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At least 811 records · Page 45

Pressurizing Hagan and SAVY containers to 30-psig (air) to measure the release of analytical cerium oxide test powder

In response to an ESS surrounding the storage of sealed sources at TA-55, personnel from RP-SVS (Radiation Protection Services) and ORI-2 (Operational Readiness & Execution) were approached by ES-55 (Facility System Engineering) to provide technical testing of known nuclear material storage containers. Testing criteria were determined by SB-PF (Safety Basis for Plutonium Facilities). Tests were conducted in conjunction with multiple related projects at the Aerosol Sciences Laboratory (TA-03-0130-0103). An experimental system was quickly developed to deliver a pressure pulse (30-psig) that mimics a sealed source burst scenario. A series of twelve tests was conducted. Six tests were done with two different 5QT SAVY-4000 containers, where each SAVY filter-lid combination was subjected to three successive test insults. Three tests were done with a (0.375" diameter filter) 8Q.T Hagan container, and three tests with a (0.625" diameter filter) 8QT Hagan container. An unused, fresh container filter was used for each tested Hagan container, each receiving only one test insult per filter. Cerium oxide (CeO 2 ) powder was loaded (100 grams per test) into a nozzle in the tested Hagan and SAVY containers, and the nozzle was hard-plumbed to a ball valve and a pressure source. This system was installed into the Los Alamos RRFMC (Respirable Release Measurement Chamber), which is an integrated multipurpose aerosol wind tunnel that satisfies NQA-1 subpart 2.4 for R&D work. The ball valve was fitted with a mechanical linkage for operation from outside the wind tunnel. An aerodynamic particle sizer counted the particle concentrations and size distributions of released aerosol. Respirable aerosol released during the tests was measured and a correction factor for wind tunnel flowrate and internal duct deposition was applied.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

NSRD-16: Computational Capability to Substantiate DOE-HDBk-3010 Data

Safety basis analysts throughout the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) complex rely heavily on the information provided in the DOE Handbook, DOE-HDBK-3010, Airborne Release Fractions/Rates and Respirable Fractions for Nonreactor Nuclear Facilities, to determine radionuclide source terms from postulated accident scenarios. In calculating source terms, analysts tend to use the DOE Handbook's bounding values on airborne release fractions (ARFs) and respirable fractions (RFs) for various categories of insults (representing potential accident release categories). This is typically due to both time constraints and the avoidance of regulatory critique. Unfortunately, these bounding ARFs/RFs represent extremely conservative values. Moreover, they were derived from very limited small-scale bench/laboratory experiments and/or from engineered judgment. Thus, the basis for the data may not be representative of the actual unique accident conditions and configurations being evaluated. The goal of this research is to develop a more accurate and defensible method to determine bounding values for the DOE Handbook using state-of-art multi-physics-based computer codes. This enables us to better understand the fundamental physics and phenomena associated with the types of accidents in the handbook. In this fourth year, we improved existing computational capabilities to better model fragmentation situations to capture small fragments during an impact accident. In addition, we have provided additional new information for various sections of Chapters 4 and 5 of the Handbook on free fall powders and impacts of solids, and have provided the damage ratio simulations for containers (7A drum and standard waste box) for various drops and impact scenarios. Thus, this work provides a low-cost method to establish physics-justified safety bounds by considering specific geometries and conditions that may not have been previously measured and/or are too costly to perform during an experiment.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

Ecosystems and Networks Integrated with Genes and Molecular Assemblies (ENIGMA) (Final Scientific/Technical Report, Subcontract Award No. 6953691)

The overarching objective the Baliga lab is to develop a mechanistic understanding of the field relevant metabolic processes underlying community partitioning of respiration pathways and physiological state shifts. In order to dissect how environmental perturbations influence microbial regulatory networks, we have constructed data-driven models that capture the dynamic interplay between abiotic and biotic factors during laboratory simulations. Specifically, we have developed multiple computational models (i.e., cMonkey2, EGRIN 2.0, and multiple genome-scale metabolic models) connecting environmental influence to genome-encoded regulatory programs. In addition, we have generated new tools such as Live Anaerobic Cell Sorting (LAnCS) and Fluidized Bed Reactors (FBRs) to investigate the dynamics of community partitioning of metabolic processes supporting sulfate or nitrate respiration, which are two critical activities observed from the field site at Oak Ridge National Labs (ORNL). This framework of connecting field phenomena with laboratory simulations and computational modeling has created the Environmental Simulations and Modelling (EnvSim) campaign within ENIGMA. The campaign, which spans multiple laboratories across ENIGMA and is led by the Baliga group, has established synthetic communities (SynComs) to discover, characterize, and dissect key microbial processes relevant to field observations, such as emissions of the greenhouse gas nitrous oxide (N 2 O). For example, the EnvSim campaign so far has deduced four potential mechanisms that may account for the N 2 O emissions at the FRC and are currently being investigated by labs across ENIGMA. Denitrification may be driven by complete denitrifiers, however, their NosZ enzymes, which catalyze the final step in denitrification by converting N 2 O to N 2 , may be sensitive at a lower pH. Additionally, the denitrification process could be partitioned among organisms and some may have pH-sensitive NosZ genes. Another factor contributing to variable N 2 O emissions relates to the metal co-factors involved in the denitrification pathway. For instance, excess Cu, Al, Mn, U, Ni, Co, Cu, and/or Cd may have inhibitory effects on multiple enzymatic steps during denitrification, while the enzymatic production of nitrite, the precursor of N 2 O, can be limited by the essential metal Mo. Lastly, abiotic production of N 2 O may occur as a result of chemodenitrification, in which metals like Fe, Mn, and some organic compounds can drive redox reactions that convert nitrogen cycle intermediates to N 2 O under the right conditions. Current investigations and analyses have generated multiple transcriptomic profiles aiding the refinement of new metabolic and gene regulatory network model for our denitrifying SynCom. In sum, the previous funding cycle has generated 33 peer-reviewed publications spanning predictive network biology to co-operativity of mutualistic interspecies interactions of evolved communities. Our integration of multiple omics datasets and the development of new network modelling tools has revealed important insights that can explain field observed phenomenon and generated new hypotheses to be investigated in the field.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Technical Assistance for Characterization Studies of Personal Protection Equipment (PPE) (Final CTAP Report)

Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) conducted an independent assessment of three different certified N95 respirators for the State of New Mexico Department of Homeland Security and Emergency Management. The testing conducted under this effort mimicked traditional NIOSH certification testing methodologies, where possible (NIOSH 2019). This included the use of a commercially available off-the-shelf (COTS) instrument typically used in industry for N95 respirator certification (ATI 2018). The COTS system, an Air Techniques International 100Xs automated filter tester, was used for all the testing reported in this document. It is important to note that SNL is NOT a certification laboratory, and all quantitative results are for informational purposes only. Additional technical information of N95-related efforts conducted by this team may be found in: Omana et al. (2020a), Omana et al. (2020b), Celina et al. (2020)

42 ENGINEERING↗

Advancing a Watershed Hydro-Biogeochemical Theory: Linking Water Travel Time and Reaction Rates Under Changing Climate

The major goal of the project is to answer the question how and to what degree does a warming climate alter hydrological functioning and (biogeochemical and chemical weathering) reaction rates at the watershed scale? In particular, how does hydrological functioning (water storage, flow paths, and travel time) change responding to a warming climate? What are the corresponding alterations in biogeochemical and chemical weathering rates at the watershed scale? What is the general watershed-scale reaction rate law that causally links reaction rates to metrics of hydrological functioning that are determined by external hydroclimatic conditions and internal watershed structure characteristics? To answer these questions, we have used field measurements and reactive transport modeling. We have found that: 1) stream chemistry has altered tremendously in warmer years; 2) In this water-limited environment, hydrology is the dominant driver for soil respiration and carbon lateral export at the watershed scale; 3) deeper carbon respiration plays an essential role in regulating the patterns of stream carbon in low and high flow conditions, and deeper groundwater will become increasingly important as warming intensifies. This indicates in mountain streams, a warming climate will modify not only the timing and magnitude of streamflow as expected, but also the chemistry and quality of stream water.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Molecular mechanisms of mycorrhizal‐decomposer interactions and impacts on terrestrial biogeochemistry (Final Technical Report)

Soil microorganisms make nutrients available for plants and control a large portion of greenhouse gas emissions from terrestrial ecosystems by respiring CO 2 to the atmosphere, yet our understanding of how they do this is not clear enough to predict the rate of carbon (C) and nutrient flow through soils and the ecosystems they support. A common and abundant type of soil microorganism that associates with the roots of live plants, known as ectomycorrhizal fungi (EMF), is often able to control the amount of nutrients and C that are released from soil (e.g., as CO 2 respired to the atmosphere) during decomposition by microorganisms.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Defining the Shape Density of Cerium Oxide and Titanium Dioxide Aerosol

The “shape density” of CeO 2 (cerium oxide) powder (American Elements, Los Angeles CA) is estimated to be 0.82 ± 0.02 g cm -3 and the shape density for TiO 2 (titanium dioxide) powder (American Elements, Los Angeles CA) is estimated as 0.54 ± 0.01 g cm -3 . The “shape density” is defined as the measured loose density (ASTM 2018 and ASTM 2021) of a powder divided by the ICRP (International Commission on Radiological Protection) default aerosol shape factor (Valetin 2002). This information is used for experimental measurements of the RRF (respirable release factor) and other respirable source term parameter (US DOE 1994) experiments at the Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL). The shape density is the input parameter to the TSI Inc (Shoreview MN) AIM (Aerosol Instrument Manager) software for the TSI model 3321 APS (Aerodynamic Particle Sizer) (Figure 1).

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

Substrate-explicit Modeling Tutorial

This tutorial Narrative demonstrates how to apply thermodynamic theory, also known as lambda theory, to convert molecular formulas of compounds (derived from FTICR-MS peaks using Formulatiry and R codes) into stoichiometric and kinetic forms of biogeochemical reactions and how to use the resulting kinetic equations to simulate dynamic conversion of compounds in batch and continuous stirred tank reactors. It will address under what conditions respiration rates are driven by thermodynamics, and how respiration rates respond to the variations in parameters and input variables and how to interpret the results.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Electron transport across the cell envelope via multiheme c -type cytochromes in Geobacter sulfurreducens

Extracellular electron transfer (EET) enables certain microorganisms to respire using soluble and insoluble extracellular electron acceptors by transporting electrons across the cell envelope. Among these, G. sulfurreducens serves as a model organism for understanding direct EET pathways, where multiheme c-type cytochromes mediate electron transport from intracellular redox carriers to extracellular acceptors such as Fe(III) oxides and electrodes. This review focuses on heme-dependent electron transfer in Geobacter sulfurreducens, detailing the roles of inner membrane cytochromes, periplasmic carriers, outer membrane conduits, and recently characterized extracellular nanowires formed by polymerized multiheme c-type cytochromes, including OmcS, OmcE, and OmcZ. We examine the state of understanding of their physiological function, their structural features, expression patterns, and essentiality under various respiratory conditions. These insights advance our understanding of microbial anaerobic respiration and have implications for biogeochemical cycling, bioenergy generation, and bioremediation. The molecular architecture, assembly mechanisms, and secretion pathways of multiheme c-type cytochrome nanowires remain active areas of investigation, offering promising directions for future research and biotechnological innovation in engineered microbial systems.

Chemistry↗

The Transcriptional Response of Soil Bacteria to Long-Term Warming and Short-Term Seasonal Fluctuations in a Terrestrial Forest

Terrestrial ecosystems are an important carbon store, and this carbon is vulnerable to microbial degradation with climate warming. After 30 years of experimental warming, carbon stocks in a temperate mixed deciduous forest were observed to be reduced by 30% in the heated plots relative to the controls. In addition, soil respiration was seasonal, as was the warming treatment effect. We therefore hypothesized that long-term warming will have higher expressions of genes related to carbohydrate and lipid metabolism due to increased utilization of recalcitrant carbon pools compared to controls. Because of the seasonal effect of soil respiration and the warming treatment, we further hypothesized that these patterns will be seasonal. We used RNA sequencing to show how the microbial community responds to long-term warming (~30 years) in Harvard Forest, MA. Total RNA was extracted from mineral and organic soil types from two treatment plots (+5°C heated and ambient control), at two time points (June and October) and sequenced using Illumina NextSeq technology. Treatment had a larger effect size on KEGG annotated transcripts than on CAZymes, while soil types more strongly affected CAZymes than KEGG annotated transcripts, though effect sizes overall were small. Although, warming showed a small effect on overall CAZymes expression, several carbohydrate-associated enzymes showed increased expression in heated soils (~68% of all differentially expressed transcripts). Further, exploratory analysis using an unconstrained method showed increased abundances of enzymes related to polysaccharide and lipid metabolism and decomposition in heated soils. Compared to long-term warming, we detected a relatively small effect of seasonal variation on community gene expression. Together, these results indicate that the higher carbohydrate degrading potential of bacteria in heated plots can possibly accelerate a self-reinforcing carbon cycle-temperature feedback in a warming climate.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Extracellular electron uptake from a cathode by the lactic acid bacterium Lactiplantibacillus plantarum

A subset of microorganisms that perform respiration can endogenously utilize insoluble electron donors, such as Fe(II) or a cathode, in a process called extracellular electron transfer (EET). However, it is unknown whether similar endogenous EET can be performed by primarily fermentative species like lactic acid bacteria. We report for the first time electron uptake from a cathode by Lactiplantibacillus plantarum, a primarily fermentative bacteria found in the gut of mammals and in fermented foods. L. plantarum consumed electrons from a cathode and coupled this oxidation to the reduction of both an endogenous organic (pyruvate) and an exogenous inorganic electron acceptor (nitrate). This electron uptake from a cathode reroutes glucose fermentation toward lactate degradation and provides cells with a higher viability upon sugar exhaustion. Moreover, the associated genes and cofactors indicate that this activity is mechanistically different from that one employed by lactic acid bacteria to reduce an anode and to perform respiration. Our results expand our knowledge of the diversity of electroactive species and of the metabolic and bioenergetic strategies used by lactic acid bacteria.

biocathode↗

Coupled Biotic-Abiotic Processes Control Biogeochemical Cycling of Dissolved Organic Matter in the Columbia River Hyporheic Zone

A critical component of assessing the impacts of climate change on watershed ecosystems involves understanding the role that dissolved organic matter (DOM) plays in driving whole ecosystem metabolism. The hyporheic zone—a biogeochemical control point where ground water and river water mix—is characterized by high DOM turnover and microbial activity and is responsible for a large fraction of lotic respiration. Yet, the dynamic nature of this ecotone provides a challenging but important environment to parse out different DOM influences on watershed function and net carbon and nutrient fluxes. We used high-resolution Fourier-transform ion cyclotron resonance mass spectrometry to provide a detailed molecular characterization of DOM and its transformation pathways in the Columbia river watershed. Samples were collected from ground water (adjacent unconfined aquifer underlying the Hanford 300 Area), Columbia river water, and its hyporheic zone. The hyporheic zone was sampled at five locations to capture spatial heterogeneity within the hyporheic zone. Our results revealed that abiotic transformation pathways (e.g., carboxylation), potentially driven by abiotic factors such as sunlight, in both the ground water and river water are likely influencing DOM availability to the hyporheic zone, which could then be coupled with biotic processes for enhanced microbial activity. The ground water profile revealed high rates of N and S transformations via abiotic reactions. The river profile showed enhanced abiotic photodegradation of lignin-like molecules that subsequently entered the hyporheic zone as low molecular weight, more degraded compounds. While the compounds in river water were in part bio-unavailable, some were further shown to increase rates of microbial respiration. Together, river water and ground water enhance microbial activity within the hyporheic zone, regardless of river stage, as shown by elevated putative amino-acid transformations and the abundance of amino-sugar and protein-like compounds. This enhanced microbial activity is further dependent on the composition of ground water and river water inputs. Our results further suggest that abiotic controls on DOM should be incorporated into predictive modeling for understanding watershed dynamics, especially as climate variability and land use could affect light exposure and changes to ground water essential elements, both shown to impact the Columbia river hyporheic zone.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

The Effect of Rapid Development on Soil CO2 Efflux in a Cellulosic Biofuel Stand

As awareness of climate change increases, the need for carbon neutral fuel sources is growing. Lignocellulosic biofuel derived from pine trees has been suggested as one potential energy source; however, it requires more research before its efficacy for climate change mitigation can be determined. Due to the large share of forest carbon held in soils and the extensive area of pine plantations in the southeast U.S., a better understanding of plantation soil carbon dynamics is critical for biofuel carbon accounting. This study evaluated the effects of canopy development and productivity on soil CO2 efflux, a proxy for soil respiration (Rs), in an intensively managed loblolly pine (Pinus taeda) stand over a period from May 2015 to December 2019. We found that leaf area index (LAI) and gross ecosystem production (GEP), as well as meteorological variables, had significant effects on Rs, but that both overall Rs and soil carbon pools did not increase over the course of the study. We thus hypothesize that GEP and LAI had intra-annual effects on Rs, and that the lack of change in Rs is the result of an increase in autotrophic respiration (Ra) that offset a decrease in decomposition of the previous stand’s organic matter.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Soil Oxygen Limits Microbial Phosphorus Utilization in Humid Tropical Forest Soils

Soil phosphorus (P) availability is of special interest in many humid tropical forests, especially those on highly weathered, iron (Fe)- and aluminum (Al)-rich soils where P often limits net primary productivity. Phosphorus cycling is partly dependent on the ability of microbes to compete for P with Fe and Al minerals, which strongly bind P. Soil P availability is also indirectly affected by soil redox conditions due to its effects on microbial activity and reductive dissolution of Fe oxides that may weaken Fe-O-P sorption strength. Here, we explored P sorption, soil Fe (II) concentrations, soil CO2 production, organic and inorganic P pools, and microbial biomass P in tropical soils that typically experience frequent low redox (valley soils), or fluctuating redox conditions (slope soils). Soils from both topographic positions were pre-incubated under oxic or anoxic headspaces and then amended with a mixture of P (as orthophosphate) and carbon (C, as acetate, to maintain microbial activity) and incubated in the dark for 24 h. Phosphorus sorption to the mineral phase occurred on a time scale of seconds to minutes in valley and slope soils, reflecting strong abiotic P sorption capacity. Valley soils were characterized by inherently higher Fe(II) concentrations and lower respiration rates. Under anoxic headspaces, Fe(II) concentrations increased 3-to 5-fold in the both soils. Soil respiration and microbial P utilization declined significantly in both soils under anoxic conditions, regardless of Fe(II) concentrations. Microbial P concentrations were highest when slope soils were incubated under an oxic headspace, despite the high P sorption under these conditions. Our results suggest that microbial P utilization is indirectly limited by low O2 availability and that microbes are able to effectively compete with minerals for P under Fe-oxidizing conditions. These results emphasize the central role of soil microorganisms in regulating P availability, even in the presence of strong abiotic sorption capacity.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Decadal trends in the seasonal-cycle amplitude of terrestrial CO 2 exchange resulting from the ensemble of terrestrial biosphere models

The seasonal-cycle amplitude (SCA) of the atmosphere–ecosystem carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) exchange rate is a useful metric of the responsiveness of the terrestrial biosphere to environmental variations. It is unclear, however, what underlying mechanisms are responsible for the observed increasing trend of SCA in atmospheric CO 2 concentration. Using output data from the Multi-scale Terrestrial Model Intercomparison Project (MsTMIP), we investigated how well the SCA of atmosphere–ecosystem CO 2 exchange was simulated with 15 contemporary terrestrial ecosystem models during the period 1901–2010. Also, we made attempt to evaluate the contributions of potential mechanisms such as atmospheric CO 2 , climate, land-use, and nitrogen deposition, through factorial experiments using different combinations of forcing data. Under contemporary conditions, the simulated global-scale SCA of the cumulative net ecosystem carbon flux of most models was comparable in magnitude with the SCA of atmospheric CO 2 concentrations. Results from factorial simulation experiments showed that elevated atmospheric CO 2 exerted a strong influence on the seasonality amplification. When the model considered not only climate change but also land-use and atmospheric CO 2 changes, the majority of the models showed amplification trends of the SCAs of photosynthesis, respiration, and net ecosystem production (+0.19 % to +0.50 % yr -1 ). In the case of land-use change, it was difficult to separate the contribution of agricultural management to SCA because of inadequacies in both the data and models. The simulated amplification of SCA was approximately consistent with the observational evidence of the SCA in atmospheric CO 2 concentrations. Large inter-model differences remained, however, in the simulated global tendencies and spatial patterns of CO 2 exchanges. Further studies are required to identify a consistent explanation for the simulated and observed amplification trends, including their underlying mechanisms. Nevertheless, this study implied that monitoring of ecosystem seasonality would provide useful insights concerning ecosystem dynamics.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Filtration Performance of Layering Masks and Face Coverings and the Reusability of Cotton Masks after Repeated Washing and Drying

In this study, filtration efficiency of different respirators, face masks, and a 2-ply cotton handkerchief bandana was compared for particles in the size range of 60 nm-4 um under a "perfect fit" condition. The filtration efficiency at the most penetrating particle size of 0.3 um on average ranged from 83-99% for N95 and KN95 respirators, 42-88% for surgical masks, 16-23% for cloth masks, and 9% for bandana. We also investigated the effects of using double surgical masks or layering a cloth mask over various surgical masks in terms of their filtration characteristics. In most of these combinations, the filtration efficiency improved by ~25% for particles 0.3-1 um in diameter without any substantial change in the filter quality factor when compared to the highest of the individual mask results. To investigate the reusability of cotton cloth masks, 2-layer cotton fabric sample coupons were machine washed and dried for 52 cycles leading to an increase in inhalation resistance (~20 Pa) without affecting size-resolved filtration efficiency. Scanning electron microscopy revealed that washing and drying led to the gradual deconstruction of cotton fibers at the scale of several micrometers to hundreds of nanometers in the form of delamination of the fiber wall and fibrillation of the nanofiber constituents. Results indicate that cloth masks may be layered over surgical masks for additional benefits, and that cloth masks made out of cotton fabric can be washed and reused numerous times without a significant loss in filtration efficiency.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Atmospheric inversion of surface carbon flux with consideration of the spatial distribution of US crop production and consumption

In order to improve quantification of the spatial distribution of carbon sinks and sources in the conterminous US, we conduct a nested global atmospheric inversion with detailed spatial information on crop production and consumption. County-level cropland net primary productivity, harvested biomass, soil carbon change, and human and livestock consumption data over the conterminous US are used for this purpose. Time-dependent Bayesian synthesis inversions are conducted based on CO₂ observations at 210 stations to infer CO₂ fluxes globally at monthly time steps with a nested focus on 30 regions in North America. Prior land surface carbon fluxes are first generated using a biospheric model, and the inversions are constrained using prior fluxes with and without adjustments for crop production and consumption over the 2002–2007 period. After these adjustments, the inverted regional carbon sink in the US Midwest increases from 0.25 ± 0.03 to 0.42 ± 0.13 Pg C yr⁻¹, whereas the large sink in the US southeast forest region is weakened from 0.41 ± 0.12 to 0.29 ± 0.12 Pg C yr⁻¹. These adjustments also reduce the inverted sink in the west region from 0.066 ± 0.04 to 0.040 ± 0.02 Pg C yr⁻¹ because of high crop consumption and respiration by humans and livestock. The general pattern of sink increases in crop production areas and sink decreases (or source increases) in crop consumption areas highlights the importance of considering the lateral carbon transfer in crop products in atmospheric inverse modeling, which provides a reliable atmospheric perspective of the overall carbon balance at the continental scale but is unreliable for separating fluxes from different ecosystems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Assessment of model estimates of land-atmosphere CO 2 exchange across Northern Eurasia

A warming climate is altering land-atmosphere exchanges of carbon, with a potential for increased vegetation productivity as well as the mobilization of permafrost soil carbon stores. Here we investigate land-atmosphere carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) cycling through analysis of net ecosystem productivity (NEP) and its component fluxes of gross primary productivity (GPP) and ecosystem respiration (ER) and soil carbon residence time, simulated by a set of land surface models (LSMs) over a region spanning the drainage basin of Northern Eurasia. The retrospective simulations cover the period 1960–2009 at 0.5° resolution, which is a scale common among many global carbon and climate model simulations. Model performance benchmarks were drawn from comparisons against both observed CO 2 fluxes derived from site-based eddy covariance measurements as well as regional-scale GPP estimates based on satellite remote-sensing data. The site-based comparisons depict a tendency for overestimates in GPP and ER for several of the models, particularly at the two sites to the south. For several models the spatial pattern in GPP explains less than half the variance in the MODIS MOD17 GPP product. Across the models NEP increases by as little as 0.01 to as much as 0.79 g C m⁻² yr⁻², equivalent to 3 to 340 % of the respective model means, over the analysis period. For the multimodel average the increase is 135 % of the mean from the first to last 10 years of record (1960–1969 vs. 2000–2009), with a weakening CO 2 sink over the latter decades. Vegetation net primary productivity increased by 8 to 30 % from the first to last 10 years, contributing to soil carbon storage gains. The range in regional mean NEP among the group is twice the multimodel mean, indicative of the uncertainty in CO 2 sink strength. The models simulate that inputs to the soil carbon pool exceeded losses, resulting in a net soil carbon gain amid a decrease in residence time. Our analysis points to improvements in model elements controlling vegetation productivity and soil respiration as being needed for reducing uncertainty in land-atmosphere CO 2 exchange. These advances will require collection of new field data on vegetation and soil dynamics, the development of benchmarking data sets from measurements and remote-sensing observations, and investments in future model development and intercomparison studies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗