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At least 793 records · Page 44

Hybridizing Machine Learning and Physically-based Earth System Models to Improve Prediction of Multivariate Extreme Events (AI Exploration of Wildland Fire Prediction)

Focal Areas: This project responds to two focal areas identified in the DOE Call for AI4ESP White Papers: 1) Predictive modeling through the use of artificial intelligence (AI) techniques, and 2) insights gleaned from complex data using explainable AI and big data analytics. Science Challenge: Large wildland fires (hereafter wildfires) appearing as high-impact compound climate extreme events are closely related to hydroclimate and water cycle extremes that modulate surface fuel supply and combustibility. These compound events have multivariate climatic features (e.g., temperature, precipitation, relative humidity, wind, lightning) and societal drivers (e.g., forest management, land use change, human caused ignitions). Meanwhile, they induce strong feedbacks to the coupled atmosphere, biosphere, and hydrosphere by perturbing regional and global radiation budget as well as ecological, biogeochemical, and water cycles across multiple spatiotemporal scales. The nonlinear interactions between these natural and anthropogenic components of the Earth system are too complex to be completely and adequately represented in today’s Earth system models (ESMs). The inherent stochastic nature of fire activity at all scales further increases the difficulty of its prediction using ESMs that are usually developed from deterministic equations and parameterizations. Besides, concurrence of long-term (decadal to interdecadal) global climate change and fire regime shifts overlapping with short-term (intraseasonal to interannual) variations of regional fire weather and burning activity confound predictability of these compound extreme events. We propose to address the above scientific challenges by using machine learning (ML)-based data-driven modeling techniques to integrate observations and physically-based ESMs’ simulations in a computationally efficient hybrid prediction system. This prediction system is supposed to characterize the wildfire’s sensitivity to climate and exogenous drivers at high resolution (~ 0.25°) on subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) timescales providing improved predictability and explainability. We will use the system to help identify: (1) What are the computational elements of a hybrid system needed to predict compound climate extreme events such as global wildfires? (2) What are the key drivers (either natural or anthropogenic) that modulate short-term variations of multivariate fire weather and burning activity over different regions? How can one take advantage of those driver-response relationships to improve the predictability of large wildfires on S2S time scales? (3) What are the underlying physical mechanisms and sources of improved predictability? Which ML techniques are optimal in revealing and adapting these mechanisms?

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Status of Eddy Current Developments at INL

Both standard and advanced Light Water Reactor (LWR) fuel systems are composed of fuel pellets enclosed in a metallic cladding. The fuel cladding represents the first containment of the fission products and the first safety barrier. Upon progression of irradiation, the cladding properties deteriorate, mainly due to the pick-up of hydrogen, which causes embrittlement, and the consequence corrosion that reduced the metallic substrate. Those changes in the properties combined with the harsh environment, e.g., fatigue and fretting occurring during operation, might eventually lead to loss of hermeticity. Therefore, it is important to be able to quantify the amount of corrosion taking place and to detect and size structural discontinuity that can promote cladding failure. Eddy current testing is one of the non-destructive methods employed for this purpose. Inspections are carried out using special probes, which are designed and optimized to inspect a tube with well-defined geometrical and physical characteristics, i.e. external diameter, wall thickness, material electric conductivity and magnetic permeability. The inspection goals are mainly twofold: first, the determination of the amount of corrosion by measurement of the external oxide thickness; second, the detection of flaws in the tube wall, ether on the external or the internal surface of the tube. This report summarizes the available capabilities for eddy current testing of LWR fuel claddings, identifies needs and are of developments for testing of ATF claddings.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Comparing Control Performance Between Simulation and Experiment using the Microreactor Automated Control System Testbed

In the advanced reactor domain, a flexible and scalable software/hardware infrastructure is crucial for integrating and validating various control technologies. This study used the Microreactor Automated Control System (MACS) hardware platform as a testbed. MACS was originally designed to mirror Idaho National Laboratory (INL)'s Microreactor Applications Research Validation and Evaluation (MARVEL), a 85-kW thermal fission microreactor. It features control drums for simulated reactivity control; lights that function as a surrogate reactor core, with the brightness being proportional to the reactor power; and light sensors that emulate neutron detectors. To transform MACS into a physical twin of MARVEL for evaluating control methods, the Control and Optimization Modular Modeling Application for Nuclear Deployment (COMMAND) software was employed. This software integrated the hardware with two models of the MARVEL core, based on Reactor Excursion and Leak Analysis Program (RELAP5-3D) and Monte Carlo N-Particle (MCNP) models. The study aimed to demonstrate the gap between control theory and actual practice—a gap that often necessitates empirical adjustments such as control gain retuning, filters, time discretization, and integrator anti-windup measures. Controllers were developed based on increasingly complex simulations without hardware, starting from the base MARVEL model and then introducing actuator saturation constraints and sensor noise. The final control strategy was then tested using MACS, and a comparative performance analysis was conducted.

46 - INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AN↗

From Detector Layout to Signal Analysis: Geometry Optimization and Neutron-Gamma Tagging in Plastic Scintillator Detectors

Neutrinos are elementary particles with many properties still unknown. Their masses so far have only upper and lower limits. Still, due to neutrino oscillations, it is clear that they are not massless, as stated by the Standard Model of Elementary Particles. Neutrinos are also present in the Universe in vast amounts, but they rarely interact with the surrounding matter. Their abundance makes them very interesting for many theories beyond the Standard Model, e.g., dark matter searches and CP symmetry violation in the leptonic sector, which could be (partially) responsible for the observed matter-antimatter asymmetry in today's Universe.\\ The Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment (DUNE) is a next-generation accelerator-based neutrino oscillation experiment that will study neutrinos with unprecedented precision and may answer many open questions. DUNE uses a powerful neutrino beam from Fermilab. It consists of a Near Detector (ND) complex to measure neutrinos before oscillat ion, and a Far Detector (FD) complex $1300\ \mathrm{km}$ away to measure them after oscillation. As part of the ND complex, measurements are also possible with different angles to the neutrino beam. This enables excellent control of systematic uncertainties of e.g., neutrino cross section measurements.\\ One detector in the near detector complex is The Muon Spectrometer (TMS), an extension of a Liquid Argon (LAr) detector that measures the charge and momentum of muons produced in neutrino interactions within the LAr. The design of this detector, which consists of alternating layers of steel and plastic scintillator bars, must be optimized for the expected muon energies.\\ In this thesis, a study of the optimal module orientation plan is presented, which is necessary for the physics performance of the near detector complex and, by extension, DUNE. As part of this study, the event reconstruction was also developed and improved. Simulated muons are then reconstructed, and the performan ce of different module orientation plans is tested.\\ As a second part, a study of neutron and gamma tagging using a Pulse Shape Discriminating (PSD) plastic scintillator is presented. The properties of this material allow particle differentiation based on the temporal distribution of emitted light. A novel approach to using the individual light signals was successfully tested using data from a small, local test setup.

Nehm, Asa [Mainz U.]↗

Leveraging Optimal Sparse Sensor Placement to Aggregate a Network of Digital Twins for Nuclear Subsystems

Nuclear power plants (NPPs) require continuous monitoring of various systems, structures, and components to ensure safe and efficient operations. The critical safety testing of new fuel compositions and the analysis of the effects of power transients on core temperatures can be achieved through modeling and simulations. They capture the dynamics of the physical phenomenon associated with failure modes and facilitate the creation of digital twins (DTs). Accurate reconstruction of fields of interest (e.g., temperature, pressure, velocity) from sensor measurements is crucial to establish a two-way communication between physical experiments and models. Sensor placement is highly constrained in most nuclear subsystems due to challenging operating conditions and inherent spatial limitations. This study develops optimized data-driven sensor placements for full-field reconstruction within reactor and steam generator subsystems of NPPs. Optimized constrained sensors reconstruct field of interest within a tri-structural isotropic (TRISO) fuel irradiation experiment, a lumped parameter model of a nuclear fuel test rod and a steam generator. The optimization procedure leverages reduced-order models of flow physics to provide a highly accurate full-field reconstruction of responses of interest, noise-induced uncertainty quantification and physically feasible sensor locations. Accurate sensor-based reconstructions establish a foundation for the digital twinning of subsystems, culminating in a comprehensive DT aggregate of an NPP.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Efficient end-to-end simulation of time-dependent coherent X-ray scattering experiments

Physical optics simulations for beamlines and experiments allow users to test experiment feasibility and optimize beamline settings ahead of beam time in order to optimize valuable beam time at synchrotron light sources like NSLS-II. Further, such simulations also help to develop and test experimental data processing methods and software in advance. The Synchrotron Radiation Workshop ( SRW ) software package supports such complex simulations. We demonstrate how recent developments in SRW significantly improve the efficiency of physical optics simulations, such as end-to-end simulations of time-dependent X-ray photon correlation spectroscopy experiments with partially coherent undulator radiation (UR). The molecular dynamics simulation code LAMMPS was chosen to model the sample: a solution of silica nanoparticles in water at room temperature. Real-space distributions of nanoparticles produced by LAMMPS were imported into SRW and used to simulate scattering patterns of partially coherent hard X-ray UR from such a sample at the detector. The partially coherent UR illuminating the sample can be represented by a set of orthogonal coherent modes obtained by simulation of emission and propagation of this radiation through the coherent hard X-ray (CHX) scattering beamline followed by a coherent-mode decomposition. GPU acceleration is added for several key functions of SRW used in propagation from sample to detector, further improving the speed of the calculations. The accuracy of this simulation is benchmarked by comparison with experimental data.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Real-Time and Adaptive Reservoir Computing With Application to Profile Prediction in Fusion Plasma

Nuclear fusion is a promising alternative to address the problem of sustainable energy production. The tokamak is an approach to fusion based on magnetic plasma confinement, constituting a complex physical system with many control challenges. Here we study the characteristics and optimization of reservoir computing (RC) for real-time and adaptive prediction of plasma profiles in the DIII-D tokamak. Our experiments demonstrate that RC achieves comparable results to state-of-the-art (deep) convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and long short-term memory (LSTM) models, with a significantly easier and faster training procedure. This efficient approach allows for fast and frequent adaptation of the model to new situations, such as changing plasma conditions or different fusion devices.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

PICSAR-QED: a Monte Carlo module to simulate strong-field quantum electrodynamics in particle-in-cell codes for exascale architectures

Abstract Physical scenarios where the electromagnetic fields are so strong that quantum electrodynamics (QED) plays a substantial role are one of the frontiers of contemporary plasma physics research. Investigating those scenarios requires state-of-the-art particle-in-cell (PIC) codes able to run on top high-performance computing (HPC) machines and, at the same time, able to simulate strong-field QED processes. This work presents the PICSAR-QED library, an open-source, portable implementation of a Monte Carlo module designed to provide modern PIC codes with the capability to simulate such processes, and optimized for HPC. Detailed tests and benchmarks are carried out to validate the physical models in PICSAR-QED, to study how numerical parameters affect such models, and to demonstrate its capability to run on different architectures (CPUs and GPUs). Its integration with WarpX, a state-of-the-art PIC code designed to deliver scalable performance on upcoming exascale supercomputers, is also discussed and validated against results from the existing literature.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Localization of Zn 2+ ions affects the structural folding and mechanics of Nereis virens Nvjp-1

Several biological organisms utilize metal-coordination bonds to produce remarkable materials, such as the jaw of the marine worm Nereis virens, where metal-coordination bonds yield remarkable hardness without mineralization. Though the structure of a major component of the jaw, the Nvjp-1 protein, has recently been resolved, a detailed nanostructural understanding of the role of metal ions on the structural and mechanical properties of the protein is missing, especially with respect to the localization of metal ions. In this work, atomistic replica exchange molecular dynamics with explicit water and Zn 2+ ions and steered molecular dynamics simulations were used to explore how the initial localization of the Zn 2+ ions impacts the structural folding and mechanical properties of Nvjp-1. We found that the initial distribution of metal ions for Nvjp-1, and likely for other proteins with high amounts of metal-coordination, has important effects on the resulting structure, with larger metal ion quantity resulting in a more compact structure. These structural compactness trends, however, are independent from the mechanical tensile strength of the protein, which increases with greater hydrogen bond content and uniform distribution of metal ions. Our results indicate that different physical principles underlie the structure or mechanics of Nvjp-1, with broader implications in the development optimized hardened bioinspired materials and the modeling of proteins with significant metal ion content.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Comparing Designed Training Sets to Optimize Multivariate Regression Models for Pr, Nd, and Nitric Acid Using Spectrophotometry

Chemometric regression models were developed for the quantification of praseodymium (Pr, 0–1000 µg/mL), neodymium (Nd, 0–1000 µg/mL), and nitric acid (HNO 3 , 0.1–5 M) using spectrophotometry. Designed calibration sets were composed of 20 samples each: 10 model points and 10 lack-of-fit (LOF) points. The D-optimal designs effectively minimized the number of samples required to build models, and each design resulted in similar prediction performance, suggesting that statistical design of experiments can provide a reliable framework for selecting training set samples in three-variable systems. Partial least squares regression (PLSR) models were validated against a one-factor-at-a-time validation set composed of 125 samples (three variables, five levels). The top PLS-1 models resulted in average percent root mean square error of prediction error values of 3.5%, 1.7%, and 1.2% for Pr(III), Nd(III), and HNO 3 , respectively. Power set augmentations of the model and LOF samples were investigated to optimize the number of training set samples. PLSR models built using just required model points (10) had similar predictive capabilities as models including the LOF points (20) but with fewer samples. The number of validation samples was also varied systematically to learn how many samples are needed to validate regression models. This work addresses long-standing questions in the field of chemometrics to help make this approach amenable to the near-real-time quantification of hazardous species in remote settings.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Multivariate Bayesian Optimization of CoO Nanoparticles for CO 2 Hydrogenation Catalysis

The hydrogenation of CO 2 holds promise for transforming the production of renewable fuels and chemicals. However, the challenge lies in developing robust and selective catalysts for this process. Transition metal oxide catalysts, particularly cobalt oxide, have shown potential for CO 2 hydrogenation, with performance heavily reliant on crystal phase and morphology. Achieving precise control over these catalyst attributes through colloidal nanoparticle synthesis could pave the way for catalyst and process advancement. Yet, navigating the complexities of colloidal nanoparticle syntheses, governed by numerous input variables, poses a significant challenge in systematically controlling resultant catalyst features. We present a multivariate Bayesian optimization, coupled with a data-driven classifier, to map the synthetic design space for colloidal CoO nanoparticles and simultaneously optimize them for multiple catalytically relevant features within a target crystalline phase. The optimized experimental conditions yielded small, phase-pure rock salt CoO nanoparticles of uniform size and shape. These optimized nanoparticles were then supported on SiO 2 and assessed for thermocatalytic CO 2 hydrogenation against larger, polydisperse CoO nanoparticles on SiO 2 and a conventionally prepared catalyst. The optimized CoO/SiO 2 catalyst consistently exhibited higher activity and CH 4 selectivity (ca. 98%) across various pretreatment reduction temperatures as compared to the other catalysts. This remarkable performance was attributed to particle stability and consistent H* surface coverage, even after undergoing the highest temperature reduction, achieving a more stable catalytic species that resists sintering and carbon occlusion.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Co-optimizing water-alternating-carbon dioxide injection projects using a machine learning assisted computational framework

In this report, a robust machine-learning-based computational framework that couples multi-layer neural network (MLNN) proxies and a multi-objective particle swarm optimizer (MOPSO) to design water-alternating-carbon dioxide injection (CO 2 -WAG) projects is presented. The proposed optimization protocol considers various objectives, including oil recovery and CO 2 storage volume. Expert MLNN systems are trained and employed as surrogate models of the high-fidelity compositional simulator in the optimization workflow. When multiple objective functions are considered, two approaches are employed to treat the objectives: the weighted sum method and the Pareto-front-based scheme. A field-scale implementation focusing on tertiary recovery in the Morrow B formation at Farnsworth Unit (FWU) is presented. The developed Pareto-optimal solutions indicate the maximal available oil production can be 1.64 × 10 7 barrels and maximal carbon storage can achieve 2.35 × 10 7 tons. Trade-offs factor is defined to divide the constructed Pareto front into 4 sections with the trade-off factors’ value ranges from 0.35 to 49.9. This work also compares the optimum solution found by the aggregative objective function and the solution repository covered by the Pareto front that considers the physical and operational constraints and reduces uncertainties involved by the multi-objective optimization process. Our comparison indicates multiple solutions exist to satisfy the objective criteria of the WAG design, and these results cannot be found using the traditional weighted sum method. The Pareto front solution can provide more options for project designers, but decisions regarding necessary trade-offs must be made using the solution repository to balance the project economics and CO 2 storage amount.

10 SYNTHETIC FUELS↗

MLPF: efficient machine-learned particle-flow reconstruction using graph neural networks

In general-purpose particle detectors, the particle-flow algorithm may be used to reconstruct a comprehensive particle-level view of the event by combining information from the calorimeters and the trackers, significantly improving the detector resolution for jets and the missing transverse momentum. In view of the planned high-luminosity upgrade of the CERN Large Hadron Collider (LHC), it is necessary to revisit existing reconstruction algorithms and ensure that both the physics and computational performance are sufficient in an environment with many simultaneous proton–proton interactions (pileup). Machine learning may offer a prospect for computationally efficient event reconstruction that is well-suited to heterogeneous computing platforms, while significantly improving the reconstruction quality over rule-based algorithms for granular detectors. We introduce MLPF, a novel, end-to-end trainable, machine-learned particle-flow algorithm based on parallelizable, computationally efficient, and scalable graph neural network optimized using a multi-task objective on simulated events. We report the physics and computational performance of the MLPF algorithm on a Monte Carlo dataset of top quark–antiquark pairs produced in proton–proton collisions in conditions similar to those expected for the high-luminosity LHC. The MLPF algorithm improves the physics response with respect to a rule-based benchmark algorithm and demonstrates computationally scalable particle-flow reconstruction in a high-pileup environment.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Applying Constrained Bayesian Optimization to the Design of Critical Experiments

Often when planning a criticality experiment, many design configurations are iteratively investigated with a Monte Carlo transport code. The goal is that the experiment will be optimal with respect to some variable, like the fraction of fissions occurring at a certain energy range, while simultaneously being critical. Unfortunately, the Monte Carlo transport simulations are expensive, which can ultimately limit the number of configurations that can be explored. In this work, we present how Gaussian processes (GPs) can be used as a reduced-order model in a constrained Bayesian optimization (CBO) algorithm to design a criticality experiment. The GPs replace the Monte Carlo transport simulations that explore the design space. The CBO algorithm efficiently identifies new points in the design space to run the Monte Carlo transport code while respecting the criticality constraint. It does so in a manner that both improves the accuracy of the GP and finds the approximate global optimum. We demonstrate the performance of CBO with the design of a Thermal Epithermal eXperiment (TEX) for the criticality safety validation of nuclear waste models of the Hanford Tank Farm.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Snowmass white paper: Light dark matter direct detection at the interface with condensed matter physics

Direct detection experiments for light (sub-GeV) dark matter are making enormous leaps in reaching previously unexplored theory space. The need for accurate characterizations of target responses has led to a growing interplay between particle and condensed matter physics. This white paper summarizes recent progress on direct detection calculations that utilize state-of-the-art numerical tools in condensed matter physics and effective field theory techniques. These new results provide the theoretical framework for interpreting ongoing and planned experiments using electronic and collective excitations, and for optimizing future searches.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Plasma processing of SRF cavities at Jefferson Lab: Experiment results and simulation insight

Plasma processing of superconducting radio frequency (SRF) cavities has been an active research effort at Jefferson Lab (JLab) since 2019, aimed at enhancing cavity performance by removing hydrocarbon contaminants and reducing field emission. In this experiment, processing using argon-oxygen and helium-oxygen gas mixtures to find minimum ignition power at different cavity pressure was investigated. Ongoing simulations are contributing to a better understanding of the plasma surface interactions and the fundamental physics behind the process. These simulations, combined with experimental studies, guide the optimization of key parameters such as gas type, RF power, and pressure to ignite plasma using selected higher-order mode (HOM) frequencies. This paper presents experimental data from argon-oxygen and helium-oxygen gas mixture C75 and C100 cavity plasma ignition studies, as well as simulation results for the C100-type cavity based on the COMSOL model previously applied to the C75 cavity.

Accelerator Physics↗

Using Verified Lifting to Optimize Legacy Stencil Codes (Final Project Report)

This project investigated new techniques for compiling stencil and stencil-like computations. Stencils computations are commonly found in applications such as image processing, physical simulations, image processing, and machine learning. In recent years, many high-performance domain-specific languages (DSLs) have been proposed to optimize stencil computations. To leverage such DSLs, however, existing codes often need to be rewritten. Such rewriting is manual, labor intensive, and error-prone. To alleviate such issues, this project investigated the application of program synthesis and artificial learning techniques to enable stencil computations to automatically leverage new high-performance DSLs. Rather than constructing syntax driven rules, verified lifting uses program synthesis to search for a target code fragment to compile the given input code into. In addition, it also searches for a proof that validates how the found target code fragment preserves the semantics of the original input. Thus, the target code fragment is guaranteed to be semantically equivalent to the input.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Optimization-based technoeconomic comparison of multi-stage membrane distillation configurations for hypersaline produced water desalination

Unconventional oil and gas production raises concerns regarding sustainable management of high salinity wastewaters generated in this process. Membrane distillation (MD) is a thermal desalination process capable of treating hypersaline brines such as produced water. The low single pass recovery in MD systems operated in a single stage requires a large recycle stream to achieve the desired recovery, resulting in high energy consumption and operating cost. Multistage configurations in continuous recirculation operation mode offer the potential to reduce the energy intensity of MD systems. However, rigorous analysis is needed to assess the performance of MD configurations when operating in multi-stage mode. Here, we present an optimization-based comparison of economic and energetic performance for five configurations of MD (including DCMD, AGMD, PGMD, CGMD, and VMD) operating in multi-stage continuous recirculation mode. Our findings demonstrate that multistage operation reduces the treatment cost and energy intensity of all MD configurations compared to single stage MD, with the greatest benefit for VMD and PGMD. AGMD with five stages outperforms other configurations with 3.58 $/m 3 feed treatment cost, followed by VMD, CGMD, DCMD, and PGMD with 3.8, 4.2, 5.4, and 9.06$/m 3 feed treatment costs corresponding to twelve, eight, eight, and sixteen stages, respectively.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗