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761 records · Page 43

Amplified Mesoscale and Submesoscale Variability and Increased Concentration of Precipitation under Global Warming over Western North America

Abstract Cold-season precipitation statistics in simulations from the storm-resolving WRF Model at 6-km and 1-h resolution over western North America are analyzed. Pseudo–global warming future simulations for the 2041–80 period, constrained by GCMs under the RCP8.5 scenario, are compared to the 1981–2020 historical simulation. The analysis focuses on the dynamical properties of precipitation time series at subdaily scales and on the morphology of storms. The statistical distribution of precipitation intensities in each pixel of the simulation domain is characterized through nonparametric statistical indicators: frequency of wet hours, mean wet-hour precipitation intensity, and Gini coefficient as a measure of the temporal concentration of the precipitation volume. Additionally, the temporal and spatial Fourier power spectra of precipitation time series and precipitation fields are analyzed. The half-power period (HPP) and half-power wavelength (HPW) are defined as spectral measures of the characteristic scales of precipitation’s temporal and spatial patterns. The results show statistically significant increases in the mean wet-hour precipitation intensity and in the Gini coefficient in 99% of the pixels, indicating that the seasonal precipitation volume becomes more concentrated within a smaller number of hours with higher precipitation intensity. The statistics of change in the frequency of wet hours are more contrasted across the simulation domain. The changes are also reflected in the power spectra, which show the spatial and temporal variability increasing proportionally more with finer spatial and temporal scales and the HPW and HPP decreasing. These projected changes are expected to have consequences, not only in terms of hydrologic impacts but also in terms of the predictability of precipitation patterns. Significance Statement The precipitation characteristics of winter storms over the western United States and southwestern Canada are analyzed in future climate simulations for the 2041–80 period. As compared to present-day climate, the most intense parts of the storms are projected to produce a higher rainfall volume, with increased concentration over smaller areas and shorter time intervals. The propensity of rainfall intensity to vary rapidly over time will be enhanced in the future according to the simulations. These model predictions imply an increased risk of rapid flooding in small basins. They also suggest that predicting several hours ahead the time and location at which a storm will produce maximum rainfall may become more challenging in the future.

Climate change↗

Economic Extraction and Recovery of REEs and Production of Clean Value-Added Products from Low-Rank Coal Fly Ash

The University of North Dakota (UND) Energy & Environmental Research Center (EERC) teamed with Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) , the North Dakota Industrial Commission Lignite Research Program, and commercial partners Basin Electric Power Cooperative, Great River Energy, and Southern Company to execute a Cooperative Agreement funded by the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) focused on identifying unique pathways and pretreatments to extract rare-earth elements (REEs) from low-rank coal (LRC) ash in a more economical and environmentally benign manner than current methods. The EERC drew upon the unique and deep knowledge of the team regarding LRC geochemistry, ash transformation mechanisms during combustion, and fly ash chemistry in the approach to understand the portioning of REEs in LRC ash. A comprehensive characterization effort was undertaken to fully establish the form, associations, and partitioning of the REEs and other elements/minerals of interest in fly ash, as well as the ash chemistry, mineralogy, and morphology. Using this information, the team tested methods of REE extraction to take advantage of the unique and advantageous properties of LRC ash. Multiple complementary approaches were evaluated that combined both novel and proven methods to develop an extractive process for REEs and other high-value metals from LRC ash that provide technological and economic progress on the current state of the art. Methodologies were also evaluated for the potential to synergistically remove toxic metals while extracting other high-value metals from the ash, generating a clean, safe ash material as a value-added product. This would eliminate waste and offer significant additional revenue potential. Based on laboratory-scale testing, an initial high-level technical and economic analysis to estimate operating expenses and product revenues to guide future phases of technology development was implemented. By focusing on minimizing process steps and consumptive use of extraction solutions, a tunable, economically viable process for REE extraction from LRC ash was developed. The tunable process has the ability to be adjusted to adapt to the differing ash chemical and physical properties that are characteristic of LRC ash. This is key to deployment as a commercial process. In demonstrating the process, the EERC was able to illustrate mixed REE concentration greater than the goal of 2 wt%. High-level economic analysis of the process with LRC ash of moderate REE levels demonstrated the potential of the process, but recovery of just the REEs was insufficient to cover operational costs. With the additional extraction of other high-value metals found in LRC ash, the process economics approach would break even, and it is anticipated that with process optimization, the developed process could potentially be economically sound. The same economic analysis performed utilizing LRC ash with high levels of REEs showed the recovery of the REEs alone would make the process economically viable even without further optimization.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Tribological Behavior of Structural Materials in High Temperature Helium Gas-Cooled Reactor Environments

The High-Temperature Gas-cooled Reactor (HTGR) is a Generation IV concept designed to produce electricity and hydrogen at high efficiencies via high operating temperatures (700 °C or higher). Helium, the primary coolant for HTGRs, contains impurities (e.g., CO, H2O and CH4) that can induce corrosion reactions at high temperatures such as oxidation and (de)carburization, which in turn can affect the tribological behavior of components. Incoloy® 800HT (Ni-Fe-Cr austenitic solid-solution alloy) and Inconel® 617 (Ni-Cr-Co-Mo solid-solution alloy) are two high-temperature superalloys currently selected as candidate structural materials for the HTGR. The objective of this study is to evaluate the high-temperature tribological performance of these two candidate alloys after conditioning them in HTGR environments. Four regimes of corrosion were considered: a non-conditioned regime (Regime I), an oxidizing regime (Regime II), a carburizing and oxidizing regime (Regime III), and a carburizing regime (Regime IV). To simulate oxidation in HTGR, samples were conditioned for 22 days at elevated temperatures in a once-through helium loop with 4 ppmv H2O. Carburization of the samples was achieved by the commercial process, Kolsterising®. In addition, two surface treatments – shot peening and aluminization – were considered as potential routes of improving the alloys’ wear resistance. Surface-treated samples were tested both before and after conditioning in Regime II. Tribological testing of the samples was performed via a pin-on-disk tribometer at elevated temperatures in ambient environment – 650 and 750°C for 800HT; 850 and 900°C for 617 – with applied loads of 1N, 2N and 5N. The wear behavior of the alloys was assessed via wear volume and friction coefficient measurements, supported by morphological, structural and compositional analyses of the wear tracks. Conditioning the samples in Regime II led to the formation of a chromium oxide on both alloys. This protective scale increased the wear resistance compared to that of as-received samples (Regime I) due to the formation of a compacted ‘glaze’ oxide layer during sliding, rendering the wear track nearly undistinguishable from the unworn background and resulting in wear volumes below the detection limits of the measurement technique. The variability of the friction coefficients of the conditioned samples was also considerably reduced compared to that of the as-received samples due to the glaze layer. Additionally, the initial friction coefficients of the samples conditioned in Regime II were reduced by 45% and 54% compared to those of as-received samples for alloys 800HT and 617, respectively. Carburizing the samples (Regime IV) hardened the surfaces of both alloys and promoted the formation of an iron oxide on 800HT during tribological testing, thereby increasing the wear resistance and decreasing the initial friction coefficient by a factor of two compared to those of as-received 800HT. Alloy 617 exhibited an enhanced wear resistance but similar initial friction coefficient compared to those of as-received samples due to the increased surface hardness. The Mn-Cr oxide developed during Regime III conditioning of 800HT did not develop a glaze layer during tribotesting, even at lower loads. Thus, it was not as protective as the oxide produced during conditioning of Regime II samples, leading to lower wear resistance of 800HT in Regime III compared to that measured in the Regime II condition. 800HT benefited from the aluminization surface treatment, particularly before conditioning in Regime II, due to the promotion of a wear-resistant aluminum oxide layer during testing and the increase in surface hardness due to the presence of a FeAl intermetallic phase. The presence of this phase caused an order-of-magnitude reduction in wear volumes compared to those of as-received 800HT. Aluminization of 617 decreased its wear resistance, particularly after conditioning in Regime II, due to significant wear of the aluminum oxide via a ceramic wear mechanism. This aluminum oxide was removed during sliding, causing the wear volumes to increase by a factor of five compared to those of 617 conditioned in Regime II. Shot-peened 800HT exhibited a tribological behavior similar to that of as-received 800HT, despite an enhancement in the rate of chromium oxide formation. Shot-peened 800HT conditioned in Regime II showed lower wear resistance compared to that of 800HT conditioned in Regime II due to the poor adhesion between the oxide and the underlying metal, preventing the formation of the glaze layer during sliding. Shot peening of 617 increased its wear resistance at higher load, reducing worn volumes by 60% compared to that measured with as-received 617. Tribotesting of shot-peened 617 in Regime II revealed that the glaze-oxide layer was formed at every load, resulting in negligible wear, similar to what was observed from testing 617 after conditioning in Regime II. Overall, alloy 617 exhibited tribologically superior behavior compared to that of alloy 800HT, as demonstrated by its lower friction coefficients and its order-of-magnitude lower wear volumes when measurable.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Constraining gas motion and non-thermal pressure beyond the core of the Abell 2029 galaxy cluster with XRISM

We report on a detailed spectroscopic study of the gas dynamics and hydrostatic mass bias of the galaxy cluster Abell 2029, utilizing high-resolution observations from XRISM Resolve. Abell 2029, known for its cool core and relaxed X-ray morphology, provides an excellent opportunity to investigate the influence of gas motions beyond the central region. Expanding upon prior studies that revealed low turbulence and bulk motions within the core, our analysis covers regions out to the scale radius $R_{2500}$ (670 kpc) based on three radial pointings extending from the cluster center toward the northern side. We obtain accurate measurements of bulk and turbulent velocities along the line of sight. The results indicate that non-thermal pressure accounts for no more than 2% of the total pressure at all radii, with a gradual decrease outward. The observed radial trend differs from many numerical simulations, which often predict an increase in non-thermal pressure fraction at larger radii. These findings suggest that deviations from hydrostatic equilibrium are small, leading to a hydrostatic mass bias of around 2% across the observed area.

X-rays: galaxies: clusters↗

Probing jet base emission of M87* with the 2021 Event Horizon Telescope observations

We investigate the presence and spatial characteristics of the jet base emission in M87* at 230 GHz, enabled by the significantly enhanced (u,v) coverage in the 2021 Event Horizon Telescope (EHT) observations. The integration of the 12−m Kitt Peak Telescope (USA) and NOEMA (France) stations into the array introduces two critical intermediate-length baselines to SMT (USA) and IRAM 30−m (Spain), providing sensitivity to emission structures at spatial scales of ∼250 μas and ∼2500 μas (∼ 0.02 pc and ∼ 0.02 pc). Without these new baselines, previous EHT observations of the source in 2017 and 2018 lacked the capability to constrain emission on large scales, where a “missing flux” of order ∼1 Jy is expected to reside. To probe these scales, we analyzed closure phases–robust against station-based gain calibration errors–and model the jet base emission using a simple Gaussian component offset from the compact ring emission at spatial separations > 100 μas. Our analysis revealed a Gaussian feature centered at (ΔRA ≈ 320 μ as, ΔDec. ≈ 60 μ as), projected separation of ≈ 5500 AU, with an estimated flux density of only ∼60 mJy, implying that most of the missing flux identified in previous EHT studies had to originate from different, larger scales. Brighter emission at the relevant spatial scales is firmly ruled out, and the data do not favor more complex models. This component aligns with the inferred position of the large-scale jet and is therefore physically consistent with the emission of the jet base. While our findings point to detectable jet base emission at 230 GHz, the limited coverage provided by only two intermediate baselines limits our ability to robustly reconstruct its morphology. Consequently, we treated the recovered Gaussian as an upper limit on the jet base flux density. Future EHT observations with expanded intermediate baseline coverage will be essential to constrain the structure and nature of this component with higher precision.

accretion, accretion disks↗