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At least 793 records · Page 44

Theoretical studies of chemical reactions related to the formation and growth of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAH) and molecular properties of their key intermediates (Final Progress Report)

The formation mechanisms of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, (PAHs) – organic molecules carrying fused benzene rings – are of great interest to scientists and engineers due to their importance in combustion chemistry and astrochemistry. On Earth, PAHs are largely produced in incomplete combustion of fossil fuel and are considered as critical precursors to unwanted soot particles leading to combustion inefficiency and causing air pollution along with detrimental health effects. Simple PAH molecules initially formed in the gas phase, are further involved in a build-up process in combustion flames leading to larger PAH, bowl-shaped nanostructures, fullerenes, and solid-phase species including carbonaceous dust, graphene particles, and soot. In deep space, PAH and their derivatives are potential key intermediates and nucleation sites leading eventually to carbonaceous nanoparticles (“interstellar grains”). Therefore, the understanding of the key processes in the synthesis of PAHs along with their precursors and their degradation mechanisms in combustion systems and in interstellar, circumstellar, and planetary atmospheric environments will provide critical insights into how complex aromatic structures, carbonaceous nanoparticles, and fullerenes are formed and destroyed. Achieving this understanding is an important step in the development of the efficient combustion processes and of the ecofriendly devices with reduced environmental pollution as well as technological strategies for the production of hydrogen and solid carbon through thermal or plasma-assisted pyrolysis of natural gas and biomass. Also, the understanding of the key processes of PAH and soot growth will help in our comprehension of chemical evolution in the universe. Detailed information on the mechanisms and reliable rate constants of the key elementary chemical reactions involved in PAH formation and destruction processes and in inception of soot particles is often missing, with the main deficiencies being the absence of temperature- and pressure-dependent rate constants for the broad range of conditions occurring in various terrestrial and interstellar processes and the lack of data on the reaction products and their branching ratios. Complementary to experimental studies, these gaps in knowledge can be filled by using quantum chemical calculations of reaction potential energy surfaces providing us with accurate energies of reaction products, intermediates, and transition states, revealing the reaction mechanism, and giving the molecular properties required to compute rate constants for relevant reaction steps and product branching ratios using the RRKM-Master Equation (ME) method. Molecular dynamics (MD) simulations can be used in cases when a reaction rate cannot be properly described by statistical theories. During the terminal renewal project period we employed these ab initio/RRKM-ME and MD approaches to complete our studies on several key reactions relevant to the formation/growth of PAH and inception of soot particles including (1) the reaction mechanism and kinetics of the resonance stabilized fulvenallenyl radical with propargyl and C 3 H 4 isomers; (2) the reaction mechanism and kinetics for the C + indene and C 2 + styrene reactions producing naphthyl or azulenyl radicals in low-temperature environments; (3) the MD study of non-equilibrium dimerization of acepyrene and coronene and its radical. The information derived from our theoretical calculations contributed to a better fundamental understanding of the reaction mechanisms and provide missing critical kinetic data to improve combustion models of hydrocarbon fuels and astrochemical models of the growth of carbonaceous molecules and particles in cold molecular clouds, circumstellar envelopes, and planetary atmospheres.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

User Acceptance of Shared Autonomous Vehicles

A dissertation is proposed to explore user acceptance of shared autonomous vehicles (SAVs). SAVs are facing limited user acceptance. To systematically tackle the user acceptance barriers of SAVs, the main problem can be disintegrated into two sub-problems of user acceptance of autonomous vehicles (AVs) and ridesharing. The comfort of the ride experience in AVs is a determinant of user acceptance. Understanding the influential factors and developing methodologies to quantify human comfort in AVs are essential to facilitating future research to improve human comfort in AVs. The current pooled rideshare (PR) service closely resembles the anticipated future of SAVs. Understanding why users prefer or refuse to use PR at the current stage prepares SAVs for broader acceptance in the future. Until now, a series of peer-reviewed publications have been published to achieve the technical goals. Two simulator-based user studies were conducted to instrument the research on human comfort in AVs. Statistical analysis was performed to identify the crucial vehicular behavioral factors of human comfort in AVs. The influential factors of human comfort in AVs and methodologies to quantify and detect human comfort in AVs were investigated. Two survey-based studies were deployed to facilitate the investigation of user acceptance of rideshare services. The influential factors of users' willingness to consider PR were explored and identified, and the choice behaviors in ridesharing services were comprehensively modeled and analyzed. The proposed research answers a series of fundamental questions regarding the user acceptance of SAVs. For the branch of user acceptance of AVs, the research generated guidelines for improving passenger comfort in AVs by identifying a series of autonomous driving factors of passenger comfort. The research also provides fundamental tools to estimate human comfort levels for future research and in-AV applications. For the branch of user acceptance of PR, the research provided user acceptance-aware vehicle, service, and policy design insights that can promote the usage of PR.

Su, Haotian↗

Searches for New Physics With Muon Conversion at Fermilab and Triboson Production at the LHC

We report on several efforts to search for physics beyond the standard model of particle physics at broad energy scales. The Mu2e experiment at Fermilab will search for charged lepton flavor violation via the muon to electron conversion process, which is suppressed in the Standard Model. Mu2e will be operated at a low energy, yet can probe New Physics at very high mass scales (O(1e3 - 1e4 ) TeV). At high energies, the CMS experiment at the CERN LHC continues to deliver an impressive suite of Standard Model measurements and limits on a variety of New Physics signatures. Mu2e is under construction and slated to collect its first physics data in the coming years. This thesis describes work done during the construction phase of Mu2e and focuses on two critical areas: magnetic field modeling and statistical analysis. We describe a novel method for field modeling which we validate using a simulated dataset representing the expected magnetic field in the Detector Solenoid. This method blends a standard least-squares fitting technique that utilizes physically motivated analytical model functions with a novel physics informed network that is constructed to obey Maxwell’s equations. We show the technique can model the field with an accuracy of 10−7 despite the presence of injected noise in the pseudo-measurements at the 10−5 level. We then present preliminary results of the calibration of 3D Hall probes at the sub-10−4 level. These probes will be used to directly measure the Mu2e Detector Solenoid magnetic field on a sparse grid; these measurements serve as the input to the field model fitting. Finally, we describe the first implementation of both an unbinned shape analysis and a Bayesian interpretation applied to Mu2e pseudo-data. Up to 20% tighter limits can be set by the shape analysis compared to a standard cut & count analysis. The AlCap experiment collected data at PSI in 2015 to measure several important quantities related to nuclear muon capture on an aluminum target, which is a significant background process for Mu2e. The neutron emission from muon capture can introduce background hits in the Mu2e detectors and can increase radiation damage in various elements of the apparatus. We present measurements of the neutron group fluence and mean neutron multiplicity for muon capture on aluminum nuclei. Finally, we discuss an analysis of triboson production at CMS using an Effective Field Theory framework. Standard Model triboson production, which was first observed at CMS in 2020, has a relatively small cross section and provides direct access to both anomalous triple gauge couplings and quartic gauge couplings. These couplings, interpreted in the Standard Model Effective Field Theory, are studied in the present work. We target the boosted regime where the background rate is low and yields are enhanced when dimension-6 and dimension-8 Wilson coefficients are non-zero. We do not observe an excess in the data and therefore set bounds on the Wilson coefficients. For dimension-6 coefficients the tightest observed (expected) bounds are set on cW /Λ2 where Λ is the mass scale of new physics; the bounds are [−0.13, 0.12] TeV−2 ([−0.12, 0.12] TeV−2 ) at 95% CL. The tightest bounds in dimension-8 are set on fT,0 / Λ4 ; the observed (expected) bounds at 95% CL are [−0.63, 0.69] TeV−4 ([−0.54, 0.62] TeV−4 ). Additional results are presented which include scenarios where multiple Wilson coefficients are non-zero, the application of signal model clipping to address unitarity violation in Effective Field Theories, and a novel template fit developed for easier reinterpretation of our results.

Kampa, Cole Erik [Northwestern U. (main)] (ORCID:0↗

Statistical Distributions for Mesh Independent Solutions in ALEGRA

The representation of material heterogeneity (also referred to as "spatial variation") plays a key role in the material failure simulation method used in ALEGRA. ALEGRA is an arbitrary Lagrangian-Eulerian shock and multiphysics code developed at Sandia National Laboratories and contains several methods for incorporating spatial variation into simulations. A desirable property of a spatial variation method is that it should produce consistent stochastic behavior regardless of the mesh used (a property referred to as "mesh independence"). However, mesh dependence has been reported using the Weibull distribution with ALEGRA's spatial variation method. This report describes efforts towards providing additional insight into both the theory and numerical experiments investigating such mesh dependence. In particular, we have implemented a discrete minimum order statistic model with properties that are theoretically mesh independent.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

An Optimized Parameterization of Sub‐Grid Scale Advection for Convection Permitting Models

Convection‐permitting models (CPMs) explicitly resolve deep convection yet under‐resolve the organized lateral exchanges among drafts and their environment that control entrainment/detrainment, precipitation efficiency, and mesoscale structure. In this work, we introduce the Optimized Advection Scheme (OAS), which introduces a small rotation of the Cartesian frame of reference for the horizontal winds relative to other variables used in advection that induces cross‐gradient transport to mimic under‐resolved convective mixing. The rotation angle is selected to minimize the Kullback–Leibler divergence between the simulated and satellite observed precipitation intensity distributions, yielding a physically consistent perturbation that is computationally inexpensive and portable. Optimized Advection Scheme is implemented in WRF and evaluated over Amazon (April 2014). It shifts precipitation–precipitable‐water joint distributions toward lighter rain, reduces overly intense rates, and improves mesoscale convective system (MCS) lifetime and propagation. Mechanistically, the added cross‐gradient transport promotes convective detrainment and environmental mixing, which cools and moistens the mid‐troposphere, weakens downward momentum transport, alleviates excessive downwelling shortwave biases, and warms the surface temperature. The optimized rotation angle yields comparable improvements at 4‐km and 1‐km grid spacing, demonstrating resolution‐independent benefits across the CPM gray zone. By targeting the dynamical root of under‐mixed convective circulations, rather than tuning model microphysics or closures, OAS delivers robust, scale‐aware improvements in precipitation statistics, cloud vertical structure, and characteristics of MCS (MCSs), offering a practical pathway to more reliable CPM simulations for weather and climate applications.

CPM↗

PYSIMFRAC: A Python library for synthetic fracture generation and analysis

In this paper, we introduce PYSIMFRAC, an open-source python library for generating 3-D synthetic fracture realizations, integrating with fluid simulators, and performing analysis. PYSIMFRAC allows the user to specify one of three fracture generation techniques (Box, Gaussian, or Spectral) and perform statistical analysis including the autocorrelation, moments, and probability density functions of the fracture surfaces and aperture. This analysis and accessibility of a python library allows the user to create realistic fracture realizations and vary properties of interest. In addition, PYSIMFRAC includes integration examples to two different pore-scale simulators and the discrete fracture network simulator, dfnWorks. The capabilities developed in this work provides opportunity for quick and smooth adoption and implementation by the wider scientific community for accurate characterization of fluid transport in geologic media. We present PYSIMFRAC along with integration examples and discuss the ability to extend PYSIMFRAC from a single complex fracture to complex fracture networks.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Variance reduction techniques for Monte Carlo neutron noise simulations

The small fluctuations of the neutron flux caused by small perturbations of the macroscopic cross-sections take the name of neutron noise. Advanced Monte Carlo methods have been recently proposed in order to solve the neutron noise equations in the frequency domain, which allows establishing reference solutions to validate faster but approximate deterministic solvers. Due to the presence of particles carrying two statistical weights (for the real and imaginary components of the noise field), both of which may be positive or negative, Monte-Carlo simulations of neutron noise pose distinct challenges in terms of variance reduction. In this work we investigate two variance-reduction techniques, namely branchless collisions and weight cancellation, and probe their effectiveness for a benchmark con- figuration concerning the noise field induced by a pin with oscillating cross sections in a fuel assembly.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Statistical uncertainty of fission matrix eigenvalues using perturbation theory

Eigenvalue search of high dominance ratio systems may be slow to converge. The fission matrix element is defined by its element (FM){sub ij}, which are the probability for a neutron born in cell i to create a fission in cell j for a spatial mesh of n{sub i}*n{sub j} elements. Fission matrices are used in Monte Carlo criticality simulations to enhance computing speed, but also to find higher order eigenvalues. However, few studies have been made on the link between statistical uncertainties of fission matrix elements and eigenvalues uncertainties. Thus, dominance ratio statistical uncertainties remain unknown. This paper uses a new generalized perturbation theory (GPT) method to estimate sensitivities of eigenvalues to fission matrix elements and then to calculate dominance ratio uncertainties.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

A statistical model to predict ignition probability

Ignition capability is a critical design constraint for aeronautical gas turbines. However the current trend toward overall lean burn is detrimental to the engine ignition and relight and the ignition system must be adapted to ensure a fast and reliable light-round in all circumstances. As ignition is a stochastic phenomenon, the optimization of an ignition system requires to build ignition probability maps, which is difficult and costly with either experiment or numerical simulation as both require many tests. Here, this work proposes a model to predict the ignition probability map, knowing only flow statistics in non-reacting conditions, i.e., with only one test. The originality of the model is to construct statistics of the flame kernel trajectory, which are then combined with local flow indicators to evaluate the ignition probability at the considered sparking location. Application to a swirled burner operated in premixed, non-premixed and spray combustion modes illustrates the model concepts and demonstrates its ability to recover the experimental ignition map with good accuracy.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Optimizing time integration for accurate recovery of shockwave interface location in radiography

We present simulations and experiments of time integrated radiographic imaging of a moving 1D shock wave front and a quantitative method for determining the statistical error in locating the shock front as a function of integration time and noise in the radiograph. We discuss the trade-off between increasing motion blur, which leads to decreased shock front location certainty, and increasing signal-to-noise, which leads to improved image quality with increasing integration time. We find an optimum integration time between a short integration time, where noise limits the error, and a long integration time, where motion blurring limits the error. This methodology can be used to tune experimental configurations to obtain the highest quality radiograph for a given experimental configuration.

Bremsstrahlung↗

Filtering, averaging, and scale dependency in homogeneous variable density turbulence

We investigate relationships between statistics obtained from filtering and from ensemble or Reynolds-averaging turbulence flow fields as a function of length scale. Generalized central moments in the filtering approach are expressed as inner products of generalized fluctuating quantities, q ' ( ξ , x ) = q ( ξ ) - q ¯ ( x ) , representing fluctuations of a field q ( ξ ) , at any point ξ, with respect to its filtered value at x. For positive-definite filter kernels, these expressions provide a scale-resolving framework, with statistics and realizability conditions at any length scale. In the small-scale limit, scale-resolving statistics become zero. In the large-scale limit, scale-resolving statistics and realizability conditions are the same as in the Reynolds-averaged description. Using direct numerical simulations (DNS) of homogeneous variable density turbulence, we diagnose Reynolds stresses, T i j , resolved kinetic energy, kr, turbulent mass-flux velocity, a i , and density-specific volume covariance, b, defined in the scale-resolving framework. These variables, and terms in their governing equations, vary smoothly between zero and their Reynolds-averaged definitions at the small and large scale limits, respectively. At intermediate scales, the governing equations exhibit interactions between terms that are not active in the Reynolds-averaged limit. For example, in the Reynolds-averaged limit, b follows a decaying process driven by a destruction term; at intermediate length scales, it is a balance between production, redistribution, destruction, and transport, where b grows as the density spectrum develops and then decays when mixing becomes strong enough. This work supports the notion of a generalized, length-scale adaptive model that converges to DNS at high resolutions and to Reynolds-averaged statistics at coarse resolutions.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Removing imaging systematics from galaxy clustering measurements with Obiwan: application to the SDSS-IV extended Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey emission-line galaxy sample

This article presents the application of a new tool, Obiwan, which uses image simulations to determine the selection function of a galaxy redshift survey and calculate three-dimensional (3D) clustering statistics. Obiwan relies on a forward model of the process by which images of the night sky are transformed into a 3D large-scale structure catalogue, and offers several advantages over more traditional map-based techniques – such as operating on individual exposures and adopting a maximum likelihood approach. The photometric pipeline automatically detects and models galaxies and then generates a catalogue of such galaxies with detailed information for each one of them, including their location, redshift, and so on. Systematic biases in the imaging data are therefore imparted into the catalogues and must be accounted for in any scientific analysis of their information content. Obiwan simulates this process for samples selected from the Legacy Surveys imaging data. This imaging data will be used to select target samples for the next-generation Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) experiment. Here, we apply Obiwan to a portion of the SDSS-IV extended Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey emission-line galaxies (ELGs). Systematic biases in the data are clearly identified and removed. We compare the 3D clustering results to those obtained by the map-based approach applied to the complete eBOSS Data Release 16 (DR16) sample. We find the results are consistent, thereby validating the eBOSS DR16 ELG catalogues, which is used to obtain cosmological results.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Probability Density Function Control for Stochastic Nonlinear Systems using Monte Carlo Simulation

This paper presents a fast implementation framework of output probability density function (PDF) control for a class of stochastic nonlinear systems which are subjected to non-Gaussian noises. The statistical properties of the system outputs can be adjusted by shaping the dynamic output probability density function to track the reference stochastic distribution. However, the dynamic probability density function evolution is very difficult to obtain analytically even if the system model and the stochastic distributions of the noises are known. Motivated by Monte Carlo simulation, the dynamic probability density function can be estimated by sampling data which forms the contribution of this paper. In particular, the sampling points are generated following the stochastic distribution of the noise for each instant. These points go through the system would generate the histogram for system outputs, then the dynamic model can be established based on the dynamic histogram which reflects the randomness and the nonlinear dynamics of the investigated system. Based on the established model, the output probability density function tracking can be achieved and the simulation results and discussions show the effectiveness and benefits of the presented framework.

Zhang, Qichun↗

Towards a self-consistent model of the convective core boundary in upper main sequence stars: I. 2.5D and 3D simulations

There is strong observational evidence that the convective cores of intermediate-mass and massive main sequence stars are substantially larger than those predicted by standard stellar-evolution models. However, it is unclear what physical processes cause this phenomenon or how to predict the extent and stratification of stellar convective boundary layers. Convective penetration is a thermal-timescale process that is likely to be particularly relevant during the slow evolution on the main sequence. We use our low-Mach-number S EVEN -L EAGUE H YDRO code to study this process in 2.5D and 3D geometries. Starting with a chemically homogeneous model of a 15 M ⊙ zero-age main sequence star, we construct a series of simulations with the luminosity increased and opacity decreased by the same factor, ranging from 10 3 to 10 6 . After reaching thermal equilibrium, all of our models show a clear penetration layer; its thickness becomes statistically constant in time and it is shown to converge upon grid refinement. The penetration layer becomes nearly adiabatic with a steep transition to a radiative stratification in simulations at the lower end of our luminosity range. This structure corresponds to the adiabatic ‘step overshoot’ model often employed in stellar-evolution calculations. The simulations with the highest and lowest luminosity differ by less than a factor of two in the penetration distance. The high computational cost of 3D simulations makes our current 3D data set rather sparse. Depending on how we extrapolate the 3D data to the actual luminosity of the initial stellar model, we obtain penetration distances ranging from 0.09 to 0.44 pressure scale heights, which is broadly compatible with observations.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Statistical Estimation of EV Driver Charging Behavior and Influential Factors

INL received data collected via telematics from battery electric vehicles (BEVs), and these vehicles were owned by retail customers who had entered into a telematics user agreement. The goal of analyzing these data was to develop mathematical models to characterize how different sets of BEV drivers use charging infrastructure at home and away from home (i.e., public charging) and quantify how various factors influence BEV drivers’ decision to charge and use available infrastructure. The data used in this analysis are unique because they provide real world BEV driving and charging behavior at the individual driving and parking event level. In this study we seek to leverage this data to quantify BEV charging and driving metrics to help inform models that predict quantities like the specific times when loads are imposed on the electrical grid due to BEV charging. Most models that have been developed to predict electrical grid load due to BEV charging, use simulations of BEV driving events and rely on assumptions such as every vehicle charges every night. Using a statistical modelling framework, we seek to investigate BEV charging behavior and quantitatively assess these common assumptions of BEV charging behavior.

33 - ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Harnessing the Population Statistics of Subhalos to Search for Annihilating Dark Matter

The Milky Way's dark matter halo is expected to host numerous low-mass subhalos with no detectable associated stellar component. Such subhalos are invisible unless their dark matter annihilates to visible states such as photons. One of the established methods for identifying candidate subhalos is to search for individual unassociated gamma-ray sources with properties consistent with the dark matter expectation. However, robustly ruling out an astrophysical origin for any such candidate is challenging. In this work, we present a complementary approach that harnesses information about the entire population of subhalos—such as their spatial and mass distribution in the Galaxy—to search for a signal of annihilating dark matter. Using simulated data, we show that the collective emission from subhalos can imprint itself in a unique way on the statistics of observed photons, even when individual subhalos may be too dim to be resolved on their own. Additionally, we demonstrate that, for the models we consider, the signal can be identified even in the face of unresolved astrophysical point-source emission of extragalactic and Galactic origin. Furthermore, this establishes a new search technique for subhalos that is complementary to established methods, and that could have important ramifications for gamma-ray dark matter searches using observatories such as the Fermi Large Area Telescope and the Cerenkov Telescope Array.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

KaRMMa – kappa reconstruction for mass mapping

ABSTRACT We present KaRMMa, a novel method for performing mass map reconstruction from weak-lensing surveys. We employ a fully Bayesian approach with a physically motivated lognormal prior to sample from the posterior distribution of convergence maps. We test KaRMMa on a suite of dark matter N-body simulations with simulated DES Y1-like shear observations. We show that KaRMMa outperforms the basic Kaiser–Squires mass map reconstruction in two key ways: (1) our best map point estimate has lower residuals compared to Kaiser–Squires; and (2) unlike the Kaiser–Squires reconstruction, the posterior distribution of KaRMMa maps is nearly unbiased in all summary statistics we considered, namely: one-point and two-point functions, and peak/void counts. In particular, KaRMMa successfully captures the non-Gaussian nature of the distribution of κ values in the simulated maps. We further demonstrate that the KaRMMa posteriors correctly characterize the uncertainty in all summary statistics we considered.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Bridging the gap between experiments and simulations using machine learning

The physics of inertial confinement fusion is rich and complex. Simulation codes that are used to design experiments are computationally expensive and lack the predictive capability required for extensive parameter exploration in search of a high-performing design for laser direct drive. In this work we use deep learning to build a fast emulator of experiments. To facilitate the development of the deep-learning model, an autoencoder is used to reduce the dimensionality of the input space. Two deep learning models are developed. One model is trained on a vast array of simulation data and is subsequently calibrated to expensive and limited experimental data using a technique known as “transfer learning.” The other model is trained on a statistical model and is subsequently calibrated using experimental data. A comparative study of the two predictive models is carried out. The models potentially reproduce key experimental observables with high accuracy and unprecedented inference times relative to those achieved with simulation codes. These models facilitate rapid exploration of a high dimensional input parameter space.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗