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DOE OSTI2019

Advancing Energy Efficiency in Developing Countries: Lessons Learned from Low-Income Residential Experiences in Industrialized Countries

Energy efficiency has great potential to address economic development, energy security, and environmental protection around the world and in developing countries in particular. Low-income residents of developing countries stand to gain significantly from energy efficiency investments. This report presents lessons learned in delivering energy-efficiency programs for low-income households that are taken from experiences in the United States and other member countries of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). Lessons learned in delivering energy-efficiency programs to low-income households of industrial countries are summarized from the perspectives of program design, program delivery, and institutions in order to provide best practices that are applicable to countries in different development stages. This report discusses who to target, how to reduce energy burden, coordinating institutional stakeholders, which efficiency tools to use, how to fund low-income energy efficiency programs, screening tools to prioritize projects, outreach strategies, and evaluation methods. The report concludes with a framework for understanding different levels of energy-efficiency interventions based on institutional capacity, political willpower, and resources.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2020

Overview of the Long-Term Stewardship of the Remediated Uranium Mining and Milling Sites in Europe - 20079

Uranium mining in Europe began in the ' 40's for civil and military applications. The great majority of the uranium mines have now been closed and are going through the stages of decommissioning and/or rehabilitation. Today, the main uranium producers are outside the EU; only a few mines are still in operation inside the EU. In 2006, the situation of the uranium mines and mill tailings in Europe, identifying the tailings liabilities, their status, the plans for these sites and any associated hazards, was reported to the EC. The legacy of uranium mines and mill tailing disposals in the EU are located mainly in 12 Member States where, in total, 87 tailing objects were identified at 63 sites. The volume of each one of these tailings disposal varies from a few thousand to several tens of million m{sup 3}. The majority of these sites are no longer in operation. More than 40 tailing embankments have already been completely remediated. Approximately 20 are currently being remediated while for the remaining objects, remediation has yet to start. After ten years, and for a few cases where the respective projects have not yet been completed, it seems that most of Europe's uranium mines and milling legacies were remediated according to acceptable environmental standards. Nevertheless, Europe is about to face a new challenge that comes from the concluded remediation projects for which an effective set of measures for coordinated institutional control, known as 'long-term stewardship', is needed including, in most cases, continuous and active maintenance. Moreover, the uncertainty of what will happen to these sites if institutional control fails at some point in time is a major concern. This work presents a summary of the situation and current issues of the uranium mine and mill tailings in Europe and their remediation status. It addresses not only the management of existing uranium mine and mill legacies but also the methods and strategies that have been used to prevent the creation of new future legacy sites from uranium mines still in operation. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2012

Advancing strategic environmental assessment in the offshore oil and gas sector: Lessons from Norway, Canada, and the United Kingdom

Abstract: Strategic environmental assessment (SEA) for offshore oil and gas planning and development is utilized in select international jurisdictions, but the sector has received limited attention in the SEA literature. While the potential benefits of and rationale for SEA are well argued, there have been few empirical studies of SEA processes for the offshore sector. Hence, little is known about the efficacy of SEA offshore, in particular its influence on planning and development decisions. This paper examines SEA practice and influence in three international offshore systems: Norway, Atlantic Canada and the United Kingdom, with the intent to identify the challenges, lessons and opportunities for advancing SEA in offshore planning and impact assessment. Results demonstrate that SEA can help inform and improve the efficacy and efficiency of project-based assessment in the offshore sector, however weak coordination between higher and lower tiers limit SEA's ability to influence planning and development decisions in a broad regional environmental and socioeconomic context. - Highlights: Black-Right-Pointing-Pointer SEA can inform and improve the efficacy and efficiency of project EA offshore Black-Right-Pointing-Pointer Scope and deliverables of SEA offshore often differ from stakeholder expectations Black-Right-Pointing-Pointer Considerable variability in influence of SEA output beyond licensing decisions Black-Right-Pointing-Pointer Sector-based SEA offshore is often too restrictive to generate expected benefits.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2023

A simple way to integrate distributed storage into a wholesale electricity market

Abstract Current plans to decarbonize the electric supply system imply that the generation from wind and solar sources will grow substantially. This growth will increase the uncertainty of system operations due to the inherent variability of these renewable sources, and as a result, more reserve capacity will be required to provide the ramping (flexibility) needed for reliable operations. This paper assumes that all of the increased uncertainty comes from wind farms on the grid, and it shows how distributed storage managed locally by aggregators can provide the ramping needed without introducing a separate market for flexibility. This can be accomplished when the aggregators minimize the expected daily cost of the energy purchased from the grid for their customers by submitting optimal bids into the wholesale market with high and low price thresholds for discharging and charging the storage. This model is illustrated using a stochastic multi-period security constrained optimal power flow together with realistic data for a reduction of the network in the Northeast Power Coordinating Council region of the United States. The results show that the bidding strategy for distributed storage provides ramping to the grid just as effectively as storage managed by a system operator.

Lamadrid, Alberto J.↗

DOE OSTI2013

RES-E-NEXT: Next Generation of RES-E Policy Instruments

The rapid deployment of renewable sources of electricity (RES-E) is transforming power systems globally. This trend is likely to continue with large increases in investment and deployment of RES-E capacity over the coming decades. Several countries now have penetration levels of variable RES-E generation (i.e., wind and solar) in excess of 15% of their annual electricity generation; and many jurisdictions (e.g., Spain, Portugal, Ireland, Germany, and Denmark; and, in the United States, Colorado) have experienced instantaneous penetration levels of more than 50% variable generation.1 These penetration levels of variable RES-E have prompted many jurisdictions to begin modifying practices that evolved in an era of readily dispatchable, centralised power systems. Providing insights for the transition to high levels of variable RES-E generation is the focus of this document, which is the final report of the RES-E-NEXT project commissioned by the International Energy Agency’s implementing agreement on Renewable Energy Technology Deployment (IEA-RETD). It presents a comprehensive assessment of issues that will shape power system evolution during the transition to high levels of variable RES-E generation. While policy will be a central tool to sustain the growth of RES-E capacity and to enable power system transitions, the scope of the report extends beyond policy considerations to include the related domains of regulation, power market design, and system operation protocols. This broad scope is in recognition that a changing resource mix with greater penetration levels of variable RES-E has broad implications for grid operations, wholesale and retail power markets, and infrastructure needs. The next decade will be a critical transition period for power system stakeholders, as global deployment of RES-E capacity (and especially variable RES-E capacity) continues to scale-up in many regions of the world. To address increased penetration levels of RES-E in power systems and the new challenges that could emerge, coordinated portfolios of policies, market designs, regulations, and operational protocols are essential. The goal for policymakers is to facilitate investment in RES-E technologies and to enable efficient and reliable system operation, costeffective service delivery, and continued public acceptance. Although the factors that impact the speed and scale of RES-E deployment manifest uniquely in each power system, in the transition to high shares of variable RES-E this report identifies four critical domains and the changing drivers that will shape next-generation policy for each. These domains are introduced in Table I, and comprise the major sections of this report.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2019

Economical and Engineering Aspects of Proactive Demand Participation: Centralized versus Bilateral Control Structure

The electric grid of the U.S. is evolving from a system characterized by large and centralized fossil-fueled power plants and passive customers to a network with high penetration of distributed energy resources and proactive customers. This project facilitated the evolution of the U.S. electric power grid by enabling proactive participation of demands in electricity market at the power distribution system level. This project has three major achievements. First, we designed a centralized distribution system operator managed electricity market and developed a three-phase alternating current optimal power flow algorithm to coordinate the operation of large-scale flexible loads and distributed energy resources. Second, we designed a decentralized bilateral coordinate framework for retail electricity market, where each participating customer is capable of making decisions regarding energy production and consumption based on information received from transactive neighbors. Third, the impacts of centralized and decentralized demand-side participation scheme on power system operations were evaluated with both large-scale simulations and hardware-in-the-loop demonstrations. The major activities and specific accomplishments of the technical tasks are summarized in Section II. The detailed design of centralized/hierarchical and decentralized/bilateral retail electricity markets and the comparison between the two markets are described in Section III. The accomplishments and conclusions of the project are presented in Section IV. The major findings of the project falls into three areas, hierarchical distribution system operator managed electricity market, bilateral electricity market and decentralized market coordination, and comparison of centralized and decentralized market coordination mechanisms. In the area of hierarchical distribution system operator managed electricity market design, an integrated wholesale and retail electricity market was shown to be highly effective in extracting the operational flexibility from distributed energy resources to provide services to the wholesale market. A chordal conversion based convex iteration algorithm is not only computationally efficiency but also achieves global optimal solution in coordinating the operations of a large number of heterogeneous distributed energy resources.In the area of decentralized market coordination approach, we showed that bilateral transactions among proactive customers and decentralized transaction clearing mechanism based on simultaneous second-price sealed-bid auction can encourage truthful bidding strategies from the market participations. In addition, the individual customers can rely on a portfolio optimization approach to maximize their returns while minimizing risks. In the area of comparison of centralized and decentralized market coordination mechanisms, we found that the centralized market design results in higher social welfare and lower wholesale market clearing price for electricity. In general, centralized market design favors distributed energy resources and fixed loads. The decentralized market design mostly benefits flexible loads and conventional generators.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

NASA NTRS1992

Crew decision making under stress

Flight crews must make decisions and take action when systems fail or emergencies arise during flight. These situations may involve high stress. Full-missiion flight simulation studies have shown that crews differ in how effectively they cope in these circumstances, judged by operational errors and crew coordination. The present study analyzed the problem solving and decision making strategies used by crews led by captains fitting three different personality profiles. Our goal was to identify more and less effective strategies that could serve as the basis for crew selection or training. Methods: Twelve 3-member B-727 crews flew a 5-leg mission simulated flight over 1 1/2 days. Two legs included 4 abnormal events that required decisions during high workload periods. Transcripts of videotapes were analyzed to describe decision making strategies. Crew performance (errors and coordination) was judged on-line and from videotapes by check airmen. Results: Based on a median split of crew performance errors, analyses to date indicate a difference in general strategy between crews who make more or less errors. Higher performance crews showed greater situational awareness - they responded quickly to cues and interpreted them appropriately. They requested more decision relevant information and took into account more constraints. Lower performing crews showed poorer situational awareness, planning, constraint sensitivity, and coordination. The major difference between higher and lower performing crews was that poorer crews made quick decisions and then collected information to confirm their decision. Conclusion: Differences in overall crew performance were associated with differences in situational awareness, information management, and decision strategy. Captain personality profiles were associated with these differences, a finding with implications for crew selection and training.

Orasanu, J.↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

NASA Envisioned Future Priorities for In Situ Resource Utilization

A major objective of the United States National Aeronautics and Space Administration’s Artemis program is to create a sustainable human lunar exploration program through the establishment of lunar infrastructure and commercial space operations. A key aspect in achieving this objective is characterizing the resources that exist on the Moon and Mars, and learning how to utilize them to create products for crew, power, transportation, and infrastructure growth. Commonly known as In Situ Resource Utilization (ISRU), the ability to make products from local materials instead of bringing everything from Earth has the potential to significantly reduce mission costs, mass, risks, and dependency on Earth. To achieve this vision, NASA’s Space Technology Mission Directorate (STMD) established a strategic framework, called the Strategic Technology Architecture Roundtable (STAR) process, to coordinate development of critical capabilities around four major Thrusts (Go, Land, Live, and Explore). To guide and drive the development of critical mission capabilities, the STAR process involves establishing a ‘grand vision’ known as an Envisioned Future for each of these capabilities. For ISRU, the Envisioned Future is “Scalable ISRU production/utilization capabilities including sustainable commodities on the lunar and Mars Surface”. This paper will discuss the STAR process, and the strategic plan and near-term priorities for achieving the ISRU Envisioned Future.

In Situ Resources Utilization↗

NASA NTRS1993

Evaluation of computer-aided instruction techniques for the crew interface coordination position

The Crew Interface Coordinator (CIC) is responsible for real-time voice and procedural communication between the payload crew on the orbiter and the payload operations team on the ground. This function is dedicated to science activities and operations, and may also include some responsibilities for crew training. CIC training at Marshall Space Flight Center (MSFC) consists of mission-independent training, mission simulations, and line-organization training. As identified by Schneider, the program provides very good generic training; however position-specific training may be obtained in a very unstructured way. A computer-based training system, identified as Mac CIC, is currently under development to address this issue. Mac CIC is intended to provide an intermediate level of training in order to prepare the CIC for the more intensive mission simulations. Although originally intended as an intelligent tutoring system, Mac CIC currently exists as a hypertext-based application. The objectives of this research is to evaluate the current system and to provide both recommendations and a detailed plan for Mac CIC's evolution into an intelligent tutoring system.

Moynihan, Gary P.↗

NASA NTRS1994

Propagating orientation constraints for the Hubble Space Telescope

An observing program on the Hubble Space Telescope (HST) is described in terms of exposures that are obtained by one or more of the instruments onboard the HST. Many requested exposures might specify orientation requirements and accompanying ranges. Orientation refers to the amount of roll (in degrees) about the line of sight. The range give the permissible tolerance (also in degrees). These requirements may be (1) absolute (in relation to the celestial coordinate system), (2) relative to the nominal roll angle for HST during that exposure, or (3) relative (in relation to other exposures in the observing program). The TRANSformation expert system converts proposals for astronomical observations with HST into detailed observing plans. Part of the conversion involves grouping exposures into higher level structures based on exposure characteristics. Exposures constrained to be at different orientations cannot be grouped together. Because relative orientation requirements cause implicit constraints, orientation constraints have to be propagated. TRANS must also identify any inconsistencies that may exist so they can be corrected. We have designed and implemented an orientation constraint propagator as part of TRANS. The propagator is based on an informal algebra that facilitates the setting up and propagation of the orientation constraints. The constraint propagator generates constraints between directly related exposures, and propagates derived constraints between exposures that are related indirectly. It provides facilities for path-consistency checking, identification of unsatisfiable constraints, and querying of orientation relationships. The system has been successfully operational as part of TRANS for over seven months. The solution has particular significance to space applications in which satellite/telescope pointing and attitude are constrained and relationships exist between multiple configurations.

Bose, Ashim↗

DOE OSTI2019

A BI-LEVEL APPROACH TO FUTURE POWER SYSTEM CO-OPTIMIZATION WITH HIGH PENETRATION OF RENEWABLE ENERGY AND RESPONSIVE DEMAND

Electricity generation accounts for nearly half of the total CO2 emissions in the United States. For this reason, the development and integration of renewable resources will play an essential role in achieving the societal objective of mitigating climate change through reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. In conjunction with the environmental benefits of renewable energy, the most common renewable sources, such as wind and solar, also increase the uncertainties surrounding generation in power systems, which adds significant challenges to the system operation and planning. The uncertainties and forecasting errors surrounding renewable generation are normally addressed through the use of reserves from traditional generators. At greater levels of renewable penetration, sufficient generator reserves may not be available or economically viable. In contrast, the promise of demand-side resources in this arena lies in the spatially widespread availability, rapid response potential, and lower cost of features that already exist in the system. However, the challenge of responsive demand arises from the need to understand, manage, and incentivize a very large number of resources to participate effectively in efficient operation of the complex power system. Since demand response comes from the distribution system, microgrids as the basic building blocks of future distribution systems will be a critical environment for the study of demand response. To support integration of microgrids with flexible loads in future power systems, the operational mode of power systems will need to evolve. Therefore, it is going to be critical to have new and efficient co-optimization methods for coordination of the various power market participants and the scheduling of resources in the power systems of the future. Motivated by the rapid increase in renewable penetration, the need for effective demand response programs, and a changing system structure, this dissertation seeks to define a new strategy that supports co-optimization of various participants in power systems with emphasis on high renewable penetration and demand response. This strategy has three components; 1) an exploration of the capabilities of different types of demand response programs in a microgrid, 2) development and implementation of a bi-level framework for co-optimization of the main grid with high renewable penetration and a microgrid with demand response capabilities, and 3) expansion of the bi-level framework from a microgrid to a general distribution system to explore the advantages of the bi-level co-optimization approach over the traditional optimization approach. Conclusions of this work illustrate that the stochastic rolling horizon approach could effectively manage the operation of a microgrid with various demand response programs. In addition, the bi-level approach is a promising co-optimization framework for the transmission and distribution levels that could increase system renewable penetration and reduce operation costs. Compared to the traditional framework, the bi-level framework yields more equitable cost sharing patterns among the market participants as well as better support for the power system evolution.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2022

DSO+T: Transactive Energy Coordination Framework (DSO+T Study: Volume 3)

This report describes a transactive energy coordination scheme designed to integrate into existing day-ahead and real-time wholesale energy markets. This scheme was evaluated in the Distribution System Operator with Transactive (DSO+T) study to assess the engineering and economic performance of the transactive energy coordination of a large-scale deployment of distributed energy resources (DER). Transactive agents were developed for a range of DERs (heating, ventilation, and air conditioning units, water heaters, batteries, and electric vehicles) that optimize flexibility over a 48-hour horizon and adjust their strategy in response to changes in real-time prices. A transactive energy coordination scheme, executed by a DSO retail market operator, aggregates these DER bids from participating customers and clears them against a DSO supply curve using a double auction market mechanism. The process of constructing the price-quantity DSO supply curve includes distribution-level transportation constraints (for example, substation congestion limits) and forecast locational marginal price of the DSO’s connected transmission node. The resulting day-ahead and real-time quantities are then bid into a competitive wholesale market operated by an independent system operator. This report also details additional capabilities for proper marketplace simulation such as wholesale price, weather, and load forecasting. The report concludes with a discussion of lessons learned and key design features required to ensure successful operation.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Transactive Energy Practices Survey

For nearly two decades, the idea of using market-based approaches in field deployments that coordinate the flexible operation of electricity customer assets has occupied the efforts of transactive energy practitioners. While the purported benefits of this distributed decision-making approach encourage transactive energy designs have been well explored, the practical aspects of implementing such a system to address real-world problems are just beginning to emerge. This report surveyed 24 field-deployed programs and interviewed experts instrumental in these deployments. The results of the survey and interviews reveal the diversity of designs and applications. They highlight the technical promise of the approaches as well as challenges with system integration, sustainable business strategy, and regulatory policy obstacles. Insights from the survey offer considerations to direct future effort and investment.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2017

Introduction to the SPARC Reanalysis Intercomparison Project (S-RIP) and overview of the reanalysis systems

Abstract. The climate research community uses atmospheric reanalysis data sets to understand a wide range of processes and variability in the atmosphere, yet different reanalyses may give very different results for the same diagnostics. The Stratosphere–troposphere Processes And their Role in Climate (SPARC) Reanalysis Intercomparison Project (S-RIP) is a coordinated activity to compare reanalysis data sets using a variety of key diagnostics. The objectives of this project are to identify differences among reanalyses and understand their underlying causes, to provide guidance on appropriate usage of various reanalysis products in scientific studies, particularly those of relevance to SPARC, and to contribute to future improvements in the reanalysis products by establishing collaborative links between reanalysis centres and data users. The project focuses predominantly on differences among reanalyses, although studies that include operational analyses and studies comparing reanalyses with observations are also included when appropriate. The emphasis is on diagnostics of the upper troposphere, stratosphere, and lower mesosphere. This paper summarizes the motivation and goals of the S-RIP activity and extensively reviews key technical aspects of the reanalysis data sets that are the focus of this activity. The special issue The SPARC Reanalysis Intercomparison Project (S-RIP) in this journal serves to collect research with relevance to the S-RIP in preparation for the publication of the planned two (interim and full) S-RIP reports.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2013

How an integrated change programme has accelerated the reduction in high hazard nuclear facilities at Sellafield

For over five decades the Sellafield Site has been central to the UK's nuclear programme. Now operated by Sellafield Ltd, under the management of Parent Body Organisation Nuclear Management Partners (NMP), a consortium of URS Washington Division, AMEC and AREVA is focussed on the decommissioning of historical facilities. When Decommissioning commenced in the late 1980's the site focus at that time was on commercial reprocessing and waste management. Now through the implementation of a company change programme, emphasis has shifted towards accelerated risk and hazard reduction of degraded legacy plants with nuclear inventory whilst ensuring value for money for the customer, the Nuclear Decommissioning Authority. This paper will describe the management success by the Site owners in delivering a successful change programme. The paper will explain how the site has transitioned to the INPO Standard Nuclear Performance Model (SNPM) and how through the use of a change maturity matrix has contributed to the accelerated reduction in high risk high hazard nuclear facilities. The paper will explain in detail how the Decommissioning Programme Office has facilitated and coordinated the Governance and assured delivery of the change plan and how successful application of visual management has aided the communication of its progress. Finally, the paper will discuss how the Delivery Schedules have proved critical for presenting the change plan to Key Stakeholders, Government Owners and Powerful Regulators. Overall, this paper provides an insight into how a massive change programme is being managed within one of the world's highest regulated industries. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2018

Initial Site-Specific Studies for Removing SNF from Six Shutdown Sites - 18042

The US Department of Energy (DOE) is exploring options for developing a large-scale transportation system for the safe transport of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) and high-level radioactive waste to future storage or disposal facilities. This complex, large-scale transportation system will involve coordinated, integrated activities. Interfaces with various transportation and non-transportation activities must be defined, and systems must be developed to ensure successful integration when the system becomes operational. To provide an understanding of the tasks and interfaces required for the complete de-inventory of particular sites where SNF is stored, DOE solicited bids from integrating contractors to develop initial site-specific de-inventory reports. The reports were developed for several nuclear power plant sites selected to represent a range of geographic locations, existing on-site SNF storage systems, and expected transportation modal options. Each report is presented in a self-contained narrative describing a potential campaign for removing all SNF and greater-than-class-C low-level radioactive waste (GTCC waste) from each specified site. Each study narrative includes site information; an analysis of the near-site transportation infrastructure; a concept of operations for the de-inventory; an estimated budget and schedule for the duration of operations; and a safety and security plan with site-specific considerations, emergency response considerations, and recommendations for the next steps DOE could take to de-inventory the site. The reports provide cost estimates for analytical purposes only; they do not attempt to specify the party or parties responsible for the costs. These reports present a first look at how an integrating contractor might recommend removing SNF from particular sites. They are written from the perspective of the contractor and do not represent DOE's plans. At this writing, six sites have been studied: - Connecticut Yankee, - Big Rock Point, - Humboldt Bay, - Maine Yankee, - Trojan, - Kewaunee. DOE may develop de-inventory reports for all reactor sites, with an initial focus on shutdown reactor sites. The order in which sites have been selected for study should not be considered an indicator of the order used by DOE to remove SNF from the sites. Since the SNF's destination is not important for the purpose of this work, DOE tasked the contractor with planning transportation of the SNF from the site to a generic railroad location in the approximate geographical center of the United States. These reports represent an initial study of the specific sites. Per the terms of the contract, the contractor was not permitted to engage in dialogue with power plant site personnel; near-site railroad personnel; or any local, state, or regional stakeholders about the studies. DOE provided site-specific data. The contractor was tasked to rely on past corporate experience, data available from DOE, and publicly available data when making site-specific recommendations for removing all SNF from each site. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2022

The Status and Ambitions of the US Heavy Element Program

The aim of this whitepaper is to highlight the current capabilities and priorities of the US Heavy Element community and to provide the framework for a coordinated advancement of nuclear science from these studies. This is an organized effort to reflect on what has been achieved in the field given the recommendations and initiatives of the 2015 NSAC Long Range Plan, and on what can be realized in the next decade given current and possibly expanded investments. Current investments have positioned the US community to be among the world leaders in studies of the nuclear and chemical properties of the heaviest elements. These include studies of reaction mechanisms, moving us ever closer to the “island of stability”, in spectroscopy, allowing us to better understand nuclear structure at these extreme proton numbers, in chemical behavior, looking to determine how these elements should be placed on the Periodic Table, in performing the first measurements where isotopes are directly identified by their mass numbers, and in laying the foundation for a potential US-led new element discovery experiment. At present, the highest priority of the US Heavy Element community is to capitalize on the current investments by supporting the operations of US facilities at optimal values. These facilities include the Argonne Tandem Linac Accelerator System at Argonne National Laboratory and other Department of Energy facilities such as the 88-Inch Cyclotron at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, which has a dedicated superheavy element program, as well as university laboratories, including Texas A&M University. The High Flux Isotope Reactor at Oak Ridge National Laboratory is crucial to providing the radioactive isotopes required for heavy element science targets. This facility should be supported to provide the actinide materials that are essential for US-based science. Production of stable, rare isotopes for beam material, including 48 Ca, 50 Ti, 54 Cr and 58 Fe, at the Stable Isotope Production and Research Center is critical to continued research in heavy element science and should be a priority. The continued development of targets for heavy element science and retaining US-based expertise is critical for the heavy element community. This is an area that is currently under pressure. For example, the target laboratory at Argonne National Laboratory serves a broad community and is currently under threat due to loss of critical personnel. The skills needed to make targets for nuclear science and develop new targetry methods need to be supported long term at Argonne, Oak Ridge and Lawrence Livermore National Laboratories as well as maintaining the programs at Oregon State University and San José State University as vital pipelines for training students. Advances in theory are the foundation to understand how nuclei behave and to predict those behaviors in new circumstances. Progress in these studies will necessitate continued and new investment and access to high-performance computing. The future health of the heavy element field is dependent on the continuous support of talented early-career professionals at all levels. It is critical that opportunities continue to be created for the next generation to become established in heavy element research so that we can ensure the field is attracting and retaining the best minds for continued success. It is also clear that to ensure diversity of ideas, perspectives and techniques, we need to recruit diverse personnel that are trained at the best facilities. The heavy element community is in support of continued investment to programs with initiatives in diversity, equity, and inclusion. Looking to the next decade of research, support needs to maintain and grow US leadership in heavy element science. Specifically, new investments in state-of-the-art instrumentation will be essential to scientific development of the field and in expanding scientific knowledge. Advances in the next generation of electron cyclotron resonance ion sources, multi-reflection time-of-flight devices, laser spectroscopy, trapping methods and next generation alpha and gamma spectroscopy systems should be prioritized.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

DOE OSTI2025

Toward Drilling the Perfect Geothermal Well: An International Research Coordination Network for Geothermal Drilling Optimization Supported by Deep Machine Learning and Cloud Based Data Aggregation

The EDGE project, supported by the U.S. Department of Energy Geothermal Technologies Office under award DE-EE0008793, established a data-driven framework for improving the efficiency, cost-effectiveness, and reliability of geothermal well drilling. The project focused on developing scalable data infrastructure, advanced machine learning and probabilistic models, and integrated analytics tools to support continuous drilling optimization. A central objective was to reduce geothermal drilling costs by up to seventy percent while minimizing the risk of well failure through predictive diagnostics and adaptive planning. Over the project period, a comprehensive data repository was designed and deployed, incorporating records from over one hundred geothermal wells across varied geological settings. This repository supported both structured and unstructured data and adhered to FAIR data principles, enabling provenance tracking, quality control, and standardized metadata. The project introduced automated ingestion pipelines and a cloud-hosted platform that facilitated access to raw, processed, and derived datasets. This infrastructure served as the foundation for model development and analysis. Machine learning workflows were developed to predict key drilling metrics including rate of penetration, non-productive time, and total drilling costs. Self-organizing maps and dimensionality reduction methods were used to uncover operational patterns and outliers, while supervised learning algorithms such as random forests and deep neural networks were applied to forecast performance outcomes. The models were validated on heterogeneous datasets from both U.S. and Icelandic fields, demonstrating variable but significant predictive accuracy. The results indicated that finer temporal resolution, inclusion of lithological data, and consistency in operational annotations could substantially improve model performance. The project also implemented process mining techniques to reconstruct state-transition models from drilling event logs. These models enabled the identification of deviations from optimal workflows and provided insights into recurring failure modes. Analysis of non-productive time highlighted the impact of equipment failures, geological challenges, and human factors, offering opportunities for targeted mitigation strategies. The EDGE Dashboard was developed as a web-based expert system integrating data visualization, model outputs, and user-driven queries. It provided an accessible interface for operators to explore historical data, evaluate predicted outcomes, and compare drilling scenarios. Initial feedback from project partners suggested that the dashboard could serve as a foundation for more advanced advisory and optimization tools. Overall, the EDGE project demonstrated the feasibility and value of applying modern data science techniques to geothermal drilling. It delivered a set of interoperable tools and models that can support more efficient, lower-risk well development. The findings point toward a viable path for transitioning from advisory analytics to semi-autonomous drilling systems, contingent on continued collaboration, expanded datasets, and field validation. The project results have immediate relevance for drilling operations, data management practices, and future geothermal R&D efforts aimed at achieving reliable, cost-competitive geothermal energy at scale.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗