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At least 793 records · Page 44

Cancer Risk Estimates from Space Flight Estimated Using Yields of Chromosome Damage in Astronaut's Blood Lymphocytes

To date, cytogenetic damage has been assessed in blood lymphocytes from more than 30 astronauts before and after they participated in long-duration space missions of three months or more on board the International Space Station. Chromosome damage was assessed using fluorescence in situ hybridization whole chromosome analysis techniques. For all individuals, the frequency of chromosome damage measured within a month of return from space was higher than their preflight yield, and biodosimetry estimates were within the range expected from physical dosimetry. Follow up analyses have been performed on most of the astronauts at intervals ranging from around 6 months to many years after flight, and the cytogenetic effects of repeat long-duration missions have so far been assessed in four individuals. Chromosomal aberrations in peripheral blood lymphocytes have been validated as biomarkers of cancer risk and cytogenetic damage can therefore be used to characterize excess health risk incurred by individual crewmembers after their respective missions. Traditional risk assessment models are based on epidemiological data obtained on Earth in cohorts exposed predominantly to acute doses of gamma-rays, and the extrapolation to the space environment is highly problematic, involving very large uncertainties. Cytogenetic damage could play a key role in reducing uncertainty in risk estimation because it is incurred directly in the space environment, using specimens from the astronauts themselves. Relative cancer risks were estimated from the biodosimetry data using the quantitative approach derived from the European Study Group on Cytogenetic Biomarkers and Health database. Astronauts were categorized into low, medium, or high tertiles according to their yield of chromosome damage. Age adjusted tertile rankings were used to estimate cancer risk and results were compared with values obtained using traditional modeling approaches. Individual tertile rankings increased after space flight and analysis of follow up samples indicated that the tertile rankings remained in the high category for more than 50% of the individuals assessed so far. Crewmembers that shift and remain in the high category are projected to have increased life-time cancer risk.

George, Kerry A.↗

Specification of mesospheric density, pressure, and temperature by extrapolation

A procedure is presented which employs an extrapolation technique to obtain estimates of density, pressure, and temperature up to 90 km from 52 km data. The resulting errors are investigated. The procedure is combined with a special temperature interpolation method around the stratopause to produce such estimates at eight levels between 36 km and 90 km from North American sectional chart data at 5, 2, and 0.4 mb. Fifth charts were processed to obtain mean values and standard deviations at grid points for midseasonal months from 1964 to 1966. The mean values were compared with Groves' model, and internal consistency tests were performed upon the statistics. Through application of the extrapolation procedure, the atmospheric structure of a stratospheric warming event is studied.

Graves, M. E.↗

Deriving Three Dimensional Reservoir Bathymetry from Multi-Satellite Datasets

We evaluate different techniques that rebuild reservoir bathymetry by combining multi-satellite imagery of surface water elevation and extent. Digital elevation models (DEMs) are processed in two distinct ways in order to determine 3-D reservoir bathymetry. They are defined as (a) linear extrapolation and (b) linear interpolation. The first one linearly extrapolates the land slope, defining the bottom as the intersection of all extrapolated lines. The second linearly interpolates the uppermost and lowermost pixels of the reservoir's main river, repeating the process for all other tributaries. A visible bathymetry, resulting from the combination of radar altimetry and water extent masks, can be coupled with the DEM, improving the accuracy of techniques (a) and (b). Envisat-and Altika-based altimetric time series is combined to a Landsat-based water extent database over the2002-2016 period in order to generate the visible bathymetry, and topography is derived from the 3-arcsecHydroSHEDS DEM. Fourteen 3-D bathymetries derived from the combination of these techniques and datasets, plus the inclusion of upstream and downstream riverbed elevations, are evaluated over Lake Mead. Accuracy is measured using ground observations, and show that metrics improve as a function of added data requirement and processing. Best bathymetry estimates are obtained when the visible bathymetry, linear extrapolation technique and riverbed elevation are combined. Water storage variability is also evaluated and shows that best results are derived from the aforementioned combination. This study contributes to our understanding and representation of reservoir water impoundment impacts on the hydrological cycle.

HydroSHEDS↗

Synergy of semiempirical models and machine learning in computational chemistry

Catalyzed by enormous success in the industrial sector, many research programs have been exploring data-driven, machine learning approaches. Performance can be poor when the model is extrapolated to new regions of chemical space, e.g., new bonding types, new many-body interactions. Another important limitation is the spatial locality assumption in model architecture, and this limitation cannot be overcome with larger or more diverse datasets. The outlined challenges are primarily associated with the lack of electronic structure information in surrogate models such as interatomic potentials. Given the fast development of machine learning and computational chemistry methods, we expect some limitations of surrogate models to be addressed in the near future; nevertheless spatial locality assumption will likely remain a limiting factor for their transferability. Here, we suggest focusing on an equally important effort—design of physics-informed models that leverage the domain knowledge and employ machine learning only as a corrective tool. In the context of material science, we will focus on semi-empirical quantum mechanics, using machine learning to predict corrections to the reduced-order Hamiltonian model parameters. The resulting models are broadly applicable, retain the speed of semiempirical chemistry, and frequently achieve accuracy on par with much more expensive ab initio calculations. These early results indicate that future work, in which machine learning and quantum chemistry methods are developed jointly, may provide the best of all worlds for chemistry applications that demand both high accuracy and high numerical efficiency.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Analysis of Design Alternatives of Actively Cooled RF Window for MPEX

The Materials Plasma Exposure eXperiment (MPEX) has been designed as a linear plasma divertor simulator in order to address plasma material interaction (PMI) science for next-generation fusion devices. It will have the capability to test neutron irradiated samples with plasma fluxes of greater than 10 24 m -2 s -1 . It is expected to operate steady state for up to 10 6 s to consider PMI affects through reactor end of life. The conceptual design of MPEX was completed in 2019, with preliminary design having begun in 2020. The plasma source for MPEX is a helicon antenna, where the energized helical antenna sits outside of the vacuum in order to minimize impurities in the plasma. It is expected to receive up to 200 kW of continuous power, and so the antenna and the window must be actively cooled. The water-cooled copper antenna has been operated at full power on the Proto-MPEX device (which is a test facility to demonstrate the plasma source and heating systems). The water-cooled window, however, is a novel component that must meet numerous competing requirements. It requires a low dielectric loss to allow the Radio Frequency (RF) power to create the plasma within the vacuum boundary. It must be structurally robust to handle the significant heat flux from the plasma and any heat from dielectric coupling. It must be compatible with the coolant (preferably water). It requires a vacuum seal that minimizes impurities into the plasma and does not compromise the structural integrity of the window. Two window designs have been tested. Results from these tests, where temperatures are measured and heat fluxes inferred from infrared camera data, have been correlated with thermal-structural simulations. When these simulations are extrapolated to the full power steady-state heat fluxes that are expected in MPEX, the designs do not appear to have the necessary structural robustness. This study explores design alternatives for the MPEX helicon antenna window, presents analysis results for several of the alternatives, and shows a viable solution that satisfies the requirements for MPEX operation.

Tipton Jr, Joseph↗

Conditional Latent Diffusion for High-Resolution Prediction of Electrochemical Surface Morphology

A conditionally guided generative latent diffusion process that is trained on a set of experimental processing parameters and their associated resulting electron microscope images of the electrodeposition process is able to interpolate between processing parameters in a physically consistent way. Electrodeposition of rhenium with pulse and pulse-reverse waveforms is used as a model system, and the process is adaptable to other electrodeposition, electropolishing, or corrosion processes. The method is able to extrapolate, predicting estimates of material morphologies for experimental setups unseen in the training data. The results are demonstrated with experimental data.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Muon-neutrino disappearance with multiple liquid argon time projection chambers in the Fermilab Booster neutrino beam

The Short Baseline Neutrino (SBN) program consists of three liquid argon time projection chamber (LArTPC) experiments: SBND, MicroBooNE and ICARUS, with 110 m, 470 m and 600 m baselines respectively. The detectors are located in the Booster Neutrino Beam (BNB) at Fermilab which has a peak energy around 0.7 GeV and contains predominantly muon neutrinos. The baseline and energy range of the SBN program is conducive to measuring neutrino oscillation parameters under various sterile neutrino hypotheses. Sterile neutrinos have been proposed as a possible solution to the numerous short baseline anomalies. The proposed particles must be sterile in nature such that they do not interact via the weak force, however they may undergo oscillations with the active neutrino flavours. Their existence may consequently be confirmed through measurements of the appearance and disappearance of the active flavours. The analyses presented in this thesis aimed to calculate and understand the sensitivity of the SBN program to measuring the ?µ disappearance parameters under the (3+1) sterile neutrino oscillation hypothesis. The sensitivity of SBN to measuring the ?µ disappearance sterile oscillation parameters, sin2 2?µµ, ?m2 41, was calculated through semi-exclusive joint fits of the ?µ CC 0p and ?µ CC Other reconstructed neutrino energy spectra. The first iteration used truth-level Monte Carlo (MC) events, and determined that the 5s SBN sensitivity is comparable to the 90% MINOS/MINOS+ confidence level and supersedes the 90% MiniBooNE confidence level across entire phase space. Semi-exclusive joint fits of the aforementioned sample spectra were performed between the MC and multiple mock data sets in SBND. This analysis assessed the accuracy with which the near detector can disentangle systematic from physics effects in the oscillation analysis. The result was a 5.49% discrepancy between the ICARUS Monte Carlo and mock data event rates, when the systematic constraints from the near detector fit were extrapolated to the far detector. The second iteration of the SBN sensitivity analysis involved the application of an event selection procedure developed in SBND, following the full reconstruction chain. ?µ CC 0p events were selected from sample of neutrinos with 84.5% efficiency and 84.3% purity. The sterile neutrino sensitivity was determined once more at the near detector with these samples, and was shown to be consistent with the truth-level studies.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Techno-Economic Analysis for the Production of Algal Biomass via Closed Photobioreactors: Future Cost Potential Evaluated Across a Range of Cultivation System Designs

In this assessment, we have evaluated target minimum biomass selling prices (MBSPs) of algae biomass production for four photobioreactor (PBR) designs compared to a previous open pond target case. We utilized techno-economic assessment modeling to determine if the target PBR cases can compete with open ponds for low-cost commodity fuels in an 'n th -plant' scenario. In the process, algal biomass is produced in one of the five cultivation options, including: open ponds, horizontal tubes, helical tubes, and two vertical bag/panel designs termed 'GWP-II flat panels' and 'Leidos hanging bags.' The projected target cultivation productivity for each PBR design was estimated based on the most credible literature data presenting PBR and pond cultivation on a directly comparable basis, and then extrapolating out to the future. Resulting productivities on an aerial basis were estimated to range from 25 g/m 2 /day to 52.5 g/m 2 /day (cultivation area). CO 2 , nutrients, and algae inoculum are supplied to the production area. After cultivation, the biomass is dewatered to 20 wt% solids in three stages including in-ground gravity settling, membrane filtration, and centrifugation. CO 2 piping, water piping, and storage are also included in the analysis. Based on our recently published 'algae farm' design report, the open pond cultivation benchmark was set at an MBSP of $494/ton ash-free dry weight (AFDW). The horizontal tubes are large volume reactors with productivity similar to that of open ponds, but result in an MBSP of $708/ton AFDW. The helical tubes are made from glass and have a high capital investment resulting in a MBSP of $1,737/ton AFDW. The GWP-II PBR is a vertical flexible plastic flat-panel system with an estimated MBSP of $1,793/ton AFDW. Finally, the Leidos hanging bag system, which derives cultivation cost values based on inputs furnished by Algenol, results in an estimated MBSP of $639/ton AFDW.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Entry aerodynamics and heating

An overview of the problems of entry aerodynamics and heating is given with emphasis on survival of the probe, predictability of performance, and reliability of performance. Technological challenges to performance prediction are considered and include: turbulent heat transfer, radiation blockage, chemical state of the shock layer, afterbody heat transfer, asymmetric ablation, and real-gas aerodynamics. It is indicated that various obstacles must be overcome in order to achieve technology readiness. These obstacles are considered to be: extrapolations from ground tests to flight; lack of flight experience; lack of parametric data; and uncertain knowledge of atmospherics.

Olstad, W.↗

Applications of adenine nucleotide measurements in oceanography

The methodology involved in nucleotide measurements is outlined, along with data to support the premise that ATP concentrations in microbial cells can be extrapolated to biomass parameters. ATP concentrations in microorganisms and nucleotide analyses are studied.

Holm-Hansen, O.↗

Pulse phase spectroscopy of Hercules X-1

The 6-18 keV and the 40-60 keV X-ray spectrum of Hercules X-1 were simultaneously observed with the A-2 experiment on HEAO 1. By combining these measurements with the results of an earlier observation of this X-ray pulsar, evidence is found for a component of emission above 40 keV which is above an extrapolation from lower energies, by a factor which is pulse phase dependent. These data are compared to previous hard X-ray observations and possible models are discussed.

Pravdo, S. H.↗

Numerical approximation of boundary conditions with applications to inviscid equations of gas dynamics

A comprehensive overview of the state of the art of well-posedness and stability analysis of difference approximations for initial boundary value problems of the hyperbolic type is presented. The applicability of recent theoretical development to practical calculations for nonlinear gas dynamics is examined. The one dimensional inviscid gas dynamics equations in conservation law form are selected for numerical experiments. The class of implicit schemes developed from linear multistep methods in ordinary differential equations is chosen and the use of linear extrapolation as an explicit or implicit boundary scheme is emphasized. Specification of boundary data in the primitive variables and computation in terms of the conservative variables in the interior is discussed. Some numerical examples for the quasi-one-dimensional nozzle are given.

Yee, H. C.↗

Snowpack monitoring in North America and Eurasia using passive microwave satellite data

Areas of the Canadian high plains, the Montana and North Dakota high plains, and the steppes of central Russia have been studied in an effort to determine the utility of spaceborne microwave radiometers for monitoring snow depths in different geographic areas. Significant regression relationships between snow depth and microwave brightness temperatures were developed for each of these homogeneous areas. In each of the study areas investigated in this paper, Nimbus-6 (0.81 cm) ESMR data produced higher correlations than Nimbus-5 (1.55 cm) ESMR data in relating microwave brightness temperature to snow depth. It is difficult to extrapolate relationships between microwave brightness temperature and snow depth from one area to another because different geographic areas are likely to have different snowpack conditions.

Foster, J. L.↗

Global Biology Research Program: Biogeochemical Processes in Wetlands

The results of a workshop examining potential NASA contributions to research on wetland processes as they relate to global biogeochemical cycles are summarized. A wetlands data base utilizing remotely sensed inventories, studies of wetland/atmosphere exchange processes, and the extrapolation of local measurements to global biogeochemical cycling processes were identified as possible areas for NASA support.

Bartlett, D. S.↗

Pre- and post-flight-test models versus measured skyship-500 control responses

The dynamical equations-of-motion (EOM) for cruising airships require nonconventional terms to account for buoyancy and apparent-mass-effects, but systematic validation of these equations against flight data is not available. Using a candidate set of EOM, three comparisons are made with carefully-measured describing functions derived from frequency-sweep flight tests on the Skyship-500 airship. The first compares the pre-flight predictions to the data; the second compares the 'best-fit' equations to data at each of two airspeeds and the third compared the ability to extrapolate from one condition to another via airship-specific scaling laws. Two transient responses are also compared. The generally good results demonstrate that fairly simple, perturbation equation models are adequate for many types of flight-control analysis and flying quality evaluations of cruising airships.

Jex, Henry R.↗

Remote sensing of surface hemispherical reflectance (albedo) using pointable multispectral imaging spectroradiometers

Remote techniques for determining albedo are examined in terms of the range of view angles required in the use of string techniques with the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and the High Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (HIRIS). Ground data are used to compute full and half strings out to 15, 30, 45, and 60 degrees for various sun angles and ground cover types. A knowledge-based system is employed to evaluate both the visible and near-IR bands, and the results indicate errors of up to 7 percent for the MODIS data, HIRIS data, and the full-string +/- 60 degrees. In the cases of large extrapolations greater ranges of error are noted indicating that 60-deg systems are most effective. The error is increased in the case of sensor systems that only view in the fore or aft direction, and the MODIS full string for +/- 45 deg is also considered a good system.

Kimes, D. S.↗

SAGE 2-Umkehr case study of ozone differences and aerosol effects from October 1984 to April 1989

A comparison of 1262 cases of coincident ozone profiles derived from 666 Umkehrs at 17 different stations and 901 SAGE 2 profiles within 1000 km and 12 hours between October 1984 and April 1989 indicates the following layer percentage differences with 2-sigma error bars: layer three 14.6 plus/minus 3.3 percent, layer four 17.6 plus/minus 1.1 percent, layer five -1.3 plus/minus 0.5 percent, layer six -5.7 plus/minus 0.7 percent, layer seven -1.0 plus/minus 0.7 percent, layer eight 4.2 plus/minus 0.7 percent, and layer nine 6.8 plus/minus 1.2 percent. Comparing SAGE 2-Umkehr differences to SAGE 1 version 5.5-Umkehr differences shows SAGE 2 higher than or equal to SAGE 1 relative to Umkehr in all layers except layer three. Adjustment for this bias would produce trends derived from SAGE 2-SAGE 1 differences and Umkehr observations in the 1980s more nearly equal to each other in layers six, seven, and eight. A possible explanation of these differences is a systematic shift in the reference altitude between SAGE 1 and SAGE 2, but there is no independent evidence of this. While the shape of the vertical profile of differences at 17 individual Umkehr stations (mostly in mid-latitudes) is generally consistent at all stations except at Poker Flat, Seoul, and Lauder, significant variation does exists among the stations. The profile of mean difference is similar to previously observed differences between Umkehr and both SAGE 2 and SBUV and also to an eigenvector analysis, but with site-dependent amplitude discrepancies. Because of the close correspondence of stratospheric aerosol optical depth at the SAGE 2-measured 0.525 micron wavelength and the extrapolated 0.32 Umkehr wavelength determined in this study, we use the 0.525 micron data to determine the aerosol effect of Umkehr profiles. The aerosol errors to the Umkehr ozone amounts in percent ozone amount per 0.01 stratospheric aerosol optical depth range from plus 2 percent in layer six to minus 3 percent in layer nine. These results agree with previous theoretical and empirical studies within their respective error bounds in layers nine, eight, and five. The result in layer six differs significantly from previous works. In view of the fact that SAGE 2 and Umkehr produce different ozone retrievals in layers eight and nine and because the intra-layer correlation of SAGE 2 ozone and aerosol in layers eight and nine in non-zero, one must exercise some caution in attributing the entire SAGE 2-Umkehr differences in the upper layers to an aerosol effect.

Newchurch, M. J.↗

Aerosol effect on Umkehr ozone profiles using Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment II measurements

This study examines 1211 cases of coincident ozone profiles derived from 1164 Umkehrs and 928 Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment II (SAGE II) profiles within 1000 km and 12 hours between October 1984 and April 1989 to study the stratospheric-aerosol effect on Umkehr ozone profiles. Because of the close correspondence of stratospheric aerosol optical depth at the SAGE II-measured 0.525-micrometer wavelength and the extrapolated 0.32 Umkehr wavelength determined in this study we use the 0.525-micrometer data to determine the aerosol effect on Umkehr profiles. At the 95% confidence level, we find the following errors to the Umkehr ozone amounts: in Umkehr layer 9 (-2.9 +/- 2.1), layer 8 (-2.3 +/- 1.1), layer 7 (0.1 +/- 1.1), layer 6 (2.2 +/- 1.0), layer 5 (-1.5 +/- 0.8), and layer 4 (-2.4 +/- 1.7) in percent ozone amount per 0.01 stratospheric aerosol optical depth. These results agree with previous theoretical and empirical studies within their respective error bounds in layers 9, 8, and 7. The results in layers 6, 5, and 4 differ significantly from those in previous works. Using only those eight stations with more than 47 coincidences results in mean aerosol effects that are not significantly different from the 14-station results. Because SAGE II and Umkehr produce different ozone retrievals in layer 9 and because the intralayer correlation of SAGE II ozone and aerosol in layer 9 is nonzero, one must exercise some caution in attributing the entire SAGE II-Umkehr difference in this layer to an aerosol effect.

Newchurch, M. J.↗