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At least 793 records · Page 44

Modeling Subsurface Performance of a Geothermal Reservoir Using Machine Learning

Geothermal power plants typically show decreasing heat and power production rates over time. Mitigation strategies include optimizing the management of existing wells—increasing or decreasing the fluid flow rates across the wells—and drilling new wells at appropriate locations. The latter is expensive, time-consuming, and subject to many engineering constraints, but the former is a viable mechanism for periodic adjustment of the available fluid allocations. In this study, we describe a new approach combining reservoir modeling and machine learning to produce models that enable such a strategy. Our computational approach allows us, first, to translate sets of potential flow rates for the active wells into reservoir-wide estimates of produced energy, and second, to find optimal flow allocations among the studied sets. In our computational experiments, we utilize collections of simulations for a specific reservoir (which capture subsurface characterization and realize history matching) along with machine learning models that predict temperature and pressure timeseries for production wells. We evaluate this approach using an “open-source” reservoir we have constructed that captures many of the characteristics of Brady Hot Springs, a commercially operational geothermal field in Nevada, USA. Selected results from a reservoir model of Brady Hot Springs itself are presented to show successful application to an existing system. In both cases, energy predictions prove to be highly accurate: all observed prediction errors do not exceed 3.68% for temperatures and 4.75% for pressures. In a cumulative energy estimation, we observe prediction errors that are less than 4.04%. A typical reservoir simulation for Brady Hot Springs completes in approximately 4 h, whereas our machine learning models yield accurate 20-year predictions for temperatures, pressures, and produced energy in 0.9 s. This paper aims to demonstrate how the models and techniques from our study can be applied to achieve rapid exploration of controlled parameters and optimization of other geothermal reservoirs.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Marine algae growth and carbon capture augmentation by antioxidant nanozymes

Large scale commercial cultivation of microalgae year-round is limited by seasonal stress conditions. The rapid growth and high CO 2 capture of the marine microalga Picochlorum celeri is largely inhibited under winter stress conditions of low temperature and high light. Herein, we demonstrated a nanotechnology approach to enhance the biomass productivity and CO 2 capture of P. celeri under abiotic stress by interfacing with antioxidant cerium oxide nanozymes (nanoceria). Antioxidant nanoceria catalytically scavenged reactive oxygen species (ROS) generated under stress conditions, reducing damage to the microalgae photosynthetic machinery in chloroplasts. Negatively charged poly-acrylic acid-coated nanoceria (PNC, 10 μM) were biocompatible in microalgae cells and colocalized with chloroplasts. In contrast, positively charged aminated nanoceria (ANC) resulted in microalgae aggregation (>50 μM) and were toxic at all concentrations tested (≥10 μM). PNC reduction of ROS levels in microalgae (78%) and superoxide levels (26%), enhanced microalgae growth (65%), photosynthetic performance (130%), and CO 2 uptake rate (380%) under low-temperature stress (15 °C) and high light (500 μmol/m 2 /s PAR) stress relative to controls without nanoceria. Nanoceria augmentation of microalgae provides a rapid and facile technology to increase algae CO 2 capture and biomass under stress conditions.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

High-temperature seals for supercritical carbon-dioxide (sCO 2 ) turbines (Final Report)

This is the final report for project DE-FE0031924 titled “High-temperature seals for supercritical carbon-dioxide (sCO 2 ) turbines.” The report provides a summary of the entire project efforts from October 2020 through December 2024 including the high-temperature commercial dry gas seal (DGS) tests and thermal modeling of Task 2, as well as the high-temperature, large-diameter seal design and high-temperature tests of large-diameter seals in Task 3. A key outcome of Task 2 was the testing completion of specially instrumented commercial DGS in the GE-SwRI Apollo sCO 2 compressor (27,000 rpm). Test data from the DGS showed elevated temperatures upwards of 350 o F, which are close to the higher operating temperature limit of the DGS. The temperature measurements provide insight into the expected thermal loads on DGS operating in high-speed sCO 2 compressor and provided test data for validation of an in-house thermal model of the compressor/seal. Under Task 2.0, this report also presents the development of a steady-state conjugate heat-transfer model of the DGS operating in the sCO 2 compressor – a first of its kind model for modeling heat transfer of sCO 2 in an actual operating compressor. The findings of the thermal model show a reasonable match between temperature predictions of the model and the measured temperature data, also pointing out the validity of the approach and assumptions made in modeling the flows, heat transfer coefficients and windage modeling in the rig. Under Task 3.0, this report presents the preliminary design of a large-diameter hybrid face seal (14 inch and 26-inch diameter) for field testing in a land-based GE turbine. The preliminary seal design effort presented in this report under project DE-FE0031924 builds on the development and successful laboratory testing for such large diameter hybrid face seal under the prior DE-FE0024007 project. Key aspects of seal fluid analyses with CFD, mechanical design considerations and assembly considerations in a land-based turbine are presented. Finally, under Task 3.0, this report also presents the continued high-temperature testing of the 14-inch diameter hybrid face seal developed previously under the DE-FE0024007 program. Specifically, test data demonstrating successful non-contact seal operation and seal effective leakage of 0.001-inch with seal inlet temperatures above 700 o F are presented in this report. Successful hybrid seal operation in a laboratory environment for a large diameter (14-inch) seal at temperatures above 700 o F is a major technological milestone for this technology.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Boosting the Low-Temperature Performance of Graphite Anodes by Creating an Electrochemically Active Interface

Graphite is the major anode material used in commercial lithium-ion batteries (LIBs). However, the sluggish ion-transfer kinetics associated with graphite anodes significantly restrict the operation of LIBs over a wide temperature. This is primarily due to their low reversible capacity and the substantial overpotential exhibited under low-temperature conditions. To address this limitation, we demonstrate herein an approach that involves grafting an electrochemically active lithium benzenesulfonate layer onto a graphite surface through a typical reduction reaction of diazonium cations, followed by ion exchange process. This surface modification reduces the charge transfer resistance of graphite anodes, leading to an excellent reversible capacity of ~150 mAh g –1 at low-temperatures (-20 °C, 0.1C). Electrochemical impedance spectroscopy indicates that both desolvation of the lithium ions outside the graphite, and lithium diffusion within the solid electrolyte interphase and graphite lattice are two crucial rate-limiting steps during the Li (de)lithiation, with the latter dominating during the low-temperature operation. In conclusion, these findings demonstrate a facile method for enhancing the low-temperature performance of graphite through surface modification and provide valuable insights into fundamental understandings that can guide the future design of better -low-temperature graphite anodes.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Quantitative three-dimensional imaging of chemical short-range order via machine learning enhanced atom probe tomography

Abstract Chemical short-range order (CSRO) refers to atoms of specific elements self-organising within a disordered crystalline matrix to form particular atomic neighbourhoods. CSRO is typically characterized indirectly, using volume-averaged or through projection microscopy techniques that fail to capture the three-dimensional atomistic architectures. Here, we present a machine-learning enhanced approach to break the inherent resolution limits of atom probe tomography enabling three-dimensional imaging of multiple CSROs. We showcase our approach by addressing a long-standing question encountered in body-centred-cubic Fe-Al alloys that see anomalous property changes upon heat treatment. We use it to evidence non-statistical B 2 -CSRO instead of the generally-expected D0 3 -CSRO. We introduce quantitative correlations among annealing temperature, CSRO, and nano-hardness and electrical resistivity. Our approach is further validated on modified D0 3 -CSRO detected in Fe-Ga. The proposed strategy can be generally employed to investigate short/medium/long-range ordering phenomena in different materials and help design future high-performance materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A Bayesian Approach to Regional Decadal Predictability: Sparse Parameter Estimation in High-Dimensional Linear Inverse Models of High-Latitude Sea Surface Temperature Variability

Stochastic reduced models are an important tool in climate systems whose many spatial and temporal scales cannot be fully discretized or underlying physics may not be fully accounted for. One form of reduced model, the linear inverse model (LIM), has been widely used for regional climate predictability studies—typically focusing more on tropical or midlatitude studies. However, most LIM fitting techniques rely on point estimation techniques deriving from fluctuation–dissipation theory. In this methodological study we explore the use of Bayesian inference techniques for LIM parameter estimation of sea surface temperature (SST), to quantify the skillful decadal predictability of Bayesian LIM models at high latitudes. We show that Bayesian methods, when compared to traditional point estimation methods for LIM-type models, provide better calibrated probabilistic skill, while simultaneously providing better point estimates due to the regularization effect of the prior distribution in high-dimensional problems. We compare the effect of several priors, as well as maximum likelihood estimates, on 1) estimating parameter values on a perfect model experiment and 2) producing calibrated 1-yr SST anomaly forecast distributions using a preindustrial control run of the Community Earth System Model (CESM). Finally, we employ a host of probabilistic skill metrics to determine the extent to which an LIM can forecast SST anomalies at high latitudes. We find that the choice of prior distribution has an appreciable impact on estimation outcomes, and priors that emphasize physically relevant properties enhance the model’s ability to capture variability of SST anomalies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Thermodynamics of Liquid Immiscibility in Iron-Silicate Melt Systems: A Study of Nuclear Fallout Glass

In a ground-interacting nuclear explosion, elements derived from environmental and anthropogenic material, such as iron, silicon, and aluminum, can be incorporated into the fireball. When significant amounts of metals are entrained, the resulting melt may display immiscible textures. The composition of these textures is a record of the temperature of formation and cooling rates (or thermodynamic stability) of the melts and can provide unique constraints on the early cooling conditions of these events. Here, a thermodynamic approach using calculated phase diagrams, the CALPHAD method, is used to predict temperature and composition ranges where stable liquid immiscibility might result in the textures observed in nuclear fallout glass. Sensitivity of the immiscibility to the presence of relative Al, Ca, and Mg content is also explored and compared to fallout samples, and partition coefficients are introduced to understand the preferred distribution of components into each liquid phase.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Developing Reaction Chemistry Models from Reactive Molecular Dynamics: TATB

Reactive Molecular Dynamic (RMD) are used to simulate the cook-off chemistry of TATB at a variety of fixed density and fixed temperature conditions. The chemical transformations are monitored using a Coordination Geometry Analysis (CGA) approach which tracks which atom types are bonded to each specific atom. This particularly identifies oxidation state changes that occur during the transformations. Correlations between these different chemical changes are identified using a Non-negative Matrix Factorization (NMF) approach. These identify reduced order chemistry models for the TATB system which contains six components whose concentration profiles are a function of both the temperature and density/pressure. The time histories of these transformations appear to show exponential growth/decay properties that could be fit with Arrhenius rates. These components should form the basis of deflagration rate models for these materials which could then be used in mesoscale simulations to analyze accidental initiation, shock-to-detonation and detonation propagation.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Uncertainty in Reconstructing Paleo‐Elevation of the Antarctic Ice Sheet From Temperature‐Sensitive Ice Core Records

Paleotemperature reconstructions from ice cores are mixed signals of changes in climate and ice‐surface elevation. A common, temperature‐based paleoaltimetry method suggests these signals can be disentangled by comparing two proxy locations with similar climates. The difference between the records is assumed to be due to elevation, which is estimated by scaling the temperature difference by a lapse rate. We investigate the uncertainty associated with this approach using a case study of the Antarctic Ice Sheet during the Last Glacial Maximum. From an ensemble of climate simulations, we extract modeled temperatures at locations of real ice cores. We find uncertainty on the order of hundreds of meters that results from spatial heterogeneity in non‐adiabatic temperature change, which itself stems in part from elevation‐induced atmospheric circulation change. Our findings suggest that caution is needed when interpreting temperature‐based paleoaltimetry results for ice sheets.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

How Advanced Hydrogen Fueling Protocols Can Improve Fueling Performance and H2 Station Design

This presentation introduces concepts to lower the cost of hydrogen fueling by making improvements to the existing SAE J2601 protocols and by utilizing completely new protocol approaches that can facilitate customer acceptable fueling at warmer hydrogen pre-cooling temperatures. These methods would reduce the cost of chillers at the station, reduce energy consumption, and increase station reliability without sacrificing fueling performance. These approaches are especially applicable to high flow fueling at 70 MPa, a key aspect of H2@Scale, wherein station energy consumption and customer sensitivity to fuel costs is even more prominent than it is for light-duty fueling.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Density-matrix mean-field theory

Mean-field theories have proven to be efficient tools for exploring diverse phases of matter, complementing alternative methods that are more precise but also more computationally demanding. Conventional mean-field theories often fall short in capturing quantum fluctuations, which restricts their applicability to systems with significant quantum effects. In this article, we propose an improved mean-field theory, density-matrix mean-field theory (DMMFT). DMMFT constructs effective Hamiltonians, incorporating quantum environments shaped by entanglements, quantified by the reduced density matrices. Therefore, it offers a systematic and unbiased approach to account for the effects of fluctuations and entanglements in quantum ordered phases. As demonstrative examples, we show that DMMFT can not only quantitatively evaluate the renormalization of order parameters induced by quantum fluctuations, but can also detect the topological quantum phases. Additionally, we discuss the extensions of DMMFT for systems at finite temperatures and those with disorders. Our work provides an efficient approach to explore phases exhibiting unconventional quantum orders, which can be particularly beneficial for investigating frustrated spin systems in high spatial dimensions.

Physics↗

A novel method to measure ion density in ICF experiments using x-ray spectroscopy of cylindrical tracers

The indirect drive approach to inertial confinement fusion has undergone important advances in the past few years. Improvements in temperature and density diagnostic methods are leading to more accurate measurements of the plasma conditions inside the Hohlraum and therefore to more efficient experimental designs. The implementation of dot spectroscopy has proven to be a versatile approach to extracting space- and time-dependent electron temperatures. In this method, a microdot of a mid-Z material is placed inside the Hohlraum and its K-shell emission spectrum is used to determine the plasma temperature. However, radiation transport of optically thick lines acting within the cylindrical dot geometry influences the outgoing spectral distribution in a manner that depends on the viewing angle. This angular dependence has recently been studied in the high energy density regime at the OMEGA laser facility, which allowed us to design and benchmark appropriate radiative transfer models that can replicate these geometric effects. By combining these models with the measurements from the dot spectroscopy experiments at the National Ignition Facility, we demonstrate here a novel technique that exploits the transport effects to obtain time-resolved measurements of the ion density of the tracer dots, without the need for additional diagnostics. Furthermore, we find excellent agreement between experiment and simulation, opening the possibility of using these geometric effects as a density diagnostic in future experiments.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Inverse Compton Cooling in the Coronae of Simulated Black Hole Accretion Flows

Here we present a formulation for a local cooling function to be employed in the diffuse, hot corona region of 3D GRMHD simulations of accreting black holes. This new cooling function calculates the cooling rate due to inverse Compton scattering by considering the relevant microphysics in each cell in the corona and approximating the radiation energy density and Compton temperature thereby integrating over the thermal seed photon flux from the disk surface. The method either assumes the ion and electron temperatures are equal (1T) or calculates them separately (2T) using an instantaneous equilibrium approach predicated on the actual relevant rate equations (Coulomb and Compton). The method is shown to be consistent with a more detailed ray-tracing calculation where the bulk of the cooling occurs, but is substantially less costly to perform. As an example, we apply these methods to a harm3d simulation of a 10M⊙, non-spinning black hole, accreting at nominally 1% the Eddington value. This new approach leads to radiative efficiency values sime65% above Novikov–Thorne, with a larger fraction of total cooling in the corona as compared to simulations performed using the original target-temperature cooling function. Time-averaged post-processing reveals that the continuum spectral observations predicted from these simulations are qualitatively similar to actual X-ray binary data, especially so for the 1T approach, which yields a harder power-law component (Γ = 2.25) compared to the 2T version (Γ = 2.53).

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Influence of Correlations on the Thermal Performance Modeling of Parabolic Trough Collectors

The influence of correlations on the thermal performance modeling of parabolic trough collectors was analyzed in this work. A versatile model for a parabolic trough collector was developed that allows one- and two-dimensional analysis and enables the use of correlations to calculate thermophysical properties and convection heat transfer coefficients. The model also allows the use of constant values for properties and/or coefficients obtained from the evaluation correlations at a specific temperature. The effect of each correlation was evaluated independently, and the results were compared with a reference case that considered a two-dimensional approach and used all the correlations. For the analyzed cases, the correlation for the absorber emittance has the strongest impact on the collector efficiency, leading to a lower error when used. Based on the results, a one-dimensional model approach considering a correlation for the absorber emittance leads to efficiency errors below 3% for collector lengths of up to 243.6 m. Compared with the reference case, a one-dimensional approach using all correlations for a collector with a length of 500 m, and operating with an inlet temperature of 773 K, can result in errors around 9%. However, using constant values for properties and heat transfer coefficients could lead to errors of up to 50%. Multiple thermal models for parabolic trough collectors proposed in the literature rely on a one-dimensional approach, estimated values for the heat transfer coefficients, and constant thermophysical properties. The errors associated with those approaches are analyzed and quantified in this work as a function of the collector length and operation temperature.

absorber emittance↗

RESOLVING THE ELECTROCHEMICAL EQUATIONS OF A SOLID OXIDE FUEL CELL FOR USE IN TRANSIENT SIMULATION AND INTEGRATION INTO CYBER-PHYSICAL SYSTEMS

A major challenge with complex cyber-physical systems stems from long model computational time that creates a mismatch between the model system and the physical system. The numerical modeling of solid oxide fuel cells (SOFCs) presents particular challenges due to the highly coupled nature of the underlying equations and the multiphysics needed to fully resolve their behavior during a transient event. To this end current approaches revolve around splitting the computational efforts into resolving temperature effects and resolving electrochemical effects. Current methods employed for the transient simulation of an SOFC for implementation in the Hybrid Performance (HyPer) facility cyberphysical plant at the National Energy Technology Laboratory reveal a distinct need for accelerated results with a high degree of stability. To this aim, an investigation into the computational time for the code reveals that the underlying electrochemical algorithm takes an order of magnitude more time than its thermal counterpart and has a tendency to vary in terms of iteration time and as such a rework of the underlying system is proposed. The primary method for accelerated electrochemical algorithm solutions is to employ higher order root finding recipes for the resolution of the highly coupled electrochemical equations. This is done with the intention to reduce the overall number of subiterations necessary for resolving voltage, current density, and species concentration, properties of the fuel cell that are all directly coupled and require nested iterative approaches. The overall objective of this approach is an order of magnitude reduction in calculation time without sacrificing stability and increasing accuracy. Specific approaches involve using both bounded and unbounded techniques, such as the False Position method and the Secant method (or if applicable Newton-Raphson) respectively, the drawbacks being slower convergence for False Position and instability for the Secant or Newton-Raphson methods. Current preliminary results on simplified versions of the parent functions involved for electrochemical calculations indicate a reduction in computational steps by a factor of two for the secant method and a factor of three for Newton-Raphson. When implemented into new modified electrochemical algorithms, the results indicate a possible order of magnitude reduction in calculation time.

Arias, Jesus↗

Exploring the Functional Performance of a Commercial High-Temperature Photopolymer Resin for Vat Photopolymerized Injection Molding Tools

Additive manufacturing (AM) presents a promising approach for rapid tooling, offering significant reductions in production costs and lead times compared to that of conventional moldmaking processes. This work examines the fabrication of molds for injection molding through vat photopolymerization (VPP) AM, using a commercially available photopolymer resin intended for high temperature applications (High Temp V2 resin). The photorheological behavior of the resin is examined to evaluate its curing kinetics and mechanical development during polymerization, ensuring suitability for mold fabrication. The thermal and mechanical properties of the printed photopolymer resin are characterized, alongside assessments of dimensional accuracy and surface finish, which are critical factors influencing the performance and quality of injection molded parts. Additionally, specimens produced using VPP-fabricated molds are evaluated and benchmarked against those molded with traditional metal molds.

Jones, Haley W. [Savannah River National Laborator↗

Influence of preheating on tungsten damage under pulsed hydrogen plasma exposure

Preheated tungsten plate behavior under multiple pulsed hydrogen plasma irradiations in the PW-7 plasma accelerator was investigated. The preheating temperature was 973 K, which is above the ductile to brittle transition temperature (DBTT ≈ 673 K). The plate was exposed to three consecutive series of 13 plasma pulses each. Preheating sufficiently suppressed surface cracking at the early irradiation stage: after 13 pulses, cracks were rare, localized, and did not form extensive fractures. During subsequent irradiation series, the area fraction of fine cracks increased by ∼ 2% due to accumulation of dislocations around the pre-existing defects. However, their width remained nearly constant, averaging 0.2–0.3 μm, with rare cracks up to 1 μm in size. Repeated plasma exposure resulted in pronounced surface roughening associated with multiple melting cycles, crater formation and blister rupture, with roughness reaching ∼ 204 nm and a recorded sample mass loss of ∼ 2.8 mg. These results indicate that controlling tungsten preheating well above DBTT effectively reduces damage. However, the surface condition during initial irradiation significantly influences its subsequent morphological evolution. Preheating to 773 K, selected regarding the minimum DBTT value, has previously been demonstrated to be an effective approach for limiting crack growth. A further increase in temperature of approximately ∼ 1000 K did not qualitatively improve results: crack still formed and widths did not decrease. At the same time, the absence of further crack coarsening indicates that the limiting effect of preheating has been reached. Considering the increased energy costs, further increasing the preheating temperature seems unjustified.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗