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DOE OSTI2026

Artificial Intelligence-Driven Management of Sustainable Energy Resources: Visibility, Operation, and Control

The rapid global transition toward sustainable energy resources (SERs) is reshaping how modern power systems are observed, optimized, and controlled. While SERs have significantly advanced decarbonization, their weather dependence, variability, and inverter-dominated characteristics challenge traditional, centralized, and deterministic grid operation. At the same time, the proliferation of high-resolution data from inverters, smart meters, and sensors offers unprecedented visibility into system dynamics. Yet, it also exceeds the analytical capability of conventional model-based approaches. Artificial intelligence (AI) provides a new foundation for addressing these challenges by bridging physical laws with data-driven learning, enabling accurate state awareness, adaptive operation, and coordinated control across distributed assets. This article examines how AI transforms the management of SER-rich power systems along three critical dimensions: 1) enhancing visibility by inferring behind-the-meter (BTM) activities, assessing SER flexibility, and reconstructing system states from sparse or noisy measurements; 2) improving operation through AI-enhanced SER service provision, volt/var control (VVC), and dynamic operating envelopes (DOE) for efficiency and security; and 3) advancing control by embedding learning-based intelligence into inverter coordination, voltage and frequency regulation, and long-term dispatch. Together, these developments reveal how AI can convert the variability of SERs from an operational challenge into a source of flexibility, resilience, and intelligence, paving the way toward sustainable, adaptive, and self-optimizing power systems.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2022

On Projection of Safe Operation for Grid-Following Inverters - Grid Parameter Estimation

This work investigates the projection of safe operation for grid-following inverters using a reference model. This work applies recursive-least square and model reference adaptive estimation techniques to estimate the unknown grid parameters. The estimated grid parameters are used in a dynamic reference model to project the safe operation of the inverter. This work also demonstrates that the controller nonlinearity and parameter variations can cause unsafe operations, such as unexpected instability at low power levels, namely hidden mode of instability. This instability issue in the nominal operating range may occur for given control parameters in a weak-grid condition. The dynamic reference model for PQ-controlled inverters is applied to analyze this instability issue using the estimated grid parameters. Both adaptive identification techniques can estimate the unknown parameters accurately, and the dynamic reference model can safeguard inverters from an unsafe operation, i.e., hidden instability, by examining the incoming new power setpoints before engaging them to the local controller. The findings are experimentally verified using a small-scale two-level 208 V, 5 kVA inverter feeding a 12 kW NHR 9410 power grid emulator.

Hossen, Tareq↗

DOE OSTI2018

Operational impacts of high penetration solar power on a real-world distribution feeder

Higher penetration of solar photovoltaic (PV), with their uncontrollable generation variability, imposes various grid stability challenges on distribution system operation. The primary problem is significant voltage rise in the distribution feeder that forces existing voltage control devices such as on-load tap-changers and line voltage regulators to operate more frequently. The consequence is the deterioration of the operating life of the voltage control mechanism. The objective of this paper is to investigate the voltage impact of increased penetration of PV systems on distribution load tap changer operations. Both steady-state and quasi-static power flow analyses have been conducted to assess the impact on load tap changes under different solar PV penetration levels. Two real-world distribution feeder circuits are used as a test system in this study. Simulations are carried out for up to one-year period with 1-minute time step using OpenDSS. A comparison study was performed to investigate potential voltage rise issues in the network by increasing total PV penetration from 0 to 100% in the feeder. Results show significant increase in the total number of tap operations as solar PV penetration increases. Impacts on nodal voltages and feeder net power are also presented.

Dong, Jin↗

DOE OSTI2021

Dynamic P-Q Capability and Abnormal Operation Analysis of a Wind Turbine with Doubly-Fed Induction Generator

After several accidents occurred in wind farms in the United States and around the world, the subsynchronous oscillation (SSO) issues in grid-connected wind farms have gained serious attention. Particularly, these issues have caused significant challenges to wind turbines with a doubly fed induction generator (DFIG) because it is connected to the grid via both its stator and rotor paths. Traditionally, a P-Q capability chart is utilized to assure the safe operation boundary for a synchronous generator. But the energy conversion characteristics of a DFIG wind turbine are completely different. A critical factor to affect the reliable operation of a DFIG wind turbine is the rated current and pulse-width modulation (PWM) saturation constraints of its power converters. These constraint conditions can be affected by the wind turbine rotating speed and grid conditions. However, a detailed study of DFIG P-Q capability from these perspectives has not been conducted, which has hindered adequate understanding of many abnormal wind turbine operations reported in the literature and the development of advanced control technologies to overcome the challenges. The proposed study in this paper considers vector control implementation to DFIG power electronic converters in the dq reference frame, and the models and algorithms developed for the P-Q capability study have addressed specific DFIG power converter constraints that are different from those of a traditional synchronous generator. The paper especially focuses on exploring the dynamic natures of DFIG P-Q capability under uncertain and variable conditions to explore the root causes of many abnormal operations of DFIG wind turbines reported in the literature. The proposed study is validated through an electromagnetic transient simulation model of a grid-connected DFIG wind turbine. The proposed study has the potential to lead to the development of new DFIG control technologies that can help overcome the challenges for many abnormal operations of DFIG wind turbines.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Exploring Dynamic P-Q Capability and Abnormal Operations of Inverter-Based Resources

Nowadays, inverter-based resources are rapidly growing in electric power systems. On the other side, abnormal inverter operations are also occurring more often. Traditionally, inverter PQ capability charts are employed by electric utility companies to ensure safe and reliable operations of inverter-based resources. However, it is found in this paper that existing inverter PQ capability charts do not address the operating characteristics of an inverter correctly, which can result in irregular and unstable inverter operations. Here in this paper, a novel study is conducted to investigate inverter PQ capability charts, where constraints that are specific to an inverter are considered. It is found in this paper that the inverter PQ capability charts exhibit a unique dynamic nature under uncertain grid conditions. This dynamic nature has not been considered by the industry in managing, designing, and controlling an inverter as well as in developing international standards for inverter-based resources. Via both electromagnetic transient simulation and hardware experimental investigations, it is found that the dynamic PQ capability nature, together with the limitations of the existing control methods, are the underlying causes of many unusual inverter operations that have been reported in the literature.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2020

Networked Microgrid Operations: Supporting a Resilient Electric Power Infrastructure

Modern electric power systems operate using large generating units managed with a centralized control structure. The current systems are the result of over a hundred years of technological development and consolidation to leverage economies of scale. While the existing systems have proven cost effective and reliable, modern systems are experiencing a wide range of operational challenges that are causing a reexamination of the centralized control structure. Despite the nearly universal adoption of centralized control, electric power systems are fractal in their operational requirements. Specifically, the fundamental operational requirements are the same, regardless of the system size. While past technologies have not allowed for exploitation of this fractal behavior, emerging technologies are making it possible; these technologies include grid-forming inverters, modern telecommunications systems, and distributed control architectures. Here we show emerging technologies that allow the fractal operational requirements of electric power systems to be exploited as networked microgrids to increase the resiliency of the world’s critical electrical infrastructure.

Schneider, Kevin P.↗

DOE OSTI2022

Impact of Load Tap Changer Control Operation Under Microgrid Conditions

Every microgrid is unique in its diversity of assets, operation, and network structure. This uniqueness presents challenges for each microgrid implementation that need to be understood and addressed to prevent power quality concerns, stability issues, and blackouts. In this research work, we present one challenge faced during microgrid operation that could potentially cause a blackout in some microgrid configurations. Through the incorrect operation of the load tap changer controller during an islanding event for a microgrid with generation present on both primary and secondary busses, the primary voltage will increase or decrease beyond allowable bounds, causing a cascading failure. This work presents the issue first with simulation results to demonstrate the phenomenon and then presents results of load tap changer controller operation using a controller-hardware-in-the-loop experiment. Finally, details of the complete sequence of operation and the blackout scenarios are presented and summarized.

blackout↗

DOE OSTI2024

Navigating Exascale Operational Data Analytics: From Inundation to Insight

In this paper, we address the challenges in achieving sustainable data-driven efficiency by providing a detailed exploration of the end-to-end operational data analytics (ODA) framework that evolved through two generations of supercomputer systems at the Oak Ridge Leadership Computing Facility (OLCF). This framework addresses large data streams ingested from heavily instrumented HPC environment that accumulates multi-terabytes per day. We outline the multifaceted data life cycle across HPC procurement, operations, and research & development, identifying key obstacles and design decisions that shape effective strategies in building and supporting data pipelines end-to-end. By sharing key insights and lessons learned from our experience, we offer recommendations for the HPC community on enabling sustainable operational data analytics and beyond. Our contributions aim to bridge the gap between potential and real benefits of operational data, guiding future efforts towards integrated and sustainable operational intelligence in high-performance computing environments.

Shin, Woong↗

DOE OSTI2023

Learning Provably Stable Local Volt/Var Controllers for Efficient Network Operation

Here this paper develops a data-driven framework to synthesize local Volt/Var control strategies for distributed energy resources (DERs) in power distribution grids (DGs). Aiming to improve DG operational efficiency, as quantified by a generic optimal reactive power flow (ORPF) problem, we propose a two-stage approach. The first stage involves learning the manifold of optimal operating points determined by an ORPF instance. To synthesize local Volt/Var controllers, the learning task is partitioned into learning local surrogates (one per DER) of the optimal manifold with voltage input and reactive power output. Since these surrogates characterize efficient DG operating points, in the second stage, we develop local control schemes that steer the DG to these operating points. We identify the conditions on the surrogates and control parameters to ensure that the locally acting controllers collectively converge, in a global asymptotic sense, to a DG operating point agreeing with the local surrogates. We use neural networks to model the surrogates and enforce the identified conditions in the training phase. AC power flow simulations on the IEEE 37-bus network empirically bolster the theoretical stability guarantees obtained under linearized power flow assumptions. The tests further highlight the optimality improvement compared to prevalent benchmark methods.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2016

A Three-Phase Microgrid Restoration Model Considering Unbalanced Operation of Distributed Generation

Recent severe outages highlight the urgency of improving grid resiliency in the U.S. Microgrid formation schemes are proposed to restore critical loads after outages occur. Most distribution networks have unbalanced configurations that are not represented in sufficient detail by single-phase models. This study provides a microgrid formation plan that adopts a three-phase network model to represent unbalanced distribution networks. The problem formulation has a quadratic objective function with mixed-integer linear constraints. The three-phase network model enables us to examine the three-phase power outputs of distributed generators (DGs), preventing unbalanced operation that might trip DGs. Because the DG unbalanced operation constraint is non-convex, an iterative process is presented that checks whether the unbalanced operation limits for DGs are satisfied after each iteration of optimization. We also develop a relatively conservative linear approximation on the unbalanced operation constraint to handle larger networks. Compared with the iterative solution process, the conservative linear approximation is able to accelerate the solution process at the cost of sacrificing optimality to a limited extent. Simulation in the IEEE 34 node and IEEE 123 test feeders indicate that the proposed method yields more practical microgrid formations results. In addition, this paper explores the coordinated operation of DGs and energy storage (ES) installations. The unbalanced three-phase outputs of ESs combined with the relatively balanced outputs of DGs could supply unbalanced loads. In conclusion, the case study also validates the DG-ES coordination.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2017

Enabling Resiliency Operations across Multiple Microgrids with Grid Friendly Appliance Controllers

Changes in economic, technological, and environmental policies are resulting in a re-evaluation of the dependence on large central generation facilities and their associated transmission networks. Emerging concepts of smart communities/cities are examining the potential to leverage cleaner sources of generation, as well as integrating electricity generation with other municipal functions. When grid connected, these generation assets can supplement the existing interconnections with the bulk transmission system, and in the event of an extreme event, they can provide power via a collection of microgrids. To achieve the highest level of resiliency, it may be necessary to conduct switching operations to interconnect individual microgrids. While the interconnection of multiple microgrids can increase the resiliency of the system, the associated switching operations can cause large transients in low inertia microgrids. The combination of low system inertia and IEEE 1547 and 1547a-compliant inverters can prevent multiple microgrids from being interconnected during extreme weather events. This study will present a method of using end-use loads equipped with Grid Friendly™ Appliance controllers to facilitate the switching operations between multiple microgrids; operations that are necessary for optimal operations when islanded for resiliency.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2017

Using Dynamic Simulation to Evaluate Attemperator Operation in a Natural Gas Combined Cycle With Duct Burners in the Heat Recovery Steam Generator

A generic training simulator of a natural gas combined cycle was modified to match operations at a real plant. The objective was to use the simulator to analyze cycling operations of the plant. Initial operation of the simulator revealed the potential for saturation conditions in the final high pressure superheater as the attemperator tried to control temperature at the superheater outlet during gas turbine loading and unloading. Subsequent plant operational data confirmed simulation results. Multiple simulations were performed during loading and unloading of the gas turbine to determine operational strategies that prevented saturation and increased the approach to saturation temperature. The solutions included changes to the attemperator temperature control setpoints and strategic control of the steam turbine inlet pressure control valve.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2019

Condition Monitoring of Wind Turbine Planetary Gearboxes Under Different Operating Conditions

Digitally enhanced services for wind power could reduce Operations and Maintenance costs as well as the Levelised Cost Of Energy. Therefore, there is a continuous need for advanced monitoring techniques which can exploit the opportunities of Internet of Things and Big Data Analytics. The heart of wind turbines is an epicyclic gearbox and rolling element bearings are often responsible for machinery stops. The vibration signatures of bearings are rather weak compared to other components. As a result a number of signal processing techniques have been proposed, focusing towards accurate and early fault detection with limited false alarms and missed detections. In Envelope Analysis an envelope of the vibration signal is estimated usually after filtering around a frequency band. Different tools, such as Kurtogram, have been proposed to select the optimum filter parameters. Monitoring techniques have reached a mature level for steady speed and load operating conditions. On the other hand, under chaniging operating conditions, it is still unclear whether the change of the monitoring indicators is due to the change of the machinery's health or due to the change of operating parameters. Recently, the authors have proposed a new tool called IESFOgram, based on Cyclic Spectral Coherence for the automatic selection of the filtering band. In this paper, the performance of the tool is evaluated on the National Renewable Energy Laboratory wind turbine gearbox vibration condition monitoring benchmarking data set which includes various faults with different levels of diagnostic complexity as well as various speed and load operating conditions.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2020

The Potential to Improve the Value of U.S. Geothermal Electricity Generation Through Flexible Operations

Geothermal power plants have typically been operated as baseload plants. The recent expansion of wind and solar power generation creates a potential opportunity to increase the value of geothermal generation through flexible operations. In recent years, California’s wholesale electricity markets have exhibited frequent, short-term periods of negative pricing, indicating that additional flexibility would be valued in the market. Here, we examine local nodal hourly price records at all geothermal plants located in the western United States. We describe how the frequency and temporal characteristics of negative pricing episodes have changed over recent years. Based on these price series, we calculate the value of multiple strategies of flexible operations. Additionally, we use the estimates of future prices, developed through a capacity-expansion model and a dispatch model, to explore how the value of such flexible operations might change along with further penetration of variable renewable power sources. Based on the historical pricing records, we find that simple curtailment of operations during negative pricing episodes could increase the average energy value by 1–2 dollars per MWh and that allowing for increased production during limited high-priced hours, in addition to curtailment during negative priced hours, could potentially double the increase in value (up to 4 dollars per MWh). The forward-looking simulations indicate reduced values of flexibility from geothermal power despite higher penetrations of variable renewable energy. This result highlights the possibility that increasing flexibility options throughout the system may counteract the influence of increased variable renewable energy deployment.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2026

Optimal Transfer Operators in Algebraic Two-Level Methods for Nonsymmetric and Indefinite Problems

Consider an algebraic two-level method applied to the 𝑛-dimensional linear system 𝐴⁢𝒙 = 𝒃 using fine-space preconditioner (i.e., “relaxation” or “smoother”) 𝑀, with 𝑀 ≈ 𝐴, restriction and interpolation 𝑅 and 𝑃, and algebraic coarse-space operator 𝐴 𝑐 : = 𝑅 ∗ ⁢𝐴⁢𝑃. Then, what are the best possible transfer operators 𝑅 and 𝑃 of a given dimension 𝑛 𝑐 < 𝑛? Brannick et al. [12] showed that when 𝐴 and 𝑀 are Hermitian positive definite (HPD), the optimal interpolation is such that its range contains the 𝑛 𝑐 smallest generalized eigenvectors of the matrix pencil (𝐴, 𝑀). Recently, in Ali et al. [5] we generalized this framework to the non-HPD setting, by considering both right (interpolation) and left (restriction) generalized eigenvectors of (𝐴, 𝑀) and defining corresponding nonsymmetric transfer operators {𝑅#, 𝑃#}. Tight convergence bounds for {𝑅#, 𝑃#} are derived in spectral radius, as well as a proof of pseudo-optimality. Note, {𝑅#, 𝑃#} are typically complex valued, which is not practical for real-valued problems. Here, in this work, we build on [5], first characterizing all inner products in which the coarse-space correction defined by {𝑅#, 𝑃#} is orthogonal. We then develop tight two-level convergence bounds in these norms, and prove that the underlying transfer operators {𝑅#, 𝑃#} are genuinely optimal. As a special case, our theory both recovers and extends the HPD results from [12]. Finally, we show how to construct optimal, real-valued transfer operators in the case of that 𝐴 and 𝑀 are real valued, but are not HPD. Numerical examples arising from a discretized advection-reaction equation, wave-equation, and Stokes equations are used to verify and illustrate the theory.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2019

Evaluation of the Need for and Design of a City Energy Operations System

There is growing interest in city and community scale energy efficiency goals across the US and around the world [1]. Forward thinking developers are expressing interest in developing methods to track the actual operations of new urban developments and campuses. Local governments and developers are exploring how to ensure that the built infrastructure, including buildings, transportation, energy generation and storage assets, is not only designed for energy efficiency, but operates efficiently as well. There is a need for city and district scale tools to support energy analysis from design through operations. Smart city data analytics is a growing area of interest in the smart city technology space. However, while there is enthusiasm for the concept of smart city energy analytics, there is a lack of common semantic data models, interoperable systems, and methods to collect data and support decision-making for operating multi-building city- and district-scale energy systems. Urban developers are asking broad questions about how such a system might be designed, built, valued, maintained, and optimized. This paper describes ongoing research to explore and define a City or District Energy Operations System (CityEOS).

Piette, Mary Ann↗

DOE OSTI2018

Microwatt Fuel Cell for Long-Term and Wide Ambient Temperature Range Operation

A small microwatt fuel cell stack and system was designed, fabricated, and tested for passive operation with pure H 2 and O 2 to provide continuous power for multiple decades with uncontrolled fluctuating ambient conditions. The stack was designed to operate with dead ended gas flows with water removal via passive membrane diffusion to notches in the bipolar plates. Additional requirements for decades long operation is minimizing H 2 and O 2 consumption, specifically membrane cross-over; to minimize cross-over, stacks were built with layered membranes of 100 µm and 400 µm. Here, the stack spatial water concentration level was monitored during operation by in situ neutron imaging to evaluate the passive water management design. Operation was verified by testing at temperatures ranging from -55 °C to 80 °C, including periodic pulses in power.

08 HYDROGEN↗

DOE OSTI2018

A framework for the identification of full-field structural dynamics using sequences of images in the presence of non-ideal operating conditions

Recent developments in the ability to automatically and efficiently extract natural frequencies, damping ratios, and full-field mode shapes from video of vibrating structures has great potential for reducing the resources and time required for performing experimental and operational modal analysis at very high spatial resolution. Furthermore, these techniques have the added advantage that they can be implemented remotely and in a non-contact fashion. Emerging full-field imaging techniques therefore have potential to allow the identification of the modal properties of structures in regimes that used to be challenging. For instance, these techniques suggest that the high spatial resolution structural identification could be performed on an aircraft during flight using a ground or aircraft-based imager. They also have the potential to identify the dynamics of microscopic systems. In order to realize this capability it will be necessary to develop techniques that can extract full-field structural dynamics in the presence of non-ideal operating conditions. In this work, we develop a framework for the deployment of emerging algorithms that allow the automatic extraction of high-resolution, full-field modal parameters in the presence of non-ideal operating conditions. One of the most notable non-ideal operating conditions is the rigid body motion of both the structure being measured as well as the imager performing the measurement. We demonstrate an instantiation of the framework by showing how it can be used to address, in-plane, translational, rigid body motion. The development of a frame-to-frame keypoint–based technique for identifying full-field structural dynamics in the presence of either rigid body motion is presented and demonstrated in the context of the framework for the deployment of full-field structural identification techniques in the presence of non-ideal operating conditions. It is expected that this framework will ultimately help enable the collection of full-field structural dynamics using measurement platforms including unmanned aerial vehicles, robotic telescopes, satellites, imagers mounted in high-vibration environments (seismic, industrial, harsh weather), characterization of microscopic structures, and human-carried imagers. If imager-based structural identification techniques mature to the point that they can be used in non-ideal field conditions, it could open up the possibility that the structural health monitoring community will be able to think beyond monitoring individual structures, to full-field structural integrity monitoring at the city scale.

Dasari, Sudeep↗