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At least 811 records · Page 45

Statistical optical link budget analysis

In this paper, we describe work on extending statistical analysis methods to optical communications links, with a primary focus on intensity modulated, direct detected photon-counting channel utilizing pulse-position-modulation (PPM). We performed analysis on the relationship between bit error rate (BER) requirement, statistical characteristics of the received signal power and noise power, and the coded performance curves. We presented link analysis results with preliminary uncertainty quantifications of signal power and noise power. We used the Consultative Committee for Space Data Systems (CCSDS) Serially Concatenated convolutionally coded Pulse Position Modulation (SCPPM) prototype software [1] to obtain coded performance curves under different operating conditions with varying signal power, background noise power, code rates,and PPM modulation orders. Comparison with traditional, deterministic analysis shows that extra margin needs to be reserved to compensate for the performance losses caused by uncertainties of the link parameters.

Cheung, Kar-Ming↗

SparseLU, A Novel Algorithm and Math Library for Sparse LU Factorization

Decomposing sparse matrices into lower and upper triangular matrices (sparse LU factorization) is a key operation in many computational scientific applications. We developed SparseLU, a sparse linear algebra library that implements a new algorithm for LU factorization on general sparse matrices. The new algorithm divides the input matrix into tiles to which OpenMP tasks are created for factorization computation, where only tiles that contain nonzero elements are computed. For comparative performance analysis, we used the reference library SuperLU. Testing was performed on synthetically generated matrices which replicate the conditions of the real-world matrices. SparseLU is able to reach a mean speedup of ~29× compared to SuperLU.

Valero Lara, Pedro↗

Solid Oxide Fuel Cell/Gas Turbine Hybrid Cycle Technology for Auxiliary Aerospace Power

A notional 440 kW auxiliary power unit has been developed for 300 passenger commercial transport aircraft in 2015AD. A hybrid engine using solid-oxide fuel cell stacks and a gas turbine bottoming cycle has been considered. Steady-state performance analysis during cruise operation has been presented. Trades between performance efficiency and system mass were conducted with system specific energy as the discriminator. Fuel cell performance was examined with an area specific resistance. The ratio of fuel cell versus turbine power was explored through variable fuel utilization. Area specific resistance, fuel utilization, and mission length had interacting effects upon system specific energy. During cruise operation, the simple cycle fuel cell/gas turbine hybrid was not able to outperform current turbine-driven generators for system specific energy, despite a significant improvement in system efficiency. This was due in part to the increased mass of the hybrid engine, and the increased water flow required for on-board fuel reformation. Two planar, anode-supported cell design concepts were considered. Designs that seek to minimize the metallic interconnect layer mass were seen to have a large effect upon the system mass estimates.

Steffen, Christopher J., Jr.↗

Integrated Safety Analysis Teams

Today's complex systems require understanding beyond one person s capability to comprehend. Each system requires a team to divide the system into understandable subsystems which can then be analyzed with an Integrated Hazard Analysis. The team must have both specific experiences and diversity of experience. Safety experience and system understanding are not always manifested in one individual. Group dynamics make the difference between success and failure as well as the difference between a difficult task and a rewarding experience. There are examples in the news which demonstrate the need to connect the pieces of a system into a complete picture. The Columbia disaster is now a standard example of a low consequence hazard in one part of the system; the External Tank is a catastrophic hazard cause for a companion subsystem, the Space Shuttle Orbiter. The interaction between the hardware, the manufacturing process, the handling, and the operations contributed to the problem. Each of these had analysis performed, but who constituted the team which integrated this analysis together? This paper will explore some of the methods used for dividing up a complex system; and how one integration team has analyzed the parts. How this analysis has been documented in one particular launch space vehicle case will also be discussed.

Wetherholt, Jonathan C.↗

Dragonfly Entry and Descent Flight Mechanics Modeling and Analysis for Mission PDR

Dragonfly is a New Frontiers Program mission led by Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Laboratory (APL) which will deliver a rotorcraft lander to Saturn’s moon, Titan [1]. Relative to previous studies presented, Dragonfly recently passed its mission Preliminary Design Review (PDR) [2]. This study presents the updated design and analysis performed for the Dragonfly mission PDR. The entry vehicle analysis includes the phases of entry and descent prior to cruise stage separation until lander separation. These results discuss the robustness of the overall entry sequence as assessed through a Monte Carlo uncertainty analysis as well as sensitivity analysis.

Modeling↗

Loiter performance of turbojet-powered aircraft performance determined by off-design cycle analysis

Loitering performance of airplanes equipped with various turbojet engines was analytically investigated. The engines used in this analysis were selected to show the effects of various engine design variables. Engine performance was determined by means of an off-design cycle analysismaking use of experimentally determined component characteristics. The method of off-design cycle analysis is presented herein and is verified by a check with experimental data.

Koutz, Stanley L↗

Near Rectilinear Halo Orbit Determination with Simulated DSN Observations

This paper presents the results of a high-fidelity simulation of spacecraft orbit determination in a near rectilinear halo orbit (NRHO). Others in the literature have examined this problem with linear covariance analysis, but the highly-nonlinear dynamics of this orbit challenge the assumptions underlying such analyses. The present work builds on similar analysis performed by other authors to contribute a fuller understanding of the operational requirements for NRHO navigation. The present work serves as a check to the assumptions of previous studies and an independent verification of those results. The results from the literature are extended by quantifying the space of orbital states from which a spacecraft with given control authority can safely return to the nominal path. Spacecraft state uncertainty estimates are evaluated as a function of time. Simulated range and range-rate measurements with the Deep Space Network (DSN) ground stations are used to model orbit determination accuracy. Orbit maintenance maneuvers are performed using both short-horizon and long-horizon stationkeeping targeting. Monte Carlo analysis of orbit determination and stationkeeping is performed. This paper quantifies the achievable state uncertainty with deep space network (DSN)-only range and range-rate observations. This paper also addresses requirements on the frequency of DSN observation periods and correlates ground contact frequency with navigation accuracy. The results of several related studies are presented and discussed: the effect of missing ground station passes, the effect of missing stationkeeping maneuvers, the sensitivity of the spacecraft state estimate to realistic error sources, and stationkeeping propellant budget.

Nathan L Parrish↗

NASA Langley Research Center Systems Analysis & Concepts Directorate Participation in the Exploration Systems Architecture Study

The NASA Langley Research Center (LaRC) Systems Analysis & Concepts Directorate (SACD) began studying human exploration missions beyond low Earth orbit (LEO) in the year 1999. This included participation in NASA s Decadal Planning Team (DPT), the NASA Exploration Team (NExT), Space Architect studies and Revolutionary Aerospace Systems Concepts (RASC) architecture studies that were used in formulating the new Vision for Space Exploration. In May of 2005, NASA initiated the Exploration Systems Architecture Study (ESAS). The primary outputs of the ESAS activity were concepts and functional requirements for the Crewed Exploration Vehicle (CEV), its supporting launch vehicle infrastructure and identification of supporting technology requirements and investments. An exploration systems analysis capability has evolved to support these functions in the past and continues to evolve to support anticipated future needs. SACD had significant roles in supporting the ESAS study team. SACD personnel performed the liaison function between the ESAS team and the Shuttle/Station Configuration Options Team (S/SCOT), an agency-wide team charged with using the Space Shuttle to complete the International Space Station (ISS) by the end of Fiscal Year (FY) 2010. The most significant of the identified issues involved the ability of the Space Shuttle system to achieve the desired number of flights in the proposed time frame. SACD with support from the Kennedy Space Center performed analysis showing that, without significant investments in improving the shuttle processing flow, that there was almost no possibility of completing the 28-flight sequence by the end of 2010. SACD performed numerous Lunar Surface Access Module (LSAM) trades to define top level element requirements and establish architecture propellant needs. Configuration trades were conducted to determine the impact of varying degrees of segmentation of the living capabilities of the combined descent stage, ascent stage, and other elements. The technology assessment process was developed and implemented by SACD as the ESAS architecture was refined. SACD implemented a rigorous and objective process which included (a) establishing architectural functional needs, (b) collection, synthesis and mapping of technology data, and (c) performing an objective decision analysis resulting in technology development investment recommendations. The investment recommendation provided budget, schedule, and center/program allocations to develop required technologies for the exploration architecture, as well as the identification of other investment opportunities to maximize performance and flexibility while minimizing cost and risk. A summary of the trades performed and methods utilized by SACD for the Exploration Systems Mission Directorate (ESAS) activity is presented along with how SACD is currently supporting the implementation of the Vision for Space Exploration.

Keyes, Jennifer↗

Integrated System and Application Continuous Performance Monitoring and Analysis Capability

Scientific applications run on high-performance computing (HPC) systems are critical for many national security missions within Sandia and the NNSA complex. However, these applications often face performance degradation and even failures that are challenging to diagnose. To provide unprecedented insight into these issues, the HPC Development, HPC Systems, Computational Science, and Plasma Theory & Simulation departments at Sandia crafted and completed their FY21 ASC Level 2 milestone entitled "Integrated System and Application Continuous Performance Monitoring and Analysis Capability." The milestone created a novel integrated HPC system and application monitoring and analysis capability by extending Sandia's Kokkos application portability framework, Lightweight Distributed Metric Service (LDMS) monitoring tool, and scalable storage, analysis, and visualization pipeline. The extensions to Kokkos and LDMS enable collection and storage of application data during run time, as it is generated, with negligible overhead. This data is combined with HPC system data within the extended analysis pipeline to present relevant visualizations of derived system and application metrics that can be viewed at run time or post run. This new capability was evaluated using several week-long, 290-node runs of Sandia's ElectroMagnetic Plasma In Realistic Environments ( EMPIRE ) modeling and design tool and resulted in 1TB of application data and 50TB of system data. EMPIRE developers remarked this capability was incredibly helpful for quickly assessing application health and performance alongside system state. In short, this milestone work built the foundation for expansive HPC system and application data collection, storage, analysis, visualization, and feedback framework that will increase total scientific output of Sandia's HPC users.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

De-Risking Large-Scale PV Systems Through Data Analytics

Large-scale photovoltaic system performance analysis is being conducted within the US Department of Energy's-sponsored PV Fleet Performance Data Initiative. This collaboration with commercial PV system owners collects and evaluates PV field performance data, and provides reports on aggregated results. Drawing on over 2200 sites across the US and over 24,000 separate PV inverters we have collected in excess of 8.3 gigawatts (GW) of performance data, representing 6-7% of the entire US installed PV capacity. A mixture of utility-scale and large commercial systems are represented, averaging 4.1 megawatts (MW) in size and 5 years in age. Initial results show average system degradation rates at -0.75% / year, which is slightly higher than historically reported module-level values of -0.5%/year. We also found that the availability of systems averaged 97.7%, which is lower than the typical 99% uptime assumed by many project economic forecasts. Given these results, we compared monthly performance with expected production values, based on satellite weather data and a simple PVWatts performance model. We found that systems were performing within 10% of monthly expectation over 90% of the time, with a fleet average vs expected monthly value of 0.994. We also evaluated the impact of extreme weather events on system performance, and found a range of short-term and longer-term performance effects ranging from grid outage, system downtime, module damage and accelerated long-term degradation rate.

analysis↗

Analysis of ECLSS performance during reentry after loss of one ammonia tank

An analysis was performed to determine whether, in case of a loss of one of the ammonia tanks, the Ammonia Boiler System can provide adequate heat rejection for the orbiter ECLSS during reentry. Results indicate that temperatures can be maintained as long as NH3 is available, but that one tank does not contain sufficient NH3 to complete all missions. A recommendation is made to investigate incorporation of onboard NH3 quantity calculations, and/or addition of a third NH3 tank.

Steines, G. J.↗

Modeling and Analysis of Power Processing Systems (MAPPS), initial phase 2

The overall objective of the program is to provide the engineering tools to reduce the analysis, design, and development effort, and thus the cost, in achieving the required performances for switching regulators and dc-dc converter systems. The program was both tutorial and application oriented. Various analytical methods were described in detail and supplemented with examples, and those with standardization appeals were reduced into computer-based subprograms. Major program efforts included those concerning small and large signal control-dependent performance analysis and simulation, control circuit design, power circuit design and optimization, system configuration study, and system performance simulation. Techniques including discrete time domain, conventional frequency domain, Lagrange multiplier, nonlinear programming, and control design synthesis were employed in these efforts. To enhance interactive conversation between the modeling and analysis subprograms and the user, a working prototype of the Data Management Program was also developed to facilitate expansion as future subprogram capabilities increase.

Yu, Y.↗

Quantitative assessment of human motion using video motion analysis

In the study of the dynamics and kinematics of the human body a wide variety of technologies has been developed. Photogrammetric techniques are well documented and are known to provide reliable positional data from recorded images. Often these techniques are used in conjunction with cinematography and videography for analysis of planar motion, and to a lesser degree three-dimensional motion. Cinematography has been the most widely used medium for movement analysis. Excessive operating costs and the lag time required for film development, coupled with recent advances in video technology, have allowed video based motion analysis systems to emerge as a cost effective method of collecting and analyzing human movement. The Anthropometric and Biomechanics Lab at Johnson Space Center utilizes the video based Ariel Performance Analysis System (APAS) to develop data on shirtsleeved and space-suited human performance in order to plan efficient on-orbit intravehicular and extravehicular activities. APAS is a fully integrated system of hardware and software for biomechanics and the analysis of human performance and generalized motion measurement. Major components of the complete system include the video system, the AT compatible computer, and the proprietary software.

Probe, John D.↗

Design-Space Data: Informing Common Design Decisions with Pre-Simulated Data

Design Space Exploration (DSE) analysis techniques represent a data-centric approach to integrating performance analysis in early design phases when there is the greatest potential to cheaply improve the energy efficiency of a building. We focus on a novel extension of DSE called Universal Design Space Exploration (UDSE), which leverages massive databases of pre-simulated analysis that represent all possible outcomes of common analysis workflows. These databases, called Design Spaces, become “universal” when a single pre-simulated design space can be re-applied to future unknown projects. Unlike current simulation methods, which require a design to exist before it can be analyzed and often take minutes or hours to simulate, UDSE leverages pre-simulation to deliver rapid and relevant insight as new designs are conceptualized. The data underpinning UDSE enables advanced statistical and Artificial Intelligence methods, allowing UDSE to deliver a greater understanding of the larger problem being explored, rather than simply delivering analysis of several pre-conceived design options. We believe that UDSE can provide instantaneous, relevant analysis for all building design projects at negligible cost. This paper has two main goals, to develop a relevant Universal Design Space that showcases the potential of UDSE and to release this data freely to industry and academia; thereby lowering the barrier to entry to digital literacy in statistics, ML and AI within the architecture, engineering, construction (AEC) industry.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Automated Orbit Determination System (AODS) requirements definition and analysis

The requirements definition for the prototype version of the automated orbit determination system (AODS) is presented including the AODS requirements at all levels, the functional model as determined through the structured analysis performed during requirements definition, and the results of the requirements analysis. Also specified are the implementation strategy for AODS and the AODS-required external support software system (ADEPT), input and output message formats, and procedures for modifying the requirements.

Waligora, S. R.↗

Design and performance of an arcjet nuclear electric propulsion system for a mid-1990's reference mission

The design and performance of an arcjet nuclear-electric-propulsion spacecraft, suitable for use in the Space Nuclear Power System (SNPS) reference mission, are outlined. The vehicle design was based on a 30-kW ammonia arcjet system operating at an Isp of 1050 s and an efficiency of 45 percent. The arcjet/gimbal system, power-processing unit, and propellant-feed system are described. A 100-kWe SNPS was assumed, and the spacecraft mass was baselined at 5250 kg (excluding the propellant-feed system). A radiation/arcjet efflux diagnostics package was included in the performance analysis. This spacecraft, assuming a Shuttle launch from KSC, can perform a 50-deg inclination change and reach a final orbit of 35,860 km with a 120-d trip time providing a 4-mo active load for the SNPS. Alternatively, a Titan IV launch would provide a mass margin of 120 kg to a 10,000-km, 58-deg final orbit in 74 d. This spacecraft meets the reference-mission constraint of low developmental risk, and is scalable to power levels projected for future space platforms.

Deininger, William D.↗