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At least 793 records · Page 44

Discrete Deterministic and Stochastic Petri Nets

Petri nets augmented with timing specifications gained a wide acceptance in the area of performance and reliability evaluation of complex systems exhibiting concurrency, synchronization, and conflicts. The state space of time-extended Petri nets is mapped onto its basic underlying stochastic process, which can be shown to be Markovian under the assumption of exponentially distributed firing times. The integration of exponentially and non-exponentially distributed timing is still one of the major problems for the analysis and was first attacked for continuous time Petri nets at the cost of structural or analytical restrictions. We propose a discrete deterministic and stochastic Petri net (DDSPN) formalism with no imposed structural or analytical restrictions where transitions can fire either in zero time or according to arbitrary firing times that can be represented as the time to absorption in a finite absorbing discrete time Markov chain (DTMC). Exponentially distributed firing times are then approximated arbitrarily well by geometric distributions. Deterministic firing times are a special case of the geometric distribution. The underlying stochastic process of a DDSPN is then also a DTMC, from which the transient and stationary solution can be obtained by standard techniques. A comprehensive algorithm and some state space reduction techniques for the analysis of DDSPNs are presented comprising the automatic detection of conflicts and confusions, which removes a major obstacle for the analysis of discrete time models.

MATHEMATICAL MODELS↗

Global Validation of Single-Station Schumann Resonance Lightning Location

Global measurements of large, optically bright lightning events from the Optical Transient Detector (OTD) satellite are used to validate estimates of lightning location from single-station Schumann resonance (SR) data. Bearing estimates are obtained through conventional magnetic direction-finding techniques, while source range is estimated from the range-dependent impedance spectrum of individual SR transients. An analysis of 40 such transients suggests that single-station techniques can locate lightning globally with an accuracy of 1-2mm. This is confirmed by further validation at close ranges from flashes detected by the National Lightning Detection-Network (NLDN). Observations with both OTD and SR systems may be useful for globally locating lightning with necessary, if not sufficient, characteristics to trigger mesospheric sprites.

Boccippio, Dennis↗

Analysis Methods and Results for Weak Gamma-Ray Bursts in the BATSE Data

We report initial results on the statistical properties of the dimmest gamma-ray bursts (GRBs) observed with the Burst and Transient Source Experiment (BATSE), using new ground-based methods to obtain a sample of GRBs from 502 days of BATSE data. Using the most sensitive ground-based detection of GRBs, the sample extends to GRBs much fainter than those detected by the on-board trigger, but because of the temporal resolution of the data, the sample is limited to GRBs of duration of at least 2(approx.)s. For each detected event, Bayesian probabilities are calculated for the event to belong to each of seven classes of differing physical origins. The sample of GRB candidates is defined by the requirement that the Bayesian probability for belonging to the GRB class is higher than 0.5. The intensity distribution of the GRB sample is corrected using a Monte Carlo simulation of the post-flight detection efficiency. The dimmest BATSE bursts of the sample continue the hardness-intensity trend seen in brighter GREs and are consistent with isotropy.

Mitrofanov, I. G.↗

Time-domain Brillouin scattering theory for probe light and acoustic beams propagating at an angle and acousto-optic interaction at material interfaces

A theory has been developed to interpret time-domain Brillouin scattering (TDBS) experiments involving coherent acoustic pulse (CAP) and light pulse beams propagating at an angle to each other. It predicts the influence of the directivity pattern of their acousto-optic interaction on TDBS signals when heterodyne detection of acoustically scattered light is in backward direction to incident light. The theory reveals relationships between the carrier frequency, amplitude and duration of acoustically induced ”wave packets” in light transient reflectivity signals, and factors such as CAP duration, widths of light and sound beams, and their interaction angle. It describes the transient dynamics of these wave packets when the light and CAP encounter material interfaces, and how the light scattering by the incident CAP transforms into scattering by the reflected and transmitted CAPs. The theory suggests that single-point TDBS experiments can determine not only depth positions of buried interfaces but also their local inclinations/orientations.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Infrared observations of small solar-system bodies

A major accomplishment during last year is the recongition of and modeling of the solid-state greenhouse effect for icy satellites. Recent observations of eclipse reappearances suggest that this effect may in fact be observed on Europa and Ganymede. Also the PI has obtained important new data on Europa and Enceladus. Evidence for the transient presence of a volatile, perhaps NH3, OH, on Europa has been obtained. Newly obtained spectra of Enceladus suggest that it does not at present have ammonia or methane in detectable quantities on its surface.

Brown, R. H.↗

Feasibility study of a procedure to detect and warn of low-level wind shear

The wind shear program is directed toward investigating the effects of wind shear on aerodynamic performance. Combining the Joint Airport Weather Studies wind shear data with the B-57B gust gradient data, the transient scales of motion involved in wind shear aircraft accidents or mishaps are being identified. The effect of variable winds having these time scales on the aerodynamic coefficients of moist airfoils were fully investigated. Transient and spatial variation of flow over the airfoil may cause premature stall or hysteresis effects which significantly impact the lift and drag (i.e., aerodynamic coefficients). Analysis of airfoil performance subject to 4-D variable flows will be carried out.

Frost, W.↗

Gaining Real-Time Water Leak Detection

Devens Reserve Forces Training Area is a United States Army Reserve (USAR) Installation that struggles with severe water leaks, often causing significant damage to the facility and requiring major renovation. Traditional water use is highly dependent on occupancy, so it can be difficult to benchmark a facility’s water use. It can be exceptionally difficult when occupancy is transient and/or varies. Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) collaborated with Devens to implement real-time monitoring of their water consumption by utilizing the smart meter data from their existing 23 water meters. PNNL created a simple algorithm to calculate hourly water consumption and trigger an alert to be instantly emailed to Devens’ personnel when there appears to be a water leak in any building with a smart water meter. Here, this approach is expected to save hundreds of thousands of dollars in unnecessary water consumption costs and damages from leaks and was implemented with little-to-no costs or service disruptions. Next steps for this project include slow leak detection through nighttime monitoring and to extrapolate this water leak approach to the remainder 360 water meters on USAR’s Enterprise Building Control System so USAR sites across the country can be instantly notified of potential water leaks.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

A real-time search for Type Ia Supernovae with late-time interactions with circumstellar material in ZTF data

While it is generally accepted that Type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia) are the terminal explosions of white dwarfs (WDs), the nature of their progenitor systems and the mechanisms that lead up to these explosions remain widely debated. In rare cases, the SN ejecta interact with circumstellar material (CSM) that had previously been ejected from the progenitor system. The longer the delay between the creation of the CSM and the SN explosion, the greater the distance between the SN explosion site and the CSM and the later the onset of the interaction. The unknown distance between the CSM and SN explosion site makes it impossible to predict when the interaction will start. If the time between the SN explosion and the onset of the CSM interaction is of the order of several months to years, the SN has generally faded and it is no longer actively followed up on. This makes it even more difficult to detect the interaction while it is happening. In this work, we report on a real-time monitoring programme running between 13 November 2023 and 9 July 2024. It monitored 6914 SNe Ia for signs of late-time rebrightening using the Zwicky Transient Facility (ZTF). Flagged candidates were rapidly followed up on with photometry and spectroscopy to confirm the late-time excess and its position. We report the discovery of a ∼50 day rebrightening event in SN 2020qxz around 1200 rest-frame days after the peak of its light curve. SN 2020qxz exhibited signs of an early CSM interaction, but had faded from view over two years before its reappearance. Initial follow-up spectroscopy revealed the presence of four emission lines, while later follow-up spectroscopy showed that these had faded shortly after the end of the ZTF-detected rebrightening event. Our best match for these emission lines are H β (blueshifted by ∼5900 km s −1 ) and Ca II λ8542 , N I λ8567 , and K I λλ8763, 8767 (all blueshifted by 5100 km s −1 ; although we note that the line identifications are uncertain). This shows that catching and following up on late-time interactions as they occur can offer new clues on the nature of the progenitor systems that produce these SNe by putting constraints on the possible type of donor star. The only way to do this systematically is to use large sky surveys such as ZTF and the upcoming Vera C. Rubin Observatory’s Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) to monitor a large sample of objects for the rare events that reappear long after the object has faded from view.

circumstellar matter↗

The Outburst of the Young Star Gaia19bey

We report photometry and spectroscopy of the outburst of the young stellar object Gaia19bey. We have established the outburst light curve with archival Gaia “G,” ATLAS “Orange,” Zwicky Transient Facility r-band, and Pan-STARRS “rizy”-filter photometry, showing an outburst of ~4 yr duration, longer than typical EX Lupi objects but shorter than FU Orionis objects. Its pre-outburst spectral energy distribution shows a flat far-infrared spectrum, confirming the early evolutionary state of Gaia19bey and its similarity to other deeply embedded young stars experiencing outbursts. A lower limit to the peak outburst luminosity is ~182 L{sub ⊙} at an assumed distance of 1.4 kpc, the minimum plausible distance. Infrared and optical spectroscopy near maximum light show an emission line spectrum, including H i lines, strong red Ca ii emission, other metal emission lines, infrared CO bandhead emission, and a strong infrared continuum. Toward the end of the outburst, the emission lines have all but disappeared and the spectrum has changed into an almost pure continuum spectrum. This indicates a cessation of magnetospheric accretion activity. The near-infrared colors have become redder as Gaia19bey has faded, indicating a cooling of the continuum component. Near the end of the outburst, the only remaining strong emission lines are forbidden shock-excited emission lines. Adaptive optics integral-field spectroscopy shows the H{sub 2} 1–0 S(1) emission with the morphology of an outflow cavity and the extended emission in the [Fe ii] line at 1644 nm with the morphology of an edge-on disk. However, we do not detect any large-scale jet from Gaia19bey.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Infrared Fingerprint and Unimolecular Decay Dynamics of the Hydroperoxyalkyl Intermediate (•QOOH) in Cyclopentane Oxidation

A transient carbon-centered hydroperoxyalkyl intermediate (•QOOH) in the oxidation of cyclopentane is identified by IR action spectroscopy with time-resolved unimolecular decay to hydroxyl (OH) radical products that are detected by UV laser-induced fluorescence. Two nearly degenerate •QOOH isomers, β- and γ-QOOH, are generated by H atom abstraction of the cyclopentyl hydroperoxide precursor. Fundamental and first overtone OH stretch transitions and combination bands of •QOOH are observed and compared with anharmonic frequencies computed by second-order vibrational perturbation theory. An OH stretch transition is also observed for a conformer arising from torsion about a low-energy CCOO barrier. Definitive identification of the β-QOOH isomer relies on its significantly lower transition state (TS) barrier to OH products, which results in rapid unimolecular decay and near unity branching to OH products. A benchmarking approach is utilized to compute high-accuracy stationary point energies, most importantly TS barriers, for cyclopentane oxidation (C 5 H 9 O 2 ), building on higher level reference calculations for ethane oxidation (C 2 H 5 O 2 ). The experimental OH product appearance rates are compared with computed statistical microcanonical rates using RRKM theory, including heavy-atom tunneling, thereby validating the computed TS barrier. The results are extended to thermal unimolecular decay rate constants at temperatures and pressures relevant to cyclopentane combustion via master-equation modeling. Furthermore, the various torsional and ring puckering states of the wells and transition states are explicitly considered in these calculations.

Chemical calculations↗

Integrators

Many electromagnetic measurements detect signals that are the time derivative of the actual quantity of interest. Examples include so-called “B-dot” and “D-dot” detectors that are used for measuring transient magnetic and electric fields. Integration of these signals to recover the quantity of interest is performed either by hardware integrators in the signal line, or by software coding in the analysis programming. Hardware integration is usually done using a classic resistive-capacitive (RC) circuit, or internally in the detector by induction (L/R) or stray capacitance (RC). These hardware integration methods are only approximate, and must be corrected for distortion. This is usually called “droop correction.” In this note, we will examine this correction in some detail. Transient analysis via Laplace transforms will be used to simplify the mathematics. A rudimentary understanding of this method is assumed.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Effect of a buried-wire gage on the separation bubble Numerical study

A numerically simulated buried-wire separation gage is investigated with emphasis on its effect on the separation bubble. The conjugated problem of a supersonic, time-dependent, two-dimensional flowfield above a conductive solid wall with an embedded heat source is solved using implicit finite difference algorithms. Steady-state and transient cases were computed for different locations of the heat source within the bubble. Results show that by using a steady heat source, the flow direction near the wall can be detected, without distorting the flowfield, only if the source is located in regions where the bubble is thick (i.e., not too close to the separation). The flow direction near separation can be detected by using a temperature pulse at the solid/fluid interface with insignificant distortion of the flowfield.

Degani, D.↗

Density and Cavitating Flow Results from a Full-Scale Optical Multiphase Cryogenic Flowmeter

Liquid propulsion systems are hampered by poor flow measurements. The measurement of flow directly impacts safe motor operations, performance parameters as well as providing feedback from ground testing and developmental work. NASA Marshall Space Flight Center, in an effort to improve propulsion sensor technology, has developed an all optical flow meter that directly measures the density of the fluid. The full-scale sensor was tested in a transient, multiphase liquid nitrogen fluid environment. Comparison with traditional density models shows excellent agreement with fluid density with an error of approximately 0.8%. Further evaluation shows the sensor is able to detect cavitation or bubbles in the flow stream and separate out their resulting effects in fluid density.

Korman, Valentin↗

OTD Observations of Continental US Ground and Cloud Flashes

Lightning optical flash parameters (e.g., radiance, area, duration, number of optical groups, and number of optical events) derived from almost five years of Optical Transient Detector (OTD) data are analyzed. Hundreds of thousands of OTD flashes occurring over the continental US are categorized according to flash type (ground or cloud flash) using US National Lightning Detection Network TM (NLDN) data. The statistics of the optical characteristics of the ground and cloud flashes are inter-compared on an overall basis, and as a function of ground flash polarity. A standard two-distribution hypothesis test is used to inter-compare the population means of a given lightning parameter for the two flash types. Given the differences in the statistics of the optical characteristics, it is suggested that statistical analyses (e.g., Bayesian Inference) of the space-based optical measurements might make it possible to successfully discriminate ground and cloud flashes a reasonable percentage of the time.

Koshak, William↗

Time-Domain Astronomy with the Fermi GBM

The Fermi Gamma-ray Burst Monitor (GBM) is an all-sky monitoring instrument sensitive to energies from 8 keV to 40 MeV. Over the past 8 years of operation, the GBM has detected over 240 gamma-ray bursts per year and provided timely GCN notices with localization to few-degree accuracy for follow-up observations. In addition to GRBs, Galactic transients, solar flares, and terrestrial gamma-ray flashes have also been observed. In recent years we have also been searching the continuous GBM data for electromagnetic counterpart to astrophysical neutrinos and gravitational wave events, as these are believed to be associated with gamma-ray bursts. With continuous data downlink every few hours and a temporal resolution of 2 microseconds, GBM is well suited for observing transients and supporting EM follow-up in the era of multi-messenger astronomy.

gamma-ray burst↗

Analysis of Data from the Transient Gamma-Ray Spectrometer Experiment on the GGS/Wind Spacecraft

The data analysis from the TGRS experiment is continuing, although the UC Berkeley PI, K. Hurley, is no longer funded for this effort. This experiment has been returning data on the energy spectra and time histories of cosmic gamma-ray bursts since November 1994, and continues to operate in good health. Over a 3 year period ending in November 1997, 41 bursts have been detected simultaneously by TGRS and Dr. Hurley's Ulysses gamma-ray burst experiment. By comparing the times of arrival of a burst at Ulysses and TGRS, we can obtain an annulus of arrival directions for the event. Typical 3sigma annulus widths range from several arcminutes to tens of arcminutes. Because the WIND spacecraft is as far as several light-seconds from Earth, it is sometimes possible to obtain a second annulus using the Burst and Transient Source Experiment (BATSE) aboard the GRO spacecraft. 23 of the 41 bursts were also observed by this experiment. Generally, the two annuli intersect at grazing incidence, leading to a long, narrow error box which reduces somewhat the error circles obtained from BATSE alone. Table 1 summarizes the burst data from TGRS. We plan to defer the publication of these locations until a larger number of events has been accumulated. Measuring the energy spectra of cosmic gamma-ray bursts to search for line emission is one of the prime objectives of this experiment. However, an intense gamma-ray burst is required, or the statistics become too weak to draw meaningful conclusions. One such event has occurred to date, on August 22, 1995, and we have examined it in detail. The spectrum shows no evidence for lines, however.

Hurley, K.↗

Monitoring of Liquid Metal Reactor Heater Zones with Recurrent Neural Network Learning of Temperature Time Series

Advanced high-temperature fluid reactors (ARs), such as sodium fast reactors (SFRs) and molten salt cooled reactors (MSCRs) utilize high-temperature fluids at ambient pressure. To melt the fluid during reactor startup and prevent fluid freezing during cooldown, the thermal–hydraulic systems of such ARs include heater zones consisting of specific heaters with controllers, temperature sensors, and thermal insulation. The failure of heater zones due to insulation material degradation or improper installation, resulting in parasitic heat losses, can lead to fluid freezing. The detection of faults using a heat-transfer model is difficult because of a lack of knowledge of the experimental details. Data-driven machine learning of heater zone temperature time series offers a viable alternative. In this study, we benchmarked the performance of recurrent neural networks (RNNs) in an analysis of heat-up transient temperature time series of heater zones installed on a liquid sodium vessel. The RNN models include long short-term memory (LSTM) and gated recurrent unit (GRU) networks, as well as their bi-directional variants, BiLSTM and BiGRU. Anomalous temperature points were designated using a percentile-based threshold applied to residual fluctuations in the detrended temperature time series. Additionally, the impact of the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) method on detection accuracy was examined. The RNN models’ performance was assessed using precision, recall, and F 1 score metrics. Results demonstrated that RNN models effectively detect anomalies in temperature time series with the best models for each heater zone achieving F 1 scores of over 93%. To explain the variations in RNN model performance across different heater zones, we used Kullback–Leibler (KL) divergence to quantify the relative entropy between training and testing data, and the Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA) to assess long-range temporal correlations. For datasets with strong long-range correlations and minimal relative entropy between training and testing data, GRU is the best-performing model. When the data exhibits weaker long-term correlations and a significant relative entropy between training and testing distributions, BiGRU shows the best performance. For the data sets with intermediate values of both KL divergence and DFA, the best performance is obtained with LSTM and BiLSTM, respectively.

gated recurrent unit↗

Test of the magneto optical filter during the comet P/Shoemaker-Levy 9 impacts on Jupiter. A Doppler signal detected?

The observations made in July 1994 on the impact of fragment A of the comet P/Shoemaker-Levy 9 with Jupiter are described. The instrumentation used was a magneto-optical filter, acting as a two-channel filter. The data showed a double-peak transient which occurred after the impact, and whose general properties indicated a true jovian origin. The peaks appear in absorption. A numerical simulation can explain the main characteristics of the observed signal where the two peaks have the same polarity and appear only in the channel at shorter wavelengths. The simulation carried out appeared to indicate that the observed signal could be produced by the combination of shock waves and the expanding material with a velocity of 13 +/- 8 km/s. This implies that two separate impacts may have been observed. The developed simulation can be extended to predict long term effects.

Cacciani, A.↗