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At least 811 records · Page 45

Agent-based modeling to evaluate the effects of harvesting biomass and hunting on ring-necked pheasant ( Phasianus colchicus ) populations

As the US strives to divest from fossil fuels, dedicated energy crops have increased in popularity because of their potential to serve as a renewable source of transportation fuel and biomass-generated electricity. Whereas the impacts of crop agriculture on biodiversity have been well-documented, less is known about the potential impacts that growing bioenergy crops could have on wildlife. Here we look specifically at the ring-necked pheasant (Phasianus colchicus) and how pheasant populations may be influenced by growing and harvesting bioenergy crops. We explored effects of temporal harvest strategies at the field scale on biomass yield and pheasant population size. To investigate, we developed an agent-based model (ABM) that simulates ring-necked pheasants, tractors, hunters, and vegetation classes. One such vegetation class is land that is enrolled in a Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) plan specifically targeting pheasant conservation. Using this ABM, we assessed four different landscapes—corn-dominated, CRP-dominated, grassland-dominated, and mixed landscape—under strategies that varied the time of harvest. We also used ecological valuation to compare scenario outcomes from an economic perspective. We determined that biomass yield and pheasant population size were sensitive to harvesting times. Our scenarios totaled between ~$931,000 (minimum) and $3.8 million (maximum) over all landscapes, though on average harvesting in late spring generated the most value ($2.45 million) and harvesting in fall was a close second in terms of profitability ($2.39 million).

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Health and air pollutant emission impacts of net zero CO2 by 2050 scenarios from the energy modeling forum 37 study

Carbon dioxide and non-greenhouse gas air pollutants are emitted from many of the same sources. Decarbonization actions thus typically yield air pollutant emission reductions, resulting in significant air quality benefits. Although several studies have highlighted this connection, including in the context of net zero carbon emission targets, substantial uncertainty remains regarding how alternative technological pathways to this goal will affect the spatial distribution and magnitude of air pollutants. Comprehensive multi-model and multi-scenario analyzes are needed to explore the relative impacts of alternative pathways. Here, our study begins to address this gap by leveraging the results from the recent Energy Modeling Forum 37 inter-model comparison exercise on U.S. decarbonization pathways. Comparing the results of the six teams who submitted air pollutant emissions suggests that strategies that target net zero U.S. carbon emissions would yield significant reductions in many air pollutants, and that this finding is generally robust across pathways. However, some energy sources, such as biomass and fossil fuels with carbon capture, will emit air pollutants and can potentially influence the magnitude, spatial distribution, and even sign of localized air pollutant emission changes. In the second part of this analysis, a simplified air quality and health impacts screening model is used to evaluate the air quality impacts in 2035 of sectoral emission changes from the three models that provided sectoral detail. Relative to a reference scenario, a net zero pathway is estimated to reduce fine particulate matter concentrations across the contiguous U.S., with health benefits from reduced mortality ranging from $\$$65 billion to $\$$250 billion in 2035 alone (2023$\$$s). These benefits would be expected to grow over time as the net zero trajectory becomes more stringent. Both the magnitude of potential benefits and the substantial variation of the projections across models underscore the need for an EMF-like inter-model comparison exercise focused on air quality.

Air pollutants↗

Bioenergy pathways within United States net-zero CO 2 emissions scenarios in the Energy Modeling Forum 37 study

The Energy Modeling Forum 37 study is organized around carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) mitigation scenarios reaching net-zero CO 2 emissions by 2050 in the United States. Here, this paper summarizes the potential contribution of bioenergy use in the electric power, transportation, industrial, and buildings sectors toward meeting that target based on model results. Thirteen modeling teams reported bioenergy consumption in the Reference and Net Zero scenarios. Consumption of bioenergy increased over time in the Reference scenario, from an average across models of 3.2 exajoules (EJ) in 2020 to 3.8 EJ in 2050. Average bioenergy consumption in 2050 increased further to 7.3 EJ in the Net Zero scenario. All scenarios that reach net-zero emissions required some form of carbon dioxide removal to offset emissions that are difficult to reduce. Carbon dioxide removal using bioenergy with CO 2 capture and storage (BECCS) varies widely across models, up to 1000 Mt CO 2 in 2050. Some models rely instead on direct air carbon capture and storage (DACCS), up to 2200 Mt CO 2 , and others use a combination of BECCS and DACCS. Model results show a strong inverse relationship between the amounts of BECCS and DACCS deployed. All modeling teams assumed a carbon sink from land use, land use change, and forestry, further offsetting a portion of emissions from fossil fuels and industry that are expensive to eliminate. Bioenergy consumption in 2050 decreased by an average of 1.5 EJ across eight models in a Net Zero+ scenario relative to the Net Zero scenario, due in part to a lower equilibrium carbon price resulting from optimistic cost assumptions for all energy technologies.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Integrated CO 2 Storage and Brine Extraction

Carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) can reduce CO 2 emissions from fossil fuel power plants by injecting CO 2 into deep saline aquifers for storage. CCUS typically increases reservoir pressure which increases costs, because less CO 2 can be injected, and risks such as induced seismicity. Extracting brine with enhanced water recovery (EWR) from the CO 2 storage reservoir can manage and reduce pressure in the formation, decrease the risks linked to reservoir overpressure (e.g., induced seismicity), increase CO 2 storage capacity, and enable CO 2 plume management. We modeled scenarios of CO 2 injection with EWR into the Rock Springs Uplift (RSU) formation in southwest Wyoming. The Finite Element Heat and Mass Transfer Code (FEHM) was used to model CO 2 injection with brine extraction and the corresponding increase in pressure within the RSU. We analyzed the model for pressure management, CO 2 storage, CO 2 saturation, and brine extraction due to the quantity and location of brine extraction wells. The model limited CO 2 injection to a constant pressure increase of two MPa at the injection well with and without extracting brine at hydrostatic pressure. Finally, we found that brine extraction can be used as a technical and cost-effective pressure management strategy to limit reservoir pressure buildup and increase CO 2 storage associated with a single injection well.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Stochastic optimization of cellulosic biofuel supply chain incorporating feedstock yield uncertainty

The global goal to reduce dependence on fossil fuels and to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions has resulted in research focused on environment friendly and socio-economically sustainable renewable energy sources. However, commercial production of bio-energy is constrained by biomass supply uncertainty and associated costs. This study presents an integrated approach to determining the optimal biofuel supply chain considering biomass yield uncertainty. A two-stage stochastic mixed integer linear programming is utilized to minimize the expected system cost while incorporating yield uncertainty in the strategic level decisions related to biomass production and biorefinery investment. Applicability of the stochastic model is illustrated through a case study of switchgrass-based biofuel in west Tennessee.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Numerical simulation of Water-alternating-gas Process for Optimizing EOR and Carbon Storage

Carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) generated by fossil fuel combustion can have serious consequences for humans and environments. Carbon capture, utilization and geological storage (CCUS) is a key approach to reduce the emissions of the anthropogenic CO 2 into the atmosphere. Of those, sequestering the CO 2 into depleted hydrocarbon reservoirs with associated enhanced oil recovery is the most achievable approach under current economic constraints since it increases recovery of existing oil reserves, and bridges the gap between nonprofit geological CO 2 sequestration and profit CO 2 -EOR. The Upper Devonian fluvial sandstone reservoir in Jacksonburg-Stringtown oil field in West Virginia, which has produced over 22 million barrels of oil since 1895, is an ideal candidate for CO 2 sequestration coupled with EOR. This research illustrates an example of CCUS, in which CO 2 is sequestered into underground meanwhile enhanced oil recovery from the depleted hydrocarbon reservoir by water alternating gas (WAG) strategy. Three CO 2 storage mechanisms including structural/stratigraphic trapping, dissolution trapping, and residual trapping are considered. A 3D geological model is constructed based on existing geological data from the Jacksonburg-Stringtown oil field. A 3D composition fluid model with 0.4 pore volume (PV) of water injection before WAG process is considered as a benchmark of this study. Several factors including WAG cycle period, injection time ratio, CO 2 injection rate are evaluated. After injection wells are completely shut-in, stored CO 2 is monitored for additional 200 years as a function of various storage mechanisms. The result shows that over 6 years of WAG injection, total 12 - 40 MMlb-mol CO 2 is sequestrated and oil recovery factor can achieve 28%. As a conclusion, this research constructs a basic workflow for CO 2 storage coupled with CO 2 -EOR which can be applied to other super-mature oil fields.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Development of environmental impact monitoring protocol for offshore carbon capture and storage (CCS): A biological perspective

Offshore geologic storage of carbon dioxide (CO{sub 2}), known as offshore carbon capture and sequestration (CCS), has been under active investigation as a safe, effective mitigation option for reducing CO{sub 2} levels from anthropogenic fossil fuel burning and climate change. Along with increasing trends in implementation plans and related logistics on offshore CCS, thorough risk assessment (i.e. environmental impact monitoring) needs to be conducted to evaluate potential risks, such as CO{sub 2} gas leakage at injection sites. Gas leaks from offshore CCS may affect the physiology of marine organisms and disrupt certain ecosystem functions, thereby posing an environmental risk. Here, we synthesize current knowledge on environmental impact monitoring of offshore CCS with an emphasis on biological aspects and provide suggestions for better practice. Based on our critical review of preexisting literatures, this paper: 1) discusses key variables sensitive to or indicative of gas leakage by summarizing physico-chemical and ecological variables measured from previous monitoring cruises on offshore CCS; 2) lists ecosystem and organism responses to a similar environmental condition to CO{sub 2} leakage and associated impacts, such as ocean acidification and hypercapnia, to predict how they serve as responsive indicators of short- and long-term gas exposure, and 3) discusses the designs of the artificial gas release experiments in fields and the best model simulation to produce realistic leakage scenarios in marine ecosystems. Based on our analysis, we suggest that proper incorporation of biological aspects will provide successful and robust long-term monitoring strategies with earlier detection of gas leakage, thus reducing the risks associated with offshore CCS. - Highlights: • This paper synthesizes the current knowledge on environmental impact monitoring of offshore Carbon Capture and Sequestration (CCS). • Impacts of CO{sub 2} leakage (ocean acidification, hypercapnia) on marine organisms and ecosystems are discussed. • Insights and recommendations on EIA monitoring for CCS operations are proposed specifically in marine ecosystem perspective.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Multistage Stochastic optimization for mid-term integrated generation and maintenance scheduling of cascaded hydroelectric system with renewable energy uncertainty

The uncertainties resulting from the escalating penetration of renewable energy resources pose severe challenges to the efficient operation of modern power systems. Hydroelectricity is characterized by its flexibility, controllability, and reliability, and thus becomes one of the most ideal energy resources to hedge against such uncertainties. This paper studies the mid-term integrated generation and maintenance scheduling of a cascaded hydroelectric system (CHS) consisting of multiple cascaded reservoirs and hydroelectric units. To precisely describe the mid-term water regulation policies, the hydraulic coupling relationship and water-energy nexus of CHS are incorporated into the proposed optimization model. The uncertainties of natural water inflow and the power outputs of wind/solar energy generation are taken into consideration and captured via a stochastic process modeled by a scenario tree. A multistage stochastic optimization (MSO) approach is developed to coordinate the complementary operations of multiple energy resources, by optimizing the mid-term water resource management, generation scheduling, and maintenance scheduling of CHS. The proposed MSO model is formulated as a large-scale mixed-integer linear program that presents significant computational intractability. To address this issue, a tailored Benders decomposition algorithm is developed. Two real-world case studies are conducted to demonstrate the capability and characteristics of the proposed model and algorithm. The computational results show that the proposed MSO model can exploit the flexibility of hydroelectricity to efficiently respond to variable wind and solar power, and reserve water resources for the generation in peak months to reduce the consumption of fossil fuel. Furthermore, the proposed solution approach also exhibits promising computational efficiency when handling large-scale models.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

Role of electron pathway in dimensionally increasing water splitting reaction sites in liquid electrolytes

Hydrogen from water splitting is one of the most promising alternatives for fossil fuels in solving the global energy crisis, while its electrochemical reaction mechanism, especially in liquid electrolytes, remains unclear. Herein, how the electrode conductivity affects the reaction sites of oxygen evolution reactions (OERs) in acidic and alkaline solutions was investigated by employing visualization system and electrochemical testing. Inserting Au nanolayers greatly increased electrode conductivities, improved OER kinetics and reduced cell ohmic resistance, leading to excellent water splitting performances in both acidic and alkaline electrolytes. Furthermore, the in-situ visualization results showed more reaction sites and higher catalyst utilizations were achieved by augmenting the electrode conductivity, and reaction sites increased from 1-dimension to 2-dimension. Additionally, it was discovered that electrical conductivities of acidic and alkaline solutions are insufficient to overcome the sharp drop of potential in the electrical double layer for activating OER uniformly on low-conductivity catalysts, indicating the importance of electrical conductivity of the electrode in acidic and alkaline water electrolyzers. This study provided a guidance on how to develop efficient and compact electrodes for acidic and alkaline water electrolyzer stacks and other electrochemical devices, such as fuel cell, N2 reduction, CO 2 conversion, etc.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Carbon and energy cost impacts of electrification of space heating with heat pumps in the US

In order to meet climate goals, it will be necessary to significantly reduce the greenhouse gases emitted by homes. A key factor in the US is to reduce the on-site combustion of fossil fuels for heating end-uses and to replace this with use of electric heat pump technologies connected to a low-carbon grid. The replacement of natural gas furnaces with electric heat pumps is a key home decarbonization strategy. However, the potential for space heating electrification to reduce greenhouse gas emissions depends on the carbon dioxide equivalent (CO 2 e) content of the electricity used by the heat pump. This varies considerably depending on the source of electricity, with large state to state variability. Furthermore, household energy costs are likely to be impacted by the electrification of space heating, because retail energy prices for both natural gas and electricity in each state vary by factors of seven and four, respectively. Contractors, energy programs, government and building code officials, as well as consumers need clear indications of the likely CO 2 e and energy cost impacts of proposed electrification projects, because these will affect decarbonization choices and rationales around scaled heating electrification. Government and utility programs also need to be aware of the likely outcomes of any supported/incentivized measures. Here, in this paper, we investigate these effects by looking at new metrics to analyze the change in CO 2 e emitted and the cost to meet home heating loads when switching from a natural gas furnace to a heat pump for the contiguous 48 states of the mainland US.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Research advances towards large-scale solar hydrogen production from water

Solar hydrogen production from water is a sustainable alternative to traditional hydrogen production route using fossil fuels. However, there is still no existing large-scale solar hydrogen production system to compete with its counterpart. In this Review, recent developments of four potentially cost-effective pathways towards large-scale solar hydrogen production, viz. photocatalytic, photobiological, solar thermal and photoelectrochemical routes, are discussed, respectively. The limiting factors including efficiency, scalability and durability for scale-up are assessed along with the field performance of the selected systems. Some benchmark studies are highlighted, mostly addressing one or two of the limiting factors, as well as a few recent examples demonstrating upscaled solar hydrogen production systems and emerging trends towards large-scale hydrogen production. Finally, a techno-economic analysis provides a critical comparison of the levelized cost of hydrogen output via each of the four solar-to-hydrogen conversion pathways.

08 HYDROGEN↗

A novel green hydrogen production using water-energy nexus framework

The transformation of electrical energy to hydrogen via water electrolysis consumes considerable amount of fresh water and a productive use of nontraditional water sources enhances the reliability and resilience of energy and water systems. In this study, we have designed a solid oxide electrolysis cell (SOEC) system which is an evolving hydrogen production technology at high temperatures for water electrolysis. Here, the SOEC uses steam generated from flue gas as its feedstock and is fully integrated with numerous power production units, including coal and natural gas-fired power plants as its energy feedstock. While there is a hasten global shift away from fossil fuel, integrating its asset into this technology helps limit the risk and future losses of stranded assets and reduce the cost of investment in the new technologies. But high capital expenditures and doubt concerning the future cost and efficiency upgrade are obstacles to investing in water electrolysis. Such a detailed Levelized cost of hydrogen and techno-economic analysis is conducted to show the viability and environmental impacts of this novel technology. The results show SOEC efficiency of 97.4 % and 56.3 % as thermal-to-hydrogen efficiency of the system with a daily hydrogen production of 242,400 kg at $2.9–3.5/kg H 2 . The estimates show a positive gain prospect in this technology and techno-economic challenges.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Near-term limits to mitigation: challenges arising from contrary mitigation effects from indirect land-use change and sulfur emissions

We explore the implications of potentially perverse greenhouse gas mitigation responses to carbon prices and the complications that could ensue for limiting radiative forcing in the near-term. Specifically we consider the problem of reproducing the radiative forcing pathway for Representative Concentration Pathway, RCP4.5, which stabilizes radiative forcing at 4.5 Wm-2 (650 ppm CO2-e) under a different terrestrial policy assumption. We show that if indirect land-use change emissions are not priced, carbon prices that can replicate this pathway in the near-term may not exist. We further show that additional complexities could emerge as a consequence of the co-production of CO2 and sulfur emissions as byproducts of fossil fuel combustion.

Calvin, Katherine V.↗

Baseline projections for Latin America: base-year assumptions, key drivers and greenhouse emissions

This article provides an overview of the base-year assumptions and core baseline projections for the set of models participating in the LAMP and CLIMACAP projects. Here we present the range in core baseline projections for Latin America, and identify key differences between model projections including how these projections compare to historic trends. We find relatively large differences across models in base year assumptions related to population, GDP, energy and CO 2 emissions due to the use of different data sources, but also conclude that this does not influence the range of projections. We find that population and GDP projections across models span a broad range, comparable to the range represented by the set of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). Kaya-factor decomposition indicates that the set of core baseline scenarios mirrors trends experienced over the past decades. Emissions in Latin America are projected to rise as result of GDP and population growth and a minor shift in the energy mix toward fossil fuels. Most scenarios assume a somewhat higher GDP growth than historically observed and continued decline of population growth. Minor changes in energy intensity or energy mix are projected over the next few decades.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Effect of multi-tank thermal energy storage, recuperator effectiveness, and solar receiver conductance on the performance of a concentrated solar supercritical CO 2 -based power plant operating under different seasonal conditions

Renewable energy technologies based on solar energy concentration are important alternatives to supply the rising energy demand in the world and to mitigate the negative environmental impact caused by the extensive use of fossil-fuels. In this work, a thermodynamic model based on energy and exergy analyses is developed to study the transient behavior of a Concentrated Solar Power (CSP) supercritical CO2 plant operating under different seasonal conditions. The system analyzed is composed of a central receiver, hot and cold thermal energy storage units, a heat exchanger, a recuperator, and three-stage compression and expansion subsystems with intercoolers between compressors and reheaters between turbines, respectively. From the exergy analysis, the recuperator, the hot thermal energy storage, and the solar receiver were identified as the main sources for exergy destruction with more than 70% of the total lost work in the plant. These components offer an important potential to improve the system’s performance via design optimization. With reference parameters, the system reaches efficiencies of about 18.5%. These efficiencies are increased with a combination of improved design parameters, reaching values of between 24.1% and 26.2%, depending on the season, which are relatively good for CSP plants.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

The reservoir network: A new network topology for district heating and cooling

Thermal district networks are effective solutions to substitute fossil fuels with renewable energy sources for heating and cooling. Moreover, thermal networking of buildings allows energy efficiency to be further increased. The waste heat from cooling can be reused for heating in thermal district systems. Because of bidirectional energy flows between prosumers, thermal networks require new hydraulic concepts. In this work, we present a novel network topology for simultaneous heating and cooling: the reservoir network. The reservoir network is robust in operation due to hydraulic decoupling of transfer stations, integrates heat sources and heat sinks at various temperature levels and is flexible in terms of network expansion. Furthermore, we used Modelica simulations to compare the new single-pipe reservoir network to a basecase double-pipe network, taking yearly demand profiles of different building types for heating and cooling. The electric energy consumed by the heat pumps and circulations pumps differs between the reservoir and base case networks by less than 1%. However, if the reservoir network is operated with constant instead of variable mass flow rate, the total electrical consumption can increase by 48% compared to the base case. As with any other network topology, the design and control of such networks is crucial to achieving energy efficient operation. Investment costs for piping and trenching depend on the district layout and dimensioning of the network. If a ring layout is applied in a district, the reservoir network with its single-pipe configuration is more economical than other topologies. For a linear layout, the piping costs are slightly higher for the reservoir network than for the base case because of larger pipe diameters.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

High-temperature Pumping of Silicon for Thermal Energy Grid Storage

As the cost of renewable energy falls below fossil fuels, the key barrier to widespread sustainable electricity has become availability on demand. Energy storage can enable dispatchable renewables, but only with drastic cost reductions compared to current batteries. One electricity storage concept that could enable these cost reductions stores electricity as sensible heat in an extremely hot liquid (>2000 °C) and uses multi-junction photovoltaics (MPV) as a heat engine to convert it back to electricity on demand, hours or days later. This paper follows previously reported technoeconomics and liquid containment, examining equipment that would be needed to exchange heat between resistive heaters, a molten silicon storage tank above 2000 °C, and a heat engine. Herein, we report on a pump that was designed and tested to circulate the liquid silicon between these three regions and the effect of spatial thermal cycling was simulated in models and experiments. While the pump successfully circulated silicon between 1800-2080 °C for ten hours, circulation with a temperature gradient caused it and other non-isothermal experiments to dissolve significantly due to the temperature dependent solubility of not only carbon, but also silicon carbide which otherwise protected the graphite infrastructure. Furthermore, methods to reduce dissolution and an alternative embodiment are presented.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Experimental flow-through a single fracture with monolayer proppant at reservoir conditions: A case study on Caney Shale, Southwest Oklahoma, USA

Global energy systems are undergoing a crucial transition to clean energy sources, thereby moving away from fossil-fuel based energy with the ultimate aim of reducing carbon dioxide emissions. It is essential to continue to advance in exploring and developing shale gas resources as this will underpin the global supply of natural gas that is needed to support the energy transition. The challenge hereby is that the slow fluid flow of the shale matrix due to its very low permeability requires large-scale volume fracturing to produce a conductive fracture network that enhances the connectivity between the shale formation and the wellbore. This work examines the influence of a thin proppant layer on a single fracture using a flow-through experiment, and also explores whether proppant embedment in the Caney shale is affected by the rock mineralogy, surface roughness, fluids, confining stress, time, temperature and bedding. The experiment was conducted for a duration of nine days (216 h), experimental temperature was varied from ambient temperature to reservoir temperature of 125 °C (257 °F) and confining stress was varied from 367 psi (2.53MPa) to a maximum of 4011.82 psi (27.66 MPa). Here, we find that the conductivity of the fracture is primarily influenced by the layer of proppant used, surface roughness, mineralogy, fluids, temperature and closure stress.

Caney shale↗