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At least 793 records · Page 44

U.S. Solar Photovoltaic System Cost Benchmark: Q1 2017

NREL has been modeling U.S. photovoltaic (PV) system costs since 2009. This year, our report benchmarks costs of U.S. solar PV for residential, commercial, and utility-scale systems built in the first quarter of 2017 (Q1 2017). Costs are represented from the perspective of the developer/installer, thus all hardware costs represent the price at which components are purchased by the developer/installer, not accounting for preexisting supply agreements or other contracts. Importantly, the benchmark this year (2017) also represents the sales price paid to the installer; therefore, it includes profit in the cost of the hardware, along with the profit the installer/developer receives, as a separate cost category. However, it does not include any additional net profit, such as a developer fee or price gross-up, which are common in the marketplace. We adopt this approach owing to the wide variation in developer profits in all three sectors, where project pricing is highly dependent on region and project specifics such as local retail electricity rate structures, local rebate and incentive structures, competitive environment, and overall project or deal structures.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

The Geography of Green Power

Green power refers to the voluntary purchase of renewable electricity by retail electricity customers. Green power is unlike compliance-based renewable energy procurement imposed by law or regulation. In 2016, over six million customers procured about 95 million megawatt-hours (MWh) of green power in the United States, which represents about 28% of all U.S. renewable energy sales, excluding large hydropower. In this fact sheet, we use available data to illustrate the geography of green power demand (in terms of number of customers) and supply (in terms of MWh of generation) by state.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Streamlining and Standardizing Due Diligence to Ensure Quality of PV Power Plants

Those investing in PV power plants would like to have confidence that the plants will provide the anticipated return on investment. While due diligence is capably performed by independent engineers today, as PV systems mature, there will be benefit in standardization and streamlining of this process. The IECRE has defined technical information that is needed as a basis for each transaction step such as approving a design to begin construction, documenting readiness to operate, quantifying performance after a year of operation, and assessing the health of the plant in preparation for sale of the plant. The technical requirements have been defined by IEC Technical Committee 82 and have been designed to be both effective and efficient in completing the assessments. This workshop will describe these new tools that are now available to the community and will include a panel/audience discussion about how and when they can be most effectively used.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Hawaii Clean Energy Initiative 2008-2018: Celebrating 10 Years of Success

Launched in January 2008, the Hawaii Clean Energy Initiative (HCEI) set out transform Hawaii into a world model for energy independence and sustainability. With its leading-edge vision to transition to a Hawaii-powered clean energy economy within a single generation, HCEI established the most aggressive clean energy goals in the nation. Ten years after its launch, HCEI has significantly outdistanced the lofty targets established as Hawaii embarked on its ambitious quest for energy independence. The state now generates 27 percent of its electricity sales from clean energy sources like wind and solar, placing it 12 percentage points ahead of HCEI's original 2015 RPS target of 15 percent. This brochure highlights some of HCEI's key accomplishments and impacts during its first decade and reveals how its new RPS goal of 100 percent by 2045, which the Hawaii state legislature adopted in May 2015, has positioned Hawaii to become the first U.S. state to produce all of its electricity from indigenous renewable sources.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Evaluating Accuracy of the Sunnova Pro Platform Shade Measurement

Sunnova's new solar energy design platform, Sunnova Pro, automatically generates a 3D model of a building and surrounding shading objects. The product is designed to automate the process of engineering a system, sizing batteries and preparing sales proposals.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

National Plug-In Electric Vehicle Infrastructure Analysis

This presentation describes a study conducted by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory quantifying the charging station infrastructure required to serve the growing U.S. fleet of plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs). PEV sales, which include plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) and battery electric vehicles (BEVs), have surged recently. Most PEV charging occurs at home, but widespread PEV adoption will require the development of a national network of non-residential charging stations. Installation of these stations strategically would maximize the economic viability of early stations while enabling efficient network growth as the PEV market matures. This document describes what effective co-evolution of the PEV fleet and charging infrastructure might look like under a range of scenarios. To develop the roadmap, NREL analyzed PEV charging requirements along interstate corridors and within urban and rural communities. The results suggest that a few hundred corridor fast-charging stations could enable long-distance BEV travel between U.S. cities. Compared to interstate corridors, urban and rural communities are expected to have significantly larger charging infrastructure requirements. About 8,000 fast-charging stations would be required to provide a minimum level of coverage nationwide. In an expanding PEV market, the total number of non-residential charging outlets or 'plugs' required to meet demand ranges from around 100,000 to more than 1.2 million. Understanding what drives this large range in capacity requirements is critical. For example, whether consumers prefer long-range or short-range PEVs has a larger effect on plug requirements than does the total number of PEVs on the road. The relative success of PHEVs versus BEVs also has a major impact, as does the number of PHEVs that charge away from home. This study shows how important it is to understand consumer preferences and driving behaviors when planning charging networks.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Investigating the LED's dark side. Novel LED Model Offers New Insights

A revolution in lighting is well on its way. Rewind the clock a year or so and the prices of LED bulbs made many shoppers wince. But now it is possible to get a high-quality 60 W equivalent for well under $10, and that’s allowing sales of LED bulbs incorporating chips from the likes of Cree and Philips Lumileds to take off. Although these solid-state bulbs are much more pricey than incandescents, which have largely disappeared from shelves due to legislation, they more than make up for that additional up-front cost with a substantial trimming of the electricity bill. It is a more tricky decision, however, whether it makes more sense to buy an LED bulb or a cheaper compact fluorescent (CFL). In terms of durability, adaptability and environmental impact, the solid-state bulb is the clear winner. But both types of light are similar in the efficiency stakes, and thus the running costs.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Final Project Report (Oct 2014-Dec 2017): Zeolite Membranes for Krypton/Xenon Separation from Spent Nuclear Fuel Reprocessing Off-Gas

The overall focus of this project is to develop and understand SAPO-34 zeolitic membranes that can separate mixtures of radioisotope krypton-85 and xenon released as off-gases during used nuclear fuel recycling. The primary advantage of separating 85 Kr from Xe is to reduce the volume of radioactive waste for storage. The second advantage is the revenue generated from the sale of high-purity Xe. Zeolite membranes are attractive because of their much lower energy requirements relative to cryogenic distillation, and their high resistance to radiation degradation. We report the detailed study of silicoaluminophosphate zeolite SAPO-34 materials and membranes for this application, due to hypothesized favorable molecular sieving properties. In the 3-year Mission Support project, we developed a novel, high-performance, low-energy intensity, lower-cost zeolite membrane process for Kr/Xe separation during SNF processing; and investigated the underlying molecular adsorption and transport processes in both ‘idealized’ and ‘realistic’ operating conditions to develop reliable synthesis-structure-property relationships for such membranes. Adsorption and diffusion measurements on SAPO-34 crystals indicate their potential for use in Kr-Xe separation membranes, but also highlight competing effects of adsorption and diffusion selectivity. SAPO-34 membranes synthesized on α-alumina substrates via steam-assisted conversion seeding and hydrothermal growth are characterized in detail, with Kr permeances 26 GPU and ideal Kr/Xe selectivities >20 at 298 K after thickness reduction. Post-synthesis cation exchange shows large (>50%) increases in selectivity at ambient or slight sub-ambient conditions. In addition, we confirm that SAPO-34 membrane is stable under radiation exposure and the impact of radiation exposure on membrane performance would not be substantial. We also successfully synthesized hollow-fiber SAPO-34 membranes with the same performance levels as the disk-type and tubular membranes. This important development will allow a very compact and low-cost Kr/Xe separation system. Finally, a detailed process calculation for techno-economic analysis was performed by integrating Maxwell-Stefan model into cross-flow membrane system, in order to estimate the required number of membrane stages and the total cost.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Modeling Framework and Results to Inform Charging Infrastructure Investments

Plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) sales in the United States increased by 40% in 2016, reaching a total stock of over 500,000 vehicles. Still, widespread market adoption of PEVs remains hindered by many factors, including a lack of a convenient and ubiquitous network of charging stations. Understanding the barriers to and benefits of deploying a widespread and effective network of PEV charging stations, also known as electric vehicle supply equipment (EVSE), is particularly important. Such a network would promote PEV consumer acceptance and market growth, enable long-distance travel for BEVs (alleviating the range anxiety concerns of many consumers), and potentially increase the share of electric miles driven by PHEVs. Infrastructure planning must anticipate PEV adoption while remaining cost-effective so low station utilization does not severely undermine the business case for building and operating stations. This project presents an approach for developing a U.S. network of non-residential EVSE that enables broader PEV adoption and maximizes PEV use. This analysis can help inform various public and private stakeholders who are seeking to provide nationwide charging coverage and improve the business case for building stations by maximizing station utilization.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

State of the Voluntary Green Power Market

Green power refers to renewable electricity voluntarily purchased by retail electricity customers. Renewable energy sources for green power include solar, wind, biomass, geothermal, and small-scale hydropower. This presentation summarizes data on the various ways in which voluntary purchasers - including residential, commercial, and institutional customers - purchase green power. We summarize key historic trends in U.S. voluntary green power markets and the current status of green power sales through seven products: utility green pricing programs, utility renewable contracts, competitive suppliers, unbundled renewable energy certificates, community choice aggregations, power purchase agreements, and community solar.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Impact of Workplace and Other Convenient Vehicle Charging

This work uses market analysis and simulation to explore the potential impact of workplace and similarly convenient away-from-home charging infrastructure (AFHCI) in reducing US light duty vehicle (LDV) petroleum use and greenhouse gas emissions. The ParaChoice model simulates the evolution of LDV sales, fuel use, and emissions through 2050, considering consumer responses to different options of electric range extension made available through AFHCI, fraction of the population with access, and delay in infrastructure implementation. Results indicate that providing a greater fraction of the population access to level 1 AFHCI for a full workday may provide more benefit than providing level 2 charging to a lesser fraction. This result holds even considering the fraction of the population without at-home charging. Moreover, delays in infrastructure implementation have no substantial drawbacks for long term petroleum use reduction and EV adoption, though delays will impact short term gains.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Variable Electricity from Base-load Nuclear Power Plants Using Stored Heat

Restrictions on greenhouse gas emissions and growth of renewables change the price structure of electricity markets with more hours per year of low electricity prices and high electricity prices. This creates large economic incentives to (1) store energy at times of low electricity prices to produce electricity when prices are high and (2) couple base-load nuclear plants to heat storage to avoid selling electricity at times of low prices and increase electricity sales at times of high prices. Nuclear energy coupled with thermal energy storage has potentially superior economics to alternative energy storage technologies for peak electricity production because (1) heat storage is cheaper than electricity storage, (2) economics of scale for energy storage, (3) more storage cycles per year and (4) dispatchable electricity generation that avoids full depletion of energy storage systems. Nuclear with heat storage is potentially the enabling technology for a zero-carbon nuclear renewable electricity grid. The changing electricity market, nuclear thermal energy storage options, and market analysis using the Texas electricity grid as an example are described.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

The Geography of Green Power (2017 Data)

Green power refers to the voluntary purchase of renewable electricity by retail electricity customers, as opposed to renewable energy procurement to comply with mandates imposed by law or regulation. In 2017, over five million customers procured about 113 million megawatt-hours (MWh) of green power in the United States, which represents about 27% of all U.S. renewable energy sales, excluding large hydropower. In this fact sheet, we use available data to illustrate the geography of green power demand (in terms of number of customers) and supply (in terms of MWh of generation) by state.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Charging Electric Vehicles in Smart Cities: An EVI-Pro Analysis of Columbus, Ohio

This presentation summarizes the results of the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) report, 'Charging Electric Vehicles in Smart Cities: An EVI-Pro Analysis of Columbus, Ohio.' As part of the Smart Columbus Initiative, the city has set specific goals for annual plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) sales. NREL used its Electric Vehicle Infrastructure Projection (EVI-Pro) model to analyze charging behavior and infrastructure requirements to support PEV adoption in Columbus, including estimating PEV supply equipment counts, location, use, and resulting hourly load profiles.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Subtask 1.4 - Techno-Economic Assessment of Regional Carbon Utilization Scenarios and Attendant Monitoring Technology

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Carbon Storage Program seeks to develop technologies to significantly improve the effectiveness of carbon capture and storage (CCS), reduce the cost of implementation, and support the readiness of widespread commercial deployment by 2035. To accomplish this goal, technical and economic barriers must be addressed and the results used to inform regulators and industry on the safety, permanence, and viability of carbon storage. To help overcome these barriers, the Energy & Environmental Research Center (EERC) conducted three activities: 1) investigate the regional techno-economic life cycle of CO2 enhanced oil recovery (EOR) in North Dakota, 2) assist DOE in determining the prospective CO2 storage resource of residual oil zones (ROZs), and 3) develop a seismic technique for monitoring geologic storage of CO2. These three activities address two strategic goals enumerated in the DOE–EERC Cooperative Agreement, namely, 1) to advance foundational science and 2) to inform data-driven policies that enhance U.S. economic growth and job creation, energy security, and environmental quality. Activity 1 In North Dakota, there is synergistic incentive to develop and implement CO2 EOR technologies. Regional industry partners are actively seeking options that can cost-effectively improve the efficiency of power production, while also coproducing CO2 for use in EOR applications. A full-value-chain techno-economic assessment that links lignite resources, power generation, and EOR is needed to determine the implications for a state or region to continue to use these resources or look elsewhere for other energy sources and revenue streams. The integration of North Dakota’s lignite power industry with the state’s oil industry has the potential to revitalize legacy oil fields and produce up to 1 billion barrels of additional oil using CO2 EOR while providing a market for a CO2 commodity captured at coal-fired power plants. Revitalization of North Dakota’s legacy oil fields will bring new industry investment to the state, resulting in the growth of oil-related jobs and revenue through oil sales, severance tax, and associated oilfield development activities (drilling, pipelines, etc.). CO2 demand for EOR and incremental oil production were calculated for 201 conventional oil fields in North Dakota. Infrastructure development in the fields was estimated using 1) a traditional vertical well arrangement of CO2 injectors and oil producers and 2) an advanced case where horizontal wells were used exclusively. Pipeline, compression, and recycling infrastructure requirements were also estimated. When viewed from the CO2 capture and CO2 EOR sectors, the advanced case showed a positive investment scenario when including potential benefits of the 45Q tax credit policy. An economic evaluation of a full implementation of CO2 EOR showed an average $60 billion potential state economic impact estimated over the 37-year construction and production time frame could be realized with an assumed oil price of $65/bbl. Oil price ranges of $35–$90/bbl cause an estimated variation of ±$5 billion over the potential effort. The total net state government revenues were estimated over the 37-year construction and production time frame. With an assumed oil price of $65/bbl, total potential fiscal impact could average $7.4 billion. This result ranges about ±$2.5 billion for a potential EOR implementation effort for oil price ranges of $35–$90/bbl. This broad-brush assessment was focused on “magnitude-of-effect” perspectives of what CO2 capture and use for EOR could mean to the state. Whether CO2 EOR ever becomes widely adopted is not the issue at this stage of evaluation. The question being answered is, How valuable could CO2 capture and CO2 EOR be for the state and local jurisdictions in western North Dakota? The results of the current economic assessment remove any ambiguity to that question. Full implementation of CO2 EOR as modeled in this study provides substantial economic benefits to the state, even at low oil prices (i.e., $35/bbl). Job creation and government revenues could be substantial, depending on the scale of implementation. With a better understanding of what CO2 EOR might mean for the state’s economy, the focus can now shift to the policies and financial mechanisms needed to make private investment in CO2 capture and use as EOR competitive with other energy-related pursuits. Activity 2 ROZs contain remnants of oil not swept away by natural waterflooding. Although nearly all of the identified ROZs are found in West Texas, there is evidence that this category of oil reservoir can be found in other major oil-producing basins of the United States. Because the formation of these oil reservoirs is distinct from other conventional reservoirs, the method to estimate the prospective CO2 storage resource in ROZs may be equally distinct from the method used for conventional fields. As such, the EERC collaborated with DOE’s National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) to investigate the feasibility of CO2 storage in ROZs and determine what specific modification (if any) needs to be made to the current DOE volumetric method to estimate prospective CO2 storage resource in oil reservoirs. This activity built on a previous EERC investigation to identify ROZs in the Williston and Powder River Basins and upon collaborations between the EERC and NETL to develop storage resource estimation methods for different types of geologic CO2 storage. Review of the volumetric approach raised questions about the applicability of such an approach to hydrocarbon-bearing zones without the inclusion of potential hydrocarbon production. A production-based approach was presented by the EERC to inform the working group of additional methods of increasing the CO2 storage resource potential. Because the production-based method focuses more heavily on oil recovery than CO2 storage, it was not included in the working group manuscript. Activity 3 The EERC has used sparse and irregular seismic arrays to detect CO2 injected into a reservoir. The variability of seismic noise recorded by the sensors directly impacts the seismic interpretation. However, designing noise attenuation workflows effectively can be a more challenging task using sparse and irregular arrays for data acquisition. Based on the hypothesis that noncoherent noise is stationary during weekly data acquisition, a new machine-learning algorithm was developed to automatically estimate noise conditions using passive records, noise from active records, and ancillary information. The new noise attenuation processing workflow can improve the time-lapse detection of CO2 from sparse and irregular array acquisitions. Results show spatial and temporal noise patterns can be related to the location of the sensors and the weather conditions during the data acquisition and that our attenuation processing workflow can improve the time-lapse detection of CO2 from sparse and irregular array acquisitions. This effort was funded in part through the EERC–DOE Joint Program on Research and Development for Fossil Energy-Related Resources Cooperative Agreement No. DE-FE0024233. Nonfederal funding was provided by the North Dakota Department of Commerce.

Peck, Wesly↗

A Summary of CO2-Enhanced Oil Recovery Options in the Illinois East Sub-Basin

Illinois Basin oil fields have an estimated CO2 storage resource of 140 to 440 million metric tons, 58 to 180 million metric tons of which are in reservoirs with conditions suitable for miscible CO2-EOR (Finley, 2005). Untapped reserves remain locked in established mature oil fields as well as prospective greenfields waiting for development. CO2-EOR recovery in the ILB has the potential to be economically significant by improving oil recovery and providing possible storage of anthropogenic CO2, and CO2-EOR reservoirs could potentially be co-located (stacked) with saline storage options. CO2-EOR interests in the wider region may assist the economics of a storage project long-term, via potential revenue from sale of CO2 for EOR and/or by taking advantage of Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) tax credits under 26. U.S. Code § 45Q (and 2018 FUTURE Act amendments). Pilot scale injection tests have been performed at a few locations across the ILB with positive indications of oil response, but there have been no field-scale applications of CO2-EOR in the ILB. Enhanced ILB oil field miscibility classification maps show additional reservoir-level detail and help expand the screening area for CO2-EOR opportunities in the East Sub-Basin. Examination of the oil fields and their productive reservoirs revealed the presence of several carbonate and siliciclastic candidates for miscible/near miscible and immiscible CO2-EOR in the East Sub-Basin study area. In addition, related studies have identified and assessed residual oil zones (ROZs) in sandstone and carbonate formations throughout the region. These results and ongoing work highlight key reservoirs in primary fields of interest and provide the basis for targeted oilfield and site-specific work in assessing the feasibility of industrial-scale CO2 storage and CO2-EOR in the Illinois East Sub-Basin study area.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

The International Supply Chain and Manufacturing Costs for Photovoltaic Modules, and Project Economics of Systems Including Storage

This talk will highlight the most recent efforts from the National Renewable Energy Laboratory's (NREL) Strategic Energy Analysis Center (SEAC) to track solar PV manufacturing capacities and trade flows, bottom-up manufacturing costs, and project capital costs including storage. We will begin with an overview of the global PV supply chain and the 2019 benchmark input data used to inform NREL's crystalline silicon (c-Si) and thin film module manufacturing cost models. The accounting framework that we follow and that will be reviewed during this talk provides a methodology to prepare cost models in accordance with the Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) and the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). For the polysilicon, wafer, cell conversion, and module assembly steps of the c-Si supply chain, and for thin film modules, we will review input data and methods useful for calculating the costs of goods sold (COGS); research and development (R&D) expenses; and sales, general, and business administration (S, G, &A) expenses. This 2019 benchmark analysis is compiled for state-of-the-art polysilicon-to-module manufacturing across the globe. We will also provide an overview of opportunities for solar plus storage and show our 2018 benchmark bottom-up capital cost model results for utility-scale PV systems with battery storage.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Lessons to be Learned: More than One Million Plug-in EVs Sold in the U.S.

December 2010 marked the first sales of the Nissan LEAF and Chevrolet Volt — widely considered the first mass-marketed plug-in electric vehicles (EVs). Since that time, additional models have entered the market. To date, more than one million plug-in EVs have been sold in the United States.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗