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At least 811 records · Page 45

Long-Term Effects of Humidity on Stainless Steel Pitting in Sea Salt Exposures

Ground 304 stainless steel (SS) samples were exposed to sea salt particles at 35 °C and two relative humidity (RH) levels for durations ranging from 1 week to 2 years. For all exposure times, pit number density and total pit volume at 40% RH were observed to be considerably greater than those at 76% RH. Statistical analysis of distributions of pit populations for both RH conditions showed that pit number density and total pit volume increased rapidly at first but slowed as exposure time increased. Cross-hatched features were observed in the 40% RH pits while ellipsoidal, faceted pits were observed at 76% RH. Optical profilometry indicated that most pits were not hemispherical. X-ray tomography provided evidence of undercutting and fissures. Piecewise curve fitting modeled the 40% RH data closely, predicting that corrosion damage would eventually plateau. However, a similar treatment of the 76% RH data suggested that corrosion damage would continuously increase, which implied that the piecewise power-law fit was limited in its ability to model atmospheric corrosion generally. Based on these observations, the operative mechanisms determining long-term corrosion behavior were hypothesized to be different depending on the RH of exposure.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Probabilistic Multi-Hazard Performance Assessment of Concrete Structures in Nuclear Installations

Concrete structures in nuclear installations are subject to time-dependent degradation mechanisms that can deteriorate their physical and mechanical properties, potentially exacerbating the risk of structural failure under external forces such as a seismic event. Previous research has extensively investigated the seismic response of nuclear concrete structures and the associated risk, as well as their effect on structural components safety margins. However, substantial work is still necessary to incorporate concrete aging effects into such evaluations. In fact, most models in the literature assume pristine concrete conditions and do not account for the impact of aging on the structural components’ fragility curves. This work identifies relevant time-dependent degradation mechanisms and provides simplified models to predict the the evolution of key material properties based on data from the literature. Namely, this work focuses on the aging effects of corrosion, alkali–silica reaction (ASR), and irradiation on reinforced concrete within US Department of Energy (DOE) nuclear facilities and nuclear power plants (NPP) structures. Furthermore, degradation models based on literature data are presented that define the relationship between probabilistic material properties and the concrete’s age. In this work, sampled material properties served as input for a simplified finite element model (FEM) of a critical nuclear structural system, with the output of the FEM being the seismic response for a given ground motion. The results of the FEM were then used within a probabilistic performance assessment with a statistically significant number of samples. The research presented herein addresses the detrimental effects of hazards caused by natural phenomena on deteriorated concrete elements of nuclear installations. This work directly benefits the safety analysis performed on US DOE/ National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA) nuclear facilities located in areas prone to seismic activity. The results presented herein could aid in the improvement of DOE-STD-1020, the DOE Standard that addresses seismic risk analysis and capacity evaluation in DOE facilities. DOE-STD-1020 refers to the requirements in American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE) 4-98, now superseded by ASCE 4-16, that shall be met in performing dynamic response analyses and generating in-structure response spectra, provided that such requirements are consistent with the requirements of ASCE/Structural Engineering Institute (SEI) 43-05. Moreover, the results presented herein could also aid in the updating of section C3.1.1. of ASCE 4-16 to account for the effects of aging on the stiffness of reinforced elements and American Concrete Institute (ACI) 349.3R-18, “Report on Evaluation and Repair of Existing Nuclear Safety-Related Concrete Structures.” Ultimately, this work can assist the risk assessment of potential lifetime extension of the existing US commercial nuclear fleet (light water reactors) and the safety analysis of the emerging advanced nuclear reactors. The proposed proof-of-concept methodology employs open-source DOE computational tools and is transferable to commercial software commonly used by engineering firms.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Stochastic modeling and statistical calibration with model error and scarce data

This paper introduces a procedure to assess the predictive accuracy of stochastic models subject to model error and sparse data. Model error is introduced as uncertainty on the coefficients of appropriate polynomial chaos expansions (PCE). The error associated with finite sample size allows us to conceive of these coefficients as statistics of the data that we describe as random variables whose influence on output quantities of interest is evaluated through the extended polynomial chaos expansion (EPCE). A Bayesian data assimilation scheme is introduced to update these expansions by considering the resulting nested chaos expansion as a hierarchical probabilistic model. Stochastic models of quantities of interest (QoI) are thus constructed and efficiently evaluated. Here, the Metropolis–Hastings Markov chain Monte Carlo procedure is used to sample the posterior. Two illustrative analytical and numerical problems are used to demonstrate the proposed approach.

Bayesian inference↗

Classification and computation of extreme events in turbulent combustion

In the design of practical combustion systems, ensuring safety and reliability is an important requirement. For instance, reliably avoiding lean blowout, flame flashback or inlet unstart is critical for ensuring safe operation. Currently, the science of predicting such events is based on prior experience, limited modeling or diagnostic tools and purely statistical approaches. Even though computational and experimental tools for studying combustion devices have vastly advanced in the last three decades, the analysis of such failure events has not been pursued widely. While the use of data for model development and calibration is being widely accepted, the extension to failure events introduces numerous challenges. In particular, the focus here is on so-called data-poor problems, where the cost of generating data is extremely high and is not easily amenable to existing computational and experimental approaches. Data-poor problems are particularly relevant when related to extreme events (also called anomalous events) that can lead to catastrophic failure of the system. It is argued that transient events that describe such failure can have different causal mechanisms. To develop the scientific inference process, a classification of such problems is used to determine specific modeling paths as well as computational tools needed. Research opportunities in the emerging field of extreme event prediction are highlighted in order to identify critical and immediate needs.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Genetic programming for interpretable, data-driven continuum damage models.

The damage mechanisms that lead to failure in engineering alloys have been studied extensively, but converting this knowledge into constitutive models that are suitable for engineering-scale analysis remains a challenge. Evolution laws for continuum damage have been developed in the past and have proven effective but suffer from many non-physical assumptions that inhibit the overall accuracy of the model. Further, the assumptions inherent in these existing models prevent them from being applicable to a broad class of materials. At the same time, computational models of fine-scale damage mechanisms continue to advance making it tractable to generate large training data sets through computer simulation. Data-driven machine learning approaches can leverage these data sets to avoid making limiting assumptions, and instead produce models directly from the results of microstructural simulations and/or experiments. Many of these machine learning approaches are rapid and accurate, but they offer little to no insight into the underlying relationships among state variables being discovered. Conversely, genetic programming symbolic regression (GPSR) is a machine learning method that produces analytic expressions relating the state variables, allowing maximal insight and interpretability. To that end, we propose using GPSR as a data-driven method of obtaining microstructurally informed continuum damage models. Data is generated using microstructural simulations of damage evolution, parameterized over microstructural statistics (i.e., pore shape) and nominally applied deformations. Analytic expressions for damage evolution are obtained from the data using GPSR, and these expressions are then utilized within a continuum constitutive model. Overall, this approach is a promising method of automatically obtaining analytic relations describing constitutive phenomena in a material.

Buche, Michael Robert↗

Mass Transport Limitations and Kinetic Consequences of Corn Stover Deacetylation

Alkaline pretreatment of herbaceous feedstocks such as corn stover prior to mechanical refining and enzymatic saccharification improves downstream sugar yields by removing acetyl moieties from hemicellulose. However, the relationship between transport phenomena and deacetylation kinetics is virtually unknown for such feedstocks and this pretreatment process. Here, we report the development of an experimentally validated reaction–diffusion model for the deacetylation of corn stover. A tissue-specific transport model is used to estimate transport-independent kinetic rate constants for the reactive extraction of acetate, hemicellulose and lignin from corn stover under representative alkaline conditions (5–7 g L -1 NaOH, 10 wt% solids loadings) and at low to mild temperatures (4–70°C) selected to attenuate individual component extraction rates under differential kinetic regimes. The underlying transport model is based on microstructural characteristics of corn stover derived from statistically meaningful geometric particle and pore measurements. These physical descriptors are incorporated into distinct particle models of the three major anatomical fractions (cobs, husks and stalks) alongside an unsorted, aggregate corn stover particle, capturing average Feret lengths of 917–1239 μm and length-to-width aspect ratios of 1.8–2.9 for this highly heterogeneous feedstock. Individual reaction–diffusion models and their resulting particle model ensembles are used to validate and predict anatomically-specific and bulk feedstock performance under kinetic-controlled vs. diffusion-controlled regimes. In general, deacetylation kinetics and mass transfer processes are predicted to compete on similar time and length scales, emphasizing the significance of intraparticle transport phenomena. Critically, we predict that typical corn stover particles as small as ~2.3 mm in length are entirely diffusion-limited for acetate extraction, with experimental effectiveness factors calculated to be 0.50 for such processes. Debilitatingly low effectiveness factors of 0.021–0.054 are uncovered for cobs—implying that intraparticle mass transfer resistances may impair observable kinetic measurements of this anatomical fraction by up to 98%. These first-reported quantitative maps of reaction vs. diffusion control link fundamental insights into corn stover anatomy, biopolymer composition, practical size reduction thresholds and their kinetic consequences. These results offer a guidepost for industrial deacetylation reactor design, scale-up and feedstock selection, further establishing deacetylation as a viable biorefinery pretreatment for the conversion of lignocellulosics into value-added fuels and chemicals.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Designing Quaternary and Quinary Refractory-Based High-Entropy Alloys: Statistical Analysis of Their Lattice Distortion, Mechanical, and Thermal Properties

The rapid evolution in materials science has resulted in a significant interest in high-entropy alloys (HEAs) for their unique properties. This study focuses on understanding both quaternary and quinary body-centered cubic (BCC) of 12 refractory-based HEAs, and on analysis of their electronic structures, lattice distortions, mechanical, and thermal properties. A comprehensive assessment is undertaken by means of density functional theory (DFT)-based first principles calculations. It is well known that multiple constituents lead to notable lattice distortions, especially in quinary HEAs. This distortion, in turn, has significant implications on the electronic structure that ultimately affect mechanical and thermal behaviors of these alloys such as ductility, lattice thermal conductivity, and toughness. Our in-depth analysis of their electronic structures revealed the role of valence electron concentration and its correlation with bond order and mechanical properties. Local lattice distortion (LD) was investigated for these 12 HEA models. M1 (WTiVZrHf), M7 (TiZrHfW), and M12 (TiZrHfVNb) have the highest LD whereas the models M3 (MoTaTiV), M5 (WTaCrV), M6 (MoNbTaW), and M9 (NbTaTiV) have the less LD. Furthermore, we investigated the thermal properties focusing on Debye temperature (ΘD), thermal conductivity (κ), Grüneisen parameter (γα), and dominant phonon wavelength (λdom). The NbTaTiV(M9) and TiVNbHf(M10) models have significantly reduced lattice thermal conductivities (κL). This reduction is due to the mass increase and strain fluctuations, which in turn signify lattice distortion. The findings not only provide an understanding of these promising materials but also offer guidance for the design of next-generation HEAs with properties tailored for potential specific applications.

Materials Science↗

Exploration Clinical Decision Support System: Medical Data Architecture

The Exploration Clinical Decision Support (ECDS) System project is intended to enhance the Exploration Medical Capability (ExMC) Element for extended duration, deep-space mission planning in HRP. A major development guideline is the Risk of "Adverse Health Outcomes & Decrements in Performance due to Limitations of In-flight Medical Conditions". ECDS attempts to mitigate that Risk by providing crew-specific health information, actionable insight, crew guidance and advice based on computational algorithmic analysis. The availability of inflight health diagnostic computational methods has been identified as an essential capability for human exploration missions. Inflight electronic health data sources are often heterogeneous, and thus may be isolated or not examined as an aggregate whole. The ECDS System objective provides both a data architecture that collects and manages disparate health data, and an active knowledge system that analyzes health evidence to deliver case-specific advice. A single, cohesive space-ready decision support capability that considers all exploration clinical measurements is not commercially available at present. Hence, this Task is a newly coordinated development effort by which ECDS and its supporting data infrastructure will demonstrate the feasibility of intelligent data mining and predictive modeling as a biomedical diagnostic support mechanism on manned exploration missions. The initial step towards ground and flight demonstrations has been the research and development of both image and clinical text-based computer-aided patient diagnosis. Human anatomical images displaying abnormal/pathological features have been annotated using controlled terminology templates, marked-up, and then stored in compliance with the AIM standard. These images have been filtered and disease characterized based on machine learning of semantic and quantitative feature vectors. The next phase will evaluate disease treatment response via quantitative linear dimension biomarkers that enable image content-based retrieval and criteria assessment. In addition, a data mining engine (DME) is applied to cross-sectional adult surveys for predicting occurrence of renal calculi, ranked by statistical significance of demographics and specific food ingestion. In addition to this precursor space flight algorithm training, the DME will utilize a feature-engineering capability for unstructured clinical text classification health discovery. The ECDS backbone is a proposed multi-tier modular architecture providing data messaging protocols, storage, management and real-time patient data access. Technology demonstrations and success metrics will be finalized in FY16.

Biomedical support↗

Determining Exact RANS Operators with the Macroscopic Forcing Method (Final Report)

This report contains a compilation of key results and findings from the ACT project “Determining Exact RANS Operators with the Macroscopic Forcing Method.” The Macroscopic Forcing Method (MFM), a numerical tool for determining closure operators, is used to measure eddy diffusivity moments in Rayleigh-Taylor (RT) instability. It is first applied to low-Atwood 2D RT instability; that work is then extended to 3D RT at different finite Atwood numbers. It is found that nonlocality is important for modeling the mean scalar transport closure operator in RT mixing. Additionally, work is done to improve the statistical convergence of MFM for chaotic problems like RT mixing.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

ARETE: Accurate Error Assessment via Machine Learning-Guided Dynamic-Timing Analysis

Nanometer circuits are increasingly prone to timing errors, escalating the need for fault injection frameworks to accurately evaluate their impact on applications. Here in this paper, we propose ARETE, a novel cross-layer, fault-injection framework that combines dynamic-binary instrumentation with machine learning-guided dynamic-timing analysis. ARETE enables accurate fault-injection into any application by estimating the location of the injecting errors via dynamic-timing analysis. To accelerate fault-injection, we develop a novel, data-aware, machine learning-based mechanism that dynamically pre-selects the error-prone instructions and limits the application of the costly dynamic-timing analysis only to them. To evaluate ARETE's accuracy, our fully automated toolflow is configured to support fault-injection based on detailed post-layout gate-level simulations as well as via existing workload-agnostic error models. Our results for various workloads, including an autonomous-driving library, show that the location and time of injected errors performed by ARETE, is 89.9% consistent with fault-injection based on full gate-level simulation. On average, ARETE executes 84.6x faster than gate-level simulation and at a cost of 3.4% loss in the program output quality estimation. When compared to the existing statistical fault-injection tools that are based on workload-agnostic error models, ARETE improves the accuracy of fault-injection rate and output quality estimation by 143.9% and 40.4% on average, respectively.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

A static model of chromospheric heating in solar flares

The response of the solar chromosphere to flare processes, namely nonthermal electrons, thermal conduction, and coronal pressure, is modeled. Finite difference methods employing linearization and iteration are used in obtaining simultaneous solutions to the equations of steady-state energy balance, hydrostatic equilibrium, radiative transfer, and atomic statistical equilibrium. The atmospheric response is assumed to be confined to one dimension by a strong vertical magnetic field. A solution is obtained to the radiative transfer equation for the most important optically thick transitions of hydrogen, magnesium, and calcium. The theoretical atmospheres discussed here are seen as elucidating the role of various physical processes in establishing the structure of flare chromospheres. At low coronal pressures, conduction is found to be more important than nonthermal electrons in establishing the position of the transition region. Only thermal conduction can adequately account for the chromospheric evaporation in compact flares. Of the mechanisms considered, only nonthermal electrons bring about significant heating below the flare transition region.

Ricchiazzi, P. J.↗

Comparison of low-latitude ion and neutral zonal drifts using DE 2 data

We have used data from the ion drift meter and the wind and temperature spectrometer on the DE 2 spacecraft to make statistical comparisons of the zonal ion and neutral drifts at dip latitudes (DLAT) in the +/- 35 deg range over all local times. Fourier analysis indicates that the superrotation and the diurnal components of both flows are strongly peaked at the dip equator, with the superrotation term becoming negative for the absolute value DLAT greater than or equal 20 deg. One interesting feature is the presence of a period (2200-0500 solar local time) in the 300-400 km altitude region near the dip equator where the ion drift is more strongly eastward than the neutral flow. This would seem to indicate the presence of an electric field source of greater strength than the F region dynamo elsewhere along the geomagnetic field line. Model calculations indicate that a possible mechanism for this source lies in the vertical shear in the zonal neutral wind in the 100-200 km altitude region.

Coley, W. R.↗

Investigating the Molecular Response in Irradiated Yeast in Support of the BioSentinel CubeSat Mission

The BioSentinel CubeSat mission is NASA’s first deep space bioscience mission scheduled to fly as a secondary payload onboard Artemis I. BioSentinel seeks to understand the impacts of deep space radiation on living organisms using the model organism Saccharomyces cerevisiae, or budding yeast. In recent years, the BioSentinel team has conducted ground-based investigations into the effects of ionizing radiation (IR) on budding yeast to better understand spaceflight data. One investigation focuses on the impacts of radiation on budding yeast metabolics using the redox dye alamarBlue, an indicator that will also be used onboard BioSentinel. In this investigation, we have observed metabolic changes in both wild-type and in mutant yeast cells deficient in DNA repair. The focus of our research is to support the ongoing investigation into the molecular mechanisms that explain these observed changes. To do this, we first conducted preliminary research into the metabolic processes of S. cerevisiae to identify any potential vulnerabilities to radiation. We then conducted a statistical kinetic analysis on past experimental metabolic data, in addition to an analysis of data from a multisensor metabolic rig experiment. Ultimately, we identified numerous redox-related changes with increasing doses of radiation in both wild-type and mutant cells. These findings highlight the mitochondrial Electron Transport Chain (ETC) as a potential candidate process to account for these observed changes. Specifically, we are focused on the electron carriers of the ETC, including NADH and FADH2, given their participation in numerous redox mechanisms. We propose future experiments, including NADH assays, an investigation into the glycerol-3-phosphate shuttle, and investigations into other ETC complexes.

BioSentinel↗

Elucidating size effects on the yield strength of single-crystal Cu via the Richtmyer–Meshkov instability

Capturing the dynamic response of a material under high strain-rate deformation often demands challenging and time consuming experimental effort. While shock hydrodynamic simulation methods can aid in this area, a priori characterizations of the material strength under shock loading and spall failure are needed in order to parameterize constitutive models needed for these computational tools. Moreover, parameterizations of strain-rate-dependent strength models are needed to capture the full suite of Richtmyer–Meshkov instability (RMI) behavior of shock compressed metals, creating an unrealistic demand for these training data solely on experiments. Herein, we sweep a large range of geometric, crystallographic, and shock conditions within molecular dynamics (MD) simulations and demonstrate the breadth of RMI in Cu that can be captured from the atomic scale. In this work, yield strength measurements from jetted and arrested material from a sinusoidal surface perturbation were quantified as Y RMI = 0.787 ± 0.374 GPa, higher than strain-rate-independent models used in experimentally matched hydrodynamic simulations. Defect-free, single-crystal Cu samples used in MD will overestimate Y RMI , but the drastic scale difference between experiment and MD is highlighted by high confidence neighborhood clustering predictions of RMI characterizations, yielding incorrect classifications.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Entropy production in model colloidal suspensions under shear via the fluctuation theorem

Dissipative systems often exhibit novel and unexpected properties. This is, for instance, the case of simple liquids, which, when subjected to shear and after reaching a steady state, can exhibit a negative entropy production over finite length scales and timescales. This result, among others, is captured by nonequilibrium relations known as fluctuation theorems. Using nonequilibrium molecular dynamics simulations, we examine how, by fine-tuning the properties of the components of a complex fluid, we can steer the nonequilibrium response of the fluid. More specifically, we show how we control the nonequilibrium probability distribution for the shear stress and, in turn, how often states with a negative entropy production can occur. To achieve this, we start by characterizing how the size for the liquid matrix impacts the probability of observing negative entropy states, as well as the timescale over which these can be observed. We then measure how the addition of larger particles to this liquid matrix, i.e., simulating a model colloidal suspension, results in an increase in the occurrence of such states. As a result, this suggests how modifications in the composition of the mixture and in the properties of its components lead to an increase in the probability of observing states of negative entropy production and, thus, for the system to run in reverse.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

A study of 2-20 KeV X-rays from the Cygnus region

Two rocket-borne proportional counters, each with 650 sq c, met area and 1.8 x 7.1 deg FWHM rectangular mechanical collimation, surveyed the Cygnus region in the 2 to 20 keV energy range on two occasions. X-ray spectral data gathered on 21 September 1970 from discrete sources in Cygnus are presented. The data from Cyg X-1, Cyg X-2, and Cyg X-3 have sufficient statistical significance to indicate mutually exclusive spectral forms for the three. Upper limits are presented for X-ray intensities above 2 keV for Cyg X-4 and Cyg X-5 (Cygnus loop). A search was made on 9 August 1971 for a diffuse component of X-rays 1.5 keV associated with an interarm region of the galaxy at galactic longitudes in the vicinity of 60 degrees. A statistically significant excess associated with a narrow disk component was detected. Several possible emission models are discussed, with the most likely candidate being a population of unresolvable low luminosity discrete sources.

Bleach, R. D.↗

Dynamics of filaments during the edge-localized mode crash on NSTX

Edge localized modes (ELMs) are routinely observed in H-mode plasma regimes of the National Spherical Torus Experiment (NSTX). Due to the explosive nature of the instability, only diagnostics with high temporal and spatial resolution could provide a detailed insight into the dynamics associated with the ELMs. Gas-puff imaging at NSTX provides 2D measurements of the magnetic field aligned fluctuations (e.g., ELM filaments) in the scrape-off layer and at the plasma edge with 2.5 μs temporal and 10 mm optical resolution. A novel analysis technique was developed to estimate the frame-by-frame velocities and the spatial parameters of the dominant structures associated with the ELMs. The analysis was applied to single ELM events to characterize the ELM crash dynamics and then extended to a database of 159 ELM events. Statistical analysis was performed in order to find the characterizing dynamics of the ELM crash. The results show that on average, an ELM crash consists of a filament with a circular cross section, which is propelled outward with a characterizing peak radial velocity of ~3.3 km/s. The radial velocity was found to be linearly dependent on the distance of the filament from the separatrix, which has never been seen before. The ELM filament is characterized by propagation in the ion-diamagnetic direction poloidally with a peak velocity of 11.4 km/s. The ELM crash lasts for approximately 100 μs until the radial propulsion settles back to the pre-ELM level. Furthermore, the experimental findings were compared with analytical theory. Two possible mechanisms were identified for explaining the observations: the curvature interchange model and the current–filament interaction model.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Quantum bath augmented stochastic nonequilibrium atomistic simulations for molecular heat conduction

Classical molecular dynamics (MD) has been shown to be effective in simulating heat conduction in certain molecular junctions since it inherently takes into account some essential methodological components which are lacking in the quantum Landauer-type transport model, such as many-body full force-field interactions, anharmonicity effects and nonlinear responses for large temperature biases. However, the classical MD reaches its limit in the environments where the quantum effects are significant (e.g. with low-temperatures substrates, presence of extremely high frequency molecular modes). Here, we present an atomistic simulation methodology for molecular heat conduction that incorporates the quantum Bose–Einstein statistics into an “effective temperature” in the form of a modified Langevin equation. We show that the results from such a quasi-classical effective temperature MD method deviates drastically when the baths temperature approaches zero from classical MD simulations and the results converge to the classical ones when the bath approaches the high-temperature limit, which makes the method suitable for full temperature range. In addition, we show that our quasi-classical thermal transport method can be used to model the conducting substrate layout and molecular composition (e.g. anharmonicities, high-frequency modes). Anharmonic models are explicitly simulated via the Morse potential and compared to pure harmonic interactions to show the effects of anharmonicities under quantum colored bath setups. Finally, the chain length dependence of heat conduction is examined for one-dimensional polymer chains placed in between quantum augmented baths.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗