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At least 775 records · Page 43

Power market models for the clean energy transition: State of the art and future research needs

As power systems around the world are rapidly evolving to achieve decarbonization objectives, it is crucial that power system planners and operators use appropriate models and tools to analyze and address the associated challenges. This paper provides a detailed overview of the properties of power market models in the context of the clean energy transition. We review common power market model methodologies, their readiness for low- and zero-carbon grids, and new power market trends. Based on the review, we suggest model improvements and new designs to increase modeling capabilities for future grids. The paper highlights key modeling concepts related to power system flexibility, with a particular focus on hydropower and energy storage, as well as the representation of grid services, price formation, temporal structure, and the importance of uncertainty. We find that a changing resource mix, market restructuring, and growing price uncertainty require more precise modeling techniques to adequately capture the new technology constraints and the dynamics of future power markets. In particular, models must adequately represent resource opportunity costs, multi-horizon flexibility, and energy storage capabilities across the full range of grid services. Moreover, at the system level, it is increasingly important to consider sub-hourly time resolution, enhanced uncertainty representation, and introduce co-optimization for dual market clearing of energy and grid services. Likewise, models should capture interdependencies between multiple energy carriers and demand sectors.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Variational data augmentation for a learning-based granular predictive model of power outages

As the trend in climate change continues, extreme weather events are expected to occur with increasing frequency and severity and pose a significant threat to the electric power infrastructure. Regardless of the efforts a utility puts towards hardening the grid, storm-induced damage to the utility assets such as cables and distributed energy resources (DERs) that are particularly vulnerable to such events is unavoidable. Access to a highly granular, in space and time, outage forecasting tool with long lead times (i.e., days ahead) will enhance the efficiency of service restoration efforts. Here, in this study, we propose to develop and implement a multi-model framework as an operational tool based on a granular and multi-day outage forecasting model using operational numerical weather prediction model forecasts and detailed component outage information. An innovative two-layered recurrent neural network, i.e., a long-short-term-memory (LSTM)-based variational autoencoder (VAE) framework and a sliding window are used to address the uneven distribution of different types of weather events and make better use of the time-series data. Case studies are performed to demonstrate the performance of the new framework.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Adaptation of Control Center Software to Commerical Real-Time Display Applications

NASA-Marshall Space Flight Center (MSFC) is currently developing an enhanced Huntsville Operation Support Center (HOSC) system designed to support multiple spacecraft missions. The Enhanced HOSC is based upon a distributed computing architecture using graphic workstation hardware and industry standard software including POSIX, X Windows, Motif, TCP/IP, and ANSI C. Southwest Research Institute (SwRI) is currently developing a prototype of the Display Services application for this system. Display Services provides the capability to generate and operate real-time data-driven graphic displays. This prototype is a highly functional application designed to allow system end users to easily generate complex data-driven displays. The prototype is easy to use, flexible, highly functional, and portable. Although this prototype is being developed for NASA-MSFC, the general-purpose real-time display capability can be reused in similar mission and process control environments. This includes any environment depending heavily upon real-time data acquisition and display. Reuse of the prototype will be a straight-forward transition because the prototype is portable, is designed to add new display types easily, has a user interface which is separated from the application code, and is very independent of the specifics of NASA-MSFC's system. Reuse of this prototype in other environments is a excellent alternative to creation of a new custom application, or for environments with a large number of users, to purchasing a COTS package.

Collier, Mark D.↗

Flight service evaluation of composite helicopter components

This paper presents the results of a NASA funded contract and Sikorsky research and development programs to evaluate structural composite components in flight service on Sikorsky Model S-76 helicopters. Selected components were removed and tested at prescribed intervals over a nine year time frame. Four horizontal stabilizers and thirteen tail rotor spars were returned from commercial service in West Palm Beach, Florida and in the Gulf Coast region of Louisiana to determine the long term effects of operations in hot and humid climates on component performance. Concurrent with the flight component evaluation, panels of materials used in their fabrication were exposed to the environment in ground racks. Selected panels were tested annually to determine the effects of exposure on physical and mechanical properties. The results of 55,741 component flight hours and 911 months of field exposure are reported and compared with initial Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) certification data. The findings of this program have provided increased confidence in the long term durability of advanced composite materials used in helicopter structural applications.

Mardoian, George H.↗

Spinoff 1998

In 1958, a Congressional Mandate directed the National Aeronautics and Space Agency to ensure for the widest possible dissemination of its research and development results. Thus, the Scientific and Technical Information (STI) Program was born. While this program addressed mostly the timely dissemination of information to NASA, NASA contractors, other government agencies, and the public, technologies were identified that were clearly transferable and applicable to industry for additional use in the development of commercial products and services. Such considerations spun off the Technology Utilization Program. The very successful program went through several name changes and is today called the NASA Commercial Technology Program. The changes that have occurred over time are not only name changes, but program changes that have dramatically altered the philosophy, mission, and goal of the program. It has been identified that a more intense and proactive outreach effort within the program is necessary in order to make the newest and latest technologies available to industry now-at the time the technology is actually developed. The NASA Commercial Technology Network (NCTN), its interaction with industry at all levels through a large network of organizations and offices, is contributing to the success of small, medium, and large U.S. businesses to remain globally competitive. At the same time, new products and services derived from the transfer and application of NASA technology benefit everyone. This publication includes the following: Aerospace research and development - NASA headquarters and centers. Technology transfer and commercialization. Commercial benefits - spinoffs.NASA success and education. NASA commercial technology network.

Source record↗

An Accelerated Creep Testing Program For Nickel Based Superalloys

In order to improve the energy production within the United States, new materials are developed with the goal of increased functionality. These materials are required to perform at extreme pressures and temperatures (up to and beyond 200MPa and 650â??) as well as be sustainable beyond 105 hours. Before developing these materials into components for power generation, mechanical testing is required to better understand the behavior of these materials at various loads and temperatures. The longest of these tests is the conventional creep test which is a real time test that can beyond 105 hours depending on service conditions. Hundreds of specimens must be tested before being approved for use in power generation, but it is extremely difficult to rapidly qualify when each material is required to exceed 105 hours making testing through conventional means unfeasible. While others have designed accelerated testing methods to help qualify materials, many of these experiments use an empirical approach that requires test data to fit already existing creep data. In this study, an accelerated creep test called the stepped isostress method (SSM) is then applied to wrought Inconel 718 (IN 718) specimens. A test matrix is designed using deformation mechanism maps, time-temperature-transformation diagrams, and time-temperature-precipitation diagrams, in order to ensure that microstructurally, the accelerated creep tests fail similarly to the conventional creep tests. The data from the stepped isostress method is then applied to the McVetty and Sin-hyperbolic (Sinh) constitutive models in order to generate a creep master curve. The results from the model fits are then compared to the conventional creep data done from experiments as well as from the NIMS database for Inconel 718. Optical microscopy and scanning electron microscopy are used to compare the evolution of the microstructure from the conventional creep and accelerated creep tests. It is found that using the Sinh model on the accelerated creep data provides reasonable creep rupture predictions when compared to the scatter band of creep tests. It was also observed that the microstructural evolution between the SSM experiments and creep tests were very similar in terms of the volume fraction of precipitates and phases.

Mach, Robert↗

NASA's Work in Exoplanet Hunting Satellites and Robotic Servicing of Satellites

An overview of three missions connected with NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center at the present time: (1) NASA's flagship mission, the James Webb Space Telescope, is nearing its 2021 launch date. The James Webb, which is considered the successor to the Hubble Space Telescope, will orbit at the Earth-Sun Lagrangian Point Two where it will peer back in time, using infrared detectors, to the beginnings of our Universe. (2) NASA is conducting pioneering work in the field of robotic satellite servicing in earth orbit. The RESTORE-L project, which is slated for a 2021 launch date, is expected to pave the way for the inception of robotic assembly for deep space exploration as well as the commercialization of satellite servicing. (3) The Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS) has been orbiting the Earth actively searching for new planets since April of 2018. The discoveries that TESS has made to-date have benefited from a careful characterization of the refractive lens assemblies on its science instruments. The presentation will provide a detailed description of how the index of refraction of the glasses used to fabricate the TESS lens assemblies were measured at Goddard to an accuracy that enables the ability to make exoplanet discoveries hundreds of light years from Earth.

Miller, Kevin H.↗

Flight Testing of In-Time Safety Assurance Technologies for UAS Operations

Ongoing research at NASA is driven by a strategic plan defined by the Aeronautics Research Mission Directorate and a vision for future In-Time Aviation Safety Management Systems (IASMS) as described by the National Academies. In both visions, system safety awareness and provision are expanded through increased access to relevant data; integrated analysis and predictive capabilities; improved real-time detection and alerting of domain-specific hazards; decision support, and in some cases, automated risk mitigation strategies. One primary research focus is to develop means by which more timely (i.e., “in-time”) actions may be taken to mitigate precursors, anomalies, or trends that are observed during operations. In this paper, we describe such means as a collection of Services, Functions, and Capabilities (SFCs) that are supported by an underlying information system. For example, an integrated risk assessment capability is envisioned that continuously monitors safety-related metrics and margins and recommends timely operational changes. Assessment functions and/or services can be based on data analytics and predictive models derived from heterogeneous data sets that span relevant indicator metrics and their time histories. Likewise, on-board functions can identify and reduce susceptibility to precursor conditions that have led (and can lead) to aircraft loss-of-control or out-of-control accidents. This paper summarizes development and testing of such an information system tailored to hazards anticipated for future highly autonomous flight missions near and over densely populated areas. Testing is accomplished via simulation and by using small, unmanned aircraft operating over a test range at NASA’s Langley Research Center. Flight plans and test scenarios are defined to emulate several use-cases, including package delivery; reconnaissance; fire management; and urban air taxi vertiport operations. Two test phases are summarized with Phase 1 occurring in (2019-2020) and Phase 2 ongoing (2021-present). Results focus on SFC performance, technology readiness level assessment, and requirements discovery/validation. Companion papers are cited throughout for additional details on the recent testing.

safety management↗

Draft Rules for Alloy 617 Creep-Fatigue Design Using an EPP+SMT Approach

The report describes an improved new creep-fatigue design method for structural components in high temperature nuclear service. The new method uses an integrated elastic-perfectly plastic (EPP) analysis and Simplified Model Test (SMT) approach that greatly simplifies the design process by avoiding the separate evaluation of creep and fatigue damages and eliminating the requirement of stress classification. The report includes draft design rules, presented in a format compatible with an ASME nuclear Code Case, as well as a commentary on the rules and the validation of the rules using pressurized SMT (p-SMT) test data. Areas of potential improvement have been identified for further evaluation. The report also develops EPP+SMT design charts for Alloy 617 at temperatures between 800°C and 950°C by extrapolating high strain range, short hold test data to low strain range and long hold times, typical for structural components in high temperature nuclear service. The design charts are currently limited to 10,000 cycles to avoid excessive extrapolation outside the test database. More robust alternate extrapolation procedures will be considered in future work. The report includes several verification problems comparing the new EPP+SMT design method with current ASME creep-fatigue design methods. The comparison demonstrates that the EPP+SMT method significantly reduces the over-conservatism in current methods. Finally, the report includes a fully-documented sample problem with multiple load cases detailing the application of proposed EPP+SMT design rules.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Scientific data reduction and analysis plan: PI services

This plan comprises two parts. The first concerns the real-time data display to be provided by MSC during the mission. The prime goal is to assess the operation of the UVS and to identify any problem areas that could be corrected during the mission. It is desirable to identify any possible observations of unusual scientific interest in order to repeat these observations at a later point in the mission, or to modify the time line with respect to the operating modes of the UVS. The second part of the plan discusses the more extensive postflight analysis of the data in terms of the scientific objectives of this experiment.

Feldman, P. D.↗

Fiber Optic Sensors for Cure/Health Monitoring of Composite Materials

The objective of the current program is to develop techniques for using optical fibers to monitor the cure of composite materials in real time during manufacture and to monitor the in-service structural health of composite structures. Single and multimode optical fibers containing Bragg gratings have been used to perform Near Infrared (NIR) spectroscopy on high refractive index resins and show promise as embedded sensors. In order for chemical spectroscopy to be possible, intimate contact must be achieved between the fiber core and the composite resin. This contact is often achieved by stripping the cladding off of a portion of the fiber, thus making it brittle and easily broken in the composite processing environment. To avoid weakening the fiber to this extent, high refractive index fibers have been fabricated that use a low refractive index acrylate coating which serves as the cladding. This is ideal, as the coating is easily solvent stripped and intimate contact with the glass core can be achieved. Real time resin and composite chemical spectra have been obtained, with possible multifunctional capability using Bragg gratings to assess physical properties such as strain, modulus and other parameters of interest.

Wood, K. H.↗

Enhancing Discovery, Search, and Access of NASA Hydrological Data by Leveraging GEOSS

An ongoing NASA-funded project has removed a longstanding barrier to accessing NASA data (i.e., accessing archived time-step array data as point-time series) for selected variables of the North American and Global Land Data Assimilation Systems (NLDAS and GLDAS, respectively) and other EOSDIS (Earth Observing System Data Information System) data sets (e.g., precipitation, soil moisture). These time series (data rods) are pre-generated. Data rods Web services are accessible through the CUAHSI Hydrologic Information System (HIS) and the Goddard Earth Sciences Data and Information Services Center (GES DISC) but are not easily discoverable by users of other non-NASA data systems. The Global Earth Observation System of Systems (GEOSS) is a logical mechanism for providing access to the data rods. An ongoing GEOSS Water Services project aims to develop a distributed, global registry of water data, map, and modeling services cataloged using the standards and procedures of the Open Geospatial Consortium and the World Meteorological Organization. The ongoing data rods project has demonstrated the feasibility of leveraging the GEOSS infrastructure to help provide access to time series of model grid information or grids of information over a geographical domain for a particular time interval. A recently-begun, related NASA-funded ACCESS-GEOSS project expands on these prior efforts. Current work is focused on both improving the performance of the generation of on-the-fly (OTF) data rods and the Web interfaces from which users can easily discover, search, and access NASA data.

GEOSS↗

Early Warning Signs of a Mental Health Tsunami: A Coordinated Response to Gather Initial Data Insights From Multiple Digital Services Providers

The immediate impact of coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) on morbidity and mortality has raised the need for accurate and real-time data monitoring and communication. The aim of this study is to document the initial observations from multiple digital services providers during the COVID-19 crisis, especially those related to mental health and well-being. We used email and social media to announce an urgent call for support. Digital mental health services providers (N = 46), financial services providers (N = 4), and other relevant digital data source providers (N = 3) responded with quantitative and/or qualitative data insights. People with lived experience of distress, as service users/consumers, and carers are included as co-authors. This study provides proof-of-concept of the viability for researchers and private companies to work collaboratively toward a common good. Digital services providers reported a diverse range of mental health concerns. A recurring observation is that demand for digital mental health support has risen, and that the nature of this demand has also changed since COVID-19, with an apparent increased presentation of anxiety and loneliness. Following this study, we will continue to work with providers in more in-depth ways to capture follow-up insights at regular time points. We will also onboard new providers to address data representativeness. Looking ahead, we anticipate the need for a rigorous process to interpret insights from an even wider variety of sources in order to monitor and respond to mental health needs.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Do parcel lockers reduce delivery times? Evidence from the field

Common-carrier parcel lockers have emerged as a secure, automated, self-service means of delivery consolidation in congested urban areas, which are believed to mitigate last-mile delivery challenges through reducing out-of-vehicle delivery times and consequently vehicle dwell times at the curb. However, little research exists to empirically demonstrate the environmental and efficiency gains from this technology. In this study, we designed a nonequivalent groups pre-test/post-test control experiment to estimate the causal effects of a parcel locker on delivery times in a residential building in downtown Seattle, WA. Here, the causal effects are measured in terms of vehicle dwell time and the time delivery couriers spend inside the building, through the difference-in-difference method and using a similar nearby residential building as a control. The results showed a statistically significant decrease in time spent inside the building, and small yet insignificant reduction in delivery vehicle dwell time at the curb. The locker was also well received by the building managers and residents.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Needed weather information where it belongs; in the cockpit

The availability of inflight weather data to the cockpit is discussed. The need for real-time information systems to warn of hazardous weather conditions is emphasized. It is suggested that the Weather Service severe weather radar network be collocated with the FAA radar to provide information for real-time decision making.

Gatlin, H. G.↗

LANL Charging Practices Course Number 18930

Because numerous federal agencies and outside organizations provide funding for hundreds of projects and programs, Los Alamos National Laboratory's system for charging for time and effort, and the purchase of materials, supplies, and services, is complex. As a LANL employee, you are responsible, both legally and ethically, for knowing and consistently following charging practice rules, complying with Laboratory financial policies, and understanding the consequences of improper charging. This course is designed to increase your understanding of an employee's responsibilities regarding charging practices at the Laboratory and help you charge time and labor and non-labor costs accurately. The training is required of all Laboratory workers except craft labor, who have separate training that is specific to how their effort is charged and collected. This training should take less than 20 minutes to complete.

96 KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT AND PRESERVATION↗

Stellar Laboratories

For the spectral analysis of high-resolution and high signal-to-noise (SN) spectra of hot stars, state-of-the-art non-local thermodynamic equilibrium (NLTE) model atmospheres are mandatory. These are strongly dependent on the reliability of the atomic data that is used for their calculation. Aims: To identify molybdenum lines in the ultraviolet (UV) spectra of the DA-type white dwarf G191B2B and the DO-type white dwarf RE 0503289 and, to determine their photospheric Mo abundances, reliable Mo iv-vii oscillator strengths are used. Methods: We newly calculated Mo iv-vii oscillator strengths to consider their radiative and collisional bound-bound transitions indetail in our NLTE stellar-atmosphere models for the analysis of Mo lines exhibited in high-resolution and high SN UV observations of RE 0503289.Results. We identified 12 Mo v and nine Mo vi lines in the UV spectrum of RE 0503289 and measured a photospheric Mo abundance of 1.2 3.0 104(mass fraction, 22 500 56 400 times the solar abundance). In addition, from the As v and Sn iv resonance lines,we measured mass fractions of arsenic (0.51.3 105, about 300 1200 times solar) and tin (1.33.2 104, about 14 300 35 200 times solar). For G191B2B, upper limits were determined for the abundances of Mo (5.3 107, 100 times solar) and, in addition, for Kr (1.1106, 10 times solar) and Xe (1.7107, 10 times solar). The arsenic abundance was determined (2.35.9 107, about 21 53 times solar). A new, registered German Astrophysical Virtual Observatory (GAVO) service, TOSS, has been constructed to provide weighted oscillator strengths and transition probabilities.Conclusions. Reliable measurements and calculations of atomic data are a prerequisite for stellar-atmosphere modeling. Observed Mo v-vi line profiles in the UV spectrum of the white dwarf RE 0503289 were well reproduced with our newly calculated oscillator strengths. For the first time, this allowed the photospheric Mo abundance in a white dwarf to be determined.

Rauch, T.↗