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DOE OSTI2025

Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis Methods and Applications in the GDSA Framework (FY2025)

The Spent Fuel and Waste Science and Technology Campaign (SFWST) of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Nuclear Energy (NE) is conducting research and development on geologic disposal of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) and high-level nuclear waste (HLW). Two priorities for SFWST are design concept development and disposal system modeling. These priorities are directly addressed in the Geologic Disposal Safety Assessment (GDSA) control account, which is charged with developing a geologic repository system modeling and analysis capability, and the associated software, GDSA Framework, for evaluating disposal system performance for nuclear waste in geologic media. This report describes specific activities in the Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 associated with the GDSA Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis Methods work package. This report fulfills the GDSA Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis Methods work package (SF-25SN01030407) level 3 milestone, Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis Methods and Applications in GDSA Framework (FY2025) (M3SF-25SN010304072). This work was closely coordinated with the other Sandia National Laboratory GDSA work packages: the GDSA Framework Development work package (SF-25SN01030408), the GDSA Repository Systems Analysis work package (SF-25SN01030409), and the GDSA PFLOTRAN Development work package (SF-25SN01030410). This report builds on developments reported in previous GDSA Framework milestones, particularly M3SF-24SN010304072.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2024

Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis Methods and Applications in the GDSA Framework (FY2024)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2024

Methane Quantification Performance of the Quantitative Optical Gas Imaging (QOGI) System Using Single-Blind Controlled Release Assessment

Quantitative optical gas imaging (QOGI) system can rapidly quantify leaks detected by optical gas imaging (OGI) cameras across the oil and gas supply chain. A comprehensive evaluation of the QOGI system’s quantification capability is needed for the successful adoption of the technology. This study conducted single-blind experiments to examine the quantification performance of the FLIR QL320 QOGI system under near-field conditions at a pseudo-realistic, outdoor, controlled testing facility that mimics upstream and midstream natural gas operations. The study completed 357 individual measurements across 26 controlled releases and 71 camera positions for release rates between 0.1 kg Ch 4 /h and 2.9 kg Ch 4 /h of compressed natural gas (which accounts for more than 90% of typical component-level leaks in several production facilities). The majority (75%) of measurements were within a quantification factor of 3 (quantification error of –67% to 200%) with individual errors between –90% and 831%, which reduced to –79% to +297% when the mean of estimates of the same controlled release from multiple camera positions was considered. Performance improved with increasing release rate, using clear sky as plume background, and at wind speeds ≤1 mph relative to other measurement conditions.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2020

NWChem: Past, present, and future

Specialized computational chemistry packages have permanently reshaped the landscape of chemical sciences by providing tools to support and guide the experimental effort and for prediction of chemical and materials properties. In this regard, a special role has been played by electronic structure packages where complex chemical and materials processes can be modeled using first-principle-driven methodologies. Over the last few decades, the rapid development of computing technologies and a tremendous increase in computational power has offered a unique chance to study complex chemical transformations using sophisticated and predictive many-body techniques to describe correlated behavior of electrons in molecular and condensed phase systems at different levels of theory. In enabling these simulations, a critical role has been played by novel parallel algorithms capable of taking advantage of computational resources to address polynomial scaling of electronic structure methods. NWChem was among the first electronic structure codes that focused on delivering scalable performance for electronic structure simulations. Herein, we briefly review the NWChem suite of computational codes including its history, design principles, parallel tools, current capabilities, outreach and outlook.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2020

UNITY: Unified Memory and Storage Space

UNITY is a 36-month project focused on providing design and evaluate a new distributed storage paradigm that unifies the traditionally distinct application views of memory- and file-based data storage into a single scalable and resilient environment. The project is a collaboration among Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL, Lead institution), Los Alamos National Labs (LANL), and Georgia Tech (GT). The main contributions of the GT team have been around development of low level systems software for best leveraging the capabilities of new types of persistent memory technologies, and for development of methods for intelligent data management across memory/storage substrates with heterogeneous components. GT contributed the Phoenix library for optimized checkpoint/restart for HPC I/O for systems with non-volatile memory (NVM), the NVStream library for NVM-specialized streaming I/O for HPC workflows, the CoMerge, Mnemo and Kleio solutions for intelligent data management on NVM-based systems. These contributions result in significant improvements in both application performance and system efficiency.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2022

GDSA Framework Development and Process Model Integration FY2022

The Spent Fuel and Waste Science and Technology (SFWST) Campaign of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Nuclear Energy (NE), Office of Spent Fuel & Waste Disposition (SFWD) is conducting research and development (R&D) on geologic disposal of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) and high-level nuclear waste (HLW). A high priority for SFWST disposal R&D is disposal system modeling (Sassani et al. 2021). The SFWST Geologic Disposal Safety Assessment (GDSA) work package is charged with developing a disposal system modeling and analysis capability for evaluating generic disposal system performance for nuclear waste in geologic media. This report describes fiscal year (FY) 2022 advances of the Geologic Disposal Safety Assessment (GDSA) performance assessment (PA) development groups of the SFWST Campaign. The common mission of these groups is to develop a geologic disposal system modeling capability for nuclear waste that can be used to assess probabilistically the performance of generic disposal options and generic sites. The modeling capability under development is called GDSA Framework (pa.sandia.gov). GDSA Framework is a coordinated set of codes and databases designed for probabilistically simulating the release and transport of disposed radionuclides from a repository to the biosphere for post-closure performance assessment. Primary components of GDSA Framework include PFLOTRAN to simulate the major features, events, and processes (FEPs) over time, Dakota to propagate uncertainty and analyze sensitivities, meshing codes to define the domain, and various other software for rendering properties, processing data, and visualizing results.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2023

An ICME Modeling Framework for Metal Matrix Composites Focusing on Ultrahigh Temperature Matrix Material and Tungsten Carbide Reinforcement Particulate (Final CRADA Report)

Ultra High Temperature Metal Matrix Composites (UHT-MMCs) are of interest to the due to their potential defense and aerospace applications. These materials consist of a metal matrix reinforced with a stiff ceramic or cermet. Based on a preliminary literature survey, this project will focused on a pure titanium (Ti) matrix reinforced with tungsten carbide-cobalt (WC-Co). UHT-MMC technology is still at a nascent stage of development and requires extensive experimental work to optimize the structure and resulting material properties of a particular UHT-MMC material system. An accurate and complete high-performance computing (HPC) model of the Ti/WC-Co material system could greatly accelerate the development and deployment Ti/WC-Co materials by connecting processing parameters to material properties. This type of model could then be used in an integrated computational materials engineering approach to optimize the material structure to achieve a targeted level of performance.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2023

GDSA Framework Development and Process Model Integration FY2023

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2023

Technoeconomic Model and Pathway to <$2/kg Green Hydrogen Using Integrated Halide Perovskite Photoelectrochemical Cells

The cost of gray hydrogen produced via fossil fuel-based steam-methane reforming has led the U.S. Department of Energy to specify <$\$$2/kg H 2 as a target for commercially competitive green hydrogen generation methods. Integrated photoelectrochemical cells have been proposed as a solar-to-hydrogen conversion technology. In this paper we describe a technoeconomically feasible pathway to reaching <$\$$2/kg green H 2 using integrated photoelectrochemical cells with halide perovskite photoabsorbers, low-cost conductive barriers, and low precious metal-content catalysts in an aqueous, membrane-separated cell. A base-case solar-to-hydrogen conversion efficiency of 20%, stable lifetime of 10 years, and a combined electrocatalyst-plus-panel cost of $\$$50/m 2 enabled a levelized cost of hydrogen of $\$$2.43/kg, which dropped below $\$$2/kg with improved performance metrics including material cost, improvements in process design, or subsidies. We relate these metrics to lab-scale reports to recommend best research practices for scientists and funding agencies working at this intersection of photovoltaics, electrocatalysis, and surface science.

$1/kg↗

DOE OSTI2022

Techno-economic performances and life cycle greenhouse gas emissions of various ammonia production pathways including conventional, carbon-capturing, nuclear-powered, and renewable production

Ammonia (NH 3 ) is conventionally produced using fossil natural gas (NG) for hydrogen production through steam reformation and synthesis in the Haber–Bosch (HB) process. The global conventional ammonia production contributes more than 420 million tons of CO 2 emissions annually. Here, in this work, we investigated the techno-economics and well-to-plant-gate (WTG) greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of conventional NG-based, carbon-capturing, nuclear-powered, and renewable ammonia production by developing an engineering process model for each. Carbon-capturing ammonia production refers to the NG-based ammonia production while capturing CO 2 and transporting it via pipelines for storage or utilization. Nuclear-powered and renewable ammonia production represents an alternative ammonia production through water electrolysis, air separation, and the HB process using carbon-free energy sources. Nuclear and renewable energy sources are assumed to be used for nuclear-powered and renewable ammonia production, respectively. Sensitivity analyses are performed for CO 2 pipeline transport distances, potential carbon capture tax credits, and clean H 2 production cost. Carbon-capturing ammonia production reduces WTG GHG emissions by 55–70% compared to conventional NG-based ammonia production methods. Nuclear-powered and renewable ammonia production almost eliminate GHG emissions since energy supply is either zero carbon or near-zero carbon. However, when $4.16–4.83 per kg is the cost assumed for clean H 2 production using state-of-the-art electrolysis technologies, the levelized costs of nuclear-powered and renewable ammonia are calculated to be $0.92–1.06 per kg NH 3 , which are approximately four times higher than the conventional NG-based ammonia production cost. The cost of CO 2 emission avoidance is estimated in the range of $266–318 per metric ton of CO 2 for nuclear-powered and renewable ammonia production. The clean H 2 production cost is the major contributor to the levelized costs of nuclear-powered and renewable ammonia production. A lower production cost, near $1 per kg H 2 , for clean H 2 is required for nuclear-powered and renewable ammonia production to be cost-competitive with conventional NG-based ammonia production.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2025

Optimizing superconducting Nb film cavities by mitigating medium-field Q -slope through annealing

Niobium films are of interest in applications in various superconducting devices, such as superconducting radiofrequency cavities for particle accelerators and superconducting qubits for quantum computing. In this study, we address the persistent medium-field Q-slope issue in Nb film cavities, which, despite their high-quality factor at low RF fields, exhibit a significant Q-slope at medium RF fields compared to bulk Nb cavities. Traditional heat treatments, effective in reducing surface resistance and mitigating the Q-slope in bulk Nb cavities, are challenging for Nb-coated copper cavities. To overcome this challenge, we employed DC bias high-power impulse magnetron sputtering to deposit Nb film onto a 1.3 GHz single-cell elliptical bulk Nb cavity, followed by annealing treatments aimed at modifying the properties of the Nb film. In-situ annealing at 340 °C increased the quench field from 10.0 to 12.5 MV m −1 . Vacuum furnace annealing at 600 °C and 800 °C for 3 h resulted in a quench field increase of 13.5 and 15.3 MV m −1 , respectively. Further annealing at 800 °C for 6 h boosted the quench field to 17.5 MV m −1 . Additionally, the annealing treatments significantly reduced the field dependence of the surface resistance. However, increasing the annealing temperature to 900 °C induced a Q-switch phenomenon in the cavity. The analysis of RF performance and material characterization before and after annealing has provided critical insights into how the microstructure and impurity levels in Nb films influence the evolution of the Q-slope in Nb film cavities. Our findings highlight the significant roles of hydrides, high local misorientation, and lattice and surface defects in driving field-dependent losses. By strategically optimizing film properties and controlling impurity levels, we demonstrate a promising pathway to mitigate the medium-field Q-slope, paving the way for more efficient superconducting RF technologies.

Nb film↗

DOE OSTI2021

Case Study: Field Evaluation of a Low-Cost Circuit-Level Electrical Submetering System

Circuit-level metering technologies provide the ability to monitor individual circuits within an electrical panel in a building, providing detailed power and energy consumption data at a much more granular level than was previously achievable in a cost-effective manner. While the fundamental hardware components of circuit-level—split-core current transformers (CTs) and power monitoring meters—have existed for some time, the new offerings in the market have tightly integrated these components, lower costs, and have streamlined data organization, transport, and access via software solutions accessible through web and application programming interfaces (API). NREL evaluated Meazon’s single-circuit metering system. The evaluation of the equipment under test (EUT) focused on three aspects: (1) accuracy of the data provided by the system, (2) ease of installation of this technology and ease of data integration into existing U.S. General Services Administration (GSA) analytics platforms, and (3) total cost of ownership and cost-effectiveness of the technology. The metering technology was tested in a field deployment where it was installed in low and high-voltage commercial electrical panels in the César E. Chávez Memorial Building in Denver, Colorado. The goals were to assess the metering accuracy, the ease of installation and data retrieval, and the total cost of ownership and cost-effectiveness. This technology proved easy to install by a certified electrician who completed the install of 6 meters in 2 separate panels (120/208 V and 277/480 V) and 2 circuit disconnects (along with associated commissioning) at the César E. Chávez Memorial Building in less than one day. The technology was installed in high- and low-voltage panels and with limited space in the electrical room, demonstrating the applicability of this technology to almost all commercial buildings in the GSA portfolio. Primary considerations for this technology include appropriate sizing of CTs for each circuit, selection of loads/circuits/panels that are of high value for detailed submetering (e.g., tailored for high-load devices), and how GSA would like to integrate these data with its existing energy management infrastructure. Through the field evaluation, we demonstrated data integration from the vendor system into the primary software component on the GSA enterprise-level energy management and information system, GSA Link. Data from the circuit-level metering were integrated into this platform and used to perform FDD. This demonstrated the ability of the EUT to augment existing energy management and information systems in buildings where GSA Link is deployed and provides a pathway for delivering FDD at other buildings throughout the portfolio.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2021

High Level Gap Analysis for Accident Tolerant and Advanced Fuels for Storage and Transportation

This initial gap analysis considers proposed accident tolerant fuel (ATF) options currently being irradiated in commercial reactors, since these are most likely for future batch implementation. Also, advanced fuel (AF) options that may be likely for use in advanced reactors are considered. The cladding technologies considered were chromium-coated zirconium-based alloys, FeCrAl, and both monolithic and matrix composite Silicide carbide (SiC). The fuel technologies considered were chromium-doped uranium dioxide fuel, uranium alloys, uranium nitride, and uranium silicide. Numerous national labs, industry, and countries are performing significant testing and modeling on these proposed technologies to establish performance, but at this time none of the prototypes being irradiated have achieved end-of-life (EOL) burnup. There are some testing results after one burnup cycle to verify in-reactor performance, but little data beyond that. As the ATF prototypes acquire more burnup, data will be produced that is relevant to storage and transportation. The DOE:NE Spent Fuel and Waste Science and Technology (SWFST) Storage and Transportation (ST) Control Account will evaluate the performance data as it becomes available for application to the identified gaps for ST.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Thermopile Energy Harvesting for Subsurface Wellbore Sensors (Final Report)

Robust in situ power harvesting underlies all efforts to enable downhole autonomous sensors for real-time and long-term monitoring of CO 2 plume movement and permeance, wellbore health, and induced seismicity. This project evaluated the potential use of downhole thermopile arrays, known as thermoelectric generators (TEGs), as power sources to charge sensors for in situ real-time, long-term data capture and transmission. Real-time downhole monitoring will enable “Big Data” techniques and machine learning, using massive amounts of continuous data from embedded sensors, to quantify short- and long-term stability and safety of enhanced oil recovery and/or commercial-scale geologic CO 2 storage. This project evaluated possible placement of the TEGs at two different wellbore locations: on the outside of the casing; or on the production tubing. TEGs convert heat flux to electrical power, and in the borehole environment, would convert heat flux into or out of the borehole into power for downhole sensors. Such heat flux would be driven by pumping of cold or hot fluids into the borehole—for instance, injecting supercritical CO 2 —creating a thermal pulse that could power the downhole sensors. Hence, wireless power generation could be accomplished with in situ TEG energy harvesting. This final report summarizes the project’s efforts that accomplished the creation of a fully operational thermopile field unit, including selection of materials, laboratory benchtop experiments and thermal-hydrologic modeling for design and optimization of the field-scale power generation test unit. Finally, the report describes the field unit that has been built and presents results of performance and survivability testing. The performance and survivability testing evaluated the following: 1) downhole power generation in response to a thermal gradient produced by pumping a heated fluid down a borehole and through the field unit; and 2) component survivability and operation at elevated temperature and pressure conditions representative of field conditions. The performance and survivability testing show that TEG arrays are viable for generating ample energy to power downhole sensors, although it is important to note that developing or connecting to sensors was beyond the scope of this project. This project’s accomplishments thus traversed from a low Technical Readiness Level (TRL) on fundamental concepts of the application and modeling to TRL-5 via testing of the fully integrated field unit for power generation in relevant environments. A fully issued United States Patent covers the wellbore power harvesting technology and applications developed by this project.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

DOE OSTI2024

Luminescent Materials for the Detection of Economically Critical Metals in Harsh Environments

Renewable energy technologies used for electric vehicles and wind turbines are heavily reliant upon metals, such as rare earth elements, cobalt, lithium, and nickel. Indeed, there are 50 minerals that are currently considered “economically critical” by the 2022 United States Geological Survey. With anticipated global adoption of renewable energy technologies, producing sufficient metals to meet this demand presents a significant challenge, particularly due to the current monopolistic market for many of these metals. The production of metals from unconventional sources, such as coal utilization byproducts, is one of many promising strategies to boost domestic supply. However, sensitive, rapid, and inexpensive characterization technologies are needed to minimize production costs associated with metals prospecting and processing. Photoluminescence-based sensing techniques are particularly intriguing due to their potential for low cost and portability, coupled with high sensitivity and selectivity. This presentation focuses on the development of high-performance sensing materials for a range of critical metals, including metal-organic frameworks capable of sensitizing detection of parts-per-billion concentrations of six different rare earth elements, nanoparticles that can detect down to 600 parts-per-billion levels of cobalt, and thin films that sense aluminum down to 120 parts-per-billion. These materials are highly selective, capable of withstanding low pH conditions, and provide a response within minutes. Importantly, each sensing material is integrated with a custom-built, fully portable fiber-optic spectrometer for potential field deployment, providing significant cost savings over commercial instruments, along with potential advantages such as material regeneration for use across multiple sensing cycles and solvent removal for enhanced emission signal. These results highlight the exciting potential of luminescence platforms as cost-effective alternatives for metals characterization.

Crawford, Scott↗

DOE OSTI2025

Near-cryogenic direct air capture using adsorbents

Direct air capture (DAC) of CO 2 is a key component in the portfolio of negative emissions technologies for mitigating global warming. However, even with the most potent amine sorbents, large-scale DAC deployment remains limited by high energy and capital costs. Recently, adsorbents relying on weak interactions with CO 2 have emerged as a potential alternative, thanks to their rapid adsorption kinetics and superior long-term stability, particularly under sub-ambient conditions (∼253 K). Despite these advantages, their use is hindered by the need for a water-removal process, location-specific constraints, and insufficient working capacity even in cold climates. In this study, we hypothesized that further reducing the adsorption temperature to a near-cryogenic range (160–220 K) could enable cost-effective DAC by utilizing the full potential of physisorbents. We primarily consider integrating DAC with a relatively untapped source of cold energy—liquified natural gas (LNG) regasification—to perform near-cryogenic DAC. From large-scale molecular simulations, Zeolite 13X and CALF-20 were identified as promising candidates. These materials were subsequently examined through experiments, including breakthrough analyses at 195 K. Their high CO 2 sorption capacity (4.5–5.5 mmol g −1 ), combined with a low desorption enthalpy and robust long-term stability, led to a threefold reduction in the levelized cost of capture (down to 68.2 USD per tonne CO 2 ). Estimates of the global LNG regasification resource suggest that LNG–DAC coupling could potentially enable the capture of 103–142 megatonnes of CO 2 annually as of 2050.

Kim, Seo-Yul [Georgia Institute of Technology, Atl↗

DOE OSTI2026

World’s First Vertical GaN based High Power (200 kW) Multi-level Traction Electric Drive Design

Vertical GaN (vGaN) technology leverages a fully conductive 3D semiconductor structure, enabling superior power density compared to GaN-on-Si and other wide bandgap devices. It offers a pathway to surpass cost and efficiency limitations of Si and SiC devices in traction applications. However, scaling for high-voltage, high-power systems remains challenging. This paper presents the design of an 800V, 200kW traction inverter utilizing vertical GaN devices. The inverter achieves ultra-high efficiency (> 99.5%) through advanced power module integration and employs multilevel neutral-point-less X-type (NPL.X) inverter topology to ensure optimal traction drive system performance. These innovations demonstrate the potential of vGaN for nextgeneration electric propulsion systems.

Alam, Khorshed [General Motors LLC, Detroit, MI (U↗

DOE OSTI2023

Advanced Building Construction (ABC) Research Opportunities Report: Industrializing Construction to Decarbonize Buildings

The U.S. building stock is responsible for 75% of total U.S. electricity use, 40% of energy use, and 35% of CO 2 emissions. To meet bold national climate change goals, the U.S. must decarbonize the building stock by 2050. However, today’s practices to build or renovate buildings to low-carbon, high-performance levels are generally labor intensive, disruptive, and too costly to quickly scale in the U.S. To retrofit 80% of the U.S. building stock in the U.S. by 2050, the retrofit rate will need to increase by about 15 times for residential buildings and two times for commercial buildings. Additionally, there is a major housing deficit in this country where nearly 600,000 people lack adequate or stable shelter, and the pace of construction is not keeping up with the growing demand. New, more industrialized, replicable, and technologically driven approaches to renovation and new building construction are imperative to help meet such significant national needs and achieve the necessary speed and scale to meet national building decarbonization goals.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗