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DOE OSTI2020

sta-imex (scripts to investigate stability of IMEX methods)

Set of Matlab scripts to investigate properties of IMEX time stepping methods. Scripts include discretization of a system of linearized equations. One script plots numerical dispersion against analytical dispersion of the system. Another set of scripts uses the system to break it into stiff and non stiff part to investigate stability of Implicit-Explicit Runge-Kutta methods. Scripts are based on Thuburn, J. and Woollings, T. J., Vertical Discretizations for Compressible Euler Equation Atmospheric Models Giving Optimal Representation of Normal Modes , 2005 and Lock, S.-J. and Wood, N. and Weller, H., Numerical analyses of Runge-Kutta implicit-explicit schemes for horizontally explicit, vertically implicit solutions of atmospheric models, 2014 expanding ideas from these two papers. Scripts are used to develop IMEX schemes. SAND2020-12594 M Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy's National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-NA0003525.

Guba, Oksana↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Human Mars Mission In-Space Transportation Sensitivity for Nuclear Electric / Chemical Hybrid Propulsion

NASA's Human Exploration and Operation Mission Directorate is continuing to study different concepts and options to field human Mars missions as part of NASA's Moon2Mars directive. In this study, an update to the Hybrid propulsion system was established with the introduction of nuclear electric propulsion system to replace the solar electric propulsion system in an effort to understand the potential impact of a shorter mission to Mars. For crewed missions to Mars, the transportation system sizing is highly dependent on the type of mission and the mission duration. An integrated trajectory analysis capability has been developed and updated to enable this investigation. Longer duration mission may utilize higher efficiency low thrust propulsion system more, but would require higher payload mass due to increase to crew logistics loading and habitation volume. Conversely, shorter duration mission may have lower payload mass, but will require significant increase to propulsion system performance and/or overall system mass. An overall integrated design trade space is defined in this paper to investigate the tradeoff between these scenarios to illuminate the optimality of the transportation system option from a mass perspective. The sensitivity analysis developed in this study will be crucial to understanding the Mars mission design trade space for crewed Mars missions, and will help inform design decisions and investment strategies.

Patrick R. Chai↗

DOE OSTI2022

DIII-D research advancing the physics basis for optimizing the tokamak approach to fusion energy

DIII-D physics research addresses critical challenges for the operation of ITER and the next generation of fusion energy devices. This is done through a focus on innovations to provide solutions for high performance long pulse operation, coupled with fundamental plasma physics understanding and model validation, to drive scenario development by integrating high performance core and boundary plasmas. Substantial increases in off-axis current drive efficiency from an innovative top launch system for EC power, and in pressure broadening for Alfven eigenmode control from a co-/counter-I p steerable off-axis neutral beam, all improve the prospects for optimization of future long pulse/steady state high performance tokamak operation. Fundamental studies into the modes that drive the evolution of the pedestal pressure profile and electron vs ion heat flux validate predictive models of pedestal recovery after ELMs. Understanding the physics mechanisms of ELM control and density pumpout by 3D magnetic perturbation fields leads to confident predictions for ITER and future devices. Validated modeling of high-Z shattered pellet injection for disruption mitigation, runaway electron dissipation, and techniques for disruption prediction and avoidance including machine learning, give confidence in handling disruptivity for future devices. For the non-nuclear phase of ITER, two actuators are identified to lower the L–H threshold power in hydrogen plasmas. With this physics understanding and suite of capabilities, a high poloidal beta optimized-core scenario with an internal transport barrier that projects nearly to Q = 10 in ITER at ~8 MA was coupled to a detached divertor, and a near super H-mode optimized-pedestal scenario with co-I p beam injection was coupled to a radiative divertor. The hybrid core scenario was achieved directly, without the need for anomalous current diffusion, using off-axis current drive actuators. Also, a controller to assess proximity to stability limits and regulate β N in the ITER baseline scenario, based on plasma response to probing 3D fields, was demonstrated. Finally, innovative tokamak operation using a negative triangularity shape showed many attractive features for future pilot plant operation.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2023

Integrating Survival Analysis with Bayesian Statistics to Forecast the Remaining Useful Life of a Centrifugal Pump Conditional to Multiple Fault Types

To improve the viability of nuclear power plants, there is a need to reduce their operational costs. Operational costs account for a significant portion of a plant’s yearly budget, due to their scheduled-based maintenance approach. In order to reduce these costs, proactive methods are required that estimate and forecast the state of a machine in real time to optimize maintenance schedules. In this research, we use Bayesian networks to develop a framework that can forecast the remaining useful life of a centrifugal pump. To do so, we integrate survival analysis with Bayesian statistics to forecast the health of the pump conditional to its current state. We complete our research by successfully using the Bayesian network on a case study. This solution provides an informed probabilistic viewpoint of the pumping system for the purpose of predictive maintenance.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Bridging Equipment Reliability Data and Risk Informed Decisions in a Plant Operation Context

Industry equipment reliability and asset management programs are essential elements that help ensure the safe and economical operation of nuclear power plants. The effectiveness of these programs is addressed in several industry-developed and regulatory programs. The Risk-Informed Asset Management (RIAM) project is tasked to develop tools in support of the equipment reliability and asset management programs at nuclear power plants. These tools are designed to create a direct bridge between component health/lifecycle data and decision making (e.g., maintenance scheduling and project prioritization). The goal of this article is to provide a guide for specific use cases that the RIAM project is targeting. We have grouped uses cases into three main areas. The first area focuses on the analysis of equipment reliability data with a particular emphasis on condition-based data, such as test/surveillance reports and component monitoring data. The second area focuses on the integration of equipment reliability into system/plant reliability models to determine system/plant health and identify the components that are critical to maintain an operational system. Lastly, the third area manages plant resources, such as maintenance activities and replacement scheduling using optimization methods. Here the primary focus is on supporting typical system engineer decisions regarding maintenance activity scheduling and component aging management. This is performed in a risk-informed context where the term “risk” is broadly constructed to include both plant reliability and economics. This framework combines data analytics tools to analyze equipment reliability data with risk-informed methods designed to support system engineer decisions (e.g., maintenance and replacement schedules, optimal maintenance posture) in a customizable workflow.

97 - MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Design and Optimization of the Proposed NB2 Guide System in the HFIR Cold Guide Hall

The NB2 Guide Design is used to provide a defined neutron beam flux to at least one monochromator and an end station. The known monochromator configuration will support a sample alignment station and the end station will be able to accommodate either a neutron polarization development instrument or a spin echo neutron spectrometer, as well as the potential for additional monochromators along the guide path. The design proposed will meet the needs specified for those instruments defined by science requirements documents, and will also provide insight into potential opportunities for future instrument developments.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Sum-of-Fractions Method

Sum-of-fractions is a method intended to make sure a subcritical margin for aqueous solutions and slurries of fissionable isotopes exists. The method indicates that a system is subcritical if the sum of the ratios of the mass of each isotope (in a mixture) to its individual minimum subcritical mass limit is less than or equal to one. Historically, the basis of the sum-of-fractions has been derived from allowances given in the American National Standards Institute (ANSI)/ American Nuclear Society (ANS)-8.15-1981. However, the allowance was removed in ANSI/ANS-8.15-2014 due to a lack of technical basis. A methodology was developed to assess the validity of using the sum-of-fractions for water- or polyethylene-moderated systems for the following nuclides: 232U, 233U, 234U, 235U, 237Np, 236Pu, 238Pu, 239Pu, 240Pu, 241Pu, 242Pu, 241Am, 242mAm, 243Am, 242Cm, 243Cm, 244Cm, 245Cm, 246Cm, 247Cm, 249Cf, and 251Cf. The methodology uses available benchmark data for mixtures of 233U, 235U, and 239Pu to establish the calculational margin, and a mass limit reduction to establish the margin of subcriticality. Water- or polyethylene-moderated and -reflected mixtures containing the nuclides are evaluated with the code system, SCALE 6.2.4. Including the calculational margin, subcritical mass limits for each nuclide were computed for optimally water- or polyethylene-moderated and fully reflected systems. These masses were used to create nuclide mixtures in which the sum of the mass to subcritical mass limit ratios is one. The various nuclide mixtures were modeled over a range of moderation and demonstrate the keff does not exceed the calculational margin. For additional assurance of subcriticality, a significant mass reduction is applied to each computed minimum critical mass of the nuclides without adequate benchmark data consistent with the method in ANSI/ANS-8.15-2014.

criticality safety, Actinide↗

NASA NTRS2015

In-Situ Resource Utilization for Space Exploration: Resource Processing, Mission-Enabling Technologies, and Lessons for Sustainability on Earth and Beyond

As humanity begins to reach out into the solar system, it has become apparent that supporting a human or robotic presence in transit andor on station requires significant expendable resources including consumables (to support people), fuel, and convenient reliable power. Transporting all necessary expendables is inefficient, inconvenient, costly, and, in the final analysis, a complicating factor for mission planners and a significant source of potential failure modes. Over the past twenty-five years, beginning with the Space Exploration Initiative, researchers at the NASA Glenn Research Center (GRC), academic collaborators, and industrial partners have analyzed, researched, and developed successful solutions for the challenges posed by surviving and even thriving in the resource limited environment(s) presented by near-Earth space and non-terrestrial surface operations. In this retrospective paper, we highlight the efforts of the co-authors in resource simulation and utilization, materials processing and consumable(s) production, power systems and analysis, fuel storage and handling, propulsion systems, and mission operations. As we move forward in our quest to explore space using a resource-optimized approach, it is worthwhile to consider lessons learned relative to efficient utilization of the (comparatively) abundant natural resources and improving the sustainability (and environment) for life on Earth. We reconsider Lunar (and briefly Martian) resource utilization for potential colonization, and discuss next steps moving away from Earth.

Specific impulse↗

NASA NTRS2015

Suborbital Asteroid Intercept and Fragmentation for Very Short Warning Time Scenarios

Small near-Earth objects (NEOs) 50150 m in size are far more numerous (hundreds of thousands to millions yet to be discovered) than larger NEOs. Small NEOs, which are mostly asteroids rather than comets, are very faint in the night sky due to their small sizes, and are, therefore, difficult to discover far in advance of Earth impact. However, even small NEOs are capable of creating explosions with energies on the order of tens or hundreds of megatons (Mt).We are, therefore, motivated to prepare to respond effectively to short warning time, small NEO impact scenarios. In this paper we explore the lower bound on actionable warning time by investigating the performance of notional upgraded Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles (ICBMs) to carry Nuclear Explosive Device (NED) payloads to intercept and disrupt a fictitious incoming NEO at high altitudes (generally, at least 2500 km above Earth). We conduct this investigation by developing optimal NEO intercept trajectories for a range of cases and comparing their performances.Our results show that suborbital NEO intercepts using Minuteman III or SM-3 IIA launch vehicles could achieve NEO intercept a few minutes prior to when the NEOwould strike Earth. We also find that more powerful versions of the launch vehicles (e.g., total V 9.511 kms) could intercept incoming NEOs over a day prior to when the NEO would strike Earth, if launched at least several days prior to the time of NEO intercept. Finally, we discuss a number of limiting factors and practicalities that affect whether the notional systems we describe could become feasible.

Planetary Defense↗

DOE OSTI2021

Addressing Human and Organizational Factors In Nuclear Industry Modernization: A Sociotechnically-Based Strategic Framework

The modernization of nuclear power plants will require an advanced concept of operations, involving an integrated set of tightly coupled systems in which all stakeholders act in a coordinated manner. For this modernization effort to be enabled, we developed a human and organizational factors approach, based on a broad sociotechnical framework. Starting from core human factors principles, we conducted a literature review of the methods and approaches relevant to the modernization problem. These included core disciplines such as cognitive systems engineering, systems theoretic accident modeling and processes (STAMP), human systems integration, resilience engineering, and macroergonomics but also related topics of safety culture and organizational change. From this literature, we developed a conceptual framework centered around the work system with its four interacting components: people, technology, process, and governance. In an effective work system, these four components are jointly optimized according to three systems criteria: efficiency, effectiveness, and safety. System failure may result from excessive emphasis on any one criterion. The actual work of attaining joint optimization in a given work system can be accomplished by utilizing three high level functions: knowledge elicitation, knowledge representation, and cross-functional integration. We illustrated the utility of this approach by applying it to practical problems and case studies. The complete report is available in [1]; this paper is a description of our approach and report contents.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

DOE OSTI2021

Spatio-temporal evolution of femtosecond laser pulses in dielectric multi-layers controlling the damage behavior

When designing femtosecond laser mirrors, one tries to minimize the peak intensity within the high-index layers to increase the laser-induced damage threshold. Typically, the optimization procedure utilizes the electric field distribution in the layer stack generated by monochromatic irradiation. Furthermore, this approach is sufficient for certain structures like high-reflectors based on quarter-wave films. More complex structures require to take into account the exact evolution of the pulse parameters such as peak intensity and duration within the multi-layer system. We exemplify this by discussing a merit function that can be included in femtosecond optics design.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

DOE OSTI2022

Evaluation of Heat Exchanger Technology for Integrated Energy System: Methodology and Preliminary Application

This report proposes a novel heat exchanger evaluation method, based on integrated QFD-AHP technique, to support strategic optimal selection of heat exchanger (HX) technology for integrated energy systems. The term “optimal selection” is defined as selecting a product (i.e., HX) that best meets various aspects of end user demand, including both technical and economic requirements. Compared to previous HX evaluation methods, the proposed approach allows decision makers to explicitly take into account the practical demand of customers (i.e., HX end users) which may vary depending on the HX application target. In addition, the proposed evaluation method can be used not only for high-level decisions to select HX type, but also for low-level decisions such as the selection of the key components including HX material or heat transfer fluid. The focus of this study is to describe the new HX evaluation method and to illustrate the overall HX evaluation and selection processes using the three nuclear heat application cases that represent the thermal integration between advanced nuclear reactors and industrial processes. As a preliminary study, three different types of HX, i.e., shell-and-tube heat exchanger, printed circuit heat exchanger, and heat pipe heat exchanger, were compared.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2023

Final Cooling with Thick Wedges for a Muon Collider

A muon collider is a particle accelerator that collides muons rather than protons or electrons. An important component of such a collider is cooling, in which the emittance of the muon beam is reduced to make it suitable for use in a collider. In the last stage of this process, called final 4D cooling, emittance in the transverse axes is reduced while emittance in the longitudinal axis is allowed to grow. In previous studies, Final 4-D cooling used absorbers within very high field solenoids to cool low-momentum muons. Simulations of the systems did not reach the desired cooling design goals. In this study, we develop and optimize a different conceptual design for the final 4D cooling channel, which is based on single thick wedges. We used G4Beamline to simulate the channel and Python to generate and analyze particle distributions. We characterized the effects of various parameters on the performance of this system, including the initial emittances and Twiss parameters, the length and angle of the wedges, the length of the drift channel, and the length, frequency, gradient, and phase of the RF cavities. We optimized the design parameters of the cooling channel and produced two conceptual designs (corresponding to two possible starting points for the input beam) which achieve transverse cooling in both x and y by a factor of ≈ 3.5. These channels achieve a lower transverse and longitudinal emittance than the best design previously published.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Adaptive Data-Driven Model Predictive Control for Heat Pipe Microreactors

To establish a technical basis for self-regulating microreactors, a model predictive control (MPC) system is investigated to proactively respond to anomalies and disturbances in anticipation of potential deviations from operating setpoints. Due to the difficulty of developing a physics-based surrogate model that can accurately match plant data in various operating conditions, machine learning algorithms are used in MPC, which allow for learning from both simulation and operation data, thus efficiently describing the targeted transient with arbitrary accuracy. However, one of the biggest concerns in applying ML algorithms like artificial neural networks (ANNs) is that the predictive capabilities of ANN are limited by training data. If there are gaps between the training and target domain, the accuracy of an ANN can degrade significantly when it is used to predict unseen data. To improve the predictive capability of ANN and enable a confident use of data-driven MPCs outside the training data, this study proposes an adaptive data-driven MPC framework. The system will monitor the discrepancy between plant responses and surrogate predictions, fine-tune the ANN-based surrogate when a large discrepancy is detected, and continue MPC operation with updated surrogates. The framework is demonstrated on a point kinetic model for microreactors. The hyperparameters of the update strategy, including layers to update, error thresholds, learning rate discount, and number of data points used for fine-tuning, are optimized so the simulated microreactor is able to follow changes in setpoint with the smallest of deviations.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Adaptable Data Driven Model Predictive Control for Heat Pipe Microreactors

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Rapid discovery of high hardness multi-principal-element alloys using a generative adversarial network model

Multi-principal element alloys (MPEAs) continue to gain research prominence due to their promising high-temperature microstructural and mechanical properties. Recently, machine learning (ML) and materials informatics have been used extensively for screening MPEAs, however, most of these efforts were focused on constructing classification and regression models for predicting phase stability and mechanical properties of known compositions. These approaches may accelerate the screening process but optimizing new compositions with desirable properties within a practical time frame from an infinitely large design space of MPEA systems remains a grand challenge. To tackle this composition optimization challenge, a generative adversarial network coupled with a neural-network ML model was utilized to design MPEAs by filtering compositions that have high hardness. Even in a high-dimensional space with 18 elements as descriptors, the ML model was able to generate optimized compositions from which one composition was found to have 10% higher hardness (941 HV) than the maximum in the training data (857 HV). Density-functional theory was used to provide thermodynamic and electronic insights to higher hardness of the new MPEA found. The present work can optimize compositions from a wide design space of 18 elements (including W, Ta and Nb) that presents an opportunity to synthesize new compositions for applications ranging from corrosion-resistant alloys to nuclear materials. Here the findings suggest that generative ML can greatly accelerate materials discovery by identifying novel compositions, which can serve as a data-informed tool to guide experiments.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2021

FY21 Status Report on the Molten Salt Thermal Properties Database (MSTDB) Development

This report describes the thermodynamic assessments for the ZrF 4 -BeF 2 , AlCl 3 -NaCl, AlCl3-KCl and the PuCl 3 -CsCl pseudo-binary subsystems. Calculation results are compared to the inputs used to optimize the adjustable model parameters. The data came from experimental studies reported in the open literature, from the MSR research community, and/or computational results generated within the NEAMS program and from collaborators. The models from the thermodynamic assessment of these salt systems are integrated into the MSTDB-TC (Molten Salt Thermal Properties Database-Thermochemical). A brief description of the companion MSTDB-TP (Molten Salt Thermal Properties Database-Thermophysical) is given along with an overview of the approach for predicting both thermodynamic and thermophysical property behavior of multicomponent systems.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Optimizing observables with machine learning for better unfolding

Most measurements in particle and nuclear physics use matrix-based unfolding algorithms to correct for detector effects. In nearly all cases, the observable is defined analogously at the particle and detector level. We point out that while the particle-level observable needs to be physically motivated to link with theory, the detector-level need not be and can be optimized. We show that using deep learning to define detector-level observables has the capability to improve the measurement when combined with standard unfolding methods.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗