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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 811 records · Page 45
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS1971

SSA-A spacecraft magnetic tests

In the initial magnetic tests the spacecraft perm moment as received was 43 milliampere-meter squared (pole-cm), which was reduced by deperm treatment to milliampere-meter squared. Facility fluxgate probe bias results indicated Z axis bias at the SSS-A fluxgate magnetometer position to be about one half nanotesla (gamma) after Z axis deperm. The ASCS magnetometers, 01 and 02, were successfully aligned and proper operation of the ASCS system were verified. The spacecraft fluxgate magnetometer was calibrated in both the high and low sensitivity modes after a defective 01 electronics card was replaced. Problems were encountered in the Z axis search coil during calibration and the test was re-scheduled. Final test results indicated that the total perm moment could not be reduced any lower than 35 milliampere-meter squared by deperm treatment. However, the Z axis moment decreased from 22 milliampere-meter squared to 6 milliampere-meter squared after deperm. Correct operation and calibration was verified for all three axes of the spacecraft fluxgate magnetometer and no significant bias was observed during stray field testing. Null and spot calibration of the ASCS magnetometer was completed and the measured spin and attitude coil moments were: 2535 and 9820 milliampere-meter squared respectively.

Roy, T. N.↗
NASA NTRS2001

Ocean Color Optical Property Data Derived from OCTS and POLDER: A Comparison Study

We describe our efforts in studying and comparing the ocean color data derived from the Japanese Ocean Color and Temperature Scanner (OCTS) and the French Polarization and Directionality of the Earth's Reflectances (POLDER). OCTS and POLDER were both on board Japan's Sun-synchronous Advanced Earth Observing Satellite (ADEOS-1) from August 1996 to June 1997, collecting about 10 months of global ocean color data. This provides a unique opportunity for developing methods and strategies for the merging of ocean color data from multiple ocean color sensors. In this paper, we describe our approach in developing consistent data processing algorithms for both OCTS and POLDER and using a common in situ data set to vicariously calibrate the two sensors. Therefore, the OCTS and POLDER-measured radiances are effectively bridged through common in situ measurements. With this approach in processing data from two different sensors, the only differences in the derived products from OCTS and POLDER are the differences inherited from the instrument characteristics. Results show that there are no obvious bias differences between the OCTS and POLDER-derived ocean color products, whereas the differences due to noise, which stem from variations in sensor characteristics, are difficult to correct. It is possible, however, to reduce noise differences with some data averaging schemes. The ocean color data from OCTS and POLDER can therefore be compared and merged in the sense that there is no significant bias between two.

Wang, Menghua↗
NASA NTRS2012

Validation of Aquarius Measurements Using Radiative Transfer Models at L-Band

Aquarius/SAC-D was launched in June 2011 by NASA and CONAE (Argentine space agency). Aquarius includes three L-band (1.4 GHz) radiometers dedicated to measuring sea surface salinity. We report detailed comparisons of Aquarius measurements with radiative transfer model predictions. These comparisons were used as part ofthe initial assessment of Aquarius data. In particular, they were used successfully to estimate the radiometer calibration bias and stability. Further comparisons are being performed to assess the performance of models in the retrieval algorithm for correcting the effect of sources of geophysical "noise" (e.g. the galactic background, atmospheric attenuation and reflected signal from the Sun). Such corrections are critical in bringing the error in retrieved salinity down to the required 0.2 practical salinity unit (psu) on monthly global maps at 150 km by 150 km resolution. The forward models making up the Aquarius simulator have been very useful for preparatory studies in the years leading to Aquarius' launch. The simulator includes various components to compute effects ofthe following processes on the measured signal: 1) emission from Earth surfaces (ocean, land, ice), 2) atmospheric emission and absorption, 3) emission from the Sun, Moon and celestial Sky (directly through the antenna sidelobes or after reflection/scattering at the Earth surface), 4) Faraday rotation, and 5) convolution of the scene by the antenna gain patterns. Since the Aquarius radiometers tum-on in late July 2011, the simulator has been used to perform a first order validation of the data. This included checking the order of magnitude ofthe signal over ocean, land and ice surfaces, checking the relative amplitude of signal at different polarizations, and checking the variation with incidence angle. The comparisons were also used to assess calibration bias and monitor instruments calibration drift. The simulator is also being used in the salinity retrieval. For example, initial assessments of the salinity retrieved from Aquarius data showed degradation in accuracy at locations where glint from the galactic sky background was important. This was traced to an inaccurate correction for the Sky glint. We present comparisons of the simulator prediction to the Aquarius data in order to assess the performances of the models of various physical processes impacting the measurements, such as the effect of sea surface roughness, the impact of the celestial Sky and the Sun emission scattered at the rough ocean surface. We discuss what components of the simulator appear reliable and which ones need improvements. Improved knowledge on the radiative transfer models at L-band will not only lead to better salinity retrieved from Aquarius data, it will also allow be beneficial for SMOS or the upcoming SMAP mission.

Dinnat, E.↗
DOE OSTI2025

The Observed and Projected Changes of Global Monsoons: Current Status and Future Perspectives

The global monsoon system, encompassing the Asian-Australian, African, and American monsoons, sustains two-thirds of the world’s population by regulating water resources and agriculture. Monsoon anomalies pose severe risks, including floods and droughts. Recent research associated with the implementation of the Global Monsoons Model Intercomparison Project under the umbrella of CMIP6 has advanced our understanding of its historical variability and driving mechanisms. Observational data reveal a 20th-century shift: increased rainfall pre-1950s, followed by aridification and partial recovery post-1980s, driven by both internal variability (e.g., Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation) and external forcings (greenhouse gases, aerosols), while ENSO drives interannual variability through ocean-atmosphere interactions. Future projections under greenhouse forcing suggest long-term monsoon intensification, though regional disparities and model uncertainties persist. Models indicate robust trends but struggle to quantify extremes, where thermodynamic effects (warming-induced moisture rise) uniformly boost heavy rainfall, while dynamical shifts (circulation changes) create spatial heterogeneity. Volcanic eruptions and proposed solar radiation modification (SRM) further complicate predictions: tropical eruptions suppress monsoons, whereas high-latitude events alter cross-equatorial flows, highlighting unresolved feedbacks. The emergent constraint approach is booming in terms of correcting future projections and reducing uncertainty with respect to the global monsoons. Critical challenges remain. Model biases and sparse 20th-century observational data hinder accurate attribution. The interplay between natural variability and anthropogenic forcings, along with nonlinear extreme precipitation risks under warming, demands deeper mechanistic insights. Additionally, SRM’s regional impacts and hemispheric monsoon interactions require systematic evaluation. Addressing these gaps necessitates enhanced observational networks, refined climate models, and interdisciplinary efforts to disentangle multiscale drivers, ultimately improving resilience strategies for monsoon-dependent regions.

climate extreme events↗
DOE OSTI2023

Tritium Breeding Ratio Evaluation of Solid Breeder Concepts for the FESS-FNSF

This paper presents a parametric study of the Fusion Energy System Studies-Fusion Nuclear Science Facility’s (FNSF’s) tritium breeding performance for several solid breeder concepts, neutron multiplying materials, and blanket materials, assuming volume fractions based on the most recent FNSF design as a realistically representative fusion facility. In this study, we initially surveyed the tritium breeding ratio (TBR) of several solid breeder concepts by employing a simplified but efficient one-dimensional (1-D) infinite cylinder reduced-order model (ROM). Parametric studies were performed with the ROMs for the full range of breeder-to-multiplier ratios to identify the optimum mixture compositions for each breeder type that would lead to a maximum TBR. These optimized breeder-multiplier combinations were then homogenized with FNSF blanket component materials to estimate their impacts on the TBR. Subsequently, as a validation step for the optimal designs, TBR calculations were performed using a more realistic modified 1-D ROM with inner and outer breeding regions, as well as with a fully detailed 22.5-deg three-dimensional (3-D) sector of the FNSF to assess the impact of geometry details on the TBR. The differences between the two 1-D models were negligible, while the ROMs were able to correctly predict trends and identify the maximum and minimum TBR cases, as well as show consistent biases relative to the results produced by the full 3-D, 22.5-deg sector for specific breeder/multiplier combinations. Solid breeder concepts such as Li 2 O, Li 4 SiO 4 , and Li 8 ZrO 6 outperformed all others in this study in terms of TBR performance when combined with all the neutron multiplier materials selected. Here, an underlying goal of this study was to develop and improve rapid and reliable ROMs to aid designers during parametric optimizations of highly complex and computationally expensive fusion models.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2020

Determination of jet calibration and energy resolution in proton–proton collisions at $\sqrt{s} = 8~\hbox {TeV}$ using the ATLAS detector

The jet energy scale, jet energy resolution, and their systematic uncertainties are measured for jets reconstructed with the ATLAS detector in 2012 using proton–proton data produced at a centre-of-mass energy of 8 TeV with an integrated luminosity of 20fb -1 . Jets are reconstructed from clusters of energy depositions in the ATLAS calorimeters using the anti-k t algorithm. A jet calibration scheme is applied in multiple steps, each addressing specific effects including mitigation of contributions from additional proton–proton collisions, loss of energy in dead material, calorimeter non-compensation, angular biases and other global jet effects. The final calibration step uses several in situ techniques and corrects for residual effects not captured by the initial calibration. Furthermore, these analyses measure both the jet energy scale and resolution by exploiting the transverse momentum balance in γ + jet, Z + jet, dijet, and multijet events. A statistical combination of these measurements is performed. In the central detector region, the derived calibration has a precision better than 1% for jets with transverse momentum 150 GeV < p T < 1500 GeV, and the relative energy resolution is (8.4 ± 0.6)% for p T =100 GeV and (23 ± 2)% for p T =20 GeV. The calibration scheme for jets with radius parameter R = 1.0, for which jets receive a dedicated calibration of the jet mass, is also discussed.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
NASA NTRS1977

Deriving mesoscale temperature and moisture fields from satellite radiance measurements over the United States

The ability to provide mesoscale temperature and moisture fields from operational satellite infrared sounding radiances over the United States is explored. High-resolution sounding information for mesoscale analysis and forecasting is shown to be obtainable in mostly clear areas. An iterative retrieval algorithm applied to NOAA-VTPR radiances uses a mean radiosonde sounding as a best initial-guess profile. Temperature soundings are then retrieved at a horizontal resolution of about 70 km, as is an indication of the precipitable water content of the vertical sounding columns. Derived temperature values may be biased in general by the initial-guess sounding or in certain areas by the cloud correction technique, but the resulting relative temperature changes across the field when not contaminated by clouds will be useful for mesoscale forecasting and models. The derived moisture, affected only by high clouds, proves to be reliable to within 0.5 cm of precipitable water and contains valuable horizontal information. Present-day applications from polar-orbiting satellites as well as possibilities from upcoming temperature and moisture sounders on geostationary satellites are noted.

Hillger, D. W.↗
NASA NTRS1981

ECC ozonesonde performance at high altitudes: Pump efficiency

The ECC ozonesonde sampling behavior was examined at pressures ranging from 60 to 6 hPa with the objective of evaluating uncertainties in high altitude ozone data caused by variations in pumping efficiency. The averaged pump efficiency correction curve for a 43 sample set of 3A type ECC pumps showed a 2-3% bias from the curve provided by the manufacturer. In addition, random pump to pump variations (2 sigma) + or - were 5% at 6 hPa. These values probably represent minimum errors since the pumps were from the same production batch. A seven sample set of the newer 4A type ECC pumps was examined, with similar findings as for the 3A types.

Torres, A. L.↗
NASA NTRS1992

Signal processing for airborne doppler radar detection of hazardous wind shear as applied to NASA 1991 radar flight experiment data

Radar data collected during the 1991 NASA flight tests have been selectively analyzed to support research directed at developing both improved as well as new algorithms for detecting hazardous low-altitude windshear. Analysis of aircraft attitude data from several flights indicated that platform stability bandwidths were small compared to the data rate bandwidths which should support an assumption that radar returns can be treated as short time stationary. Various approaches at detection of weather returns in the presence of ground clutter are being investigated. Non-coventional clutter rejection through spectrum mode tracking and classification algorithms is a subject of continuing research. Based upon autoregressive modeling of the radar return time sequence, this approach may offer an alternative to overcome errors in conventional pulse-pair estimates. Adaptive filtering is being evaluated as a means of rejecting clutter with emphasis on low signal-to-clutter ratio situations, particularly in the presence of discrete clutter interference. An analysis of out-of-range clutter returns is included to illustrate effects of ground clutter interference due to range aliasing for aircraft on final approach. Data are presented to indicate how aircraft groundspeed might be corrected from the radar data as well as point to an observed problem of groundspeed estimate bias variation with radar antenna scan angle. A description of how recorded clutter return data are mixed with simulated weather returns is included. This enables the researcher to run controlled experiments to test signal processing algorithms. In the summary research efforts involving improved modelling of radar ground clutter returns and a Bayesian approach at hazard factor estimation are mentioned.

Baxa, Ernest G., Jr.↗
NASA NTRS1994

Two-fluid simulations of galaxy formation

We investigate the formation of galaxies and larger structure with a simulation modeling two gravitationally coupled fluids representing dark matter and baryons. The baryon gas dynamics are calculated with a smoothed particle hydrodynamics (SPH) method, and the physics modeled includes thermal pressure, shock heating, and radiative cooling. We simulate a 16 Mpc periodic cube with 64(exp 3) particles in each fluid and 10% baryon mass fraction. We confirm, for the first time experimentally, disk formation as a natural consequence of hierarchical clustering in a large-scale cosmological environment. The majority of isolated galaxies exhibit centrifugally supported disks. A power-law relation between cold baryonic mass and maximum rotation velocity is found, M varies as nu(sub rot)(exp alpha) with alpha = 2.5 after correcting for differential numerical resolution. Both the spatial and velocity distributions of the simulated galaxies are biased with respect to the dark matter. A counts-in-cells analysis indicates that an unphysical degree of merging in the central cluster is likely responsible for the antibias signal in the correlation function. A robust, scale-dependent velocity bias is measured. The ratio of galaxy to dark matter pairwise velocity dispersions on a scale of 1 Mpc is 0.7. The amplitude is only mildly dependent on redshift or mass cutoff and scales with separation as r(exp 0.2). The degree to which these results depend on numerical parameters is discussed. Mass resolution plays a key role in controlling the resulting fraction of cold, dense baryons. The mass fraction associated with galaxies decreases by a factor of approximately greater than 3 when the mass per particle is increased by a factor 8. Photoionization and energy input from supernova will have to be included to determine more carefully the fraction of highly dissipated material and the characteristics of the stellar component of galaxies.

Evrard, August E.↗
NASA NTRS2006

On-Orbit Maneuver Calibrations for the Stardust Spacecraft

The Stardust spacecraft, launched February 7, 1999, successfully delivered its sample return capsule to the Utah Test and Training Range on January 15, 2006. The entry maneuver strategy included a trajectory correction at entry minus 10 days (TCM18) targeted to entry with the inclusion of a final biased fixed direction maneuver at entry minus 29 hours (TCM19). To meet the stringent entry targeting requirements necessary for human safety and capsule integrity, a campaign of maneuver calibrations were undertaken in summers of 2003 and 2005 to improve performance for both maneuvers. The results of the calibration program are reported here. The in-flight calibrations included a series of several turns to various final attitudes via deadband walks about each of the three spacecraft axes, as well as 12 in-place burns with magnitudes between 0.5 and 1.0 m/s, the range initially expected for TCM19. The turn and burn calibrations as well as the performance of TCM 17, 18 and 19 are discussed.

maneuver↗
NASA NTRS2014

Rotating Balances Used for Fluid Pump Testing

Marshall Space Flight Center has developed and demonstrated two direct read force and moment balances for sensing and resolving the hydrodynamic loads on rotating fluid machinery. These rotating balances consist of a series of stainless steel flexures instrumented with semiconductor type, unidirectional strain gauges arranged into six bridges, then sealed and waterproofed, for use fully submerged in degassed water at rotational speeds up to six thousand revolutions per minute. The balances are used to measure the forces and moments due to the onset and presence of cavitation or other hydrodynamic phenomena on subscale replicas of rocket engine turbomachinery, principally axial pumps (inducers) designed specifically to operate in a cavitating environment. The balances are inserted into the drive assembly with power to and signal from the sensors routed through the drive shaft and out through an air-cooled twenty-channel slip ring. High frequency data - balance forces and moments as well as extensive, flush-mounted pressures around the rotating component periphery - are acquired via a high-speed analog to digital data acquisition system while the test rig conditions are varied continuously. The data acquisition and correction process is described, including the in-situ verifications that are performed to quantify and correct for known system effects such as mechanical imbalance, "added mass," buoyancy, mechanical resonance, and electrical bias. Examples of four types of cavitation oscillations for two typical inducers are described in the laboratory (pressure) and rotating (force) frames: 1) attached, symmetric cavitation, 2) rotating cavitation, 3) attached, asymmetric cavitation, and 4) cavitation surge. Rotating and asymmetric cavitation generate a corresponding unbalanced radial force on the rotating assembly while cavitation surge generates an axial force. Attached, symmetric cavitation induces no measurable force. The frequency of the forces can be determined a priori from the pressure environment while the magnitude of the hydrodynamic force is proportional to the pressure unsteadiness.

Skelley, Stephen↗
NASA NTRS2018

JPSS-2 VIIRS Polarization Sensitivity Performance Comparison with Heritage VIIRS Sensors

The Joint Polar Satellite System 2 (JPSS-2) is the follow-on for the Suomi-National Polar-orbiting Partnership (S-NPP) and Joint Polar Satellite System 1 (JPSS-1) missions. These spacecrafts provide critical weather and global climate products to the user community. A primary sensor on both JPSS and S-NPP is the Visible-Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) with Earth observations covering the Reflective Solar Band (RSB), Thermal Emissive Band (TEB) and Day Night Band (DNB) spectral regions. The VIIRS Sensor Data Records (SDRs) contain the calibrated Earth observations that are used in Environmental Data Record (EDR) products such as Ocean Color/Chlorophyll (OCC) and Sea Surface Temperature (SST). This SDR calibration is performed using unpolarized sources such as the Solar Diffuser (SD) for the RSBs and an On-Board Calibrator BlackBody (OBCBB) for the TEBs. Therefore, polarized Earth scenes will have radiometric bias errors within the SDRs based on how sensitive VIIRS is to polarized illumination and is corrected in some EDR algorithms. This paper will discuss the JPSS-2 VIIRS polarization characterization methodology, polarization sensitivity results and compare its performance to its predecessors S-NPP and JPSS-1 VIIRS. Optical modifications to the JPSS-2 VIIRS sensor to address heritage polarization sensitivity issues will be discussed.

S-NPP↗
DOE OSTI2026

Improvements to In-Canal Assay of High Specific Activity 60Co at the ATR

Improvements to the quality of measurements in the assaying of High Specific Activity (HSA) cobalt 60 produced at the Advanced Test Reactor at the Idaho National Laboratory are presented. Such assays are conducted regularly between cycles at the ATR, and due to the radiological safety concerns, they are performed within the ATR canal. A standard ion chamber detector was placed in a collimated assay tube within the canal. Another tube, parallel to the detector, was used to position various cobalt 60 standards and targets. The collimated port between these tubes allows for the targets to be pulled across via a winch system. Previous measurements were performed at discrete 1.5-inch steps using a hand-cranked winch system. Charge was collected and integrated for 10 seconds at each discrete step during a scan. Two substantial improvements to the assay include an electronically controlled, motor-driven winch system and a software controlled continuous charge collection. Combined, these changes improved the quality of measurements as well as streamline the assay process. Further examination of these charge profiles indicated a reasonable amount of photon scattering, or shine, before a line-of-sight is established. This created inaccuracies in the reported activity of the cobalt targets. A series of MCNP-6.3 calculations were performed in an effort to quantify and correct for this shine effect. The results of the calculations and how they were employed to a create shine correction factor for the in-canal cobalt assay at the ATR are presented. The overall bias showed an overestimation of the HSA cobalt 60 activity by around 7-8%.

07 - ISOTOPES AND RADIATION SOURCES↗
NASA NTRS2021

Residual Temperature Bias Effects in Stratospheric Species Distributions from LIMS

The Nimbus 7 Limb Infrared Monitor of theStratosphere (LIMS) instrument operated from 25 Octo-ber 1978 through 28 May 1979. Its version 6 (V6) profileswere processed and archived in 2002. We present severaldiagnostic examples of the quality of the V6 stratospheric species distributions based on their level 3 zonal Fourier co-efficient products. In particular, we show that there are smalldifferences in the ascending (A) minus descending (D) or-bital temperature–pressure orT(p) profiles (theirA−Dval-ues) that affect (A−D) species values. SystematicA−Dbi-ases inT(p) can arise from small radiance biases and/or fromviewing anomalies along orbits. There can also be (A−D)differences inT(p) due to not resolving and correcting forall of the atmospheric temperature gradient along LIMS tan-gent view-paths. An error inT(p) affects species retrievalsthrough (1) the Planck blackbody function in forward calcu-lations of limb radiance that are part of the iterative retrievalalgorithm of LIMS, and (2) the registration of the measuredLIMS species radiance profiles in pressure altitude, mainlyfor the lower stratosphere. There are clearA−Ddifferencesfor ozone, H2O, and HNO3but not for NO2. Percentage differences are larger in the lower stratosphere for ozone andH2O because those species are optically thick. We evaluateV6 ozone profile biases in the upper stratosphere with the aid of comparisons against a monthly climatology of UV–ozone soundings from rocketsondes. We also provide resultsof time series analyses of V6 ozone, H2O, and potential vor-ticity for the middle stratosphere to show that their average(A+D) V6 level 3 products provide a clear picture of the evolution of those tracers during Northern Hemisphere win-ter. We recommend that researchers use the average V6 level3 product for their science studies of stratospheric ozone andH2O, while keeping in mind that there are uncorrected non-local thermodynamic equilibrium effects in daytime ozone inthe lower mesosphere and in daytime H2O in the uppermoststratosphere. We also point out that the present-day Soundingof the Atmosphere using Broadband Emission Radiometry(SABER) experiment provides measurements and retrievalsof temperature and ozone that are nearly free of anomalousdiurnal variations and of effects from gradients at low and middle latitudes.

Ellis Remsberg↗
DOE OSTI2020

Capturing Deuteration Effects in a Molecular Mechanics Force Field: Deuterated THF and the THF–Water Miscibility Gap

Deuteration is a common chemical modification used in conjunction with experiments such as neutron scattering, NMR, and Fourier-transform infrared for the study of molecular systems. Under the Born–Oppenheimer (BO) approximation, while the underlying potential energy surface remains unchanged by isotopic substitutions, isotopic substitution still alters intramolecular vibrations, which in turn may alter intermolecular interactions. Molecular mechanics (MM) force fields used in classical molecular dynamics simulations are assumed to represent local approximations of the BO potential energy surfaces, and hence, MD simulations using simple isotopic mass substitutions should capture BO-compatible isotope effects. However, standard MM force-field parameterizations do not directly fit to the local harmonic quantum mechanical (QM) Hessian that describes the BO surface, but rather to QM normal-modes and/or mass-dependent internal-coordinate derived distortion energies. In this study, using tetrahydrofuran (THF)–water mixtures as our model system, we show that not only does a simple mass-substitution approach fail to capture an experimentally characterized deuteration effect (the loss of the closed-loop miscibility gap associated with the complete deuteration of THF) but also it is necessary to generate new MM force-field parameters that correctly describe isotopic dependent vibrations to capture the experimental deuteration effect. We show that the origin of this failure is a result of using mass-dependent features to fit the THF MM force field, which unintentionally biases the bonded terms of the force field to represent only the isotopologue used during the original force-field parameterization. In addition, we make use of our isotopologue-corrected force field for D 8 THF to examine the molecular origins of the isotope-dependent loss of the THF–water miscibility gap.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

False Indications of Dose-Response Nonlinearity in Large Epidemiologic Cancer Radiation Cohort Studies; A Simulation Exercise

This study explores the likely prevalence of false indications of dose-response nonlinearity in large epidemiologic cancer radiation cohort studies (A-bomb survivors, INWORKS, Techa River). Reasons: Increasing numbers of tests of nonlinearity are being made in studies. Hypothesized nonlinear dose-response models have been justified to policy makers by analyses that rely in part on isolated findings that could be statistical fluctuations. After removing dose nonlinearity (linearization) by adjusting person-years of observation at each dose category, indications of nonlinearity, necessarily false, were counted in 5,000 randomized replications of six datasets. The average frequency of any false positive for five indicators of nonlinearity tested against a linear null was roughly 25% in Monte Carlo simulations per study, consistent with binomial calculations, increasing to ~50% within 6 studies assessed. Comparable frequencies were found using Akaike's information criterion (AIC) for model selection or multi-model averaging. False above-zero threshold doses were found more than 50% of the time, averaging to 0.05 Gy, consistent with findings in the 6 studies. Such bias, uncorrected, could distort meta-analyses of multiple studies, because meta-analyses can incorporate high P value findings. AIC-based correction for the extra threshold parameter lowered these false occurrences to 8 to 19%. Given the simulation rates, the possibility of false positives might be noted when isolated findings of nonlinearity are discussed in a regulatory context. When reporting a threshold dose with a P value > 0.05, it would be informative to note the expected high false prevalence rate due to bias.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗
NASA NTRS1994

Status of the Shuttle SBUV (SSBUV) calibration of the NOAA SBUV/2 operational ozone sounders and the detection of trends

The Shuttle Solar Backscatter Ultraviolet (SSBUV) experiment has flown four times since October 1989. The purpose of SSBUV is to perform calibration checks of the SBUV ozone sounding instruments on the Nimbus and NOAA satellites in order to remove calibration drift so that ozone trends in the middle stratosphere can be accurately derived. Calibration checks are performed by comparing coincident observations between SSBUV and the satellite instruments. Regular flights of about once per year and maintenance of the SSBUV calibration to 1 percent from flight to flight are the major challenges for SSBUV. To date the required flight frequency has been met and instrument calibration is known to about 1-2 percent for the first three flights. The first comparisons showed 30 percent differences between SSBUV and the original archived Nimbus SBUV data, but considerably smaller differences with the new SBUV 'Version 6' data. Differences between SSBUV and SBUV/2 instruments on NOAA-11 and NOAA-9 were of the order of 5-10 percent respectively. These differences have not been accounted for in the present NOAA data set since they contain initial calibration biases as well as long term instrument drift. With subsequent SSBUV comparisons, the satellite calibration can be corrected, which will then allow an accurate estimate of ozone trends in the upper stratosphere. In this initial study, 1989 Nimbus-7 SBUV data have been corrected using SSBUV observations and then compared to SBUV data for 1980. This comparison then leads to an ozone trend of 7 percent in the upper stratosphere over the tropics for the period 1980 to 1989.

Hilsenrath, Ernest↗