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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 793 records · Page 44
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

Analysis of secondary organic aerosol simulation bias in the Community Earth System Model (CESM2.1)

Organic aerosol (OA) has been considered as one of the most important uncertainties in climate modeling due to the complexity in presenting its chemical production and depletion mechanisms. To better understand the capability of climate models and probe into the associated uncertainties in simulating OA, we evaluate the Community Earth System Model version 2.1 (CESM2.1) configured with the Community Atmosphere Model version 6 (CAM6) with comprehensive tropospheric and stratospheric chemistry representation (CAM6-Chem) through a long-term simulation (1988–2019) with observations collected from multiple datasets in the United States. We find that CESM generally reproduces the interannual variation and seasonal cycle of OA mass concentration at surface layer with a correlation of 0.40 compared to ground observations and systematically overestimates (69%) in summer and underestimates (-19%) in winter. Through a series of sensitivity simulations, we reveal that modeling bias is primarily related to the dominant fraction of monoterpene-formed secondary organic aerosol (SOA), and a strong positive correlation of 0.67 is found between monoterpene emission and modeling bias in the eastern US during summer. In terms of vertical profile, the model prominently underestimates OA and monoterpene concentrations by 37%–99% and 82%–99%, respectively, in the upper air (>500 m) as validated against aircraft observations. Our study suggests that the current volatility basis set (VBS) scheme applied in CESM might be parameterized with monoterpene SOA yields that are too high, which subsequently results in strong SOA production near the emission source area. We also find that the model has difficulty in reproducing the decreasing trend of surface OA in the southeastern US probably because of employing pure gas VBS to represent isoprene SOA which is in reality mainly formed through multiphase chemistry; thus, the influence of aerosol acidity and sulfate particle change on isoprene SOA formation has not been fully considered in the model. This study reveals the urgent need to improve the SOA modeling in climate models.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

Evolution of global and local deformation in additively manufactured octet truss lattice structures

Additively manufactured lattice truss structures, often referred to as architected cellular materials, present significant advantages over conventional structures due to their unique characteristics such as high strength-to-weight ratios and surface area-to-volume ratios. These geometrically complex structures, however, come with concomitant challenges for qualification and inspection. In this study, compression testing interrupted with micro-computed tomography inspection was conducted to monitor the evolution of global and local deformation throughout the loading process of 304L stainless steel octet truss lattice structures. Both two- and three-dimensional image analysis techniques were leveraged to characterize geometric heterogeneities resulting from the laser powder bed fusion manufacturing process as well as track the structure throughout deformation. Variations from model-predicted behavior resulting from these heterogeneities are considered relative to the predicted and actual responses of the structures during compression to better understand, model, and predict the octet truss lattice structure compression response.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Improving Non-Destructive Detection Technology Through SAVY Feature Detection

Surveillance of special nuclear material (SNM) storage containers is required by the DOE to assess their integrity across the Complex. This work aims to improve the task of container inspections by leveraging automation through machine learning (ML) tools to reduce the human-intensive effort and expert-level knowledge needed to assess container status. A field-deployable, non-destructive technology was designed using off-the-shelf components to collect multiple images from different perspectives of containers in storage to detect both spatial features of interest and anomalies of concern. Nine ML models were generated using unique training datasets and parameters. Learned features include SAVY surface regions including the body side wall, collar, lid, filter, and printed/etched information. Average Precision (AP) is used to calculate detection performance when both viewing previously seen environments and previously unseen environments. The application of image transformations and resolution scaling while training greatly improved the detection performance in unseen environments, and significantly increasing the number of computation iterations improved detection performance on previously seen environments. Additional capabilities were developed including the novel detection of procedural non-compliance and the ability to localize anomalies relative to SAVY surface features.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Studying Corrosion Using Miniaturized Particle Attached Working Electrodes and the Nafion Membrane

We developed a new approach to attach particles onto a conductive layer as a working electrode (WE) in a microfluidic electrochemical cell with three electrodes. Nafion, an efficient proton transfer molecule, is used to form a thin protection layer to secure particle electrodes. Spin coating is used to develop a thin and even layer of Nafion membrane. The effects of Nafion (5 wt% 20 wt%) and spinning rates were evaluated using multiple sets of replicates. The electrochemical performance of various devices was demonstrated. Additionally, the electrochemical performance of the devices is used to select and optimize fabrication conditions. The results show that a higher spinning rate and a lower Nafion concentration (5 wt%) induce a better performance, using cerium oxide (CeO2) particles as a testing model. The WE surfaces were characterized using atomic force microscopy (AFM), scanning electron microscopy-focused ion beam (SEM-FIB), time-of-flight secondary ion mass spectrometry (ToF-SIMS), and X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS). The comparison between the pristine and corroded WE surfaces shows that Nafion is redistributed after potential is applied. Our results verify that Nafion membrane offers a reliable means to secure particles onto electrodes. Furthermore, the electrochemical performance is reliable and reproducible. Thus, this approach provides a new way to study more complex and challenging particles, such as uranium oxide, in the future.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Probing the active sites of oxide encapsulated electrocatalysts with controllable oxygen evolution selectivity

Electrocatalysts encapsulated by nanoscopic overlayers can control the rate of redox reactions at the outer surface of the overlayer or at the buried interface between the overlayer and the active catalyst, leading to complex behavior in the presence of two competing electrochemical reactions. This study investigated oxide encapsulated electrocatalysts (OECs) comprised of iridium (Ir) thin films coated with an ultrathin (2–10 nm thick) silicon oxide (SiO x ) or titanium oxide (TiO x ) overlayer. The performance of SiO x |Ir and TiO x |Ir thin film electrodes towards the oxygen evolution reaction (OER) and Fe(II)/Fe(III) redox reactions were evaluated. An improvement in selectivity towards the OER was observed for all OECs. Overlayer properties, namely ionic and electronic conductivity, were assessed using a combination of electroanalytical methods and molecular dynamics simulations. SiO x and TiO x overlayers were found to be permeable to H 2 O and O 2 such that the OER can occur at the MO x |Ir (M = Ti, Si) buried interface, which was further supported with molecular dynamics simulations of model SiO 2 coatings. In contrast, Fe(II)/Fe(III) redox reactions occur to the same degree with TiO x overlayers having thicknesses less than 4 nm as bare electrocatalyst, while SiO x overlayers inhibit redox reactions at all thicknesses. This observation is attributed to differences in electronic transport between the buried interface and outer overlayer surface, as measured with through-plane conductivity measurements of wetted overlayer materials. These findings reveal the influence of oxide overlayer properties on the activity and selectivity of OECs and suggest opportunities to tune these properties for a wide range of electrochemical reactions.

08 HYDROGEN↗
DOE OSTI2022

Two interaction surfaces between XPA and RPA organize the preincision complex in nucleotide excision repair

The xeroderma pigmentosum protein A (XPA) and replication protein A (RPA) proteins fulfill essential roles in the assembly of the preincision complex in the nucleotide excision repair (NER) pathway. We have previously characterized the two interaction sites, one between the XPA N-terminal (XPA-N) disordered domain and the RPA32 C-terminal domain (RPA32C), and the other with the XPA DNA binding domain (DBD) and the RPA70AB DBDs. Here, we show that XPA mutations that inhibit the physical interaction in either site reduce NER activity in biochemical and cellular systems. Combining mutations in the two sites leads to an additive inhibition of NER, implying that they fulfill distinct roles. Our data suggest a model in which the interaction between XPA-N and RPA32C is important for the initial association of XPA with NER complexes, while the interaction between XPA DBD and RPA70AB is needed for structural organization of the complex to license the dual incision reaction. Integrative structural models of complexes of XPA and RPA bound to single-stranded/double-stranded DNA (ss/dsDNA) junction substrates that mimic the NER bubble reveal key features of the architecture of XPA and RPA in the preincision complex. Most critical among these is that the shape of the NER bubble is far from colinear as depicted in current models, but rather the two strands of unwound DNA must assume a U-shape with the two ss/dsDNA junctions localized in close proximity. Our data suggest that the interaction between XPA and RPA70 is key for the organization of the NER preincision complex.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Physics-Informed and Data-Driven Prediction of Residual Stress in Three-Dimensional Machining

Efficient and reliable prediction of machining-induced residual stress (RS) is a key requirement for truly integrated computational materials engineering (ICME). Currently available process modeling approaches, including empirical, analytical, and numerical methodologies lack predictive power and require substantial calibration and validation data. Moreover, most model-based approaches consider only two-dimensional (2D) (i.e., orthogonal), cutting processes. Meanwhile, industrial processes such as milling, turning, and drilling are inherently three-dimensional (3D). The present work attempts to bridge the gap between 2D and 3D through careful consideration of the process physics, including geometric, kinematic, and size-effect constraints to realize robust prediction of how RS develops in 3D machining. Using a novel in-situ experimental technique and digital image correlation (DIC) to determine equivalent Hertzian contact widths, contact pressures, and friction coefficients, the proposed methodology leverages a discretized conversion algorithm that includes multi-pass shakedown effects. This paper presents a semi-analytical model to predict machining-induced RS in 3D turning operations, which are used representatively for 3D processes more generally. Rather than follow a ‘brute force’ 3D FEM approach or conduct countless experiments to train a purely data-driven machine learning algorithm, the proposed approach builds on previous 2D modeling work. Through careful consideration of the process physics, including complex geometry/kinematic considerations of 3D turning, the authors demonstrated an experimentally calibrated approach, as well as validation based on published RS data. Model predictions and previously published measurement data of RS depth profiles for turning of Inconel 718 were compared for a range of process parameters. Correlation between the proposed 3D model and validation data was found to be within the margin of experimental error for most conditions. The proposed model appears to capture the overall behavior of 3D RS depth profiles with acceptable accuracy, particularly the key metrics of near-surface stress, peak stress magnitude and location, as well as overall stress profile depth. This report presents a physics-informed, data-driven approach for efficient calibration of a 2D model for machining-induced RS through DIC analysis of in-situ characterized subsurface displacement fields.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Molecular thermodynamics for scaling prediction: Case of membrane distillation

Membrane distillation (MD) for water treatment is significantly impaired by the scaling of dissolved minerals. The type and content of minerals generally measured as total dissolved solids (TDS) in hypersaline brines not only reduce the MD flux but also control the scaling behavior on the membrane surface. The scaling-induced pore blockage further reduces water flux and eventually leads to membrane wetting. The scaling problem is even more pronounced in the treatment of produced water (PW) as it contains 3–7 times higher TDS concentrations, compared to seawater. Theoretically, the necessary conditions for a salt to precipitate can be traced from its solubility product constant and activity of the constituents within the solution. Therefore, a comprehensive thermodynamic model is necessary to represent the electrolyte behavior and to predict the precipitation of different salts in a complex solution like PW. We pursued electrolyte Nonrandom Two Liquid Theory (eNRTL), a state-of-the-art electrolyte model, to address the PW fluid phase equilibria. With a fully parameterized eNRTL model, we predicted salt precipitations in two different PW samples and compared the results against the experimental findings. Furthermore, here we forecast the precipitation of salts in response to the change in PW concentration and temperature in the MD operation.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Structure and Dynamics of Aqueous Electrolytes at Quartz (001) and (101) Surfaces

Here, understanding and describing reactivity at mineral-water interfaces such as ion adsorption, the kinetics of dissolution, or surface charge development depends on our ability to improve the accuracy of electrical double layer (EDL) models. While molecular dynamics (MD) simulations are routinely used to investigate the structure and energetics of adsorbed ions comprising the EDL, less attention is paid to their self-diffusion dynamics, which can uniquely inform on coupling to interfacial reactions. Here we use MD to investigate both the organization and diffusion dynamics of water and electrolyte ions (NaCl, KCl, CaCl 2 ) at hydroxylated quartz (001) and (101) surfaces, a comparison which allowed us to assess surface structural effects of corrugation and silanol density. We found that inner- versus outer-sphere complex formation depends on cation size and charge but not necessarily hydration energies. Participation of surface silanols in the hydration spheres of Na + and K + generally indicated their preference for inner-sphere complexation, but this depends strongly on the orientation of the surface considered through its influence over the organization and dynamics of adsorbed water layers. In particular, surface orientation substantially affects the diffusive behavior of the near-surface water. Na + was found to decrease the mobility of water in the first layer, consistent with an increasing frequency of hydrolysis implied by faster quartz dissolution rates observed in experiments via the well known salt effect. Our results are also in good agreement with the observed dissolution rate of quartz vs. surface adsorption strength measure by Dove and Nix. This study sets the stage for a forthcoming paper examining how the dynamics at quartz/electrolyte interfaces are influenced by externally applied electric fields.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

Mesoscopic finite-size effects of unconventional electron transport in PdCoO 2

A wide range of unconventional transport phenomena has recently been observed in single-crystal delafossite metals. Here, we present a theoretical framework to elucidate electron transport using a combination of first-principles calculations and numerical modeling of the anisotropic Boltzmann transport equation. Using PdCoO 2 as a model system, we study different microscopic electron and phonon scattering mechanisms and establish the mean free path hierarchy of quasiparticles at different temperatures. We treat the anisotropic Fermi surface explicitly to numerically obtain experimentally-accessible transport observables, which bridge between the “diffusive,” “ballistic,” and “hydrodynamic” transport regime limits. Further, we illustrate that the distinction between the “quasiballistic” and “quasihydrodynamic” regimes is challenging and often needs to be quantitative in nature. From first-principles calculations, we populate the resulting transport regime plots and demonstrate how the Fermi surface orientation adds complexity to the observed transport signatures in micrometer-scale devices. Our work provides key insights into microscopic interaction mechanisms on open hexagonal Fermi surfaces and establishes their connection to the macroscopic electron transport in finite-size channels.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Decadal Thermal Variability of the Upper Southern Ocean: Zonal Asymmetry

Abstract As the major sink of anthropogenic heat, the Southern Ocean has shown quasi-symmetric, deep-reaching warming since the mid-twentieth century. In comparison, the shorter-term heat storage pattern of the Southern Ocean is more complex and has notable impacts on regional climate and marine ecosystems. By analyzing observational datasets and climate model simulations, this study reveals that the Southern Ocean exhibits prominent decadal (>8 years) variability extending to ∼700-m depth and is characterized by out-of-phase changes in the Pacific and Atlantic–Indian Ocean sectors. Changes in the Pacific sector are larger in magnitude than those in the Atlantic–Indian Ocean sectors and dominate the total heat storage of the Southern Ocean on decadal time scales. Instead of heat uptake through surface heat fluxes, these asymmetric variations arise primarily from wind-driven heat redistribution. Pacemaker and preindustrial simulations of the Community Earth System Model version 1 (CESM1) suggest that these variations in Southern Ocean winds arise primarily from natural variability of the tropical Pacific, as represented by the interdecadal Pacific oscillation (IPO). Through atmospheric teleconnection, the positive phase of the IPO gives rise to higher-than-normal sea level pressure and anticyclonic wind anomalies in the 50°–70°S band of the Pacific sector. These winds lead to warming of 0–700 m by driving the convergence of warm water. The opposite processes, involving cyclonic winds and upper-layer divergence, occur in the Atlantic–Indian Ocean sector. These findings aid our understanding of the time-varying heat storage of the Southern Ocean and provide useful implications on initialized decadal climate prediction.

Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences↗
DOE OSTI2022

Electron and Electron-Nuclear Dynamics of Open Quantum Subsystems

Leveraging an open-subsystem formulation of Density Functional Theory (DFT) we aim at describing periodic and molecular systems alike, including their electronic and nuclear dynamics. Subsystem DFT enables first principles simulations to approach realistic time- and length-scales, and most importantly sheds light on the dynamical behavior of complex systems. Taking subsystem DFT to the time domain allows us to inspect the electron dynamics of condensed-phase systems in real time. In liquids and interfaces, we observe all the relevant regimes proper of non-Markovian open quantum system dynamics, such as electronic energy transfer, and screening. In addition, the ab-initio modeling of system-bath interactions brought us to observe and justify the holographic time-dependent electron density theorem. Contrary to interactions between molecular (finite) systems, when molecules interact with metal or semiconductor surfaces the electron dynamics is strongly non-Markovian with dramatic repercussions to the molecule’s response to external perturbations. Metals and semiconductors typically have large polarizabilities, and even in a regime of low coupling their effect on impinging molecular species is significant–line broadening, peak shift, and intensity borrowing are observed, characterized, and explained in terms of inter-subsystem dynamical interactions and a many-body decomposition of the system’s density-density response function in a way that transcends the canons of Fermi Golden Rule.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
DOE OSTI2023

A Telomerase-Activated Magnetic Resonance Imaging Probe for Consecutively Monitoring Tumor Growth Kinetics and In Situ Screening Inhibitors

Telomerase has long been considered as a biomarker for cancer diagnosis and a therapeutic target for drug discovery. Detecting telomerase activity in vivo could provide more direct information of tumor progression and response to drug treatment, which, however, is hampered by the lack of an effective probe that can generate an output signal without a tissue penetration depth limit. Here in this study, using the principle of distance-dependent magnetic resonance tuning, we constructed a telomerase-activated magnetic resonance imaging probe (TAMP) by connecting superparamagnetic ferroferric oxide nanoparticles (SPFONs) and paramagnetic Gd-DOTA (Gd(III) 1,4,7,10- tetraazacyclododecane-1,4,7,10-tetraazacyclododecane-1,4,7,10-tet-raacetic acid) complexes via telomerase-responsive DNA motifs. Upon telomerase-catalyzed extension of the primer in TAMP, Gd-DOTA-conjugated oligonucleotides can be liberated from the surface of SPFONs through a DNA strand displacement reaction, restoring the T 1 signal of the Gd-DOTA for a direct readout of the telomerase activity. Here we show that, by tracking telomerase activity, this probe provides consistent monitoring of tumor growth kinetics during progression and in response to drug treatment and enables in situ screening of telomerase inhibitors in whole-animal models. This study provides an alternative toolkit for cancer diagnosis, treatment response assessment, and anticancer drug screening.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Experimental Soil Warming Impacts Soil Moisture and Plant Water Stress and Thereby Ecosystem Carbon Dynamics

Experimental soil heating experiments have found a consistent increase in soil-surface CO 2 emissions ( F s ), but inconsistent soil organic carbon (SOC) responses. Interpretation of heating effects is complicated by spatial heterogeneity and soil moisture, nitrogen availability, and microbial and plant responses. Here we applied a mechanistic ecosystem model to interpret heating impacts on a California forest subjected to 1 m deep, 4°C heating. The model accurately simulated control-plot CO 2 fluxes, SOC stocks, fine root biomass, soil moisture, and soil temperature, and the observed increases in F s and decreases in fine root biomass. We show that a complex suite of interactions can lead to a consistent increase in F s (~17%) over the 5-year study period, with very small changes in SOC stocks (<1%). Modeled increases in leaf water stress from soil drying reduced GPP and NPP. The resulting reduction in leaf and fine root allocation increased fine root litter inputs to the soil and reduced root exudation. Soil heating led to about a 50% larger increase in root autotrophic respiration than in heterotrophic respiration, with the heating effect on both these fluxes decreasing over the simulation period. Increased heterotrophic respiration led to increased soil N availability and plant N uptake. These heating responses are mechanistically linked, of magnitudes that can affect ecosystem dynamics, and long-term observations of them are rarely made. Therefore, we conclude that a coupled observational and mechanistic modeling framework is needed to interpret manipulation experiments, and to improve projections of climate change impacts on terrestrial ecosystem carbon dynamics.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Advances in catalytic production processes of biomass-derived vinyl monomers

Plastic industries currently source the majority of monomers from crude oil substances. Although we have witnessed a significant interest of companies in the utilization of sustainable feedstock materials for bio-based compound synthesis in the past decade, the transition to photosynthetic or chemosynthetic plant-based production in a circular carbon economy is largely slow due to complex biomass processing, costs and related reaction factors. The upgrade of the separated platform chemicals with a deeper supporting understanding of processes, models and a root–cause analysis about the underlying distribution challenges of engineered transformation mechanisms, catalyzed conversion pathways and selectivity would be beneficial to advance applied scientific development, bio-refining and manufacturing output amount. This review provides a summary, assessment and perspective for three important polymer-forming vinyl molecules, i.e. acrylic acid, methacrylic acid and styrene. These provide a backbone to produce acrylates, polystyrene, resins, rubbers, protective surface coatings, adhesives, textiles and other obtained copolymers. A succinct analytical overview on the thermo-catalytic intermediate routes for property-wise drop-in alternatives is presented. Sugars, acrolein, allyl alcohol, ethylbenzene, glycerol, 3-hydroxypropionic acid, isobutene, itaconic acid and lactic acid are considered as the main starting reactants. Catalysts span mixed metal oxides, silicates, native or impregnated zeolite frameworks (HBEA, HZSM, and MFI) and hetero-poly acids as well as homogeneous base hydroxides or platinum group metals, supported on carbon, alumina and sulfates. Finally, the article concludes with a brief state sum-up of the results, topics and opportunities for systematic future research or scaling.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Assessing Critical Conditions for Scour Near Obstructions using Bed Shear, Particle Onset of Motion Balances, and CFD-DEM Modeling of Granular Beds

Computational Fluid Dynamics combined with a Discrete Element Method is one of the computational methods that can be used to model multiphase flows. In this method various phases, gas and liquid or solid, are present in the same computational domain. The local averaged Navier–Stokes equations determine the flow of the continuous phase fluid and are solved using the traditional CFD finite volume approach. DEM is based on a Lagrangian formulation, which solves the equations of motion, expressed in ordinary differential equations, for representative particles as they move in space and time. The interactions between the continuous fluid phase and discrete solid phase are modeled with the use of Newton’s laws of motion via drag force. The particles interact with each other and with the boundaries of the fluid continuum, and the resulting contact forces are included in the equations of motion. The properties of solid particles and boundaries are treated as elastic bodies, with specified density, elastic modulus, and Poisson’s ratio. Particle shapes may vary from single spherical particles to more complex-shaped composite particles. The particles may be introduced into the domain by random or structured injection at a point, surface, or volume, depending on the application. More details on the formulation can be found in the Simcenter STAR-CCM+ User’s Manual and OpenFOAM website.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2022

DUNE experiment physics

The Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment (DUNE) will feature a 40-kton liquid argon TPC detector situated a mile below the surface at the Sanford Underground Research Facility. A new broadband high-intensity neutrino source and Near Detector complex will be located at Fermilab, 1300 kilometers away. This arrangement will provide unprecedented sensitivity in the search for neutrino CP violation, determination of the neutrino mass ordering, and precision measurements of neutrino mixing parameters. The underground Far Detector also allows for low background, low threshold observations of supernova neutrinos, with a unique sensitivity to the electron neutrino flux. Further, DUNE will conduct a wide range of searches for physics beyond the Standard Model, including baryon number violation, rare scattering processes, and non-standard flavor transitions. In this poster, we review DUNE's extensive physics program and show updated sensitivities.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Postmortem and Antemortem Forensic Assessment of Pediatric Fracture Healing from Radiographs and Machine Learning Classification

A timeline of pediatric bone healing using fracture healing characteristics that can be assessed solely using radiographs would be practical for forensic casework, where the fracture event may precede death by days, months, or years. However, the dating of fractures from radiographs is difficult, imprecise, and lacks consensus, as only a few aspects of the healing process are visible on radiographs. Multiple studies in both the clinical and forensic literature have attempted to develop a usable scale to assess pediatric bone healing on radiographs using various healing characteristics. In contrast to the orthopedic definition, a fracture in forensic casework is only considered to be healed when the area around the fracture has been remodeled to the point that the fracture is difficult to detect on a radiograph or on the surface of the bone itself, a process that can take several years. We subjectively assessed visible characteristics of healing in radiograms of fractures occurring in 942 living children and adolescents. By dividing these assessments into learning and test (validation) sets, the accuracy of a newly proposed fracture healing scale was compared to a previous study. Two machine learning models were used to test predictions of the new scale. All three models produced similar estimates with substantial imprecision. Results corroborate the Malone model with an independent dataset and support the efficacy of using less complex models to estimate fracture age in children.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗