

An issue with Martian remote sensing studies is the difficulty inferring surface and crustal material properties. For direct information we rely on the instruments of landed missions, like InSight, and extrapolate to other locations. To apply that extrapolation, we would like to use a methodology that can benefit from remote sensing data. We are exploring using secondary craters, which are often thought of as nuisances when determining accurate ages, to calculate crustal properties. The upside of secondary craters is that they are from ejecta blocks moving at relatively lower speeds, this lets them reside in a different crater scaling regime [1], one that is more sensitive to the crust’s effective strength (Yeff) and porosity/internal friction (through the μ and KD terms [A]).

Mars↗

A comparison of several methods of estimating the columnar electron content of the plasmasphere

Data from several different observation techniques are used to estimate the columnar electron content of the plasmasphere. The estimate is based upon the subtraction of the ionospheric electron content from the total content along the radio path from ground to the geostationary satellite ATS-6. The Radio Beacon Experiment on this satellite allows a very accurate determination of the total electron content up to the height of the satellite. For the ionospheric electron content (ground to appr. 2000 km) the following techniques are used: (1) Faraday effect on the ATS-6 signals, (2) differential Doppler effect on the signals of the low-orbiting NNSS satellites, (3) combination of bottomside and topside ionograms, and (4) extrapolation of bottomside ionograms. It is shown that the combination of group delay and Faraday effect data on the ATS-6 RBE signals provide the most reliable estimates of the columnar electron content of the plasmasphere. Data from low-orbiting satellites support this conclusion.

Davies, K.↗