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At least 811 records · Page 45

Observations for Model Intercomparison Project (Obs4MIPs): status for CMIP6

The Observations for Model Intercomparison Project (Obs4MIPs) was initiated in 2010 to facilitate the use of observations in climate model evaluation and research, with a particular target being the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP), a major initiative of the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP). To this end, Obs4MIPs (1) targets observed variables that can be compared to CMIP model variables; (2) utilizes dataset formatting specifications and metadata requirements closely aligned with CMIP model output; (3) provides brief technical documentation for each dataset, designed for nonexperts and tailored towards relevance for model evaluation, including information on uncertainty, dataset merits, and limitations; and (4) disseminates the data through the Earth System Grid Federation (ESGF) platforms, making the observations searchable and accessible via the same portals as the model output. Taken together, these characteristics of the organization and structure of obs4MIPs should entice a more diverse community of researchers to engage in the comparison of model output with observations and to contribute to a more comprehensive evaluation of the climate models. At present, the number of obs4MIPs datasets has grown to about 80; many are undergoing updates, with another 20 or so in preparation, and more than 100 are proposed and under consideration. A partial list of current global satellite-based datasets includes humidity and temperature profiles; a wide range of cloud and aerosol observations; ocean surface wind, temperature, height, and sea ice fraction; surface and top-of-atmosphere longwave and shortwave radiation; and ozone (O 3 ), methane (CH 4 ), and carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) products. A partial list of proposed products expected to be useful in analyzing CMIP6 results includes the following: alternative products for the above quantities, additional products for ocean surface flux and chlorophyll products, a number of vegetation products (e.g., FAPAR, LAI, burned area fraction), ice sheet mass and height, carbon monoxide (CO), and nitrogen dioxide (NO 2 ). While most existing obs4MIPs datasets consist of monthly-mean gridded data over the global domain, products with higher time resolution (e.g., daily) and/or regional products are now receiving more attention. Along with an increasing number of datasets, obs4MIPs has implemented a number of capability upgrades including (1) an updated obs4MIPs data specifications document that provides additional search facets and generally improves congruence with CMIP6 specifications for model datasets, (2) a set of six easily understood indicators that help guide users as to a dataset's maturity and suitability for application, and (3) an option to supply supplemental information about a dataset beyond what can be found in the standard metadata. With the maturation of the obs4MIPs framework, the dataset inclusion process, and the dataset formatting guidelines and resources, the scope of the observations being considered is expected to grow to include gridded in situ datasets as well as datasets with a regional focus, and the ultimate intent is to judiciously expand this scope to any observation dataset that has applicability for evaluation of the types of Earth system models used in CMIP.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Ultrahigh-Loading Manganese-Based Electrodes for Aqueous Batteries via Polymorph Tuning

Manganese-based aqueous batteries utilizing Mn 2+ /MnO 2 redox reactions are promising choices for grid-scale energy storage due to their high theoretical specific capacity, high power capability, low-cost, and intrinsic safety with water-based electrolytes. However, the application of such systems is hindered by the insulating nature of deposited MnO 2 , resulting in low normalized areal loading (0.005–0.05 mAh cm -2 ) during the charge/discharge cycle. Here, in this work, the electrochemical performance of various MnO 2 polymorphs in Mn 2+ /MnO 2 redox reactions is investigated, and ε-MnO 2 with low conductivity is determined to be the primary electrochemically deposited phase in normal acidic aqueous electrolyte. It is found that increasing the temperature can change the deposited phase from ε-MnO 2 with low conductivity to γ-MnO 2 with two order of magnitude increase in conductivity. It is demonstrated that the highly conductive γ-MnO 2 can be effectively exploited for ultrahigh areal loading electrode, and a normalized areal loading of 33 mAh cm -2 is achieved. At a mild temperature of 50 °C, cells are cycled with an ultrahigh areal loading of 20 mAh cm -2 (1–2 orders of magnitude higher than previous studies) for over 200 cycles with only 13% capacity loss.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Untangling Sources of Error in the Density-Functional Many-Body Expansion

The many-body expansion provides a framework for data-driven applications of electronic structure theory, including parametrization of classical force fields and machine learning. In this article, we demonstrate that its use significantly amplifies quadrature grid errors when modern density-functional approximations are employed. Standard grids that work well in conventional density-functional calculations result in runaway error accumulation when used with the many-body expansion. At the same time, delocalization error is also exacerbated, leading to exaggerated estimates of nonadditive n-body interactions. This is illustrated for anion–water clusters using the SCAN, r2SCAN, ωB97X-V and ωB97M-V functionals. By employing dense quadrature grids, the inherent self-interaction error is exposed, which can then be mitigated using a variety of other strategies.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Stable cycling of high-mass loaded MnO 2 electrodes for sodium-ion batteries

Achieving cost-effective, sustainable solutions for large-scale energy storage are critical for advancing the global clean energy transition. In view of the challenges posed by limited lithium reserves, low-cost sodium-ion batteries (SIBs) have emerged as a promising direction, especially for grid-level energy storage. Among the various battery electrode materials, manganese dioxide (MnO 2 ) stands out as a favorable choice for such large-scale applications due to its earth abundance, cost-effectiveness, and non-toxic nature. Although MnO 2 is known as a pseudocapacitive material with superior cycling stability in aqueous electrolytes, its dissolution in non-aqueous electrolytes has restricted its use in long-lifetime batteries. In this study, we address two issues which have limited the use of MnO 2 electrodes in non-aqueous electrolytes. First, using electrochemical quartz crystal microbalance measurements in combination with other electrochemical methods, we demonstrate that diglyme (bis(2-methoxyethyl) ether) electrolyte can achieve stable cycling of electrodeposited ε-MnO 2 . These results enable us to tackle a second objective, that is increasing the mass loading of the MnO 2 electrode, since achieving high areal energy density is a significant factor in reducing manufacturing costs. Using 3D printed graphene aerogel (GA) as a scaffold, our studies show that the electrodeposited MnO 2 /GA electrodes possess scalable properties with mass loadings from 20 to 80 mg cm −2 . The resulting electrodes exhibit areal energy densities as high as 4.4 mA h cm −2 at a current density of 10 mA cm −2 . The high mass loaded MnO 2 electrodes were incorporated as a cathode in a SIB which used TiO 2 as the anode. The SIB device exhibited excellent performance with power densities in excess of 70 mW cm −2 . These studies highlight the promise of MnO 2 electrodes for use in a low-cost technology for large-scale energy storage.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Optimal Energy Storage System and Smart Switch Placement in Dynamic Microgrids With Applications to Marine Energy Integration

Here this paper studies a dynamic microgrid (DMG) planning problem that places energy storage systems (ESSs) and smart switches (SSWs) optimally in the system. We apply the proposed methodology to applications concerning marine renewable energy (MRE). MRE is an emerging clean energy resource with enormous capacity but volatile and intermittent energy output profiles. Innovative grid-integration technologies designed to enhance the reliability of an MRE-integrated system are needed. However, there are still limited studies in this regard. Existing works have shown the promising prospect of using a dynamic microgrid (DMG) operational concept to accommodate renewable resources in distribution systems, but they usually assume fixed ESS and SSW installations. To further improve the operational flexibility of DMGs, we propose a DMG planning methodology that optimally places ESSs and SSWs so that a DMG with MRE is warranted with proper resource adequacy and topological flexibility in both the contingency and normal operations. We use realistic case studies based on a real-world distribution network and the U.S. Department of Energy's MRE dataset to verify the value and validity of the proposed work.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Statistical Treatment of Inverse Problems Constrained by Differential Equations-based Models with Stochastic Terms

This paper introduces a statistical treatment of inverse problems constrained by models with stochastic terms. The solution of the forward problem is given by a distribution represented numerically by an ensemble of simulations. The goal is to formulate the inverse problem, in particular the objective function, to find the closest forward distribution (i.e., the output of the stochastic forward problem) that best explains the distribution of the observations in a certain metric. We use proper scoring rules, a concept employed in statistical forecast verification, namely energy, variogram, and hybrid (i.e., combination of the two) scores. We study the performance of the proposed formulation in the context of two applications: a coefficient field inversion for subsurface flow governed by an elliptic partial differential equation with a stochastic source and a parameter inversion for power grid governed by differential-algebraic equations. In both cases we show that the variogram and the hybrid scores produce better parameter inversion results than does the energy score, whereas the energy score leads to better probabilistic predictions.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Metal-Supported Solid Oxide Fuel Cells for Natural Gas

Solid oxide fuel cells (SOFCs) are high temperature energy conversion devices that produce electricity efficiently and sustainably. High operating temperatures required for SOFC function endow these devices with many advantages including fuel flexibility and high conversion efficiencies. Fuel flexibility, in particular, distinguishes SOFCs from other types of fuel cells that operate with clean H 2 only, and enables operation with natural gas (NG). LBNL has developed metal supported SOFCs (MS-SOFCs) with unique symmetrical architecture that offer several advantages over state of the art (SoA) ceramic SOFC models including inexpensive materials, rapid start up capability, increased mechanical strength and high tolerance to thermal cycling, Fig 1. These advantages make LBNL MS-SOFCs uniquely suited for fast start-up, portable, and mobile backup generator applications. Specifically motivating this work was a scenario of backup generators fueled by pipeline natural gas delivered from SoCalGas in the event of an electric grid shut down. This project investigates the feasibility of using MS-SOFCs with pre-reformed natural gas as well as direct on-cell reforming of simulated natural gas both with and without sulfur.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Pilot Development Progress to Demonstrate Electric Thermal Energy Storage (ETES) Using Low-Cost Particles

The rapid growth of variable renewable power generation increases the need to economically store electrical energy over durations up to several days in long-duration energy storage (LDES) applications. LDES can bridge the intermittency of increasing variable renewable energy (VRE) and facilitate emission-free dispatchable electricity to improve the resilience of the grid and provide reliable and potentially cost-effective energy. Several energy storage approaches including mechanical, chemical and electrochemical methods are currently deployed or under development. However, LDES requirements pose unique challenges for scalability, energy capacity, and cost. Electro-thermal energy storage (ETES) can store a large capacity of energy with site flexibility and has attracted significant interest for LDES purposes. This paper shows the progress of developing a demonstration test facility for particle ETES technology including pilot-scale component design and fabrication.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Modeling Distributed Computing Infrastructures for HEP Applications

Predicting the performance of various infrastructure design options in complex federated infrastructures with computing sites distributed over a wide area network that support a plethora of users and workflows, such as the Worldwide LHC Computing Grid (WLCG), is not trivial. Due to the complexity and size of these infrastructures, it is not feasible to deploy experimental test-beds at large scales merely for the purpose of comparing and evaluating alternate designs. An alternative is to study the behaviours of these systems using simulation. This approach has been used successfully in the past to identify efficient and practical infrastructure designs for High Energy Physics (HEP). A prominent example is the Monarc simulation framework, which was used to study the initial structure of the WLCG. New simulation capabilities are needed to simulate large-scale heterogeneous computing systems with complex networks, data access and caching patterns. A modern tool to simulate HEP workloads that execute on distributed computing infrastructures based on the SimGrid and WRENCH simulation frameworks is outlined. Studies of its accuracy and scalability are presented using HEP as a case-study. Hypothetical adjustments to prevailing computing architectures in HEP are studied providing insights into the dynamics of a part of the WLCG and candidates for improvements.

Horzela, Maximilian↗

Dynamic Validation of CNN-Based Surrogate Models for Inverter-Based Resources in Open-Source Solvers

Traditionally, distribution system planning has focused on steady-state analyses, with limited consideration of dynamic behavior. However, as large or medium-scale inverter-based resources (IBRs), particularly grid-following (GFL) inverters in commercial or industry buildings, become more prevalent, understanding their dynamic impact is essential for grid planning and operation. This article presents an innovative deep-learning (DL)-approach using convolutional neural networks technique to model the GFL inverters. Developed from real grid-tied commercial IBR transient data, these dynamic DL models overcome proprietary constraints by requiring minimal knowledge of internal converter physics while maintaining high accuracy and flexibility. To demonstrate their applicability, the models were incorporated into GridLAB-D, an open-source, three-phase distribution analysis tool. This integration enables dynamic simulations of large-scale distribution networks with high IBR penetration stability analysis. Rigorous testing and validation, aligned with industry standards, confirmed the reliability and efficiency of this approach, paving the way for enhanced planning and operational assessments of modern power systems.

Deep-learning↗

Short-term electricity load forecasting: Application-driven evaluation of machine learning models across spatial and temporal scales

As we transition towards a decarbonized economy, the integration of variable renewable energy resources and new demands (e.g., electric vehicles, heat pumps) into the electricity grid places unprecedented pressure on grid operators to effectively anticipate and manage peak load. In this context, machine learning algorithms are proving to be indispensable for accurate short-term load forecasting, a crucial task to address these challenges. This study benchmarks 6 machine learning algorithms, including three neural networks and three tree-based algorithms, across various levels of spatial aggregation and time horizons (1, 4, 8, 24, and 48 h). The central contribution of this work is the comparison and analysis of load forecasting models not only based on statistical metrics, but also based on a novel error metric, which evaluates the cost implications of forecast errors for power system stakeholders. Results show that tree-based models outperform neural networks, based on statistical metrics, and yield less skewed error distributions for most spatial scales. However, through the lens of the novel error metric, neural networks are the more competitive choice, especially for forecast horizons that exceed 8 h. The study concludes with actionable recommendations to grid operators and highlights the need for the development of error metrics that link forecasting accuracy to operational costs. To promote transparency and open science, the datasets and Python code are open-sourced via a supplementary repository.

Houben, Nikolaus↗

Modeling pre-Exascale AMR Parallel I/O Workloads via Proxy Applications

The present work investigates the modeling of preexascale input/output (I/O) workloads of Adaptive Mesh Refinement (AMR) simulations through a simple proxy application. We collect data from the AMReX Castro framework running on the Summit supercomputer for a wide range of scales and mesh partitions for the hydrodynamic Sedov case as a baseline to provide sufficient coverage to the formulated proxy model. The non-linear analysis data production rates are quantified as a function of a set of input parameters such as output frequency, grid size, number of levels, and the Courant-Friedrichs-Lewy (CFL) condition number for each rank, mesh level and simulation time step. Linear regression is then applied to formulate a simple analytical model which allows to translate AMReX inputs into MACSio proxy I/O application parameters, resulting in a simple “kernel” approximation for data production at each time step. Results show that MACSio can simulate actual AMReX nonlinear “static” I/O workloads to a certain degree of confidence on the Summit supercomputer using the present methodology. The goal is to provide an initial level of understanding of AMR I/O workloads via lightweight proxy applications models to facilitate autotune data management strategies in anticipation of exascale systems.

Godoy, William↗

A space-time parallel algorithm with adaptive mesh refinement for computational fluid dynamics

This work describes a space-time parallel algorithm with space-time adaptive mesh refinement (AMR). AMR with subcycling is added to multigrid reduction-in-time (MGRIT) in order to provide solution efficient adaptive grids with a reduction in work performed on coarser grids. This algorithm is achieved by integrating two software libraries: XBraid (Parallel time integration with multigrid. https://computation.llnl.gov/projects/parallel-timeintegration-multigrid) and Chombo (Chombo software package for AMR applications—design document, 2014). The former is a parallel time integration library using multigrid and the latter is a massively parallel structured AMR library. Employing this adaptive space-time parallel algorithm is Chord (Comput Fluids 123:202–217, 2015), a computational fluid dynamics (CFD) application code for solving compressible fluid dynamics problems. For the same solution accuracy, speedups are demonstrated from the use of space-time parallelization over the time-sequential integration on Couette flow and Stokes’ second problem. On a transient Couette flow case, at least a 1.5× speedup is achieved, and with a time periodic problem, a speedup of up to 13.7× over the time-sequential case is obtained. In both cases, the speedup is achieved by adding processors and exploring additional parallelization in time. The numerical experiments show the algorithm is promising for CFD applications that can take advantage of the time parallelism. Future work will focus on improving the parallel performance and providing more tests with complex fluid dynamics to demonstrate the full potential of the algorithm.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Can a Coating Mitigate Molten Na Dendrite Growth in NaSICON Under High Current Density?

Alkali metals are among the most desirable negative electrodes for long duration energy storage due to their extremely high capacities. Currently, only high-temperature (>250 °C) batteries have successfully used alkali electrodes in commercial applications, due to limitations imposed by solid electrolytes, such as low conductivity at moderate temperatures and susceptibility to dendrites. Toward enabling the next generation of grid-scale, long duration batteries, we aim to develop molten sodium (Na) systems that operate with commercially attractive performance metrics including high current density (>100 mA cm –2 ), low temperature (<200 °C), and long discharge times (>12 h). In this work, we focus on the performance of NaSICON solid electrolytes in sodium symmetric cells at 110 °C. Specifically, we use a tin (Sn) coating on NaSICON to reduce interfacial resistance by a factor of 10, enabling molten Na symmetric cell operation with “discharge” durations up to 23 h at 100 mA cm –2 and 110 °C. Unidirectional galvanostatic testing shows a 70% overpotential reduction, and electrochemical impedance spectroscopy (EIS) highlights the reduction in interfacial resistance due to the Sn coating. Detailed scanning electron microscopy (SEM) and energy-dispersive spectroscopy (EDS) show that Sn-coated NaSICON enables current densities of up to 500 mA cm –2 at 110 °C by suppressing dendrite formation at the plating interface (Mode I). In conclusion, this analysis also provides a mechanistic understanding of dendrite formation at current densities up to 1000 mA cm –2 , highlighting the importance of effective coatings that will enable advanced battery technologies for long-term energy storage.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Optimal Management of Grid-Interactive Efficient Buildings via Safe Reinforcement Learning

Reinforcement learning (RL)-based methods have achieved significant success in managing grid-interactive efficient buildings (GEBs). However, RL does not carry intrinsic guarantees of constraint satisfaction, which may lead to severe safety consequences. Besides, in GEB control applications, most existing safe RL approaches rely only on the regularisation parameters in neural networks or penalty of rewards, which often encounter challenges with parameter tuning and lead to catastrophic constraint violations. To provide enforced safety guarantees in controlling GEBs, this paper designs a physics-inspired safe RL method whose decision-making is enhanced through safe interaction with the environment. Different energy resources in GEBs are optimally managed to minimize energy costs and maximize customer comfort. The proposed approach can achieve strict constraint guarantees based on prior knowledge of a set of developed hard steady-state rules. Simulations on the optimal management of GEBs, including heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC), solar photovoltaics, and energy storage systems, demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.

Huo, Xiang↗

Controlling Air Conditioners for Frequency Regulation: A Real-World Example

Even though thermostatically controlled loads like air conditioners present a great potential for providing ancillary services to the electric power grid, the practical challenges associated with their real-time coordination have not received the necessary attention. In this work, we present a nondisruptive load control application, specifically, we demonstrate how real residential air conditioners can provide frequency regulation. Aggregate power adjustment is achieved by modifying the ON/OFF modes of the air conditioners. To account for both single and multi-zone houses, we extend the currently available techniques and develop an approach that can be used for controlling aggregations that include both types of houses. A discussion of the practical challenges encountered in our field experiments is provided, along with the hardware and software approaches we developed to circumvent them. Here, we argue that limitations of current thermostat APIs introduce significant challenges and are an impediment to widespread adoption of fast load control applications.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

miniWeather

The code “miniWeather” solves the 2-D Euler equations with a Finite-Volume method on a regular Cartesian grid with Runge-Kutta time stepping, 4th-order hypervisocisty, and 4th-order spatial accuracy. The code is primarily a parallel programming training mini application in Fortran, C, and C++ with MPI, OpenMP, OpenMP offload, OpenACC, and C++ portability approaches. It can also serve as a mini application for acceptance testing for new machines and compilers for both functionality and performance.

Norman, MatthewR↗

Data Repository for Power system Open models With Evolving Resources (DR POWER) (Final Scientific/Technical Report)

Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) and the National Rural Electric Cooperative Association (NRECA) created a Data Repository for Power system Open models With Evolving Resources (DR POWER) to establish, curate, and evolve open-access power grid models and scenarios, and measurements and observations, collectively referred to as datasets. Existing open-access datasets are inadequate (too small and not representative of the complexity of the modern grid, and scattered all over the world wide web) for the investigation and benchmarking of the advanced optimization methods needed for next-generation grids. Open-access datasets are static and inadequate in other aspects: they do not provide format transformation tools; there is missing information needed for advanced applications; hard to cite; no model evolution history; difficult to update current collections; and little to no community involvement and feedback. Overall, the current landscape is hindering model evolution and benchmarking standards needed for transformational approaches to be developed, tested, and accepted by the power modeling community.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗