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DOE OSTI2026

3D Play Fairway Analysis for Examining of Superhot Reservoir Production Scenarios

The DEEPEN (DE-risking Exploration for geothermal Plays in magmatic ENvironments) project was a multi-laboratory, international effort to reduce uncertainty and improve resource characterization in superhot geothermal systems. Building on this foundation, this work advances open-source tools designed to lower the exploration risk and cost of superhot geothermal projects while promoting transparency, reproducibility, and efficiency in exploration workflows. These tools are being tested at two key sites: (1) the Nesjavellir Geothermal Area in Iceland, where the Icelandic Deep Drilling Project (IDDP) will drill its third well, and (2) Newberry Volcano in Oregon, USA, where Mazama Energy will pilot the first superhot enhanced geothermal system (EGS). A major outcome is the creation of a modular, open-source Python framework for play fairway analysis (PFA) in 2D and 3D, called geoPFA. The PFA workflow has been expanded to produce pseudo conceptual models, and will soon be refined to assess reservoir components through integration with the thermo-hydraulic-mechanical-chemical (THMC) simulator TReactMech, to enable iterative coupling between PFA and THMC models, improving characterization of superhot systems. All three of the Icelandic Deep Drilling Project's production scenarios were analyzed via this framework: (1) a superhot deep injection well paired with conventional production wells at Nesjavellir, (2) a superhot deep production well at Nesjavellir, and (3) superhot enhanced geothermal system at Newberry Volcano. This analysis provides useful insights around conceptual modeling of these production scenarios, helping to inform decisions around which scenario is best suited for which types of environments.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2026

3D Play Fairway Analysis for Examining of Superhot Drilling Production Scenarios: Preprint

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Nominal and adversarial synthetic PMU data for standard IEEE test systems

GridSTAGE (Spatio-Temporal Adversarial scenario GEneration) is a framework for the simulation of adversarial scenarios and the generation of multivariate spatio-temporal data in cyber-physical systems. GridSTAGE is developed based on Matlab and leverages Power System Toolbox (PST) where the evolution of the power network is governed by nonlinear differential equations. Using GridSTAGE, one can create several event scenarios that correspond to several operating states of the power network by enabling or disabling any of the following: faults, AGC control, PSS control, exciter control, load changes, generation changes, and different types of cyber-attacks. Standard IEEE bus system data is used to define the power system environment. GridSTAGE emulates the data from PMU and SCADA sensors. The rate of frequency and location of the sensors can be adjusted as well. Detailed instructions on generating data scenarios with different system topologies, attack characteristics, load characteristics, sensor configuration, control parameters are available in the Github repository - https://github.com/pnnl/GridSTAGE. There is no existing adversarial data-generation framework that can incorporate several attack characteristics and yield adversarial PMU data. The GridSTAGE framework currently supports simulation of False Data Injection attacks (such as a ramp, step, random, trapezoidal, multiplicative, replay, freezing) and Denial of Service attacks (such as time-delay, packet-loss) on PMU data. Furthermore, it supports generating spatio-temporal time-series data corresponding to several random load changes across the network or corresponding to several generation changes. A Koopman mode decomposition (KMD) based algorithm to detect and identify the false data attacks in real-time is proposed in https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9303022. Machine learning-based predictive models are developed to capture the dynamics of the underlying power system with a high level of accuracy under various operating conditions for IEEE 68 bus system. The corresponding machine learning models are available at https://github.com/pnnl/grid_prediction.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Using Generative AI to implement the discrepancy checker for a Nearly Autonomous Management and Control System for Advanced Reactors

Developments related to generative artificial intelligence (AI) have brought a major breakthrough in AI. These developments are rapidly accelerating developments in different science and engineering applications. Nearly Autonomous Management and Control (NAMAC) system provides recommendations to the operator for maintaining the safety and performance of the reactor. The discrepancy checker (DC) is an important component of the NAMAC) system, whose goal is to determine if the plant is moving towards the expected system state after the control actions are injected. In this work, we explore generative AI methods, particularly, a generative pretrained transformer (GPT) for implementing the DC function in NAMAC. The GPT-based DC aims to alert the operator in situations outside NAMAC’s scope and act as a chatbot the operator can use to retrieve relevant information. This study involves two versions of GPT developed by OpenAI: GPT-3.5 and GPT-4. These GPTs are trained on huge amounts of undisclosed general domain datasets. We explored two methods to adapt GPTs for DC implementation in NAMAC: fine-tuning and retrieval augmented generation. A small knowledge base (information file) that encompasses rules for DC implementation and some general information related to NAMAC has been created to support DC implementation using GPT. In this work, the GPT-based DC implementations have been tested for their reasoning abilities, comprehension, information retrieval, and extraction abilities. It should be noted that this paper only presents a preliminary study to test the feasibility of DC implementation using generative AI technology. Given the potential risks and severe consequences associated with nuclear reactor applications, combined with the black-box nature of AI, extensive offline and online testing and reliability analyses of GPT-based DCs are needed for further developing such capabilities.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Testing strong-field QED with the avalanche precursor

A two-beam high-power laser facility is essential for the study of one of the most captivating phenomena predicted by strong-field quantum electrodynamics (QED) and yet unobserved experimentally: the avalanche-type cascade. In such a cascade, the energy of intense laser light can be efficiently transformed into high-energy radiation and electron–positron pairs. The future 50-petawatt-scale laser facility NSF OPAL will provide unique opportunities for studying such strong-field QED effects, as it is designed to deliver two ultra-intense, tightly focused laser pulses onto the interaction point. In this work, we investigate the potential of such a facility for studying elementary particle and plasma dynamics deeply in the quantum radiation-dominated (RD) regime, and the generation of QED avalanches. With three-dimensional particle-in-cell simulations, we demonstrate that QED avalanche precursors can be reliably triggered under realistic laser parameters and layout (namely, focusing f/2, tilted optical axes, and non-ideal co-pointing) with the anticipated capabilities of NSF OPAL. We demonstrate that seed electrons can be efficiently injected into the laser focus by using targets of three types: a gas of heavy atoms, an overcritical plasma, and a thin foil. A strong positron and high-energy photon signal is generated in all cases. The cascade properties can be identified from the final particle distributions, which have a clear directional pattern. At increasing laser field intensity, such distributions provide signatures of the transition, first, to the RD interaction regime, and then to a QED avalanche. Our findings can also be used for designing related future experiments.

Lasers↗

DOE OSTI2021

Wells of Opportunity: An Assessment of Idle Geothermal Wells in Nevada

Geothermal energy is poised to play an increasing role in the energy transition over the coming decades. At the same time, idled and inactive geothermal wells represent both an opportunity for increased geothermal energy production but also an environmental risk. However, it is unclear how many geothermal wells are idled or inactive, making it difficult to identify pathways to redeploy these wells or prioritize them for additional monitoring, maintenance, or abandonment. Through a comparison of state well databases, this study develops an inventory of all existing large-bore wells at geothermal fields in Nevada to identify idled wells and their characteristics. The results show that at least 91 production or injection wells may be idled (inactive for 7 or more years), representing 21% of inventoried wells across all fields. This idled rate is significantly below the national rate for oil and gas wells (69%), though there are an additional 92 geothermal wells with an unknown status. The average age and length of inactivity for potentially idled geothermal wells is 26 and 23 years respectively, and active generation fields comprise most of the inventory (83%). Idled well incidence varies significantly across active fields, with 6 of the 17 fields having idled rates of 20%-50% and/or more than 5 idled wells, while 3 fields have no idled wells and the remaining fields have rates below 20%. Younger or more recently idled wells at these active fields likely present the best opportunities for future use or enhanced geothermal systems technology testing. However, a significant proportion of the older and long-term idled wells will likely require additional monitoring or eventual abandonment.

geothermal↗

DOE OSTI2020

Assessment of Enhanced Oil Recovery Using Carbon Dioxide in Michigan Basin Silurian Pinnacle Reefs

The Midwest Regional Carbon Sequestration Partnership (MRCSP) has incorporated the work of geologic research teams (Geoteams) in its regional characterization, project planning and carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) injection implementation work since the partnership was established by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) in 2003. Over this 16-year period, the cohort of Geoteams has grown from five to ten states and has contributed to the characterization of geologic sequestration opportunities, refinement of reservoir and seal data, and supported injection efforts through both predictive and post-injection assessments. The Michigan team at Western Michigan University has provided technical analysis and support of the enhanced oil recovery (EOR) using carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) in the Northern Michigan Silurian Pinnacle reefs. With Core Energy, LLC as the industry partner, this project has assessed the potential for EOR in known fields in the Michigan Pinnacle reefs and the capacity for CO2 storage in the reef reservoirs as they are depleted and after reservoir abandonment. This project managed by Core Energy, LLC, involves the only commercial CO 2 Enhanced Oil Recovery floods within the MRCSP region. The Silurian pinnacle reef trend shows significant potential for CO 2 -EOR: this play is relatively new, with approximately 60% of the wells in the largest Niagaran fields still accessible. Most wells have modern logs and there are many cores, core analyses, pressure tests and produced water analyses available for study from these fields. These carbonate reservoirs in Michigan have produced sufficient oil to warrant evaluation for additional recovery efforts. The role of the Michigan team was to collect and analyze all relevant data about reservoir properties, including lithologic and depositional characteristics of the reservoir formations and porosity and fluid flow properties through different compartments in the reservoir. The team has also developed models that represent the geological and physical characteristics of the reservoir and seal system.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

DOE OSTI2025

Diagnostic Systems in the Muon $g-2$ experiment at Fermilab

The muon anomalous magnetic moment, $a_\mu=\frac{g-2}{2}$, is a low-energy observable which can be both measured and computed to high precision, making it a sensitive test of the Standard Model and a probe for new physics. This anomaly was measured with a precision of $0.20$~parts per million (ppm) by the Fermilab's Muon g-2 (E989) experiment. The final goal of the E989 experiment is to reach a precision of $0.14$~ppm. The experiment is based on the measurement of the muon spin anomalous precession frequency, $\omega_a$, based on the arrival time distribution of high-energy decay positrons observed by 24 electromagnetic calorimeters, placed around the inner circumference of a $14$~m diameter storage ring, and on the precise knowledge of the storage ring magnetic field and of the beam time and space distribution. Achieving this level of precision requires strict control over systematics, which is ensured through several diagnostic devices. At the accelerator level, these devices monitor the quality of the injected beam (e.g., verifying that it has the correct momentum), while at the detector level, they track both the magnetic field and the gain of the calorimeters. In this work the devices and techniques used by the E989 experiment will be presented.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

DOE OSTI2021

Experimental workflow to estimate model parameters for evaluating long term viscoelastic response of CO2 storage caprocks

Understanding the time-dependent behavior of reservoir and sealing formations is critical to assessing risks associated with geological carbon storage since time-dependent deformation strongly influences mechanical responses of some rock types. Many studies have evaluated the risk of CO2 leakage and induced seismicity by assuming poroelastic rheology in sealing formations. Few have considered viscoelastic or other time-dependent responses, where the existing literature adopts 1D models to represent long-term time-dependent responses. This is primarily because to date, the general form of a reasonable 3D time-dependent model for rocks remains unclear. In this paper, we address this unclear issue by proposing a new workflow to select constitutive modeling parameters to evaluate if a 3D viscoelastic model is reasonable using several-hour-long experimental data and a power-law response to extrapolate to the decades-long time frames of interest in geologic carbon storage. To provide experimental data, we conducted multi-level loading/unloading triaxial relaxation tests with four rock types. The experimental results showed that the maximum load relaxation observed is approximately 49%, with some rock types showing as little as 1.4%. Using a simple linear viscoelastic model, parameters were chosen such that a maximum deviation of 1.5 MPa in axial stress and 7 MPa in radial stress was attained with the extrapolated 30-year data. We found that a reasonable parameter range for the normalized elastic modulus is 0.1~2 for rocks with significant time-dependent responses and 0.01~0.06 for those with small time-dependent responses. No matter how significant time-dependent responses are for rocks considered, our results showed that the relaxation time has a general range of 1~10^10 s, whose time scale can be one or two orders higher than a time frame typically envisioned for CO2 injection projects.

Stress relaxation, 3D time-dependent model, viscoe↗

DOE OSTI2023

Dual-Purpose Canister Filling Demonstration Project Progress Report at ORNL, 2023

The US DOE Office of Nuclear Energy is investigating the feasibility of direct disposal of dual-purpose canisters (DPCs) in a hypothetical geological repository to offset the potential requirement to repackage spent nuclear fuel (SNF) from existing DPCs into smaller, disposal-ready canisters. Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) is currently evaluating the feasibility of filling void space in loaded DPCs with an engineered material to prevent a criticality event caused by groundwater/moderator intrusion. Metal alloys are being investigated as a filler material because of their relatively low viscosities when molten, which may facilitate their injection via an existing drainpipe that runs almost the full length of the DPC. ORNL’s strategy for evaluating filler viability includes simulations and physical demonstrations of filling and casting behavior, as well as evaluations of materials for compatibility in the repository environment. Filling of DPCs in this manner is expected to mitigate the risk associated with a post-closure criticality event during the repository performance assessment time frame (10,000 years or greater). Efforts in this fiscal year focused on (1) destructive analysis of experimental filler castings made in FY 2022, (2) a report outlining a conceptual design of a DPC filling facility (Fortner et al., 2023, M3SF 23OR010305044/ ORNL/SPR-2023/2921, May 31, 2023), (3) a report on affected features, events, and processes (FEPs) due to DPC filling (Price et al., 2023, M3SF-23SN010305093, issuance pending), (4) developing and testing a more practical alloy filler based upon a Sn-Al eutectic, and (5) modeling the heating and cooling dynamics of a DPC subjected to molten metal filling. The preliminary results from each of these tasks support the feasibility of filling DPCs with metal as a strategy against the possibility of criticality in the repository. The FY 2022 casting was found to penetrate even very small orifices in the mold and internal structures. Preliminary testing of the Sn-Al eutectic indicate little interaction of the melt with Zircaloy cladding. Thermal modelling shows that a filled DPC will cool to manageable temperatures within 2-3 days, which is likely manageable in a facility.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2023

Coupling Thermal-Hydraulics with Reactor Pressure Vessel Fracture Models

Because of the importance of maintaining the integrity of the reactor pressure vessel (RPV) in light-water reactors, significant effort has been devoted over the last several decades to understand the potential failure mechanisms, characterize how material properties evolve due to environmental conditions, and develop tools to assess the probability of fracture in aged RPVs during potential transient events. One important aspect of this problem that has not yet been fully addressed is the effects of nonuniform cooling on the RPV inner wall due to the way low-temperature water injected into the primary coolant system is distributed within the RPV during potential loss-of-coolant accident transients. Colder temperatures are expected in the regions near the inlets, causing a “cold-plume” effect. Rapid cooling of the RPV wall increases the likelihood of fracture initiation, and localized cooling due to cold-plume effects could potentially exacerbate this problem. The Grizzly code can perform a three-dimensional simulation of the RPV thermomechanical response as well as the probabilistic assessment of fracture for a population of pre-existing flaws, which is necessary to account for spatial variations in coolant temperature. This report documents a first effort to couple Grizzly RPV fracture models with computational fluid dynamics models performed using the Cardinal code, which allows for a realistic representation of the temperature distribution. This report demonstrates this coupling approach on two test cases: a simplified proof-of-concept scenario and a realistic small-break loss-of-coolant accident scenario. In both cases, the effects of the spatially varying temperature are evident; although, because the small-break loss-of-coolant accident scenario was far from challenging the RPV’s margins, it is still inconclusive how important cold-plume effects are in realistic accident scenarios. However, this effort represents an important step toward performing realistic analyses to determine to what extent spatially nonuniform cooling might affect RPV integrity under more aggressive accident scenarios.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2021

SO3/H2SO4 continuous real-time sensor demonstration at a power plant

We present results from field testing of a new, innovative sensor developed to measure SO3/H2SO4 continuously and in real time at a coal-fired power plant. The system utilizes the sensitivity, specificity, and real-time capabilities of mid-infrared (Mid-IR) laser-based sensor technology, along with a heated, close-coupled cell mounted directly to a power plant duct. Measurements were made by the laser sensor over a 2-day period and compared to results from the accepted method, EPA 8A, which requires a 30-minute collection, labor intensive processing, and off-site analysis at a lab. In contrast to the condensation method, the laser sensor continuously samples flue gas and reports measurements of the concentration of SO3/H2SO4, SO2 ever second with unattended operation. This initial demonstration proved the sensor concept and paves the way for its use for optimizing sorbent injection used to neutralize SO3/H2SO4. Optimized sorbent injection will enable significant cost savings associated with efforts to mitigate the presence and effects of SO3/H2SO4 such as “Blue Plume”, air heater fouling, and duct corrosion. In particular, the real-time, actionable information will enable better control of additive injection in flex conditions and variable fuels.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Beam dynamics corrections in the measurement of the anomalous precession frequency at the Muon $g-2$ experiment at Fermilab

The Muon $g-2$ experiment at Fermilab (E989) aims to measure the anomalous magnetic moment of the muon with an accuracy of 140 ppb (parts per billions). This accuracy, obtained by adding in quadrature a statistical and a systematic contribution of comparable value (100 ppb), will allow to reduce the experimental uncertainty (from the previous E821 experiment at BNL \cite{bnl}) of a factor of 4, and represents one of the most precise tests of the Standard Model (SM) theory of elementary particles. The first result on the Run-1 dataset \cite{prl} was released on April 7, 2021, showing a very good agreement with the previous result from BNL experiment, with a slightly better uncertainty. The corresponding experimental average increases the significance of the discrepancy between the measured and Standard Model prediction of 4.2$\sigma$ \cite{white_paper}.\\ \noindent The measured quantity is the muon magnetic anomaly a$_\mu$=$\frac{g_\mu-2}{2}$ where g$_\mu$ is the gyromagnetic factor of the muon. Dirac's equation predicts g$_\mu$ = 2, while radiative corrections, dominated by the QED contribution due to an exchange of a virtual photon, causes a per-mille correction on this quantity. By including all the SM contributions, a$_\mu$ is known at 370 ppb. The E989 experiment measures $a_\mu$ injecting positive muons with momentum of 3.1 GeV/$c$ polarized longitudinally in bunches (called $fills$) with an average rate of 12 Hz, in a storage ring of 14 meters diameter. Due to the parity violation in the weak muon decay, high energy positrons produced are emitted preferably in the muon's spin direction. By counting the number of positrons with energy greater then 1.7 GeV in function of the time, the frequency precession of the muon spin is measured, that together with the measurement of the magnetic field, allows to extract $a_\mu$. The positrons are detected with 24 electromagnetic calorimeters, that measure the energy and the arrival time of the positrons, each made of 54 crystals of lead fluoride (PbF$_2$) read by silicon photomultipliers (SiPM). Together with calorimeters, two tracking detectors are used to make non-destructive measurements of the muon beam characteristic by reconstructing the muon decay position extrapolating backward the decay positrons. The knowledge of the beam motion inside the ring plays a fundamental role in the analysis of $a_{\mu}$, where the measured anomalous precession frequency $\omega_a$ must be corrected for four main beam dynamics effects. A first correction is associated with the presence of an electric field responsible of the vertical focusing on the storage ring, where vertical direction is orthogonal to the orbit and horizontal direction is along the storage ring radius. Due to the oscillations in the vertical direction, the so called vertical betatron oscillations, a second correction is necessary to account for an average angle associated with the muon motion off the ideal orbit. A third correction is caused by lost muons in the ring which have a different spin phase at the injection respect to the decay ones. Finally, due to the correlation between the vertical and horizontal beam motion of the muons and the acceptance of the calorimeter, a correction (called ``phase-acceptance") arises. In Run1, due to the presence of two damaged resistors in one electrostatic quadrupole, this correction had a prominent role. The replacement of the damaged resistors before Run2 decreased this effect by one order of magnitude, and a further reduction in Run-3 was provided by an improved orbit.\\ \noindent The work of this Thesis focuses on the beam dynamics corrections on $\omega_a$. Due to the prominent role in Run-1 a special attention has been put to the phase-acceptance correction\footnote{The effect of this correction on the E821 BNL measurement of the $g-2$ has been evaluated to be within the quoted systematic error.}. Chapter \ref{ch:anomalous_magnetic_moment} introduces the anomalous magnetic moment of the muon. Chapter \ref{ch:early_experiment} describes the history of the Muon $g-2$ experiments. Chapter \ref{ch:theory} discusses the Standard Model prediction and possible new physics scenario. Chapter \ref{ch:muon_g2_experiment} describes the E989 experiment, whose experimental technique and the apparatus are discussed focusing on the improvements needed to reach the final goal on $a_\mu$ measurement. The original work of the Thesis is discussed in the last 5 chapters. Chapter \ref{ch:experiment_technique} presents the analysis technique to extract $\omega_a$, Chapter \ref{ch:beam_dynamics} describes the beam dynamics in the E989 experiment, Chapter \ref{ch:beam_dynamics_correction} discusses the beam dynamics correction to $\omega_a$, and Chapter \ref{sec:pa_corr} focuses on the phase acceptance correction. Finally Chapter \ref{ch:run23_analysis_improvements} contains the Run-2/3 improvements which are expected to allow for an increased precision ons the beam dynamics co...

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Experimental study of fracture slip due to stress perturbation in fractured geo-resources

Anthropogenic activities such as underground fluid injection/extraction, well stimulation, and dam impoundment will perturb the state-of-stress in the subsurface, which could activate critically stressed pre-existing fractures and faults. Fault and fracture activation can induce seismicity, change flow behavior, and damage asperities on the fracture surface to alter reservoir permeability. Here, in this study, triaxial shear tests were conducted on saw cut and rough fracture Barre granite specimens to better characterize how a decrease in normal stress and increase in shear stress will influence crystalline rock fracture hydromechanical properties. In a triaxial set up, confining pressure (CP) and differential stress (DS) were used to induce normal and shear stress on a 45° oriented fracture. Fracture slip and the corresponding stress relaxation was observed when the confining stress decreased. Fracture permeability increased when the fracture slipped. Moreover, new micro-cracks observed by x-ray images indicated the creation of new flow paths for fluid movement. The experimental outcomes of this study indicate that decrease in normal stress due to stress perturbations along the faults/fractures in the extensional stress regime can induce the slip along the fracture. This could have a significant influence on slope stability in quarries, stimulation and injection strategy in deep geo-resources, and potentially minimize the risk of induced seismicity. The observed stress dependency of hydraulic aperture in rough fracture during pre- and post-slip stages could provide key inputs for field-scale simulation of geo-resources.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Sealing of fractures in a representative CO 2 reservoir caprock by migration of fines

The impact of fines migration on fracture transmissivity reduction was investigated by injecting a brine solution containing a suspension of 0.1 wt. % kaolinite particles with a mean particle size distribution of 9.6 µm through fractured shale core samples. The fractures had apertures estimated to be approximately 100 µm. A mass balance approach was used to determine the quantity of kaolinite that was deposited within the fractures (influent – effluent = amount deposited in fractures). Large fractions (44 to 90%) of the suspended kaolinite pumped through the fractures were deposited within the fractures. Based on fracture volumes estimated with X-ray computed tomography, it was determined that approximately 10 to 17% of the fracture volume was filled with kaolinite at the point when flow was completely restricted. These results indicate that 100 µm fractures in CO 2 reservoir caprocks could be sealed within hours if the brines passing through the fractures contain a proportional volume of particulates to the tests performed in this laboratory study.

04 OIL SHALES AND TAR SANDS↗

DOE OSTI2021

Duration of tick attachment necessary for transmission of Anaplasma phagocytophilum by Ixodes scapularis (Acari: Ixodidae) nymphs

This study assessed the duration of tick attachment necessary for a successful transmission of Anaplasma phagocytophilum by an infected I. scapularis nymph. Individual nymphs were placed upon BALB/c mice and allowed to feed for predetermined time intervals of 4 to 72 h. Ticks removed from mice at predetermined intervals were tested by PCR for verification of infection and evaluation of the bacterial load. The success of pathogen transmission to mice was assessed by blood-PCR at 7, 14 and 21 days postinfestation, and IFA at 21 days postinfestation. Anaplasma phagocytophilum infection was documented in 10-30 % of mice, from which ticks were removed within the first 20 h of feeding. However, transmission success was ≥70% if ticks remained attached for 36 h or longer. Notably, none of the PCR-positive mice that were exposed to infected ticks for 4 to 8 h and only half of PCR-positive mice exposed for 24 h developed antibodies within 3 weeks postinfestation. On the other hand, all mice with detectable bacteremia after being infested for 36 h seroconverted. This suggests that although some of the ticks removed prior to 24 h of attachment succeed in injecting a small amount of A. phagocytophilum, this amount is insufficient for stimulating humoral immunity and perhaps for establishing disseminated infection in BALB/c mice. Although A. phagocytophilum may be present in salivary glands of unfed I. scapularis nymphs, the amount of A. phagocytophilum initially contained in saliva appears insufficient to cause sustainable infection in a host. Replication and, maybe, reactivation of the agent for 12-24 h in a feeding tick is required before a mouse can be consistently infected.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Cyberattack Detection and Mitigation on Central Volt‐VAr Using Circuit Law and Machine Learning

ABSTRACT In a distribution grid, voltage is maintained within a nominal range through a Volt‐VAr function that controls capacitor banks, reactive power of distributed energy resources (DER), and on‐load tap changers (OLTC). Availability of communications helps with the implementation of central Volt‐VAr control; however, it also opens the system to cyberattacks, causing voltage disturbances. Previous work has shown the adverse impacts of false data injection (FDI) on the central Volt‐VAr control; however, very few works have studied methods to detect and mitigate FDI on Volt‐VAr control. This paper addresses gaps in the detection and mitigation of FDI on the measurement packets of a central Volt‐VAr control. This work uses a two‐stage algorithm for cyberattack detection since the accuracy of a single‐stage machine learning (ML)–based detection method decreases while dealing with unseen data. The first stage is based on the verification of measurements against circuit laws, and the second stage utilizes a tree search algorithm and an ML method to detect the falsified data. This paper compares long short‐term memory (LSTM) and bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM) as the employed ML algorithms. Finally, the mitigation algorithm replaces the falsified data with the estimated output of the ML algorithm. The effectiveness of the proposed method is tested for several cases using the IEEE 13‐bus test system in PSCAD software.

Beikbabaei, Milad [Bradley Department of Electrica↗

DOE OSTI2021

Modeling Transverse Space Charge effects in IOTA with pyORBIT

The role and mitigation of space charge effects are important aspects of the beam physics research to be performed at the Integrable Optics Test Accelerator (IOTA) at Fermilab. The impact of nonlinear integrability (partial and complete) on space charge driven incoherent and coherent resonances will be a new feature of this accelerator and has the potential to influence the design of future low energy proton synchrotrons. In this report we model transverse space charge effects using the PIC code pyORBIT. First we benchmark the single particle tracking results against MADX with checks on symplecticity, tune footprints, and dynamic aperture in a partially integrable lattice realized with a special octupole string insert. Our space charge calculations begin with an examination of the 4D symplecticity. Short term tracking is done first with the initial bare lattice and then with a matching of the rms values with space charge. Next, we explore slow initialization of charge as a technique to establish steady state and reduce emittance growth and beam loss following injection into a mismatched lattice. We establish values of space charge simulation parameters so as to ensure numerical convergence. Finally, we compare the simulated space charge induced tune shifts and footprints against theory.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗