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At least 793 records · Page 44

PSI (PowerSimulations.jl) [SWR-23-104]

PowerSimulations.jl is a Julia-based BSD- licensed power system operations simulation tool developed as a flexible and open source software for quasi-static power systems simulations including Production Cost Models. PowerSimulations.jl tackles the issues of developing a simulation model in a modular way providing tools for the formulation of decision models and emulation models that can be solved independently or in an interconnected fashion. For further information regarding the Sienna modeling framework at NREL, see: https://www.nrel.gov/analysis/sienna.html

Lara Aguilar, Jose Daniel↗

GRid Analysis and Visualization Interface (GRAVI) [SWR-24-16]

GRAVI (GRid Analysis and Visualization Interface) is a web application for viewing and analyzing nodal Production Cost Model (PCM) and Capacity Expansion Model (CEM) simulations. The web application provides the ability to animate geospatially coupled timeseries data in an agnostic way regardless of the underlying simulation tool used to generate the data. GRAVI also provides capabilities to animate non-geospatial data relevant to a PCM or CEM model. Furthermore, this web application can be tailored as an real-time operational tool to better understand a live grid.

Webb, Micah↗

Estimating the Rebound Effect of the U.S. Road Freight Transport

The United States (U.S.) road freight sector has continued to grow over recent decades. Growth in road freight could result in more fuel consumption and hence increased greenhouse gas emissions. Policymakers have attempted to manage the growth of energy usage through improved fuel economy based on technological advances. However, such improvements may not lead to anticipated goals because of the rebound effect, where improvements in energy efficiency trigger more travel and energy consumption that offsets energy savings. Thus, this study aims to determine the potential rebound effect from improved energy efficiency in the U.S. road freight sector. Eight fuel cost models are applied and asymmetric price response is incorporated in estimating the U.S. road freight sector’s rebound effect from 1980 to 2016. In addition, a recently developed data envelopment analysis is applied to determine the annual rebound effect in the road freight sector. The results suggest that, after accounting for the asymmetric price response, the average rebound effect of the U.S. road freight sector ranges from 6.9% to 8.8%, a level considerably less than that found for several industrialized countries and emerging economies. However, a considerable increase in the rebound effect has been seen in more recent years. Here, the findings suggest that overlooking the rebound effect in environmental policies could impede the goal of reducing total energy consumption and accompanying emissions. Policymakers should incorporate the rebound effect from efficiency enhancement in policy development and utilize some potential programs to reduce the adverse influence of rebound effect in related policies.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Global Value Chain and Manufacturing Analysis on Geothermal Power Plant Turbines

In this study, we have undertaken a robust analysis of the global supply chain and manufacturing costs for components of Organic Rankine Cycle (ORC) Turboexpander and steam turbines used in geothermal power plants. We collected a range of market data influencing manufacturing from various data sources and determined the main international manufacturers in the industry. The data includes the manufacturing cost model to identify requirements for equipment, facilities, raw materials, and labor. We analyzed three different cases; 1) 1 MW geothermal ORC Turboexpander 2) 5 MW ORC Turboexpander 3) 20 MW geothermal Steam Turbine

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Geoanalytical Evaluation of Saline Storage (GEESS) Geodatabase v2.0

The Geoanalytical Economic Evaluation of Saline Storage (GEESS) geodatabase was developed to support the United States Department of Energy (DOE) and National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) in their geologic carbon storage efforts by characterizing saline geologic formations present in the FECM/NETL CO2 Saline Storage Cost Model (CO2_S_COM) [1]. Using publicly available literature and data, the GEESS geodatabase characterizes 57 geologic formations across the lower-48 U.S. states in what are called Fully Integrated Geodatabases (FIGs). The FIG is a vector polygon feature containing thousands or tens of thousands of individual polygons, which each contain discrete geologic parameter values. A list of the critical geologic parameters that are characterized in the GEESS geodatabase are described in the “Processing Steps and Workflow” part of the ReadMe file, as well as the Data Catalog accompanying the GEESS geodatabase. The FIG is the basis of the GEESS geodatabase and is the direct representation of the collected geologic data. In addition to the FIG, the GEESS system contains grid files. Due to the complexity of the FIGs, grids are used to sample the geologic data so they can be exercised within CO2_S_COM. The grid files contain the geologic data sampled from the FIG, as well as estimates of “Plume Uncertainty Diameter” and “First-year Break-even Price of CO2” derived from CO2_S_COM based on the GEESS grid data.

carbon↗

Hydrogen Fuel Quality

For the past 6 years, open discussions and/or meetings have been held and are still on-going with OEM, Hydrogen Suppliers, other test facilities from the North America Team and International collaborators regarding experimental results, fuel clean-up cost, modeling, and analytical techniques to help determine levels of constituents for the development of an international standard for hydrogen fuel quality (ISO TC197 WG-12). Significant progress has been made. The process for the fuel standard is entering final stages as a result of the technical accomplishments. The objectives are to: (1) Determine the allowable levels of hydrogen fuel contaminants in support of the development of science-based international standards for hydrogen fuel quality (ISO TC197 WG-12); and (2) Validate the ASTM test method for determining low levels of non-hydrogen constituents.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Sensitivity Analysis of Real Green Building Systems, LLC Technologies

In 2013 a New Mexico Small Business Assistance Leveraged Project by Los Alamos National Laboratory assessed the business case for the Real Green Building Systems, LLC collection of energy savings and environmentally sustainable residential home technologies.1 That report provided single-point estimates for system equipment sizing and cost parameters that dictated the cost model results.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

High efficiency (> 20%) heterojunction solar cell on 30μm thin crystalline Si substrates using a novel exfoliation technology

To achieve grid parity, photovoltaic (PV) technologies must reduce the production cost of PV modules to well below $0.50/Wp (peak Watt of power produced). In crystalline Si PV modules, which account for over 80% of all the PV modules in production worldwide, the cost of raw Si wafers is over 40% of the module cost. Therefore, there is an industry wide effort to reduce crystalline Si wafer thickness and improve efficiency. However, conventional wafer sawing technologies suffer from significant kerf losses and also are limited due to constraints on handling of free standing wafers that are thinner than 150μm. This project aims to develop low cost high efficiency crystalline Si solar cells using ultra thin (~ 30μm) layers of monocrystalline Silicon fabricated using a metal backed exfoliation technology. These exfoliated Si foils are backed by metal and rugged and flexible, which help in overcoming the yield losses and handling issues that are a problem for traditional thin Si wafers. The metal backing of the exfoliated foils poses new challenges in processing of such thin wafers and limits the temperature of processing to below 300C. The project develops further understanding of thin crystalline Si based cell architectures and potential processing issues involved in making high efficiency cells with metal backed monocrystalline Si foils. A 13.5% efficiency cell was demonstrated during this project and the individual components of surface passivation (Voc) and fill factor needed to obtain higher efficiency (16%) have also been shown. It is believed that with some changes to the cell manufacturing process and access to industrial quality passivation films, should enable high efficiency cells with this technology. The cost model indicates that with high efficiency cells in volume production, this technology can meet the Sunshot goals of < $0.50/Wp for PV module production. This project was run as a collaboration between AstroWatt, University of Texas, Austin, National Renewable Energy Laboratories, University of Florida, Gainesville and Georgia Institute of Technology with additional contributions from Institute for Energy Conversion, Delaware. The project has resulted in several conference publications and presentations during 2012.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Integrated Solar Thermochemical Reaction System (Final Report)

This report describes progress accomplished in a three-phase project that has advanced the concept for a Solar Thermochemical Advanced Reactor System (STARS) – a system that is designed to convert solar energy into storable/useful chemical energy – from Technology Readiness Level 3 to Technology Readiness Level 6. STARS accomplishes its objective by directing the heat from a dish concentrator onto a chemical reaction system, increasing the energy content of the feedstock, methane, a chemical fuel that is available from multiple sources including natural gas, landfills and anaerobic digesters. The system uses a parabolic dish solar concentrator, previously developed for electrical power generation, and a compact, process-intensive chemical reaction system based on micro- and meso-channel process technology (MMPT). The combined Dish-STARSTM system provides a solar augment to the incoming methane stream, increasing its chemical energy content by 20-30% while decreasing its carbon intensity. When the immediate chemical product, known as syngas, is directly used for power generation the result is electricity with approximately 20% less CO 2 emissions. Alternately, if the syngas is further reacted to produce valuable chemical products, such as hydrogen, the reduction in carbon emissions is retained and reduced carbon intensities can be attained for the chemical products. In a co-production mode, lowcarbon hydrogen or electricity plus various hydrocarbons (for example, methanol, olefins or plastics) can be produced. Over the course of this project, the efficiency of Dish-STARSTM was improved from a previous value of 63% to slightly over 70%, with results and analyses indicating a potential for values greater than 80%; manufacturing investigations identified fabrication methods for the MMPT components, proofed-out additive manufacturing for microchannel heat exchangers, developed equipment cost models and, together with on-sun testing, supported technoeconomic evaluations. If developed into commercial products, project results indicate the potential for the efficient use of concentrated solar energy in nearterm applications for electrical power generation and the production of chemicals, including hydrogen.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Exploring the Grid Value Potential of Offshore Wind Energy in Oregon

The grid value of Oregon's offshore wind resource is considered through the lenses of (i) resource complementarity with the hydroelectric system and other Variable Renewable Energy resources, (ii) load complementarity with the four balancing authorities with territory in Oregon, and (iii) spatial value to regional and coastal grids as represented through a Production Cost Model of the WECC system. Capacity implications of the interactions between offshore wind and the historical east-to-west power flows of the region are reviewed. The existing system is shown to accommodate 2GW of offshore wind interconnections without curtailment.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Evaluation of Component Reliability in Photovoltaic Systems using Field Failure Statistics

Ongoing operations and maintenance (O&M) are needed to ensure photovoltaic (PV) systems continue to operate and meet production targets over the lifecycle of the system. Although average costs to operate and maintain PV systems have been decreasing over time, reported costs can vary significantly at the plant level. Estimating O&M costs accurately is important for informing financial planning and tracking activities, and subsequently lowering the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) of PV systems. This report describes a methodology for improving O&M planning estimates by using empirically-derived failure statistics to capture component reliability in the field. The report also summarizes failure patterns observed for specific PV components and local environmental conditions observed in Sandia's PV Reliability, Operations & Maintenance (PVROM) database, a collection of field records across 800+ systems in the U.S. Where system-specific or fleet-specific data are lacking, PVROM-derived failure distribution values can be used to inform cost modeling and other reliability analyses to evaluate opportunities for performance improvements.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Evaluating Spatial Accelerator Architectures with Tiled Matrix-Matrix Multiplication

There is a growing interest in custom spatial accelerators for machine learning applications. These accelerators employ a spatial array of processing elements (PEs) interacting via custom buffer hierarchies and networks-on-chip. The efficiency of these accelerators comes from employing optimized dataflow (i.e., spatial/temporal partitioning of data across the PEs and fine-grained scheduling) strategies to optimize data reuse. The focus of this work is to evaluate these accelerator architectures using a tiled general matrix-matrix multiplication (GEMM) kernel. To do so, we develop a framework that finds optimized mappings (dataflow and tile sizes) for a tiled GEMM for a given spatial accelerator and workload combination, leveraging an analytical cost model for runtime and energy. Our evaluations over five spatial accelerators demonstrate that the tiled GEMM mappings systematically generated by our framework achieve high performance on various GEMM workloads and accelerators.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Evaluating the Grid Impact of Oregon Offshore Wind

This analysis used high resolution offshore wind data and a detailed production cost model of the Western Interconnection to explore the value and operational impact of integrating offshore wind along Oregon's coastline. Leveraging local technical stakeholder expertise and input, we determined a set of scenarios to explore. These scenarios varied offshore wind penetrations and explored the differences of integrating offshore wind in the current grid and a potential future grid. This allowed us to determine how changes to the rest of the system and increasing penetrations of offshore wind affected our findings. We identified a number of key findings from the analysis, including that 2.6 GW of nameplate capacity offshore wind could be integrated into the Oregon power system with minimal curtailment due to transmission congestion or other factors. The range of system value provided by offshore wind ranges between $\$$65/MWh and $\$$85/MWh across the various scenarios considered. We also examined the influence offshore wind had on the trans-Cascade power flow, where we determined a strong correlation between offshore wind generation and reduction in flow across the Cascades. Finally, we also determined that offshore wind could serve between 84 - 93% of Coastal Oregon loads depending on the scenario.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Deploying Intra-hour Uncertainty Analysis Tools to ABB’s GridView - CRADA 445

The quickly-changing generation resource mix in the US grid, with large additions of variable resources, retirements of traditional thermal generation, distributed generation and demand response, are creating new challenges on the traditional operation of both the generation and transmission systems. The ability to perform intra-hour high fidelity production cost modeling (PCM) is needed to allow grid operators and grid planners to integrate high penetration (more than 50%) of variable energy resources, and to make prompt well informed decisions in market operations and planning. In the last decade, PNNL has developed several stand-alone tools to enable grid operators and planners to understand the impact of high variable generation on their systems. These tools have been used is studies such as: (1) Evaluation the benefits of WECC balancing authorities coordination under high variable generation penetration , (2) Benefits of Energy Imbalance Market in the North West Power Pool and (3) Duke Energy and NV Energy solar integration studies. ABB’s GridView is a widely used commercial PCM tool. It is the tool used by WECC and their stakeholders to develop the WECC PCM planning model on bi-annual basis. This proposal is focused on the integrating of PNNL intra-hour uncertainty analysis tools to GridView.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Design and demonstration of an economical SRF structure for Continuous Wave (CW), high-energy, Megawatt-class beams

Due to its very high RF-to-beam efficiency, superconducting radiofrequency (SRF) cavities have become the technology of choice for the construction of large linear accelerators (linacs) for basic science applications (examples, ESS and PIP-II). The technology is also attractive for high volume industrial applications such as electron irradiation processing of wastewater and flue gas. However, SRF’s current reliance on liquid helium for cryogenic cooling introduces infrastructural and safety challenges for use in industrial settings. Cryocooler conduction-cooling is a recently developed novel technique for operating SRF cavities without requiring liquid helium. This project aims for technical design and economic assessment of a medium energy, high average power e-beam linac based on the conduction-cooled SRF technique for high volume irradiation treatment of wastewater. The goals of this project are (1) to design a medium energy (10 MeV), high average power (1 MW) electron beam accelerator around the cryocooler conduction-cooled SRF cavity technology, (2) demonstrate the required accelerating voltage on a prototype cavity, and (3) build a cost-model to evaluate capital and operating expense of the accelerator.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

A Novel Process for Converting Coal to High-Value Polyurethane Products

Battelle has demonstrated a patented process for making high-value, polyurethane (PU) foam from coal, based on preparing liquefied coal via direct liquefaction, converting it to polyols as an intermediate via ozonation, and then making PU foams from these polyols. This process represents a breakthrough in innovative utilization of U.S. coals, and is applicable to bituminous as well as sub-bituminous coals. The resulting PU foam products are projected to have an extremely high value (i.e., over $\$5,000$ /ton), with nearly 100% of carbon utilization from coalderived liquid feedstock, and 31.5% to 43.5% of the carbon in the PU foam polyol product being bio-based. The targeted products represent an extremely large (i.e., over $80 billion/year), existing PU foam market, which could expand into making coatings and adhesives. The process can further help reduce petroleum imports, while improving the economics of PU foam production. This work was completed with funding from the National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL), with cost share from the State of Ohio’s Ohio Development Services Agency (ODSA) and others, and has advanced the process to 10 kg/day continuous scale and thus to Technology Readiness Level (TRL) 5. A total of 48 coal-based polyols were prepared and evaluated. The initial 28 polyols focused on range finding for ideal conditions. The later 20 polyols were produced as part of process optimizations. These optimizations were targeted around a continuous ozonolysis process to evaluate extended time reactions and to create the necessary intermediate for production of 1-gallon samples of polyol. The most unique attribute of Battelle’s polyol is in the utilization of coal’s aromaticity to gain final foam rigidity. Typically, polyols depend on the isocyanate fraction and cross-linking to gain rigidity. By utilizing coal, we were able to maintain rigidity while reducing the overall hydroxyl value of the polyol. This is important as lower hydroxyl value leads to greater percent weight of the coal-based polyol because less isocyanate is required for foaming. This leads to greater foam cost savings. This report provides the details, process, and process cost models of the conversion of coal to polyols and further to PU foams. Battelle’s process begins with coal liquids. These liquids can be obtained by two processes: coal coking or pyrolysis to produce coal tar, and Battelle’s biobased coal-to-liquids (CTL) process to produce heavy syncrude after liquifying >85% coal. After liquification, Battelle utilizes ozonolysis to create functionalization on the polyaromatic coal structure. The functionalization is then converted to the final polyester polyol through transesterification, or to hydroxyamide polyol through amidification. Equivalent or better standard properties have been obtained for 2 lb/ft 3 density rigid, water and freon-alternative blown foams, including compressive strength, density, R-value, and dimensional stability. Target applications for these foams are insulation, packaging, and energy-absorbing foams. Some exploratory testing also showed promise for adhesives applications. A detailed economic analysis showed that Battelle’s polyol process is economical, at a 140 metric tons per day (MTD) polyol production scale. An attractive return on investment (ROI) at competitive pricing validates the process is ready for a pilot-plant demonstration. A scale-up plan is provided.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗