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At least 793 records · Page 44

Modeling Errors in Daily Precipitation Measurements: Additive or Multiplicative?

The definition and quantification of uncertainty depend on the error model used. For uncertainties in precipitation measurements, two types of error models have been widely adopted: the additive error model and the multiplicative error model. This leads to incompatible specifications of uncertainties and impedes intercomparison and application.In this letter, we assess the suitability of both models for satellite-based daily precipitation measurements in an effort to clarify the uncertainty representation. Three criteria were employed to evaluate the applicability of either model: (1) better separation of the systematic and random errors; (2) applicability to the large range of variability in daily precipitation; and (3) better predictive skills. It is found that the multiplicative error model is a much better choice under all three criteria. It extracted the systematic errors more cleanly, was more consistent with the large variability of precipitation measurements, and produced superior predictions of the error characteristics. The additive error model had several weaknesses, such as non constant variance resulting from systematic errors leaking into random errors, and the lack of prediction capability. Therefore, the multiplicative error model is a better choice.

Modeling↗

Multipath error in range rate measurement by PLL-transponder/GRARR/TDRS

Range rate errors due to specular and diffuse multipath are calculated for a tracking and data relay satellite (TDRS) using an S band Goddard range and range rate (GRARR) system modified with a phase-locked loop transponder. Carrier signal processing in the coherent turn-around transponder and the GRARR reciever is taken into account. The root-mean-square (rms) range rate error was computed for the GRARR Doppler extractor and N-cycle count range rate measurement. Curves of worst-case range rate error are presented as a function of grazing angle at the reflection point. At very low grazing angles specular scattering predominates over diffuse scattering as expected, whereas for grazing angles greater than approximately 15 deg, the diffuse multipath predominates. The range rate errors at different low orbit altutudes peaked between 5 and 10 deg grazing angles.

Sohn, S. J.↗

On error sources during airborne measurements of the ambient electric field

The principal sources of errors during airborne measurements of the ambient electric field and charge are addressed. Results of their analysis are presented for critical survey. It is demonstrated that the volume electric charge has to be accounted for during such measurements, that charge being generated at the airframe and wing surface by droplets of clouds and precipitation colliding with the aircraft. The local effect of that space charge depends on the flight regime (air speed, altitude, particle size, and cloud elevation). Such a dependence is displayed in the relation between the collector conductivity of the aircraft discharging circuit - on one hand, and the sum of all the residual conductivities contributing to aircraft discharge - on the other. Arguments are given in favor of variability in the aircraft electric capacitance. Techniques are suggested for measuring from factors to describe the aircraft charge.

Evteev, B. F.↗

Error analysis applied to several inversion techniques used for the retrieval of middle atmospheric constituents from limb-scanning MM-wave spectroscopic measurements

The formal retrieval error analysis of Rodgers (1990) allows the quantitative determination of such retrieval properties as measurement error sensitivity, resolution, and inversion bias. This technique was applied to five numerical inversion techniques and two nonlinear iterative techniques used for the retrieval of middle atmospheric constituent concentrations from limb-scanning millimeter-wave spectroscopic measurements. It is found that the iterative methods have better vertical resolution, but are slightly more sensitive to measurement error than constrained matrix methods. The iterative methods converge to the exact solution, whereas two of the matrix methods under consideration have an explicit constraint, the sensitivity of the solution to the a priori profile. Tradeoffs of these retrieval characteristics are presented.

Puliafito, E.↗

Effects of vibration on inertial wind-tunnel model attitude measurement devices

Results of an experimental study of a wind tunnel model inertial angle-of-attack sensor response to a simulated dynamic environment are presented. The inertial device cannot distinguish between the gravity vector and the centrifugal accelerations associated with wind tunnel model vibration, this situation results in a model attitude measurement bias error. Significant bias error in model attitude measurement was found for the model system tested. The model attitude bias error was found to be vibration mode and amplitude dependent. A first order correction model was developed and used for estimating attitude measurement bias error due to dynamic motion. A method for correcting the output of the model attitude inertial sensor in the presence of model dynamics during on-line wind tunnel operation is proposed.

Young, Clarence P., Jr.↗

Double sided measurements and associated error bars for planar samples or subassemblies

Many of the high energy density (HED) experiments use targets with planar components usually in a multilayer stack as the physics package which is at the heart of the experiment. The physics package contains the sample part under study as well as other components as shown in Fig. 1, that when exposed to the laser drive applies pressure onto or shock the main component to take it to the desired state in the phase diagram. These other components may include the ablator, pusher, x-ray pre-heat shield, window or other special components. The components are usually glued together. Currently, experiments on NIF and Omega in the Dynamic Materials campaign use several platforms such as Diffraction, EOS and Strength (Ref 1-3) which all use such planar stack physics packages.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Commercialization of a Non-Intrusive Optical (NIO) Technology to Measure Heliostat Optical Errors in Utility-Scale Concentrating Solar Power Plants: Final TCF Report

The drone-based Non-Intrusive Optical (NIO) Technology has been developed at NREL to allow for efficient and automated optical characterization of heliostats in Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) plants. For this project, the technology will be developed into a commercial tool package, including software and user-interface (UI), operations manual, and training and support services. The project team will partner with Tietronix to perform market assessment and stakeholder engagement, develop the tool package and business model, and perform data collection and analysis to demonstrate and refine the capabilities for use at a commercial plant. The team will collaborate with a commercial plant to conduct the data collection operations and provide optical error deliverables. The goal of the project is to advance the commercialization of the technology to a stage where a beta version can be demonstrated at additional commercial plants and developed into a licensable product.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Revised depolarization corrections for atmospheric extinction

Possible sources of errors in depolarization data are analyzed with special reference to the rotational Raman contribution to the optical depth. It is shown that the depolarization data now available are so accurate that their uncertainty affects the calculated Rayleigh optical depth by less than 1%, and consequently, the anomalously low extinctions occasionally reported must be due to systematic errors of measurement rather than errors in the Rayleigh optical depths.

Young, A. T.↗

Navigation errors encountered using weather-mapping radar for helicopter IFR guidance to oil rigs

In 1978 a joint NASA-FAA helicopter flight test was conducted to examine the use of weather-mapping radar for IFR guidance during landing approaches to oil rig helipads. The following navigation errors were measured: total system error, radar-range error, radar-bearing error, and flight technical error. Three problem areas were identified: (1) operational problems leading to pilot blunders, (2) poor navigation to the downwind final approach point, and (3) pure homing on final approach. Analysis of these problem areas suggests improvement in the radar equipment, approach procedure, and pilot training, and gives valuable insight into the development of future navigation aids to serve the off-shore oil industry.

Phillips, J. D.↗

Mass spectrometric study of the mercury isotopes in the Allende meteorite

Isotopic abundance ratios for mercury were determined by mass spectrometry in six samples of bulk material and in one sample of chondrules from the Allende meteorite. A primary purpose of the work was to attempt to verify the anomalous ratios reported for Hg-196/Hg-202 by neutron activation. Measurements were made on the mercury released at temperatures of 250, 450, 600 C, and in some cases, higher temperatures. The precision of the measurements was such that if an anomaly of the magnitude reported exists, it should have been seen. The isotopic abundance ratios for the other mercury isotopes were also measured. Within the errors of measurement these agreed with normal terrestrial values.

Nier, A. O.↗

A critical analysis of the accuracy of several numerical techniques for combustion kinetic rate equations

A detailed analysis of the accuracy of several techniques recently developed for integrating stiff ordinary differential equations is presented. The techniques include two general-purpose codes EPISODE and LSODE developed for an arbitrary system of ordinary differential equations, and three specialized codes CHEMEQ, CREK1D, and GCKP4 developed specifically to solve chemical kinetic rate equations. The accuracy study is made by application of these codes to two practical combustion kinetics problems. Both problems describe adiabatic, homogeneous, gas-phase chemical reactions at constant pressure, and include all three combustion regimes: induction, heat release, and equilibration. To illustrate the error variation in the different combustion regimes the species are divided into three types (reactants, intermediates, and products), and error versus time plots are presented for each species type and the temperature. These plots show that CHEMEQ is the most accurate code during induction and early heat release. During late heat release and equilibration, however, the other codes are more accurate. A single global quantity, a mean integrated root-mean-square error, that measures the average error incurred in solving the complete problem is used to compare the accuracy of the codes. Among the codes examined, LSODE is the most accurate for solving chemical kinetics problems. It is also the most efficient code, in the sense that it requires the least computational work to attain a specified accuracy level. An important finding is that use of the algebraic enthalpy conservation equation to compute the temperature can be more accurate and efficient than integrating the temperature differential equation.

Radhadrishnan, Krishnan↗