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At least 811 records · Page 45

Massively Parallel Bayesian Model Calibration and Uncertainty Quantification with Applications to Nuclear Fuels and Materials

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)’s Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program aims to develop predictive capabilities by applying computational methods to the analysis and design of advanced reactor and fuel cycle systems. This program has been providing engineering-scale support for the development of BISON, a high-fidelity and high-resolution fuel performance tool. Fuel behavior in a nuclear reactor is governed by a complex network of mechanisms interacting with various other physics aspects in the reactor system. Any model developed to represent the fuel behavior will likely be idealized resulting in uncertainties in their predictions compared to the observed data. As such, this report was motivated by the need to identify the sources of uncertainties and quantify and propagate them through the fuel model outputs. Such quantification of uncertainties will establish a level of model trustworthiness, identify approaches to improve the model trustworthiness, and even guide optimal experiment design for maximal information gain. To accomplish the uncertainty quantification for computational models, this report has relied on the Bayesian framework which provides probabilistic treatment of models their inputs and outputs. The current state-of-the-art on performing Bayesian Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) for nuclear engineering models using High Performance Computing (HPC) resources have been reviewed. Implementation of capabilities for massively parallel Bayesian UQ in Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) is discussed. Several verification cases are discussed to verify the accuracy of the quantified uncertainties using the developed computational capabilities in MOOSE. Then, the problem of quantifying the uncertainties in TRI-Structural isOtropic (TRISO) fuel silver release is addressed. For the first time, the uncertainties arising from the TRISO Fission Gas Release (FGR) model due to model inadequacy and experimental noise are quantified. Also, the Bayesian capabilities are applied to the calibration of the MATPRO creep model, a widely used model in several fuel assessment cases. The impact of the prediction uncertainties in the MATPRO model on the fuel cladding behavior as part of the TRIBULATION assessment case (which is an integral effects case) is investigated. This report concludes with a discussion on the future work for the UQ for computational models.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Statistical analysis for the neutrinoless double-β-decay matrix element of 48 Ca

Neutrinoless double-β-decay (0⁢vββ) nuclear matrix elements (NME) are the object of many theoretical calculation methods, and are very important for analysis and guidance of a large number of experimental efforts. However, there are large discrepancies between the NME values provided by different methods. Here, in this paper, we propose a statistical analysis of the 48 Ca 0v⁢ββ NME using the interacting shell model, emphasizing the range of the NME probable values and their correlations with observables that can be obtained from the existing nuclear data. Based on this statistical analysis with three independent effective Hamiltonians, we propose a common probability distribution function for the 0⁢vββ NME, which has a range of (0.45–0.95) at 90% confidence level, and a mean value of 0.68.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Octupole correlations near Te 110

The lifetime of the 2 + and 9 – , 11 – , 13 – , 15 – states in the neutron-deficient 110 Te was measured for the first time using the recoil distance Doppler shift technique. The reported value of the reduced transition probability B(E2; $0$$^{+}_{g.s}$ → 2 + ) = 4.3(8) × 10 3 e 2 fm 4 supports the systematic for even-mass Te isotopes and was interpreted in the framework of the large-scale shell model and cranked shell model calculations. The measured reduced transition probabilities in the negative-parity yrast band revealed the upward trend towards the high spins. Furthermore, the enhanced collectivity is discussed in terms of the tilted axis cranking approach and the symmetry configuration mixing method with the Gogny D1S interaction.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Lowest-energy broad 𝛼-cluster resonances in 19 F

There is strong astrophysical interest in the structure of 19 F states near the α-decay threshold, as their properties are important for understanding the development of α clustering in the 20 Ne region. The emergence of clustered states, and more generally of states that couple strongly to reaction channels near their decay thresholds, is also a topic of current interest in theoretical nuclear physics. In this work, we determine the parameters of broad low-spin states in 19 F near the α-decay threshold and present a theoretical study of these states. The analysis is restricted to ℓ = 0 and 1 resonances in the α + 15 N system close to the α threshold in 19 F. Excitation functions for 15 N(α,α) elastic scattering were measured using the Thick Target Inverse Kinematics (TTIK) method, and these new data, together with older high–energy-resolution measurements, were analyzed within the R-matrix framework. The nuclear structure of 19 F was calculated using configuration-interaction methods with a recently developed effective interaction Hamiltonian. As a result, we identify a sequence of α-cluster resonances in 19 F and map the distribution of clustering strength, which is relevant for astrophysical reaction modeling and for the theoretical understanding of many-body dynamics and the emergence of clustering in loosely bound or unstable nuclei. Furthermore, the work advances theoretical insight into the origins of clustering and highlights open questions for future theoretical and experimental studies.

19F↗

Constructing chiral effective field theory around unnatural leading-order interactions

A momentum-dependent formulation based on a stationary spin-0 and isospin-1 dibaryon field is proposed to improve convergence of chiral effective field theory in the 1 S 0 channel of NN scattering. Although the two-parameter leading-order interaction appears to be unnatural, it nevertheless has the necessary features of an effective field theory. A rapid order-by-order convergence is found in 1 S 0 . As an application beyond the two-body level, the triton binding energy is studied and compared to standard chiral effective field theory with partly perturbative pions. Here, the consistency of the chiral Lagrangian for the new formulation is examined by working out the pionic radiative corrections, and consequences of nontrivial chiral-connection terms are discussed.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Integrating PCTRAN with AI-Driven Host-Intrusion Detection and Secured Container Systems for Advanced Malware Analysis (Summer Internship Report)

This study presents a solution for enhancing the security of the Personal Computer Transient Analyzer (PCTRAN) PC-based Nuclear Power Plant Simulator by integrating the software with an artificial intelligence (AI)-driven host-intrusion detection system (HIDS), in addition to a secured container system, for malware analysis. PCTRAN is a Windows XP-based software package that has the ability to simulate a variety of accident and transient conditions for nuclear power plants (NPPs). It offers a high-resolution replica of the Nuclear Steam Supply System (NSSS) and displays the status of important parameters allowing for operator interaction. By including AI-driven HIDS for the NSSS, the framework can identify security threats in real-time, ensuring the integrity of the nuclear simulation environment. Additionally, the secured container system offers the ability to isolate and analyze malware, preventing potential threats from affecting core systems. The integration process involves extensive testing and validation in order to ensure accuracy, reliability, and compliance with security policies. This framework sets a new precedent for secure simulation and training in NPP operations, and offers insight for future advancements in cybersecurity.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Modeling Neutron Star Matter in the Age of Multimessenger Astrophysics

Abstract The interpretation of available and forthcoming data obtained from multimessenger astrophysical observations—potentially providing unprecedented access to neutron star properties—will require the development of novel, accurate theoretical models of dense matter. Of great importance, in this context, will be the capability for devising a description of thermal effects applicable to the study of quantities other than the equation of state, such as the transport coefficients and the neutrino mean free path in the nuclear medium. A formalism based on correlated basis states and the cluster expansion technique has been previously employed to derive a well-behaved effective interaction—suitable for use in standard perturbation theory—from a state-of-the-art nuclear Hamiltonian, including phenomenological two- and three-nucleon potentials. Here, we provide a comprehensive and self-contained account of the extension of this approach to the treatment of finite-temperature effects, and report the results of numerical calculations of a number of properties of nuclear matter with arbitrary neutron excess and temperature up to 50 MeV.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

QED medium effects in (anti)neutrino-nucleus and electron-nucleus scattering: Elastic scattering on nucleons

Interpretation of current and future neutrino oscillation and electron scattering experiments requires knowledge of lepton-nucleon and lepton-nucleus interactions at the percent level. We study the exchange of photons between charged particles and the nuclear medium for (anti)neutrino-, electron-, and muon-induced reactions inside a large nucleus. While quantum electrodynamics (QED)-medium contributions are formally suppressed by two powers of the electromagnetic coupling constant α when compared to the leading-order cross sections, low-energy modes and the nuclear size enhance the effect by orders of magnitude. They require a proper infrared regularization, which we implement as a screening of the electromagnetic interactions at atomic length scales or above. We provide approximate analytic expressions for the distortion of (anti)neutrino-nucleus and charged lepton-nucleus cross sections and evaluate the QED-medium effects for realistic values of the screening scale on the example of elastic scattering with nucleons inside the nucleus. We find new permille- to percent-level effects, which were not considered in either (anti)neutrino-nucleus or electron-nucleus scattering.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Superallowed 0 + → 0 + nuclear β decays: 2020 critical survey, with implications for V ud and CKM unitarity

A new critical survey of all half-life, decay-energy and branching-ratio measurements related to 23 superallowed 0 + → 0 + β decays is presented. Included are 222 individual measurements of comparable precision obtained from 174 published references. Compared with our last survey in 2015, we have added results from 28 new publications and eliminated an approximately equal number whose results have been superseded by much more precise modern data. We obtain world-average ft values for each of the 21 transitions that have a complete set of data, then apply radiative and isospin-symmetry-breaking corrections to extract “corrected” Ft values. Fifteen of these Ft values now have a precision of 0.3% or better and all take the same value within statistics, as expected from conservation of the vector current. Their average, Ft¯, when combined with the muon lifetime, yields the up-down quark-mixing element of the Cabibbo-Kobayashi-Maskawa matrix, V ud = 0.97373 ± 0.00031. This is lower than our 2015 result by one standard deviation and its uncertainty is increased by 50%. This is a consequence, not of any shifts in the experimental data, but of new calculations for the radiative corrections. The lower V ud value now leads to greater tension in the top-row test of unitarity in the CKM matrix. Updates in experimental data have independently led to a factor-of-two tighter limit being set on the possible existence of a scalar interaction. In conclusion, the new limit on Fierz interference is b F ≤ 0.0033 at the 90% confidence level.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Measurement of γ -ray production via the neutron- O 16 reaction using a 77 MeV quasimonoenergetic neutron beam

Understanding of γ-ray production via neutron interactions on oxygen is essential for the study of neutrino neutral-current quasielastic interactions in water Cherenkov detectors. A measurement of γ-ray production from such reactions was performed using a 77 MeV quasi-monoenergetic neutron beam. Several γ-ray peaks, which are expected to come from neutron- 16 O reactions, are observed and production cross sections are measured for nine γ-ray components of energies between 2 and 8~MeV. Finally, these are the first measurements at this neutron energy using a nearly monoenergetic beam.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Application of machine learning for modeling brønsted-guggenheim-scatchard specific ion interaction theory (SIT) coefficients

Machine learning methodologies can provide insight into Brønsted-Guggenheim-Scatchard specific ion interaction theory (SIT) parameter values where experimental data availability may be limited. This study develops and executes machine learning frameworks to model the SIT interaction coefficient, ε. Key findings include successful estimations of ε via artificial neural networks using clustering and value prediction approaches. Additionally, applicability to other chemical parameters is also assessed briefly. Models developed here provide support for a use-case of machine learning in geologic nuclear waste disposal research applications, namely in predictions of chemical behaviors of high ionic strength solutions (i.e., subsurface brines).

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

The Radiation Detection for Nuclear Security Summer School: Fiscal Year 2024 Report

The Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) hosts the Radiation Detection for Nuclear Security (RDNS) Summer School. This unique course provides students with an overview of nuclear security missions, the technical foundation of applied radiation detection technology, and interactive demonstrations and exercises to connect theory to practice in an evolving research and development area. Fiscal year 2024, an off-year year for the school, included reviewing course content, and sharing about the school in a student engagement session at the Institute of Nuclear Materials Management Annual Meeting. Planning is underway for the 10 th RDNS summer school is planned for the summer of 2025.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Quantifying Uncertainties In Neutron-Alpha Scattering With Chiral Nucleon-Nucleon And Three-Nucleon Forces

We report that modern ab initio theory combined with high-quality nucleon-nucleon (NN) and three-nucleon (3N) interactions from chiral effective field theory (EFT) can provide a predictive description of low-energy light-nuclei reactions relevant for astrophysics and fusion-energy applications. However, the high cost of computations has so far impeded a complete analysis of the uncertainty budget of such calculations. Starting from NN potentials up to fifth order (N 4 LO) combined with leading-order 3N forces, we study how the order-by-order convergence of the chiral expansion and confidence intervals for the 3N contact and contact-plus-one-pion-exchange low-energy constants (c E and c D ) contribute to the overall uncertainty budget of many-body calculations of neutron- 4 He (n-α) elastic scattering. We compute structure and reaction observables for three-, four-, and five-nucleon systems within the ab initio frameworks of the no-core shell model and no-core shell model with continuum. Using a small set of design runs, we construct a Gaussian process model (GPM) that acts as a statistical emulator for the theory. With this, we gain insight into how uncertainties in the 3N low-energy constants propagate throughout the calculation and determine the Bayesian posterior distribution of these parameters with Markov-Chain Monte Carlo. We find rapidly converging n-α phase shifts with respect to the chiral order. With the adopted leading-order 3N force, calculations based on the NN interaction at N 4 LO of Entem, Machleidt, and Nosyk are unable to reproduce the experimental phase shifts in the 3/2 - channel within the estimated chiral truncation errors. Closer agreement with empirical data is found when using an older parametrization of the NN interaction at order N 3 LO, and the position and width of the P-wave resonances can be used to reduce the uncertainty of the 3N low-energy constants. The present results point to a lack of spin-orbit strength when the newer parametrization of the chiral NN force up to fifth order is combined with the leading-order 3N force. The inclusion of higher-order 3N-force terms may be required to recover the missing strength. GPMs can act as fast and accurate emulators of ab initio many-body calculations of low-energy scattering and reactions of light nuclei, opening the way to a robust quantification of theoretical uncertainties grounded in the description of the underlying chiral Hamiltonian.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Intermediate/High Energy Nuclear Physics

Our primary goals are fundamental descriptions of nuclear phenomena relevant to experiment. Our balanced program consists of developing and applying (1) QCD for high-energy nuclear collisions, and (2) non-perturbative many-body theory for strong interactions. We are developing first principles treatments of physical observables for present and future experiments at FRIB, RHIC, JLab, LHC and EIC. We are also developing and applying a non-perturbative framework for strongly interacting many-body systems including a covariant Hamiltonian framework for solving quantum field theory in non-perturbative domains. We continue close interactions with the Iowa State University relativisitic heavy-ion collider and electron-ion collider experimental group.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Machine Learning for Neutron Resonance Evaluations [Slides]

The performance of nuclear reactors and other nuclear systems depends on a precise understanding of the neutron interaction cross sections for materials used in these systems. These cross sections exhibit a resonance structure whose shape is determined in part by the angular momentum quantum numbers of the resonances. The correct assignment of the quantum numbers of neutron resonances is therefore of paramount importance. In this presentation, we describe the application of machine learning to automate the quantum number assignments. Scikit-learn classifiers were trained on simulated resonance data whose statistical properties were chosen to mimic real data. We explored the use of several physics (and random matrix theory)-motivated features for training the classifiers, including the nearest neighbor spacing distribution, cumulative level distribution, and channel width distributions. Initial results demonstrated that we can determine resonance spin groups somewhat reliably. We are now investigating the application of our approach to 52 Cr resonance data.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗