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At least 793 records · Page 44

Skillful Forecasts of Basic Hydrological Quantities Through the Application of SMAP-Based Soil Moisture Retrievals

The top five centimeters of soil lie at the interface between the atmosphere and land; hydrological variations in the atmosphere communicate themselves to the land largely through this layer, and vice-versa. The estimates of near-surface soil moisture provided by the SMAP mission are thus central to studies of hydrological variability. In fact, recent analyses show that the hydrological variability captured in the SMAP soil moisture retrievals can be parlayed into useful hydrological predictions at various leads (weekly out to seasonal). Specifically, at a given location, using the antecedent time series of SMAP Level 2 soil moisture retrievals up to the start of a forecast, skillful predictions can be made of surface soil moisture anomalies at a 1-week lead, of evapotranspiration stress anomalies at a ~1 month lead, and of streamflow anomalies at a multi-month lead. The skill is derived in part from soil moisture memory (along with the interpretation of deeper soil moisture from the surface measurements) and from joint analyses, outside the forecast period, of the SMAP retrievals with existing observational hydrological datasets.

soil moisture retrievals↗

The Two-Cavity Method for Characterizing Acoustical Materials—an Interlaboratory Study

This study focuses on understanding the sound absorption characteristics of porous acoustic materials, which are determined by two key parameters independent of material thickness: characteristic impedance and propagation constant. These parameters can be characterized by testing a porous sample concept in a normal incidence impedance tube using either the two-thickness or the two-cavity method. In the two-thickness method, two samples of varying thicknesses are required. In contrast, the two-cavity method requires testing one sample at two different air cavity depths behind the porous material. This method is particularly advantageous for materials that are costly or challenging to fabricate. This interlaboratory study evaluates the variability of characteristic properties determined using the two-cavity method. Porous acoustic materials were additively manufactured and tested in the Liner Technology Facility(LTF)at NASA Langley Research Center and the Mechanics, Acoustics and Dynamics Lab (MADLab) at Michigan Technological University. The characteristic properties derived from various cavity depth combinations were used to predict the surface impedance of the sample with a rigid backing. The prediction was then compared the measured impedance spectrum. It was also found that the combinations of cavity depths can significantly influence the accuracy of the deduced properties.

acoustic liners↗

BETO 2021 Peer Review - FCIC Task 5 - Preprocessing

In the study of feedstock variability, this presentation specifically looks at preprocessing processes that will created well-defined and homogenous feedstock from variable biomass resources, in the quest to produce homogeneous intermediates that will be converted into market-ready products. The objective of this stage of the project is to develop science-based design and operation principles informed by TEA/LCA that result in predictable, reliable, and scalable performance of preprocessing unit operations (comminution, fractionation, deconstruction, and real-time imaging).

biomass↗

Godiva IV Burst Reproducibility and Diagnostic Testing

Godiva IV is a fast burst critical assembly located at the Nation Criticality Experiment Research Center (NCERC) in the Nevada National Security Site (NNSS). It is constructed of approximately 65 kg of highly enriched uranium (HEU) fuel alloyed with 1.5% molybdenum for strength. The assembly can be operated at delayed critical or can be used to perform super-prompt critical bursts with temperature rises of up to 250 °C. Several projects with the objective of characterizing Go diva IV are ongoing including characterizations of its radiation emission and thermomechanics. One of the characterization projects is a study of the variability in the relative source emission (or fluence in absolute terms) between bursts that are nominally the same size. There is some inherent variation in the number of fissions, or "size" of the burst, even for bursts where the operators perform identical processes. The source of the variation can be attributed to several factors. The largest contributor is the precision with which the operators are able to determine delayed critical (DC). Operators find DC for every burst operation. The impact of being slightly above or below DC can change the super-prompt critical reactivity and therefore the source term. The temperature of the fuel is another factor. Establishing delayed critical prior to performing a burst act as a control of the bulk temperature coefficient of reactivity.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Investigating Interference Term in DUNE And SBND Neutrino Interactions with ACHILLES

Understanding neutrino-nucleus interactions is critical for conducting precise neutrino oscillation ex- periments. However, uncertainties in neutrino-nucleus cross section measurements and our incomplete understanding of nuclear effects remain a significant challenge in neutrino physics. In this paper, we investigate contributions from quantum interference between one-body and two-body interactions in charged-current quasi-elastic (CCQE) neutrino scattering amplitudes, using the ACHILLES event gen- erator. Simulations are performed using muon neutrino flux from Fermilab’s Booster Neutrino Beam (BNB), as well as Long-Baseline Neutrino Facility (LBNF) flux. We observe the neutrino flux interact- ing with Argon nuclei as detected by the Short Baseline Near Detector (SBND) and DUNE Near Detector (DUNE-ND), both Liquid Argon Time Projection Chambers (LArTPC). We focus on one muon and one proton final states with cascade interactions. We analyze multiple experimental observables including outgoing kinematic variables, energy-momentum transfer variables, and Transverse Kinematic Imbalance (TKI) variables. In this study, we also investigate the effects of PRISM (a method of sampling flux from multiple off-axis angles which creates different neutrino energy spectra). We find that the ratio of in- terference to quasi-elastic contributions gives a non-flat distribution across a 0-3.5 GeV energy range, indicating that effects of interference vary with the neutrino energy sampled. Our ultimate goal is to reduce systematic uncertainties from neutrino interactions when conducting oscillation experiments by working to disentangle the effects of quantum interference from the quasi-elastic signature.

Serumaga, Peera [Fermilab; UC, San Diego] (ORCID:0↗

An analytical and experimental study of sound propagation and attenuation in variable-area ducts

The performance of sound suppression techniques in ducts that produce refraction effects due to axial velocity gradients was evaluated. A computer code based on the method of multiple scales was used to calculate the influence of axial variations due to slow changes in the cross-sectional area as well as transverse gradients due to the wall boundary layers. An attempt was made to verify the analytical model through direct comparison of experimental and computational results and the analytical determination of the influence of axial gradients on optimum liner properties. However, the analytical studies were unable to examine the influence of non-parallel ducts on the optimum linear conditions. For liner properties not close to optimum, the analytical predictions and the experimental measurements were compared. The circumferential variations of pressure amplitudes and phases at several axial positions were examined in straight and variable-area ducts, hard-wall and lined sections with and without a mean flow. Reasonable agreement between the theoretical and experimental results was obtained.

Nayfeh, A. H.↗

Fracture Network Influence on Rock Damage and Gas Transport following an Underground Explosion

Simulations of rock damage and gas transport following underground explosions that omit preexisting fracture networks in the subsurface cannot fully characterize the influence of geo-structural variability on gas transport. Previous studies do not consider the impact that fracture network structure and variability have on gas seepage. In this study, we develop a sequentially coupled, axi-symmetric model to look at the damage pattern and resulting gas breakthrough curves following an underground explosion given different fracture network realizations. We simulate 0.327 and 0.164 kT chemical explosives with burial depths of 100 m for 90 stochastically generated fracture networks. Gases quickly reach the surface in 30% of the higher yield simulations and 5% of the lower yield simulations. The fast breakthrough can be attributed to the formation of connected pathways between fractures to the surface. The formation of a connected damage pathway to the surface is not clearly correlated with the fracture intensity (P32) in our simulations. Breakthrough curves with slower transport are highly variable depending on the fracture network sample. The variability in the breakthrough behavior indicates that ignoring the influence of fracture networks on rock damage, which strongly influences the hydraulic properties following an underground explosion, will likely lead to a large underestimation of the uncertainty in the gas transport to the surface. This work highlights the need for incorporation of fracture networks into models for accurately predicting gas seepage following underground explosions.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Separate the Role of Southern and Northern Extra‐Tropical Pacific in Tropical Pacific Climate Variability

Abstract Observational and modeling studies have elucidated the influential role played by the southern and northern extratropical Pacific (SEP and NEP) forcing in shaping dynamics of tropical Pacific climate variability. However, the relative importance of the NEP and SEP and the timescale on which they impact the tropics remain unclear. Using a linear inverse model (LIM) that selectively incorporates or excludes tropical‐extratropical coupling, we find a reduction in tropical interannual variability (∼40%) and low‐frequency (sub‐decadal to decadal) variability in the southeastern tropical Pacific region (∼70%) in the absence of SEP. Conversely, the absence of NEP yields no significant impact on tropical interannual variability but markedly diminishes low‐frequency variability in the central tropical Pacific region (∼70%). LIM and statistic diagnostics on CMIP6 models show the low‐frequency to total variability ratio in the tropical Pacific depending on their NEP and SEP representation. Models with more (less) low‐frequency power tend to show stronger NEP (SEP) dynamics.

Geology↗

On the design of pole modules for inverse systems

When a linear dynamical system admits more than one inverse, it is known that the pole module of any inverse must contain, either as a submodule or as a factor module, a module of fixed poles isomorphic to the zero module of the original system. Design of the pole module for such an inverse system is resolved by introducing a variable pole module for the inverse, by determining necessary and sufficient conditions for a desired module to be a variable pole module, and by studying the manner in which the fixed and variable modules assemble into the pole module of the inverse. If the fixed and variable pole spectra are disjoint, the pole module of the inverse system is a direct sum of the fixed- and variable-pole modules; if not, procedures for addressing the Jordan structure are presented.

Wyman, B. F.↗

Kepler Planet Detection Mission: Introduction and First Results

The Kepler Mission is designed to determine the frequency of Earth-size and rocky planets in and near the habitable zone (HZ) of solar-like stars. The HZ is defined to be the region of space where a rocky planet could maintain liquid water on its surface. Kepler is the 10th competitively-selected Discovery Mission and was launched on March 6, 2009. Since completing its commissioning, Kepler has observed over 156,000 stars simultaneously and near continuously to search for planets that periodically pass in front of their host star (transit). The photometric precision is approximately 23 ppm for 50% of the 12th magnitude dwarf stars for an integration period of 6.5 hours. During the first 3 months of operation the photometer detected transit-like signatures from more than 200 stars. Careful examination shows that many of these events are false-positives such as small stars orbiting large stars or blends of target stars with eclipsing binary stars. Ground-based follow-up observations confirm the discovery of five new exoplanets with sizes between 0.37 andl.6 Jupiter radii (R(sub J)) and orbital periods ranging from 3.2 to 4.9 days. Ground-based observations with the Keck 1, Hobby-Ebberly, Hale, WIYN, MMT, Tillinghast, Shane, and Nordic Optical Telescopes are used to vet the planetary candidates and measure the masses of the putative planets. Observations of occultations and phase variations of hot, short-period planets such as HT-P-7b provide a probe of atmospheric properties. Asteroseismic analysis already shows the presence of p-mode oscillations in several stars. Such observations will be used to measure the mean stellar density and infer the stellar size and age. For stars too dim to permit asteroseismology, observations of the centroid motion of target stars will be used to measure the parallax and be combined with photometric measurements to estimate stellar sizes. Four open clusters are being observed to determine stellar rotation rates as a function of age and spectral type. Many different types of stellar variability are observed with unprecedented precision and over a wide range of time scales. Solar-like photometric variability of thousands of field stars is being studied to determine how photometric variability and the stellar rotation rates change with stellar age and metallicity. A wide variety of other astrophysical phenomena have also been observed. The data are being analyzed at the Ames Research Center and archived at the MAST at STScI. The Kepler Mission also supports a vigorous Guest Observer Program.

Borucki, William↗

Performance limitations of joint variable-feedback controllers due to manipulator structural flexibility

The performance limitations of manipulators under joint variable-feedback control are studied as a function of the mechanical flexibility inherent in the manipulator structure. A finite-dimensional time-domain dynamic model of a two-link two-joint planar manipulator is used in the study. Emphasis is placed on determining the limitations of control algorithms that use only joint variable-feedback information in calculations of control decisions, since most motion control systems in practice are of this kind. Both fine and gross motion cases are studied. Results for fine motion agree well with previously reported results in the literature and are also helpful in explaining the performance limitations in fast gross motions.

Cetinkunt, Sabri↗

Did You Win the GPU Cloud Lottery? Benchmarking from TFLOPS to Tokens/$

Cloud GPUs are commonly assumed to deliver consistent performance for a given GPU model. This assumption does not always hold: cloud providers employ diverse system configurations and virtualization mechanisms, and GPUs themselves exhibit non-negligible manufacturing variability (the silicon lottery). In this work, we present a large-scale measurement study of GPU performance variability across 11 cloud providers, covering over 3,500 physical GPUs and 6,800 benchmark runs. Our hierarchical analysis shows that while execution-level variation stays below 9%, performance varies by up to 38% across devices and providers for the same GPU model. Regression analysis indicates that driver- and OS-related software factors contribute less than 1% of the variance; instead, silicon lottery effects dominate observed performance variation, and cloud providers further amplify them through persistent, systematic second-order effects.

Slynko, Platon [Silicon Data, New York, USA] (ORCI↗

Mesoscale-cloud scale simulation of convective response

The importance of mesoscale moisture information in the forecasting of weather events is being studied. A test is being prepared with the March 6, 1982 Vertical Atmospheric Sounder/Atmospheric Variability Experiment (VAS/AVE) case study to be run on the sub-synoptic scale model (SSM). Intracomparison of three carefully designed simulations should isolate the role of mesoscale information in the initial conditions for both moisture and vertical motion. Three simulations will be made for the period 1200Z 6 March to 0000Z 7 March starting with the regular synoptic time data of 1200Z. The distinction between the three cases arises from data manipulation at 1800Z midway through the forecast period. Comparison of results for the 1800Z to 0000Z time period will give the information desired.

Kopp, F. J.↗

Measurements of Intensity and Scale of Wind-Tunnel Turbulence and Their Relation to the Critical Reynolds Number of Spheres

The investigation of wind-tunnel turbulence, conducted at the National Bureau of Standards with the cooperation of the National Advisory Committee for Aeronautics, has been extended to include a new variable, namely, the scale of the turbulence. This report presents the results of a study of this new variable together with the intensity of the turbulence, and the effect of both on the critical Reynolds number of spheres.

Dryden, Hugh L↗

Characterizing multiscale variability of zero intermittency in spatial rainfall

In this paper the authors study how zero intermittency in spatial rainfall, as described by the fraction of area covered by rainfall, changes with spatial scale of rainfall measurement or representation. A statistical measure of intermittency that describes the size distribution of 'voids' (nonrainy areas imbedded inside rainy areas) as a function of scale is also introduced. Morphological algorithms are proposed for reconstructing rainfall intermittency at fine scales given the intermittency at coarser scales. These algorithms are envisioned to be useful in hydroclimatological studies where the rainfall spatial variability at the subgrid scale needs to be reconstructed from the results of synoptic- or mesoscale meteorological numerical models. The developed methodologies are demsonstrated and tested using data from a severe springtime midlatitude squall line and a mild midlatitude winter storm monitored by a meteorological radar in Norman, Oklahoma.

Kumar, Praveen↗

Voltage-Based Strategies for Preventing Battery Degradation under Diverse Fast-Charging Conditions

Maintaining safe operating conditions is a key challenge for high-performance lithium-ion battery applications. The lithium-plating reaction remains a risk during charging, but limited studies consider the highly variable charging conditions possible in commercial cells. Here we combine pseudo-2D electrochemical modeling with data visualization methods to reveal important relationships between the measurable cell voltage and difficult-to-predict Li-plating onset criteria. An extensively validated model is used to compute Li plating for thousands of multistep charging conditions spanning diverse rates, temperatures, states-of-charge, and cell aging. Here we observe an empirical cell operating voltage limit below which plating does not occur across all conditions, and this limit varies with the battery state-of-charge and aging. A model sensitivity analysis also indicates that, when comparing two charging voltage profiles, the capacity difference at 4.0 V correlates well with the difference in the plating onset capacity. These results encourage simple strategies for Li-plating prevention that are complementary to existing battery controls.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Study of temperature-dependent ultrathin oxide growth on Si(111) using variable-angle spectroscopic ellipsometry

The monolayer-sensitive variable-angle spectroscopic ellipsometry technique was used to study the temperature-dependent growth mechanisms of an ultrathin oxide layer on top of silicon. The oxidation was done in atomic oxygen produced in a pure oxygen plasma and driven by an RF power source. The results have been compared with the recently proposed model of Murali and Murarka for ultrathin oxide growth on top of silicon. The activation energies of different growth parameters associated with the oxide growth have also been determined.

De, Bhola N.↗

Cloud radiative forcing variability during FIFE

The present study evaluates a set of radiative flux surface measurements, concomitant with other meteorological observations, so as to derive the cloud radiative forcing at the surface. The forcing is analyzed in terms of variability and relation to other meteorological parameters. Both SW and LW cloud forcings show a very large temporal variability due to the changing cloudiness and to measurements and computational uncertainties. No dominant correlation between either components of the cloud radiative forcing and cloudiness were found using sky camera data. This is explained by the fact that forcings are a function not only of cloudiness but also of cloud liquid water content and cloud base height. Surface cloud radiative forcing showed a rather large diurnal cycle with a minimum at local noon for the LW component and two pronounced minima at sunrise and sunset for the SW component.

Breon, Francois-Marie↗