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At least 793 records · Page 44

Multi-scale Coupled Processes Modeling of Fractures as Porous, Interfacial and Granular Systems from Rock Images with the Numerical Manifold Method

Abstract The greatest challenges of rigorously modeling coupled hydro-mechanical processes in fractured rocks at different scales are associated with computational geometry. In addition, selections of continuous or discontinuous models, physical laws, and coupling priorities at different scales based on different geometric features determine the applicability of a numerical model for a certain type of problem. In this study, we present our multi-scale modeling capabilities that have been developed based on the numerical manifold method for analyzing coupled hydro-mechanical processes in fractured rocks. Based on their geometric features, the fractures are modeled as continua—finite-thickness porous zones, and discontinua—discontinuous interfaces and microscale asperities and granular systems. Different governing equations, physical laws, coupling priorities, and approaches for addressing fracture intersections and shearing are then applied to describe these. We applied these models to simulate coupled processes in fractured rocks using realistic geometry obtained from rock images at different scales. We first calculated shearing of a single fracture with different models and demonstrated the impacts of asperities on shearing. We then applied the continuous and discontinuous models to simulate a network of rough fractures, demonstrating that contact dynamics contribute significantly to the geometric, multi-physical evolution of systems where rough fractures are not mineral filled. For a discrete fracture network, our coupled processes modeling demonstrates that shearing of the discrete fractures can have a major impact on stress and pore pressure distribution. Lastly, we applied the discontinuous granular model to simulate evolution of a complex granular system with a deformation band, demonstrating that the deformation band can dominate contact dynamics, the structural and the stress evolution of the granular system.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Leveraging Shore-Side, Building Energy Simulation Tools for Use in the Shipboard Environment

Within the confines of the Maritime Prescreening Assessment of Conservation Technologies program, the U.S. Department of Energy's National Renewable Energy Laboratory, in collaboration with the Naval Surface Warfare Center Carderock and Philadelphia Divisions, the U.S. Department of Transportation's Maritime Administration, and the Massachusetts Maritime Academy, recently developed a physics-based modeling engine to evaluate non-propulsive ship energy consumption under different operational scenarios and technology applications, in order to enhance the Navy's ability to optimize ship operational reach and tactical performance. To accomplish this, a mature thermophysical modeling software, EnergyPlus TM , was modified for ship-related applications. This software, originally developed for use in whole-building energy consumption studies, is a free and open-source simulation program that has been used for more than two decades. The team evaluated the accuracy of the modified version of EnergyPlus by comparing results to direct measurements taken over a 6-week underway period onboard the Maritime Administration's Training Ship Kennedy. The team developed an energy model of a prescribed area of the ship and compared its performance to measured results obtained from 235 sensor points. EnergyPlus behaved well with respect to solar loading and convective heat transfer to seawater while the ship was underway. However, results suggest that additional work remains to accurately simulate seawater heat transfer while the ship is stationary.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Model‐Based Approach to Selecting Pegfilgrastim Dose for Pharmacokinetic and Pharmacodynamic Similarity Studies in Biosimilar Development

This study applied modeling and simulation (M&S) approaches to evaluate the sensitivity of pegfilgrastim pharmacokinetics (PKs) and pharmacodynamics (PDs) to changes in dose amount, and linear or nonlinear clearance (CL) over pegfilgrastim subcutaneous dose of 2–6 mg. A previously published model was adapted to better describe pegfilgrastim PK and PD data in healthy subjects and used in simulation. Nonlinear CL accounts for 98% and 77%, respectively, of the total CL of pegfilgrastim at 2 and 6 mg. The sensitivity analyses showed: (i) PK of 2 and 6 mg doses are similarly sensitive to detect differences for a 5% change in dose; (ii) PK of 2 mg dose is more sensitive to changes in receptor binding affinity, a model parameter for nonlinear CL, and a product quality attribute characterized with orthogonal methods as part of demonstrating analytical similarity between products; (iii) PK of approved 6 mg dose is more sensitive to changes in linear CL, which has not been associated with any specific product quality attributes, and (iv) the PDs are not sensitive to changes in linear or nonlinear CL. Taken together, our analyses support that the approved pegfilgrastim dose of 6 mg is appropriate for detecting differences between a biosimilar and the reference products in pegfilgrastim PK and PD similarity studies. The described M&S approaches can be adopted to support dose selection for biosimilars with nonlinear PK and complex PK–PD interplay.

Pharmacology & Pharmacy↗

Deep vadose zone remediation: technical and policy challenges, opportunities, and progress in achieving cleanup endpoints

Current requirements for site remediation and closure are standards-based and are often overly conservative, costly, and in some cases, technically impractical. Use of risk-informed alternate endpoints provides a means to achieve remediation goals that are permitted by regulations and are protective of human health and the environment. Alternate endpoints enable the establishment of a path for cleanup that may include intermediate remedial milestones and transition points and/or regulatory alternatives to standards-based remediation. A framework is presented that is centered around developing and refining conceptual models in conjunction with assessing risks and potential endpoints as part of a system-based assessment that integrates site data with scientific understanding of processes that control the distribution and transport of contaminants in the subsurface and pathways to receptors. This system-based assessment and subsequent implementation of the remediation strategy with appropriate monitoring are targeted at providing a holistic approach to addressing risks to human health and the environment. This holistic approach also enables effective predictive analysis of contaminant behavior to provide defensible criteria and data for making long-term decisions. Developing and implementing an alternate endpoint-based approach for remediation and waste site closure presents a number of challenges and opportunities. Categories of these challenges include scientific and technical, regulatory, institutional, and budget and resource allocation issues. Opportunities exist for developing and implementing systems-based approaches with respect to supportive characterization, monitoring, predictive modeling, and remediation approaches. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Development of 20 IEER Rooftop Units System Modeling and Building Energy Simulations

Based on detailed steady-state system and component modeling, we developed a rooftop unit system design, which is able to achieve IEER (Integrated Energy Efficiency Ratio) higher than 20. We modeled fin-&-tube and micro-channel heat exchangers using segment-to-segment approach, and use AHRI 10-coefficient compressor map to simulate compressor performance. The system modeling is based on a component-based modeling approach, which facilitates flexible simulation of complicated system configurations. Starting with a baseline system having IEER of 16.6, we extensively investigated numerous technical options, i.e. varying compressor sizes, heat exchanger fin densities, fin-&-tube or micro-channel heat exchanger, suction line heat exchanger, desiccant wheel, tandem compressor, variable-speed compressor, and condenser evaporative pre-cooling; and developed an innovative system configuration combining a tandem compression system with a variable-speed compression system. The combined system can achieve high IEER as well as process the outdoor ventilation air over an extensive range. We successfully evaluated the design concept for a 20-ton (70.4 kW) unit as well as a 10-ton (35.2 kW) unit. All the selected components are readily accessible on the market, and we validated the performance predictions against existing Rooftop Unit (RTU) products at the rating condition. This paper illustrates a potentially cost-effective high IEER RTU design. In addtion, we conducted extensive building energy simulations using EnergyPlus to predict seasonal energy saving potentials and peak power reductions using the High IEER RTU in sixteen US cities, in comparison to a RTU with a minimum efficiency.

Modeling↗

Delivery of Dynamic Thermal Energy Storage Models and Advanced Reactor Concept Models to the HYBRID Repository

This publication details newly created energy storage and reactor models developed within the HYBRID modeling repository as part of the Department of Energy Office of Nuclear Energy (DOE-NE) Integrated Energy Systems (IES) program, led by Idaho National Laboratory (INL). Model development to-date includes creation of dynamic systems-level models of a pebble bed high temperature gas reactor (HTGR), sodium fast reactor (SFR), compressed air energy storage (CAES), liquid air energy storage (LAES) and Modelica standard library based two-tank sensible heat storage (SHS) in the IES-based HYBRID repository. Models are developed using the latest publicly available data and incorporate the possibility of control strategy inclusion for use with the existing IES modeling, analysis, and optimization toolset. Simulations showcase the abilities of each technology to flexibly operate in ways consistent with IES operation expectations. When these models are available, they can be utilized within different integrated energy park concepts to understand optimal system operation, control, and dispatching. Moreover, given the generic nature of the models, industrial partner technologies can be quickly added to the repository using the existing models as a basis. Additional dynamic models for thermal energy storage concepts can be developed and added to the HYBRID repository as needed. Also detailed in this report are future development goals for the HYBRID repository including adding suites of steady-state models, economic costing information, and reduced-order models. By adding these models in addition to the physical transient models currently existing within HYBRID, HYBRID will be a fully integrable tool for FORCE users.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Microrheological modeling of lithium ion battery anode slurry

The rheological properties of electrode slurries used in the manufacturing of lithium-ion batteries affect the manufacturing processes as well as the battery quality, such as electrochemical and durability performance. There is thus an urgent need to develop a physics-based model to describe the rheological properties of these electrode slurries to enable further optimization of battery electrode production. Here in this paper, we present a microrheological model for estimating the viscosity of electrode slurries that incorporates colloidal forces such as van der Waals and polymeric steric repulsion forces. Finally, the model shows good agreement with the experimentally determined viscosities of a graphite-based anode slurry and should be extendable to describe the rheological properties of cathode slurries.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Solar-Forecast GridAPPS-D Application [SWR-18-36]

Persistent model serves as the baseline in the intra-hour forecasting of solar radiation due to the extensive computing efforts from the numerical weather prediction (NWP) models and the lack of surface observations in cloud as well as other atmospheric properties. The smart persistent model actively updates the extraterrestrial solar radiation with time and is an important improvement from the persistent model while the cloud conditions are assumed unchanged by giving constant clear-sky indexes. We developed a Physics-based Smart Persistent model for Intra-hour solar forecasting (PSPI) to further improve the accuracy of the smart persistent model. We used a cloud retrieval technique developed by Xie and Liu (2013) to estimate cloudy fraction and cloud albedo using surface-based observations of solar radiation. The solar radiation in future time steps is accurately given by actively computing individual cloud albedo related to the future solar position. Our evaluation studies indicated that the PSPI model significantly increased the accuracy in the short-term forecast of solar radiation, especially in thin cloud conditions or those covered by broken clouds.

Xie, Yu↗

Dark Energy Survey Year 3 results: Simulation-based 𝑤CDM inference from weak lensing and galaxy clustering maps with deep learning: Analysis design

Data-driven approaches using deep learning are emerging as powerful techniques to extract non-Gaussian information from cosmological large-scale structure. Here, this work presents the first simulation-based inference (SBI) pipeline that combines weak lensing and galaxy clustering maps in a realistic Dark Energy Survey Year 3 (DES Y3) configuration and serves as preparation for a forthcoming analysis of the survey data. We develop a scalable forward model based on the CosmoGridV1 suite of N-body simulations to generate over one million self-consistent mock realizations of DES Y3 at the map level. Leveraging this large dataset, we train deep graph convolutional neural networks on the full survey footprint in spherical geometry to learn low-dimensional features that approximately maximize mutual information with target parameters. These learned compressions enable neural density estimation of the implicit likelihood via normalizing flows in a ten-dimensional parameter space spanning cosmological 𝑤CDM, intrinsic alignment, and linear galaxy bias parameters, while marginalizing over baryonic, photometric redshift, and shear bias nuisances. To ensure robustness, we extensively validate our inference pipeline using synthetic observations derived from both systematic contaminations in our forward model and independent Buzzard galaxy catalogs. Our forecasts yield significant improvements in cosmological parameter constraints, achieving 2−3× higher figures of merit in the 𝛺 𝑚 − 𝑆 8 plane relative to our implementation of baseline two-point statistics and effectively breaking parameter degeneracies through probe combination. These results demonstrate the potential of SBI analyses powered by deep learning for upcoming Stage-IV wide-field imaging surveys.

Thomsen, A. [Zurich, ETH] (ORCID:0000000203099021)↗

Towards operational atmospheric correction of airborne hyperspectral imaging spectroscopy: Algorithm evaluation, key parameter analysis, and machine learning emulators

Atmospheric correction of airborne hyperspectral imaging spectroscopy (AHIS) to obtain high-quality surface reflectance is the prerequisite for remote sensing applications. Over the last decades, different atmospheric correction methods have been developed based on radiative transfer models (RTMs), however, the relative performances of different algorithms are unclear. Automated operational atmospheric correction methods to process large-volume AHIS data in a high-accurate and high-throughput manner are still lacking. Therefore, this study proposed an operational atmospheric correction pipeline for deriving surface reflectance from AHIS data. To ensure the accuracy and efficiency of the pipeline, we focused on three specific aspects: (1) selecting a suitable RTM for the development of atmospheric lookup tables (LUTs) by comparing the commercial MODerate resolution atmospheric TRANsmission (MODTRAN) and open-sourced Library for Radiative TRANsfer (LibRadTRAN) models, where the widely-used software, Atmospheric/Topographic Correction for Airborne Imagery (ATCOR), was used as benchmarks; (2) identifying key atmospheric correction parameters and determining suitable sources for parameter retrievals including AHIS, Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), and AErosol RObotic NETwork (AERONET); and (3) testing the performance of using machine learning emulators to speed up the RTM-based atmospheric correction. Results indicate that (1) atmospheric correction based on MODTRAN LUTs can produce surface reflectance accurately with mean absolute errors < 0.05 and cosine similarities > 0.98 compared to field measurements, which is comparable to the software ATCOR and slightly outperforms the LibRadTRAN LUTs; (2) sobol global sensitivity analysis demonstrates that in the atmospheric correction, visibility and water vapor are two key parameters that can be accurately derived from AHIS in contrast to MODIS or AERONET data; and (3) Random Forest emulators can produce accurate estimations of surface reflectance with mean absolute errors < 0.03 and cosine similarities > 0.98 for higher processing efficiency and determine a suitable set of wavelengths for retrieving atmospheric visibility and water vapor. In conclusion, the proposed atmospheric correction pipeline also improved the four-stream radiative transfer theory for airborne applications by considering adjacent effects from airborne surrounding pixels and can also be applied for atmospheric correction of hyperspectral data from spaceborne missions.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Source Physics Experiment modeling: YEARLY REPORT FOR THE PERIOD Jan-Dec 2012

The Office of Nuclear Detonation Detection identifies characterization of the explosion source as a fundamental research area. Our ability to characterize explosion sources from earthquakes relies on empirical laws that are not covering all the possible cases of location, site structure and yields of possible explosions. Our empirical knowledge needs to be completed by a physical understanding of seismic wave generation. NA22 has funded the LANL SPE seismic project to develop a new source model under the Ground-Based Nuclear Explosion Monitoring Research and Development (GNEM-R&D) Program. NA22 also funds computational support of the seismic source model development. Hydrodynamic computations using realistic material response models combined with a comprehensive series of field experiments provided by the SPE program are needed for test and validation of the new seismic source models. The following three essential elements, (1) model development, (2) numerical simulations of non-linear material response, and (2) field experimentation, will be brought to bear on a predictive capability for broadband P and S wavefields with a sound physical basis for seismic monitoring applications. This research will advance our ability to address yield estimation for UNE conducted in proliferant nations and provide a better understanding of the coupling of explosion sources to the seismic wavefield.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Measurement and modeling of muon-induced neutrons in LSM in application for direct dark matter searches

Due to a very low event rate expected in direct dark matter search experiments, a good understanding of every background component is crucial. Muon-induced neutrons constitute a prominent background, since neutrons lead to nuclear recoils and thus can mimic a potential dark matter signal. EDELWEISS is a Ge-bolometer experiment searching for WIMP dark matter. It is located in the Laboratoire Souterrain de Modane (LSM, France). We have measured muon-induced neutrons by means of a neutron counter based on Gd-loaded liquid scintillator. Studies of muon-induced neutrons are presented and include development of the appropriate MC model based on Geant4 and analysis of a 1000-days measurement campaign in LSM. We find a good agreement between measured rates of muon-induced neutrons and those predicted by the developed model with full event topology. The impact of the neutron background on current EDELWEISS data-taking as well as for next generation experiments such as EURECA is briefly discussed.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Modelling of fluorine based high density plasma for the etching of silica glasses

An etching simulator has been developed to study the etching of commercial silica glass (Pyrex, D263, AF45, and Vycor) in a SF{sub 6}/Ar inductively coupled plasma (ICP) discharge. The etching model is based on the development of the plasma kinetic model coupled to a two dimensional (2D) Monte Carlo cellular surface model to predict the etched surface morphology as a function of the operating conditions. The SF{sub 6}/Ar plasma model allows us to predict the neutral and ion species fluxes, as well as the density and the temperature of electrons, as a function of the reactor operating conditions. Such output parameters are used as input parameters in both the sheath and etching models. The 2D Monte Carlo cellular model is based on the representation of both the substrate and the mask by uniform cells, which each represents a real number of sites. The preferential redeposition mechanism of the etched products on the metallic sites seems to play an important role on the formation and the propagation of the etched surface roughness. The results obtained by the model are compared with the experimental results for etching rate and roughness. A satisfactory agreement between the experimental results and the model concerning the etching rate and the etched surface morphology has been obtained for different glasses.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Semi-Empirical Material Model for Hydrogen Uptake Kinetics by 1,4-bis(phenylethynyl)benzene (DEB)-based Getters

We report on development of a semi-empirical model describing the kinetics of H 2 /D 2 reaction with 1,4-bis(phenylethynyl)benzene (DEB)-based getters in pellet and powder form. The physical basis of the model is solid-state diffusion of DEB plus reaction of DEB with H atoms on the surface of nanometer-scale Pd catalyst particles. The purpose of this material model is to facilitate more accurate predictions of performance for DEB-based getter assemblies. These predictions will be accomplished by integrating the model presented here into finite element, reaction/diffusion simulations of getter assembly hydrogen uptake performance. As of Fall 2020, this integration is underway.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Multiscale plasticity of geomaterials predicted via constrained optimization‐based granular micromechanics

Abstract A general framework to derive nonlinear elastic and elastoplastic material models from granular micromechanics is proposed, where a constraint‐based variational structure is introduced to classical grain contact‐based homogenization methods of hyperelasticity. Like the classical hyperelastic methods, reference solutions for closed‐form hyperelastic material models are analytically derived from the grain‐scale contact mechanics. However, unlike prior methods, the proposed homogenization framework defines closed‐form hyperelastoplastic material models that extend multiscale variational methods to granular plasticity. The proposed framework is used to develop novel granular micromechanics‐based macroscopic models for a Mises type solid, Drucker–Prager type plasticity, and grain‐contact cohesive‐debonding with a deviatorically and volumetrically coupled nonlinearly elastic response. Macroscopic plastic parameters and yield criteria are explicitly related to their microscale counterparts, for example, the friction coefficient governing intergranular slip. Numerical examples and comparison to measurements from the literature, including triaxial compaction of concrete, are provided to investigate model predictions and demonstrate calibration to experimental data.

Bryant, E. C.↗

Enhanced Feedstock Characterization and Modeling to Facilitate Optimal Preprocessing and Deconstruction of Corn Stover (Final Report)

This project addresses the challenge of processing corn stover by fractionating this biomass feedstock to both streamline processing and generate new potential co-products. Additionally, the project developed new field-deployable analytical tools that can be coupled with empirical models that were used to predict feedstock properties and processing performance. The overall scope of this project was: (1) identify conditions for optimal corn stover fractionation using a two- stage physical fractionation, (2) assess how physical fractionation impacts properties, partitioning of biomass, and response to processing, (3) further adapt, develop, and validate several advanced characterization tools for assessing biomass properties that can be linked to processing behavior, and (4) develop and validate predictive models based on measurements that can be performed “in the field” or “at the biorefinery gate” to predict feedstock processing behavior (preprocessing and deconstruction). The first objective employed pre-separation processing (size reduction) which was next subjected to enhanced separations to yield fractions enriched or depleted in select compositional components or properties. For the second objective, fractions were screened for their response to post-separation processing (pretreatment and enzymatic hydrolysis). Detailed characterization profiles were developed and dynamic image analysis to assess distribution of particle size and morphology. For the final objective, we utilized these tools to develop empirical models to assess the relative abundance of tissue type in order to assess fractionation efficacy and to predict fraction performance during pretreatment and enzymatic hydrolysis.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

MODELING AND METHOD FOR OPTICAL PERFORMANCE OF A RECEIVER COATING AND ITS DEGRADATION DUE TO OPERATION

The optical properties of the coating used on a concentrated solar power (CSP)’s receiver directly impact the performance of the power plant. Receiver coatings are designed to absorb as much heat as possible and transfer it to the circulating fluid. Over time, the absorptivity of the receiver coating degrades due to environmental and operational conditions. This project aims to (1) create a test apparatus that allows coatings to undergo accelerated lifetime testing under conditions that mimic what the coating will experience on-tower; and (2) develop a mathematical model that based on the test data predicts absorptivity over time. To create the mathematical model, samples of BrightSource Energy’s Gen1 and Gen2 coatings were tested first looking at individual failure modes (such as high temperature cycling) and then for combined failure modes in the newly developed apparatus. In addition to taking optical measurements, the samples were destroyed to allow for metalogical evaluation to understand what was happening on a microscopic level. Pre-existing models from the literature that describe accelerated testing as well as individual phenomena observed in the coating were then combined to create the model. Additionally, the Gen2 and Gen3 coatings are being testing at the Plataforma Solar de Almería (PSA) facility in Almeria, Spain to confirm that the apparatus test results are similar to those received on-sun. (PSA’s facility closely mimics on-tower conditions). The goal is to enable industry players to test coatings using the new apparatus, gather absorptivity measurements (without needing to destroy samples), and input the information into the model to determine how the coating will perform over time, thus allowing the optical performance of coatings to be compared even before they are used on-tower. The model will be publicly available by the end of the project (currently projected as December 2024).

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

SCC Aerosol Transport Model Summary Report

The purpose of the present work is to introduce a generic and reliable numerical model for prediction of aerosol transport, deposition, and plugging in leak paths similar to stress corrosion cracks while accounting for potential plugging formation. The model is dynamic (changing leak path geometry due to plugging) and it relies on the numerical solution of the aerosol transport equation in one dimension using finite differences. An extensive validation exercise (particle diameters: 0.01-10 μm and pressure difference up to 12 kPa) was conducted based on comparisons with experimental and theoretical data. The developed model is fairly general since it is based on a generic mechanistic description of the aerosol flow and particle deposition in the leak path, without requiring experimental fittings other than using the leak rate parameters commonly available in practical applications. Despite the approximate agreement of the model with the experimental data, the obtained predictions can be qualified as realistic. This is a major achievement of the model, which has been based on generic aerosol mechanics with no reference or adjustment to experimental data.

42 ENGINEERING↗