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DOE OSTI2020

Small molecule crystals with 1D water wires modulate electronic properties of surface water networks

This work evaluates the effect of water vapor pressure on the surface conductivity of a hydrated small molecule crystal under dry and wet conditions. The crystal contains a discrete metal complex with waters of hydration in structural positions and in 1D water wires. Under dry conditions, the surface of the hydrated crystal behaves as a near ideal capacitor. Under wet conditions, the waters of hydration serve as a template to assemble surface water networks by organization of water from the environment. The surface water provides pathways for charge transfer attributed to proton mobility that increases conductivity by > 3 orders in magnitude. Modulation between wet and dry conditions tunes the conductivity of the crystal surface via a two-step process, which has been evaluated kinetically as a function of the water vapor pressure.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2021

An assessment of the harvesting and fuel performance of a single-pass cut-and-chip harvester in commercial-scale short-rotation poplar crops as influenced by crop and weather conditions

There is a need for data on commercial-scale harvesting operations in hybrid poplar short rotation crops to better understand costs and logistics, especially for modeling large scale biorefineries. An investigation was conducted on the in-field performance of a single-pass cut-and-chip harvester operating in commercial fields for over 370 individual wagon loads representing a range of crop and field conditions. Mean material capacity peaked at 70 Mg h -1 in dry conditions in lower biomass (<60 Mg ha -1 ), but was only 28 Mg h -1 during wet conditions and often higher standing biomass. Wet ground conditions require the harvester to divert additional power to maintaining forward movement, which results in decreased material capacity and increased fuel consumption. Crops with higher standing biomass had taller trees that do not always feed as smoothly into the harvester, slowing forward progress and lowering material capacity. Mean crop specific fuel consumption, L of fuel per Mg of biomass processed, generally decreased as standing biomass increased. When standing biomass was above 40 Mg ha -1 mean crop specific fuel consumption (FCC) was 1.69 L Mg -1 in dry conditions and 3.98 L Mg -1 in wet conditions, but when standing biomass was below 40 Mg ha-1 FCC increased drastically (as high as 5 L Mg -1 ) because the harvester is putting more effort into forward speed instead of material processing. Developing relationships between material capacity and fuel consumption based on standing biomass and ground conditions at representative scales are essential for conducting environmental and economic analyses of these systems.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2021

Insight on electrolyte infiltration of lithium ion battery electrodes by means of a new three-dimensional-resolved lattice Boltzmann model

Electrolyte filling takes place between sealing and formation in Lithium Ion Battery (LIB) manufacturing process. This step is crucial as it is directly linked to LIB quality and affects the subsequent time consuming electrolyte wetting process. Although having fast, homogeneous and complete wetting is of paramount importance, this process has not been sufficiently examined and fully understood. For instance, experimentally available data is insufficient to fully capture the complex interplay upon filling between electrolyte and air inside the porous electrode. We report here for the first time a 3D-resolved Lattice Boltzmann Method (LBM) model able to simulate electrolyte filling upon applied pressure of LIB porous electrodes obtained both from experiments (micro X-ray tomography) and computations (stochastic generation, simulation of the manufacturing process using Coarse Grained Molecular Dynamics and Discrete Element Method). The model allows obtaining advanced insights about the impact of the electrode mesostructures on the speed of electrolyte impregnation and wetting, highlighting the importance of porosity, pore size distribution and pores interconnectivity on the filling dynamics. Furthermore, we identify scenarios where volumes with trapped air (dead zones) appear and evaluate the impact of those on the electrochemical behavior of the electrodes.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2022

Intra-annual variation in microclimatic conditions in relation to vegetation type and structure in two tropical dry forests undergoing secondary succession

Microclimate acts as a strong filter on species performance in restored and regenerating forests, particularly in seasonally dry tropical forests (SDTF). Yet few studies have measured microclimate patterns across succession in SDTF. Furthermore, although dynamic vegetation models simulate microclimate, evaluation of these simulated variables with field observations has been relatively uncommon. Here, we investigated the seasonal patterns of soil temperature and soil water in naturally regenerated and planted successional vegetation in SDTF in Costa Rica and Puerto Rico, using complementary approaches of intensive field observations and simulation modeling with the Ecosystem Demography model. We found that plots representing later successional stages were wetter on average, but only during the dry season. During the wet season, mean soil water did not differ across vegetation types, but open, early successional vegetation experienced more frequent extreme wet and dry conditions than older forest and plantations. Soil temperature tended to decline with forest structure, and later successional vegetation also experienced less extreme daily temperature fluctuations. Basal area and leaf area index were the best predictors of differences in soil water and temperature across plots. Model simulations were consistent with observations of wet season soil temperature and soil water, but the model failed to reproduce dry season soil moisture dynamics, suggesting that further work is needed to reduce model biases in microclimate variables. Collectively, our results imply that common assumptions about how microclimates influence successional processes in SDTF should be revisited.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Wettability variation and its impact on CO 2 storage capacity at the Wyoming CarbonSAFE storage hub: An experimental approach

Meeting global and national net zero carbon emission targets will require geologic carbon disposal. The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) has accordingly funded significant research in this area, including the Wyoming CarbonSAFE project at Dry Fork Station (DFS) in Campbell County, Wyoming. This work studied wettability on micro- and macro-scales, CO 2 storage potential, and the correlation between the two to support the Wyoming CarbonSAFE project’s subsurface assessment. During the study, a target formation’s wettability was found to affect how much CO 2 can be stored in a given formation. Here, in this study, representative rock samples were selected from the target storage formations— Lakota, Hulett, and Minnelusa—based on the heterogeneity of the lithology, permeability, and porosity of the respective formations. The rock samples are all fine-grained sandstone with variable cementation and bedding structure, including different scales of laminated bedding. The porosity and permeability vary within the range of 9.0–14.3% and 0.1–28.9 mD, respectively. These rock samples were prepared for the micro-scale wettability (contact angle measurement), macro-scale wettability (wettability index derived from unsteady-state flow characterization for the core plugs), and CO 2 storage evaluation. The macro-scale experiments suggested that wettability appeared to dominate the CO 2 storage potential performance during the drainage process, where less water-wet behavior promoted higher CO 2 storage potential. The micro-scale wettability tests showed that the rock samples at the studied reservoir conditions behaved water-wet and became more water-wet as pressure increased. This kind of wettability change discourages further CO 2 storage potential yet benefits the CO 2 residual trapping as the CO 2 injection proceeds for the studied area. The results allow the recommendation of the best reservoir candidate for storage based on wettability that affects CO 2 storage. The work presented in this study provides valuable insights into wettability’s effect on the CO 2 storage capacity and wettability’s importance when identifying the optimal CO 2 storage formation to meet the project’s goals.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

A late glacial paleoenvironmental and climate record from the Sierra de Juarez, Baja California

Ciénegas are desert wetlands that are strongly correlated with the stability of the hydrologic cycle in arid landscapes. However, these environments are particularly vulnerable to climate change, drought, water diversion, and fire suppression which all have contributed to the degradation of ciénegas along the U.S.-Mexican borderlands. Therefore, identifying the timing of precipitation patterns in this region is of particular interest because of its relationship to many ecological responses of the landscape such as groundwater recharge and fire. Here, we present the first-ever fire paleoenvironmental record from Ciénega Chimeneas, a ciénega complex in the Sierra de Juárez of Baja California. We explore how changes in the amount and seasonality of moisture affected ciénega complexes and fire activity from across the southwestern North American region over the past 45,000 years. Further, our record suggests that during the late glacial period, 41,000–21,000 cal yr BP, the increase of Larrea and Quercus indicate an increase in summer precipitation. Subsequently, when summer precipitation increased, pollen preservation and pollen accumulation rates (PAR) also increased. Increased vegetation allowed for increased fire activity during the late glacial period. Regionally, most of the comparison sites also indicated wet conditions during the full glacial period. However, around 21,000 cal yr BP, effective moisture decreased resulting in a dramatic change in the vegetation assemblage. Specifically, the summer wet taxa disappeared, while pollen preservation and PAR decreased, suggesting a dry period until ~14,000 cal yr BP. Little fire activity is recorded after 21,000 cal yr BP, likely due to the absence of fuels. At ~14,000 cal yr BP, Larrea and Quercus reappear suggesting increased summer precipitation. However, the appearance of Cyperaceae and increases in grasses suggest increased winter precipitation. We suggest that the combination of summer wet and winterwet taxa ~14,000 cal yr BP represents an increase in ENSO conditions, while the summer moisture controls remained relatively constant.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2020

Emerging Potassium Metal Anodes: Perspectives on Control of the Electrochemical Interfaces

Potassium metal acts as the anode in emerging potassium metal batteries (KMBs). It further serves as the counter-electrode for potassium ion battery (KIB) half-cells, with its reliable performance being critical for assessing the working electrode material. This first-of-its-kind critical review focuses on the dual challenge of controlling the potassium metal-substrate and the potassium metal-electrolyte interface so as to prevent dendrites. The discussion begins with a comparison of the physical and chemical properties of K metal anodes versus the much oft studied Li and Na metal anodes. Based on established descriptions for root causes of dendrites, the problem should be less severe for K than for Li or Na, while in fact the opposite is observed. The key reason that the K metal surface rapidly becomes dendritic in common electrolytes is its unstable solid electrolyte interphase (SEI). An unstable SEI layer is defined as being non self-passivating. No SEI is perfectly stable during cycling, and all SEI structures are heterogenous both vertically and horizontally relative to the electrolyte interface. The difference between a "stable" and an "unstable" SEI may be viewed as the relative degree to which during cycling it thickens and becomes further heterogeneous. The unstable SEI on K metal leads to a number of interrelated problems, such as low cycling Coulombic efficiency (CE), a severe impedance rise, large overpotentials, and possibly electrical shorting; all of which have been reported to occur as early as in the first ten plating/stripping cycles. Many of the traditional "interface fixes" employed for Li and Na metal anodes, such as various artificial SEIs, surface membranes, barrier layers, the secondary separators, etc. have not been attempted or optimized for the case of K. This is an important area for further exploration, with an understanding that success may come harder than with Li due to K-based SEI reactivity with both ether and ester solvents. The second critical problem with K metal anodes is that they do not thermally or electrochemically wet a standard (untreated) Cu foil current collector. Published experimental and modeling research directly highlights the weak bonding between the K atoms and a Cu surface. Existing surface treatment approaches that achieve improved K wetting are discussed, along with the general design rules for future studies. Also discussed are geometry-based methods to tune nucleation, as well dual approaches where nucleation and SEI structure are tuned through complementary schemes to achieve extended half-cell and full battery stability. We hypothesize that K metal never achieves a planar wetting morphology even at cycle one making the dendrites "baked-in". We propose that classical thin films growth models, Frank van der Merwe (F-M), Volmer Weber (V-W), and Stranski-Krastanov (S-K) can be employed to describe early stage plating behavior. It is demonstrated that island-like V-W growth is the applicable description for the natural plating behavior of K on pristine Cu. Moving forward, there are three inter-related thrusts to be pursued: First, K salt - based electrolyte formulations have to mature and become further tailored to handle the increased reactivity of a metal rather than an ion anode. Second, the K-based SEI structure needs to be further understood and ultimately tuned to be less reactive. Third, the energetics of the K metal - current collector interface must be controlled to promote planar wetting/dewetting throughout cycling.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2021

Influence of Pelletization and Moisture Content of Oil Palm Empty Fruit Bunches (EFBs) on Dynamic Gasification Performance

Wet-ground empty fruit bunches (EFBs), dry-ground EFB, and pelletized EFB were gasified in a laboratory-scale updraft fixed-bed reactor at differing temperatures and equivalent ratios (ERs) between 0.19 and 0.78 to evaluate the performance and quality of the syngas under autothermal operating conditions. In addition, the theoretical estimation of the key performance indicator of the ashes on the performance of the gasification process was obtained. The results show that for ERs > 0.4 the autothermal operating condition was achieved for pretreatments with pelletized and dry-ground EFBs, with reactor operating temperatures T > 700 °C. With wet EFB, this condition is achieved at any ER value. The average composition of the syngas from pelletized EFB presented the best average concentrations of the combustible species CO, H2, and CH4 when the ER values were between 0.25 and 0.40. The highest hot and cold thermal efficiency values were obtained for the gasification of EFB pellets with ER values between 0.25 and 0.40. For ground EFB, increases in the ER value led to improvements in hot thermal efficiency. Finally, during the EFB pellet gasification tests, no agglomeration and sintering problems were evidenced in comparison with wet-ground and dry-ground EFBs that showed slag formation, especially at ER < 0.46.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2023

Ab Initio Molecular Dynamics Study of Pd Nucleation on a γ-Al 2 O 3 Surface

We perform ab initio molecular dynamics (AIMD) free energy simulations to investigate the stability and dynamics of dispersed Pd atoms and subnanometer clusters on γ-Al 2 O 3 . We consider nucleation for varying Pd loadings on dry γ-Al 2 O 3 (100), dry γ-Al 2 O 3 (110) and wet γ-Al 2 O 3 (110) and examine temperature, entropy and water coverage effects on the stability and dynamics of Pd clusters. At low Pd loading (1.07 Pd atoms/nm 2 on the (100) and 0.75 Pd/nm 2 on the (110)), association of the Pd atoms is thermodynamically unfavorable on the dry surfaces and almost thermoneutral on the wet (110) owing to water blocking of the AlIII defect sites. In agreement with past studies, the Pd atoms are quite mobile but the diffusion free energy barriers do not increase with the water coverage, as previously suggested, but rather remain similar in magnitude owing to translational entropy at finite temperatures. At these Pd loadings, oxidized Pd(II) atoms on the wet (110) surface are dispersed and immobile. At higher Pd loading (1.12 and 1.5 Pd atoms/nm 2 ) on the (110) surface, Pd 3 and Pd 4 clusters are thermodynamically very stable and form fast. At the 1.12 Pd atoms/nm 2 loading, the formation of the Pd 3 cluster is two orders of magnitude slower when the surface is hydroxylated as the system becomes somewhat trapped before the dinuclear cluster Pd 2 collides with a Pd atom.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2023

Importance of the Heat Treatment Scheme on Self-Reducing Reactive Silver Inks

Self-reducing reactive silver inks can print high-quality silver at reasonable temperatures. While numerous studies have explored the impact of processing temperature on electrical properties, the role of the heat treatment scheme has not yet been studied. Common heat treatment schemes include printing and drying inks at room temperature before heat treatment, performing heat treatments while the inks are still wet, and directly printing the inks onto heated substrates. Each scheme generates distinct heat transfer and mass transport kinetics that can affect the silver morphology and electrical properties. However, to date, the impact of different schemes has not been systematically investigated. To address this knowledge gap, this work investigates how different heat treatment schemes impact metal formation, sintering, and the resultant electrical properties of printed self-reducing reactive silver inks. Heat treatment on room-temperature dried inks and wet inks, with top-down (oven) and bottom-up (hot plate) heating sources, were compared. Inks dried at room temperature resulted in extremely porous films that required high heat treatment temperatures (>100 °C) for silver densification. However, these dried films could only densify locally, and their high initial porosities resulted in voids and high resistances (~0.6 Ω mm –1 ) even after heat treatments above 300 °C. Inks that were wet during heat treatment showed moderate improvements in electrical properties with resistances on the order of 0.4 Ω mm –1 at heat treatments of 250 °C. Printing reactive inks directly onto heated substrates yielded the best low-temperature results, with 0.46 Ω mm –1 (5.5 × bulk silver) line resistances achieved at only 90 °C. Overall, this work’s experimental results provide detailed insights into why printing onto a heated substrate results in superior electrical performance compared to more common heat treatment schemes. Additionally, controlling where the precipitation reaction occurs is critical to controlling the film morphology and properties. As a result, this work shows that even an ammonia-based silver reactive ink can achieve good, low-temperature electrical properties with the proper heat treatment scheme.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2022

Roll-to-Roll, Dual-Layer Slot Die Coating of Chitin and Cellulose Oxygen Barrier Films for Renewable Packaging

Cellulose and chitin are the two most abundant naturally produced biopolymers and are being extensively studied as candidates for renewable oxygen barrier films used in packaging. It has been shown that bilayers formed from cellulose nanocrystals (CNCs) and chitin nanofibers (ChNFs) exhibit oxygen barrier properties similar to polyethylene terephthalate (PET). However, this prior work explored only coating each layer individually in sequence through techniques such as spray coating. Here, we demonstrate the viability of dual-layer slot die coating of CNC/ChNF bilayers onto cellulose acetate (CA) substrates. The dual-layer slot die method enables significantly lower oxygen permeability versus spray coating while using a roll-to-roll system that applies the bilayer in a single pass. This work discusses suspension properties, wetting, and drying conditions required to achieve well-controlled ChNF/CNC bilayers. Spray-coated bilayer films were on average 25% thinner than the dual-layer bilayer film; however, the thickness-normalized oxygen permeability (OP) of the dual-layer-coated ChNF/CNC bilayer film on CA was 20 times better than that of the spray-coated bilayers. Additionally, it has been shown that ChNF contributes to the wetting and barrier properties. Values of OP for the slot die-coated bilayers under optimized drying conditions were as low as 1.2 cm 3 ∙μm∙m -2 ∙d -1 ∙kPa -1 , corresponding to a normalized oxygen transmission rate of 0.32 cm 3 ∙m -2 ∙d -1 at 23 °C and 50% relative humidity. It is also noted that the adhesive properties of the dual-layer coating are also improved when films are air-dried and that ChNF contributes to the wetting and barrier properties.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Single-Step Conversion of Ethanol to n-Butene over Ag-ZrO2/SiO2 Catalysts

Ethanol is a promising platform molecule for production of a variety of fuels and chemicals. Of particular interest is producing middle distillate fuels (i.e., jet and diesel blendstock) from renewable ethanol feedstock. State-of-the-art alcohol-to-jet technology requires multiple process steps based on catalytic dehydration of ethanol to form ethylene, followed by sometimes a multi-step oligomerization, and then hydrotreatment and distillation. Here we report on a new catalytic route in which ethanol is directly converted to n-butene (1- and 2-butene mixtures) over Ag-ZrO2/SBA-16, thus offering the potential for a reduction in the number of required processing steps versus conventional alcohol-to-jet technology. This catalyst system provides the balanced metal and Lewis acid sites required to selectively facilitate a cascading sequence of reactions that includes dehydrogenation, aldol condensation, Meerwein–Ponndorf–Verley reduction, dehydration, and hydrogenation. High conversion and selectivity toward either n-butene or 1,3-butadiene is achieved by tuning the hydrogen feed partial pressure and other process/catalyst parameters. With sufficient hydrogen partial pressure 1,3-butadiene is completely and selectively hydrogenated to form n-butene. The reaction mechanism was elucidated through operando-nuclear magnetic resonance investigations coupled with reactivity measurements. Combined experimental-computational investigation reveals how changes in silver and zirconium composition and the silver oxidation state affects reactivity under controlled hydrogen partial pressures and after prolonged run times. Finally, catalyst effectiveness also was demonstrated when using wet ethanol feed, thus highlighting process flexibility in terms of feedstock purity requirements. This work was financially supported by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, Bioenergy Technologies Office, and was performed at the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) under Contract No. DE-AC05-76RL01830 and the National Renewable Energy Laboratory under Contract No. DE-AC36- 08GO28308. Part of the work conducted by S. A. Akhade was performed under the auspices of the U.S. DOE at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory under Contract No. DE-AC52-07NA27344. This work was partly supported through the PNNL-WSU Distinguished Graduate Research Program for ADW. NMR and XPS experiments were performed using EMSL (grid.436923.9), a DOE Office of Science User Facility sponsored by the Office of Biological and Environmental Research

Dagle, Vanessa↗

DOE OSTI2025

Impacts of Precipitation Events on Concentrations of Oxygenated Gas- and Particle-Phase Compounds Observed in the Amazon

Removal of gases and particles by precipitation (wet deposition) is a critical process that significantly influences the transport and chemical transformation of atmospheric compounds. However, there are few studies that directly measure or constrain the rates of this process under real-world conditions. This work quantifies the net change in ambient concentrations during precipitation events (removal rates) of gas- and particle-phase organic compounds at a surface site near Manaus, Brazil, during the GoAmazon2014/5 campaign. Removal rates of identified and unknown compounds that have been previously classified into source-based clusters are measured during rain events and categorized based on estimated properties of compounds and clusters. Highly oxygenated gases, such as isoprene oxidation products, are removed during precipitation events with a median removal rate of 0.09 h –1 and the fastest analyte is removed at a rate of 0.22 h –1 . Removal rates of particle-phase compounds are observed at roughly this median rate, while less soluble gases, such as terpenes, exhibit low removal rates. These results are roughly in agreement with prior theoretical estimates of wet deposition rates for comparable compounds, providing an empirical point of comparison while noting that our metric reflects the net influence of precipitation events rather than wet deposition alone.

atmospheric chemistry↗

DOE OSTI2020

Gating of Hydrophobic Nanopores with Large Anions

In this report, understanding ion transport in nanoporous materials is critical to a wide variety of energy and environmental technologies, ranging from ion-selective membranes, drug delivery, and biosensing, to ion batteries and supercapacitors. While nanoscale transport is often described by continuum models that rely on a point charge description for ions and a homogeneous dielectric medium for the solvent, here, we show that transport of aqueous solutions at a hydrophobic interface can be highly dependent on the size and hydration strength of the solvated ions. Specifically, measurements of ion current through single silicon nitride nanopores that contain a hydrophobic-hydrophilic junction show that transport properties are dependent not only on applied voltage but also the type of anion. We find that in Cl - -contained solutions the nanopores only conducted ionic current above a negative voltage threshold. On the other hand, introduction of large polarizable anions, such as Br - and I - , facilitated the pore wetting, making the pore conductive at all examined voltages. Molecular dynamics simulations revealed that the large anions, Br - and I - , have a weaker solvation shell compared to that of Cl - , and consequently were prone to migrate from the aqueous solution to the hydrophobic surface, leading to the anion accumulation responsible for pore wetting. The results are essential for designing nanoporous systems that are selective to ions of the same charge, for realization of ion-induced wetting in hydrophobic pores, as well as for fundamental understanding on the role of ion hydration shell on the properties of solid/liquid interfaces.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2020

Moisture‐ Versus Wind‐Dominated Flavors of Atmospheric Rivers

Abstract Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are essential features of the global water cycle. Although AR definitions are commonly based on integrated vapor transport (IVT), ARs of a given IVT can induce a wide range of surface precipitation and wind impacts. We develop an AR “flavor” metric that partitions AR IVT into moisture‐dominant and wind‐dominant components. We use this metric to create a climatological catalog of “wet” and “windy” ARs along the U.S. West Coast from 1980 to 2016. Windy ARs are generally associated with stronger surface winds than are wet ARs, with the largest differences at low IVT. Windy ARs are also associated with greater daily precipitation totals than are wet ARs, with the difference widening at higher IVT, notably over mountainous regions. Pacific Northwest ARs have become increasingly moisture dominated over 1980–2016, which has important implications for western U.S. water availability and flood risk.

Gonzales, Katerina R.↗

DOE OSTI2021

Winter precipitation changes in California under global warming: Contributions of CO2, uniform SST warming, and SST change patterns

Climate models project a wetting winter over California, distinct from the drying in all other Mediterranean climate regions under warming. Dynamic effect via an eastward extension of the westerly jet stream over the North Pacific is the root cause for the wetting California. Utilizing four sets of prescribed-SST (sea surface temperature) simulations, the relative effects of direct CO2 radiative forcing, uniform SST warming, and SST change pattern are investigated. The wetting winter is dominated by uniform SST warming mainly through its effect on the jet extension. As a fundamental response to the enhanced upper-tropospheric warming in the tropics, the jet extension in coupled simulations is well reproduced under uniform SST warming and robust among models. An El Niño-like SST warming pattern has a secondary contribution to the jet extension via atmospheric teleconnection, but with large inter-model spread. Relative to the SST forcing, the direct CO2 radiative effect is negligible.

Dong, Lu↗

DOE OSTI2021

Meteorological environments associated with California wildfires and their potential roles in wildfire changes during 1984-2017

California has been seeing more wildfires in recent years, resulting in huge economic losses and threatening human health. Clarifying the meteorological environments of wildfires is foundational to improving the understanding and prediction of wildfires and their impacts. Here, 1535 California wildfires during 1984-2017 are systematically investigated. Based on two key meteorological factors - temperature and moisture anomalies - all wildfires are classified into four groups: hot-dry, hot-wet, cold-dry, cold-wet. Most (~60%) wildfires occurred on hot-dry days. Compositing the large-scale environments of the four groups shows that persistent high pressure and strong northeasterly wind descending from inland favor hot-dry conditions for wildfires. This analysis also reveals an important role of anomalies in southerly onshore flow that supports stronger convection, accompanied by more lightning flashes that provide a triggering mechanism for wildfires under hot-wet conditions. Self-organizing map analysis lends confidence in the large-scale meteorological pattern for dominating hot-dry wildfires in California. Besides wildfire occurrence, wildfire size is also influenced by meteorological anomalies through their magnitudes. Among them, moisture anomaly explains the largest fraction (~69%) of variability in wildfire sizes. Large-scale meteorological anomalies are found to play an important role in the devastating 2018 wildfire season in California. During 1984-2017, wildfire burned area has significantly increased by ~3.6% per year, indicating a doubling of burned area in 2017 relative to 1984, with the trend dominated by hot-dry wildfires in summer. Drying and warming in conjunction with strengthening of the high pressure in summer support more frequent and larger wildfires in California.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Experimental Soil Warming and Permafrost Thaw Increase CH 4 Emissions in an Upland Tundra Ecosystem

Rapid Arctic warming is causing permafrost to thaw and exposing large quantities of soil organic carbon (C) to potential decomposition. In dry upland tundra systems, subsidence from thawing permafrost can increase surface soil moisture resulting in higher methane (CH 4 ) emissions from newly waterlogged soils. The proportion of C released as carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) and CH 4 remains uncertain as previously dry landscapes transition to a thawed state, resulting in both wetter and drier microsites. To address how thaw and moisture interact to affect total C emissions, here we measured CH 4 and CO 2 emissions from paired chambers across thaw and moisture gradients created by nine years of experimental soil warming in interior Alaska. Cumulative growing season (May–September) CH 4 emissions were elevated at both wetter (216.1–1,099.4 mg CH 4 -C m –2 ) and drier (129.7–392.3 mg CH 4 -C m –2 ) deeply thawed microsites relative to shallow thaw (55.6–215.7 mg CH 4 -C m –2 ) and increased with higher deep soil temperatures and permafrost thaw depth. Interannual variability in CH4 emissions was driven by wet conditions in graminoid-dominated plots that generated >70% of emissions in a wet year. Shoulder season emissions were equivalent to growing season CH 4 emissions rates in the deeply thawed, warmed soils, highlighting the importance of non-growing season CH 4 emissions. Net C sink potential was reduced in deeply thawed wet plots by 4%–42%, and by 3.5%–8% in deeply thawed drier plots due to anaerobic respiration, suggesting that some dry upland tundra landscapes may transition into stronger CH 4 sources in a warming Arctic.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗