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At least 811 records · Page 45

Satellite communication performance evaluation: Computational techniques based on moments

Computational techniques that efficiently compute bit error probabilities when only moments of the various interference random variables are available are presented. The approach taken is a generalization of the well known Gauss-Quadrature rules used for numerically evaluating single or multiple integrals. In what follows, basic algorithms are developed. Some of its properties and generalizations are shown and its many potential applications are described. Some typical interference scenarios for which the results are particularly applicable include: intentional jamming, adjacent and cochannel interferences; radar pulses (RFI); multipath; and intersymbol interference. While the examples presented stress evaluation of bit error probilities in uncoded digital communication systems, the moment techniques can also be applied to the evaluation of other parameters, such as computational cutoff rate under both normal and mismatched receiver cases in coded systems. Another important application is the determination of the probability distributions of the output of a discrete time dynamical system. This type of model occurs widely in control systems, queueing systems, and synchronization systems (e.g., discrete phase locked loops).

Omura, J. K.↗

Cumulative fade statistics and prediction methods associated with the COMSTAR beacon signal at 28.56 GHz

The paper presents cumulative fade statistics for the period April 1977 to March 1978 and reviews the rain attenuation predictive efforts using radar and disdrometer data for the summer of 1977. Attention is given to the receiving and radar systems as well as the disdrometer-raingage system. Discussion of the fade statistics covers the yearly, monthly and time of day statistics. Consideration is given to measured and predicted attenuation events, measured and predicted probability distributions as well as an empirical calibration adjustment. It is noted that in spite of many reasons for noncorrelation, the radar results do correlate well. Finally, it is concluded that the results demonstrate the utility of using radar coupled with disdrometer measurements for predicting individual fade events as well as long term fade distributions associated with satellite communications through rain.

Goldhirsh, J.↗

A comprehensive model to determine the effects of temperature and species fluctuations on reactions in turbulent reacting flows

The joint probability distribution function (pdf), which is a modification of the bivariate Gaussian pdf, is discussed and results are presented for a global reaction model using the joint pdf. An alternative joint pdf is discussed. A criterion which permits the selection of temperature pdf's in different regions of turbulent, reacting flow fields is developed. Two principal approaches to the determination of reaction rates in computer programs containing detailed chemical kinetics are outlined. These models represent a practical solution to the modeling of species reaction rates in turbulent, reacting flows.

Antaki, P. J.↗

Decameter-wave radio observations of Jupiter during the 1977 apparition

A catalog of observations of Jupiter's sporadic decameter wavelength radio emissions obtained with the Goddard Space Flight Center Jupiter Monitor Network between June 1977 and May 1978 is presented. Data were collected using the Goddard Space Flight Center station in Greenbelt, MD. and at facilities installed at Orroral Valley (Canberra), Australia and the Nancay Radio Observatory in France. Observations were obtained daily at frequencies of 16.7 and 22.2 MHz using five-element Yagi antennas at each end of a two-element interferometer. Plots of the two dimensional emission occurrence probability distribution are given.

Alexander, J. K.↗

Detection of individual atoms in helium buffer gas and observation of their real-time motion

Single atoms are detected and their motion measured for the first time to our knowledge by the fluorescence photon-burst method in the presence of large quantities of buffer gas. A single-clipped digital correlator records the photon burst in real time and displays the atom's transit time across the laser beam. A comparison is made of the special requirements for single-atom detection in vacuum and in a buffer gas. Finally, the probability distribution of the bursts from many atoms is measured. It further proves that the bursts observed on resonance are due to single atoms and not simply to noise fluctuations.

Pan, C. L.↗

Tile-Failure Analysis

Tile Failure Probability Model (TFPM) program originally developed to quantitatively assess risk of tile loss of thermal-protection tile from Space Shuttle Orbiter. TFPM is fairly specific to orbiter, but basic technique is applied in other structural design situations where anticipated loads and material strength have significantly variable probability distributions.

Ohern, E. A.↗

The MSS control point location error filter for LANDSAT-D

The filter produces the maximum likelihood estimates for average values of the spacecraft position and attitude errors during a single scene. The quality of the filter performance is characterized by the maximal cross and along track residual errors for which probability distributions can be calculated analytically for a given pattern of control points. The filter with an automatic selection of the best set of estimates provides geodetic correction at 90% of pixels with residual errors less than 40 m for four or more control points and the mean squared measurement errors of the order of 20-25 m. The same accuracy can be preserved for eight or more control points and measurement errors of 30-35 m.

Levine, I.↗

Closed-form solutions of performability

It is noted that if computing system performance is degradable then system evaluation must deal simultaneously with aspects of both performance and reliability. One approach is the evaluation of a system's performability which, relative to a specified performance variable Y, generally requires solution of the probability distribution function of Y. The feasibility of closed-form solutions of performability when Y is continuous are examined. In particular, the modeling of a degradable buffer/multiprocessor system is considered whose performance Y is the (normalized) average throughput rate realized during a bounded interval of time. Employing an approximate decomposition of the model, it is shown that a closed-form solution can indeed be obtained.

Meyer, J. F.↗

Performance analysis for the expanding search PN acquisition algorithm

An approach is described for approximating the cumulative probability distribution of the acquisition time of the serial pseudonoise (PN) search algorithm. The results are applicable to both variable and fixed dwell time systems. The theory is developed for the case where some a priori information is available on the PN code epoch (reacquisition problem or acquisition of very long codes). Also considered is the special case of a search over the whole code. The accuracy of the approximation is demonstrated by comparisons with published exact results for the fixed dwell time algorithm.

Braun, W. R.↗

Masses of neutron stars in X-ray binary systems

Methods and assumptions used in determining masses of neutron stars in binary X-ray pulsar systems are discussed. The determination of the neutron star masses requires a knowledge of the orbital elements of the systems, which can be measured by tracking the pulse arrival times over a suitably long time interval. A method to estimate orbital inclination angle when the source exhibits X-ray eclipses is presented, in which the photospheric radius of the companion star in units of the orbital separation can be simply related by geometry to the inclination angle and eclipse angle. Probability distributions for 4 neutron star masses are presented, which have a 95% confidence limit.

Kelley, R. L.↗

Generation of pseudo-random numbers

Practical methods for generating acceptable random numbers from a variety of probability distributions which are frequently encountered in engineering applications are described. The speed, accuracy, and guarantee of statistical randomness of the various methods are discussed.

Howell, L. W.↗

Sensor failure and multivariable control for airbreathing propulsion systems

A new sensor/actuator failure analysis technique for turbofan jet engines was developed. Three phases of failure analysis, namely detection, isolation, and accommodation are considered. Failure detection and isolation techniques are developed by utilizing the concept of Generalized Likelihood Ratio (GLR) tests. These techniques are applicable to both time varying and time invariant systems. Three GLR detectors are developed for: (1) hard-over sensor failure; (2) hard-over actuator failure; and (3) brief disturbances in the actuators. The probability distribution of the GLR detectors and the detectability of sensor/actuator failures are established. Failure type is determined by the maximum of the GLR detectors. Failure accommodation is accomplished by extending the Multivariable Nyquest Array (MNA) control design techniques to nonsquare system designs. The performance and effectiveness of the failure analysis technique are studied by applying the technique to a turbofan jet engine, namely the Quiet Clean Short Haul Experimental Engine (QCSEE). Single and multiple sensor/actuator failures in the QCSEE are simulated and analyzed and the effects of model degradation are studied.

Behbehani, K.↗

FUNSTAT and statistical image representations

General ideas of functional statistical inference analysis of one sample and two samples, univariate and bivariate are outlined. ONESAM program is applied to analyze the univariate probability distributions of multi-spectral image data.

Parzen, E.↗

Computer program for solving laminar, transitional, or turbulent compressible boundary-layer equations for two-dimensional and axisymmetric flow

A numerical algorithm and computer program are presented for solving the laminar, transitional, or turbulent two dimensional or axisymmetric compressible boundary-layer equations for perfect-gas flows. The governing equations are solved by an iterative three-point implicit finite-difference procedure. The software, program VGBLP, is a modification of the approach presented in NASA TR R-368 and NASA TM X-2458, respectively. The major modifications are: (1) replacement of the fourth-order Runge-Kutta integration technique with a finite-difference procedure for numerically solving the equations required to initiate the parabolic marching procedure; (2) introduction of the Blottner variable-grid scheme; (3) implementation of an iteration scheme allowing the coupled system of equations to be converged to a specified accuracy level; and (4) inclusion of an iteration scheme for variable-entropy calculations. These modifications to the approach presented in NASA TR R-368 and NASA TM X-2458 yield a software package with high computational efficiency and flexibility. Turbulence-closure options include either two-layer eddy-viscosity or mixing-length models. Eddy conductivity is modeled as a function of eddy viscosity through a static turbulent Prandtl number formulation. Several options are provided for specifying the static turbulent Prandtl number. The transitional boundary layer is treated through a streamwise intermittency function which modifies the turbulence-closure model. This model is based on the probability distribution of turbulent spots and ranges from zero to unity for laminar and turbulent flow, respectively. Several test cases are presented as guides for potential users of the software.

Harris, J. E.↗

A probabilistic analysis of silicon cost

Silicon materials costs represent both a cost driver and an area where improvement can be made in the manufacture of photovoltaic modules. The cost from three processes for the production of low-cost silicon being developed under the U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE) National Photovoltaic Program is analyzed. The approach is based on probabilistic inputs and makes use of two models developed at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory: SIMRAND (SIMulation of Research ANd Development) and IPEG (Improved Price Estimating Guidelines). The approach, assumptions, and limitations are detailed along with a verification of the cost analyses methodology. Results, presented in the form of cumulative probability distributions for silicon cost, indicate that there is a 55% chance of reaching the DOE target of $16/kg for silicon material. This is a technically achievable cost based on expert forecasts of the results of ongoing research and development and do not imply any market prices for a given year.

Reiter, L. J.↗

A development of logistics management models for the Space Transportation System

A new analytic queueing approach was described which relates stockage levels, repair level decisions, and the project network schedule of prelaunch operations directly to the probability distribution of the space transportation system launch delay. Finite source population and limited repair capability were additional factors included in this logistics management model developed specifically for STS maintenance requirements. Data presently available to support logistics decisions were based on a comparability study of heavy aircraft components. A two-phase program is recommended by which NASA would implement an integrated data collection system, assemble logistics data from previous STS flights, revise extant logistics planning and resource requirement parameters using Bayes-Lin techniques, and adjust for uncertainty surrounding logistics systems performance parameters. The implementation of these recommendations can be expected to deliver more cost-effective logistics support.

Carrillo, M. J.↗

Slant path rain attenuation and path diversity statistics obtained through radar modeling of rain structure

Single and joint terminal slant path attenuation statistics at frequencies of 28.56 and 19.04 GHz have been derived, employing a radar data base obtained over a three-year period at Wallops Island, VA. Statistics were independently obtained for path elevation angles of 20, 45, and 90 deg for purposes of examining how elevation angles influences both single-terminal and joint probability distributions. Both diversity gains and autocorrelation function dependence on site spacing and elevation angles were determined employing the radar modeling results. Comparisons with other investigators are presented. An independent path elevation angle prediction technique was developed and demonstrated to fit well with the radar-derived single and joint terminal radar-derived cumulative fade distributions at various elevation angles.

Goldhirsh, J.↗

Spline approximation of quantile functions

The study reported here explored the development and utility of a spline representation of the sample quantile function of a continuous probability distribution in providing a functional description of a random sample and a method of generating random variables. With a spline representation, the random samples are generated by transforming a sample of uniform random variables to the interval of interest. This is useful, for example, in simulation studies in which a random sample represents the only known information about the distribution. The spline formulation considered here consists of a linear combination of cubic basis splines (B-splines) fit in a least squares sense to the sample quantile function using equally spaced knots. The following discussion is presented in five parts. The first section highlights major results realized from the study. The second section further details the results obtained. The methodology used is described in the third section, followed by a brief discussion of previous research on quantile functions. Finally, the results of the study are evaluated.

Schiess, J. R.↗