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At least 793 records · Page 44

Experimental evaluation of respiratory droplet spread to rooms connected by a central ventilation system

This article presents results from an experimental study to ascertain the transmissibility of the SARS-CoV-2 virus between rooms in a building that are connected by a central ventilation system. Respiratory droplet surrogates made of mucus and virus mimics were released in one room in a test building and measurements of concentration levels were made in other rooms connected via the ventilation system. The paper presents experimental results for different ventilation system configurations, including ventilation rate, filtration level (up to MERV-13), and fractional outdoor air intake. The most important finding is that respiratory droplets can and do transit through central ventilation systems, suggesting a mechanism for viral transmission (and COVID-19 specifically) within the built environment in reasonable agreement with well-mixed models. We also find the deposition of these droplets on room walls to be negligibly small. Furthermore, the energy use impact of the different configuration settings is also quantified to help inform intelligent building operation that can simultaneously address energy use and occupant health.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Embolism spread in the primary xylem of Polystichum munitum : implications for water transport during seasonal drought

Abstract Xylem network structure and function have been characterized for many woody plants, but less is known about fern xylem, particularly in species endemic to climates where water is a limiting resource for months at a time. We characterized seasonal variability in soil moisture and frond water status in a common perennial fern in the redwood understory of a costal California, and then investigated the consequences of drought‐induced embolism on vascular function. Seasonal variability in air temperature and soil water content was minimal, and frond water potential declined slowly over the observational period. Our data show that Polystichum munitum was protected from significant drought‐induced hydraulic dysfunction during this growing season because of a combination of cavitation resistant conduits (Air‐seeding threshold (ASP) = −1.53 MPa; xylem pressure inducing 50% loss of hydraulic conductivity ( P 50 ) = −3.02 MPa) and a soil with low moisture variability. High resolution micro‐computed tomography (MicroCT) imaging revealed patterns of embolism formation in vivo for the first time in ferns providing insight into the functional status of the xylem network under drought conditions. Together with stomatal conductance measurements, these data suggest that P . munitum is adapted to tolerate drier conditions than what was observed during the growing season.

Brodersen, Craig R.↗

Comprehensive compartmental model and calibration algorithm for the study of clinical implications of the population-level spread of COVID-19: a study protocol

The complex dynamics of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has made obtaining reliable long-term forecasts of the disease progression difficult. Simple mechanistic models with deterministic parameters are useful for short-term predictions but have ultimately been unsuccessful in extrapolating the trajectory of the pandemic because of unmodelled dynamics and the unrealistic level of certainty that is assumed in the predictions. We propose a 22-compartment epidemiological model that includes compartments not previously considered concurrently, to account for the effects of vaccination, asymptomatic individuals, inadequate access to hospital care, post-acute COVID-19 and recovery with long-term health complications. Additionally, new connections between compartments introduce new dynamics to the system and provide a framework to study the sensitivity of model outputs to several concurrent effects, including temporary immunity, vaccination rate and vaccine effectiveness. Subject to data availability for a given region, we discuss a means by which population demographics (age, comorbidity, socioeconomic status, sex and geographical location) and clinically relevant information (different variants, different vaccines) can be incorporated within the 22-compartment framework. Considering a probabilistic interpretation of the parameters allows the model's predictions to reflect the current state of uncertainty about the model parameters and model states. We propose the use of a sparse Bayesian learning algorithm for parameter calibration and model selection. This methodology considers a combination of prescribed parameter prior distributions for parameters that are known to be essential to the modelled dynamics and automatic relevance determination priors for parameters whose relevance is questionable. This is useful as it helps prevent overfitting the available epidemiological data when calibrating the parameters of the proposed model. Population-level administrative health data will serve as partial observations of the model states.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

A review of virulent Newcastle disease viruses in the United States and the role of wild birds in viral persistence and spread

Newcastle disease is caused by virulent strains of Newcastle disease virus (NDV), which causes substantial morbidity and mortality events worldwide in poultry. The virus strains can be differentiated as lentogenic, mesogenic, or velogenic based on a mean death time in chicken embryos. Currently, velogenic strains of NDV are not endemic in United States domestic poultry; however, these strains are present in other countries and are occasionally detected in wild birds in the U.S. A viral introduction into domestic poultry could have severe economic consequences due to the loss of production from sick and dying birds, the cost of control measures such as depopulation and disinfection measures, and the trade restrictions that would likely be imposed as a result of an outbreak. Due to the disease-free status of the U.S. and the high cost of a potential viral incursion to the poultry industry, a qualitative risk analysis was performed to evaluate the vulnerabilities of the U.S. against the introduction of virulent strains of NDV. The most likely routes of virus introduction are explored and data gathered by several federal agencies is provided. Recommendations are ultimately provided for data that would be useful to further understand NDV on the landscape and to utilize all existing sampling opportunities to begin to comprehend viral movement and further characterize the risk of NDV introduction into the U.S.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Multiplexing of frequency-modulation spectroscopy by spread-spectrum codes, demonstrated in continuous-wave LIDAR

Frequency-modulation spectroscopy (FMS) is generally suited to code-division multiplexing, and we demonstrate that capacity in a form of continuous-wave LIDAR, utilizing a sharp CO 2 absorption transition at 1.6 µm in simple ranging setups. The approach retains the advantages of FMS, including coherent detection and good rejection of broad absorption backgrounds. Extensions of this multiplexed approach to the continuous, simultaneous detection of several transitions would come by transmitting an encoded combination of frequency-modulated carriers, each tuned to detect a unique absorption transition. Signal analysis at the receiver involves a simple process of de-multiplexing that, in a general application, reveals targets at various distances and the absorption-related FMS signals in between.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Poleward Expansion of the White-Footed Mouse ( Peromyscus leucopus ) under Climate Change: Implications for the Spread of Lyme Disease

The white-footed mouse (Peromyscus leucopus) is an important reservoir host for Borrelia burgdorferi, the pathogen responsible for Lyme disease, and its distribution is expanding northward. We used an Ecological Niche Factor Analysis to identify the climatic factors associated with the distribution shift of the white-footed mouse over the last 30 years at the northern edge of its range, and modeled its current and potential future (2050) distributions using the platform BIOMOD. A mild and shorter winter is favouring the northern expansion of the white-footed mouse in Québec. With more favorable winter conditions projected by 2050, the distribution range of the white-footed mouse is expected to expand further northward by 3° latitude. We also show that today in southern Québec, the occurrence of B. burgdorferi is associated with high probability of presence of the white-footed mouse. Changes in the distribution of the white-footed mouse will likely alter the geographical range of B. burgdorferi and impact the public health in northern regions that have yet to be exposed to Lyme disease.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Short-term Interventions for Long-term Change: Spreading Stable Green Norms in Networks

Strong empirical evidence suggests that people infer prevailing pro-environmental norms based on the behavior of people they encounter and engage with. These norms seem to be adopted in response to both internal motivation and social pressure. To formalize such behavior, the economic literature has introduced theoretical models that include moral and social drivers. We complement this theoretical literature by analyzing the adoption of green behavior in presence of social networks. Leveraging insights from the network-science literature, we extend an existing model of socially contingent moral motivation to include characteristics of human social behavior that have been shown, empirically, to matter for green behavior, but which have been neglected by most theoretical models. Our network moral-motivation model leads naturally to spatial-heterogeneity in environmental norms. Consistent with non-network models, we show that temporary subsidy can lead to stable equilibria with positive adoption, even when the subsidy is discontinued. In our model, however, regulators can achieve significant savings by targeting subsidies. With our computational exercises, using small semi-realistic networks, we quantify the gains of targeting subsidies, or social interventions, towards optimal seed groups. These gains may be large compared to widespread subsidies, or random selection of seed groups, and depend on the society’s structural characteristics. Furthermore, considering social networks may change radically the performance of initiatives aimed at promoting the adoption of green behavior.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

HOM induced energy spread and emittance growth in LEReC system

To map the QCD phase diagram, especially to search the QCD critical point using the Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider (RHIC), significant luminosity improvement at energies below γ =10.7 is required, which can be achieved with the help of an electron cooling upgrade called Low Energy RHIC electron Cooler (LEReC) ( 1).

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 is the causative agent of the ongoing coronavirus disease pandemic. Initial estimates of the early dynamics of the outbreak in Wuhan, China, suggested a doubling time of the number of infected persons of 6–7 days and a basic reproductive number (R 0 ) of 2.2–2.7. We collected extensive individual case reports across China and estimated key epidemiologic parameters, including the incubation period (4.2 days). We then designed 2 mathematical modeling approaches to infer the outbreak dynamics in Wuhan by using high-resolution domestic travel and infection data. Results show that the doubling time early in the epidemic in Wuhan was 2.3–3.3 days. Assuming a serial interval of 6–9 days, we calculated a median R0 value of 5.7 (95% CI 3.8–8.9). Here, we further show that active surveillance, contact tracing, quarantine, and early strong social distancing efforts are needed to stop transmission of the virus.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Activation-triggered subunit exchange between CaMKII holoenzymes facilitates the spread of kinase activity

The activation of the dodecameric Ca 2+ /calmodulin dependent kinase II (CaMKII) holoenzyme is critical for memory formation. We now report that CaMKII has a remarkable property, which is that activation of the holoenzyme triggers the exchange of subunits between holoenzymes, including unactivated ones, enabling the calcium-independent phosphorylation of new subunits. We show, using a single-molecule TIRF microscopy technique, that the exchange process is triggered by the activation of CaMKII, and that exchange is modulated by phosphorylation of two residues in the calmodulin-binding segment, Thr 305 and Thr 306. Based on these results, and on the analysis of molecular dynamics simulations, we suggest that the phosphorylated regulatory segment of CaMKII interacts with the central hub of the holoenzyme and weakens its integrity, thereby promoting exchange. Our results have implications for an earlier idea that subunit exchange in CaMKII may have relevance for information storage resulting from brief coincident stimuli during neuronal signaling.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗